MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1663
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 687

MMA Handicapper Stats: MacMMA_

MacMMA_ (Msmith9)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	99 (42%)	Right	38 (48%)	Right	28 (32%)	Right	33 (48%)
Wrong	138 (58%)	Wrong	42 (53%)	Wrong	60 (68%)	Wrong	36 (52%)
Avg Odds	2.51	Avg Odds	2.07	Avg Odds	3.49	Avg Odds	2.28
Units Bet	452.9	Units Bet	184.8	Units Bet	92.5	Units Bet	175.7
Avg Bet	1.91	Avg Bet	2.31	Avg Bet	1.05	Avg Bet	2.55
Units Profit	9.73	Units Profit	-6.06	Units Profit	11.88	Units Profit	3.92
ROI %	2%	ROI %	-3%	ROI %	13%	ROI %	2%

MacMMA_ : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
23rd May '19	PFL 2019: Week 2	3	1.5	50%	1.5 / 3 (50%)
18th May '19	UFC Fight Night 152	14.6	-1.8	-12%	-0.3 / 8.5 (-3%)	-1.1 / 1.1 (-100%)	-0.4 / 5 (-8%)
18th May '19	KSW 49	2.5	1.2	50%	1.2 / 2.5 (50%)
11th May '19	UFC 237	25	3.1	13%	-0.0 / 4.5 (-0%)	-3.6 / 12 (-30%)	6.7 / 8.5 (79%)
11th May '19	Bellator 221	3	2.4	81%			2.4 / 3 (81%)
4th May '19	UFC Fight Night 150	14.9	-1.7	-12%	-0.9 / 4.9 (-18%)	-3.4 / 7.5 (-45%)	2.5 / 2.5 (100%)
27th Apr '19	UFC on ESPN 3	21.5	-2.8	-13%	0.5 / 14.6 (3%)	-3.3 / 6.9 (-48%)
20th Apr '19	UFC Fight Night 149	11.5	-2.3	-20%	0.5 / 4.5 (11%)	1.2 / 3 (40%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
13th Apr '19	UFC 236	31.19	-10.5	-34%	-13.7 / 19.16 (-71%)	5.7 / 9.53 (59%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
30th Mar '19	UFC on ESPN 2	18.1	9.5	53%	6.3 / 16.1 (39%)	1.5 / 0.5 (300%)	1.7 / 1.5 (112%)
23rd Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 148	17.1	-10.0	-58%	-4.6 / 4.6 (-100%)	1.6 / 5.5 (30%)	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)
16th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 147	18	0.6	4%	-1.3 / 10.5 (-13%)	0.8 / 3 (25%)	1.2 / 4.5 (27%)
9th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 146	15.6	-1.1	-7%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	2.9 / 5.6 (52%)	-0.0 / 6 (-0%)
2nd Mar '19	UFC 235	24.36	-1.5	-6%	4.2 / 9.75 (43%)	-5.6 / 7.39 (-76%)	-0.1 / 7.22 (-1%)
23rd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 145	16.71	7.5	45%	1.9 / 2.5 (75%)	0.1 / 3.5 (3%)	5.5 / 10.71 (51%)
17th Feb '19	UFC on ESPN 1	15.24	6.3	42%	-0.5 / 4.7 (-10%)	5.3 / 3.54 (149%)	1.5 / 7 (22%)
16th Feb '19	Bellator 216	5.5	3.3	60%	3.3 / 5.5 (60%)
9th Feb '19	UFC 234	12.7	12.3	97%	3.7 / 4.75 (79%)	0.4 / 0.75 (60%)	8.1 / 7.2 (113%)
2nd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 144	12.56	-8.1	-64%	0.0 / 4.5 (0%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-7.6 / 7.56 (-100%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	18.37	-9.1	-50%	-1.5 / 6.5 (-23%)	-0.6 / 4.87 (-12%)	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)
31st Dec '18	PFL 11: Finals	3.96	-0.2	-5%	2.3 / 1.5 (150%)		-2.5 / 2.46 (-100%)
29th Dec '18	UFC 232	28.07	-7.0	-25%	-7.4 / 12.07 (-61%)	1.7 / 1 (175%)	-1.4 / 15 (-9%)
15th Dec '18	Fight Night Milwaukee	17.13	-5.4	-32%	3.8 / 2.53 (150%)	-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)	-8.0 / 13.4 (-60%)
8th Dec '18	UFC 231	20.95	7.6	36%	6.0 / 5 (120%)	5.2 / 3 (175%)	-3.6 / 12.95 (-28%)
1st Dec '18	UFC Fight Night 142	13.79	10.0	73%	2.4 / 2 (120%)	-2.4 / 2.37 (-100%)	10.0 / 9.42 (106%)
30th Nov '18	TUF Finale	7.2	-7.2	-100%	-4.2 / 4.2 (-100%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
25th Nov '18	Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3	3	2.3	77%			2.3 / 3 (77%)
24th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 141	16.4	1.5	9%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	6.7 / 3.4 (197%)	-1.2 / 9 (-13%)
17th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 140	15.62	0.2	1%	-9.6 / 9.62 (-100%)	2.7 / 1 (275%)	7.0 / 5 (141%)
10th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night Denver	7.69	3.3	43%	2.9 / 2.6 (110%)		0.5 / 5.09 (9%)
3rd Nov '18	UFC 230	10.2	9.3	91%	4.7 / 3 (158%)	1.9 / 1 (188%)	2.6 / 6.2 (42%)
27th Oct '18	UFC Fight Night 138	7.5	-3.7	-49%	0.6 / 3.2 (19%)	-4.3 / 4.3 (-100%)

