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MMA Handicapper Stats: Lord Dagon

Lord Dagon (Dagon)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Lord Dagon

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 80 (50%) Right 45 (49%) Right 25 (52%) Right 10 (53%)
Wrong 79 (50%) Wrong 47 (51%) Wrong 23 (48%) Wrong 9 (47%)
Avg Odds 2.27 Avg Odds 2.13 Avg Odds 2.83 Avg Odds 1.94
Units Bet 596.1 Units Bet 362.3 Units Bet 135.3 Units Bet 98.5
Avg Bet 3.75 Avg Bet 3.94 Avg Bet 2.82 Avg Bet 5.18
Units Profit 103.48 Units Profit 19.29 Units Profit 77.38 Units Profit 6.82
ROI % 17% ROI % 5% ROI % 57% ROI % 7%
View Handicapper's Profile

Lord Dagon: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
14th Mar '20 UFC Fight Night 170 18.5 13.3 72% 13.3 / 18.5 (72%)
8th Mar '20 UFC 248 16.5 3.6 22% -1.4 / 7.5 (-19%) 3.8 / 2 (190%) 1.2 / 7 (17%)
29th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 4.5 -4.5 -100% -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
22nd Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 168 21 18.7 89% 18.7 / 21 (89%)
15th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 167 19.75 -3.5 -18% -3.5 / 19.75 (-18%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 23.5 4.8 20% 0.3 / 6 (5%) 13.0 / 9 (144%) -8.5 / 8.5 (-100%)
18th Jan '20 UFC 246 22.5 14.7 65% 1.8 / 6 (30%) 10.2 / 13.5 (76%) 2.7 / 3 (91%)
22nd Dec '19 Bellator Hawaii 6 3.7 61% 3.7 / 6 (61%)
21st Dec '19 UFC Fight Night 165 16 2.6 16% 3.1 / 6.5 (48%) -0.5 / 9.5 (-5%)
15th Dec '19 UFC 245 34.3 12.5 36% -2.3 / 12.3 (-19%) 14.6 / 11 (133%) 0.1 / 11 (1%)
7th Dec '19 UFC on ESPN 7 8 -8.0 -100% -8.0 / 8 (-100%)
16th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 164 13 -3.8 -29% -3.8 / 13 (-29%)
9th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 163 10.5 -10.5 -100% -10.5 / 10.5 (-100%)
2nd Nov '19 UFC 244 15.5 8.2 53% 4.6 / 11.5 (40%) 3.6 / 4 (91%)
26th Oct '19 UFC Fight Night 162 10.5 -10.5 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
18th Oct '19 UFC ESPN 6 11.5 -5.4 -47% -5.4 / 11.5 (-47%)
12th Oct '19 UFC on ESPN+ 19 13 11.6 90% 7.9 / 8 (99%) 3.7 / 5 (74%)
5th Oct '19 UFC 243 8.5 8.5 100% 5.0 / 5 (100%) 3.5 / 3.5 (100%)
28th Sep '19 Bellator 228 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
28th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 160 6.5 -6.5 -100% -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
27th Sep '19 Bellator Dublin 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
21st Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 159 8 -0.2 -3% 3.8 / 4 (94%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
14th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 158 17 5.0 30% 5.0 / 17 (30%)
7th Sep '19 UFC 242 8.5 -0.6 -8% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) 2.9 / 5 (57%)
31st Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 157 6 -6.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 14 -14.0 -100% -9.0 / 9 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 14 -7.2 -52% -3.7 / 10.5 (-36%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 12 5.2 43% 4.4 / 4 (110%) 4.8 / 4 (120%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 19 4.2 22% -0.3 / 14.5 (-2%) 4.5 / 4.5 (101%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 17.5 10.6 60% 10.6 / 17.5 (60%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 8 8.5 107% 8.5 / 8 (107%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 7 2.2 32% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 4.2 / 5 (85%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 15 2.7 18% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 7.7 / 10 (77%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 6.5 4.8 74% 4.8 / 6.5 (74%)
14th Jun '19 Bellator 222 3.5 5.1 146% 5.1 / 3.5 (146%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 10.5 4.4 42% 1.1 / 8 (14%) 3.3 / 2.5 (130%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 10.5 10.9 103% 10.9 / 10.5 (103%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 15 -2.2 -15% -2.2 / 15 (-15%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 20 8.4 42% 8.4 / 20 (42%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 11 12.1 110% 12.1 / 11 (110%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 17 -9.0 -53% -9.0 / 17 (-53%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 15.5 8.6 55% 0.2 / 7.5 (3%) 8.3 / 8 (104%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 36 19.8 55% 19.8 / 36 (55%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 20.5 -14.7 -72% -8.7 / 14.5 (-60%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)


