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MMA Handicapper Stats: Francis M

Francis M (MFrancis)
Mixed Martial Arts Management - Francis M

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 63 (55%) Right 28 (70%) Right 15 (39%) Right 20 (56%)
Wrong 51 (45%) Wrong 12 (30%) Wrong 23 (61%) Wrong 16 (44%)
Avg Odds 2.01 Avg Odds 1.77 Avg Odds 2.52 Avg Odds 1.90
Units Bet 263.6 Units Bet 111.0 Units Bet 59.7 Units Bet 92.9
Avg Bet 2.31 Avg Bet 2.78 Avg Bet 1.57 Avg Bet 2.58
Units Profit 22.23 Units Profit 29.90 Units Profit -6.97 Units Profit -0.70
ROI % 8% ROI % 27% ROI % -12% ROI % -1%
View Handicapper's Profile

Francis M: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 6.5 5.3 82% 2.9 / 4 (73%) 0.5 / 0.5 (100%) 1.9 / 2 (96%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 5 1.0 20% 3.0 / 3 (100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 13.7 7.2 52% 3.1 / 1.2 (261%) 4.0 / 12.5 (32%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 3.2 -3.2 -100% -0.2 / 0.2 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 2.55 2.1 83% 0.9 / 0.55 (164%) 1.2 / 2 (61%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 7 4.8 68% 4.8 / 7 (68%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 3 1.3 44% 1.3 / 3 (44%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 6 -6.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 2 1.3 64% 1.3 / 2 (64%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 3.5 -3.5 -100% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 4 1.6 40% 1.6 / 4 (40%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 3.5 1.1 32% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 1.6 / 3 (54%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 4.5 -0.0 -0% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 2.0 / 2.5 (80%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 3 1.1 36% 1.1 / 3 (36%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 3 1.9 63% 1.9 / 3 (63%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 8.5 3.9 45% 2.3 / 4 (57%) 1.5 / 2 (73%) 0.1 / 2.5 (5%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 3 1.9 63% 1.9 / 3 (63%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 4.3 1.5 34% 1.8 / 4 (44%) -0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 6.4 2.7 42% -0.2 / 0.2 (-100%) 2.9 / 6.2 (47%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 4 1.0 26% 1.0 / 4 (26%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 5 2.4 47% 2.4 / 5 (47%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 6 -2.7 -44% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 1.3 / 2 (67%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 5 2.0 40% 2.0 / 5 (40%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 5.2 0.9 18% 1.1 / 5 (23%) -0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 4 -0.8 -20% 2.2 / 1 (220%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
7th Jul '18 TUF 27 Finale 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
23rd Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 132 4.5 -1.6 -35% 0.3 / 1 (33%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 0.1 / 1.5 (7%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 5 2.9 59% 2.9 / 5 (59%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 5 0.7 14% -0.5 / 3 (-17%) 1.2 / 2 (60%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 3 1.6 53% 1.6 / 3 (53%)
19th May '18 UFC Fight Night 129 5 2.2 44% 2.2 / 5 (44%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 4 1.8 45% 1.8 / 4 (45%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
14th Apr '18 UFC on Fox 29 4 2.0 50% 2.0 / 4 (50%)
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 7.7 -5.3 -69% -2.6 / 5 (-52%) -2.7 / 2.7 (-100%)
17th Mar '18 UFC Fight Night 127 3.5 -3.5 -100% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
3rd Mar '18 UFC 222 3 2.1 70% 2.1 / 3 (70%)
24th Feb '18 UFC on Fox 28 9.5 -2.2 -23% -2.2 / 9.5 (-23%)
18th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 126 18.5 15.2 82% 11.5 / 11 (104%) 4.2 / 7 (60%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
10th Feb '18 UFC 221 10 0.2 2% 2.1 / 4 (53%) -1.9 / 6 (-32%)
4th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 125 4 4.1 103% 5.1 / 3 (170%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
27th Jan '18 UFC on Fox 27 10 3.2 32% 5.2 / 8 (65%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
20th Jan '18 UFC 220 16 -10.3 -64% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 2.7 / 3 (91%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
14th Jan '18 UFC Fight Night 124 11 -6.6 -60% -6.6 / 11 (-60%)
31st Dec '17 UFC 219 4.5 0.3 6% 1.4 / 1 (140%) 0.9 / 1.5 (58%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)


Winning Events: 31 (65%)
Losing Events: 17 (35%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.49 units
Most Staked On One Event: 18.50 units
Best Event: 15.19 units
Worst Event: -10.26 units
Average Event: 0.46 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 22.74
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -16.90

Francis M: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2019 46.95 12.5 27% -0.1 / 13 (-1%) 5.6 / 5.45 (104%) 6.9 / 28.5 (24%) 6 / 2 (75%) 1.56
2018 212.1 9.5 4% 28.6 / 97 (29%) -13.5 / 52.7 (-26%) -5.6 / 62.4 (-9%) 24 / 15 (62%) 0.24
2017 4.5 0.3 6% 1.4 / 1 (140%) 0.9 / 1.5 (58%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 1 / 0 (100%) 0.27

