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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 3410
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 1287
 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Pats Picks

Pats Picks (PatsPicks)
Mixed Martial Arts Management - Pats Picks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 55 (53%) Right 38 (53%) Right 7 (41%) Right 10 (71%)
Wrong 48 (47%) Wrong 34 (47%) Wrong 10 (59%) Wrong 4 (29%)
Avg Odds 1.95 Avg Odds 2.01 Avg Odds 1.76 Avg Odds 1.93
Units Bet 366.8 Units Bet 223.8 Units Bet 90.0 Units Bet 53.0
Avg Bet 3.56 Avg Bet 3.11 Avg Bet 5.29 Avg Bet 3.79
Units Profit 41.82 Units Profit 27.60 Units Profit -7.05 Units Profit 21.26
ROI % 11% ROI % 12% ROI % -8% ROI % 40%
View Handicapper's Profile

Pats Picks: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
11th Jun '21 Bellator 260 20 11.1 55% 8.1 / 17 (48%) 2.9 / 3 (98%)
5th Jun '21 UFC FN 6.5 3.0 46% 3.0 / 6.5 (46%)
22nd May '21 UFC FN 16 0.6 4% 3.6 / 13 (28%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
15th May '21 UFC 262 6 -1.9 -32% -1.9 / 6 (-32%)
1st May '21 UFC FN 12 3.8 32% 3.8 / 12 (32%)
24th Apr '21 UFC 261 23.5 7.1 30% 5.8 / 6 (97%) 1.3 / 17.5 (8%)
17th Apr '21 UFC FN 12 -0.5 -4% 5.5 / 6 (91%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
10th Apr '21 UFC FN 5 -0.7 -15% -0.7 / 5 (-15%)
2nd Apr '21 Bellator 255 11 2.2 20% 2.2 / 11 (20%)
28th Mar '21 UFC 260 13 -3.0 -23% 2.0 / 8 (25%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
21st Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 188 12.25 1.0 8% -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) 2.2 / 11 (20%)
13th Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 187 6.5 1.6 25% 0.8 / 3.5 (24%) 0.8 / 3 (27%)
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 6 2.7 45% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 3.7 / 5 (74%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 22 8.6 39% 0.3 / 14 (2%) 8.4 / 8 (104%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 10 -4.6 -46% 0.4 / 5 (8%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
29th Jan '21 LFA 98 2 -0.3 -13% -0.3 / 2 (-13%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 8 1.2 15% 4.2 / 5 (84%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 16.5 6.8 41% 0.7 / 5.5 (12%) 6.2 / 11 (56%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 17 -0.7 -4% 4.3 / 12 (36%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
31st Dec '20 Rizin FF 26 5 2.7 54% 2.7 / 5 (54%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 6 0.1 1% 0.1 / 6 (1%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 24 4.4 18% -8.7 / 15 (-58%) 13.1 / 9 (145%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 18 -4.7 -26% 5.3 / 8 (67%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 30 -6.8 -23% -14.3 / 18 (-79%) 7.5 / 12 (63%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 14 2.7 19% 5.2 / 6.5 (81%) -4.8 / 5.5 (-88%) 2.3 / 2 (115%)
19th Nov '20 Bellator 253 3 -3.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
18th Nov '20 DWCS 36 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
14th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 14 6 4.8 80% 1.6 / 3 (53%) 3.2 / 3 (108%)
12th Nov '20 Bellator 252 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th Nov '20 DWCS 35 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 13 16 1.5 10% 1.5 / 16 (10%)
5th Nov '20 Bellator 251 2 1.9 95% 1.9 / 2 (95%)
5th Nov '20 DWCS 34 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 9 3.7 41% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 5.7 / 7 (82%)
30th Oct '20 LFA 94 1 0.7 67% 0.7 / 1 (67%)
29th Oct '20 Bellator 250 2 1.2 59% 1.2 / 2 (59%)


Winning Events: 22 (59%)
Losing Events: 15 (41%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.91 units
Most Staked On One Event: 30.00 units
Best Event: 11.06 units
Worst Event: -6.77 units
Average Event: 1.13 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 14.70
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -11.43

Pats Picks: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2021 226.75 36.6 16% 38.1 / 141.25 (27%) -9.8 / 50.5 (-19%) 8.3 / 35 (24%) 12 / 8 (60%) 1.83
2020 140 5.2 4% -10.5 / 82.5 (-13%) 2.7 / 39.5 (7%) 13.0 / 18 (72%) 10 / 7 (59%) 0.31

Pats Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Pats Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 316.75 29.4 9% 16.8 / 185.75 (9%) -4.0 / 87 (-5%) 16.6 / 44 (38%)
Bellator 39 12.3 32% 12.4 / 33 (38%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 1.9 / 4 (49%)
Other 11 0.1 1% -1.6 / 5 (-32%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2.7 / 5 (54%)

