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MMA Handicapper Stats: springerD4

springerD4 (alderbaran)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - springerD4

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 29 (33%) Right 12 (35%) Right 4 (20%) Right 13 (38%)
Wrong 59 (67%) Wrong 22 (65%) Wrong 16 (80%) Wrong 21 (62%)
Avg Odds 2.65 Avg Odds 1.96 Avg Odds 3.91 Avg Odds 3.17
Units Bet 72.8 Units Bet 40.8 Units Bet 11.5 Units Bet 20.6
Avg Bet 0.83 Avg Bet 1.20 Avg Bet 0.57 Avg Bet 0.61
Units Profit 3.55 Units Profit -13.07 Units Profit 2.30 Units Profit 14.31
ROI % 5% ROI % -32% ROI % 20% ROI % 69%
View Handicapper's Profile

springerD4 : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
14th Mar '20 UFC Fight Night 170 0.75 -0.8 -100% -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
8th Mar '20 UFC 248 2 0.6 31% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.6 / 1 (163%)
22nd Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 168 1.35 -1.4 -100% -0.6 / 0.6 (-100%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
15th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 167 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 1.75 10.3 586% 2.0 / 0.5 (400%) 8.3 / 1.25 (661%)
25th Jan '20 UFC Fight Night 166 2 -0.3 -17% 0.7 / 1 (66%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
18th Jan '20 UFC 246 2 5.4 271% 4.5 / 1 (450%) 0.9 / 1 (92%)
21st Dec '19 UFC Fight Night 165 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Dec '19 UFC 245 3 -3.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
7th Dec '19 UFC on ESPN 7 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 163 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
2nd Nov '19 UFC 244 3.5 8.5 244% 8.5 / 3.5 (244%)
26th Oct '19 UFC Fight Night 162 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Oct '19 UFC ESPN 6 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
12th Oct '19 UFC on ESPN+ 19 1.35 0.9 67% -0.4 / 0.35 (-100%) 1.3 / 1 (126%)
5th Oct '19 UFC 243 1.6 0.1 9% 0.7 / 1 (74%) -0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)
28th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 160 3 -1.8 -62% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 0.7 / 0.5 (130%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
14th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 158 3.25 0.6 19% 1.3 / 2 (64%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) -0.4 / 1 (-41%)
7th Sep '19 UFC 242 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 7.5 -5.1 -68% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.4 / 1 (137%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 3 -1.3 -45% 0.2 / 1.5 (11%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 2 0.3 15% 0.3 / 2 (15%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 3.25 3.5 108% 3.8 / 3 (125%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 0.5 0.7 139% 0.7 / 0.5 (139%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 2.5 -1.1 -44% -0.6 / 2 (-30%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 1.25 -1.3 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 2.5 2.5 101% 1.6 / 2 (80%) 0.9 / 0.5 (186%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 3 -3.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 5 2.1 42% -0.5 / 3 (-17%) 2.6 / 2 (130%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 1.5 -0.5 -34% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 0.5 / 0.5 (98%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 4.25 -4.3 -100% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 4 -1.2 -30% -0.2 / 3 (-7%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)


Winning Events: 12 (36%)
Losing Events: 21 (64%)

Average Staked Per Event: 2.21 units
Most Staked On One Event: 7.50 units
Best Event: 10.26 units
Worst Event: -5.13 units
Average Event: 0.11 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 10.26
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -7.47

springerD4 : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2020 10.85 12.9 119% 0.4 / 1.25 (33%) 3.4 / 4.6 (74%) 9.1 / 5 (181%) 3 / 4 (43%) 1.84
2019 61.95 -9.3 -15% -13.5 / 39.5 (-34%) -1.1 / 6.85 (-16%) 5.3 / 15.6 (34%) 9 / 17 (35%) -0.36

springerD4 : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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springerD4 : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 72.8 3.5 5% -13.1 / 40.75 (-32%) 2.3 / 11.45 (20%) 14.3 / 20.6 (69%)

