MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1929
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 778

MMA Handicapper Stats: Willytrooper

Willytrooper (willytrooper)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	43 (60%)	Right	34 (65%)	Right	3 (38%)	Right	6 (50%)
Wrong	29 (40%)	Wrong	18 (35%)	Wrong	5 (63%)	Wrong	6 (50%)
Avg Odds	1.90	Avg Odds	1.87	Avg Odds	2.08	Avg Odds	1.90
Units Bet	140.8	Units Bet	101.0	Units Bet	10.5	Units Bet	29.3
Avg Bet	1.96	Avg Bet	1.94	Avg Bet	1.31	Avg Bet	2.44
Units Profit	17.15	Units Profit	23.64	Units Profit	-0.73	Units Profit	-5.77
ROI %	12%	ROI %	23%	ROI %	-7%	ROI %	-20%

Willytrooper : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
12th Oct '19	UFC on ESPN+ 19	21.5	5.1	24%	4.4 / 18 (25%)	0.7 / 3.5 (20%)
12th Oct '19	Combate 46	4	-0.8	-20%	-0.8 / 4 (-20%)
5th Oct '19	UFC 243	16	-6.3	-40%	-2.6 / 10 (-26%)	-1.7 / 4 (-44%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
5th Oct '19	Bellator 229	6.67	0.6	9%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)		2.6 / 4.67 (56%)
28th Sep '19	Bellator 228	2.4	0.5	20%	0.5 / 2.4 (20%)
28th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 160	19.52	5.1	26%	8.5 / 16.12 (53%)		-3.4 / 3.4 (-100%)
27th Sep '19	Combate 45	1	1.1	115%	1.1 / 1 (115%)
27th Sep '19	Bellator Dublin	8	1.6	20%	1.6 / 8 (20%)
21st Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 159	11	-1.2	-11%	1.1 / 6 (19%)		-2.3 / 5 (-46%)
20th Sep '19	Combate 43	1.2	1.7	145%	1.7 / 1.2 (145%)
14th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 158	10.6	3.1	29%	3.7 / 10 (37%)	-0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)
8th Sep '19	Bellator 226	2.4	0.5	20%			0.5 / 2.4 (20%)
7th Sep '19	UFC 242	9.6	2.6	27%	0.9 / 0.6 (150%)		1.7 / 9 (18%)
31st Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 157	11.4	0.9	8%	1.2 / 7.8 (15%)	0.9 / 2.4 (38%)	-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
27th Aug '19	DWCS 26	1.6	-1.6	-100%			-1.6 / 1.6 (-100%)
23rd Aug '19	Combate 42	0.5	1.6	315%	1.6 / 0.5 (315%)
20th Aug '19	DWCS 25	2.5	0.2	8%	0.2 / 2.5 (8%)
17th Aug '19	UFC 241	10	1.7	17%	1.7 / 10 (17%)
14th Aug '19	DWCS 24	0.91	0.7	80%	0.7 / 0.91 (80%)

Winning Events: 15 (79%)
Losing Events: 4 (21%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.41 units
Most Staked On One Event: 21.50 units
Best Event: 5.15 units
Worst Event: -6.35 units
Average Event: 0.90 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 8.97
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -7.13

Willytrooper : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	140.8	17.2	12%	23.6 / 101.03 (23%)	-0.7 / 10.5 (-7%)	-5.8 / 29.27 (-20%)	15 / 4 (79%)	0.90

Willytrooper : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Willytrooper : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	109.62	11.0	10%	19.0 / 78.52 (24%)	-0.7 / 10.5 (-7%)	-7.2 / 20.6 (-35%)
Bellator	19.47	3.2	16%	0.1 / 12.4 (1%)		3.1 / 7.07 (44%)
Other	11.71	3.0	26%	4.6 / 10.11 (46%)		-1.6 / 1.6 (-100%)

Willytrooper : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	8 (15%)	7	88 %	31.00	7.63	0.95	25%
Slight Favorites	25 (48%)	14	56 %	46.76	4.01	0.16	9%
Slight Underdogs	15 (29%)	9	60 %	20.97	6.32	0.42	30%
Big Underdogs	4 (8%)	4	100 %	2.30	5.69	1.42	247%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	7 (13%)	2	29 %	11.20	-5.38	-0.77	-48%
Co-Main Event	9 (17%)	9	100 %	16.31	12.13	1.35	74%
Position 3-5	11 (21%)	5	45 %	17.80	-1.18	-0.11	-7%
6+ (Undercard)	25 (48%)	18	72 %	55.72	18.08	0.72	32%

Willytrooper : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.15	1.15	115%
Light Heavy	7 (13%)	4	57 %	9.30	-0.38	-0.05	-4%
Middleweight	6 (12%)	4	67 %	16.75	8.48	1.41	51%
Welterweight	10 (19%)	7	70 %	23.31	1.46	0.15	6%
Lightweight	5 (10%)	4	80 %	7.10	3.29	0.66	46%
Featherweight	10 (19%)	7	70 %	15.80	8.47	0.85	54%
Bantamweight	8 (15%)	5	63 %	15.17	2.39	0.30	16%
Flyweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	6.00	2.67	2.67	44%