Pats Picks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 11 (15%) 9 82 % 84.00 12.41 1.13 15%
Slight Favorites 25 (34%) 17 68 % 65.50 26.96 1.08 41%
Slight Underdogs 25 (34%) 9 36 % 57.25 -11.14 -0.45 -19%
Big Underdogs 12 (16%) 3 25 % 17.00 -0.62 -0.05 -4%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 9 (12%) 4 44 % 25.50 1.60 0.18 6%
Co-Main Event 11 (15%) 4 36 % 18.50 -3.01 -0.27 -16%
Position 3-5 15 (21%) 8 53 % 61.50 -7.09 -0.47 -12%
6+ (Undercard) 38 (52%) 22 58 % 118.25 36.10 0.95 31%

Pats Picks: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 11 (15%) 8 73 % 59.50 7.35 0.67 12%
Light Heavy 9 (12%) 5 56 % 35.00 13.65 1.52 39%
Middleweight 12 (16%) 8 67 % 34.00 10.43 0.87 31%
Welterweight 7 (10%) 2 29 % 13.50 -5.81 -0.83 -43%
Lightweight 5 (7%) 3 60 % 8.00 3.92 0.78 49%
Featherweight 12 (16%) 6 50 % 37.50 8.43 0.70 22%
Bantamweight 6 (8%) 0 % 9.00 -9.00 -1.50 -100%
Flyweight 3 (4%) 1 33 % 5.50 -1.50 -0.50 -27%
               
Women's Fights 8 (11%) 5 63 % 21.75 0.13 0.02 1%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Bantamweight 1 (1%) 0 % 1.25 -1.25 -1.25 -100%
Flyweight 4 (5%) 4 100 % 7.50 10.28 2.57 137%
Strawweight 2 (3%) 1 50 % 12.00 -7.90 -3.95 -66%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 26 (93%) 19 73 %
Slight Favorites 2 (7%) 1 50 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
28 20 71 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 5 (26%) 4 80 %
50-65% 11 (58%) 4 36 %
35-50% 2 (11%) 1 50 %
<35% chance 1 (5%) 0 0 %
19 9 47 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (5%) 1 100 % 1.74 1.74Pick was correct 1.74Pick was correct 0.7 (74%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (11%) 1 50 % 1.35 1.56Pick was incorrect 1.20Pick was correct -0.8 (-40%)
Goes to Decision 2 (11%) 2 100 % 2.17 2.45Pick was correct 1.95Pick was correct 2.4 (120%)
Does not go to Decision 10 (53%) 4 40 % 1.53 1.77Pick was incorrect 1.27Pick was correct -4.5 (-45%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (5%) 1 100 % 1.54 1.54Pick was correct 1.54Pick was incorrect 0.5 (54%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 1 (5%) 0 0 % 1.87 1.87Pick was incorrect 1.87Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 2 (11%) 0 0 % 2.67 3.40Pick was incorrect 2.20Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
19 9 47 % 1.66     -4.6 (-24%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Pats Picks's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
29th Oct Bellator 250 2 1.2 59% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,011.76
30th Oct LFA 94 1 0.7 67% $10.12 $1,011.76 $1,018.51
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 9 3.7 41% $10.19 $1,018.51 $1,056.41
5th Nov DWCS 34 1 -1.0 -100% $10.56 $1,056.41 $1,045.85
5th Nov Bellator 251 2 1.9 95% $10.46 $1,045.85 $1,065.77
8th Nov UFC Vegas 13 16 1.5 10% $10.66 $1,065.77 $1,082.20
11th Nov DWCS 35 1 -1.0 -100% $10.82 $1,082.20 $1,071.37
12th Nov Bellator 252 1 -1.0 -100% $10.71 $1,071.37 $1,060.66
14th Nov UFC Vegas 14 6 4.8 80% $10.61 $1,060.66 $1,111.82
18th Nov DWCS 36 1 -1.0 -100% $11.12 $1,111.82 $1,100.70
19th Nov Bellator 253 3 -3.0 -100% $11.01 $1,100.70 $1,067.68
21st Nov UFC 255 14 2.7 19% $10.68 $1,067.68 $1,096.44
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 30 -6.8 -23% $10.96 $1,096.44 $1,022.24
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 18 -4.7 -26% $10.22 $1,022.24 $974.54
13th Dec UFC 256 24 4.4 18% $9.75 $974.54 $1,016.93
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 6 0.1 1% $10.17 $1,016.93 $1,017.54
31st Dec Rizin FF 26 5 2.7 54% $10.18 $1,017.54 $1,045.21
16th Jan UFC FN 17 -0.7 -4% $10.45 $1,045.21 $1,038.20
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 16.5 6.8 41% $10.38 $1,038.20 $1,109.19
24th Jan UFC 257 8 1.2 15% $11.09 $1,109.19 $1,122.74
29th Jan LFA 98 2 -0.3 -13% $11.23 $1,122.74 $1,119.83
6th Feb UFC FN 10 -4.6 -46% $11.20 $1,119.83 $1,068.32
14th Feb UFC 258 1.5 -1.5 -100% $10.68 $1,068.32 $1,052.30
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 22 8.6 39% $10.52 $1,052.30 $1,142.86
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 6 2.7 45% $11.43 $1,142.86 $1,173.75
13th Mar UFC Fight Night 187 6.5 1.6 25% $11.74 $1,173.75 $1,193.01
21st Mar UFC Fight Night 188 12.25 1.0 8% $11.93 $1,193.01 $1,204.34
28th Mar UFC 260 13 -3.0 -23% $12.04 $1,204.34 $1,168.53
2nd Apr Bellator 255 11 2.2 20% $11.69 $1,168.53 $1,194.24
10th Apr UFC FN 5 -0.7 -15% $11.94 $1,194.24 $1,185.28
17th Apr UFC FN 12 -0.5 -4% $11.85 $1,185.28 $1,178.95
24th Apr UFC 261 23.5 7.1 30% $11.79 $1,178.95 $1,262.90
1st May UFC FN 12 3.8 32% $12.63 $1,262.90 $1,310.89
15th May UFC 262 6 -1.9 -32% $13.11 $1,310.89 $1,285.98
22nd May UFC FN 16 0.6 4% $12.86 $1,285.98 $1,294.08
5th Jun UFC FN 6.5 3.0 46% $12.94 $1,294.08 $1,333.07
11th Jun Bellator 260 20 11.1 55% $13.33 $1,333.07 $1,480.47


