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MMA Handicapper Stats: Willytrooper

Willytrooper (willytrooper)
Mixed Martial Arts Management - Willytrooper

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 88 (54%) Right 57 (55%) Right 7 (39%) Right 24 (59%)
Wrong 75 (46%) Wrong 47 (45%) Wrong 11 (61%) Wrong 17 (41%)
Avg Odds 1.87 Avg Odds 1.83 Avg Odds 2.05 Avg Odds 1.93
Units Bet 397.1 Units Bet 233.0 Units Bet 25.8 Units Bet 138.3
Avg Bet 2.44 Avg Bet 2.24 Avg Bet 1.43 Avg Bet 3.37
Units Profit 42.26 Units Profit 2.83 Units Profit 1.66 Units Profit 37.77
ROI % 11% ROI % 1% ROI % 6% ROI % 27%
View Handicapper's Profile

Willytrooper : Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
14th Mar '20 UFC Fight Night 170 2 0.7 34% 0.7 / 2 (34%)
8th Mar '20 UFC 248 7.18 2.2 31% -2.2 / 2.18 (-100%) 4.4 / 5 (88%)
29th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 20.36 0.4 2% -6.9 / 11.78 (-59%) 7.3 / 8.58 (85%)
22nd Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 168 9.75 1.3 13% 2.0 / 7.27 (27%) -0.6 / 2.48 (-26%)
22nd Feb '20 Bellator 240 2.49 1.2 50% 1.2 / 2.49 (50%)
21st Feb '20 Bellator 239 2.5 1.7 68% 1.7 / 2.5 (68%)
15th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 167 13.26 -13.3 -100% -8.2 / 8.21 (-100%) -1.3 / 1.26 (-100%) -3.8 / 3.79 (-100%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 7.63 0.3 4% -2.6 / 2.63 (-100%) 3.0 / 5 (59%)
26th Jan '20 Bellator 238 3.9 1.5 37% -0.9 / 0.9 (-100%) 2.4 / 3 (79%)
25th Jan '20 UFC Fight Night 166 7.96 -1.7 -22% 0.5 / 3 (17%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -1.7 / 4.46 (-39%)
18th Jan '20 UFC 246 10 -3.8 -38% -1.2 / 3 (-40%) -2.6 / 7 (-37%)
15th Dec '19 UFC 245 66.16 53.2 80% -1.6 / 20.82 (-8%) 54.9 / 45.34 (121%)
7th Dec '19 UFC on ESPN 7 3.5 0.5 14% 0.5 / 3.5 (14%)
16th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 164 13.5 8.3 62% 8.8 / 13 (68%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
14th Nov '19 Bellator 234 0.5 1.0 200% 1.0 / 0.5 (200%)
9th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 163 22.5 4.5 20% 4.7 / 5.5 (86%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 1.8 / 15 (12%)
9th Nov '19 Combate 49 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
9th Nov '19 Bellator 233 2 2.0 100% 2.0 / 2 (100%)
2nd Nov '19 UFC 244 16.91 -14.2 -84% -9.2 / 11.91 (-78%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
26th Oct '19 Bellator 232 6 -6.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
26th Oct '19 UFC Fight Night 162 12 -3.1 -26% -3.1 / 12 (-26%)
25th Oct '19 Bellator 231 2.43 0.6 26% 0.6 / 2.43 (26%)
18th Oct '19 UFC ESPN 6 18.75 -7.3 -39% -7.3 / 18.75 (-39%)
12th Oct '19 UFC on ESPN+ 19 21.5 5.1 24% 4.4 / 18 (25%) 0.7 / 3.5 (20%)
12th Oct '19 Combate 46 4 -0.8 -20% -0.8 / 4 (-20%)
5th Oct '19 UFC 243 16 -6.3 -40% -2.6 / 10 (-26%) -1.7 / 4 (-44%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
5th Oct '19 Bellator 229 6.67 0.6 9% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 2.6 / 4.67 (56%)
28th Sep '19 Bellator 228 2.4 0.5 20% 0.5 / 2.4 (20%)
28th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 160 19.52 5.1 26% 8.5 / 16.12 (53%) -3.4 / 3.4 (-100%)
27th Sep '19 Combate 45 1 1.1 115% 1.1 / 1 (115%)
27th Sep '19 Bellator Dublin 8 1.6 20% 1.6 / 8 (20%)
21st Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 159 11 -1.2 -11% 1.1 / 6 (19%) -2.3 / 5 (-46%)
20th Sep '19 Combate 43 1.2 1.7 145% 1.7 / 1.2 (145%)
14th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 158 10.6 3.1 29% 3.7 / 10 (37%) -0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)
8th Sep '19 Bellator 226 2.4 0.5 20% 0.5 / 2.4 (20%)
7th Sep '19 UFC 242 9.6 2.6 27% 0.9 / 0.6 (150%) 1.7 / 9 (18%)
31st Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 157 11.4 0.9 8% 1.2 / 7.8 (15%) 0.9 / 2.4 (38%) -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
27th Aug '19 DWCS 26 1.6 -1.6 -100% -1.6 / 1.6 (-100%)
23rd Aug '19 Combate 42 0.5 1.6 315% 1.6 / 0.5 (315%)
20th Aug '19 DWCS 25 2.5 0.2 8% 0.2 / 2.5 (8%)
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 10 1.7 17% 1.7 / 10 (17%)
14th Aug '19 DWCS 24 0.91 0.7 80% 0.7 / 0.91 (80%)


