MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1995
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 814

MMA Handicapper Stats: Beefcake Picks

Beefcake Picks (janarendy)

MMA MHandicapper - Beefcake Picks

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	68 (43%)	Right	59 (47%)	Right	3 (50%)	Right	6 (24%)
Wrong	89 (57%)	Wrong	67 (53%)	Wrong	3 (50%)	Wrong	19 (76%)
Avg Odds	2.00	Avg Odds	1.90	Avg Odds	2.26	Avg Odds	2.63
Units Bet	561.2	Units Bet	428.7	Units Bet	18.5	Units Bet	114.0
Avg Bet	3.57	Avg Bet	3.40	Avg Bet	3.08	Avg Bet	4.56
Units Profit	25.52	Units Profit	-4.86	Units Profit	1.35	Units Profit	29.04
ROI %	5%	ROI %	-1%	ROI %	7%	ROI %	25%

Beefcake Picks: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
16th Nov '19	UFC Fight Night 164	7	1.2	17%	1.2 / 7 (17%)
9th Nov '19	UFC Fight Night 163	10	1.9	19%	1.9 / 10 (19%)
18th Oct '19	UFC ESPN 6	39.5	-3.5	-9%	-0.7 / 28 (-3%)	-2.8 / 11.5 (-24%)
12th Oct '19	UFC on ESPN+ 19	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
5th Oct '19	UFC 243	4	-4.0	-100%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
28th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 160	3	-3.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 158	4	-0.0	-1%	-0.0 / 4 (-1%)
7th Sep '19	UFC 242	2	0.3	15%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)		1.3 / 1 (131%)
31st Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 157	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
27th Aug '19	DWCS 26	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Aug '19	Bellator 225	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Aug '19	DWCS 25	2	3.0	150%	3.0 / 2 (150%)
17th Aug '19	UFC 241	7	3.0	43%	1.2 / 5 (25%)	1.7 / 2 (87%)
10th Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 156	13	-13.0	-100%	-13.0 / 13 (-100%)
3rd Aug '19	UFC on ESPN 5	8	0.4	4%	0.4 / 8 (4%)
27th Jul '19	UFC 240	20	3.1	15%	3.1 / 20 (15%)
20th Jul '19	UFC on ESPN 4	13.5	3.9	29%	8.9 / 8.5 (105%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
13th Jul '19	UFC Fight Night 155	1	1.2	120%	1.2 / 1 (120%)
6th Jul '19	UFC 239	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
29th Jun '19	UFC on ESPN 3	5	2.0	40%	2.0 / 5 (40%)
22nd Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 154	7	-7.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Jun '19	UFC 238	7	4.4	63%	4.4 / 7 (63%)
31st May '19	Cage Warriors 105	4	0.8	20%	0.8 / 4 (20%)
18th May '19	UFC Fight Night 152	7	-7.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
11th May '19	UFC 237	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
4th May '19	UFC Fight Night 150	28	7.1	25%	-0.2 / 13 (-2%)		7.3 / 15 (49%)
27th Apr '19	UFC on ESPN 3	14	-6.7	-48%	-1.7 / 9 (-18%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
20th Apr '19	UFC Fight Night 149	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
13th Apr '19	UFC 236	21	5.9	28%	5.9 / 21 (28%)
30th Mar '19	UFC on ESPN 2	4	-4.0	-100%			-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
16th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 147	13	-7.5	-58%	3.5 / 2 (175%)		-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
9th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 146	32	-13.0	-41%	-13.0 / 32 (-41%)
2nd Mar '19	UFC 235	54	26.1	48%	6.6 / 43 (15%)		19.5 / 11 (178%)
23rd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 145	63	69.4	110%	23.1 / 52 (44%)		46.3 / 11 (421%)
17th Feb '19	UFC on ESPN 1	11	-5.7	-52%	-0.7 / 6 (-12%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
16th Feb '19	Bellator 216	10	3.6	36%	3.6 / 10 (36%)
9th Feb '19	UFC 234	17	9.5	56%	0.8 / 12 (7%)		8.7 / 5 (174%)
2nd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 144	3	1.2	40%	1.2 / 3 (40%)
26th Jan '19	Bellator Los Angeles	3	0.8	25%	0.8 / 3 (25%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	5	-5.0	-100%			-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
29th Dec '18	UFC 232	15	-11.0	-73%	-10.0 / 14 (-72%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Dec '18	Fight Night Milwaukee	4	-4.0	-100%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
8th Dec '18	UFC 231	10	-4.8	-48%	-4.8 / 10 (-48%)
1st Dec '18	UFC Fight Night 142	10	0.7	7%	0.7 / 10 (7%)
30th Nov '18	TUF Finale	10	4.1	41%	4.1 / 10 (41%)
3rd Nov '18	UFC 230	0.5	-0.5	-100%			-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
27th Oct '18	UFC Fight Night 138	5	-5.0	-100%			-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
6th Oct '18	UFC 229	6.5	0.9	13%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	2.4 / 5 (47%)
22nd Sep '18	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
7th Jul '18	UFC 226	1	2.0	205%	2.0 / 1 (205%)
26th Jun '18	DWTNCS 11	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
9th Jun '18	UFC 225	6	-6.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)		-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
9th Jun '18	KSW 44	3	2.0	65%	2.0 / 3 (65%)
1st Jun '18	UFC Fight Night 131	11.2	8.0	71%	1.1 / 1.2 (95%)		6.8 / 10 (68%)
27th May '18	UFC Fight Night 130	7.5	-2.7	-36%	2.8 / 2 (140%)		-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
12th May '18	UFC 224	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
28th Apr '18	Bellator 198	1	1.0	100%	1.0 / 1 (100%)

