MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Willytrooper

Willytrooper (willytrooper)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	76 (53%)	Right	51 (55%)	Right	3 (25%)	Right	22 (56%)
Wrong	67 (47%)	Wrong	41 (45%)	Wrong	9 (75%)	Wrong	17 (44%)
Avg Odds	1.89	Avg Odds	1.85	Avg Odds	2.14	Avg Odds	1.93
Units Bet	352.8	Units Bet	206.8	Units Bet	14.8	Units Bet	131.3
Avg Bet	2.47	Avg Bet	2.25	Avg Bet	1.23	Avg Bet	3.37
Units Profit	34.73	Units Profit	7.04	Units Profit	-4.99	Units Profit	32.68
ROI %	10%	ROI %	3%	ROI %	-34%	ROI %	25%

Willytrooper : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
15th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night 167	13.26	-13.3	-100%	-8.2 / 8.21 (-100%)	-1.3 / 1.26 (-100%)	-3.8 / 3.79 (-100%)
9th Feb '20	UFC 247	7.63	0.3	4%	-2.6 / 2.63 (-100%)		3.0 / 5 (59%)
26th Jan '20	Bellator 238	3.9	1.5	37%	-0.9 / 0.9 (-100%)		2.4 / 3 (79%)
25th Jan '20	UFC Fight Night 166	7.96	-1.7	-22%	0.5 / 3 (17%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-1.7 / 4.46 (-39%)
18th Jan '20	UFC 246	10	-3.8	-38%	-1.2 / 3 (-40%)		-2.6 / 7 (-37%)
15th Dec '19	UFC 245	66.16	53.2	80%	-1.6 / 20.82 (-8%)		54.9 / 45.34 (121%)
7th Dec '19	UFC on ESPN 7	3.5	0.5	14%	0.5 / 3.5 (14%)
16th Nov '19	UFC Fight Night 164	13.5	8.3	62%	8.8 / 13 (68%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
14th Nov '19	Bellator 234	0.5	1.0	200%	1.0 / 0.5 (200%)
9th Nov '19	UFC Fight Night 163	22.5	4.5	20%	4.7 / 5.5 (86%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	1.8 / 15 (12%)
9th Nov '19	Combate 49	5	-5.0	-100%			-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
9th Nov '19	Bellator 233	2	2.0	100%	2.0 / 2 (100%)
2nd Nov '19	UFC 244	16.91	-14.2	-84%	-9.2 / 11.91 (-78%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
26th Oct '19	Bellator 232	6	-6.0	-100%			-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
26th Oct '19	UFC Fight Night 162	12	-3.1	-26%	-3.1 / 12 (-26%)
25th Oct '19	Bellator 231	2.43	0.6	26%			0.6 / 2.43 (26%)
18th Oct '19	UFC ESPN 6	18.75	-7.3	-39%	-7.3 / 18.75 (-39%)
12th Oct '19	UFC on ESPN+ 19	21.5	5.1	24%	4.4 / 18 (25%)	0.7 / 3.5 (20%)
12th Oct '19	Combate 46	4	-0.8	-20%	-0.8 / 4 (-20%)
5th Oct '19	UFC 243	16	-6.3	-40%	-2.6 / 10 (-26%)	-1.7 / 4 (-44%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
5th Oct '19	Bellator 229	6.67	0.6	9%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)		2.6 / 4.67 (56%)
28th Sep '19	Bellator 228	2.4	0.5	20%	0.5 / 2.4 (20%)
28th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 160	19.52	5.1	26%	8.5 / 16.12 (53%)		-3.4 / 3.4 (-100%)
27th Sep '19	Combate 45	1	1.1	115%	1.1 / 1 (115%)
27th Sep '19	Bellator Dublin	8	1.6	20%	1.6 / 8 (20%)
21st Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 159	11	-1.2	-11%	1.1 / 6 (19%)		-2.3 / 5 (-46%)
20th Sep '19	Combate 43	1.2	1.7	145%	1.7 / 1.2 (145%)
14th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 158	10.6	3.1	29%	3.7 / 10 (37%)	-0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)
8th Sep '19	Bellator 226	2.4	0.5	20%			0.5 / 2.4 (20%)
7th Sep '19	UFC 242	9.6	2.6	27%	0.9 / 0.6 (150%)		1.7 / 9 (18%)
31st Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 157	11.4	0.9	8%	1.2 / 7.8 (15%)	0.9 / 2.4 (38%)	-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
27th Aug '19	DWCS 26	1.6	-1.6	-100%			-1.6 / 1.6 (-100%)
23rd Aug '19	Combate 42	0.5	1.6	315%	1.6 / 0.5 (315%)
20th Aug '19	DWCS 25	2.5	0.2	8%	0.2 / 2.5 (8%)
17th Aug '19	UFC 241	10	1.7	17%	1.7 / 10 (17%)
14th Aug '19	DWCS 24	0.91	0.7	80%	0.7 / 0.91 (80%)