ROI % from starting bank balance: 48.05% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Pats Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jun '21 Alex Polizzi Gustavo Trujillo 1.42 11 Sub, R1 (4:22) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jun '21 Justin Gonzales Tywan Claxton 1.83 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jun '21 Yaroslav Amosov Douglas Lima 1.95 3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '21 Ilir Latifi Tanner Boser 2.70 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '21 Marcin Tybura Walt Harris 1.65 2.5 TKO, R1 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker
6. May '21 Joshua Culibao Yilan Sha 1.39 9 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. May '21 Carla Esparza Yan Xiaonan 2.05 2 TKO, R2 (2:58) MMA Bookmaker
8. May '21 Andrea Lee Antonina Shevchenko 2.05 2 Sub, R2 (4:52) MMA Bookmaker
9. May '21 T.J. Brown Kai Kamaka 2.30 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. May '21 Andreas Michailidis KB Bhular 1.40 8 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '21 Rodrigo Vargas Zhu Rong 3.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '21 Anthony Smith Jim Crute 2.90 2 TKO, R1 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '21 Andrei Arlovski Chase Sherman 1.87 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '21 Gerald Meerschaert Bartosz Fabinski 1.95 3 Sub, R1 (2:0) MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '21 Joe Solecki Jim Miller 1.42 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '21 Tyrell Fortune Jack May 1.20 11 TKO, R1 (3:16) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '21 Michal Oleksiejczuk Modestas Bukauskas 1.67 6 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '21 Dan Ige Gavin Tucker 1.67 1.5 TKO, R1 (0:22) MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '21 Matt Semelsberger Jason Witt 1.83 1 TKO, R1 (0:16) MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '21 Sergey Spivak Jared Vanderaa 1.43 10 TKO, R2 (4:32) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jun '21 Amanda Bell Marina Mokhnatkina 1.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jun '21 Youssef Zalal Sean Woodson 2.50 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. May '21 Cody Garbrandt Rob Font 2.00 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '21 Ronaldo Souza Andre Muniz 1.83 2 Sub, R1 (3:59) No MMA Bookmaker
5. May '21 Jamie Pickett Jordan Wright 1.91 2 TKO, R1 (1:4) No MMA Bookmaker
6. May '21 Cub Swanson Giga Chikadze 2.70 2 TKO, R1 (1:3) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '21 Karl Roberson Brendan Allen 2.35 2 Sub, R1 (4:55) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '21 Hunter Azure Jack Shore 2.45 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '21 Kevin Holland Marvin Vettori 3.90 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '21 Thomas Almeida Sean O'Malley 3.70 1 TKO, R3 (3:52) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '21 Tyron Woodley Vicente Luque 3.15 1 Sub, R1 (3:56) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '21 Marion Reneau Macy Chiasson 2.85 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '21 Manel Kape Matheus Nicolau 1.76 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '21 Maxim Grishin Dustin Jacoby 2.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '21 Eddie Wineland John Castaneda 2.05 2 TKO, R1 (4:44) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '21 Nate Landwehr Julian Erosa 1.98 2 TKO, R1 (0:56) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '21 Gilbert Burns Kamaru Usman 3.25 1.5 TKO, R3 (0:34) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jan '21 J.J. Okanovich Lucas Clay 1.59 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '21 Frankie Edgar Cory Sandhagen 4.50 1 TKO, R1 (0:28) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '21 Alistair Overeem Alexander Volkov 2.52 2 TKO, R2 (2:6) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Pats Picks: Progress Chart
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