MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1430
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 586

MMA Handicapper Stats: MacMMA_

MacMMA_ (Msmith9)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	34 (45%)	Right	11 (46%)	Right	8 (50%)	Right	15 (43%)
Wrong	41 (55%)	Wrong	13 (54%)	Wrong	8 (50%)	Wrong	20 (57%)
Avg Odds	2.39	Avg Odds	2.05	Avg Odds	3.22	Avg Odds	2.37
Units Bet	165.4	Units Bet	56.2	Units Bet	19.6	Units Bet	89.5
Avg Bet	2.21	Avg Bet	2.34	Avg Bet	1.23	Avg Bet	2.56
Units Profit	6.08	Units Profit	-4.04	Units Profit	12.36	Units Profit	-2.24
ROI %	4%	ROI %	-7%	ROI %	63%	ROI %	-2%

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
31st Dec '18	PFL 11: Finals	3.96	-0.2	-5%	2.3 / 1.5 (150%)		-2.5 / 2.46 (-100%)
29th Dec '18	UFC 232	28.07	-7.0	-25%	-7.4 / 12.07 (-61%)	1.7 / 1 (175%)	-1.4 / 15 (-9%)
15th Dec '18	Fight Night Milwaukee	17.13	-5.4	-32%	3.8 / 2.53 (150%)	-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)	-8.0 / 13.4 (-60%)
8th Dec '18	UFC 231	20.95	7.6	36%	6.0 / 5 (120%)	5.2 / 3 (175%)	-3.6 / 12.95 (-28%)
1st Dec '18	UFC Fight Night 142	13.79	10.0	73%	2.4 / 2 (120%)	-2.4 / 2.37 (-100%)	10.0 / 9.42 (106%)
30th Nov '18	TUF Finale	7.2	-7.2	-100%	-4.2 / 4.2 (-100%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
25th Nov '18	Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3	3	2.3	77%			2.3 / 3 (77%)
24th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 141	16.4	1.5	9%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	6.7 / 3.4 (197%)	-1.2 / 9 (-13%)
17th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 140	15.62	0.2	1%	-9.6 / 9.62 (-100%)	2.7 / 1 (275%)	7.0 / 5 (141%)
10th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night Denver	7.69	3.3	43%	2.9 / 2.6 (110%)		0.5 / 5.09 (9%)
3rd Nov '18	UFC 230	10.2	9.3	91%	4.7 / 3 (158%)	1.9 / 1 (188%)	2.6 / 6.2 (42%)
27th Oct '18	UFC Fight Night 138	7.5	-3.7	-49%	0.6 / 3.2 (19%)	-4.3 / 4.3 (-100%)

Winning Events: 7 (58%)
Losing Events: 5 (42%)

Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2018	151.51	10.7	7%	-2.5 / 49.72 (-5%)	10.5 / 17.27 (61%)	2.8 / 84.52 (3%)	7 / 5 (58%)	0.89

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	144.55	8.6	6%	-4.8 / 48.22 (-10%)	10.5 / 17.27 (61%)	2.9 / 79.06 (4%)
PFL	3.96	-0.2	-5%	2.3 / 1.5 (150%)		-2.5 / 2.46 (-100%)
Other	3	2.3	77%			2.3 / 3 (77%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	1 (4%)	0	0 %	4.00	-4.00	-4.00	-100%
Slight Favorites	10 (42%)	4	40 %	28.27	-9.03	-0.90	-32%
Slight Underdogs	12 (50%)	7	58 %	21.95	10.99	0.92	50%
Big Underdogs	1 (4%)	0	0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	4 (17%)	3	75 %	11.10	3.84	0.96	35%
Co-Main Event	1 (4%)	1	100 %	2.00	3.00	3.00	150%
Position 3-5	4 (17%)	2	50 %	11.07	-1.96	-0.49	-18%
6+ (Undercard)	15 (63%)	5	33 %	32.05	-8.92	-0.59	-28%

by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (13%)	1	33 %	6.20	-3.45	-1.15	-56%
Light Heavy	2 (8%)	1	50 %	6.60	-0.28	-0.14	-4%
Middleweight	3 (13%)	2	67 %	6.00	4.26	1.42	71%
Welterweight	8 (33%)	5	63 %	16.62	5.04	0.63	30%
Lightweight	1 (4%)		0 %	3.50	-3.50	-3.50	-100%
Featherweight	2 (8%)	2	100 %	5.60	5.59	2.80	100%
Bantamweight	1 (4%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Flyweight	1 (4%)		0 %	2.20	-2.20	-2.20	-100%

