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MMA Handicapper Stats: Beefcake Picks

Beefcake Picks (janarendy)

MMA MHandicapper - Beefcake Picks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 60 (44%) Right 52 (48%) Right 2 (67%) Right 6 (25%)
Wrong 75 (56%) Wrong 56 (52%) Wrong 1 (33%) Wrong 18 (75%)
Avg Odds 2.00 Avg Odds 1.89 Avg Odds 2.43 Avg Odds 2.66
Units Bet 494.7 Units Bet 375.7 Units Bet 7.0 Units Bet 112.0
Avg Bet 3.66 Avg Bet 3.48 Avg Bet 2.33 Avg Bet 4.67
Units Profit 35.83 Units Profit 0.70 Units Profit 4.10 Units Profit 31.04
ROI % 7% ROI % 0% ROI % 59% ROI % 28%
View Handicapper's Profile

Beefcake Picks: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
14th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 158 4 -0.0 -1% -0.0 / 4 (-1%)
7th Sep '19 UFC 242 2 0.3 15% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.3 / 1 (131%)
31st Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 157 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
27th Aug '19 DWCS 26 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Aug '19 Bellator 225 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Aug '19 DWCS 25 2 3.0 150% 3.0 / 2 (150%)
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 7 3.0 43% 1.2 / 5 (25%) 1.7 / 2 (87%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 13 -13.0 -100% -13.0 / 13 (-100%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 8 0.4 4% 0.4 / 8 (4%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 20 3.1 15% 3.1 / 20 (15%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 13.5 3.9 29% 8.9 / 8.5 (105%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 1 1.2 120% 1.2 / 1 (120%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 5 2.0 40% 2.0 / 5 (40%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 7 -7.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 7 4.4 63% 4.4 / 7 (63%)
31st May '19 Cage Warriors 105 4 0.8 20% 0.8 / 4 (20%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 7 -7.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 28 7.1 25% -0.2 / 13 (-2%) 7.3 / 15 (49%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 14 -6.7 -48% -1.7 / 9 (-18%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 21 5.9 28% 5.9 / 21 (28%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 13 -7.5 -58% 3.5 / 2 (175%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 32 -13.0 -41% -13.0 / 32 (-41%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 54 26.1 48% 6.6 / 43 (15%) 19.5 / 11 (178%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 63 69.4 110% 23.1 / 52 (44%) 46.3 / 11 (421%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 11 -5.7 -52% -0.7 / 6 (-12%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
16th Feb '19 Bellator 216 10 3.6 36% 3.6 / 10 (36%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 17 9.5 56% 0.8 / 12 (7%) 8.7 / 5 (174%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 3 1.2 40% 1.2 / 3 (40%)
26th Jan '19 Bellator Los Angeles 3 0.8 25% 0.8 / 3 (25%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 15 -11.0 -73% -10.0 / 14 (-72%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 10 -4.8 -48% -4.8 / 10 (-48%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 10 0.7 7% 0.7 / 10 (7%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 10 4.1 41% 4.1 / 10 (41%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 6.5 0.9 13% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 2.4 / 5 (47%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 1 2.0 205% 2.0 / 1 (205%)
26th Jun '18 DWTNCS 11 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 6 -6.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
9th Jun '18 KSW 44 3 2.0 65% 2.0 / 3 (65%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 11.2 8.0 71% 1.1 / 1.2 (95%) 6.8 / 10 (68%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 7.5 -2.7 -36% 2.8 / 2 (140%) -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
28th Apr '18 Bellator 198 1 1.0 100% 1.0 / 1 (100%)


Winning Events: 25 (49%)
Losing Events: 26 (51%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.70 units
Most Staked On One Event: 63.00 units
Best Event: 69.44 units
Worst Event: -13.00 units
Average Event: 0.70 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 95.57
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -24.76

Beefcake Picks: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2019 394.5 60.8 15% 18.8 / 306.5 (6%) 1.7 / 2 (87%) 40.2 / 86 (47%) 18 / 16 (53%) 1.79
2018 100.2 -24.9 -25% -18.1 / 69.2 (-26%) 2.4 / 5 (47%) -9.2 / 26 (-35%) 7 / 10 (41%) -1.47

Beefcake Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Beefcake Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 466.7 29.7 6% -5.4 / 347.7 (-2%) 4.1 / 7 (59%) 31.0 / 112 (28%)
Bellator 15 4.4 29% 4.4 / 15 (29%)
Other 13 1.8 13% 1.8 / 13 (13%)

Beefcake Picks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 20 (19%) 15 75 % 120.50 3.58 0.18 3%
Slight Favorites 41 (38%) 21 51 % 144.20 20.92 0.51 15%
Slight Underdogs 36 (33%) 13 36 % 99.50 -20.10 -0.56 -20%
Big Underdogs 11 (10%) 3 27 % 11.50 -3.70 -0.34 -32%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 21 (19%) 17 81 % 70.70 31.69 1.51 45%
Co-Main Event 10 (9%) 4 40 % 50.00 17.10 1.71 34%
Position 3-5 34 (31%) 13 38 % 124.00 -27.95 -0.82 -23%
6+ (Undercard) 43 (40%) 18 42 % 131.00 -20.14 -0.47 -15%