Winning Events: 26 (59%)
Losing Events: 18 (41%)

Average Staked Per Event: 13.55 units
Most Staked On One Event: 36.00 units
Best Event: 19.76 units
Worst Event: -14.75 units
Average Event: 2.35 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 10, Units: 58.56
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -27.90

Lord Dagon: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2020 126.25 47.1 37% -3.8 / 24 (-16%) 55.5 / 83.75 (66%) -4.6 / 18.5 (-25%) 5 / 2 (71%) 6.72
2019 469.8 56.4 12% 23.1 / 338.3 (7%) 21.9 / 51.5 (42%) 11.4 / 80 (14%) 21 / 16 (57%) 1.52

Lord Dagon: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Lord Dagon: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 582.05 99.2 17% 18.7 / 354.3 (5%) 77.4 / 135.25 (57%) 3.1 / 92.5 (3%)
Bellator 14 4.3 31% 0.6 / 8 (8%) 3.7 / 6 (61%)

Lord Dagon: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 6 (7%) 2 33 % 34.50 -17.46 -2.91 -51%
Slight Favorites 36 (39%) 20 56 % 165.50 -4.73 -0.13 -3%
Slight Underdogs 32 (35%) 20 63 % 119.80 64.64 2.02 54%
Big Underdogs 18 (20%) 3 17 % 42.50 -23.17 -1.29 -55%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 10 (11%) 5 50 % 44.00 4.62 0.46 10%
Co-Main Event 9 (10%) 4 44 % 38.50 0.29 0.03 1%
Position 3-5 23 (25%) 10 43 % 91.30 -10.55 -0.46 -12%
6+ (Undercard) 50 (54%) 26 52 % 188.50 24.94 0.50 13%

Lord Dagon: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 14 (15%) 5 36 % 60.50 -7.69 -0.55 -13%
Light Heavy 12 (13%) 8 67 % 48.00 14.21 1.18 30%
Middleweight 10 (11%) 5 50 % 46.00 3.80 0.38 8%
Welterweight 14 (15%) 6 43 % 59.50 -6.78 -0.48 -11%
Lightweight 9 (10%) 6 67 % 38.00 17.62 1.96 46%
Featherweight 12 (13%) 6 50 % 37.50 3.00 0.25 8%
Bantamweight 6 (7%) 4 67 % 19.50 11.36 1.89 58%
Flyweight 4 (4%) 1 25 % 16.50 -4.74 -1.19 -29%
               