Winning Events: 30 (71%)
Losing Events: 12 (29%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.45 units
Most Staked On One Event: 66.16 units
Best Event: 53.20 units
Worst Event: -14.24 units
Average Event: 1.01 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 67.55
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -23.31

Willytrooper : Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2020 87.03 -9.5 -11% -16.6 / 43.96 (-38%) 4.9 / 12.82 (38%) 2.3 / 30.25 (7%) 8 / 3 (73%) -0.86
2019 310.05 51.7 17% 19.5 / 189.01 (10%) -3.2 / 13 (-25%) 35.5 / 108.04 (33%) 22 / 9 (71%) 1.67

Willytrooper : Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Willytrooper : Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 341.08 39.1 11% -6.9 / 202.07 (-3%) 1.7 / 25.82 (6%) 44.3 / 113.19 (39%)
Bellator 39.29 5.2 13% 5.1 / 20.79 (25%) 0.1 / 18.5 (0%)
Other 16.71 -2.0 -12% 4.6 / 10.11 (46%) -6.6 / 6.6 (-100%)

Willytrooper : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 18 (17%) 15 83 % 59.69 8.88 0.49 15%
Slight Favorites 49 (47%) 22 45 % 119.85 -18.05 -0.37 -15%
Slight Underdogs 32 (31%) 15 47 % 50.63 5.31 0.17 10%
Big Underdogs 5 (5%) 5 100 % 2.80 6.69 1.34 239%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 14 (13%) 7 50 % 30.43 -0.97 -0.07 -3%
Co-Main Event 14 (13%) 10 71 % 25.82 3.32 0.24 13%
Position 3-5 25 (24%) 12 48 % 63.01 -5.46 -0.22 -9%
6+ (Undercard) 51 (49%) 28 55 % 113.71 5.94 0.12 5%

Willytrooper : Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 7 (7%) 6 86 % 16.45 5.68 0.81 35%
Light Heavy 11 (11%) 7 64 % 20.54 4.12 0.37 20%
Middleweight 9 (9%) 6 67 % 27.61 15.16 1.68 55%
Welterweight 17 (16%) 9 53 % 45.62 -8.65 -0.51 -19%
Lightweight 9 (9%) 4 44 % 17.85 -7.46 -0.83 -42%
Featherweight 17 (16%) 10 59 % 30.88 0.61 0.04 2%
Bantamweight 18 (17%) 9 50 % 41.74 0.21 0.01 0%
Flyweight 4 (4%) 2 50 % 13.85 -1.15 -0.29 -8%
               
