MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1663
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 687

MMA Handicapper Stats: Francis M

Francis M (MFrancis)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	71 (55%)	Right	30 (68%)	Right	16 (37%)	Right	25 (58%)
Wrong	59 (45%)	Wrong	14 (32%)	Wrong	27 (63%)	Wrong	18 (42%)
Avg Odds	2.00	Avg Odds	1.78	Avg Odds	2.49	Avg Odds	1.87
Units Bet	305.6	Units Bet	122.5	Units Bet	66.2	Units Bet	116.9
Avg Bet	2.35	Avg Bet	2.78	Avg Bet	1.54	Avg Bet	2.72
Units Profit	18.15	Units Profit	28.60	Units Profit	-11.37	Units Profit	0.92
ROI %	6%	ROI %	23%	ROI %	-17%	ROI %	1%

Francis M: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
18th May '19	UFC Fight Night 152	4	2.2	54%			2.2 / 4 (54%)
11th May '19	UFC 237	2	1.0	52%			1.0 / 2 (52%)
4th May '19	UFC Fight Night 150	10.5	6.1	58%	3.7 / 6.5 (57%)	1.1 / 1 (110%)	1.3 / 3 (43%)
27th Apr '19	UFC on ESPN 3	6	-6.0	-100%			-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
20th Apr '19	UFC Fight Night 149	5	-5.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
13th Apr '19	UFC 236	8.5	-8.5	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
30th Mar '19	UFC on ESPN 2	3	3.1	102%			3.1 / 3 (102%)
23rd Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 148	3	3.1	102%			3.1 / 3 (102%)
16th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 147	6.5	5.3	82%	2.9 / 4 (73%)	0.5 / 0.5 (100%)	1.9 / 2 (96%)
9th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 146	5	1.0	20%	3.0 / 3 (100%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19	UFC 235	13.7	7.2	52%		3.1 / 1.2 (261%)	4.0 / 12.5 (32%)
23rd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 145	3.2	-3.2	-100%		-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
17th Feb '19	UFC on ESPN 1	2.55	2.1	83%		0.9 / 0.55 (164%)	1.2 / 2 (61%)
9th Feb '19	UFC 234	7	4.8	68%			4.8 / 7 (68%)
2nd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 144	3	1.3	44%		1.3 / 3 (44%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	6	-6.0	-100%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
29th Dec '18	UFC 232	2	1.3	64%			1.3 / 2 (64%)
15th Dec '18	Fight Night Milwaukee	3.5	-3.5	-100%		-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
8th Dec '18	UFC 231	4	1.6	40%			1.6 / 4 (40%)
1st Dec '18	UFC Fight Night 142	3.5	1.1	32%		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	1.6 / 3 (54%)
30th Nov '18	TUF Finale	4.5	-0.0	-0%		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	2.0 / 2.5 (80%)
24th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 141	3	1.1	36%			1.1 / 3 (36%)
17th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 140	3	1.9	63%			1.9 / 3 (63%)
10th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night Denver	8.5	3.9	45%	2.3 / 4 (57%)	1.5 / 2 (73%)	0.1 / 2.5 (5%)
3rd Nov '18	UFC 230	3	1.9	63%			1.9 / 3 (63%)
27th Oct '18	UFC Fight Night 138	2.5	-2.5	-100%		-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
6th Oct '18	UFC 229	1.5	-1.5	-100%		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
22nd Sep '18	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	4.3	1.5	34%	1.8 / 4 (44%)		-0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)
15th Sep '18	UFC FIght Night Moscow	6.4	2.7	42%		-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)	2.9 / 6.2 (47%)
8th Sep '18	UFC 228	4	1.0	26%			1.0 / 4 (26%)
25th Aug '18	UFC Fight Night 135	5	2.4	47%		2.4 / 5 (47%)
4th Aug '18	UFC 227	5	-5.0	-100%			-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
28th Jul '18	UFC on Fox 30	6	-2.7	-44%	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	1.3 / 2 (67%)
22nd Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 134	5	2.0	40%	2.0 / 5 (40%)
14th Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 133	5.2	0.9	18%	1.1 / 5 (23%)		-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
7th Jul '18	UFC 226	4	-0.8	-20%	2.2 / 1 (220%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
7th Jul '18	TUF 27 Finale	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
23rd Jun '18	UFC Fight Night 132	4.5	-1.6	-35%	0.3 / 1 (33%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	0.1 / 1.5 (7%)
9th Jun '18	UFC 225	5	2.9	59%	2.9 / 5 (59%)
1st Jun '18	UFC Fight Night 131	5	0.7	14%	-0.5 / 3 (-17%)		1.2 / 2 (60%)
27th May '18	UFC Fight Night 130	3	1.6	53%	1.6 / 3 (53%)
19th May '18	UFC Fight Night 129	5	2.2	44%	2.2 / 5 (44%)
12th May '18	UFC 224	4	1.8	45%	1.8 / 4 (45%)
21st Apr '18	UFC Fight Night 128	2.5	-2.5	-100%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
14th Apr '18	UFC on Fox 29	4	2.0	50%	2.0 / 4 (50%)
7th Apr '18	UFC 223	7.7	-5.3	-69%	-2.6 / 5 (-52%)		-2.7 / 2.7 (-100%)
17th Mar '18	UFC Fight Night 127	3.5	-3.5	-100%		-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
3rd Mar '18	UFC 222	3	2.1	70%	2.1 / 3 (70%)
24th Feb '18	UFC on Fox 28	9.5	-2.2	-23%		-2.2 / 9.5 (-23%)
18th Feb '18	UFC Fight Night 126	18.5	15.2	82%	11.5 / 11 (104%)	4.2 / 7 (60%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
10th Feb '18	UFC 221	10	0.2	2%	2.1 / 4 (53%)	-1.9 / 6 (-32%)
4th Feb '18	UFC Fight Night 125	4	4.1	103%	5.1 / 3 (170%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
27th Jan '18	UFC on Fox 27	10	3.2	32%	5.2 / 8 (65%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
20th Jan '18	UFC 220	16	-10.3	-64%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	2.7 / 3 (91%)	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
14th Jan '18	UFC Fight Night 124	11	-6.6	-60%	-6.6 / 11 (-60%)
31st Dec '17	UFC 219	4.5	0.3	6%	1.4 / 1 (140%)	0.9 / 1.5 (58%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)

