MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 2194
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 886

MMA Handicapper Stats: The Punisher

The Punisher (castle)

MMA MHandicapper - The Punisher

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	63 (44%)	Right	27 (57%)	Right	16 (30%)	Right	20 (48%)
Wrong	80 (56%)	Wrong	20 (43%)	Wrong	38 (70%)	Wrong	22 (52%)
Avg Odds	2.77	Avg Odds	2.08	Avg Odds	4.47	Avg Odds	2.49
Units Bet	269.6	Units Bet	113.8	Units Bet	56.0	Units Bet	99.8
Avg Bet	1.89	Avg Bet	2.42	Avg Bet	1.04	Avg Bet	2.38
Units Profit	43.33	Units Profit	24.26	Units Profit	9.76	Units Profit	9.31
ROI %	16%	ROI %	21%	ROI %	17%	ROI %	9%

The Punisher : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
14th Mar '20	UFC Fight Night 170	25.05	13.5	54%	-2.0 / 9.75 (-21%)	4.4 / 4.75 (92%)	11.1 / 10.55 (106%)
13th Mar '20	Bellator 241	2	0.0	0%			0.0 / 2 (0%)
8th Mar '20	UFC 248	22.61	6.9	30%	3.8 / 15.75 (24%)	-0.9 / 2.61 (-35%)	4.0 / 4.25 (93%)
29th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night	17	3.0	18%	-5.9 / 9.25 (-64%)	6.0 / 4.25 (141%)	2.9 / 3.5 (84%)
22nd Feb '20	UFC Fight Night 168	3.75	5.3	143%	2.8 / 1.5 (187%)		2.5 / 2.25 (113%)
15th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night 167	6.6	1.3	19%	2.0 / 3.25 (62%)	-0.7 / 3.35 (-22%)
9th Feb '20	UFC 247	13.13	-1.9	-14%	0.7 / 2.5 (26%)	-1.1 / 4.13 (-27%)	-1.4 / 6.5 (-21%)
26th Jan '20	Bellator 238	6	0.3	6%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)		3.3 / 3 (111%)
25th Jan '20	UFC Fight Night 166	19	-6.5	-34%	2.7 / 3 (90%)	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)	-4.7 / 11.5 (-41%)
18th Jan '20	UFC 246	32.71	-7.0	-22%	2.3 / 9.33 (24%)	4.8 / 3.51 (137%)	-14.1 / 19.87 (-71%)
1st Jan '20	PFL 2019: Week 10	6.27	5.6	89%	2.7 / 3 (90%)		2.9 / 3.27 (89%)
29th Dec '19	Bellator 237	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
21st Dec '19	UFC Fight Night 165	11	-0.4	-3%	3.1 / 2.5 (125%)	2.0 / 3 (67%)	-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
15th Dec '19	UFC 245	13.83	9.7	70%	5.9 / 6.5 (90%)	5.8 / 5.33 (110%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
7th Dec '19	UFC on ESPN 7	23.2	-2.5	-11%	4.4 / 8.5 (52%)	-11.2 / 11.2 (-100%)	4.3 / 3.5 (124%)
23rd Nov '19	Bellator London	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
16th Nov '19	UFC Fight Night 164	13	5.7	44%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)		7.2 / 11.5 (63%)
9th Nov '19	UFC Fight Night 163	10	7.7	77%	6.4 / 6.5 (98%)		1.4 / 3.5 (39%)
2nd Nov '19	UFC 244	17	4.8	28%	2.1 / 14 (15%)	2.7 / 3 (90%)
26th Oct '19	UFC Fight Night 162	11	2.0	18%	2.0 / 3 (66%)	2.4 / 2.5 (95%)	-2.4 / 5.5 (-43%)
18th Oct '19	UFC ESPN 6	10.41	3.8	37%	0.4 / 6.5 (7%)	1.7 / 2.33 (72%)	1.7 / 1.58 (108%)
21st Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 159	3.5	-3.5	-100%		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)

Winning Events: 13 (59%)
Losing Events: 9 (41%)

Average Staked Per Event: 12.34 units
Most Staked On One Event: 32.71 units
Best Event: 13.48 units
Worst Event: -7.05 units
Average Event: 1.97 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 24.02
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -13.57

The Punisher : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	154.12	20.5	13%	6.0 / 60.33 (10%)	7.9 / 27.1 (29%)	6.6 / 66.69 (10%)	7 / 4 (64%)	1.86
2019	117.44	22.9	19%	18.3 / 53.5 (34%)	1.9 / 28.86 (7%)	2.7 / 35.08 (8%)	6 / 5 (55%)	2.08