Winning Events: 24 (67%)
Losing Events: 12 (33%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.80 units
Most Staked On One Event: 66.16 units
Best Event: 53.20 units
Worst Event: -14.24 units
Average Event: 0.96 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 67.55
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -23.31

Willytrooper : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	42.75	-17.0	-40%	-12.4 / 17.74 (-70%)	-1.8 / 1.76 (-100%)	-2.8 / 23.25 (-12%)	2 / 3 (40%)	-3.40
2019	310.05	51.7	17%	19.5 / 189.01 (10%)	-3.2 / 13 (-25%)	35.5 / 108.04 (33%)	22 / 9 (71%)	1.67

Willytrooper : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Willytrooper : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	301.79	34.5	11%	0.3 / 180.84 (0%)	-5.0 / 14.76 (-34%)	39.2 / 106.19 (37%)
Bellator	34.3	2.3	7%	2.2 / 15.8 (14%)		0.1 / 18.5 (0%)
Other	16.71	-2.0	-12%	4.6 / 10.11 (46%)		-6.6 / 6.6 (-100%)

Willytrooper : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	15 (16%)	12	80 %	52.41	5.71	0.38	11%
Slight Favorites	41 (45%)	20	49 %	102.15	-9.41	-0.23	-9%
Slight Underdogs	31 (34%)	14	45 %	49.39	4.05	0.13	8%
Big Underdogs	5 (5%)	5	100 %	2.80	6.69	1.34	239%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	12 (13%)	6	50 %	24.20	1.06	0.09	4%
Co-Main Event	13 (14%)	10	77 %	24.58	4.56	0.35	19%
Position 3-5	22 (24%)	10	45 %	56.41	-5.28	-0.24	-9%
6+ (Undercard)	45 (49%)	25	56 %	101.56	6.70	0.15	7%

Willytrooper : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	6 (7%)	5	83 %	14.00	3.28	0.55	23%
Light Heavy	10 (11%)	7	70 %	19.30	5.36	0.54	28%
Middleweight	8 (9%)	6	75 %	25.75	17.02	2.13	66%
Welterweight	15 (16%)	8	53 %	40.94	-8.17	-0.54	-20%
Lightweight	9 (10%)	4	44 %	17.85	-7.46	-0.83	-42%
Featherweight	14 (15%)	8	57 %	25.28	-0.03	-0.00	-0%
Bantamweight	17 (18%)	9	53 %	39.87	2.08	0.12	5%
Flyweight	2 (2%)	1	50 %	7.26	1.41	0.70	19%

