MMA Handicapper Stats: TheMMA Casual |
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TheMMA Casual: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
28th Feb '21 |
UFC Fight Night 186 |
17 |
-9.3 |
-55% |
-3.3 / 11 (-30%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
20th Feb '21 |
UFC Fight Night 185 |
26 |
1.0 |
4% |
4.7 / 13 (37%) |
-3.7 / 13 (-29%) |
|
14th Feb '21 |
UFC 258 |
24 |
3.0 |
13% |
3.0 / 24 (13%) |
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|
6th Feb '21 |
UFC FN |
30 |
23.7 |
79% |
14.5 / 19 (77%) |
6.1 / 6 (102%) |
3.0 / 5 (60%) |
24th Jan '21 |
UFC 257 |
32.8 |
-12.8 |
-39% |
-0.8 / 20.8 (-4%) |
-12.0 / 12 (-100%) |
|
20th Jan '21 |
UFC on ESPN 20 |
29 |
5.3 |
18% |
-1.6 / 19 (-8%) |
6.8 / 10 (68%) |
|
16th Jan '21 |
UFC FN |
28 |
3.6 |
13% |
11.7 / 14 (84%) |
-3.1 / 9 (-35%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
26th Sep '20 |
UFC 253 |
6.25 |
-4.7 |
-74% |
0.6 / 1 (60%) |
-2.8 / 2.75 (-100%) |
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
19th Sep '20 |
UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley |
10.15 |
-6.8 |
-67% |
-2.6 / 6 (-43%) |
-3.7 / 3.65 (-100%) |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
16th Sep '20 |
DWCS 33 |
1 |
1.3 |
125% |
1.3 / 1 (125%) |
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13th Sep '20 |
Bellator 246 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
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12th Sep '20 |
UFC Fight Night 184 |
7.4 |
-1.6 |
-21% |
-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) |
1.9 / 3.9 (50%) |
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9th Sep '20 |
DWCS 32 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
|
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5th Sep '20 |
UFC Fight Night 183 |
5.7 |
0.3 |
6% |
-1.0 / 4.9 (-20%) |
1.3 / 0.8 (162%) |
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2nd Sep '20 |
DWCS 31 |
0.3 |
1.9 |
648% |
|
|
1.9 / 0.3 (648%) |
29th Aug '20 |
UFC Fight Night 182 |
6.7 |
-3.2 |
-48% |
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
-0.7 / 4.2 (-17%) |
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22nd Aug '20 |
UFC Vegas 7 |
5 |
4.0 |
80% |
5.5 / 3.5 (157%) |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
21st Aug '20 |
Bellator 244 |
3.5 |
3.8 |
107% |
3.8 / 3.5 (107%) |
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15th Aug '20 |
UFC 252 |
8.05 |
-2.0 |
-25% |
-0.4 / 6.5 (-7%) |
-1.6 / 1.55 (-100%) |
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8th Aug '20 |
UFC Vegas 6 |
5.2 |
2.5 |
48% |
2.2 / 3.5 (63%) |
0.3 / 1.7 (18%) |
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1st Aug '20 |
UFC Vegas 5 |
2.35 |
0.7 |
30% |
|
0.7 / 2.35 (30%) |
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27th Jun '20 |
UFC Fight Night 175 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
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20th Jun '20 |
UFC Fight Night 174 |
4 |
-2.9 |
-72% |
-2.4 / 3.5 (-68%) |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
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13th Jun '20 |
UFC Fight Night 173 |
3.8 |
0.2 |
6% |
-0.6 / 2.5 (-24%) |
-0.3 / 0.3 (-100%) |
1.1 / 1 (110%) |
6th Jun '20 |
UFC 250 |
7.4 |
-3.0 |
-41% |
-3.0 / 5.5 (-54%) |
0.1 / 1.75 (6%) |
-0.2 / 0.15 (-100%) |
30th May '20 |
UFC Fight Night 172 |
4.89 |
-1.9 |
-39% |
0.0 / 2 (0%) |
-1.8 / 2.75 (-64%) |
-0.1 / 0.14 (-100%) |
16th May '20 |
UFC Fight Night 171 |
5.07 |
1.4 |
28% |
1.9 / 4.57 (41%) |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
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14th May '20 |
UFC Fight Night 170 |
4.75 |
0.5 |
11% |
0.4 / 1.25 (34%) |
1.1 / 2.5 (45%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
10th May '20 |
UFC 249 |
7.25 |
-0.6 |
-8% |
0.9 / 1 (85%) |
-0.4 / 5.25 (-8%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
14th Mar '20 |
UFC Fight Night 169 |
6 |
-1.6 |
-27% |
0.0 / 4.4 (0%) |
-0.4 / 0.35 (-100%) |
-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) |
8th Mar '20 |
UFC 248 |
6.5 |
0.7 |
11% |
0.5 / 5 (10%) |
-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) |
0.5 / 1.25 (39%) |
29th Feb '20 |
UFC Fight Night |
7 |
-4.0 |
-57% |
-2.0 / 5 (-40%) |
-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%) |
-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) |
22nd Feb '20 |
UFC Fight Night 168 |
7.85 |
-3.3 |
-42% |
-1.9 / 6.5 (-30%) |
-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) |
-1.1 / 1.1 (-100%) |
15th Feb '20 |
