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Straight Pick Stats
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|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
76 (13%) |
54 |
71 % |
260.30 |
12.34 |
0.16 |
5% |
Slight Favorites |
201 (35%) |
111 |
55 % |
500.22 |
-10.11 |
-0.05 |
-2% |
Slight Underdogs |
222 (38%) |
107 |
48 % |
393.37 |
35.01 |
0.16 |
9% |
Big Underdogs |
79 (14%) |
18 |
23 % |
92.42 |
-29.57 |
-0.37 |
-32% |
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Progress Chart
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Click here to view breakdown of straight picks |
TheMMA Casual's MMA Handicapper Bio
|
2021 was my first full year taping, betting and tracking every UFC event, I am still adjusting and tweaking a few things with my betting style, but I believe I have an eye for the tape and I'm looking to match or beat my 2021 results (150 units profit) I 2022.
I will stick mostly to the UFC as I feel there is less variance, and it allows me to spend more time on each fight.
I look at it as there being, give or take, 12 fights a week, and roughly 40 events a year, this isn't like football or tennis where there are games to bet all day everyday. It's a limited opportunity, so make the most of every event and hopefully find a bet on most fights. |
Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by TheMMA Casual |
This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights. |
TheMMA Casual's MMA Handicapper's Pick History
|
Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Igor da Silva vs Andre Lima |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.50 |
|
|
2 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
50% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Miles Johns vs Cody Gibson |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
L |
2.10 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Kurt Holobaugh vs Trey Ogden |
Ogden wins in round 3/Dec |
W |
2.20 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.60 |
$6.00 |
120% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Luis Pajuelo vs Fernando Padilla |
Fight goes the distance |
L |
1.57 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Amanda Ribas vs Rose Namajunas |
Ribas wins in round 4,5 or by Dec |
L |
4.20 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Amanda Ribas vs Rose Namajunas |
Namajunas wins by (T)KO round 1 |
L |
7.00 |
|
|
0.1 |
-0.10 |
$-1.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.10 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-20% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
8.60 |
-1.63 |
$-16.30 |
-19% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Joshua Culibao |
Danny Silva |
L |
1.50 |
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.50 |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Thiago Moises vs Mitch Ramirez |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.80 |
|
|
2 |
1.60 |
$16.00 |
80% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Bryan Battle vs Ange Loosa |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
NA |
2.15 |
|
|
1 |
0.00 |
$0.00 |
0% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Charalampos Grigoriou vs Chad Anheliger |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.50 |
|
|
2 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
50% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Joshua Culibao vs Danny Silva |
Culibao wins by submission |
L |
8.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Bryan Barberena vs Gerald Meerschaert |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.57 |
|
|
1 |
0.57 |
$5.70 |
57% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Bryan Battle vs Ange Loosa |
Battle wins by submission |
NA |
5.20 |
|
|
0.25 |
0.00 |
$0.00 |
0% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
6.50 |
2.92 |
$29.20 |
45% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
7.50 |
1.92 |
$19.20 |
26% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Joanne Wood vs Maryna Moroz |
Moroz wins by TKO/KO |
L |
15.00 |
|
|
0.1 |
-0.10 |
$-1.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Carlos Vergara vs Assu Almabaev |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.49 |
|
|
1 |
0.49 |
$4.90 |
49% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Michel Pereira vs Michal Oleksiejczuk |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
2.45 |
|
|
1 |
1.45 |
$14.50 |
145% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Michael Page vs Kevin Holland |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
L |
2.20 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Dustin Poirier vs Benoit Saint-Denis |
Saint-Denis wins in round 1/2 |
L |
6.50 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.60 |
0.34 |
$3.40 |
9% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
8.10 |
0.36 |
$3.60 |
4% |
|
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Vinicius de Oliveira vs Bernardo Sopai |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.75 |
|
|
2 |
1.50 |
$15.00 |
75% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Matt Schnell vs Steve Erceg |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
2.15 |
|
|
1 |
1.15 |
$11.50 |
115% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.00 |
2.65 |
$26.50 |
88% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.00 |
2.65 |
$26.50 |
88% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Brian Ortega vs Yair Rodriguez |
Over 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.66 |
|
|
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Victor Altamirano vs Felipe Dos Santos |
Dos Santos wins inside distance |
L |
3.25 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Mateus Mendonca vs Jesus Santos Aguilar |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
L |
1.50 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Erik Silva vs Muhammadjon Naimov |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.62 |
|
|
1 |
0.62 |
$6.20 |
62% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
4.50 |
-2.88 |
$-28.80 |
-64% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
6.50 |
-4.88 |
$-48.80 |
-75% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.25 |
-3.25 |
$-32.50 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.50 |
-0.20 |
$-2.00 |
-6% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.00 |
1.85 |
$18.50 |
37% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.50 |
4.73 |
$47.25 |
135% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jim Miller vs Gabriel Benitez |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.75 |
|
|
1 |
0.75 |
$7.50 |
75% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Farid Basharat vs Taylor Lapilus |
Lapilus wins by TKO/KO |
L |
9.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Marcus McGhee vs Gaston Bolanos |
McGhee wins in round 1/2 |
W |
3.75 |
|
|
0.5 |
1.37 |
$13.75 |
275% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Andrei Arlovski vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta |
Cortes-Acosta wins in round 2/3 |
L |
3.25 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.25 |
1.37 |
$13.75 |
61% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
4.75 |
0.37 |
$3.75 |
8% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
12.00 |
-3.24 |
$-32.40 |
-27% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Ilia Topuria vs Josh Emmett |
Fight ends by (T)KO |
L |
1.91 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.00 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
12.00 |
-12.00 |
$-120.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Tereza Bleda vs Gabriella Fernandes |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
L |
2.00 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Nikolas Motta vs Manuel Torres |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
W |
1.30 |
|
|
6 |
1.80 |
$18.00 |
30% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Pat Sabatini vs Lucas Almeida |
Over 1.5 rounds |
L |
1.57 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Carlos Hernandez vs Denys Bondar |
Fight ends by sub |
L |
3.15 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
13.00 |
-5.20 |
$-52.00 |
-40% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
29.50 |
-14.20 |
$-142.00 |
-48% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
15.00 |
-5.25 |
$-52.50 |
-35% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Cody Stamann |
Douglas Silva de Andrade |
L |
1.63 |
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.63 |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Jailton Junior |
Fight ends by (T)KO |
L |
2.15 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Karl Williams vs Chase Sherman |
Fight ends by (T)KO |
L |
1.75 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.00 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.00 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Aljamain Sterling vs Henry Cejudo |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
L |
2.08 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
8.00 |
-3.32 |
$-33.20 |
-41% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
8.00 |
-5.82 |
$-58.20 |
-73% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
7.00 |
8.89 |
$88.90 |
127% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Ion Cutelaba vs Tanner Boser |
Over 1.5 rounds |
L |
1.71 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
8.00 |
-4.26 |
$-42.55 |
-53% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Kevin Holland vs Santiago Ponzinibbio |
Holland to win |
W |
1.42 |
Pi |
Ignacio Bahamondes vs Trey Ogden |
Bahamondes to win |
W |
1.29 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.83 |
|
|
1 |
0.83 |
$8.32 |
83% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Kevin Holland vs Santiago Ponzinibbio |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
W |
1.72 |
|
|
1 |
0.72 |
$7.20 |
72% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Raul Rosas Jr vs Christian Rodriguez |
Rosas Jr wins in round 3/Dec |
L |
2.63 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Raul Rosas Jr vs Christian Rodriguez |
Rodriguez wins by submission |
L |
12.00 |
|
|
0.1 |
-0.10 |
$-1.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Kelvin Gastelum vs Chris Curtis |
Curtis wins by decision |
L |
3.50 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Steve Garcia vs Yilan Sha |
Garcia wins by (T)KO round 1 |
L |
11.00 |
|
|
0.1 |
-0.10 |
$-1.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.95 |
0.60 |
$6.02 |
20% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
4.45 |
2.50 |
$25.02 |
56% |
|
>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history
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