Women's Fights 12 (12%) 4 33 % 18.43 -5.70 -0.47 -31%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 2.00 2.00 2.00 100%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -1.00 -100%
Flyweight 3 (3%) 1 33 % 4.90 -1.57 -0.52 -32%
Strawweight 6 (6%) 2 33 % 9.53 -4.13 -0.69 -43%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 85 (90%) 67 79 %
Slight Favorites 9 (10%) 4 44 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
94 71 76 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 5 (28%) 3 60 %
50-65% 1 (6%) 0 0 %
35-50% 11 (61%) 4 36 %
<35% chance 1 (6%) 0 0 %
18 7 39 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (11%) 0 0 % 1.53 1.57Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (11%) 0 0 % 2.10 2.10Pick was incorrect 2.10Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision 5 (28%) 2 40 % 1.69 2.70Pick was incorrect 1.32Pick was correct -2.3 (-45%)
Does not go to Decision 3 (17%) 3 100 % 2.16 2.16Pick was correct 2.16Pick was correct 3.5 (116%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (6%) 1 100 % 1.48 1.48Pick was correct 1.48Pick was incorrect 0.5 (48%)
X Wins by KO 2 (11%) 0 0 % 2.50 2.50Pick was incorrect 2.50Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (11%) 1 50 % 2.37 2.50Pick was incorrect 2.25Pick was correct 0.3 (13%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (6%) 0 0 % 4.75 4.75Pick was incorrect 4.75Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
18 7 39 % 1.97     -5.0 (-28%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Willytrooper 's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
14th Aug DWCS 24 0.91 0.7 80% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,007.28
17th Aug UFC 241 10 1.7 17% $10.07 $1,007.28 $1,024.57
20th Aug DWCS 25 2.5 0.2 8% $10.25 $1,024.57 $1,026.62
23rd Aug Combate 42 0.5 1.6 315% $10.27 $1,026.62 $1,042.79
27th Aug DWCS 26 1.6 -1.6 -100% $10.43 $1,042.79 $1,026.11
31st Aug UFC Fight Night 157 11.4 0.9 8% $10.26 $1,026.11 $1,035.27
7th Sep UFC 242 9.6 2.6 27% $10.35 $1,035.27 $1,061.69
8th Sep Bellator 226 2.4 0.5 20% $10.62 $1,061.69 $1,066.79
14th Sep UFC Fight Night 158 10.6 3.1 29% $10.67 $1,066.79 $1,099.47
20th Sep Combate 43 1.2 1.7 145% $10.99 $1,099.47 $1,118.60
21st Sep UFC Fight Night 159 11 -1.2 -11% $11.19 $1,118.60 $1,105.38
27th Sep Bellator Dublin 8 1.6 20% $11.05 $1,105.38 $1,123.07
27th Sep Combate 45 1 1.1 115% $11.23 $1,123.07 $1,135.98
28th Sep UFC Fight Night 160 19.52 5.1 26% $11.36 $1,135.98 $1,194.37
28th Sep Bellator 228 2.4 0.5 20% $11.94 $1,194.37 $1,200.11
5th Oct Bellator 229 6.67 0.6 9% $12.00 $1,200.11 $1,207.32
5th Oct UFC 243 16 -6.3 -40% $12.07 $1,207.32 $1,130.72
12th Oct Combate 46 4 -0.8 -20% $11.31 $1,130.72 $1,121.81
12th Oct UFC on ESPN+ 19 21.5 5.1 24% $11.22 $1,121.81 $1,179.53
18th Oct UFC ESPN 6 18.75 -7.3 -39% $11.80 $1,179.53 $1,093.52
25th Oct Bellator 231 2.43 0.6 26% $10.94 $1,093.52 $1,100.52
26th Oct UFC Fight Night 162 12 -3.1 -26% $11.01 $1,100.52 $1,066.70
26th Oct Bellator 232 6 -6.0 -100% $10.67 $1,066.70 $1,002.69
2nd Nov UFC 244 16.91 -14.2 -84% $10.03 $1,002.69 $859.95
9th Nov Bellator 233 2 2.0 100% $8.60 $859.95 $877.15
9th Nov Combate 49 5 -5.0 -100% $8.77 $877.15 $833.29
9th Nov UFC Fight Night 163 22.5 4.5 20% $8.33 $833.29 $871.03
14th Nov Bellator 234 0.5 1.0 200% $8.71 $871.03 $879.74
16th Nov UFC Fight Night 164 13.5 8.3 62% $8.80 $879.74 $952.92
7th Dec UFC on ESPN 7 3.5 0.5 14% $9.53 $952.92 $957.69
15th Dec UFC 245 66.16 53.2 80% $9.58 $957.69 $1,467.21
18th Jan UFC 246 10 -3.8 -38% $14.67 $1,467.21 $1,411.20
25th Jan UFC Fight Night 166 7.96 -1.7 -22% $14.11 $1,411.20 $1,386.89
26th Jan Bellator 238 3.9 1.5 37% $13.87 $1,386.89 $1,407.10
9th Feb UFC 247 7.63 0.3 4% $14.07 $1,407.10 $1,411.81
15th Feb UFC Fight Night 167 13.26 -13.3 -100% $14.12 $1,411.81 $1,224.61
21st Feb Bellator 239 2.5 1.7 68% $12.25 $1,224.61 $1,245.42
22nd Feb Bellator 240 2.49 1.2 50% $12.45 $1,245.42 $1,260.93
22nd Feb UFC Fight Night 168 9.75 1.3 13% $12.61 $1,260.93 $1,277.39
29th Feb UFC Fight Night 20.36 0.4 2% $12.77 $1,277.39 $1,282.08
8th Mar UFC 248 7.18 2.2 31% $12.82 $1,282.08 $1,310.64
14th Mar UFC Fight Night 170 2 0.7 34% $13.11 $1,310.64 $1,319.55