Beefcake Picks: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 16 (15%) 11 69 % 50.00 12.31 0.77 25%
Light Heavy 14 (13%) 7 50 % 63.00 5.95 0.42 9%
Middleweight 7 (6%) 1 14 % 27.50 -11.00 -1.57 -40%
Welterweight 18 (17%) 6 33 % 64.00 -15.06 -0.84 -24%
Lightweight 13 (12%) 5 38 % 37.50 8.84 0.68 24%
Featherweight 8 (7%) 4 50 % 22.00 -1.24 -0.16 -6%
Bantamweight 11 (10%) 8 73 % 31.70 13.41 1.22 42%
Flyweight 2 (2%) 2 100 % 2.00 2.20 1.10 110%
               
Women's Fights 19 (18%) 8 42 % 78.00 -14.71 -0.77 -19%
Featherweight 2 (2%) 1 50 % 11.00 0.60 0.30 5%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 2 100 % 12.00 2.96 1.48 25%
Bantamweight 8 (7%) 1 13 % 29.00 -20.65 -2.58 -71%
Strawweight 7 (6%) 4 57 % 26.00 2.38 0.34 9%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 49 (70%) 35 71 %
Slight Favorites 19 (27%) 9 47 %
Slight Underdogs 1 (1%) 1 100 %
Big Underdogs 1 (1%) 0 0 %
70 45 64 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 2 (100%) 1 50 %
2 1 50 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Goes to Decision 2 (100%) 1 50 % 3.62 3.75Pick was correct 3.50Pick was incorrect 1.7 (87%)
2 1 50 % 3.62     1.7 (87%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Beefcake Picks's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
28th Apr Bellator 198 1 1.0 100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,010.00
12th May UFC 224 5 -5.0 -100% $10.10 $1,010.00 $959.50
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 7.5 -2.7 -36% $9.60 $959.50 $933.59
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 11.2 8.0 71% $9.34 $933.59 $1,007.90
9th Jun KSW 44 3 2.0 65% $10.08 $1,007.90 $1,027.55
9th Jun UFC 225 6 -6.0 -100% $10.28 $1,027.55 $965.90
26th Jun DWTNCS 11 3 -3.0 -100% $9.66 $965.90 $936.92
7th Jul UFC 226 1 2.0 205% $9.37 $936.92 $956.13
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 1.5 -1.5 -100% $9.56 $956.13 $941.79
6th Oct UFC 229 6.5 0.9 13% $9.42 $941.79 $949.79
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 5 -5.0 -100% $9.50 $949.79 $902.30
3rd Nov UFC 230 0.5 -0.5 -100% $9.02 $902.30 $897.79
30th Nov TUF Finale 10 4.1 41% $8.98 $897.79 $934.24
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 10 0.7 7% $9.34 $934.24 $940.41
8th Dec UFC 231 10 -4.8 -48% $9.40 $940.41 $895.74
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 4 -4.0 -100% $8.96 $895.74 $859.91
29th Dec UFC 232 15 -11.0 -73% $8.60 $859.91 $765.23
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 5 -5.0 -100% $7.65 $765.23 $726.97
26th Jan Bellator Los Angeles 3 0.8 25% $7.27 $726.97 $732.42
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 3 1.2 40% $7.32 $732.42 $741.21
9th Feb UFC 234 17 9.5 56% $7.41 $741.21 $811.88
16th Feb Bellator 216 10 3.6 36% $8.12 $811.88 $841.11
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 11 -5.7 -52% $8.41 $841.11 $793.17
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 63 69.4 110% $7.93 $793.17 $1,343.92
2nd Mar UFC 235 54 26.1 48% $5 $13.44 $1,343.92 $1,690.20
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 32 -13.0 -41% $5 $16.90 $1,690.20 $1,465.47
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 13 -7.5 -58% $5 $14.65 $1,465.47 $1,350.56
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 4 -4.0 -100% $13.51 $1,350.56 $1,296.53
13th Apr UFC 236 21 5.9 28% $12.97 $1,296.53 $1,373.03
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 3 -3.0 -100% $13.73 $1,373.03 $1,331.84
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 14 -6.7 -48% $13.32 $1,331.84 $1,243.27
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 28 7.1 25% $12.43 $1,243.27 $1,331.30
11th May UFC 237 5 -5.0 -100% $13.31 $1,331.30 $1,264.73
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 7 -7.0 -100% $12.65 $1,264.73 $1,176.20
31st May Cage Warriors 105 4 0.8 20% $11.76 $1,176.20 $1,185.61
8th Jun UFC 238 7 4.4 63% $11.86 $1,185.61 $1,237.66
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 7 -7.0 -100% $12.38 $1,237.66 $1,151.02
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 5 2.0 40% $11.51 $1,151.02 $1,174.04
6th Jul UFC 239 5 -5.0 -100% $11.74 $1,174.04 $1,115.34
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 1 1.2 120% $11.15 $1,115.34 $1,128.72
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 13.5 3.9 29% $11.29 $1,128.72 $1,173.20
27th Jul UFC 240 20 3.1 15% $11.73 $1,173.20 $1,208.98
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 8 0.4 4% $12.09 $1,208.98 $1,213.21
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 13 -13.0 -100% $12.13 $1,213.21 $1,055.49
17th Aug UFC 241 7 3.0 43% $10.55 $1,055.49 $1,086.95
20th Aug DWCS 25 2 3.0 150% $10.87 $1,086.95 $1,119.55
24th Aug Bellator 225 1 -1.0 -100% $11.20 $1,119.55 $1,108.36
27th Aug DWCS 26 1 -1.0 -100% $11.08 $1,108.36 $1,097.28
31st Aug UFC Fight Night 157 1 -1.0 -100% $10.97 $1,097.28 $1,086.30
7th Sep UFC 242 2 0.3 15% $10.86 $1,086.30 $1,089.62
14th Sep UFC Fight Night 158 4 -0.0 -1% $10.90 $1,089.62 $1,089.19


