MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1995
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 814

MMA Handicapper Stats: springerD4

springerD4 (alderbaran)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	22 (34%)	Right	11 (38%)	Right	2 (17%)	Right	9 (39%)
Wrong	42 (66%)	Wrong	18 (62%)	Wrong	10 (83%)	Wrong	14 (61%)
Avg Odds	2.44	Avg Odds	1.95	Avg Odds	3.78	Avg Odds	2.81
Units Bet	57.0	Units Bet	35.5	Units Bet	6.9	Units Bet	14.6
Avg Bet	0.89	Avg Bet	1.22	Avg Bet	0.57	Avg Bet	0.63
Units Profit	-4.32	Units Profit	-9.47	Units Profit	-1.10	Units Profit	6.26
ROI %	-8%	ROI %	-27%	ROI %	-16%	ROI %	43%

springerD4 : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
9th Nov '19	UFC Fight Night 163	0.5	-0.5	-100%		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
2nd Nov '19	UFC 244	3.5	8.5	244%			8.5 / 3.5 (244%)
26th Oct '19	UFC Fight Night 162	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Oct '19	UFC ESPN 6	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
12th Oct '19	UFC on ESPN+ 19	1.35	0.9	67%		-0.4 / 0.35 (-100%)	1.3 / 1 (126%)
5th Oct '19	UFC 243	1.6	0.1	9%	0.7 / 1 (74%)		-0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)
28th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 160	3	-1.8	-62%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	0.7 / 0.5 (130%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
14th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 158	3.25	0.6	19%	1.3 / 2 (64%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)	-0.4 / 1 (-41%)
7th Sep '19	UFC 242	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
17th Aug '19	UFC 241	7.5	-5.1	-68%	-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	1.4 / 1 (137%)
27th Jul '19	UFC 240	3	-1.3	-45%	0.2 / 1.5 (11%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Jul '19	UFC on ESPN 4	2	0.3	15%	0.3 / 2 (15%)
13th Jul '19	UFC Fight Night 155	3.25	3.5	108%	3.8 / 3 (125%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
6th Jul '19	UFC 239	0.5	0.7	139%			0.7 / 0.5 (139%)
29th Jun '19	UFC on ESPN 3	2.5	-1.1	-44%	-0.6 / 2 (-30%)		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
22nd Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 154	1.25	-1.3	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
8th Jun '19	UFC 238	2.5	2.5	101%	1.6 / 2 (80%)		0.9 / 0.5 (186%)
18th May '19	UFC Fight Night 152	3	-3.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th May '19	UFC 237	5	2.1	42%	-0.5 / 3 (-17%)	2.6 / 2 (130%)
4th May '19	UFC Fight Night 150	1.5	-0.5	-34%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	0.5 / 0.5 (98%)
27th Apr '19	UFC on ESPN 3	4.25	-4.3	-100%	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
23rd Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 148	4	-1.2	-30%	-0.2 / 3 (-7%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19	UFC 235	0.5	-0.5	-100%			-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)

Winning Events: 9 (39%)
Losing Events: 14 (61%)

Average Staked Per Event: 2.48 units
Most Staked On One Event: 7.50 units
Best Event: 8.53 units
Worst Event: -5.13 units
Average Event: -0.19 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 8.53
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -7.47

springerD4 : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	56.95	-4.3	-8%	-9.5 / 35.5 (-27%)	-1.1 / 6.85 (-16%)	6.3 / 14.6 (43%)	9 / 14 (39%)	-0.19

springerD4 : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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springerD4 : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	56.95	-4.3	-8%	-9.5 / 35.5 (-27%)	-1.1 / 6.85 (-16%)	6.3 / 14.6 (43%)

springerD4 : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	4 (14%)	3	75 %	7.00	-0.30	-0.08	-4%
Slight Favorites	9 (31%)	4	44 %	13.50	-5.55	-0.62	-41%
Slight Underdogs	14 (48%)	4	29 %	13.50	-2.12	-0.15	-16%
Big Underdogs	2 (7%)	0	0 %	1.50	-1.50	-0.75	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	4 (14%)	2	50 %	7.00	1.15	0.29	16%
Co-Main Event	2 (7%)	2	100 %	3.00	1.54	0.77	51%
Position 3-5	9 (31%)	1	11 %	12.00	-9.50	-1.06	-79%
6+ (Undercard)	14 (48%)	6	43 %	13.50	-2.67	-0.19	-20%

springerD4 : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	4 (14%)	2	50 %	5.50	-1.30	-0.33	-24%
Light Heavy	1 (3%)	1	100 %	0.50	0.45	0.45	90%
Middleweight	2 (7%)		0 %	1.50	-1.50	-0.75	-100%
Welterweight	1 (3%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Lightweight	4 (14%)	1	25 %	4.00	-2.26	-0.56	-56%
Featherweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	0.50	0.63	0.63	125%
Bantamweight	4 (14%)	1	25 %	6.00	-4.80	-1.20	-80%