Women's Fights	11 (12%)	3	27 %	16.50	-6.45	-0.59	-39%
Featherweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	2.00	2.00	2.00	100%
Bantamweight	2 (2%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-1.00	-100%
Flyweight	3 (3%)	1	33 %	4.90	-1.57	-0.52	-32%
Strawweight	5 (5%)	1	20 %	7.60	-4.89	-0.98	-64%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	82 (91%)	64	78 %
Slight Favorites	8 (9%)	4	50 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	90	68	76 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	3 (25%)	2	67 %
50-65%	1 (8%)	0	0 %
35-50%	7 (58%)	1	14 %
<35% chance	1 (8%)	0	0 %
	12	3	25 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (17%)	0	0 %	1.53	1.57	1.50	-2.0 (-100%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (17%)	0	0 %	2.10	2.10	2.10	-2.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision	3 (25%)	2	67 %	1.60	2.40	1.32	-0.3 (-8%)
X Wins by KO	2 (17%)	0	0 %	2.50	2.50	2.50	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	2 (17%)	1	50 %	2.37	2.50	2.25	0.3 (13%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (8%)	0	0 %	4.75	4.75	4.75	-1.0 (-100%)
	12	3	25 %	2.01			-7.0 (-58%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Willytrooper 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
14th Aug	DWCS 24	0.91	0.7	80%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,007.28
17th Aug	UFC 241	10	1.7	17%		$10.07	$1,007.28	$1,024.57
20th Aug	DWCS 25	2.5	0.2	8%		$10.25	$1,024.57	$1,026.62
23rd Aug	Combate 42	0.5	1.6	315%		$10.27	$1,026.62	$1,042.79
27th Aug	DWCS 26	1.6	-1.6	-100%		$10.43	$1,042.79	$1,026.11
31st Aug	UFC Fight Night 157	11.4	0.9	8%		$10.26	$1,026.11	$1,035.27
7th Sep	UFC 242	9.6	2.6	27%		$10.35	$1,035.27	$1,061.69
8th Sep	Bellator 226	2.4	0.5	20%		$10.62	$1,061.69	$1,066.79
14th Sep	UFC Fight Night 158	10.6	3.1	29%		$10.67	$1,066.79	$1,099.47
20th Sep	Combate 43	1.2	1.7	145%		$10.99	$1,099.47	$1,118.60
21st Sep	UFC Fight Night 159	11	-1.2	-11%		$11.19	$1,118.60	$1,105.38
27th Sep	Bellator Dublin	8	1.6	20%		$11.05	$1,105.38	$1,123.07
27th Sep	Combate 45	1	1.1	115%		$11.23	$1,123.07	$1,135.98
28th Sep	UFC Fight Night 160	19.52	5.1	26%		$11.36	$1,135.98	$1,194.37
28th Sep	Bellator 228	2.4	0.5	20%		$11.94	$1,194.37	$1,200.11
5th Oct	Bellator 229	6.67	0.6	9%		$12.00	$1,200.11	$1,207.32
5th Oct	UFC 243	16	-6.3	-40%		$12.07	$1,207.32	$1,130.72
12th Oct	Combate 46	4	-0.8	-20%		$11.31	$1,130.72	$1,121.81
12th Oct	UFC on ESPN+ 19	21.5	5.1	24%		$11.22	$1,121.81	$1,179.53
18th Oct	UFC ESPN 6	18.75	-7.3	-39%		$11.80	$1,179.53	$1,093.52
25th Oct	Bellator 231	2.43	0.6	26%		$10.94	$1,093.52	$1,100.52
26th Oct	UFC Fight Night 162	12	-3.1	-26%		$11.01	$1,100.52	$1,066.70
26th Oct	Bellator 232	6	-6.0	-100%		$10.67	$1,066.70	$1,002.69
2nd Nov	UFC 244	16.91	-14.2	-84%		$10.03	$1,002.69	$859.95
9th Nov	Bellator 233	2	2.0	100%		$8.60	$859.95	$877.15
9th Nov	Combate 49	5	-5.0	-100%		$8.77	$877.15	$833.29
9th Nov	UFC Fight Night 163	22.5	4.5	20%		$8.33	$833.29	$871.03
14th Nov	Bellator 234	0.5	1.0	200%		$8.71	$871.03	$879.74
16th Nov	UFC Fight Night 164	13.5	8.3	62%		$8.80	$879.74	$952.92
7th Dec	UFC on ESPN 7	3.5	0.5	14%		$9.53	$952.92	$957.69
15th Dec	UFC 245	66.16	53.2	80%		$9.58	$957.69	$1,467.21
18th Jan	UFC 246	10	-3.8	-38%		$14.67	$1,467.21	$1,411.20
25th Jan	UFC Fight Night 166	7.96	-1.7	-22%		$14.11	$1,411.20	$1,386.89
26th Jan	Bellator 238	3.9	1.5	37%		$13.87	$1,386.89	$1,407.10
9th Feb	UFC 247	7.63	0.3	4%		$14.07	$1,407.10	$1,411.81
15th Feb	UFC Fight Night 167	13.26	-13.3	-100%		$14.12	$1,411.81	$1,224.61