ROI % from starting bank balance: 31.96% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Willytrooper : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '20 Marcin Tybura Sergey Spivak 1.98 2.45 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '20 Zubaira Tukhugov Kevin Aguilar 2.02 1.24 TKO, R1 (3:21) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '20 Kai Kara-France Tyson Nam 1.41 2.86 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '20 Yan Xiaonan Karolina Kowalkiewicz 1.39 1.93 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '20 Ricky Bandejas Frans Mlambo 1.50 2.49 TKO, R2 (1:25) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '20 Yaroslav Amosov Ed Ruth 1.68 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '20 Arnold Allen Nik Lentz 1.37 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '20 Brett Johns Tony Gravely 2.15 1 Sub, R3 (2:53) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '20 Aleksa Camur Justin Ledet 1.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '19 Marlon Moraes Jose Aldo 1.54 2.45 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '19 Marlon Moraes Jose Aldo 1.54 10 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '19 Jairzinho Rozenstruik Alistair Overeem 2.00 2 TKO, R5 (4:56) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '19 Randy Brown Warlley Alves 2.00 4 Sub, R2 (1:22) MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '19 Linton Vassell Sergei Kharitonov 3.00 0.5 TKO, R2 (0:0) MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '19 Wellington Turman Markus Perez 2.00 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '19 Jan Blachowicz Ronaldo Souza 1.45 4 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '19 Alexander Volkov Greg Hardy 1.40 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '19 Karl Roberson Roman Kopylov 1.91 5 Sub, R3 (4:1) MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '19 Arlene Blencowe Leslie Smith 2.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '19 Shane Burgos Makwan Amirkhani 1.40 1.91 TKO, R3 (4:32) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '20 Li Jingliang Neil Magny 1.57 2.18 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '20 Tom Breese Brendan Allen 1.76 1.86 TKO, R1 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '20 Gabriel Silva Kyler Phillips 1.83 1.87 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '20 Aalon Cruz Spike Carlyle 1.67 1.87 TKO, R1 (1:25) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '20 Joseph Benavidez Deiveson Figueiredo 1.80 3.73 TKO, R2 (1:54) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '20 Michal Oleksiejczuk Jim Crute 1.81 1.24 Sub, R1 (3:29) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '20 Rogerio Bontorin Ray Borg 2.26 1.26 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '20 Casey Kenney Merab Dvalishvili 2.45 1.26 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '20 Mara Romero Borella Montana De La Rosa 2.40 1.9 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '20 Nathaniel Wood John Dodson 1.65 3.79 TKO, R3 (0:16) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '20 Miles Johns Mario Bautista 1.72 0.5 TKO, R2 (1:41) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '20 Alex Morono Kalinn Williams 1.33 2.13 TKO, R1 (0:27) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jan '20 Adam Borics Darrion Caldwell 1.80 0.9 Sub, R1 (2:20) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jan '20 Lina Lansberg Sara McMann 2.15 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jan '20 J.J. Aldrich Sabina Mazo 1.90 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jan '20 Raquel Pennington Holly Holm 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '19 Daniel Teymur Chase Hooper 2.00 1 TKO, R1 (4:34) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '19 Max Holloway Alex Volkanovski 1.51 5.87 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '19 Ricky Simon Rob Font 2.10 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Dec '19 Colby Covington Kamaru Usman 2.50 1.5 TKO, R5 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Willytrooper : Progress Chart
Chart

 
 
 
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