Women's Fights	12 (41%)	5	42 %	15.50	1.31	0.11	8%
Featherweight	1 (3%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Bantamweight	3 (10%)	3	100 %	6.00	5.55	1.85	93%
Bantamweight	5 (17%)	2	40 %	5.00	0.26	0.05	5%
Strawweight	3 (10%)		0 %	2.50	-2.50	-0.83	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	13 (43%)	9	69 %
Slight Favorites	14 (47%)	8	57 %
Slight Underdogs	2 (7%)	2	100 %
Big Underdogs	1 (3%)	0	0 %
	30	19	63 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	10 (30%)	6	60 %
50-65%	6 (18%)	3	50 %
35-50%	7 (21%)	4	57 %
<35% chance	10 (30%)	2	20 %
	33	15	45 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (15%)	4	80 %	1.48	1.66	1.33	0.9 (17%)
Goes to Decision	6 (18%)	3	50 %	1.67	3.25	1.40	-1.4 (-23%)
Does not go to Decision	5 (15%)	2	40 %	1.54	2.30	1.18	0.5 (10%)
X Wins by Decision	10 (30%)	4	40 %	3.70	9.00	1.90	2.6 (26%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (3%)	0	0 %	1.30	1.30	1.30	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X	2 (6%)	0	0 %	3.27	34.00	1.72	-2.0 (-100%)
Others	4 (12%)	2	50 %	3.44	8.50	2.25	4.3 (107%)
	33	15	45 %	2.13			3.9 (12%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail springerD4 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
2nd Mar	UFC 235	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$995.00
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night 148	4	-1.2	-30%		$9.95	$995.00	$983.06
27th Apr	UFC on ESPN 3	4.25	-4.3	-100%		$9.83	$983.06	$941.28
4th May	UFC Fight Night 150	1.5	-0.5	-34%		$9.41	$941.28	$936.46
11th May	UFC 237	5	2.1	42%		$9.36	$936.46	$956.12
18th May	UFC Fight Night 152	3	-3.0	-100%		$9.56	$956.12	$927.44
8th Jun	UFC 238	2.5	2.5	101%		$9.27	$927.44	$950.88
22nd Jun	UFC Fight Night 154	1.25	-1.3	-100%		$9.51	$950.88	$938.99
29th Jun	UFC on ESPN 3	2.5	-1.1	-44%		$9.39	$938.99	$928.66
6th Jul	UFC 239	0.5	0.7	139%		$9.29	$928.66	$935.12
13th Jul	UFC Fight Night 155	3.25	3.5	108%		$9.35	$935.12	$967.85
20th Jul	UFC on ESPN 4	2	0.3	15%		$9.68	$967.85	$970.75
27th Jul	UFC 240	3	-1.3	-45%		$9.71	$970.75	$957.75
17th Aug	UFC 241	7.5	-5.1	-68%		$9.58	$957.75	$908.61
7th Sep	UFC 242	1	-1.0	-100%		$9.09	$908.61	$899.53
14th Sep	UFC Fight Night 158	3.25	0.6	19%		$9.00	$899.53	$905.06
28th Sep	UFC Fight Night 160	3	-1.8	-62%		$9.05	$905.06	$888.32
5th Oct	UFC 243	1.6	0.1	9%		$8.88	$888.32	$889.56
12th Oct	UFC on ESPN+ 19	1.35	0.9	67%		$8.90	$889.56	$897.66
18th Oct	UFC ESPN 6	1	-1.0	-100%		$8.98	$897.66	$888.69
26th Oct	UFC Fight Night 162	1	-1.0	-100%		$8.89	$888.69	$879.80
2nd Nov	UFC 244	3.5	8.5	244%		$8.80	$879.80	$954.81
9th Nov	UFC Fight Night 163	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$9.55	$954.81	$950.03

ROI % from starting bank balance: -5.00% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

springerD4 : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Oct '19	Daniel Hooker	Al Iaquinta	1.74	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Sep '19	Chas Skelly	Jordan Griffin	2.25	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Sep '19	Hunter Azure	Brad Katona	2.40	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Sep '19	Misha Cirkunov	Jim Crute	1.90	0.5	Sub, R1 (3:38)
5.	Jul '19	Gillian Robertson	Sarah Frota	1.66	1	TKO, R2 (4:13)
6.	Jul '19	Raquel Pennington	Irene Aldana	2.30	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jul '19	Germaine de Randamie	Aspen Ladd	2.25	3	TKO, R1 (0:16)
8.	Jun '19	Francis Ngannou	Junior dos Santos	1.40	1	TKO, R1 (1:11)
9.	Jun '19	Katlyn Chookagian	Joanne Calderwood	1.80	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	May '19	Irene Aldana	Bethe Correia	1.25	2	Sub, R3 (3:24)
11.	Mar '19	Curtis Blaydes	Justin Willis	1.40	2	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Oct '19	Frank Camacho	Beneil Dariush	2.30	1	Sub, R1 (2:2)	No
2.	Oct '19	Gillian Robertson	Maycee Barber	2.20	1	TKO, R1 (3:4)	No
3.	Sep '19	Gunnar Nelson	Gilbert Burns	2.10	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Sep '19	Cole Smith	Miles Johns	2.10	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Aug '19	Jodie Esquibel	Hannah Cifers	3.25	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Aug '19	Manny Bermudez	Casey Kenney	1.62	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Aug '19	Daniel Cormier	Stipe Miocic	1.72	2	TKO, R4 (4:9)	No
8.	Jul '19	Alexis Davis	Viviane Araujo	2.70	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Jul '19	Francisco Trinaldo	Alexander Hernandez	2.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Jun '19	Emily Whitmire	Amanda Ribas	1.57	1	Sub, R2 (2:10)	No
11.	Jun '19	Alessio Di Chirico	Kevin Holland	2.80	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Jun '19	Montana De La Rosa	Andrea Lee	2.70	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	May '19	Megan Anderson	Felicia Spencer	1.47	2	Sub, R1 (3:24)	No
14.	May '19	Kurt Holobaugh	Thiago Moises	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Apr '19	Andrei Arlovski	Augusto Sakai	2.25	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Apr '19	John Lineker	Cory Sandhagen	1.66	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Apr '19	Ronaldo Souza	Jack Hermansson	1.62	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
18.	Mar '19	J.J. Aldrich	Maycee Barber	3.25	1	TKO, R2 (3:1)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

springerD4 : Progress Chart

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