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Total MMA Handicappers: 1430 Profitable MMA Handicappers: 586 |
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Profit / Loss by Organization |
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Straight Pick Stats |
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Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
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| Picks | Correct | % Correct | Units Bet | Units Profit | Profit per Pick | ROI | |
| Main Event | 10 (17%) | 9 | 90 % | 44.50 | 40.40 | 4.04 | 91% |
| Co-Main Event | 4 (7%) | 3 | 75 % | 15.00 | 5.80 | 1.45 | 39% |
| Position 3-5 | 21 (36%) | 11 | 52 % | 78.00 | -11.10 | -0.53 | -14% |
| 6+ (Undercard) | 24 (41%) | 15 | 63 % | 82.50 | 17.59 | 0.73 | 21% |
by Weight Class
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | Units Bet | Units Profit | Profit per Pick | ROI | |
| Heavyweight | 8 (14%) | 7 | 88 % | 35.50 | 31.40 | 3.92 | 88% |
| Light Heavy | 6 (10%) | 5 | 83 % | 22.00 | 12.86 | 2.14 | 58% |
| Middleweight | 7 (12%) | 5 | 71 % | 26.50 | 6.19 | 0.88 | 23% |
| Welterweight | 8 (14%) | 5 | 63 % | 28.00 | 8.00 | 1.00 | 29% |
| Lightweight | 11 (19%) | 8 | 73 % | 43.50 | 10.76 | 0.98 | 25% |
| Featherweight | 9 (15%) | 4 | 44 % | 29.50 | -5.73 | -0.64 | -19% |
| Bantamweight | 5 (8%) | 3 | 60 % | 15.00 | 3.21 | 0.64 | 21% |
| Flyweight | 1 (2%) | 0 % | 2.00 | -2.00 | -2.00 | -100% | |
| Women's Fights | 4 (7%) | 1 | 25 % | 18.00 | -12.00 | -3.00 | -67% |
| Bantamweight | 3 (5%) | 1 | 33 % | 13.00 | -7.00 | -2.33 | -54% |
| Strawweight | 1 (2%) | 0 % | 5.00 | -5.00 | -5.00 | -100% |
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)
Straight picks within parlays
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | |
| Big Favorites | 72 (73%) | 49 | 68 % |
| Slight Favorites | 18 (18%) | 11 | 61 % |
| Slight Underdogs | 7 (7%) | 5 | 71 % |
| Big Underdogs | 1 (1%) | 0 | 0 % |
| 98 | 65 | 66 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | |
| >65% chance | 3 (9%) | 3 | 100 % |
| 50-65% | 3 (9%) | 3 | 100 % |
| 35-50% | 2 (6%) | 1 | 50 % |
| <35% chance | 27 (77%) | 5 | 19 % |
| 35 | 12 | 34 % |
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
| Prop Type | Picks | Correct | % Correct | Avg Odds |
Longest Odds |
Shortest Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
| Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) | 3 (9%) | 3 | 100 % | 1.47 | 1.70 |
1.25 |
1.5 (49%) |
| Does not go to Decision | 1 (3%) | 1 | 100 % | 1.20 | 1.20 |
1.20 |
0.2 (20%) |
| Fight Starts Round X | 1 (3%) | 0 | 0 % | 13.00 | 13.00 |
13.00 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
| X Wins by KO | 6 (17%) | 1 | 17 % | 4.04 | 10.00 |
2.20 |
-3.8 (-63%) |
| X Wins by Sub | 3 (9%) | 0 | 0 % | 8.61 | 12.00 |
5.50 |
-3.0 (-100%) |
| X Wins by Decision | 9 (26%) | 6 | 67 % | 3.07 | 7.50 |
1.54 |
11.0 (123%) |
| X Wins Inside Distance | 5 (14%) | 0 | 0 % | 3.93 | 5.50 |
2.25 |
-5.0 (-100%) |
| X Wins in Round X | 3 (9%) | 0 | 0 % | 12.99 | 21.00 |
10.00 |
-3.0 (-100%) |
| Others | 4 (11%) | 1 | 25 % | 3.50 | 8.00 |
2.87 |
-0.9 (-22%) |
| 35 | 12 | 34 % | 3.38 | -4.0 (-11%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.
Tail handicapper's bets
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date | Event | Bet | Won | ROI | Fee | 1 unit = | Start | End |
| 28th Jun | BAMMA London: McKee vs Brazier | 8 | -8.0 | -100% | $10.00 | $1,000.00 | $920.00 | |
| 29th Jun | Bellator 201 | 17 | 7.8 | 46% | $9.20 | $920.00 | $992.14 | |
| 7th Jul | TUF 27 Finale | 21.5 | -21.5 | -100% | $9.92 | $992.14 | $778.83 | |
| 7th Jul | UFC 226 | 36 | 8.5 | 24% | $7.79 | $778.83 | $845.03 | |
| 14th Jul | UFC Fight Night 133 | 24 | -8.2 | -34% | $8.45 | $845.03 | $776.07 | |
| 22nd Jul | UFC Fight Night 134 | 35.5 | 18.4 | 52% | $7.76 | $776.07 | $919.26 | |
| 24th Jul | DWTNCS 14 | 5 | 4.4 | 88% | $9.19 | $919.26 | $959.70 | |
| 28th Jul | UFC on Fox 30 | 26.5 | 14.6 | 55% | $10 | $9.60 | $959.70 | $1,089.68 |
| 4th Aug | UFC 227 | 3 | 2.4 | 80% | $10.90 | $1,089.68 | $1,115.83 | |
| 29th Sep | Bellator 206 | 10 | 8.1 | 81% | $11.16 | $1,115.83 | $1,206.77 | |
| 12th Oct | Bellator 207 | 8 | 6.1 | 76% | $12.07 | $1,206.77 | $1,280.09 | |
| 8th Dec | UFC 231 | 80.5 | -6.5 | -8% | $12.80 | $1,280.09 | $1,196.82 | |
| 15th Dec | Fight Night Milwaukee | 74 | 57.1 | 77% | $11.97 | $1,196.82 | $1,880.02 | |
| 29th Dec | UFC 232 | 67 | -30.7 | -46% | $18.80 | $1,880.02 | $1,302.50 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 30.25% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.
Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
| Date | Straight Pick | Opponent | Odds | Bet | Result | |||
| 1. | Jan '19 | Geoff Neal | Belal Muhammad | 1.67 | 5 | U Decision (3 rounds) | 
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| 2. | Dec '18 | Michael Chiesa | Carlos Condit | 1.57 | 5 | Sub, R2 (0:56) |
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| 3. | Dec '18 | Montel Jackson | Brian Kelleher | 1.62 | 5 | Sub, R1 (1:40) |
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| 4. | Dec '18 | Mike Rodriguez | Adam Milstead | 2.37 | 3 | TKO, R1 (2:59) |
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| 5. | Dec '18 | Dan Ige | Jordan Griffin | 1.57 | 4 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 6. | Dec '18 | Jack Hermansson | Gerald Meerschaert | 1.50 | 3 | Sub, R1 (4:25) |
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| 7. | Dec '18 | Joaquim Silva | Jared Gordon | 2.37 | 3 | TKO, R3 (2:39) |
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| 8. | Dec '18 | Zak Cummings | Trevor Smith | 1.36 | 4 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 9. | Dec '18 | Rob Font | Sergio Pettis | 1.57 | 3 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 10. | Dec '18 | Edson Barboza | Daniel Hooker | 1.90 | 4 | TKO, R3 (2:19) |
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| 11. | Dec '18 | Gilbert Burns | Olivier Aubin-Mercier | 2.10 | 5 | U Decision (3 rounds) | 
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| 12. | Dec '18 | Elias Theodorou | Eryk Anders | 1.90 | 4 | Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 13. | Dec '18 | Gunnar Nelson | Alex Oliveira | 1.72 | 5 | Sub, R2 (4:17) |
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| 14. | Dec '18 | Thiago Santos | Jimi Manuwa | 1.53 | 5 | TKO, R2 (0:41) |
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| 15. | Dec '18 | Max Holloway | Brian Ortega | 1.80 | 5 | TKO, R4 (5:0) |
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| 16. | Oct '18 | Ryan Bader | Matt Mitrione | 1.53 | 5 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 17. | Aug '18 | T.J. Dillashaw | Cody Garbrandt | 1.80 | 3 | TKO, R1 (4:10) |
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| 18. | Jul '18 | Ion Cutelaba | Gadzhimurad Antigulov | 2.30 | 3 | TKO, R1 (4:25) |
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| 19. | Jul '18 | Alexander Hernandez | Olivier Aubin-Mercier | 2.10 | 2 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 20. | Jul '18 | Sodiq Yusuff | Mike Davis | 3.00 | 1.5 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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Last 20 Losses
| Date | Straight Pick | Opponent | Odds | Bet | Result | Hedge? | |||
| 1. | Jan '19 | Rachael Ostovich | Paige VanZant | 2.30 | 5 | Sub, R2 (1:50) | No |
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| 2. | Jan '19 | Alexander Hernandez | Donald Cerrone | 1.61 | 5 | TKO, R2 (3:43) | No |
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| 3. | Dec '18 | Chad Mendes | Alex Volkanovski | 1.62 | 5 | TKO, R2 (4:14) | No |
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| 4. | Dec '18 | Kyle Bochniak | Hakeem Dawodu | 2.40 | 3 | Split Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 5. | Dec '18 | Chad Laprise | Dhiego Lima | 1.36 | 5 | TKO, R1 (1:37) | No |
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| 6. | Dec '18 | Matthew Lopez | Brad Katona | 3.00 | 2 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 7. | Dec '18 | Claudia Gadelha | Nina Ansaroff | 1.40 | 5 | U Decision (3 rounds) | Yes |
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| 8. | Jul '18 | Matheus Nicolau | Dustin Ortiz | 1.50 | 2 | TKO, R1 (3:49) | No |
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| 9. | Jul '18 | David Zawada | Danny Roberts | 3.50 | 2 | Split Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 10. | Jul '18 | Kurt Holobaugh | Raoni Barcelos | 1.53 | 3 | TKO, R3 (1:39) | No |
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| 11. | Jul '18 | Justin Scoggins | Said Nurmagomedov | 2.20 | 2 | Split Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 12. | Jul '18 | Dennis Bermudez | Rick Glenn | 1.44 | 3 | Split Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 13. | Jul '18 | Myles Jury | Chad Mendes | 2.25 | 2 | TKO, R1 (2:52) | No |
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| 14. | Jul '18 | Barb Honchak | Roxanne Modafferi | 1.53 | 4 | TKO, R2 (3:32) | No |
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| 15. | Jul '18 | Gokhan Saki | Khalil Rountree | 1.61 | 5 | TKO, R1 (1:36) | No |
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| 16. | Jul '18 | Michael Chiesa | Anthony Pettis | 1.57 | 5 | Sub, R2 (0:52) | No |
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| 17. | Jul '18 | Francis Ngannou | Derrick Lewis | 1.30 | 3 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 18. | Jul '18 | Julian Marquez | Alessio Di Chirico | 1.66 | 3 | Split Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 19. | Jul '18 | Brad Tavares | Israel Adesanya | 2.37 | 2.5 | U Decision (5 rounds) | No |
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| 20. | Jun '18 | James Reedman | Jefferson George | 2.10 | 1 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.
Progress Chart
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