The Punisher : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The Punisher : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	252.79	41.9	17%	29.1 / 103.33 (28%)	9.8 / 55.96 (17%)	3.1 / 93.5 (3%)
Bellator	12.5	-4.2	-33%	-7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)		3.3 / 5 (67%)
PFL	6.27	5.6	89%	2.7 / 3 (90%)		2.9 / 3.27 (89%)

The Punisher : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Slight Favorites	20 (43%)	15	75 %	62.58	22.62	1.13	36%
Slight Underdogs	23 (49%)	11	48 %	46.25	2.33	0.10	5%
Big Underdogs	4 (9%)	1	25 %	5.00	-0.69	-0.17	-14%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	3 (6%)	1	33 %	11.50	-0.16	-0.05	-1%
Co-Main Event	8 (17%)	4	50 %	19.00	2.59	0.32	14%
Position 3-5	11 (23%)	6	55 %	26.25	6.58	0.60	25%
6+ (Undercard)	25 (53%)	16	64 %	57.08	15.25	0.61	27%

The Punisher : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	6 (13%)	2	33 %	14.75	-4.55	-0.76	-31%
Light Heavy	8 (17%)	7	88 %	18.50	17.29	2.16	93%
Middleweight	5 (11%)	3	60 %	11.25	0.34	0.07	3%
Welterweight	8 (17%)	4	50 %	23.25	3.00	0.37	13%
Lightweight	2 (4%)	1	50 %	5.00	1.30	0.65	26%
Featherweight	6 (13%)	3	50 %	13.83	3.72	0.62	27%
Bantamweight	7 (15%)	5	71 %	15.25	6.51	0.93	43%
Flyweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	3.25	2.02	2.02	62%

Women's Fights	4 (9%)	1	25 %	8.75	-5.37	-1.34	-61%
Flyweight	2 (4%)	1	50 %	3.75	-0.37	-0.19	-10%
Strawweight	2 (4%)		0 %	5.00	-5.00	-2.50	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	38 (83%)	28	74 %
Slight Favorites	7 (15%)	5	71 %
Slight Underdogs	1 (2%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	46	33	72 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	36 (31%)	29	81 %
50-65%	22 (19%)	13	59 %
35-50%	18 (16%)	6	33 %
<35% chance	40 (34%)	11	28 %
	116	59	51 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	13 (11%)	7	54 %	1.39	1.83	1.16	-2.0 (-16%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	6 (5%)	5	83 %	1.32	1.72	1.20	1.3 (22%)
Goes to Decision	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.72	1.72	1.72	0.7 (72%)
Does not go to Decision	16 (14%)	11	69 %	1.48	2.10	1.20	0.4 (2%)
X Wins by KO	7 (6%)	2	29 %	2.50	6.50	1.53	-2.7 (-39%)
X Wins by Sub	4 (3%)	1	25 %	5.29	34.00	3.35	0.8 (20%)
X Wins by Decision	7 (6%)	1	14 %	2.72	6.00	1.80	-3.3 (-46%)
X Wins Inside Distance	22 (19%)	11	50 %	2.32	7.00	1.40	5.3 (24%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance	9 (8%)	9	100 %	1.44	1.73	1.20	4.2 (47%)
X Wins in Round X	13 (11%)	3	23 %	8.44	29.00	3.00	9.7 (75%)
Others	18 (16%)	8	44 %	4.34	101.01	1.33	32.1 (178%)
	116	59	51 %	2.20			46.5 (40%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Punisher 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
21st Sep	UFC Fight Night 159	3.5	-3.5	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$965.00
18th Oct	UFC ESPN 6	10.41	3.8	37%		$9.65	$965.00	$1,001.97
26th Oct	UFC Fight Night 162	11	2.0	18%		$10.02	$1,001.97	$1,021.66
2nd Nov	UFC 244	17	4.8	28%		$10.22	$1,021.66	$1,070.50
9th Nov	UFC Fight Night 163	10	7.7	77%		$10.70	$1,070.50	$1,153.09
16th Nov	UFC Fight Night 164	13	5.7	44%		$11.53	$1,153.09	$1,219.13
23rd Nov	Bellator London	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$12.19	$1,219.13	$1,200.84
7th Dec	UFC on ESPN 7	23.2	-2.5	-11%		$12.01	$1,200.84	$1,171.13
15th Dec	UFC 245	13.83	9.7	70%		$11.71	$1,171.13	$1,284.70
21st Dec	UFC Fight Night 165	11	-0.4	-3%		$12.85	$1,284.70	$1,279.88
29th Dec	Bellator 237	3	-3.0	-100%		$12.80	$1,279.88	$1,241.49
1st Jan	PFL 2019: Week 10	6.27	5.6	89%		$12.41	$1,241.49	$1,311.01
18th Jan	UFC 246	32.71	-7.0	-22%		$13.11	$1,311.01	$1,218.61
25th Jan	UFC Fight Night 166	19	-6.5	-34%		$12.19	$1,218.61	$1,139.15
26th Jan	Bellator 238	6	0.3	6%		$11.39	$1,139.15	$1,142.96
9th Feb	UFC 247	13.13	-1.9	-14%		$11.43	$1,142.96	$1,121.74
15th Feb	UFC Fight Night 167	6.6	1.3	19%		$11.22	$1,121.74	$1,135.93
22nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 168	3.75	5.3	143%		$11.36	$1,135.93	$1,196.68
29th Feb	UFC Fight Night	17	3.0	18%		$11.97	$1,196.68	$1,232.65
8th Mar	UFC 248	22.61	6.9	30%		$12.33	$1,232.65	$1,317.19
13th Mar	Bellator 241	2	0.0	0%		$13.17	$1,317.19	$1,317.19
14th Mar	UFC Fight Night 170	25.05	13.5	54%		$13.17	$1,317.19	$1,494.71

