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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 2194
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 886

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: The Punisher

The Punisher (castle)


MMA MHandicapper - The Punisher

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 63 (44%) Right 27 (57%) Right 16 (30%) Right 20 (48%)
Wrong 80 (56%) Wrong 20 (43%) Wrong 38 (70%) Wrong 22 (52%)
Avg Odds 2.77 Avg Odds 2.08 Avg Odds 4.47 Avg Odds 2.49
Units Bet 269.6 Units Bet 113.8 Units Bet 56.0 Units Bet 99.8
Avg Bet 1.89 Avg Bet 2.42 Avg Bet 1.04 Avg Bet 2.38
Units Profit 43.33 Units Profit 24.26 Units Profit 9.76 Units Profit 9.31
ROI % 16% ROI % 21% ROI % 17% ROI % 9%
View Handicapper's Profile

The Punisher : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
14th Mar '20 UFC Fight Night 170 25.05 13.5 54% -2.0 / 9.75 (-21%) 4.4 / 4.75 (92%) 11.1 / 10.55 (106%)
13th Mar '20 Bellator 241 2 0.0 0% 0.0 / 2 (0%)
8th Mar '20 UFC 248 22.61 6.9 30% 3.8 / 15.75 (24%) -0.9 / 2.61 (-35%) 4.0 / 4.25 (93%)
29th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 17 3.0 18% -5.9 / 9.25 (-64%) 6.0 / 4.25 (141%) 2.9 / 3.5 (84%)
22nd Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 168 3.75 5.3 143% 2.8 / 1.5 (187%) 2.5 / 2.25 (113%)
15th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 167 6.6 1.3 19% 2.0 / 3.25 (62%) -0.7 / 3.35 (-22%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 13.13 -1.9 -14% 0.7 / 2.5 (26%) -1.1 / 4.13 (-27%) -1.4 / 6.5 (-21%)
26th Jan '20 Bellator 238 6 0.3 6% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 3.3 / 3 (111%)
25th Jan '20 UFC Fight Night 166 19 -6.5 -34% 2.7 / 3 (90%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) -4.7 / 11.5 (-41%)
18th Jan '20 UFC 246 32.71 -7.0 -22% 2.3 / 9.33 (24%) 4.8 / 3.51 (137%) -14.1 / 19.87 (-71%)
1st Jan '20 PFL 2019: Week 10 6.27 5.6 89% 2.7 / 3 (90%) 2.9 / 3.27 (89%)
29th Dec '19 Bellator 237 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
21st Dec '19 UFC Fight Night 165 11 -0.4 -3% 3.1 / 2.5 (125%) 2.0 / 3 (67%) -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
15th Dec '19 UFC 245 13.83 9.7 70% 5.9 / 6.5 (90%) 5.8 / 5.33 (110%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
7th Dec '19 UFC on ESPN 7 23.2 -2.5 -11% 4.4 / 8.5 (52%) -11.2 / 11.2 (-100%) 4.3 / 3.5 (124%)
23rd Nov '19 Bellator London 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
16th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 164 13 5.7 44% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 7.2 / 11.5 (63%)
9th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 163 10 7.7 77% 6.4 / 6.5 (98%) 1.4 / 3.5 (39%)
2nd Nov '19 UFC 244 17 4.8 28% 2.1 / 14 (15%) 2.7 / 3 (90%)
26th Oct '19 UFC Fight Night 162 11 2.0 18% 2.0 / 3 (66%) 2.4 / 2.5 (95%) -2.4 / 5.5 (-43%)
18th Oct '19 UFC ESPN 6 10.41 3.8 37% 0.4 / 6.5 (7%) 1.7 / 2.33 (72%) 1.7 / 1.58 (108%)
21st Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 159 3.5 -3.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)


Winning Events: 13 (59%)
Losing Events: 9 (41%)

Average Staked Per Event: 12.34 units
Most Staked On One Event: 32.71 units
Best Event: 13.48 units
Worst Event: -7.05 units
Average Event: 1.97 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 24.02
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -13.57

The Punisher : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2020 154.12 20.5 13% 6.0 / 60.33 (10%) 7.9 / 27.1 (29%) 6.6 / 66.69 (10%) 7 / 4 (64%) 1.86
2019 117.44 22.9 19% 18.3 / 53.5 (34%) 1.9 / 28.86 (7%) 2.7 / 35.08 (8%) 6 / 5 (55%) 2.08

The Punisher : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The Punisher : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 252.79 41.9 17% 29.1 / 103.33 (28%) 9.8 / 55.96 (17%) 3.1 / 93.5 (3%)
Bellator 12.5 -4.2 -33% -7.5 / 7.5 (-100%) 3.3 / 5 (67%)
PFL 6.27 5.6 89% 2.7 / 3 (90%) 2.9 / 3.27 (89%)

