MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 3131
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 1183

MMA Handicapper Stats: Pats Picks

Pats Picks (PatsPicks)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	31 (50%)	Right	19 (48%)	Right	4 (36%)	Right	8 (73%)
Wrong	31 (50%)	Wrong	21 (53%)	Wrong	7 (64%)	Wrong	3 (27%)
Avg Odds	1.94	Avg Odds	2.03	Avg Odds	1.73	Avg Odds	1.87
Units Bet	223.0	Units Bet	128.5	Units Bet	52.5	Units Bet	42.0
Avg Bet	3.60	Avg Bet	3.21	Avg Bet	4.77	Avg Bet	3.82
Units Profit	17.56	Units Profit	-3.38	Units Profit	-1.57	Units Profit	22.51
ROI %	8%	ROI %	-3%	ROI %	-3%	ROI %	54%

Pats Picks: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
28th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 186	6	2.7	45%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	3.7 / 5 (74%)
20th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 185	22	8.6	39%	0.3 / 14 (2%)		8.4 / 8 (104%)
14th Feb '21	UFC 258	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
6th Feb '21	UFC FN	10	-4.6	-46%	0.4 / 5 (8%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
29th Jan '21	LFA 98	2	-0.3	-13%	-0.3 / 2 (-13%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	8	1.2	15%	4.2 / 5 (84%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
20th Jan '21	UFC on ESPN 20	16.5	6.8	41%	0.7 / 5.5 (12%)		6.2 / 11 (56%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	17	-0.7	-4%	4.3 / 12 (36%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
31st Dec '20	Rizin FF 26	5	2.7	54%			2.7 / 5 (54%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	6	0.1	1%	0.1 / 6 (1%)
13th Dec '20	UFC 256	24	4.4	18%	-8.7 / 15 (-58%)	13.1 / 9 (145%)
6th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 16	18	-4.7	-26%	5.3 / 8 (67%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
29th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 15	30	-6.8	-23%	-14.3 / 18 (-79%)	7.5 / 12 (63%)
21st Nov '20	UFC 255	14	2.7	19%	5.2 / 6.5 (81%)	-4.8 / 5.5 (-88%)	2.3 / 2 (115%)
19th Nov '20	Bellator 253	3	-3.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
18th Nov '20	DWCS 36	1	-1.0	-100%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
14th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 14	6	4.8	80%	1.6 / 3 (53%)		3.2 / 3 (108%)
12th Nov '20	Bellator 252	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th Nov '20	DWCS 35	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 13	16	1.5	10%	1.5 / 16 (10%)
5th Nov '20	Bellator 251	2	1.9	95%	1.9 / 2 (95%)
5th Nov '20	DWCS 34	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
31st Oct '20	UFC Vegas 12	9	3.7	41%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)		5.7 / 7 (82%)
30th Oct '20	LFA 94	1	0.7	67%	0.7 / 1 (67%)
29th Oct '20	Bellator 250	2	1.2	59%	1.2 / 2 (59%)

Winning Events: 14 (56%)
Losing Events: 11 (44%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.92 units
Most Staked On One Event: 30.00 units
Best Event: 8.61 units
Worst Event: -6.77 units
Average Event: 0.70 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 11.31
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -11.43

Pats Picks: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	83	12.3	15%	7.1 / 46 (15%)	-4.3 / 13 (-33%)	9.5 / 24 (40%)	4 / 4 (50%)	1.54
2020	140	5.2	4%	-10.5 / 82.5 (-13%)	2.7 / 39.5 (7%)	13.0 / 18 (72%)	10 / 7 (59%)	0.31

Pats Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

To view these stats, you need to be a VIP

Pats Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	204	18.4	9%	-3.9 / 118.5 (-3%)	1.4 / 49.5 (3%)	20.8 / 36 (58%)
Bellator	8	-0.9	-11%	2.1 / 5 (42%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
Other	11	0.1	1%	-1.6 / 5 (-32%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	2.7 / 5 (54%)

Pats Picks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	6 (15%)	4	67 %	42.00	-2.36	-0.39	-6%
Slight Favorites	13 (32%)	9	69 %	37.50	15.49	1.19	41%
Slight Underdogs	15 (37%)	5	33 %	39.00	-11.09	-0.74	-28%
Big Underdogs	7 (17%)	1	14 %	10.00	-5.43	-0.78	-54%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	6 (15%)	3	50 %	19.50	1.75	0.29	9%
Co-Main Event	6 (15%)	1	17 %	8.00	-6.33	-1.06	-79%
Position 3-5	10 (24%)	5	50 %	45.00	-12.10	-1.21	-27%
6+ (Undercard)	19 (46%)	10	53 %	56.00	13.30	0.70	24%