Women's Fights 11 (12%) 4 36 % 36.80 -11.50 -1.05 -31%
Featherweight 3 (3%) 1 33 % 9.50 -4.83 -1.61 -51%
Bantamweight 3 (3%) 0 % 13.80 -13.80 -4.60 -100%
Flyweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 4.00 3.56 3.56 89%
Strawweight 4 (4%) 2 50 % 9.50 3.57 0.89 38%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 25 (78%) 20 80 %
Slight Favorites 7 (22%) 2 29 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
32 22 69 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 5 (9%) 4 80 %
50-65% 11 (20%) 9 82 %
35-50% 15 (27%) 7 47 %
<35% chance 24 (44%) 11 46 %
55 31 56 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (9%) 4 80 % 1.47 1.66Pick was correct 1.25Pick was incorrect 1.2 (23%)
Does not go to Decision 2 (4%) 2 100 % 1.18 1.21Pick was correct 1.15Pick was correct 0.4 (18%)
X Wins by KO 5 (9%) 2 40 % 4.36 9.00Pick was correct 2.90Pick was correct 6.9 (138%)
X Wins by Sub 3 (5%) 0 0 % 4.87 26.00Pick was incorrect 2.25Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 37 (67%) 22 59 % 2.64 11.00Pick was correct 1.57Pick was correct 33.7 (91%)
X Wins Inside Distance 3 (5%) 1 33 % 2.55 4.75Pick was incorrect 2.05Pick was correct -0.9 (-32%)
55 31 56 % 2.49     38.2 (69%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Lord Dagon's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 20.5 -14.7 -72% $10.00 $1,000.00 $852.50
13th Apr UFC 236 36 19.8 55% $8.53 $852.50 $1,020.95
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 15.5 8.6 55% $10.21 $1,020.95 $1,108.44
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 17 -9.0 -53% $11.08 $1,108.44 $1,009.12
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 11 12.1 110% $10.09 $1,009.12 $1,131.23
11th May UFC 237 20 8.4 42% $11.31 $1,131.23 $1,226.81
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 15 -2.2 -15% $12.27 $1,226.81 $1,199.95
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 10.5 10.9 103% $12.00 $1,199.95 $1,330.20
8th Jun UFC 238 10.5 4.4 42% $13.30 $1,330.20 $1,388.33
14th Jun Bellator 222 3.5 5.1 146% $13.88 $1,388.33 $1,459.27
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 6.5 4.8 74% $14.59 $1,459.27 $1,529.45
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 15 2.7 18% $15.29 $1,529.45 $1,570.52
6th Jul UFC 239 7 2.2 32% $15.71 $1,570.52 $1,605.85
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 8 8.5 107% $16.06 $1,605.85 $1,742.67
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 17.5 10.6 60% $17.43 $1,742.67 $1,926.96
27th Jul UFC 240 19 4.2 22% $19.27 $1,926.96 $2,007.68
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 12 5.2 43% $20.08 $2,007.68 $2,112.07
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 14 -7.2 -52% $21.12 $2,112.07 $1,958.95
17th Aug UFC 241 14 -14.0 -100% $19.59 $1,958.95 $1,684.70
31st Aug UFC Fight Night 157 6 -6.0 -100% $16.85 $1,684.70 $1,583.62
7th Sep UFC 242 8.5 -0.6 -8% $15.84 $1,583.62 $1,573.32
14th Sep UFC Fight Night 158 17 5.0 30% $15.73 $1,573.32 $1,652.30
21st Sep UFC Fight Night 159 8 -0.2 -3% $16.52 $1,652.30 $1,648.34
27th Sep Bellator Dublin 2 -2.0 -100% $16.48 $1,648.34 $1,615.37
28th Sep UFC Fight Night 160 6.5 -6.5 -100% $16.15 $1,615.37 $1,510.37
28th Sep Bellator 228 2.5 -2.5 -100% $15.10 $1,510.37 $1,472.61
5th Oct UFC 243 8.5 8.5 100% $14.73 $1,472.61 $1,597.99
12th Oct UFC on ESPN+ 19 13 11.6 90% $15.98 $1,597.99 $1,784.00
18th Oct UFC ESPN 6 11.5 -5.4 -47% $17.84 $1,784.00 $1,688.11
26th Oct UFC Fight Night 162 10.5 -10.5 -100% $16.88 $1,688.11 $1,510.86
2nd Nov UFC 244 15.5 8.2 53% $15.11 $1,510.86 $1,635.20
9th Nov UFC Fight Night 163 10.5 -10.5 -100% $16.35 $1,635.20 $1,463.51
16th Nov UFC Fight Night 164 13 -3.8 -29% $14.64 $1,463.51 $1,408.48
7th Dec UFC on ESPN 7 8 -8.0 -100% $14.08 $1,408.48 $1,295.80
15th Dec UFC 245 34.3 12.5 36% $12.96 $1,295.80 $1,457.17
21st Dec UFC Fight Night 165 16 2.6 16% $14.57 $1,457.17 $1,495.06
22nd Dec Bellator Hawaii 6 3.7 61% $14.95 $1,495.06 $1,550.07
18th Jan UFC 246 22.5 14.7 65% $15.50 $1,550.07 $1,778.51
9th Feb UFC 247 23.5 4.8 20% $17.79 $1,778.51 $1,863.87
15th Feb UFC Fight Night 167 19.75 -3.5 -18% $18.64 $1,863.87 $1,797.85
22nd Feb UFC Fight Night 168 21 18.7 89% $17.98 $1,797.85 $2,134.05
29th Feb UFC Fight Night 4.5 -4.5 -100% $21.34 $2,134.05 $2,038.01
8th Mar UFC 248 16.5 3.6 22% $20.38 $2,038.01 $2,110.46
14th Mar UFC Fight Night 170 18.5 13.3 72% $21.10 $2,110.46 $2,391.68


