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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 3131
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 1183

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Pats Picks

Pats Picks (PatsPicks)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Pats Picks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 31 (50%) Right 19 (48%) Right 4 (36%) Right 8 (73%)
Wrong 31 (50%) Wrong 21 (53%) Wrong 7 (64%) Wrong 3 (27%)
Avg Odds 1.94 Avg Odds 2.03 Avg Odds 1.73 Avg Odds 1.87
Units Bet 223.0 Units Bet 128.5 Units Bet 52.5 Units Bet 42.0
Avg Bet 3.60 Avg Bet 3.21 Avg Bet 4.77 Avg Bet 3.82
Units Profit 17.56 Units Profit -3.38 Units Profit -1.57 Units Profit 22.51
ROI % 8% ROI % -3% ROI % -3% ROI % 54%
View Handicapper's Profile

Pats Picks: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 6 2.7 45% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 3.7 / 5 (74%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 22 8.6 39% 0.3 / 14 (2%) 8.4 / 8 (104%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 10 -4.6 -46% 0.4 / 5 (8%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
29th Jan '21 LFA 98 2 -0.3 -13% -0.3 / 2 (-13%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 8 1.2 15% 4.2 / 5 (84%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 16.5 6.8 41% 0.7 / 5.5 (12%) 6.2 / 11 (56%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 17 -0.7 -4% 4.3 / 12 (36%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
31st Dec '20 Rizin FF 26 5 2.7 54% 2.7 / 5 (54%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 6 0.1 1% 0.1 / 6 (1%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 24 4.4 18% -8.7 / 15 (-58%) 13.1 / 9 (145%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 18 -4.7 -26% 5.3 / 8 (67%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 30 -6.8 -23% -14.3 / 18 (-79%) 7.5 / 12 (63%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 14 2.7 19% 5.2 / 6.5 (81%) -4.8 / 5.5 (-88%) 2.3 / 2 (115%)
19th Nov '20 Bellator 253 3 -3.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
18th Nov '20 DWCS 36 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
14th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 14 6 4.8 80% 1.6 / 3 (53%) 3.2 / 3 (108%)
12th Nov '20 Bellator 252 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th Nov '20 DWCS 35 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 13 16 1.5 10% 1.5 / 16 (10%)
5th Nov '20 Bellator 251 2 1.9 95% 1.9 / 2 (95%)
5th Nov '20 DWCS 34 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 9 3.7 41% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 5.7 / 7 (82%)
30th Oct '20 LFA 94 1 0.7 67% 0.7 / 1 (67%)
29th Oct '20 Bellator 250 2 1.2 59% 1.2 / 2 (59%)


Winning Events: 14 (56%)
Losing Events: 11 (44%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.92 units
Most Staked On One Event: 30.00 units
Best Event: 8.61 units
Worst Event: -6.77 units
Average Event: 0.70 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 11.31
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -11.43

Pats Picks: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 83 12.3 15% 7.1 / 46 (15%) -4.3 / 13 (-33%) 9.5 / 24 (40%) 4 / 4 (50%) 1.54
2020 140 5.2 4% -10.5 / 82.5 (-13%) 2.7 / 39.5 (7%) 13.0 / 18 (72%) 10 / 7 (59%) 0.31

Pats Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Pats Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 204 18.4 9% -3.9 / 118.5 (-3%) 1.4 / 49.5 (3%) 20.8 / 36 (58%)
Bellator 8 -0.9 -11% 2.1 / 5 (42%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
Other 11 0.1 1% -1.6 / 5 (-32%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2.7 / 5 (54%)