Women's Fights	4 (8%)	1	25 %	6.60	-3.89	-0.97	-59%
Strawweight	4 (8%)	1	25 %	6.60	-3.89	-0.97	-59%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	25 (89%)	18	72 %
Slight Favorites	3 (11%)	0	0 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	0 %
	28	18	64 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (17%)	0	0 %
50-65%	1 (17%)	0	0 %
35-50%	3 (50%)	1	33 %
<35% chance	1 (17%)	0	0 %
	6	1	17 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (33%)	0	0 %	1.53	1.57	1.50	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	2 (33%)	0	0 %	2.50	2.50	2.50	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (17%)	1	100 %	2.25	2.25	2.25	1.3 (125%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (17%)	0	0 %	4.75	4.75	4.75	-1.0 (-100%)
	6	1	17 %	2.18			-3.7 (-62%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Willytrooper 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
14th Aug	DWCS 24	0.91	0.7	80%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,007.28
17th Aug	UFC 241	10	1.7	17%		$10.07	$1,007.28	$1,024.57
20th Aug	DWCS 25	2.5	0.2	8%		$10.25	$1,024.57	$1,026.62
23rd Aug	Combate 42	0.5	1.6	315%		$10.27	$1,026.62	$1,042.79
27th Aug	DWCS 26	1.6	-1.6	-100%		$10.43	$1,042.79	$1,026.11
31st Aug	UFC Fight Night 157	11.4	0.9	8%		$10.26	$1,026.11	$1,035.27
7th Sep	UFC 242	9.6	2.6	27%		$10.35	$1,035.27	$1,061.69
8th Sep	Bellator 226	2.4	0.5	20%		$10.62	$1,061.69	$1,066.79
14th Sep	UFC Fight Night 158	10.6	3.1	29%		$10.67	$1,066.79	$1,099.47
20th Sep	Combate 43	1.2	1.7	145%		$10.99	$1,099.47	$1,118.60
21st Sep	UFC Fight Night 159	11	-1.2	-11%		$11.19	$1,118.60	$1,105.38
27th Sep	Bellator Dublin	8	1.6	20%		$11.05	$1,105.38	$1,123.07
27th Sep	Combate 45	1	1.1	115%		$11.23	$1,123.07	$1,135.98
28th Sep	UFC Fight Night 160	19.52	5.1	26%		$11.36	$1,135.98	$1,194.37
28th Sep	Bellator 228	2.4	0.5	20%		$11.94	$1,194.37	$1,200.11
5th Oct	Bellator 229	6.67	0.6	9%		$12.00	$1,200.11	$1,207.32
5th Oct	UFC 243	16	-6.3	-40%		$12.07	$1,207.32	$1,130.72
12th Oct	Combate 46	4	-0.8	-20%		$11.31	$1,130.72	$1,121.81
12th Oct	UFC on ESPN+ 19	21.5	5.1	24%		$11.22	$1,121.81	$1,179.53

ROI % from starting bank balance: 17.95% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Willytrooper : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Oct '19	Cub Swanson	Kron Gracie	2.35	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Oct '19	Guillermo Torres	Orlando Jimenez	1.61	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Oct '19	Eryk Anders	Gerald Meerschaert	1.53	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Oct '19	Marlon Vera	Andre Ewell	1.50	3	TKO, R3 (3:17)
5.	Oct '19	Brad Riddell	Jamie Mullarkey	1.67	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Oct '19	Jake Matthews	Rostem Akman	1.36	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Oct '19	Deiveson Figueiredo	Tim Elliott	1.44	6	Sub, R1 (3:8)
8.	Sep '19	Nicolas Dalby	Alex Oliveira	2.15	1.4	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Sep '19	Gilbert Burns	Gunnar Nelson	1.80	1.4	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Sep '19	Alejandro Solorzano	Giovanni Sarran	2.15	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Sep '19	Michael Page	Richard Kiely	1.20	8	TKO, R1 (2:42)
12.	Sep '19	John Phillips	Alen Amedovski	1.87	5.25	TKO, R1 (0:14)
13.	Sep '19	Makhmud Muradov	Alessio Di Chirico	1.67	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Sep '19	Marc Diakiese	Lando Vannata	1.74	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Sep '19	Patricio Freire	Juan Archulata	2.40	1.2	U Decision (5 rounds)
16.	Sep '19	Jose Quinonez	Carlos Huachin	1.69	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Sep '19	Steven Peterson	Martin Bravo	1.87	2	TKO, R2 (1:31)
18.	Sep '19	Cristian Perez	Jair Perez	2.45	1.2	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Sep '19	Glover Teixeira	Nikita Krylov	1.91	1.2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Sep '19	Miles Johns	Cole Smith	1.74	1.8	Split Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Oct '19	Jose Alday	Joby Sanchez	2.00	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Oct '19	Luis Pena	Matt Frevola	1.61	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Oct '19	Andrey Koreshkov	Lorenz Larkin	1.54	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Oct '19	Luke Jumeau	Dhiego Lima	2.20	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Oct '19	Devin Clark	Ryan Spann	2.50	2	Sub, R2 (2:1)	No
6.	Oct '19	Maki Pitolo	Callan Potter	1.43	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Sep '19	Nohelin Hernandez	Jack Shore	2.55	1.17	Sub, R3 (2:51)	No
8.	Sep '19	Khalil Rountree	Ion Cutelaba	1.77	1.4	TKO, R1 (2:35)	No
9.	Sep '19	Juan Archulata	Patricio Freire	2.40	1.2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
10.	Sep '19	Vinicius Moreira	Paul Craig	1.80	2	Sub, R1 (3:19)	No
11.	Sep '19	Jordan Griffin	Chas Skelly	1.87	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Aug '19	Jessica Andrade	Weili Zhang	1.57	1.6	TKO, R1 (0:42)	No
13.	Aug '19	Andre Soukhamthath	Su Mudaerji	1.63	1.2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Aug '19	Phil Caracappa	Ricky Steele	2.00	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Aug '19	Yoel Romero	Paulo Costa	1.69	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Aug '19	Jessica Andrade	Weili Zhang	1.63	2	TKO, R1 (0:42)	No
17.	Aug '19	Shana Dobson	Sabina Mazo	1.74	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Aug '19	Yoel Romero	Paulo Costa	1.61	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Willytrooper : Progress Chart

Chart

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