springerD4 : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 4 (12%) 3 75 % 7.00 -0.30 -0.08 -4%
Slight Favorites 11 (32%) 5 45 % 16.50 -6.89 -0.63 -42%
Slight Underdogs 17 (50%) 4 24 % 15.75 -4.37 -0.26 -28%
Big Underdogs 2 (6%) 0 0 % 1.50 -1.50 -0.75 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 5 (15%) 2 40 % 8.00 0.15 0.03 2%
Co-Main Event 4 (12%) 2 50 % 5.25 -0.71 -0.18 -14%
Position 3-5 10 (29%) 1 10 % 13.00 -10.50 -1.05 -81%
6+ (Undercard) 15 (44%) 7 47 % 14.50 -2.01 -0.13 -14%

springerD4 : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 4 (12%) 2 50 % 5.50 -1.30 -0.33 -24%
Light Heavy 1 (3%) 1 100 % 0.50 0.45 0.45 90%
Middleweight 2 (6%) 0 % 1.50 -1.50 -0.75 -100%
Welterweight 2 (6%) 0 % 2.25 -2.25 -1.13 -100%
Lightweight 4 (12%) 1 25 % 4.00 -2.26 -0.56 -56%
Featherweight 3 (9%) 1 33 % 3.50 -2.37 -0.79 -68%
Bantamweight 4 (12%) 1 25 % 6.00 -4.80 -1.20 -80%
               
Women's Fights 14 (41%) 6 43 % 17.50 0.97 0.07 6%
Featherweight 1 (3%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Bantamweight 5 (15%) 4 80 % 8.00 5.21 1.04 65%
Flyweight 5 (15%) 2 40 % 5.00 0.26 0.05 5%
Strawweight 3 (9%) 0 % 2.50 -2.50 -0.83 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 17 (40%) 12 71 %
Slight Favorites 19 (45%) 11 58 %
Slight Underdogs 5 (12%) 5 100 %
Big Underdogs 1 (2%) 0 0 %
42 28 67 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 11 (20%) 6 55 %
50-65% 8 (15%) 5 63 %
35-50% 12 (22%) 6 50 %
<35% chance 23 (43%) 6 26 %
54 23 43 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 7 (13%) 5 71 % 1.48 1.83Pick was correct 1.25Pick was incorrect 0.7 (10%)
Goes to Decision 7 (13%) 4 57 % 1.71 3.25Pick was incorrect 1.40Pick was correct -0.4 (-5%)
Does not go to Decision 5 (9%) 2 40 % 1.54 2.30Pick was correct 1.18Pick was correct 0.5 (10%)
X Wins by Decision 23 (43%) 9 39 % 3.81 11.00Pick was correct 1.90Pick was correct 18.2 (79%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (2%) 0 0 % 1.30 1.30Pick was incorrect 1.30Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X 3 (6%) 0 0 % 4.69 34.00Pick was incorrect 1.72Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
Others 8 (15%) 3 38 % 3.25 12.00Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was correct 2.1 (27%)
54 23 43 % 2.46     17.2 (32%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail springerD4 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
2nd Mar UFC 235 0.5 -0.5 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $995.00
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 4 -1.2 -30% $9.95 $995.00 $983.06
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 4.25 -4.3 -100% $9.83 $983.06 $941.28
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 1.5 -0.5 -34% $9.41 $941.28 $936.46
11th May UFC 237 5 2.1 42% $9.36 $936.46 $956.12
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 3 -3.0 -100% $9.56 $956.12 $927.44
8th Jun UFC 238 2.5 2.5 101% $9.27 $927.44 $950.88
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 1.25 -1.3 -100% $9.51 $950.88 $938.99
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 2.5 -1.1 -44% $9.39 $938.99 $928.66
6th Jul UFC 239 0.5 0.7 139% $9.29 $928.66 $935.12
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 3.25 3.5 108% $9.35 $935.12 $967.85
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 2 0.3 15% $9.68 $967.85 $970.75
27th Jul UFC 240 3 -1.3 -45% $9.71 $970.75 $957.75
17th Aug UFC 241 7.5 -5.1 -68% $9.58 $957.75 $908.61
7th Sep UFC 242 1 -1.0 -100% $9.09 $908.61 $899.53
14th Sep UFC Fight Night 158 3.25 0.6 19% $9.00 $899.53 $905.06
28th Sep UFC Fight Night 160 3 -1.8 -62% $9.05 $905.06 $888.32
5th Oct UFC 243 1.6 0.1 9% $8.88 $888.32 $889.56
12th Oct UFC on ESPN+ 19 1.35 0.9 67% $8.90 $889.56 $897.66
18th Oct UFC ESPN 6 1 -1.0 -100% $8.98 $897.66 $888.69
26th Oct UFC Fight Night 162 1 -1.0 -100% $8.89 $888.69 $879.80
2nd Nov UFC 244 3.5 8.5 244% $8.80 $879.80 $954.81
9th Nov UFC Fight Night 163 0.5 -0.5 -100% $9.55 $954.81 $950.03
7th Dec UFC on ESPN 7 1 -1.0 -100% $9.50 $950.03 $940.53
15th Dec UFC 245 3 -3.0 -100% $9.41 $940.53 $912.32
21st Dec UFC Fight Night 165 1 -1.0 -100% $9.12 $912.32 $903.19
18th Jan UFC 246 2 5.4 271% $9.03 $903.19 $952.16
25th Jan UFC Fight Night 166 2 -0.3 -17% $9.52 $952.16 $948.92
9th Feb UFC 247 1.75 10.3 586% $9.49 $948.92 $1,046.28
15th Feb UFC Fight Night 167 1 -1.0 -100% $10.46 $1,046.28 $1,035.82
22nd Feb UFC Fight Night 168 1.35 -1.4 -100% $10.36 $1,035.82 $1,021.84
8th Mar UFC 248 2 0.6 31% $10.22 $1,021.84 $1,028.22
14th Mar UFC Fight Night 170 0.75 -0.8 -100% $10.28 $1,028.22 $1,020.51