Women's Fights	3 (13%)		0 %	7.50	-7.50	-2.50	-100%
Featherweight	1 (4%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-3.00	-100%
Strawweight	2 (8%)		0 %	4.50	-4.50	-2.25	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	63 (89%)	46	73 %
Slight Favorites	7 (10%)	5	71 %
Slight Underdogs	1 (1%)	1	100 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	0 %
	71	52	73 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	11 (28%)	8	73 %
50-65%	10 (26%)	5	50 %
35-50%	8 (21%)	6	75 %
<35% chance	10 (26%)	5	50 %
	39	24	62 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	4 (10%)	3	75 %	1.68	2.10	1.53	1.3 (32%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	6 (15%)	3	50 %	1.77	2.75	1.07	-0.2 (-3%)
Goes to Decision	3 (8%)	3	100 %	1.27	1.44	1.20	0.8 (28%)
Does not go to Decision	7 (18%)	6	86 %	1.44	2.00	1.18	2.1 (30%)
X Wins by KO	4 (10%)	3	75 %	2.55	4.50	1.87	5.9 (147%)
X Wins by Sub	6 (15%)	3	50 %	3.26	9.00	2.35	2.0 (33%)
X Wins by Decision	2 (5%)	0	0 %	2.42	4.33	1.68	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	4 (10%)	2	50 %	1.96	3.75	1.44	1.5 (39%)
X Wins in Round X	2 (5%)	1	50 %	16.76	19.00	15.00	13.0 (650%)
Others	1 (3%)	0	0 %	3.50	3.50	3.50	-1.0 (-100%)
	39	24	62 %	1.98			23.5 (60%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
27th Oct	UFC Fight Night 138	7.5	-3.7	-49%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$963.20
3rd Nov	UFC 230	10.2	9.3	91%		$9.63	$963.20	$1,052.40
10th Nov	UFC Fight Night Denver	7.69	3.3	43%		$10.52	$1,052.40	$1,087.43
17th Nov	UFC Fight Night 140	15.62	0.2	1%		$10.87	$1,087.43	$1,089.21
24th Nov	UFC Fight Night 141	16.4	1.5	9%		$10.89	$1,089.21	$1,105.68
25th Nov	Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3	3	2.3	77%		$11.06	$1,105.68	$1,131.16
30th Nov	TUF Finale	7.2	-7.2	-100%		$11.31	$1,131.16	$1,049.71
1st Dec	UFC Fight Night 142	13.79	10.0	73%		$10.50	$1,049.71	$1,154.74
8th Dec	UFC 231	20.95	7.6	36%		$11.55	$1,154.74	$1,242.87
15th Dec	Fight Night Milwaukee	17.13	-5.4	-32%		$12.43	$1,242.87	$1,175.75
29th Dec	UFC 232	28.07	-7.0	-25%		$11.76	$1,175.75	$1,093.35
31st Dec	PFL 11: Finals	3.96	-0.2	-5%		$10.93	$1,093.35	$1,091.06

ROI % from starting bank balance: 9.11% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jan '19	Geoff Neal	Belal Muhammad	1.66	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Dec '18	Magomed Magomedkerimov	Ray Cooper III	2.50	1.5	Sub, R2 (2:18)
3.	Dec '18	Michael Chiesa	Carlos Condit	1.57	3	Sub, R2 (0:56)
4.	Dec '18	Mike Rodriguez	Adam Milstead	2.50	2.53	TKO, R1 (2:59)
5.	Dec '18	Max Holloway	Brian Ortega	1.91	3	TKO, R4 (5:0)
6.	Dec '18	Elias Theodorou	Eryk Anders	2.63	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Dec '18	Tony Martin	Jake Matthews	2.20	2	Sub, R3 (1:19)
8.	Nov '18	Yair Rodriguez	Chan Sung Jung	2.10	2.6	TKO, R5 (4:59)
9.	Nov '18	Marcos Rogerio de Lima	Adam Wieczorek	2.75	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Nov '18	Ronaldo Souza	Chris Weidman	2.50	2	TKO, R3 (2:46)
11.	Oct '18	Sean Strickland	Nordine Taleb	1.91	2	TKO, R2 (3:10)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jan '19	Alexander Hernandez	Donald Cerrone	1.57	3.5	TKO, R2 (3:43)	No
2.	Dec '18	Ilir Latifi	Corey Anderson	1.61	4.07	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Dec '18	Andre Ewell	Nathaniel Wood	2.10	2	Sub, R3 (4:12)	No
4.	Dec '18	Cat Zingano	Megan Anderson	1.72	3	TKO, R1 (1:1)	No
5.	Nov '18	Darren Stewart	Edmen Shahbazyan	2.37	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	Yes
6.	Nov '18	Alex Perez	Joseph Benavidez	1.90	2.2	TKO, R1 (4:19)	No
7.	Nov '18	Curtis Blaydes	Francis Ngannou	1.50	4	TKO, R1 (0:45)	Yes
8.	Nov '18	Poliana Botelho	Cynthia Calvillo	1.80	2	Sub, R1 (4:48)	No
9.	Nov '18	Hector Aldana	Laureano Staropoli	2.50	1.6	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Nov '18	Hector Aldana	Laureano Staropoli	2.63	1.52	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Nov '18	Poliana Botelho	Cynthia Calvillo	1.80	2.5	Sub, R1 (4:48)	No
12.	Nov '18	Bartosz Fabinski	Michel Prazeres	3.00	2	Sub, R1 (1:2)	No
13.	Oct '18	Marcelo Golm	Arjan Bhullar	2.50	1.2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

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