ROI % from starting bank balance: 49.47% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Punisher : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '20	David Dvorak	Bruno Silva	2.00	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Mar '20	Danaa Batgerel	Guido Cannetti	1.73	2.25	TKO, R1 (3:1)
3.	Mar '20	Alex Oliveira	Max Griffin	1.67	3.25	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Mar '20	Gerald Meerschaert	Deron Winn	2.25	1.75	Sub, R3 (2:13)
5.	Mar '20	Nikita Krylov	Johnny Walker	2.37	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Feb '20	Marcin Tybura	Sergey Spivak	1.90	1.75	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Feb '20	Journey Newson	Domingo Pilarte	2.10	1.5	TKO, R1 (0:38)
8.	Feb '20	Jim Crute	Michal Oleksiejczuk	2.87	1.5	Sub, R1 (3:29)
9.	Feb '20	Raulian Paiva	Mark Delarosa	1.62	3.25	TKO, R2 (4:42)
10.	Mar '20	Beneil Dariush	Drakkar Klose	1.80	3.5	TKO, R2 (1:0)
11.	Jan '20	Brett Johns	Tony Gravely	1.90	3	Sub, R3 (2:53)
12.	Jan '20	Sodiq Yusuff	Andre Fili	1.77	3.33	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Jan '20	Aleksa Camur	Justin Ledet	1.90	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Jan '20	Emiliano Sordi	Jordan Johnson	1.90	3	TKO, R1 (2:1)
15.	Dec '19	Volkan Oezdemir	Aleksandar Rakic	2.25	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Dec '19	Alex Volkanovski	Max Holloway	2.62	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
17.	Dec '19	Omari Akhmedov	Ian Heinisch	2.25	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Dec '19	Ben Rothwell	Stefan Struve	1.72	4	TKO, R2 (4:57)
19.	Dec '19	Rob Font	Ricky Simon	1.72	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Nov '19	Tony Martin	Ramazan Emeev	2.25	2	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '20	Demian Maia	Gilbert Burns	2.51	2	TKO, R1 (2:34)	No
2.	Mar '20	Alexey Kunchenko	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	2.15	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	Yes
3.	Mar '20	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	Weili Zhang	2.40	2.75	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
4.	Feb '20	Tom Breese	Brendan Allen	1.72	3	TKO, R1 (4:47)	No
5.	Feb '20	Ismail Naurdiev	Sean Brady	1.80	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Mar '20	Mayra Bueno Silva	Maryna Moroz	1.80	2.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Feb '20	Gabriel Silva	Kyler Phillips	2.38	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Feb '20	Ilir Latifi	Derrick Lewis	3.15	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Jan '20	Adam Borics	Darrion Caldwell	1.95	3	Sub, R1 (2:20)	No
10.	Mar '20	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	Weili Zhang	2.25	2.25	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
11.	Dec '19	Quinton Jackson	Fedor Emelianenko	2.10	3	TKO, R1 (2:44)	No
12.	Jan '20	Maurice Greene	Aleksei Oleinik	2.30	3	Sub, R2 (4:38)	No
13.	Dec '19	Jose Aldo	Marlon Moraes	2.75	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Dec '19	Jacob Kilburn	Billy Quarantillo	3.50	1	Sub, R2 (3:18)	No
15.	Nov '19	Terry Brazier	Soren Bak	2.60	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Nov '19	Ronaldo Souza	Jan Blachowicz	2.62	1.5	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
17.	Nov '19	Makwan Amirkhani	Shane Burgos	3.00	1.5	TKO, R3 (4:32)	No
18.	Nov '19	Andrei Arlovski	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	2.50	2	TKO, R1 (0:29)	No
19.	Nov '19	Vicente Luque	Stephen Thompson	2.25	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Oct '19	Kevin Holland	Brendan Allen	1.58	3	Sub, R2 (3:38)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Punisher : Progress Chart

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