ROI % from starting bank balance: 2.05% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

springerD4 : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jan '20 Sara McMann Lina Lansberg 1.66 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '19 Daniel Hooker Al Iaquinta 1.74 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '19 Chas Skelly Jordan Griffin 2.25 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '19 Hunter Azure Brad Katona 2.40 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '19 Misha Cirkunov Jim Crute 1.90 0.5 Sub, R1 (3:38) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '19 Gillian Robertson Sarah Frota 1.66 1 TKO, R2 (4:13) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '19 Raquel Pennington Irene Aldana 2.30 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '19 Germaine de Randamie Aspen Ladd 2.25 3 TKO, R1 (0:16) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '19 Francis Ngannou Junior dos Santos 1.40 1 TKO, R1 (1:11) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '19 Katlyn Chookagian Joanne Calderwood 1.80 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. May '19 Irene Aldana Bethe Correia 1.25 2 Sub, R3 (3:24) MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '19 Curtis Blaydes Justin Willis 1.40 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '20 Demian Maia Gilbert Burns 2.50 0.25 TKO, R1 (2:34) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '19 Frankie Edgar Chan Sung Jung 2.62 1 TKO, R1 (3:18) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '19 Max Holloway Alex Volkanovski 1.58 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '19 Yana Kunitskaya Aspen Ladd 2.30 1 TKO, R3 (0:33) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '19 Frank Camacho Beneil Dariush 2.30 1 Sub, R1 (2:2) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '19 Gillian Robertson Maycee Barber 2.20 1 TKO, R1 (3:4) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '19 Gunnar Nelson Gilbert Burns 2.10 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '19 Cole Smith Miles Johns 2.10 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '19 Jodie Esquibel Hannah Cifers 3.25 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '19 Manny Bermudez Casey Kenney 1.62 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '19 Daniel Cormier Stipe Miocic 1.72 2 TKO, R4 (4:9) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '19 Alexis Davis Viviane Araujo 2.70 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '19 Francisco Trinaldo Alexander Hernandez 2.40 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '19 Emily Whitmire Amanda Ribas 1.57 1 Sub, R2 (2:10) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '19 Alessio Di Chirico Kevin Holland 2.80 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '19 Montana De La Rosa Andrea Lee 2.70 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. May '19 Megan Anderson Felicia Spencer 1.47 2 Sub, R1 (3:24) No MMA Bookmaker
18. May '19 Kurt Holobaugh Thiago Moises 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Apr '19 Andrei Arlovski Augusto Sakai 2.25 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Apr '19 John Lineker Cory Sandhagen 1.66 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

springerD4 : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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