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Total MMA Handicappers: 1995
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 814

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Beefcake Picks

Beefcake Picks (janarendy)


MMA MHandicapper - Beefcake Picks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 68 (43%) Right 59 (47%) Right 3 (50%) Right 6 (24%)
Wrong 89 (57%) Wrong 67 (53%) Wrong 3 (50%) Wrong 19 (76%)
Avg Odds 2.00 Avg Odds 1.90 Avg Odds 2.26 Avg Odds 2.63
Units Bet 561.2 Units Bet 428.7 Units Bet 18.5 Units Bet 114.0
Avg Bet 3.57 Avg Bet 3.40 Avg Bet 3.08 Avg Bet 4.56
Units Profit 25.52 Units Profit -4.86 Units Profit 1.35 Units Profit 29.04
ROI % 5% ROI % -1% ROI % 7% ROI % 25%
View Handicapper's Profile

Beefcake Picks: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
16th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 164 7 1.2 17% 1.2 / 7 (17%)
9th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 163 10 1.9 19% 1.9 / 10 (19%)
18th Oct '19 UFC ESPN 6 39.5 -3.5 -9% -0.7 / 28 (-3%) -2.8 / 11.5 (-24%)
12th Oct '19 UFC on ESPN+ 19 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
5th Oct '19 UFC 243 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
28th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 160 3 -3.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 158 4 -0.0 -1% -0.0 / 4 (-1%)
7th Sep '19 UFC 242 2 0.3 15% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.3 / 1 (131%)
31st Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 157 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
27th Aug '19 DWCS 26 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Aug '19 Bellator 225 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Aug '19 DWCS 25 2 3.0 150% 3.0 / 2 (150%)
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 7 3.0 43% 1.2 / 5 (25%) 1.7 / 2 (87%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 13 -13.0 -100% -13.0 / 13 (-100%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 8 0.4 4% 0.4 / 8 (4%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 20 3.1 15% 3.1 / 20 (15%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 13.5 3.9 29% 8.9 / 8.5 (105%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 1 1.2 120% 1.2 / 1 (120%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 5 2.0 40% 2.0 / 5 (40%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 7 -7.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 7 4.4 63% 4.4 / 7 (63%)
31st May '19 Cage Warriors 105 4 0.8 20% 0.8 / 4 (20%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 7 -7.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 28 7.1 25% -0.2 / 13 (-2%) 7.3 / 15 (49%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 14 -6.7 -48% -1.7 / 9 (-18%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 21 5.9 28% 5.9 / 21 (28%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 13 -7.5 -58% 3.5 / 2 (175%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 32 -13.0 -41% -13.0 / 32 (-41%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 54 26.1 48% 6.6 / 43 (15%) 19.5 / 11 (178%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 63 69.4 110% 23.1 / 52 (44%) 46.3 / 11 (421%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 11 -5.7 -52% -0.7 / 6 (-12%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
16th Feb '19 Bellator 216 10 3.6 36% 3.6 / 10 (36%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 17 9.5 56% 0.8 / 12 (7%) 8.7 / 5 (174%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 3 1.2 40% 1.2 / 3 (40%)
26th Jan '19 Bellator Los Angeles 3 0.8 25% 0.8 / 3 (25%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 15 -11.0 -73% -10.0 / 14 (-72%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 10 -4.8 -48% -4.8 / 10 (-48%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 10 0.7 7% 0.7 / 10 (7%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 10 4.1 41% 4.1 / 10 (41%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 6.5 0.9 13% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 2.4 / 5 (47%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 1 2.0 205% 2.0 / 1 (205%)
26th Jun '18 DWTNCS 11 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 6 -6.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
9th Jun '18 KSW 44 3 2.0 65% 2.0 / 3 (65%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 11.2 8.0 71% 1.1 / 1.2 (95%) 6.8 / 10 (68%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 7.5 -2.7 -36% 2.8 / 2 (140%) -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
28th Apr '18 Bellator 198 1 1.0 100% 1.0 / 1 (100%)