ROI % from starting bank balance: 8.92% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Beefcake Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Sep '19 Augusto Sakai Marcin Tybura 1.98 2 TKO, R1 (0:59) MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '19 Phil Rowe Leon Shahbazyan 2.50 2 TKO, R3 (0:16) MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '19 Sabina Mazo Shana Dobson 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '19 Hannah Cifers Jodie Esquibel 1.33 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '19 Cory Sandhagen Raphael Assuncao 1.57 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '19 Antonina Shevchenko Lucie Pudilova 1.67 5 Sub, R2 (1:20) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '19 Gavin Tucker Seung Woo Choi 1.90 2 Sub, R3 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '19 Arman Tsarukyan Olivier Aubin-Mercier 1.53 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '19 Cristiane Justino Felicia Spencer 1.16 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '19 Felipe Colares Domingo Pilarte 3.50 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '19 Daniel Hooker James Vick 1.77 5 TKO, R1 (2:33) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '19 Greg Hardy Juan Adams 1.92 2 TKO, R1 (0:45) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '19 Felipe Colares Domingo Pilarte 3.00 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '19 Germaine de Randamie Aspen Ladd 2.20 1 TKO, R1 (0:16) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '19 Francis Ngannou Junior dos Santos 1.40 5 TKO, R1 (1:11) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '19 Calvin Kattar Ricardo Lamas 1.61 5 TKO, R1 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '19 Tony Ferguson Donald Cerrone 1.67 2 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
18. May '19 Cory McKenna Giulia Chinello 1.20 4 TKO, R1 (2:15) MMA Bookmaker
19. May '19 Macy Chiasson Sarah Moras 1.16 11 TKO, R2 (2:22) MMA Bookmaker
20. Apr '19 Mike Perry Alex Oliveira 2.40 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Sep '19 Jim Crute Misha Cirkunov 1.76 2 Sub, R1 (3:38) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '19 Sang Hoon Yoo Peter Barrett 1.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '19 Nordine Taleb Muslim Salikhov 2.05 1 TKO, R1 (4:26) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '19 Matt Mitrione Sergei Kharitonov 1.91 1 TKO, R2 (1:24) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '19 Christos Giagos Drakkar Klose 2.75 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '19 Alexey Kunchenko Gilbert Burns 1.70 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '19 Tecia Torres Marina Alcalde Rodriguez 1.72 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '19 Ilir Latifi Volkan Oezdemir 2.15 2 TKO, R2 (4:31) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '19 Mike Perry Vicente Luque 2.65 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '19 Salim Touahri Mickey Gall 1.80 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '19 Robbie Lawler Colby Covington 2.75 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '19 Sarah Frota Gillian Robertson 1.95 3 TKO, R2 (4:13) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '19 Ben Askren Jorge Masvidal 1.42 5 TKO, R1 (0:5) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '19 Ariane Lipski Molly McCann 1.44 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. May '19 Trevin Giles Zak Cummings 1.62 2 Sub, R3 (4:1) No MMA Bookmaker
16. May '19 Rose Namajunas Jessica Andrade 2.02 2 TKO, R2 (2:58) No MMA Bookmaker
17. May '19 Jose Aldo Alex Volkanovski 1.78 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. May '19 Cub Swanson Shane Burgos 2.38 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Apr '19 John Lineker Cory Sandhagen 1.65 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Apr '19 Ion Cutelaba Glover Teixeira 1.95 3 Sub, R2 (3:37) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Beefcake Picks: Progress Chart
Chart

 
 
 
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