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Total MMA Handicappers: 1434 Profitable MMA Handicappers: 577 |
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Profit / Loss by Organization |
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Straight Pick Stats |
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Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
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| Picks | Correct | % Correct | Units Bet | Units Profit | Profit per Pick | ROI | |
| Main Event | 29 (21%) | 12 | 41 % | 131.50 | 3.69 | 0.13 | 3% |
| Co-Main Event | 18 (13%) | 6 | 33 % | 78.00 | -16.25 | -0.90 | -21% |
| Position 3-5 | 37 (26%) | 18 | 49 % | 153.00 | 13.01 | 0.35 | 9% |
| 6+ (Undercard) | 56 (40%) | 27 | 48 % | 252.00 | 51.48 | 0.92 | 20% |
by Weight Class
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | Units Bet | Units Profit | Profit per Pick | ROI | |
| Heavyweight | 14 (10%) | 8 | 57 % | 65.00 | 30.15 | 2.15 | 46% |
| Light Heavy | 8 (6%) | 7 | 88 % | 31.00 | 31.65 | 3.96 | 102% |
| Middleweight | 11 (8%) | 3 | 27 % | 53.00 | -18.00 | -1.64 | -34% |
| Welterweight | 22 (16%) | 9 | 41 % | 100.50 | -7.66 | -0.35 | -8% |
| Lightweight | 20 (14%) | 13 | 65 % | 91.00 | 47.59 | 2.38 | 52% |
| Featherweight | 15 (11%) | 3 | 20 % | 70.00 | -34.15 | -2.28 | -49% |
| Bantamweight | 14 (10%) | 7 | 50 % | 52.00 | -7.59 | -0.54 | -15% |
| Flyweight | 7 (5%) | 2 | 29 % | 27.00 | -10.75 | -1.54 | -40% |
| Women's Fights | 29 (21%) | 11 | 38 % | 125.00 | 20.69 | 0.71 | 17% |
| Bantamweight | 6 (4%) | 3 | 50 % | 26.00 | 6.40 | 1.07 | 25% |
| Bantamweight | 7 (5%) | 3 | 43 % | 37.00 | 19.40 | 2.77 | 52% |
| Strawweight | 16 (11%) | 5 | 31 % | 62.00 | -5.11 | -0.32 | -8% |
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)
Straight picks within parlays
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | |
| Big Favorites | 19 (50%) | 13 | 68 % |
| Slight Favorites | 13 (34%) | 6 | 46 % |
| Slight Underdogs | 5 (13%) | 4 | 80 % |
| Big Underdogs | 1 (3%) | 1 | 100 % |
| 38 | 24 | 63 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | |
| >65% chance | 44 (9%) | 32 | 73 % |
| 50-65% | 52 (11%) | 41 | 79 % |
| 35-50% | 49 (10%) | 19 | 39 % |
| <35% chance | 330 (69%) | 81 | 25 % |
| 475 | 173 | 36 % |
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
| Prop Type | Picks | Correct | % Correct | Avg Odds |
Longest Odds |
Shortest Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
| Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) | 4 (1%) | 4 | 100 % | 1.72 | 1.87 |
1.61 |
2.9 (72%) |
| Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) | 6 (1%) | 4 | 67 % | 1.96 | 2.25 |
1.54 |
2.1 (36%) |
| Goes to Decision | 2 (0%) | 1 | 50 % | 1.41 | 1.43 |
1.38 |
-0.6 (-28%) |
| Does not go to Decision | 87 (18%) | 63 | 72 % | 1.67 | 3.50 |
1.18 |
21.0 (24%) |
| Fight Doesn't Start Round X | 1 (0%) | 1 | 100 % | 1.83 | 1.83 |
1.83 |
0.8 (83%) |
| X Wins by KO | 72 (15%) | 22 | 31 % | 5.17 | 13.00 |
2.05 |
54.7 (76%) |
| X Wins by Sub | 130 (27%) | 27 | 21 % | 5.42 | 27.00 |
1.77 |
9.9 (8%) |
| X Wins by Decision | 17 (4%) | 7 | 41 % | 4.56 | 11.55 |
2.70 |
14.1 (83%) |
| X Wins Inside Distance | 96 (20%) | 35 | 36 % | 3.09 | 11.05 |
1.34 |
29.8 (31%) |
| X Wins in Round X | 14 (3%) | 0 | 0 % | 9.45 | 25.75 |
3.40 |
-14.0 (-100%) |
| Others | 46 (10%) | 9 | 20 % | 6.93 | 425.53 |
1.42 |
62.1 (135%) |
| 475 | 173 | 36 % | 3.39 | 182.8 (38%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.