Francis M: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Francis M: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 263.55 22.2 8% 29.9 / 111 (27%) -7.0 / 59.65 (-12%) -0.7 / 92.9 (-1%)

Francis M: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 16 (40%) 14 88 % 58.50 12.85 0.80 22%
Slight Favorites 11 (28%) 6 55 % 29.00 2.15 0.20 7%
Slight Underdogs 10 (25%) 6 60 % 19.00 7.20 0.72 38%
Big Underdogs 3 (8%) 2 67 % 4.50 7.70 2.57 171%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 2 (5%) 1 50 % 6.00 -2.80 -1.40 -47%
Co-Main Event 4 (10%) 3 75 % 12.00 6.92 1.73 58%
Position 3-5 12 (30%) 8 67 % 27.00 7.27 0.61 27%
6+ (Undercard) 22 (55%) 16 73 % 66.00 18.51 0.84 28%

Francis M: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (5%) 2 100 % 3.00 3.80 1.90 127%
Middleweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 1.00 0.62 0.62 62%
Welterweight 12 (30%) 11 92 % 30.50 23.50 1.96 77%
Lightweight 7 (18%) 5 71 % 27.00 6.48 0.93 24%
Featherweight 8 (20%) 3 38 % 24.00 -6.54 -0.82 -27%
Bantamweight 3 (8%) 2 67 % 9.00 2.23 0.74 25%
Flyweight 2 (5%) 1 50 % 4.50 -3.17 -1.58 -70%
               
Women's Fights 5 (13%) 3 60 % 12.00 2.98 0.60 25%
Featherweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 3.00 1.33 1.33 44%
Bantamweight 2 (5%) 2 100 % 7.00 3.64 1.82 52%
Strawweight 2 (5%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -1.00 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 52 (91%) 47 90 %
Slight Favorites 2 (4%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (4%) 1 50 %
Big Underdogs 1 (2%) 1 100 %
57 49 86 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 18 (31%) 9 50 %
50-65% 9 (15%) 5 56 %
35-50% 7 (12%) 4 57 %
<35% chance 25 (42%) 7 28 %
59 25 42 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (3%) 0 0 % 2.14 10.00Pick was incorrect 1.20Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision 1 (2%) 1 100 % 1.30 1.30Pick was correct 1.30Pick was correct 0.3 (30%)
Does not go to Decision 16 (27%) 9 56 % 1.42 2.62Pick was incorrect 1.11Pick was incorrect -3.4 (-21%)
X Wins by KO 5 (8%) 1 20 % 2.76 7.50Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-40%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (2%) 1 100 % 2.63 2.63Pick was correct 2.63Pick was correct 1.6 (163%)
X Wins by Decision 10 (17%) 5 50 % 3.23 7.00Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was correct 5.7 (57%)
X Wins Inside Distance 7 (12%) 2 29 % 1.56 1.95Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was incorrect -3.7 (-53%)
X Wins in Round X 7 (12%) 3 43 % 3.61 6.00Pick was incorrect 1.73Pick was correct 1.2 (17%)
Others 10 (17%) 3 30 % 3.41 7.50Pick was incorrect 1.62Pick was correct -0.6 (-6%)
59 25 42 % 2.14     -2.9 (-5%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Francis M's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
31st Dec UFC 219 4.5 0.3 6% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,002.75
14th Jan UFC Fight Night 124 11 -6.6 -60% $10.03 $1,002.75 $936.20
20th Jan UFC 220 16 -10.3 -64% $9.36 $936.20 $840.15
27th Jan UFC on Fox 27 10 3.2 32% $8.40 $840.15 $867.34
4th Feb UFC Fight Night 125 4 4.1 103% $8.67 $867.34 $902.90
10th Feb UFC 221 10 0.2 2% $9.03 $902.90 $904.87
18th Feb UFC Fight Night 126 18.5 15.2 82% $9.05 $904.87 $1,042.31
24th Feb UFC on Fox 28 9.5 -2.2 -23% $10.42 $1,042.31 $1,019.73
3rd Mar UFC 222 3 2.1 70% $10.20 $1,019.73 $1,041.12
17th Mar UFC Fight Night 127 3.5 -3.5 -100% $10.41 $1,041.12 $1,004.68
7th Apr UFC 223 7.7 -5.3 -69% $10.05 $1,004.68 $951.44
14th Apr UFC on Fox 29 4 2.0 50% $9.51 $951.44 $970.46
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 2.5 -2.5 -100% $9.70 $970.46 $946.20
12th May UFC 224 4 1.8 45% $9.46 $946.20 $963.40
19th May UFC Fight Night 129 5 2.2 44% $9.63 $963.40 $984.81
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 3 1.6 53% $9.85 $984.81 $1,000.52
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 5 0.7 14% $10.01 $1,000.52 $1,007.52
9th Jun UFC 225 5 2.9 59% $10.08 $1,007.52 $1,037.08
23rd Jun UFC Fight Night 132 4.5 -1.6 -35% $10.37 $1,037.08 $1,020.83
7th Jul TUF 27 Finale 2 -2.0 -100% $10.21 $1,020.83 $1,000.41
7th Jul UFC 226 4 -0.8 -20% $10.00 $1,000.41 $992.41
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 5.2 0.9 18% $9.92 $992.41 $1,001.62
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 5 2.0 40% $10.02 $1,001.62 $1,021.65
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 6 -2.7 -44% $10.22 $1,021.65 $994.51
4th Aug UFC 227 5 -5.0 -100% $9.95 $994.51 $944.78
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 5 2.4 47% $9.45 $944.78 $967.08
8th Sep UFC 228 4 1.0 26% $9.67 $967.08 $977.14
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 6.4 2.7 42% $9.77 $977.14 $1,003.63
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 4.3 1.5 34% $10.04 $1,003.63 $1,018.46
6th Oct UFC 229 1.5 -1.5 -100% $10.18 $1,018.46 $1,003.18
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 2.5 -2.5 -100% $10.03 $1,003.18 $978.10
3rd Nov UFC 230 3 1.9 63% $9.78 $978.10 $996.58
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 8.5 3.9 45% $9.97 $996.58 $1,035.10
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 3 1.9 63% $10.35 $1,035.10 $1,054.52
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 3 1.1 36% $10.55 $1,054.52 $1,065.94
30th Nov TUF Finale 4.5 -0.0 -0% $10.66 $1,065.94 $1,065.94
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 3.5 1.1 32% $10.66 $1,065.94 $1,077.97
8th Dec UFC 231 4 1.6 40% $10.78 $1,077.97 $1,095.22
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 3.5 -3.5 -100% $10.95 $1,095.22 $1,056.89
29th Dec UFC 232 2 1.3 64% $10.57 $1,056.89 $1,070.34
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 6 -6.0 -100% $10.70 $1,070.34 $1,006.12
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 3 1.3 44% $10.06 $1,006.12 $1,019.35
9th Feb UFC 234 7 4.8 68% $10.19 $1,019.35 $1,067.87
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 2.55 2.1 83% $10.68 $1,067.87 $1,090.45
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 3.2 -3.2 -100% $10.90 $1,090.45 $1,055.55
2nd Mar UFC 235 13.7 7.2 52% $10.56 $1,055.55 $1,131.24
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 5 1.0 20% $11.31 $1,131.24 $1,142.55
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 6.5 5.3 82% $11.43 $1,142.55 $1,203.57