Winning Events: 27 (47%)
Losing Events: 30 (53%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.85 units
Most Staked On One Event: 63.00 units
Best Event: 69.44 units
Worst Event: -13.00 units
Average Event: 0.45 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 95.57
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -24.76

Beefcake Picks: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 461 50.5 11% 13.2 / 359.5 (4%) -1.0 / 13.5 (-7%) 38.2 / 88 (43%) 20 / 20 (50%) 1.26
2018 100.2 -24.9 -25% -18.1 / 69.2 (-26%) 2.4 / 5 (47%) -9.2 / 26 (-35%) 7 / 10 (41%) -1.47

Beefcake Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Beefcake Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 533.2 19.4 4% -11.0 / 400.7 (-3%) 1.3 / 18.5 (7%) 29.0 / 114 (25%)
Bellator 15 4.4 29% 4.4 / 15 (29%)
Other 13 1.8 13% 1.8 / 13 (13%)

Beefcake Picks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 22 (17%) 17 77 % 134.50 9.00 0.41 7%
Slight Favorites 49 (39%) 25 51 % 174.20 16.84 0.34 10%
Slight Underdogs 41 (33%) 14 34 % 105.50 -24.00 -0.59 -23%
Big Underdogs 14 (11%) 3 21 % 14.50 -6.70 -0.48 -46%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 24 (19%) 18 75 % 78.70 31.84 1.33 40%
Co-Main Event 12 (10%) 4 33 % 52.00 15.10 1.26 29%
Position 3-5 39 (31%) 15 38 % 145.00 -33.55 -0.86 -23%
6+ (Undercard) 51 (40%) 22 43 % 153.00 -18.25 -0.36 -12%

Beefcake Picks: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 18 (14%) 12 67 % 61.00 14.61 0.81 24%
Light Heavy 16 (13%) 8 50 % 69.00 8.10 0.51 12%
Middleweight 12 (10%) 4 33 % 38.50 -8.41 -0.70 -22%
Welterweight 20 (16%) 7 35 % 69.00 -13.94 -0.70 -20%
Lightweight 18 (14%) 6 33 % 53.50 -0.88 -0.05 -2%
Featherweight 9 (7%) 4 44 % 23.00 -2.24 -0.25 -10%
Bantamweight 11 (9%) 8 73 % 31.70 13.41 1.22 42%
Flyweight 2 (2%) 2 100 % 2.00 2.20 1.10 110%
               