The Punisher : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%
Slight Favorites 20 (43%) 15 75 % 62.58 22.62 1.13 36%
Slight Underdogs 23 (49%) 11 48 % 46.25 2.33 0.10 5%
Big Underdogs 4 (9%) 1 25 % 5.00 -0.69 -0.17 -14%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 3 (6%) 1 33 % 11.50 -0.16 -0.05 -1%
Co-Main Event 8 (17%) 4 50 % 19.00 2.59 0.32 14%
Position 3-5 11 (23%) 6 55 % 26.25 6.58 0.60 25%
6+ (Undercard) 25 (53%) 16 64 % 57.08 15.25 0.61 27%

The Punisher : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (13%) 2 33 % 14.75 -4.55 -0.76 -31%
Light Heavy 8 (17%) 7 88 % 18.50 17.29 2.16 93%
Middleweight 5 (11%) 3 60 % 11.25 0.34 0.07 3%
Welterweight 8 (17%) 4 50 % 23.25 3.00 0.37 13%
Lightweight 2 (4%) 1 50 % 5.00 1.30 0.65 26%
Featherweight 6 (13%) 3 50 % 13.83 3.72 0.62 27%
Bantamweight 7 (15%) 5 71 % 15.25 6.51 0.93 43%
Flyweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 3.25 2.02 2.02 62%
               
Women's Fights 4 (9%) 1 25 % 8.75 -5.37 -1.34 -61%
Flyweight 2 (4%) 1 50 % 3.75 -0.37 -0.19 -10%
Strawweight 2 (4%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -2.50 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 38 (83%) 28 74 %
Slight Favorites 7 (15%) 5 71 %
Slight Underdogs 1 (2%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
46 33 72 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 36 (31%) 29 81 %
50-65% 22 (19%) 13 59 %
35-50% 18 (16%) 6 33 %
<35% chance 40 (34%) 11 28 %
116 59 51 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 13 (11%) 7 54 % 1.39 1.83Pick was correct 1.16Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-16%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 6 (5%) 5 83 % 1.32 1.72Pick was incorrect 1.20Pick was correct 1.3 (22%)
Goes to Decision 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.72 1.72Pick was correct 1.72Pick was correct 0.7 (72%)
Does not go to Decision 16 (14%) 11 69 % 1.48 2.10Pick was correct 1.20Pick was correct 0.4 (2%)
X Wins by KO 7 (6%) 2 29 % 2.50 6.50Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was correct -2.7 (-39%)
X Wins by Sub 4 (3%) 1 25 % 5.29 34.00Pick was incorrect 3.35Pick was incorrect 0.8 (20%)
X Wins by Decision 7 (6%) 1 14 % 2.72 6.00Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was incorrect -3.3 (-46%)
X Wins Inside Distance 22 (19%) 11 50 % 2.32 7.00Pick was incorrect 1.40Pick was correct 5.3 (24%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance 9 (8%) 9 100 % 1.44 1.73Pick was correct 1.20Pick was correct 4.2 (47%)
X Wins in Round X 13 (11%) 3 23 % 8.44 29.00Pick was incorrect 3.00Pick was incorrect 9.7 (75%)
Others 18 (16%) 8 44 % 4.34 101.01Pick was incorrect 1.33Pick was correct 32.1 (178%)
116 59 51 % 2.20     46.5 (40%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Punisher 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
21st Sep UFC Fight Night 159 3.5 -3.5 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $965.00
18th Oct UFC ESPN 6 10.41 3.8 37% $9.65 $965.00 $1,001.97
26th Oct UFC Fight Night 162 11 2.0 18% $10.02 $1,001.97 $1,021.66
2nd Nov UFC 244 17 4.8 28% $10.22 $1,021.66 $1,070.50
9th Nov UFC Fight Night 163 10 7.7 77% $10.70 $1,070.50 $1,153.09
16th Nov UFC Fight Night 164 13 5.7 44% $11.53 $1,153.09 $1,219.13
23rd Nov Bellator London 1.5 -1.5 -100% $12.19 $1,219.13 $1,200.84
7th Dec UFC on ESPN 7 23.2 -2.5 -11% $12.01 $1,200.84 $1,171.13
15th Dec UFC 245 13.83 9.7 70% $11.71 $1,171.13 $1,284.70
21st Dec UFC Fight Night 165 11 -0.4 -3% $12.85 $1,284.70 $1,279.88
29th Dec Bellator 237 3 -3.0 -100% $12.80 $1,279.88 $1,241.49
1st Jan PFL 2019: Week 10 6.27 5.6 89% $12.41 $1,241.49 $1,311.01
18th Jan UFC 246 32.71 -7.0 -22% $13.11 $1,311.01 $1,218.61
25th Jan UFC Fight Night 166 19 -6.5 -34% $12.19 $1,218.61 $1,139.15
26th Jan Bellator 238 6 0.3 6% $11.39 $1,139.15 $1,142.96
9th Feb UFC 247 13.13 -1.9 -14% $11.43 $1,142.96 $1,121.74
15th Feb UFC Fight Night 167 6.6 1.3 19% $11.22 $1,121.74 $1,135.93
22nd Feb UFC Fight Night 168 3.75 5.3 143% $11.36 $1,135.93 $1,196.68
29th Feb UFC Fight Night 17 3.0 18% $11.97 $1,196.68 $1,232.65
8th Mar UFC 248 22.61 6.9 30% $12.33 $1,232.65 $1,317.19
13th Mar Bellator 241 2 0.0 0% $13.17 $1,317.19 $1,317.19
14th Mar UFC Fight Night 170 25.05 13.5 54% $13.17 $1,317.19 $1,494.71