Winning Events: 36 (64%)
Losing Events: 20 (36%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.46 units
Most Staked On One Event: 18.50 units
Best Event: 15.19 units
Worst Event: -10.26 units
Average Event: 0.32 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 22.74
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -19.50

Francis M: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	88.95	8.4	9%	-1.4 / 24.5 (-6%)	1.2 / 11.95 (10%)	8.6 / 52.5 (16%)	11 / 5 (69%)	0.53
2018	212.1	9.5	4%	28.6 / 97 (29%)	-13.5 / 52.7 (-26%)	-5.6 / 62.4 (-9%)	24 / 15 (62%)	0.24
2017	4.5	0.3	6%	1.4 / 1 (140%)	0.9 / 1.5 (58%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	1 / 0 (100%)	0.27

Francis M: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Francis M: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	305.55	18.1	6%	28.6 / 122.5 (23%)	-11.4 / 66.15 (-17%)	0.9 / 116.9 (1%)

Francis M: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	17 (39%)	15	88 %	64.50	16.05	0.94	25%
Slight Favorites	12 (27%)	6	50 %	32.00	-0.85	-0.07	-3%
Slight Underdogs	12 (27%)	7	58 %	21.50	5.70	0.47	27%
Big Underdogs	3 (7%)	2	67 %	4.50	7.70	2.57	171%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	2 (5%)	1	50 %	6.00	-2.80	-1.40	-47%
Co-Main Event	4 (9%)	3	75 %	12.00	6.92	1.73	58%
Position 3-5	13 (30%)	9	69 %	33.00	10.47	0.81	32%
6+ (Undercard)	25 (57%)	17	68 %	71.50	14.01	0.56	20%