Women's Fights 20 (16%) 8 40 % 81.00 -17.71 -0.89 -22%
Featherweight 2 (2%) 1 50 % 11.00 0.60 0.30 5%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 2 100 % 12.00 2.96 1.48 25%
Bantamweight 8 (6%) 1 13 % 29.00 -20.65 -2.58 -71%
Strawweight 8 (6%) 4 50 % 29.00 -0.62 -0.08 -2%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 50 (69%) 35 70 %
Slight Favorites 20 (28%) 9 45 %
Slight Underdogs 1 (1%) 1 100 %
Big Underdogs 1 (1%) 0 0 %
72 45 63 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
50-65% 2 (40%) 1 50 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 3 (60%) 1 33 %
5 2 40 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (20%) 0 0 % 1.60 1.60Pick was incorrect 1.60Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (20%) 1 100 % 1.75 1.75Pick was correct 1.75Pick was correct 0.7 (75%)
Goes to Decision 2 (40%) 1 50 % 3.62 3.75Pick was correct 3.50Pick was incorrect 1.7 (87%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (20%) 0 0 % 4.33 4.33Pick was incorrect 4.33Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
5 2 40 % 2.53     0.5 (10%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Beefcake Picks's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
28th Apr Bellator 198 1 1.0 100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,010.00
12th May UFC 224 5 -5.0 -100% $10.10 $1,010.00 $959.50
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 7.5 -2.7 -36% $9.60 $959.50 $933.59
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 11.2 8.0 71% $9.34 $933.59 $1,007.90
9th Jun KSW 44 3 2.0 65% $10.08 $1,007.90 $1,027.55
9th Jun UFC 225 6 -6.0 -100% $10.28 $1,027.55 $965.90
26th Jun DWTNCS 11 3 -3.0 -100% $9.66 $965.90 $936.92
7th Jul UFC 226 1 2.0 205% $9.37 $936.92 $956.13
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 1.5 -1.5 -100% $9.56 $956.13 $941.79
6th Oct UFC 229 6.5 0.9 13% $9.42 $941.79 $949.79
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 5 -5.0 -100% $9.50 $949.79 $902.30
3rd Nov UFC 230 0.5 -0.5 -100% $9.02 $902.30 $897.79
30th Nov TUF Finale 10 4.1 41% $8.98 $897.79 $934.24
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 10 0.7 7% $9.34 $934.24 $940.41
8th Dec UFC 231 10 -4.8 -48% $9.40 $940.41 $895.74
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 4 -4.0 -100% $8.96 $895.74 $859.91
29th Dec UFC 232 15 -11.0 -73% $8.60 $859.91 $765.23
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 5 -5.0 -100% $7.65 $765.23 $726.97
26th Jan Bellator Los Angeles 3 0.8 25% $7.27 $726.97 $732.42
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 3 1.2 40% $7.32 $732.42 $741.21
9th Feb UFC 234 17 9.5 56% $7.41 $741.21 $811.88
16th Feb Bellator 216 10 3.6 36% $8.12 $811.88 $841.11
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 11 -5.7 -52% $8.41 $841.11 $793.17
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 63 69.4 110% $7.93 $793.17 $1,343.92
2nd Mar UFC 235 54 26.1 48% $5 $13.44 $1,343.92 $1,690.20
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 32 -13.0 -41% $5 $16.90 $1,690.20 $1,465.47
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 13 -7.5 -58% $5 $14.65 $1,465.47 $1,350.56
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 4 -4.0 -100% $13.51 $1,350.56 $1,296.53
13th Apr UFC 236 21 5.9 28% $12.97 $1,296.53 $1,373.03
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 3 -3.0 -100% $13.73 $1,373.03 $1,331.84
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 14 -6.7 -48% $13.32 $1,331.84 $1,243.27
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 28 7.1 25% $12.43 $1,243.27 $1,331.30
11th May UFC 237 5 -5.0 -100% $13.31 $1,331.30 $1,264.73
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 7 -7.0 -100% $12.65 $1,264.73 $1,176.20
31st May Cage Warriors 105 4 0.8 20% $11.76 $1,176.20 $1,185.61
8th Jun UFC 238 7 4.4 63% $11.86 $1,185.61 $1,237.66
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 7 -7.0 -100% $12.38 $1,237.66 $1,151.02
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 5 2.0 40% $11.51 $1,151.02 $1,174.04
6th Jul UFC 239 5 -5.0 -100% $11.74 $1,174.04 $1,115.34
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 1 1.2 120% $11.15 $1,115.34 $1,128.72
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 13.5 3.9 29% $11.29 $1,128.72 $1,173.20
27th Jul UFC 240 20 3.1 15% $11.73 $1,173.20 $1,208.98
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 8 0.4 4% $12.09 $1,208.98 $1,213.21
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 13 -13.0 -100% $12.13 $1,213.21 $1,055.49
17th Aug UFC 241 7 3.0 43% $10.55 $1,055.49 $1,086.95
20th Aug DWCS 25 2 3.0 150% $10.87 $1,086.95 $1,119.55
24th Aug Bellator 225 1 -1.0 -100% $11.20 $1,119.55 $1,108.36
27th Aug DWCS 26 1 -1.0 -100% $11.08 $1,108.36 $1,097.28
31st Aug UFC Fight Night 157 1 -1.0 -100% $10.97 $1,097.28 $1,086.30
7th Sep UFC 242 2 0.3 15% $10.86 $1,086.30 $1,089.62
14th Sep UFC Fight Night 158 4 -0.0 -1% $10.90 $1,089.62 $1,089.19
28th Sep UFC Fight Night 160 3 -3.0 -100% $10.89 $1,089.19 $1,056.51
5th Oct UFC 243 4 -4.0 -100% $10.57 $1,056.51 $1,014.25
12th Oct UFC on ESPN+ 19 3 -3.0 -100% $10.14 $1,014.25 $983.83
18th Oct UFC ESPN 6 39.5 -3.5 -9% $9.84 $983.83 $949.88
9th Nov UFC Fight Night 163 10 1.9 19% $9.50 $949.88 $968.12
16th Nov UFC Fight Night 164 7 1.2 17% $9.68 $968.12 $979.93