Winning Events: 27 (47%)
Losing Events: 30 (53%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.85 units
Most Staked On One Event: 63.00 units
Best Event: 69.44 units
Worst Event: -13.00 units
Average Event: 0.45 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 95.57
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -24.76

Beefcake Picks: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	461	50.5	11%	13.2 / 359.5 (4%)	-1.0 / 13.5 (-7%)	38.2 / 88 (43%)	20 / 20 (50%)	1.26
2018	100.2	-24.9	-25%	-18.1 / 69.2 (-26%)	2.4 / 5 (47%)	-9.2 / 26 (-35%)	7 / 10 (41%)	-1.47

Beefcake Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Beefcake Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	533.2	19.4	4%	-11.0 / 400.7 (-3%)	1.3 / 18.5 (7%)	29.0 / 114 (25%)
Bellator	15	4.4	29%	4.4 / 15 (29%)
Other	13	1.8	13%	1.8 / 13 (13%)

Beefcake Picks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	22 (17%)	17	77 %	134.50	9.00	0.41	7%
Slight Favorites	49 (39%)	25	51 %	174.20	16.84	0.34	10%
Slight Underdogs	41 (33%)	14	34 %	105.50	-24.00	-0.59	-23%
Big Underdogs	14 (11%)	3	21 %	14.50	-6.70	-0.48	-46%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	24 (19%)	18	75 %	78.70	31.84	1.33	40%
Co-Main Event	12 (10%)	4	33 %	52.00	15.10	1.26	29%
Position 3-5	39 (31%)	15	38 %	145.00	-33.55	-0.86	-23%
6+ (Undercard)	51 (40%)	22	43 %	153.00	-18.25	-0.36	-12%

Beefcake Picks: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	18 (14%)	12	67 %	61.00	14.61	0.81	24%
Light Heavy	16 (13%)	8	50 %	69.00	8.10	0.51	12%
Middleweight	12 (10%)	4	33 %	38.50	-8.41	-0.70	-22%
Welterweight	20 (16%)	7	35 %	69.00	-13.94	-0.70	-20%
Lightweight	18 (14%)	6	33 %	53.50	-0.88	-0.05	-2%
Featherweight	9 (7%)	4	44 %	23.00	-2.24	-0.25	-10%
Bantamweight	11 (9%)	8	73 %	31.70	13.41	1.22	42%
Flyweight	2 (2%)	2	100 %	2.00	2.20	1.10	110%