Francis M: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (5%)	2	100 %	3.00	3.80	1.90	127%
Light Heavy	1 (2%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Middleweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.62	0.62	62%
Welterweight	12 (27%)	11	92 %	30.50	23.50	1.96	77%
Lightweight	7 (16%)	5	71 %	27.00	6.48	0.93	24%
Featherweight	9 (20%)	4	44 %	30.00	-3.34	-0.37	-11%
Bantamweight	5 (11%)	3	60 %	12.50	-0.27	-0.05	-2%
Flyweight	2 (5%)	1	50 %	4.50	-3.17	-1.58	-70%

Women's Fights	5 (11%)	3	60 %	12.00	2.98	0.60	25%
Featherweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	3.00	1.33	1.33	44%
Bantamweight	2 (5%)	2	100 %	7.00	3.64	1.82	52%
Strawweight	2 (5%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-1.00	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	66 (93%)	60	91 %
Slight Favorites	2 (3%)	0	0 %
Slight Underdogs	2 (3%)	1	50 %
Big Underdogs	1 (1%)	1	100 %
	71	62	87 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	21 (31%)	11	52 %
50-65%	11 (16%)	5	45 %
35-50%	9 (13%)	5	56 %
<35% chance	26 (39%)	7	27 %
	67	28	42 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (3%)	0	0 %	2.14	10.00	1.20	-2.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.30	1.30	1.30	0.3 (30%)
Does not go to Decision	18 (27%)	10	56 %	1.39	2.62	1.11	-4.2 (-24%)
X Wins by KO	5 (7%)	1	20 %	2.76	7.50	1.80	-2.0 (-40%)
X Wins by Sub	1 (1%)	1	100 %	2.63	2.63	2.63	1.6 (163%)
X Wins by Decision	12 (18%)	6	50 %	3.02	7.00	1.83	5.8 (48%)
X Wins Inside Distance	7 (10%)	2	29 %	1.56	1.95	1.25	-3.7 (-53%)
X Wins in Round X	7 (10%)	3	43 %	3.61	6.00	1.73	1.2 (17%)
Others	14 (21%)	4	29 %	2.80	7.50	1.29	-3.3 (-24%)
	67	28	42 %	2.08			-6.4 (-10%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Francis M's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
31st Dec	UFC 219	4.5	0.3	6%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,002.75
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night 124	11	-6.6	-60%		$10.03	$1,002.75	$936.20
20th Jan	UFC 220	16	-10.3	-64%		$9.36	$936.20	$840.15
27th Jan	UFC on Fox 27	10	3.2	32%		$8.40	$840.15	$867.34
4th Feb	UFC Fight Night 125	4	4.1	103%		$8.67	$867.34	$902.90
10th Feb	UFC 221	10	0.2	2%		$9.03	$902.90	$904.87
18th Feb	UFC Fight Night 126	18.5	15.2	82%		$9.05	$904.87	$1,042.31
24th Feb	UFC on Fox 28	9.5	-2.2	-23%		$10.42	$1,042.31	$1,019.73
3rd Mar	UFC 222	3	2.1	70%		$10.20	$1,019.73	$1,041.12
17th Mar	UFC Fight Night 127	3.5	-3.5	-100%		$10.41	$1,041.12	$1,004.68
7th Apr	UFC 223	7.7	-5.3	-69%		$10.05	$1,004.68	$951.44
14th Apr	UFC on Fox 29	4	2.0	50%		$9.51	$951.44	$970.46
21st Apr	UFC Fight Night 128	2.5	-2.5	-100%		$9.70	$970.46	$946.20
12th May	UFC 224	4	1.8	45%		$9.46	$946.20	$963.40
19th May	UFC Fight Night 129	5	2.2	44%		$9.63	$963.40	$984.81
27th May	UFC Fight Night 130	3	1.6	53%		$9.85	$984.81	$1,000.52