ROI % from starting bank balance: 139.17% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Lord Dagon: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '20 Alex Oliveira Max Griffin 1.74 3.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '20 Dan Ige Mirsad Bektic 2.10 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jan '20 Drew Dober Nasrat Haqparast 3.90 2 TKO, R1 (1:10) MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '19 Charles Jourdain Doo Ho Choi 3.85 1 TKO, R2 (4:32) MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '19 Volkan Oezdemir Aleksandar Rakic 2.30 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '19 Punahele Soriano Oskar Piechota 2.00 5 TKO, R1 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '19 James Krause Sergio Moraes 1.54 6 TKO, R3 (4:19) MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '19 Corey Anderson Johnny Walker 2.45 3.5 TKO, R1 (2:7) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '19 Jorge Masvidal Nate Diaz 1.67 4.5 TKO, R3 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '19 Charles Rosa Manny Bermudez 2.45 2.5 Sub, R1 (2:46) MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '19 Alex Morono Max Griffin 2.33 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '19 Ryan Spann Devin Clark 1.73 4.5 Sub, R2 (2:1) MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '19 Israel Adesanya Robert Whittaker 2.00 5 TKO, R2 (3:33) MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '19 Steven Peterson Martin Bravo 1.94 4 TKO, R2 (1:31) MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '19 Austin Hubbard Kyle Prepolec 1.80 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '19 Miles Johns Cole Smith 1.80 3.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '19 Justin Gaethje Donald Cerrone 1.57 6 TKO, R1 (4:18) MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '19 Chris Gutierrez Geraldo De Freitas Jr. 2.25 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '19 Kennedy Nzechukwu Darko Stosic 2.10 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '19 Gillian Robertson Sarah Frota 1.89 4 TKO, R2 (4:13) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '20 Deron Winn Gerald Meerschaert 1.76 4 Sub, R3 (2:13) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '20 Tom Breese Brendan Allen 1.73 4.5 TKO, R1 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '20 Miles Johns Mario Bautista 1.91 3 TKO, R2 (1:41) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '20 Maurice Greene Aleksei Oleinik 1.85 4 Sub, R2 (4:38) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '19 Matt Schnell Alexandre Pantoja 3.05 3 TKO, R1 (4:17) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '19 Mike Perry Geoff Neal 3.10 3.5 TKO, R1 (1:30) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '19 Germaine de Randamie Amanda Nunes 2.50 3.8 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '19 Mallory Martin Virna Jandiroba 3.50 1.5 Sub, R2 (1:16) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '19 Thiago Alves Tim Means 3.35 1.5 Sub, R1 (2:38) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '19 Alistair Overeem Jairzinho Rozenstruik 2.00 5 TKO, R5 (4:56) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '19 Renan Barao Douglas Silva de Andrade 3.06 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '19 Markus Perez Wellington Turman 1.93 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '19 Zelim Imadaev Danny Roberts 1.50 5 TKO, R2 (4:54) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '19 Klidson Farias de Abreu Shamil Gamzatov 2.75 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '19 Greg Hardy Alexander Volkov 3.50 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '19 Andrei Arlovski Jairzinho Rozenstruik 2.38 3.5 TKO, R1 (0:29) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '19 Maurice Greene Sergey Pavlovich 3.15 3 TKO, R1 (2:11) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '19 Deron Winn Darren Stewart 1.80 3.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '19 Jonathan Pearce Joe Lauzon 1.63 3.5 TKO, R1 (1:33) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '19 Court McGee Sean Brady 2.85 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Lord Dagon: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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