ROI % from starting bank balance: 49.47% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Punisher : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '20 David Dvorak Bruno Silva 2.00 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '20 Danaa Batgerel Guido Cannetti 1.73 2.25 TKO, R1 (3:1) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '20 Alex Oliveira Max Griffin 1.67 3.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '20 Gerald Meerschaert Deron Winn 2.25 1.75 Sub, R3 (2:13) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '20 Nikita Krylov Johnny Walker 2.37 2 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '20 Marcin Tybura Sergey Spivak 1.90 1.75 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '20 Journey Newson Domingo Pilarte 2.10 1.5 TKO, R1 (0:38) MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '20 Jim Crute Michal Oleksiejczuk 2.87 1.5 Sub, R1 (3:29) MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '20 Raulian Paiva Mark Delarosa 1.62 3.25 TKO, R2 (4:42) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '20 Beneil Dariush Drakkar Klose 1.80 3.5 TKO, R2 (1:0) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jan '20 Brett Johns Tony Gravely 1.90 3 Sub, R3 (2:53) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jan '20 Sodiq Yusuff Andre Fili 1.77 3.33 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jan '20 Aleksa Camur Justin Ledet 1.90 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jan '20 Emiliano Sordi Jordan Johnson 1.90 3 TKO, R1 (2:1) MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '19 Volkan Oezdemir Aleksandar Rakic 2.25 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '19 Alex Volkanovski Max Holloway 2.62 3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '19 Omari Akhmedov Ian Heinisch 2.25 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '19 Ben Rothwell Stefan Struve 1.72 4 TKO, R2 (4:57) MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '19 Rob Font Ricky Simon 1.72 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '19 Tony Martin Ramazan Emeev 2.25 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '20 Demian Maia Gilbert Burns 2.51 2 TKO, R1 (2:34) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '20 Alexey Kunchenko Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 2.15 2 U Decision (3 rounds) Yes View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '20 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Weili Zhang 2.40 2.75 Split Decision (5 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '20 Tom Breese Brendan Allen 1.72 3 TKO, R1 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '20 Ismail Naurdiev Sean Brady 1.80 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '20 Mayra Bueno Silva Maryna Moroz 1.80 2.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '20 Gabriel Silva Kyler Phillips 2.38 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '20 Ilir Latifi Derrick Lewis 3.15 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '20 Adam Borics Darrion Caldwell 1.95 3 Sub, R1 (2:20) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '20 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Weili Zhang 2.25 2.25 Split Decision (5 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '19 Quinton Jackson Fedor Emelianenko 2.10 3 TKO, R1 (2:44) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jan '20 Maurice Greene Aleksei Oleinik 2.30 3 Sub, R2 (4:38) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '19 Jose Aldo Marlon Moraes 2.75 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '19 Jacob Kilburn Billy Quarantillo 3.50 1 Sub, R2 (3:18) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '19 Terry Brazier Soren Bak 2.60 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '19 Ronaldo Souza Jan Blachowicz 2.62 1.5 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '19 Makwan Amirkhani Shane Burgos 3.00 1.5 TKO, R3 (4:32) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '19 Andrei Arlovski Jairzinho Rozenstruik 2.50 2 TKO, R1 (0:29) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '19 Vicente Luque Stephen Thompson 2.25 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '19 Kevin Holland Brendan Allen 1.58 3 Sub, R2 (3:38) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Punisher : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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