ROI % from starting bank balance: 22.46% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Willytrooper : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jan '20	Arnold Allen	Nik Lentz	1.37	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Jan '20	Brett Johns	Tony Gravely	2.15	1	Sub, R3 (2:53)
3.	Jan '20	Aleksa Camur	Justin Ledet	1.80	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Dec '19	Marlon Moraes	Jose Aldo	1.54	2.45	Split Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Dec '19	Marlon Moraes	Jose Aldo	1.54	10	Split Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Dec '19	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	Alistair Overeem	2.00	2	TKO, R5 (4:56)
7.	Nov '19	Randy Brown	Warlley Alves	2.00	4	Sub, R2 (1:22)
8.	Nov '19	Linton Vassell	Sergei Kharitonov	3.00	0.5	TKO, R2 (0:0)
9.	Nov '19	Wellington Turman	Markus Perez	2.00	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Nov '19	Jan Blachowicz	Ronaldo Souza	1.45	4	Split Decision (5 rounds)
11.	Nov '19	Alexander Volkov	Greg Hardy	1.40	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Nov '19	Karl Roberson	Roman Kopylov	1.91	5	Sub, R3 (4:1)
13.	Nov '19	Arlene Blencowe	Leslie Smith	2.00	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Nov '19	Shane Burgos	Makwan Amirkhani	1.40	1.91	TKO, R3 (4:32)
15.	Oct '19	Maycee Barber	Gillian Robertson	1.67	2	TKO, R1 (3:4)
16.	Oct '19	Sergey Pavlovich	Maurice Greene	1.49	6	TKO, R1 (2:11)
17.	Oct '19	Dominick Reyes	Chris Weidman	1.63	5	TKO, R1 (1:43)
18.	Oct '19	Cub Swanson	Kron Gracie	2.35	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Oct '19	Guillermo Torres	Orlando Jimenez	1.61	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Oct '19	Eryk Anders	Gerald Meerschaert	1.53	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Feb '20	Rogerio Bontorin	Ray Borg	2.26	1.26	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Feb '20	Casey Kenney	Merab Dvalishvili	2.45	1.26	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Feb '20	Mara Romero Borella	Montana De La Rosa	2.40	1.9	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Feb '20	Nathaniel Wood	John Dodson	1.65	3.79	TKO, R3 (0:16)	No
5.	Feb '20	Miles Johns	Mario Bautista	1.72	0.5	TKO, R2 (1:41)	No
6.	Feb '20	Alex Morono	Kalinn Williams	1.33	2.13	TKO, R1 (0:27)	No
7.	Jan '20	Adam Borics	Darrion Caldwell	1.80	0.9	Sub, R1 (2:20)	No
8.	Jan '20	Lina Lansberg	Sara McMann	2.15	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Jan '20	J.J. Aldrich	Sabina Mazo	1.90	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Jan '20	Raquel Pennington	Holly Holm	2.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Dec '19	Daniel Teymur	Chase Hooper	2.00	1	TKO, R1 (4:34)	No
12.	Dec '19	Max Holloway	Alex Volkanovski	1.51	5.87	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
13.	Dec '19	Ricky Simon	Rob Font	2.10	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Dec '19	Colby Covington	Kamaru Usman	2.50	1.5	TKO, R5 (4:10)	No
15.	Nov '19	Vanessa Melo	Tracy Cortez	2.80	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Nov '19	Gregor Gillespie	Kevin Lee	1.54	8	TKO, R1 (2:47)	No
17.	Nov '19	Vicente Luque	Stephen Thompson	2.10	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Oct '19	Kyle Bochniak	Sean Woodson	1.83	1.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Oct '19	Kyle Bochniak	Sean Woodson	1.71	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Oct '19	Jeff Hughes	Raphael Pessoa	1.57	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Willytrooper : Progress Chart

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