1st Jun	UFC Fight Night 131	5	0.7	14%		$10.01	$1,000.52	$1,007.52
9th Jun	UFC 225	5	2.9	59%		$10.08	$1,007.52	$1,037.08
23rd Jun	UFC Fight Night 132	4.5	-1.6	-35%		$10.37	$1,037.08	$1,020.83
7th Jul	TUF 27 Finale	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.21	$1,020.83	$1,000.41
7th Jul	UFC 226	4	-0.8	-20%		$10.00	$1,000.41	$992.41
14th Jul	UFC Fight Night 133	5.2	0.9	18%		$9.92	$992.41	$1,001.62
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night 134	5	2.0	40%		$10.02	$1,001.62	$1,021.65
28th Jul	UFC on Fox 30	6	-2.7	-44%		$10.22	$1,021.65	$994.51
4th Aug	UFC 227	5	-5.0	-100%		$9.95	$994.51	$944.78
25th Aug	UFC Fight Night 135	5	2.4	47%		$9.45	$944.78	$967.08
8th Sep	UFC 228	4	1.0	26%		$9.67	$967.08	$977.14
15th Sep	UFC FIght Night Moscow	6.4	2.7	42%		$9.77	$977.14	$1,003.63
22nd Sep	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	4.3	1.5	34%		$10.04	$1,003.63	$1,018.46
6th Oct	UFC 229	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$10.18	$1,018.46	$1,003.18
27th Oct	UFC Fight Night 138	2.5	-2.5	-100%		$10.03	$1,003.18	$978.10
3rd Nov	UFC 230	3	1.9	63%		$9.78	$978.10	$996.58
10th Nov	UFC Fight Night Denver	8.5	3.9	45%		$9.97	$996.58	$1,035.10
17th Nov	UFC Fight Night 140	3	1.9	63%		$10.35	$1,035.10	$1,054.52
24th Nov	UFC Fight Night 141	3	1.1	36%		$10.55	$1,054.52	$1,065.94
30th Nov	TUF Finale	4.5	-0.0	-0%		$10.66	$1,065.94	$1,065.94
1st Dec	UFC Fight Night 142	3.5	1.1	32%		$10.66	$1,065.94	$1,077.97
8th Dec	UFC 231	4	1.6	40%		$10.78	$1,077.97	$1,095.22
15th Dec	Fight Night Milwaukee	3.5	-3.5	-100%		$10.95	$1,095.22	$1,056.89
29th Dec	UFC 232	2	1.3	64%		$10.57	$1,056.89	$1,070.34
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	6	-6.0	-100%		$10.70	$1,070.34	$1,006.12
2nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 144	3	1.3	44%		$10.06	$1,006.12	$1,019.35
9th Feb	UFC 234	7	4.8	68%		$10.19	$1,019.35	$1,067.87
17th Feb	UFC on ESPN 1	2.55	2.1	83%		$10.68	$1,067.87	$1,090.45
23rd Feb	UFC Fight Night 145	3.2	-3.2	-100%		$10.90	$1,090.45	$1,055.55
2nd Mar	UFC 235	13.7	7.2	52%		$10.56	$1,055.55	$1,131.24
9th Mar	UFC Fight Night 146	5	1.0	20%		$11.31	$1,131.24	$1,142.55
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night 147	6.5	5.3	82%		$11.43	$1,142.55	$1,203.57
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night 148	3	3.1	102%		$12.04	$1,203.57	$1,240.47
30th Mar	UFC on ESPN 2	3	3.1	102%		$12.40	$1,240.47	$1,278.45
13th Apr	UFC 236	8.5	-8.5	-100%		$12.78	$1,278.45	$1,169.78
20th Apr	UFC Fight Night 149	5	-5.0	-100%		$11.70	$1,169.78	$1,111.29
27th Apr	UFC on ESPN 3	6	-6.0	-100%		$11.11	$1,111.29	$1,044.61
4th May	UFC Fight Night 150	10.5	6.1	58%		$10.45	$1,044.61	$1,108.19
11th May	UFC 237	2	1.0	52%		$11.08	$1,108.19	$1,119.64
18th May	UFC Fight Night 152	4	2.2	54%		$11.20	$1,119.64	$1,143.95

