MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1561
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 645

MMA Handicapper Stats: MacMMA_

MacMMA_ (Msmith9)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	67 (43%)	Right	23 (48%)	Right	18 (37%)	Right	26 (45%)
Wrong	88 (57%)	Wrong	25 (52%)	Wrong	31 (63%)	Wrong	32 (55%)
Avg Odds	2.52	Avg Odds	2.13	Avg Odds	3.43	Avg Odds	2.35
Units Bet	307.7	Units Bet	107.0	Units Bet	51.9	Units Bet	148.7
Avg Bet	1.98	Avg Bet	2.23	Avg Bet	1.06	Avg Bet	2.56
Units Profit	11.01	Units Profit	-1.34	Units Profit	14.86	Units Profit	-2.52
ROI %	4%	ROI %	-1%	ROI %	29%	ROI %	-2%

MacMMA_ : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
23rd Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 148	17.1	-10.0	-58%	-4.6 / 4.6 (-100%)	1.6 / 5.5 (30%)	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)
16th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 147	18	0.6	4%	-1.3 / 10.5 (-13%)	0.8 / 3 (25%)	1.2 / 4.5 (27%)
9th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 146	15.6	-1.1	-7%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	2.9 / 5.6 (52%)	-0.0 / 6 (-0%)
2nd Mar '19	UFC 235	24.36	-1.5	-6%	4.2 / 9.75 (43%)	-5.6 / 7.39 (-76%)	-0.1 / 7.22 (-1%)
23rd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 145	16.71	7.5	45%	1.9 / 2.5 (75%)	0.1 / 3.5 (3%)	5.5 / 10.71 (51%)
17th Feb '19	UFC on ESPN 1	15.24	6.3	42%	-0.5 / 4.7 (-10%)	5.3 / 3.54 (149%)	1.5 / 7 (22%)
16th Feb '19	Bellator 216	5.5	3.3	60%	3.3 / 5.5 (60%)
9th Feb '19	UFC 234	12.7	12.3	97%	3.7 / 4.75 (79%)	0.4 / 0.75 (60%)	8.1 / 7.2 (113%)
2nd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 144	12.56	-8.1	-64%	0.0 / 4.5 (0%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-7.6 / 7.56 (-100%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	18.37	-9.1	-50%	-1.5 / 6.5 (-23%)	-0.6 / 4.87 (-12%)	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)
31st Dec '18	PFL 11: Finals	3.96	-0.2	-5%	2.3 / 1.5 (150%)		-2.5 / 2.46 (-100%)
29th Dec '18	UFC 232	28.07	-7.0	-25%	-7.4 / 12.07 (-61%)	1.7 / 1 (175%)	-1.4 / 15 (-9%)
15th Dec '18	Fight Night Milwaukee	17.13	-5.4	-32%	3.8 / 2.53 (150%)	-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)	-8.0 / 13.4 (-60%)
8th Dec '18	UFC 231	20.95	7.6	36%	6.0 / 5 (120%)	5.2 / 3 (175%)	-3.6 / 12.95 (-28%)
1st Dec '18	UFC Fight Night 142	13.79	10.0	73%	2.4 / 2 (120%)	-2.4 / 2.37 (-100%)	10.0 / 9.42 (106%)
30th Nov '18	TUF Finale	7.2	-7.2	-100%	-4.2 / 4.2 (-100%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
25th Nov '18	Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3	3	2.3	77%			2.3 / 3 (77%)
24th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 141	16.4	1.5	9%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	6.7 / 3.4 (197%)	-1.2 / 9 (-13%)
17th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 140	15.62	0.2	1%	-9.6 / 9.62 (-100%)	2.7 / 1 (275%)	7.0 / 5 (141%)
10th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night Denver	7.69	3.3	43%	2.9 / 2.6 (110%)		0.5 / 5.09 (9%)
3rd Nov '18	UFC 230	10.2	9.3	91%	4.7 / 3 (158%)	1.9 / 1 (188%)	2.6 / 6.2 (42%)
27th Oct '18	UFC Fight Night 138	7.5	-3.7	-49%	0.6 / 3.2 (19%)	-4.3 / 4.3 (-100%)

Winning Events: 12 (55%)
Losing Events: 10 (45%)

Average Staked Per Event: 13.98 units
Most Staked On One Event: 28.07 units
Best Event: 12.34 units
Worst Event: -9.98 units
Average Event: 0.50 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 29.43
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -29.80

MacMMA_ : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	156.14	0.3	0%	1.2 / 57.3 (2%)	4.4 / 34.65 (13%)	-5.3 / 64.19 (-8%)	5 / 5 (50%)	0.03
2018	151.51	10.7	7%	-2.5 / 49.72 (-5%)	10.5 / 17.27 (61%)	2.8 / 84.52 (3%)	7 / 5 (58%)	0.89