Winning Events: 17 (53%)
Losing Events: 15 (47%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.15 units
Most Staked On One Event: 31.19 units
Best Event: 12.34 units
Worst Event: -10.50 units
Average Event: 0.30 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 29.43
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -29.80

MacMMA_ : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	301.43	-1.0	-0%	-3.5 / 135.06 (-3%)	1.4 / 75.18 (2%)	1.2 / 91.19 (1%)	10 / 10 (50%)	-0.05
2018	151.51	10.7	7%	-2.5 / 49.72 (-5%)	10.5 / 17.27 (61%)	2.8 / 84.52 (3%)	7 / 5 (58%)	0.89

MacMMA_ : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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MacMMA_ : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	431.98	-0.8	-0%	-14.3 / 172.28 (-8%)	11.9 / 92.45 (13%)	1.6 / 167.25 (1%)
Bellator	8.5	5.7	67%	3.3 / 5.5 (60%)		2.4 / 3 (81%)
PFL	6.96	1.3	19%	3.7 / 4.5 (83%)		-2.5 / 2.46 (-100%)
Other	5.5	3.6	65%	1.2 / 2.5 (50%)		2.3 / 3 (77%)

MacMMA_ : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	4 (5%)	2	50 %	14.50	-6.25	-1.56	-43%
Slight Favorites	33 (41%)	14	42 %	94.68	-25.28	-0.77	-27%
Slight Underdogs	33 (41%)	16	48 %	64.25	13.01	0.39	20%
Big Underdogs	10 (13%)	6	60 %	11.35	12.46	1.25	110%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	12 (15%)	6	50 %	34.10	-6.66	-0.56	-20%
Co-Main Event	9 (11%)	8	89 %	22.50	17.74	1.97	79%
Position 3-5	20 (25%)	10	50 %	51.13	-2.67	-0.13	-5%
6+ (Undercard)	39 (49%)	14	36 %	77.05	-14.48	-0.37	-19%

MacMMA_ : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	8 (10%)	3	38 %	17.10	-5.57	-0.70	-33%
Light Heavy	6 (8%)	3	50 %	17.71	-1.76	-0.29	-10%
Middleweight	10 (13%)	7	70 %	25.50	13.95	1.40	55%
Welterweight	17 (21%)	10	59 %	35.97	7.62	0.45	21%
Lightweight	10 (13%)	3	30 %	26.00	-13.50	-1.35	-52%
Featherweight	11 (14%)	5	45 %	20.90	3.44	0.31	16%
Bantamweight	9 (11%)	4	44 %	18.30	-1.31	-0.15	-7%
Flyweight	2 (3%)		0 %	5.20	-5.20	-2.60	-100%