Tail handicapper's bets
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date | Event | Bet | Won | ROI | Fee | 1 unit = | Start | End |
| 14th Jan | UFC Fight Night 124 | 30 | -8.3 | -28% | $10.00 | $1,000.00 | $917.40 | |
| 20th Jan | UFC 220 | 20.25 | 2.0 | 10% | $9.17 | $917.40 | $936.21 | |
| 20th Jan | Bellator 192 | 16.5 | -10.3 | -62% | $9.36 | $936.21 | $840.24 | |
| 27th Jan | UFC on Fox 27 | 70 | 30.5 | 44% | $8.40 | $840.24 | $1,096.52 | |
| 4th Feb | UFC Fight Night 125 | 29 | 13.7 | 47% | $10.97 | $1,096.52 | $1,246.74 | |
| 10th Feb | UFC 221 | 26 | 21.2 | 82% | $12.47 | $1,246.74 | $1,511.67 | |
| 17th Feb | Bellator 194 | 4 | 3.0 | 75% | $15.12 | $1,511.67 | $1,557.02 | |
| 18th Feb | UFC Fight Night 126 | 21 | -4.4 | -21% | $15.57 | $1,557.02 | $1,488.62 | |
| 24th Feb | UFC on Fox 28 | 31 | -10.7 | -34% | $14.89 | $1,488.62 | $1,329.93 | |
| 3rd Mar | UFC 222 | 18 | -6.6 | -37% | $13.30 | $1,329.93 | $1,242.15 | |
| 17th Mar | UFC Fight Night 127 | 28 | 61.3 | 219% | $12.42 | $1,242.15 | $2,003.35 | |
| 24th Mar | One FC 70 | 3 | 2.4 | 80% | $20.03 | $2,003.35 | $2,051.43 | |
| 7th Apr | UFC 223 | 45 | -36.2 | -81% | $20.51 | $2,051.43 | $1,307.79 | |
| 13th Apr | Bellator 197 | 6 | -4.2 | -69% | $13.08 | $1,307.79 | $1,253.30 | |
| 14th Apr | UFC on Fox 29 | 28 | -19.6 | -70% | $12.53 | $1,253.30 | $1,007.65 | |
| 21st Apr | UFC Fight Night 128 | 60 | 44.6 | 74% | $10.08 | $1,007.65 | $1,457.23 | |
| 28th Apr | Bellator 198 | 5 | 7.0 | 140% | $14.57 | $1,457.23 | $1,559.24 | |
| 12th May | UFC 224 | 42 | 19.2 | 46% | $15.59 | $1,559.24 | $1,859.31 | |
| 12th May | Bellator 199 | 6 | 1.0 | 17% | $18.59 | $1,859.31 | $1,877.90 | |
| 19th May | UFC Fight Night 129 | 34 | -18.1 | -53% | $18.78 | $1,877.90 | $1,537.06 | |
| 25th May | Bellator 200 | 15 | -15.0 | -100% | $15.37 | $1,537.06 | $1,306.50 | |
| 27th May | UFC Fight Night 130 | 53 | 52.3 | 99% | $37.5 | $13.07 | $1,306.50 | $1,952.95 |
| 1st Jun | UFC Fight Night 131 | 24 | -14.0 | -58% | $37.5 | $19.53 | $1,952.95 | $1,642.04 |
| 9th Jun | UFC 225 | 51 | -29.3 | -57% | $37.5 | $16.42 | $1,642.04 | $1,124.24 |
| 23rd Jun | UFC Fight Night 132 | 51 | 40.3 | 79% | $37.5 | $11.24 | $1,124.24 | $1,540.36 |
| 26th Jun | DWTNCS 11 | 7 | 14.4 | 206% | $37.5 | $15.40 | $1,540.36 | $1,724.84 |
| 28th Jun | BAMMA London: McKee vs Brazier | 5 | -5.0 | -100% | $37.5 | $17.25 | $1,724.84 | $1,601.10 |
| 7th Jul | TUF 27 Finale | 21 | -5.4 | -26% | $37.5 | $16.01 | $1,601.10 | $1,477.14 |
| 7th Jul | UFC 226 | 37 | 10.6 | 29% | $37.5 | $14.77 | $1,477.14 | $1,596.77 |