MacMMA_ : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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MacMMA_ : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	295.19	5.6	2%	-6.9 / 100.02 (-7%)	14.9 / 51.92 (29%)	-2.4 / 143.25 (-2%)
Bellator	5.5	3.3	60%	3.3 / 5.5 (60%)
PFL	3.96	-0.2	-5%	2.3 / 1.5 (150%)		-2.5 / 2.46 (-100%)
Other	3	2.3	77%			2.3 / 3 (77%)

MacMMA_ : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	1 (2%)	0	0 %	4.00	-4.00	-4.00	-100%
Slight Favorites	20 (42%)	10	50 %	58.02	-9.84	-0.49	-17%
Slight Underdogs	19 (40%)	9	47 %	35.65	5.29	0.28	15%
Big Underdogs	8 (17%)	4	50 %	9.35	7.21	0.90	77%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	6 (13%)	3	50 %	17.10	-2.16	-0.36	-13%
Co-Main Event	5 (10%)	4	80 %	9.50	6.05	1.21	64%
Position 3-5	13 (27%)	6	46 %	33.42	-4.05	-0.31	-12%
6+ (Undercard)	24 (50%)	10	42 %	47.00	-1.18	-0.05	-3%

MacMMA_ : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	6 (13%)	3	50 %	12.70	-1.17	-0.20	-9%
Light Heavy	3 (6%)	2	67 %	9.10	1.60	0.53	18%
Middleweight	5 (10%)	3	60 %	9.50	5.26	1.05	55%
Welterweight	13 (27%)	8	62 %	27.87	6.53	0.50	23%
Lightweight	2 (4%)		0 %	6.50	-6.50	-3.25	-100%
Featherweight	7 (15%)	4	57 %	11.90	8.42	1.20	71%
Bantamweight	5 (10%)	1	20 %	11.25	-7.13	-1.43	-63%
Flyweight	2 (4%)		0 %	5.20	-5.20	-2.60	-100%

Women's Fights	5 (10%)	2	40 %	13.00	-3.14	-0.63	-24%
Featherweight	1 (2%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-3.00	-100%
Bantamweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	2.50	1.87	1.87	75%
Strawweight	3 (6%)	1	33 %	7.50	-2.01	-0.67	-27%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	88 (86%)	65	74 %
Slight Favorites	13 (13%)	9	69 %
Slight Underdogs	1 (1%)	1	100 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	0 %
	102	75	74 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	25 (26%)	18	72 %
50-65%	19 (20%)	11	58 %
35-50%	17 (18%)	12	71 %
<35% chance	34 (36%)	9	26 %
	95	50	53 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	6 (6%)	5	83 %	1.62	2.10	1.36	2.4 (40%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	9 (9%)	3	33 %	1.78	3.00	1.07	-3.2 (-35%)
Goes to Decision	6 (6%)	4	67 %	1.67	2.80	1.20	0.4 (6%)
Does not go to Decision	20 (21%)	16	80 %	1.41	2.20	1.15	2.9 (14%)
Fight Starts Round X	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.33	1.33	1.33	0.3 (33%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (1%)	0	0 %	1.50	1.50	1.50	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	10 (11%)	4	40 %	3.39	6.00	1.87	3.0 (30%)
X Wins by Sub	18 (19%)	7	39 %	3.46	11.00	1.67	0.1 (0%)
X Wins by Decision	7 (7%)	3	43 %	2.73	6.50	1.68	0.3 (5%)
X Wins Inside Distance	6 (6%)	4	67 %	1.99	3.75	1.44	3.7 (62%)
X Wins in Round X	4 (4%)	1	25 %	4.86	19.00	1.57	11.0 (275%)
Others	7 (7%)	2	29 %	3.32	19.00	1.61	-0.8 (-11%)
	95	50	53 %	2.13			19.1 (20%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail MacMMA_ 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
27th Oct	UFC Fight Night 138	7.5	-3.7	-49%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$963.20
3rd Nov	UFC 230	10.2	9.3	91%		$9.63	$963.20	$1,052.40
10th Nov	UFC Fight Night Denver	7.69	3.3	43%		$10.52	$1,052.40	$1,087.43
17th Nov	UFC Fight Night 140	15.62	0.2	1%		$10.87	$1,087.43	$1,089.21
24th Nov	UFC Fight Night 141	16.4	1.5	9%		$10.89	$1,089.21	$1,105.68
25th Nov	Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3	3	2.3	77%		$11.06	$1,105.68	$1,131.16
30th Nov	TUF Finale	7.2	-7.2	-100%		$11.31	$1,131.16	$1,049.71
1st Dec	UFC Fight Night 142	13.79	10.0	73%		$10.50	$1,049.71	$1,154.74
8th Dec	UFC 231	20.95	7.6	36%		$11.55	$1,154.74	$1,242.87
15th Dec	Fight Night Milwaukee	17.13	-5.4	-32%		$12.43	$1,242.87	$1,175.75
29th Dec	UFC 232	28.07	-7.0	-25%		$11.76	$1,175.75	$1,093.35
31st Dec	PFL 11: Finals	3.96	-0.2	-5%		$10.93	$1,093.35	$1,091.06
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	18.37	-9.1	-50%		$10.91	$1,091.06	$991.51
2nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 144	12.56	-8.1	-64%		$9.92	$991.51	$911.59
9th Feb	UFC 234	12.7	12.3	97%		$9.12	$911.59	$1,024.06
16th Feb	Bellator 216	5.5	3.3	60%		$10.24	$1,024.06	$1,057.65
17th Feb	UFC on ESPN 1	15.24	6.3	42%		$10.58	$1,057.65	$1,124.69
23rd Feb	UFC Fight Night 145	16.71	7.5	45%		$11.25	$1,124.69	$1,208.71
2nd Mar	UFC 235	24.36	-1.5	-6%		$12.09	$1,208.71	$1,190.68
9th Mar	UFC Fight Night 146	15.6	-1.1	-7%		$11.91	$1,190.68	$1,177.41
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night 147	18	0.6	4%		$11.77	$1,177.41	$1,184.92
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night 148	17.1	-10.0	-58%		$11.85	$1,184.92	$1,066.72