ROI % from starting bank balance: 14.40% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Francis M: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	May '19	Shane Burgos	Cub Swanson	1.53	6	Split Decision (3 rounds)
2.	May '19	Cole Smith	Mitch Gagnon	2.00	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Mar '19	Leon Edwards	Gunnar Nelson	1.73	4	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Mar '19	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	Curtis Millender	2.00	3	Sub, R1 (2:35)
5.	Nov '18	Germaine de Randamie	Raquel Pennington	1.57	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Sep '18	Francisco Trinaldo	Evan Dunham	1.44	4	TKO, R2 (4:12)
7.	Jul '18	Nad Narimani	Khalid Taha	1.40	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Jul '18	Alejandro Perez	Eddie Wineland	1.53	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jun '18	Yuta Sasaki	Jenel Lausa	1.33	1	Sub, R2 (4:4)
10.	Jul '18	Daniel Cormier	Stipe Miocic	3.20	1	TKO, R1 (4:33)
11.	Jun '18	Holly Holm	Megan Anderson	1.44	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Jun '18	Ben Saunders	Jake Ellenberger	2.50	1	TKO, R1 (1:56)
13.	May '18	Carlo Pedersoli Jr.	Brad Scott	1.53	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
14.	May '18	Vicente Luque	Chad Laprise	1.44	2	TKO, R1 (4:16)
15.	May '18	Gabriel Benitez	Humberto Bandenay	1.44	3	TKO, R1 (0:39)
16.	Jun '18	Curtis Blaydes	Alistair Overeem	1.80	2	TKO, R3 (2:56)
17.	May '18	Jack Hermansson	Thales Leites	1.62	1	TKO, R3 (2:10)
18.	May '18	Warlley Alves	Sultan Aliev	1.40	3	TKO, R2 (5:0)
19.	Apr '18	Alex Oliveira	Carlos Condit	1.50	4	Sub, R2 (3:17)
20.	Apr '18	Chris Gruetzemacher	Joe Lauzon	2.40	1	TKO, R2 (5:0)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '19	Gadzhimurad Antigulov	Michal Oleksiejczuk	2.75	2	TKO, R1 (0:44)	No
2.	Apr '19	Boston Salmon	Khalid Taha	1.73	3	TKO, R1 (0:25)	No
3.	Jan '19	Alexander Hernandez	Donald Cerrone	1.53	6	TKO, R2 (3:43)	No
4.	Jul '18	Matheus Nicolau	Dustin Ortiz	1.50	3.5	TKO, R1 (3:49)	No
5.	Jul '18	Jodie Esquibel	Jessica Aguilar	1.73	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Jun '18	Daniel Teymur	Julio Arce	2.50	2	Sub, R3 (2:55)	No
7.	Apr '18	Keita Nakamura	Tony Martin	3.00	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Apr '18	Brett Johns	Aljamain Sterling	1.91	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Apr '18	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	Rose Namajunas	2.00	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
10.	Apr '18	Calvin Kattar	Renato Moicano	1.91	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Apr '18	Calvin Kattar	Renato Moicano	1.72	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Jan '18	Dan Ige	Julio Arce	2.25	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Jan '18	Doo Ho Choi	Jeremy Stephens	1.61	5	TKO, R2 (2:36)	No
14.	Jan '18	Alex White	James Krause	2.40	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Francis M: Progress Chart

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