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MMA Handicapper Stats: Lord Dagon

Lord Dagon (Dagon)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Lord Dagon

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 45 (58%) Right 35 (56%) Right 4 (67%) Right 6 (60%)
Wrong 33 (42%) Wrong 27 (44%) Wrong 2 (33%) Wrong 4 (40%)
Avg Odds 2.05 Avg Odds 2.08 Avg Odds 1.94 Avg Odds 1.92
Units Bet 344.5 Units Bet 262.0 Units Bet 24.0 Units Bet 58.5
Avg Bet 4.42 Avg Bet 4.23 Avg Bet 4.00 Avg Bet 5.85
Units Profit 67.58 Units Profit 48.34 Units Profit 7.10 Units Profit 12.14
ROI % 20% ROI % 18% ROI % 30% ROI % 21%
View Handicapper's Profile

Lord Dagon: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
12th Oct '19 UFC on ESPN+ 19 13 11.6 90% 7.9 / 8 (99%) 3.7 / 5 (74%)
5th Oct '19 UFC 243 8.5 8.5 100% 5.0 / 5 (100%) 3.5 / 3.5 (100%)
28th Sep '19 Bellator 228 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
28th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 160 6.5 -6.5 -100% -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
27th Sep '19 Bellator Dublin 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
21st Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 159 8 -0.2 -3% 3.8 / 4 (94%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
14th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 158 17 5.0 30% 5.0 / 17 (30%)
7th Sep '19 UFC 242 8.5 -0.6 -8% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) 2.9 / 5 (57%)
31st Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 157 6 -6.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 14 -14.0 -100% -9.0 / 9 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 14 -7.2 -52% -3.7 / 10.5 (-36%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 12 5.2 43% 4.4 / 4 (110%) 4.8 / 4 (120%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 19 4.2 22% -0.3 / 14.5 (-2%) 4.5 / 4.5 (101%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 17.5 10.6 60% 10.6 / 17.5 (60%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 8 8.5 107% 8.5 / 8 (107%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 7 2.2 32% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 4.2 / 5 (85%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 15 2.7 18% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 7.7 / 10 (77%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 6.5 4.8 74% 4.8 / 6.5 (74%)
14th Jun '19 Bellator 222 3.5 5.1 146% 5.1 / 3.5 (146%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 10.5 4.4 42% 1.1 / 8 (14%) 3.3 / 2.5 (130%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 10.5 10.9 103% 10.9 / 10.5 (103%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 15 -2.2 -15% -2.2 / 15 (-15%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 20 8.4 42% 8.4 / 20 (42%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 11 12.1 110% 12.1 / 11 (110%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 17 -9.0 -53% -9.0 / 17 (-53%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 15.5 8.6 55% 0.2 / 7.5 (3%) 8.3 / 8 (104%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 36 19.8 55% 19.8 / 36 (55%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 20.5 -14.7 -72% -8.7 / 14.5 (-60%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)


Winning Events: 17 (61%)
Losing Events: 11 (39%)

Average Staked Per Event: 12.30 units
Most Staked On One Event: 36.00 units
Best Event: 19.76 units
Worst Event: -14.75 units
Average Event: 2.41 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 10, Units: 58.56
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -27.90

Lord Dagon: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 344.5 67.6 20% 48.3 / 262 (18%) 7.1 / 24 (30%) 12.1 / 58.5 (21%) 17 / 11 (61%) 2.41

Lord Dagon: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Lord Dagon: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 336.5 67.0 20% 47.7 / 254 (19%) 7.1 / 24 (30%) 12.1 / 58.5 (21%)
Bellator 8 0.6 8% 0.6 / 8 (8%)