Women's Fights	7 (9%)	3	43 %	18.10	-3.74	-0.53	-21%
Featherweight	1 (1%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-3.00	-100%
Bantamweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	2.50	1.87	1.87	75%
Strawweight	5 (6%)	2	40 %	12.60	-2.61	-0.52	-21%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	101 (87%)	76	75 %
Slight Favorites	14 (12%)	10	71 %
Slight Underdogs	1 (1%)	1	100 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	0 %
	116	87	75 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	31 (22%)	23	74 %
50-65%	24 (17%)	14	58 %
35-50%	28 (20%)	16	57 %
<35% chance	60 (42%)	13	22 %
	143	66	46 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	7 (5%)	6	86 %	1.67	2.10	1.36	3.4 (48%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	11 (8%)	3	27 %	1.87	3.00	1.07	-5.2 (-47%)
Goes to Decision	7 (5%)	4	57 %	1.78	2.95	1.20	-0.6 (-9%)
Does not go to Decision	25 (17%)	18	72 %	1.43	2.20	1.15	0.6 (3%)
Fight Starts Round X	5 (3%)	4	80 %	1.43	1.80	1.20	0.5 (11%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	2 (1%)	1	50 %	1.38	1.50	1.28	-0.7 (-36%)
X Wins by KO	17 (12%)	4	24 %	4.26	17.00	1.87	-4.0 (-24%)
X Wins by Sub	24 (17%)	9	38 %	3.54	11.00	1.67	1.7 (7%)
X Wins by Decision	13 (9%)	5	38 %	3.10	11.00	1.68	8.3 (64%)
X Wins Inside Distance	7 (5%)	4	57 %	2.06	3.75	1.44	2.7 (39%)
X Wins in Round X	7 (5%)	1	14 %	6.96	34.00	1.57	8.0 (114%)
Others	18 (13%)	7	39 %	2.89	19.00	1.57	-1.8 (-10%)
	143	66	46 %	2.31			13.0 (9%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail MacMMA_ 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
27th Oct	UFC Fight Night 138	7.5	-3.7	-49%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$963.20
3rd Nov	UFC 230	10.2	9.3	91%		$9.63	$963.20	$1,052.40
10th Nov	UFC Fight Night Denver	7.69	3.3	43%		$10.52	$1,052.40	$1,087.43
17th Nov	UFC Fight Night 140	15.62	0.2	1%		$10.87	$1,087.43	$1,089.21
24th Nov	UFC Fight Night 141	16.4	1.5	9%		$10.89	$1,089.21	$1,105.68
25th Nov	Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3	3	2.3	77%		$11.06	$1,105.68	$1,131.16
30th Nov	TUF Finale	7.2	-7.2	-100%		$11.31	$1,131.16	$1,049.71
1st Dec	UFC Fight Night 142	13.79	10.0	73%		$10.50	$1,049.71	$1,154.74
8th Dec	UFC 231	20.95	7.6	36%		$11.55	$1,154.74	$1,242.87
15th Dec	Fight Night Milwaukee	17.13	-5.4	-32%		$12.43	$1,242.87	$1,175.75
29th Dec	UFC 232	28.07	-7.0	-25%		$11.76	$1,175.75	$1,093.35
31st Dec	PFL 11: Finals	3.96	-0.2	-5%		$10.93	$1,093.35	$1,091.06
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	18.37	-9.1	-50%		$10.91	$1,091.06	$991.51
2nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 144	12.56	-8.1	-64%		$9.92	$991.51	$911.59
9th Feb	UFC 234	12.7	12.3	97%		$9.12	$911.59	$1,024.06
16th Feb	Bellator 216	5.5	3.3	60%		$10.24	$1,024.06	$1,057.65
17th Feb	UFC on ESPN 1	15.24	6.3	42%		$10.58	$1,057.65	$1,124.69
23rd Feb	UFC Fight Night 145	16.71	7.5	45%		$11.25	$1,124.69	$1,208.71
2nd Mar	UFC 235	24.36	-1.5	-6%		$12.09	$1,208.71	$1,190.68
9th Mar	UFC Fight Night 146	15.6	-1.1	-7%		$11.91	$1,190.68	$1,177.41
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night 147	18	0.6	4%		$11.77	$1,177.41	$1,184.92
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night 148	17.1	-10.0	-58%		$11.85	$1,184.92	$1,066.72
30th Mar	UFC on ESPN 2	18.1	9.5	53%		$10.67	$1,066.72	$1,168.41
13th Apr	UFC 236	31.19	-10.5	-34%		$11.68	$1,168.41	$1,045.78
20th Apr	UFC Fight Night 149	11.5	-2.3	-20%		$10.46	$1,045.78	$1,021.73
27th Apr	UFC on ESPN 3	21.5	-2.8	-13%		$10.22	$1,021.73	$992.78
4th May	UFC Fight Night 150	14.9	-1.7	-12%		$9.93	$992.78	$975.54
11th May	Bellator 221	3	2.4	81%		$9.76	$975.54	$999.32
11th May	UFC 237	25	3.1	13%		$9.99	$999.32	$1,030.76
18th May	KSW 49	2.5	1.2	50%		$10.31	$1,030.76	$1,043.64
18th May	UFC Fight Night 152	14.6	-1.8	-12%		$10.44	$1,043.64	$1,025.12
23rd May	PFL 2019: Week 2	3	1.5	50%		$10.25	$1,025.12	$1,040.49