Women's Fights	20 (16%)	8	40 %	81.00	-17.71	-0.89	-22%
Featherweight	2 (2%)	1	50 %	11.00	0.60	0.30	5%
Bantamweight	2 (2%)	2	100 %	12.00	2.96	1.48	25%
Bantamweight	8 (6%)	1	13 %	29.00	-20.65	-2.58	-71%
Strawweight	8 (6%)	4	50 %	29.00	-0.62	-0.08	-2%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	50 (69%)	35	70 %
Slight Favorites	20 (28%)	9	45 %
Slight Underdogs	1 (1%)	1	100 %
Big Underdogs	1 (1%)	0	0 %
	72	45	63 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (0%)	0	0 %
50-65%	2 (40%)	1	50 %
35-50%	0 (0%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	3 (60%)	1	33 %
	5	2	40 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (20%)	0	0 %	1.60	1.60	1.60	-1.0 (-100%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (20%)	1	100 %	1.75	1.75	1.75	0.7 (75%)
Goes to Decision	2 (40%)	1	50 %	3.62	3.75	3.50	1.7 (87%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (20%)	0	0 %	4.33	4.33	4.33	-1.0 (-100%)
	5	2	40 %	2.53			0.5 (10%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Beefcake Picks's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
28th Apr	Bellator 198	1	1.0	100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,010.00
12th May	UFC 224	5	-5.0	-100%		$10.10	$1,010.00	$959.50
27th May	UFC Fight Night 130	7.5	-2.7	-36%		$9.60	$959.50	$933.59
1st Jun	UFC Fight Night 131	11.2	8.0	71%		$9.34	$933.59	$1,007.90
9th Jun	KSW 44	3	2.0	65%		$10.08	$1,007.90	$1,027.55
9th Jun	UFC 225	6	-6.0	-100%		$10.28	$1,027.55	$965.90
26th Jun	DWTNCS 11	3	-3.0	-100%		$9.66	$965.90	$936.92
7th Jul	UFC 226	1	2.0	205%		$9.37	$936.92	$956.13
22nd Sep	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$9.56	$956.13	$941.79
6th Oct	UFC 229	6.5	0.9	13%		$9.42	$941.79	$949.79
27th Oct	UFC Fight Night 138	5	-5.0	-100%		$9.50	$949.79	$902.30
3rd Nov	UFC 230	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$9.02	$902.30	$897.79
30th Nov	TUF Finale	10	4.1	41%		$8.98	$897.79	$934.24
1st Dec	UFC Fight Night 142	10	0.7	7%		$9.34	$934.24	$940.41
8th Dec	UFC 231	10	-4.8	-48%		$9.40	$940.41	$895.74
15th Dec	Fight Night Milwaukee	4	-4.0	-100%		$8.96	$895.74	$859.91
29th Dec	UFC 232	15	-11.0	-73%		$8.60	$859.91	$765.23
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	5	-5.0	-100%		$7.65	$765.23	$726.97
26th Jan	Bellator Los Angeles	3	0.8	25%		$7.27	$726.97	$732.42
2nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 144	3	1.2	40%		$7.32	$732.42	$741.21
9th Feb	UFC 234	17	9.5	56%		$7.41	$741.21	$811.88
16th Feb	Bellator 216	10	3.6	36%		$8.12	$811.88	$841.11
17th Feb	UFC on ESPN 1	11	-5.7	-52%		$8.41	$841.11	$793.17
23rd Feb	UFC Fight Night 145	63	69.4	110%		$7.93	$793.17	$1,343.92
2nd Mar	UFC 235	54	26.1	48%	$5	$13.44	$1,343.92	$1,690.20
9th Mar	UFC Fight Night 146	32	-13.0	-41%	$5	$16.90	$1,690.20	$1,465.47
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night 147	13	-7.5	-58%	$5	$14.65	$1,465.47	$1,350.56
30th Mar	UFC on ESPN 2	4	-4.0	-100%		$13.51	$1,350.56	$1,296.53
13th Apr	UFC 236	21	5.9	28%		$12.97	$1,296.53	$1,373.03
20th Apr	UFC Fight Night 149	3	-3.0	-100%		$13.73	$1,373.03	$1,331.84
27th Apr	UFC on ESPN 3	14	-6.7	-48%		$13.32	$1,331.84	$1,243.27
4th May	UFC Fight Night 150	28	7.1	25%		$12.43	$1,243.27	$1,331.30
11th May	UFC 237	5	-5.0	-100%		$13.31	$1,331.30	$1,264.73
18th May	UFC Fight Night 152	7	-7.0	-100%		$12.65	$1,264.73	$1,176.20
31st May	Cage Warriors 105	4	0.8	20%		$11.76	$1,176.20	$1,185.61
8th Jun	UFC 238	7	4.4	63%		$11.86	$1,185.61	$1,237.66
22nd Jun	UFC Fight Night 154	7	-7.0	-100%		$12.38	$1,237.66	$1,151.02
29th Jun	UFC on ESPN 3	5	2.0	40%		$11.51	$1,151.02	$1,174.04
6th Jul	UFC 239	5	-5.0	-100%		$11.74	$1,174.04	$1,115.34
13th Jul	UFC Fight Night 155	1	1.2	120%		$11.15	$1,115.34	$1,128.72
20th Jul	UFC on ESPN 4	13.5	3.9	29%		$11.29	$1,128.72	$1,173.20
27th Jul	UFC 240	20	3.1	15%		$11.73	$1,173.20	$1,208.98
3rd Aug	UFC on ESPN 5	8	0.4	4%		$12.09	$1,208.98	$1,213.21
10th Aug	UFC Fight Night 156	13	-13.0	-100%		$12.13	$1,213.21	$1,055.49
17th Aug	UFC 241	7	3.0	43%		$10.55	$1,055.49	$1,086.95
20th Aug	DWCS 25	2	3.0	150%		$10.87	$1,086.95	$1,119.55
24th Aug	Bellator 225	1	-1.0	-100%		$11.20	$1,119.55	$1,108.36
27th Aug	DWCS 26	1	-1.0	-100%		$11.08	$1,108.36	$1,097.28
31st Aug	UFC Fight Night 157	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.97	$1,097.28	$1,086.30
7th Sep	UFC 242	2	0.3	15%		$10.86	$1,086.30	$1,089.62
14th Sep	UFC Fight Night 158	4	-0.0	-1%		$10.90	$1,089.62	$1,089.19
28th Sep	UFC Fight Night 160	3	-3.0	-100%		$10.89	$1,089.19	$1,056.51
5th Oct	UFC 243	4	-4.0	-100%		$10.57	$1,056.51	$1,014.25
12th Oct	UFC on ESPN+ 19	3	-3.0	-100%		$10.14	$1,014.25	$983.83
18th Oct	UFC ESPN 6	39.5	-3.5	-9%		$9.84	$983.83	$949.88
9th Nov	UFC Fight Night 163	10	1.9	19%		$9.50	$949.88	$968.12
16th Nov	UFC Fight Night 164	7	1.2	17%		$9.68	$968.12	$979.93