UFC Fight Night 167 |
8.75 |
4.8 |
54% |
2.9 / 8 (36%) |
1.9 / 0.75 (250%) |
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9th Feb '20 |
UFC 247 |
6.25 |
4.6 |
73% |
3.1 / 3 (103%) |
0.7 / 2 (37%) |
0.7 / 1.25 (57%) |
25th Jan '20 |
UFC Fight Night 166 |
7 |
2.6 |
37% |
1.0 / 3.5 (29%) |
0.6 / 2.5 (26%) |
1.0 / 1 (96%) |
18th Jan '20 |
UFC 246 |
10.8 |
-5.0 |
-46% |
-4.6 / 7.5 (-62%) |
-0.0 / 1.5 (-2%) |
-0.3 / 1.8 (-18%) |
31st Aug '19 |
UFC Fight Night 157 |
9.5 |
-6.2 |
-65% |
-2.7 / 6 (-45%) |
|
-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) |
24th Aug '19 |
Bellator 225 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
105% |
1.6 / 1.5 (105%) |
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17th Aug '19 |
UFC 241 |
11.3 |
-0.1 |
-1% |
0.5 / 7.5 (7%) |
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-0.7 / 3.8 (-17%) |
Winning Events: 20 (50%) Losing Events: 20 (50%)
Average Staked Per Event: 9.35 units Most Staked On One Event: 32.80 units Best Event: 23.70 units Worst Event: -12.80 units Average Event: -0.18 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 27.76 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -12.80 |
TheMMA Casual: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2021 |
186.8 |
14.5 |
8% |
28.3 / 120.8 (23%) |
-6.9 / 51 (-14%) |
-7.0 / 15 (-47%) |
5 / 2 (71%) |
2.07 |
2020 |
164.91 |
-17.1 |
-10% |
-5.1 / 103.62 (-5%) |
-7.0 / 44.8 (-16%) |
-5.0 / 16.49 (-30%) |
14 / 16 (47%) |
-0.57 |
2019 |
22.3 |
-4.7 |
-21% |
-0.6 / 15 (-4%) |
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-4.2 / 7.3 (-57%) |
1 / 2 (33%) |
-1.58 |
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TheMMA Casual: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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TheMMA Casual: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
364.21 |
-12.4 |
-3% |
19.6 / 229.92 (9%) |
-13.9 / 95.8 (-15%) |
-18.1 / 38.49 (-47%) |
Bellator |
8 |
2.3 |
29% |
2.3 / 8 (29%) |
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Other |
1.8 |
2.7 |
150% |
0.8 / 1.5 (50%) |
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1.9 / 0.3 (648%) |
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TheMMA Casual: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
13 (9%) |
11 |
85 % |
40.00 |
9.20 |
0.71 |
23% |
Slight Favorites |
49 (35%) |
29 |
59 % |
100.57 |
8.64 |
0.18 |
9% |
Slight Underdogs |
56 (40%) |
23 |
41 % |
78.50 |
-5.91 |
-0.11 |
-8% |
Big Underdogs |
22 (16%) |
8 |
36 % |
20.35 |
10.78 |
0.49 |
53% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
17 (12%) |
8 |
47 % |
34.25 |
-3.53 |
-0.21 |
-10% |
Co-Main Event |
17 (12%) |
6 |
35 % |
29.50 |
-9.99 |
-0.59 |
-34% |
Position 3-5 |
40 (29%) |
20 |
50 % |
72.32 |
3.46 |
0.09 |
5% |
6+ (Undercard) |
66 (47%) |
37 |
56 % |
103.35 |
32.77 |
0.50 |
32% |
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TheMMA Casual: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
7 (5%) |
5 |
71 % |
16.00 |
6.78 |
0.97 |
42% |
Light Heavy |
7 (5%) |
3 |
43 % |
10.50 |
1.87 |
0.27 |
18% |
Middleweight |
15 (11%) |
10 |
67 % |
30.30 |
11.55 |
0.77 |
38% |
Welterweight |
19 (14%) |
11 |
58 % |
34.50 |
3.23 |
0.17 |
9% |
Lightweight |
19 (14%) |
11 |
58 % |
32.00 |
1.18 |
0.06 |
4% |
Featherweight |
16 (11%) |
7 |
44 % |
26.57 |
3.39 |
0.21 |
13% |
Bantamweight |
18 (13%) |
9 |
50 % |
28.40 |
1.40 |
0.08 |
5% |
Flyweight |
11 (8%) |
5 |
45 % |
17.50 |
-1.66 |
-0.15 |
-9% |
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Women's Fights |
28 (20%) |
10 |
36 % |
43.65 |
-5.02 |
-0.18 |
-12% |
Bantamweight |
7 (5%) |
3 |
43 % |
10.75 |
3.35 |
0.48 |
31% |
Flyweight |
11 (8%) |
5 |
45 % |
18.50 |
-0.33 |
-0.03 |
-2% |
Strawweight |
10 (7%) |
2 |
20 % |
14.40 |
-8.03 |
-0.80 |
-56% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
36 (44%) |
28 |
78 % |
Slight Favorites |
27 (33%) |
8 |
30 % |
Slight Underdogs |
16 (20%) |
8 |
50 % |
Big Underdogs |
3 (4%) |
2 |
67 % |
|
82 |
46 |
56 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
9 (8%) |
5 |
56 % |
50-65% |
21 (18%) |
9 |
43 % |
35-50% |
20 (17%) |
7 |
35 % |
<35% chance |
65 (57%) |
12 |
18 % |
|
115 |
33 |
29 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail TheMMA Casual's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
ROI % from starting bank balance: -12.17% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
TheMMA Casual: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
TheMMA Casual: Progress Chart |
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