ROI % from starting bank balance: 4.05% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

MacMMA_ : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	May '19	Movlid Khaybulaev	Damon Jackson	1.50	3	TKO, R1 (0:10)
2.	May '19	Scott Askham	Michal Materla	1.50	2.5	TKO, R3 (1:23)
3.	May '19	Jessica Andrade	Rose Namajunas	1.80	2.5	TKO, R2 (2:58)
4.	May '19	Ian Heinisch	Antonio Carlos Junior	2.75	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	May '19	Shane Burgos	Cub Swanson	1.61	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Apr '19	Mike Perry	Alex Oliveira	2.62	1.6	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Apr '19	Glover Teixeira	Ion Cutelaba	2.10	2.5	Sub, R2 (3:37)
8.	Apr '19	Cory Sandhagen	John Lineker	2.25	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Apr '19	Sultan Aliev	Keita Nakamura	2.00	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Apr '19	Israel Adesanya	Kelvin Gastelum	1.57	3.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
11.	Mar '19	Casey Kenney	Ray Borg	3.75	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Mar '19	Casey Kenney	Ray Borg	3.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Mar '19	Jack Hermansson	David Branch	1.80	4	Sub, R1 (0:49)
14.	Mar '19	Justin Gaethje	Edson Barboza	2.37	1	TKO, R1 (2:30)
15.	Mar '19	Leon Edwards	Gunnar Nelson	1.72	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Mar '19	Mike Grundy	Nad Narimani	3.25	1.5	TKO, R2 (4:42)
17.	Mar '19	Justin Gaethje	Edson Barboza	2.25	2.5	TKO, R1 (2:30)
18.	Mar '19	Weili Zhang	Tecia Torres	1.83	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Mar '19	Kamaru Usman	Tyron Woodley	2.50	1.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
20.	Mar '19	Diego Sanchez	Mickey Gall	3.75	1.25	TKO, R2 (4:13)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '19	Mike Trizano	Grant Dawson	2.00	2.5	Sub, R2 (2:27)	No
2.	May '19	Sergio Moraes	Warlley Alves	2.25	2	TKO, R3 (4:13)	No
3.	May '19	Juan Adams	Arjan Bhullar	1.90	2.4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Apr '19	Andrei Arlovski	Augusto Sakai	2.25	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Apr '19	Ion Cutelaba	Glover Teixeira	1.72	3	Sub, R2 (3:37)	Yes
6.	May '19	Kevin Lee	Rafael dos Anjos	2.00	3	Sub, R4 (3:47)	No
7.	Apr '19	Rafael Fiziev	Magomed Mustafaev	2.40	0.5	TKO, R1 (1:26)	No
8.	Apr '19	Rafael Fiziev	Magomed Mustafaev	2.40	1.5	TKO, R1 (1:26)	No
9.	Apr '19	Ronaldo Souza	Jack Hermansson	1.72	3	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
10.	Apr '19	Boston Salmon	Khalid Taha	1.80	2.55	TKO, R1 (0:25)	No
11.	Apr '19	Zelim Imadaev	Max Griffin	1.95	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Apr '19	Eryk Anders	Khalil Rountree	1.62	3.11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Apr '19	Jalin Turner	Matt Frevola	1.70	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Mar '19	Sabina Mazo	Maryna Moroz	1.67	2.6	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Mar '19	Sheymon da Silva Moraes	Sodiq Yusuff	2.50	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Mar '19	Steven Peterson	Luis Pena	3.10	0.6	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Mar '19	Steven Peterson	Luis Pena	3.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Mar '19	Michael Johnson	Josh Emmett	1.91	2.5	TKO, R3 (4:14)	No
19.	Mar '19	Deiveson Figueiredo	Jussier Formiga	1.70	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Mar '19	Jordan Rinaldi	Arnold Allen	2.45	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

MacMMA_ : Progress Chart

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