ROI % from starting bank balance: -2.01% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Beefcake Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Nov '19	James Krause	Sergio Moraes	1.53	4	TKO, R3 (4:19)
2.	Nov '19	Wellington Turman	Markus Perez	2.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Nov '19	Roosevelt Roberts	Alexander Yakovlev	1.57	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Nov '19	Karl Roberson	Roman Kopylov	1.88	3	Sub, R3 (4:1)
5.	Oct '19	Greg Hardy	Ben Sosoli	1.33	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Oct '19	Darren Stewart	Deron Winn	1.95	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Oct '19	Dominick Reyes	Chris Weidman	1.63	5	TKO, R1 (1:43)
8.	Sep '19	Augusto Sakai	Marcin Tybura	1.98	2	TKO, R1 (0:59)
9.	Aug '19	Phil Rowe	Leon Shahbazyan	2.50	2	TKO, R3 (0:16)
10.	Aug '19	Sabina Mazo	Shana Dobson	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Aug '19	Hannah Cifers	Jodie Esquibel	1.33	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Aug '19	Cory Sandhagen	Raphael Assuncao	1.57	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Aug '19	Antonina Shevchenko	Lucie Pudilova	1.67	5	Sub, R2 (1:20)
14.	Jul '19	Gavin Tucker	Seung Woo Choi	1.90	2	Sub, R3 (3:17)
15.	Jul '19	Arman Tsarukyan	Olivier Aubin-Mercier	1.53	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Jul '19	Cristiane Justino	Felicia Spencer	1.16	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Jul '19	Felipe Colares	Domingo Pilarte	3.50	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Jul '19	Daniel Hooker	James Vick	1.77	5	TKO, R1 (2:33)
19.	Jul '19	Greg Hardy	Juan Adams	1.92	2	TKO, R1 (0:45)
20.	Jul '19	Felipe Colares	Domingo Pilarte	3.00	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Nov '19	Antonio Arroyo	Andre Muniz	2.00	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Nov '19	Dalcha Lungiambula	Magomed Ankalaev	3.45	1	TKO, R3 (0:29)	No
3.	Nov '19	Greg Hardy	Alexander Volkov	3.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Nov '19	Calvin Kattar	Zabit Magomedsharipov	3.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Oct '19	Jonathan Pearce	Joe Lauzon	1.72	5	TKO, R1 (1:33)	No
6.	Oct '19	Kyle Bochniak	Sean Woodson	1.72	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Oct '19	Mackenzie Dern	Amanda Ribas	1.61	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Oct '19	Al Iaquinta	Daniel Hooker	2.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Oct '19	Jamie Mullarkey	Brad Riddell	2.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Oct '19	Robert Whittaker	Israel Adesanya	1.91	2	TKO, R2 (3:33)	No
11.	Sep '19	Siyar Bahadurzada	Ismail Naurdiev	2.35	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Sep '19	Jim Crute	Misha Cirkunov	1.76	2	Sub, R1 (3:38)	No
13.	Aug '19	Sang Hoon Yoo	Peter Barrett	1.80	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Sep '19	Nordine Taleb	Muslim Salikhov	2.05	1	TKO, R1 (4:26)	No
15.	Aug '19	Matt Mitrione	Sergei Kharitonov	1.91	1	TKO, R2 (1:24)	No
16.	Aug '19	Christos Giagos	Drakkar Klose	2.75	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Aug '19	Alexey Kunchenko	Gilbert Burns	1.70	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Aug '19	Tecia Torres	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	1.72	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Aug '19	Ilir Latifi	Volkan Oezdemir	2.15	2	TKO, R2 (4:31)	No
20.	Aug '19	Mike Perry	Vicente Luque	2.65	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Beefcake Picks: Progress Chart

Chart

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