ROI % from starting bank balance: 20.36% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Francis M: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '19 Leon Edwards Gunnar Nelson 1.73 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Curtis Millender 2.00 3 Sub, R1 (2:35) MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '18 Germaine de Randamie Raquel Pennington 1.57 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '18 Francisco Trinaldo Evan Dunham 1.44 4 TKO, R2 (4:12) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '18 Nad Narimani Khalid Taha 1.40 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '18 Alejandro Perez Eddie Wineland 1.53 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '18 Yuta Sasaki Jenel Lausa 1.33 1 Sub, R2 (4:4) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '18 Daniel Cormier Stipe Miocic 3.20 1 TKO, R1 (4:33) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '18 Holly Holm Megan Anderson 1.44 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '18 Ben Saunders Jake Ellenberger 2.50 1 TKO, R1 (1:56) MMA Bookmaker
11. May '18 Carlo Pedersoli Jr. Brad Scott 1.53 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. May '18 Vicente Luque Chad Laprise 1.44 2 TKO, R1 (4:16) MMA Bookmaker
13. May '18 Gabriel Benitez Humberto Bandenay 1.44 3 TKO, R1 (0:39) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '18 Curtis Blaydes Alistair Overeem 1.80 2 TKO, R3 (2:56) MMA Bookmaker
15. May '18 Jack Hermansson Thales Leites 1.62 1 TKO, R3 (2:10) MMA Bookmaker
16. May '18 Warlley Alves Sultan Aliev 1.40 3 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '18 Alex Oliveira Carlos Condit 1.50 4 Sub, R2 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
18. Apr '18 Chris Gruetzemacher Joe Lauzon 2.40 1 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '18 John Dodson Pedro Munhoz 1.70 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '18 Curtis Millender Thiago Alves 2.40 2 TKO, R2 (4:17) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jan '19 Alexander Hernandez Donald Cerrone 1.53 6 TKO, R2 (3:43) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '18 Matheus Nicolau Dustin Ortiz 1.50 3.5 TKO, R1 (3:49) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '18 Jodie Esquibel Jessica Aguilar 1.73 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '18 Daniel Teymur Julio Arce 2.50 2 Sub, R3 (2:55) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '18 Keita Nakamura Tony Martin 3.00 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '18 Brett Johns Aljamain Sterling 1.91 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '18 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Rose Namajunas 2.00 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '18 Calvin Kattar Renato Moicano 1.91 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '18 Calvin Kattar Renato Moicano 1.72 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jan '18 Dan Ige Julio Arce 2.25 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jan '18 Doo Ho Choi Jeremy Stephens 1.61 5 TKO, R2 (2:36) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jan '18 Alex White James Krause 2.40 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Francis M: Progress Chart
Chart

 
 
 
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