ROI % from starting bank balance: -2.01% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Beefcake Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Nov '19 James Krause Sergio Moraes 1.53 4 TKO, R3 (4:19) MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '19 Wellington Turman Markus Perez 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '19 Roosevelt Roberts Alexander Yakovlev 1.57 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '19 Karl Roberson Roman Kopylov 1.88 3 Sub, R3 (4:1) MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '19 Greg Hardy Ben Sosoli 1.33 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '19 Darren Stewart Deron Winn 1.95 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '19 Dominick Reyes Chris Weidman 1.63 5 TKO, R1 (1:43) MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '19 Augusto Sakai Marcin Tybura 1.98 2 TKO, R1 (0:59) MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '19 Phil Rowe Leon Shahbazyan 2.50 2 TKO, R3 (0:16) MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '19 Sabina Mazo Shana Dobson 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '19 Hannah Cifers Jodie Esquibel 1.33 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '19 Cory Sandhagen Raphael Assuncao 1.57 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '19 Antonina Shevchenko Lucie Pudilova 1.67 5 Sub, R2 (1:20) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '19 Gavin Tucker Seung Woo Choi 1.90 2 Sub, R3 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '19 Arman Tsarukyan Olivier Aubin-Mercier 1.53 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '19 Cristiane Justino Felicia Spencer 1.16 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '19 Felipe Colares Domingo Pilarte 3.50 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '19 Daniel Hooker James Vick 1.77 5 TKO, R1 (2:33) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '19 Greg Hardy Juan Adams 1.92 2 TKO, R1 (0:45) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '19 Felipe Colares Domingo Pilarte 3.00 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Nov '19 Antonio Arroyo Andre Muniz 2.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '19 Dalcha Lungiambula Magomed Ankalaev 3.45 1 TKO, R3 (0:29) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '19 Greg Hardy Alexander Volkov 3.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '19 Calvin Kattar Zabit Magomedsharipov 3.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '19 Jonathan Pearce Joe Lauzon 1.72 5 TKO, R1 (1:33) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '19 Kyle Bochniak Sean Woodson 1.72 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '19 Mackenzie Dern Amanda Ribas 1.61 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '19 Al Iaquinta Daniel Hooker 2.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '19 Jamie Mullarkey Brad Riddell 2.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '19 Robert Whittaker Israel Adesanya 1.91 2 TKO, R2 (3:33) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '19 Siyar Bahadurzada Ismail Naurdiev 2.35 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '19 Jim Crute Misha Cirkunov 1.76 2 Sub, R1 (3:38) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '19 Sang Hoon Yoo Peter Barrett 1.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '19 Nordine Taleb Muslim Salikhov 2.05 1 TKO, R1 (4:26) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '19 Matt Mitrione Sergei Kharitonov 1.91 1 TKO, R2 (1:24) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '19 Christos Giagos Drakkar Klose 2.75 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '19 Alexey Kunchenko Gilbert Burns 1.70 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '19 Tecia Torres Marina Alcalde Rodriguez 1.72 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '19 Ilir Latifi Volkan Oezdemir 2.15 2 TKO, R2 (4:31) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '19 Mike Perry Vicente Luque 2.65 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Beefcake Picks: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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