| 14th Jul | UFC Fight Night 133 | 39 | 39.4 | 101% | $37.5 | $15.97 | $1,596.77 | $2,187.60 |
| 17th Jul | DWTNCS 13 | 4 | -4.0 | -100% | $37.5 | $21.88 | $2,187.60 | $2,062.60 |
| 22nd Jul | UFC Fight Night 134 | 23 | -2.3 | -10% | $37.5 | $20.63 | $2,062.60 | $1,977.66 |
| 28th Jul | UFC on Fox 30 | 37 | 1.0 | 3% | $37.5 | $19.78 | $1,977.66 | $1,959.93 |
| 4th Aug | UFC 227 | 42 | -42.0 | -100% | $37.5 | $19.60 | $1,959.93 | $1,099.26 |
| 25th Aug | UFC Fight Night 135 | 42 | 9.2 | 22% | $37.5 | $10.99 | $1,099.26 | $1,162.88 |
| 1st Sep | Cage Warriors 96 | 3 | 2.4 | 80% | $11.63 | $1,162.88 | $1,190.79 | |
| 8th Sep | UFC 228 | 34.6 | 25.6 | 74% | $37.5 | $11.91 | $1,190.79 | $1,458.68 |
| 15th Sep | UFC FIght Night Moscow | 20 | 12.2 | 61% | $37.5 | $14.59 | $1,458.68 | $1,598.91 |
| 22nd Sep | UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo | 26 | 2.5 | 10% | $37.5 | $15.99 | $1,598.91 | $1,602.06 |
| 29th Sep | Bellator 206 | 10 | -3.1 | -31% | $37.5 | $16.02 | $1,602.06 | $1,514.90 |
| 6th Oct | UFC 229 | 32.5 | -0.3 | -1% | $37.5 | $15.15 | $1,514.90 | $1,473.31 |
| 12th Oct | Bellator 207 | 3 | 6.0 | 200% | $37.5 | $14.73 | $1,473.31 | $1,524.21 |
| 13th Oct | Bellator 208 | 3 | -3.0 | -100% | $37.5 | $15.24 | $1,524.21 | $1,440.98 |
| 27th Oct | UFC Fight Night 138 | 26 | -14.8 | -57% | $37.5 | $14.41 | $1,440.98 | $1,190.94 |
| 3rd Nov | UFC 230 | 26.5 | 56.1 | 212% | $37.5 | $11.91 | $1,190.94 | $1,822.12 |
| 10th Nov | UFC Fight Night Denver | 28.5 | -4.1 | -15% | $37.5 | $18.22 | $1,822.12 | $1,709.08 |
| 15th Nov | Bellator 209 | 5 | 3.2 | 64% | $17.09 | $1,709.08 | $1,763.78 | |
| 17th Nov | UFC Fight Night 140 | 25.5 | 9.4 | 37% | $37.5 | $17.64 | $1,763.78 | $1,892.07 |
| 24th Nov | UFC Fight Night 141 | 29 | 43.6 | 150% | $37.5 | $18.92 | $1,892.07 | $2,680.20 |
| 30th Nov | TUF Finale | 20 | -5.5 | -27% | $37.5 | $26.80 | $2,680.20 | $2,495.29 |
| 1st Dec | UFC Fight Night 142 | 23 | -23.0 | -100% | $37.5 | $24.95 | $2,495.29 | $1,883.87 |
| 8th Dec | UFC 231 | 28.5 | -28.5 | -100% | $37.5 | $18.84 | $1,883.87 | $1,309.47 |
| 15th Dec | Fight Night Milwaukee | 30 | -15.0 | -50% | $37.5 | $13.09 | $1,309.47 | $1,075.55 |
| 29th Dec | UFC 232 | 33 | 114.0 | 346% | $37.5 | $10.76 | $1,075.55 | $2,264.57 |
| 31st Dec | Rizin 14 | 4 | -4.0 | -100% | $37.5 | $22.65 | $2,264.57 | $2,136.49 |
| 19th Jan | UFC on ESPN+ 1 | 27 | 37.5 | 139% | $37.5 | $21.36 | $2,136.49 | $2,899.73 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 189.97% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.
Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
| Date | Straight Pick | Opponent | Odds | Bet | Result | |||
| 1. | Nov '18 |  Weili Zhang |
Jessica Aguilar | 1.57 | 4 | Sub, R1 (3:41) | 
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| 2. | Nov '18 | Vadim Nemkov | Phil Davis | 4.10 | 2 | Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 3. | Nov '18 | Sheymon da Silva Moraes |
Julio Arce | 4.25 | 3 | Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 4. | Nov '18 | Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
Adam Wieczorek | 4.00 | 3 | U Decision (3 rounds) | 
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| 5. | Nov '18 | Francis Ngannou |
Curtis Blaydes | 3.30 | 3 | TKO, R1 (0:45) |
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| 6. | Oct '18 | Mandel Nallo |
Carrington Banks | 3.00 | 3 | TKO, R2 (0:57) |
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| 7. | Sep '18 | Douglas Lima |
Andrey Koreshkov | 2.30 | 3 | Sub, R5 (3:4) |
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| 8. | Sep '18 | Jan Blachowicz | Nikita Krylov | 2.10 | 3 | Sub, R2 (2:41) |
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| 9. | Oct '18 | Derrick Lewis |
Alexander Volkov | 2.75 | 5 | TKO, R3 (4:49) |
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| 10. | Sep '18 | Soren Bak | Paddy Pimblett | 1.80 | 3 | U Decision (5 rounds) |
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| 11. | Aug '18 | Justin Gaethje | James Vick | 2.50 | 10 | TKO, R1 (1:27) |
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| 12. | Jul '18 | Nina Ansaroff |
Randa Markos | 1.80 | 5 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 13. | Jul '18 | Alexander Hernandez | Olivier Aubin-Mercier | 2.20 | 5 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 14. | Jul '18 | Jessica Aguilar |
Jodie Esquibel | 2.25 | 5 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 15. | Jul '18 | Cat Zingano | Marion Reneau | 2.00 | 5 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 16. | Jul '18 | Mike Perry |
Paul Felder | 2.40 | 5 | Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 17. | Jul '18 | Drakkar Klose |
Lando Vannata | 2.60 | 5 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 18. | Jul '18 | Daniel Cormier |
Stipe Miocic | 3.20 | 5 | TKO, R1 (4:33) |
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| 19. | Jun '18 | Yadong Song |
Felipe Arantes | 2.05 | 5 | TKO, R2 (4:59) |
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| 20. | Jun '18 | Ovince St Preux | Tyson Pedro | 2.40 | 5 | Sub, R1 (2:54) |
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Last 20 Losses
| Date | Straight Pick | Opponent | Odds | Bet | Result | Hedge? | |||
| 1. | Dec '18 | Darrion Caldwell |
Kyoji Horiguchi | 2.20 | 4 | Sub, R3 (1:19) | No |
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| 2. | Jan '19 | Alexander Hernandez |
Donald Cerrone | 1.65 | 2 | TKO, R2 (3:43) | No |
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| 3. | Nov '18 | Emmanuel Sanchez | Patricio Freire | 2.60 | 3 | U Decision (5 rounds) | No |
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| 4. | Nov '18 | Hector Aldana |
Laureano Staropoli | 3.40 | 3 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 5. | Oct '18 | Marcelo Golm |
Arjan Bhullar | 2.80 | 3 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 6. | Oct '18 | Chris Fishgold |
Calvin Kattar | 4.80 | 2 | TKO, R1 (4:11) | No |
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| 7. | Oct '18 | Chael Sonnen |
Fedor Emelianenko | 3.25 | 3 | TKO, R1 (4:45) | No |
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| 8. | Sep '18 | Rory MacDonald |
Gegard Mousasi | 3.15 | 3 | TKO, R2 (3:23) | No |
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| 9. | Sep '18 | Thiago Alves | Alexey Kunchenko | 5.10 | 2 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 10. | Sep '18 | Terrion Ware |
Merab Dvalishvili | 5.25 | 2 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 11. | Oct '18 | Conor McGregor | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 2.60 | 10 | Sub, R4 (3:2) | No |
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| 12. | Aug '18 | Kalindra Faria |
Joanne Calderwood | 2.75 | 5 | Sub, R1 (4:59) | No |
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| 13. | Aug '18 | Yuri Alcantara |
Cory Sandhagen | 3.30 | 5 | TKO, R2 (1:1) | No |
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| 14. | Aug '18 | Andre Fili |
Michael Johnson | 2.30 | 5 | Split Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 15. | Aug '18 | Kevin Holland |
Thiago Santos | 4.20 | 5 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 16. | Jul '18 | Jamie Colleen | Maycee Barber | 4.80 | 1 | TKO, R3 (4:15) | No |
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| 17. | Jun '18 | Rhys McKee |
Terry Brazier | 2.65 | 5 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 18. | Jul '18 | Martin Bravo |
Alex Caceres | 2.05 | 5 | Split Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 19. | Jul '18 | Matt Bessette |
Steven Peterson | 1.91 | 5 | Split Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 20. | Jul '18 | Julian Marquez |
Alessio Di Chirico | 2.40 | 5 | Split Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.
Progress Chart
Chart