Pats Picks: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	7 (17%)	4	57 %	41.00	-2.47	-0.35	-6%
Light Heavy	6 (15%)	2	33 %	16.00	1.24	0.21	8%
Middleweight	6 (15%)	6	100 %	16.00	11.37	1.89	71%
Welterweight	4 (10%)		0 %	8.50	-8.50	-2.13	-100%
Lightweight	3 (7%)	1	33 %	3.00	-1.33	-0.44	-44%
Featherweight	6 (15%)	2	33 %	19.00	3.63	0.60	19%
Bantamweight	3 (7%)		0 %	5.00	-5.00	-1.67	-100%
Flyweight	2 (5%)	1	50 %	4.50	-0.50	-0.25	-11%

Women's Fights	4 (10%)	3	75 %	15.50	-1.82	-0.45	-12%
Flyweight	3 (7%)	3	100 %	5.50	8.18	2.73	149%
Strawweight	1 (2%)		0 %	10.00	-10.00	-10.00	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	20 (95%)	13	65 %
Slight Favorites	1 (5%)	1	100 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	21	14	67 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	4 (29%)	3	75 %
50-65%	9 (64%)	4	44 %
35-50%	1 (7%)	1	100 %
<35% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	14	8	57 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (7%)	1	100 %	1.74	1.74	1.74	0.7 (74%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (7%)	0	0 %	1.56	1.56	1.56	-1.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision	2 (14%)	2	100 %	2.17	2.45	1.95	2.4 (120%)
Does not go to Decision	8 (57%)	4	50 %	1.50	1.77	1.27	-2.5 (-32%)
Fight Starts Round X	1 (7%)	1	100 %	1.54	1.54	1.54	0.5 (54%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (7%)	0	0 %	1.87	1.87	1.87	-1.0 (-100%)
	14	8	57 %	1.62			-0.8 (-6%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Pats Picks's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
29th Oct	Bellator 250	2	1.2	59%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,011.76
30th Oct	LFA 94	1	0.7	67%		$10.12	$1,011.76	$1,018.51
31st Oct	UFC Vegas 12	9	3.7	41%		$10.19	$1,018.51	$1,056.41
5th Nov	DWCS 34	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.56	$1,056.41	$1,045.85
5th Nov	Bellator 251	2	1.9	95%		$10.46	$1,045.85	$1,065.77
8th Nov	UFC Vegas 13	16	1.5	10%		$10.66	$1,065.77	$1,082.20
11th Nov	DWCS 35	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.82	$1,082.20	$1,071.37
12th Nov	Bellator 252	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.71	$1,071.37	$1,060.66
14th Nov	UFC Vegas 14	6	4.8	80%		$10.61	$1,060.66	$1,111.82
18th Nov	DWCS 36	1	-1.0	-100%		$11.12	$1,111.82	$1,100.70
19th Nov	Bellator 253	3	-3.0	-100%		$11.01	$1,100.70	$1,067.68
21st Nov	UFC 255	14	2.7	19%		$10.68	$1,067.68	$1,096.44
29th Nov	UFC Vegas 15	30	-6.8	-23%		$10.96	$1,096.44	$1,022.24
6th Dec	UFC Vegas 16	18	-4.7	-26%		$10.22	$1,022.24	$974.54
13th Dec	UFC 256	24	4.4	18%		$9.75	$974.54	$1,016.93
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	6	0.1	1%		$10.17	$1,016.93	$1,017.54
31st Dec	Rizin FF 26	5	2.7	54%		$10.18	$1,017.54	$1,045.21
16th Jan	UFC FN	17	-0.7	-4%		$10.45	$1,045.21	$1,038.20
20th Jan	UFC on ESPN 20	16.5	6.8	41%		$10.38	$1,038.20	$1,109.19
24th Jan	UFC 257	8	1.2	15%		$11.09	$1,109.19	$1,122.74
29th Jan	LFA 98	2	-0.3	-13%		$11.23	$1,122.74	$1,119.83
6th Feb	UFC FN	10	-4.6	-46%		$11.20	$1,119.83	$1,068.32
14th Feb	UFC 258	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$10.68	$1,068.32	$1,052.30
20th Feb	UFC Fight Night 185	22	8.6	39%		$10.52	$1,052.30	$1,142.86
28th Feb	UFC Fight Night 186	6	2.7	45%		$11.43	$1,142.86	$1,173.75