Pats Picks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 6 (15%) 4 67 % 42.00 -2.36 -0.39 -6%
Slight Favorites 13 (32%) 9 69 % 37.50 15.49 1.19 41%
Slight Underdogs 15 (37%) 5 33 % 39.00 -11.09 -0.74 -28%
Big Underdogs 7 (17%) 1 14 % 10.00 -5.43 -0.78 -54%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 6 (15%) 3 50 % 19.50 1.75 0.29 9%
Co-Main Event 6 (15%) 1 17 % 8.00 -6.33 -1.06 -79%
Position 3-5 10 (24%) 5 50 % 45.00 -12.10 -1.21 -27%
6+ (Undercard) 19 (46%) 10 53 % 56.00 13.30 0.70 24%

Pats Picks: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 7 (17%) 4 57 % 41.00 -2.47 -0.35 -6%
Light Heavy 6 (15%) 2 33 % 16.00 1.24 0.21 8%
Middleweight 6 (15%) 6 100 % 16.00 11.37 1.89 71%
Welterweight 4 (10%) 0 % 8.50 -8.50 -2.13 -100%
Lightweight 3 (7%) 1 33 % 3.00 -1.33 -0.44 -44%
Featherweight 6 (15%) 2 33 % 19.00 3.63 0.60 19%
Bantamweight 3 (7%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -1.67 -100%
Flyweight 2 (5%) 1 50 % 4.50 -0.50 -0.25 -11%
               
Women's Fights 4 (10%) 3 75 % 15.50 -1.82 -0.45 -12%
Flyweight 3 (7%) 3 100 % 5.50 8.18 2.73 149%
Strawweight 1 (2%) 0 % 10.00 -10.00 -10.00 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 20 (95%) 13 65 %
Slight Favorites 1 (5%) 1 100 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
21 14 67 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 4 (29%) 3 75 %
50-65% 9 (64%) 4 44 %
35-50% 1 (7%) 1 100 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
14 8 57 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (7%) 1 100 % 1.74 1.74Pick was correct 1.74Pick was correct 0.7 (74%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (7%) 0 0 % 1.56 1.56Pick was incorrect 1.56Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision 2 (14%) 2 100 % 2.17 2.45Pick was correct 1.95Pick was correct 2.4 (120%)
Does not go to Decision 8 (57%) 4 50 % 1.50 1.77Pick was incorrect 1.27Pick was correct -2.5 (-32%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (7%) 1 100 % 1.54 1.54Pick was correct 1.54Pick was incorrect 0.5 (54%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 1 (7%) 0 0 % 1.87 1.87Pick was incorrect 1.87Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
14 8 57 % 1.62     -0.8 (-6%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Pats Picks's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
29th Oct Bellator 250 2 1.2 59% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,011.76
30th Oct LFA 94 1 0.7 67% $10.12 $1,011.76 $1,018.51
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 9 3.7 41% $10.19 $1,018.51 $1,056.41
5th Nov DWCS 34 1 -1.0 -100% $10.56 $1,056.41 $1,045.85
5th Nov Bellator 251 2 1.9 95% $10.46 $1,045.85 $1,065.77
8th Nov UFC Vegas 13 16 1.5 10% $10.66 $1,065.77 $1,082.20
11th Nov DWCS 35 1 -1.0 -100% $10.82 $1,082.20 $1,071.37
12th Nov Bellator 252 1 -1.0 -100% $10.71 $1,071.37 $1,060.66
14th Nov UFC Vegas 14 6 4.8 80% $10.61 $1,060.66 $1,111.82
18th Nov DWCS 36 1 -1.0 -100% $11.12 $1,111.82 $1,100.70
19th Nov Bellator 253 3 -3.0 -100% $11.01 $1,100.70 $1,067.68
21st Nov UFC 255 14 2.7 19% $10.68 $1,067.68 $1,096.44
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 30 -6.8 -23% $10.96 $1,096.44 $1,022.24
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 18 -4.7 -26% $10.22 $1,022.24 $974.54
13th Dec UFC 256 24 4.4 18% $9.75 $974.54 $1,016.93
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 6 0.1 1% $10.17 $1,016.93 $1,017.54
31st Dec Rizin FF 26 5 2.7 54% $10.18 $1,017.54 $1,045.21
16th Jan UFC FN 17 -0.7 -4% $10.45 $1,045.21 $1,038.20
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 16.5 6.8 41% $10.38 $1,038.20 $1,109.19
24th Jan UFC 257 8 1.2 15% $11.09 $1,109.19 $1,122.74
29th Jan LFA 98 2 -0.3 -13% $11.23 $1,122.74 $1,119.83
6th Feb UFC FN 10 -4.6 -46% $11.20 $1,119.83 $1,068.32
14th Feb UFC 258 1.5 -1.5 -100% $10.68 $1,068.32 $1,052.30
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 22 8.6 39% $10.52 $1,052.30 $1,142.86
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 6 2.7 45% $11.43 $1,142.86 $1,173.75