Lord Dagon: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 5 (8%) 2 40 % 29.50 -12.46 -2.49 -42%
Slight Favorites 26 (42%) 17 65 % 125.00 12.93 0.50 10%
Slight Underdogs 22 (35%) 15 68 % 86.00 61.69 2.80 72%
Big Underdogs 9 (15%) 1 11 % 21.50 -13.82 -1.54 -64%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 8 (13%) 4 50 % 34.50 6.60 0.83 19%
Co-Main Event 7 (11%) 3 43 % 33.50 -0.46 -0.07 -1%
Position 3-5 15 (24%) 7 47 % 63.50 1.00 0.07 2%
6+ (Undercard) 32 (52%) 21 66 % 130.50 41.20 1.29 32%

Lord Dagon: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 9 (15%) 5 56 % 42.50 10.31 1.15 24%
Light Heavy 10 (16%) 6 60 % 42.00 5.88 0.59 14%
Middleweight 4 (6%) 4 100 % 22.00 17.80 4.45 81%
Welterweight 7 (11%) 3 43 % 33.50 -3.62 -0.52 -11%
Lightweight 7 (11%) 5 71 % 32.50 15.32 2.19 47%
Featherweight 8 (13%) 3 38 % 28.00 -3.78 -0.47 -13%
Bantamweight 5 (8%) 4 80 % 16.50 14.36 2.87 87%
Flyweight 3 (5%) 1 33 % 13.50 -1.74 -0.58 -13%
               
Women's Fights 9 (15%) 4 44 % 31.50 -6.20 -0.69 -20%
Featherweight 3 (5%) 1 33 % 9.50 -4.83 -1.61 -51%
Bantamweight 2 (3%) 0 % 10.00 -10.00 -5.00 -100%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 4.00 3.56 3.56 89%
Strawweight 3 (5%) 2 67 % 8.00 5.07 1.69 63%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 15 (75%) 13 87 %
Slight Favorites 5 (25%) 2 40 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
20 15 75 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
50-65% 3 (50%) 2 67 %
35-50% 3 (50%) 2 67 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
6 4 67 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins by Decision 6 (100%) 4 67 % 1.94 2.30Pick was correct 1.57Pick was correct 1.8 (30%)
6 4 67 % 1.94     1.8 (30%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Lord Dagon's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 20.5 -14.7 -72% $10.00 $1,000.00 $852.50
13th Apr UFC 236 36 19.8 55% $8.53 $852.50 $1,020.95
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 15.5 8.6 55% $10.21 $1,020.95 $1,108.44
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 17 -9.0 -53% $11.08 $1,108.44 $1,009.12
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 11 12.1 110% $10.09 $1,009.12 $1,131.23
11th May UFC 237 20 8.4 42% $11.31 $1,131.23 $1,226.81
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 15 -2.2 -15% $12.27 $1,226.81 $1,199.95
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 10.5 10.9 103% $12.00 $1,199.95 $1,330.20
8th Jun UFC 238 10.5 4.4 42% $13.30 $1,330.20 $1,388.33
14th Jun Bellator 222 3.5 5.1 146% $13.88 $1,388.33 $1,459.27
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 6.5 4.8 74% $14.59 $1,459.27 $1,529.45
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 15 2.7 18% $15.29 $1,529.45 $1,570.52
6th Jul UFC 239 7 2.2 32% $15.71 $1,570.52 $1,605.85
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 8 8.5 107% $16.06 $1,605.85 $1,742.67
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 17.5 10.6 60% $17.43 $1,742.67 $1,926.96
27th Jul UFC 240 19 4.2 22% $19.27 $1,926.96 $2,007.68
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 12 5.2 43% $20.08 $2,007.68 $2,112.07
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 14 -7.2 -52% $21.12 $2,112.07 $1,958.95
17th Aug UFC 241 14 -14.0 -100% $19.59 $1,958.95 $1,684.70
31st Aug UFC Fight Night 157 6 -6.0 -100% $16.85 $1,684.70 $1,583.62
7th Sep UFC 242 8.5 -0.6 -8% $15.84 $1,583.62 $1,573.32
14th Sep UFC Fight Night 158 17 5.0 30% $15.73 $1,573.32 $1,652.30
21st Sep UFC Fight Night 159 8 -0.2 -3% $16.52 $1,652.30 $1,648.34
27th Sep Bellator Dublin 2 -2.0 -100% $16.48 $1,648.34 $1,615.37
28th Sep UFC Fight Night 160 6.5 -6.5 -100% $16.15 $1,615.37 $1,510.37
28th Sep Bellator 228 2.5 -2.5 -100% $15.10 $1,510.37 $1,472.61
5th Oct UFC 243 8.5 8.5 100% $14.73 $1,472.61 $1,597.99
12th Oct UFC on ESPN+ 19 13 11.6 90% $15.98 $1,597.99 $1,784.00