ROI % from starting bank balance: 6.67% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

MacMMA_ : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '19	Leon Edwards	Gunnar Nelson	1.72	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Mar '19	Mike Grundy	Nad Narimani	3.25	1.5	TKO, R2 (4:42)
3.	Mar '19	Weili Zhang	Tecia Torres	1.83	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Mar '19	Kamaru Usman	Tyron Woodley	2.50	1.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
5.	Mar '19	Diego Sanchez	Mickey Gall	3.75	1.25	TKO, R2 (4:13)
6.	Feb '19	Gillian Robertson	Veronica Macedo	1.75	2.5	Sub, R2 (3:27)
7.	Feb '19	Cheick Kongo	Vitaly Minakov	5.00	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Feb '19	Mirko Filipovic	Roy Nelson	1.57	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Feb '19	Andre Fili	Myles Jury	2.50	1.7	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Feb '19	Jim Crute	Sam Alvey	1.75	2.5	TKO, R1 (2:49)
11.	Feb '19	Ricky Simon	Rani Yahya	1.83	2.25	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Feb '19	Markus Perez	Anthony Hernandez	3.00	1.5	Sub, R2 (1:7)
13.	Jan '19	Geoff Neal	Belal Muhammad	1.66	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Dec '18	Magomed Magomedkerimov	Ray Cooper III	2.50	1.5	Sub, R2 (2:18)
15.	Dec '18	Michael Chiesa	Carlos Condit	1.57	3	Sub, R2 (0:56)
16.	Dec '18	Mike Rodriguez	Adam Milstead	2.50	2.53	TKO, R1 (2:59)
17.	Dec '18	Max Holloway	Brian Ortega	1.91	3	TKO, R4 (5:0)
18.	Dec '18	Elias Theodorou	Eryk Anders	2.63	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Dec '18	Tony Martin	Jake Matthews	2.20	2	Sub, R3 (1:19)
20.	Nov '18	Yair Rodriguez	Chan Sung Jung	2.10	2.6	TKO, R5 (4:59)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '19	Steven Peterson	Luis Pena	3.10	0.6	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Mar '19	Steven Peterson	Luis Pena	3.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Mar '19	Deiveson Figueiredo	Jussier Formiga	1.70	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Mar '19	Jordan Rinaldi	Arnold Allen	2.45	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Mar '19	Ben Rothwell	Blagoy Ivanov	2.10	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Mar '19	Tim Boetsch	Omari Akhmedov	2.50	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Mar '19	Cody Garbrandt	Pedro Munhoz	1.61	4	TKO, R1 (4:52)	No
8.	Feb '19	Paul Daley	Michael Page	3.40	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
9.	Mar '19	Darren Till	Jorge Masvidal	1.57	5	TKO, R2 (3:5)	No
10.	Feb '19	James Vick	Paul Felder	2.40	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Feb '19	Ricardo Ramos	Said Nurmagomedov	1.80	1	TKO, R1 (2:28)	No
12.	Feb '19	Ricardo Ramos	Said Nurmagomedov	2.10	2	TKO, R1 (2:28)	No
13.	Jan '19	Alexander Hernandez	Donald Cerrone	1.57	3.5	TKO, R2 (3:43)	No
14.	Dec '18	Ilir Latifi	Corey Anderson	1.61	4.07	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Dec '18	Andre Ewell	Nathaniel Wood	2.10	2	Sub, R3 (4:12)	No
16.	Dec '18	Cat Zingano	Megan Anderson	1.72	3	TKO, R1 (1:1)	No
17.	Nov '18	Darren Stewart	Edmen Shahbazyan	2.37	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	Yes
18.	Nov '18	Alex Perez	Joseph Benavidez	1.90	2.2	TKO, R1 (4:19)	No
19.	Nov '18	Curtis Blaydes	Francis Ngannou	1.50	4	TKO, R1 (0:45)	Yes
20.	Nov '18	Poliana Botelho	Cynthia Calvillo	1.80	2	Sub, R1 (4:48)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

MacMMA_ : Progress Chart

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