ROI % from starting bank balance: 17.38% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Pats Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Feb '21	Sergey Spivak	Jared Vanderaa	1.43	10	TKO, R2 (4:32)
2.	Jan '21	Josh Fremd	Bruno Oliveira	1.74	1	TKO, R1 (2:37)
3.	Feb '21	Lara Fritzen Procopio	Molly McCann	2.70	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jan '21	Makhmud Muradov	Andrew Sanchez	1.74	3	TKO, R3 (2:59)
5.	Jan '21	Amir Albazi	Zhalgas Zhumagulov	2.00	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jan '21	Max Holloway	Calvin Kattar	1.63	10	U Decision (5 rounds)
7.	Jan '21	Omari Akhmedov	Tom Breese	2.05	3	Sub, R2 (1:41)
8.	Dec '20	Marcin Tybura	Greg Hardy	2.02	3	TKO, R2 (4:31)
9.	Dec '20	Cub Swanson	Daniel Pineda	2.10	3	TKO, R2 (1:52)
10.	Nov '20	Norma Dumont	Ashlee Evans-Smith	1.85	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Dec '20	Roman Dolidze	John Allan	1.67	8	Split Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Nov '20	Katlyn Chookagian	Cynthia Calvillo	3.05	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Nov '20	Kyle Daukaus	Dustin Stoltzfus	1.43	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Nov '20	Don'tale Mayes	Roque Martinez	1.53	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Nov '20	Julius Anglickas	Alex Polizzi	1.95	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Nov '20	Alexander Romanov	Marcos Rogerio de Lima	1.36	10	Sub, R1 (4:48)
17.	Nov '20	Trevin Giles	Bevon Lewis	1.95	2	TKO, R3 (1:26)
18.	Oct '20	Aaron McKenzie	Joe Giannetti	1.67	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Oct '20	Gegard Mousasi	Douglas Lima	1.59	2	U Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Feb '21	Maxim Grishin	Dustin Jacoby	2.60	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Feb '21	Eddie Wineland	John Castaneda	2.05	2	TKO, R1 (4:44)	No
3.	Feb '21	Nate Landwehr	Julian Erosa	1.98	2	TKO, R1 (0:56)	No
4.	Feb '21	Gilbert Burns	Kamaru Usman	3.25	1.5	TKO, R3 (0:34)	No
5.	Jan '21	J.J. Okanovich	Lucas Clay	1.59	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Feb '21	Frankie Edgar	Cory Sandhagen	4.50	1	TKO, R1 (0:28)	No
7.	Feb '21	Alistair Overeem	Alexander Volkov	2.52	2	TKO, R2 (2:6)	No
8.	Jan '21	Tyson Nam	Matt Schnell	1.79	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Jan '21	Justin Tafa	Carlos Felipe	2.70	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Dec '20	Kalinn Williams	Michel Pereira	2.00	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Dec '20	Virna Jandiroba	Mackenzie Dern	2.50	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Dec '20	Peter Barrett	Chase Hooper	3.05	2	Sub, R3 (3:2)	No
13.	Nov '20	Takashi Sato	Miguel Baeza	2.55	3	Sub, R2 (4:28)	No
14.	Nov '20	Malcolm Gordon	Su Mudaerji	3.85	2	TKO, R1 (0:44)	No
15.	Nov '20	Josh Parisian	Parker Porter	1.50	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Nov '20	Benson Henderson	Jason Jackson	2.55	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Nov '20	Shaheen Santana	Natan Levy	1.84	1	Sub, R3 (0:55)	No
18.	Nov '20	Vince Murdock	Luis Saldana	2.40	1	TKO, R3 (0:44)	No
19.	Nov '20	Luiz Garagorri	Darren Elkins	2.65	1	Sub, R3 (2:22)	No
20.	Nov '20	Thiago Santos	Glover Teixeira	1.44	3	Sub, R3 (1:49)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Pats Picks: Progress Chart

Chart

Betting Favorites vs Underdogs
In Depth UFC Fight Stats
List of MMA Bookmakers
Best MMA Tipsters
Next UFC Event