ROI % from starting bank balance: 78.40% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Lord Dagon: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Oct '19 Alex Morono Max Griffin 2.33 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '19 Ryan Spann Devin Clark 1.73 4.5 Sub, R2 (2:1) MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '19 Israel Adesanya Robert Whittaker 2.00 5 TKO, R2 (3:33) MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '19 Steven Peterson Martin Bravo 1.94 4 TKO, R2 (1:31) MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '19 Austin Hubbard Kyle Prepolec 1.80 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '19 Miles Johns Cole Smith 1.80 3.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '19 Justin Gaethje Donald Cerrone 1.57 6 TKO, R1 (4:18) MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '19 Chris Gutierrez Geraldo De Freitas Jr. 2.25 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '19 Kennedy Nzechukwu Darko Stosic 2.10 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '19 Gillian Robertson Sarah Frota 1.89 4 TKO, R2 (4:13) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '19 Krzysztof Jotko Marc-Andre Barriault 1.65 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '19 Klidson Farias de Abreu Sam Alvey 1.63 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '19 Daniel Hooker James Vick 1.80 5 TKO, R1 (2:33) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '19 Greg Hardy Juan Adams 2.05 3.5 TKO, R1 (0:45) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '19 Andrei Arlovski Ben Rothwell 2.69 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '19 Jonathan Martinez Pingyuan Liu 2.30 4 TKO, R3 (3:54) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '19 Brianna Van Buren Livia Renata Souza 1.83 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '19 Kyoji Horiguchi Darrion Caldwell 2.46 3.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jun '19 Blagoy Ivanov Tai Tuivasa 2.28 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jun '19 Bea Malecki Duda Santana 1.87 2.5 Sub, R2 (1:59) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Sep '19 Henry Corrales Darrion Caldwell 2.41 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '19 Roman Salazar James Gallagher 5.25 2 Sub, R1 (0:35) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '19 Macy Chiasson Lina Lansberg 1.25 6.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '19 Nikita Krylov Glover Teixeira 1.83 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '19 Liana Jojua Sarah Moras 1.68 3.5 TKO, R3 (2:26) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '19 Gabriel Benitez Sodiq Yusuff 3.41 3 TKO, R1 (4:14) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '19 Daniel Cormier Stipe Miocic 1.76 6 TKO, R4 (4:9) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '19 Alexey Kunchenko Gilbert Burns 1.73 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '19 Ilir Latifi Volkan Oezdemir 2.43 3.5 TKO, R2 (4:31) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '19 Alexandre Pantoja Deiveson Figueiredo 1.85 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '19 Frankie Edgar Max Holloway 4.10 2.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '19 Aleksei Oleinik Walt Harris 2.48 3 TKO, R1 (0:12) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '19 Thiago Santos Jon Jones 6.25 2 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '19 Jussier Formiga Joseph Benavidez 2.45 2.5 TKO, R2 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '19 Tony Martin Demian Maia 2.67 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '19 Pedro Munhoz Aljamain Sterling 2.25 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '19 Nina Ansaroff Tatiana Suarez 7.75 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. May '19 Megan Anderson Felicia Spencer 1.51 4 Sub, R1 (3:24) No MMA Bookmaker
19. May '19 Austin Hubbard Davi Ramos 4.85 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. May '19 Sijara Eubanks Aspen Ladd 3.75 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Lord Dagon: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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