ROI % from starting bank balance: 17.38% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Pats Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '21 Sergey Spivak Jared Vanderaa 1.43 10 TKO, R2 (4:32) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jan '21 Josh Fremd Bruno Oliveira 1.74 1 TKO, R1 (2:37) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Lara Fritzen Procopio Molly McCann 2.70 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '21 Makhmud Muradov Andrew Sanchez 1.74 3 TKO, R3 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '21 Amir Albazi Zhalgas Zhumagulov 2.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '21 Max Holloway Calvin Kattar 1.63 10 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '21 Omari Akhmedov Tom Breese 2.05 3 Sub, R2 (1:41) MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '20 Marcin Tybura Greg Hardy 2.02 3 TKO, R2 (4:31) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '20 Cub Swanson Daniel Pineda 2.10 3 TKO, R2 (1:52) MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '20 Norma Dumont Ashlee Evans-Smith 1.85 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '20 Roman Dolidze John Allan 1.67 8 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '20 Katlyn Chookagian Cynthia Calvillo 3.05 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '20 Kyle Daukaus Dustin Stoltzfus 1.43 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '20 Don'tale Mayes Roque Martinez 1.53 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '20 Julius Anglickas Alex Polizzi 1.95 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '20 Alexander Romanov Marcos Rogerio de Lima 1.36 10 Sub, R1 (4:48) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '20 Trevin Giles Bevon Lewis 1.95 2 TKO, R3 (1:26) MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '20 Aaron McKenzie Joe Giannetti 1.67 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '20 Gegard Mousasi Douglas Lima 1.59 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '21 Maxim Grishin Dustin Jacoby 2.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Eddie Wineland John Castaneda 2.05 2 TKO, R1 (4:44) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Nate Landwehr Julian Erosa 1.98 2 TKO, R1 (0:56) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Gilbert Burns Kamaru Usman 3.25 1.5 TKO, R3 (0:34) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '21 J.J. Okanovich Lucas Clay 1.59 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '21 Frankie Edgar Cory Sandhagen 4.50 1 TKO, R1 (0:28) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '21 Alistair Overeem Alexander Volkov 2.52 2 TKO, R2 (2:6) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '21 Tyson Nam Matt Schnell 1.79 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '21 Justin Tafa Carlos Felipe 2.70 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '20 Kalinn Williams Michel Pereira 2.00 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '20 Virna Jandiroba Mackenzie Dern 2.50 10 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '20 Peter Barrett Chase Hooper 3.05 2 Sub, R3 (3:2) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '20 Takashi Sato Miguel Baeza 2.55 3 Sub, R2 (4:28) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '20 Malcolm Gordon Su Mudaerji 3.85 2 TKO, R1 (0:44) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '20 Josh Parisian Parker Porter 1.50 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '20 Benson Henderson Jason Jackson 2.55 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '20 Shaheen Santana Natan Levy 1.84 1 Sub, R3 (0:55) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '20 Vince Murdock Luis Saldana 2.40 1 TKO, R3 (0:44) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '20 Luiz Garagorri Darren Elkins 2.65 1 Sub, R3 (2:22) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '20 Thiago Santos Glover Teixeira 1.44 3 Sub, R3 (1:49) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Pats Picks: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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