|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Chance Wagers |
|
Chance Wagers: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
4th Jun '22 |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik |
66 |
-8.4 |
-13% |
-4.4 / 45 (-10%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
-3.1 / 20 (-15%) |
21st May '22 |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira |
65.5 |
0.3 |
0% |
4.0 / 45 (9%) |
-3.7 / 20.5 (-18%) |
|
14th May '22 |
UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić |
77.5 |
13.6 |
18% |
-4.7 / 35 (-14%) |
6.9 / 17.5 (40%) |
11.4 / 25 (46%) |
7th May '22 |
UFC 274 |
29.5 |
19.9 |
67% |
23.8 / 20 (119%) |
1.1 / 4.5 (25%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
30th Apr '22 |
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera |
46 |
-7.8 |
-17% |
-0.3 / 38.5 (-1%) |
|
-7.5 / 7.5 (-100%) |
23rd Apr '22 |
Bellator 279 |
20 |
-1.8 |
-9% |
|
|
-1.8 / 20 (-9%) |
23rd Apr '22 |
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade |
61 |
-26.9 |
-44% |
-16.8 / 37.5 (-45%) |
-5.1 / 18.5 (-28%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
23rd Apr '22 |
Bellator 278 |
18 |
10.7 |
59% |
|
4.4 / 8 (56%) |
6.2 / 10 (62%) |
16th Apr '22 |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II |
58.5 |
-2.0 |
-3% |
-9.0 / 30 (-30%) |
11.0 / 24.5 (45%) |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
15th Apr '22 |
Bellator 277 |
10 |
0.0 |
0% |
|
0.0 / 10 (0%) |
|
9th Apr '22 |
UFC 273 |
52.5 |
-18.1 |
-34% |
-9.7 / 28 (-35%) |
6.6 / 9.5 (70%) |
-15.0 / 15 (-100%) |
26th Mar '22 |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus |
55.7 |
-21.3 |
-38% |
0.0 / 10 (0%) |
2.4 / 22 (11%) |
-23.7 / 23.7 (-100%) |
19th Mar '22 |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall |
56.5 |
-10.3 |
-18% |
-9.0 / 36 (-25%) |
4.7 / 14.5 (32%) |
-6.0 / 6 (-100%) |
12th Mar '22 |
Bellator 276 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
-10.0 / 10 (-100%) |
|
|
12th Mar '22 |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev |
58.8 |
50.0 |
85% |
4.2 / 27 (16%) |
46.8 / 30.8 (152%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
5th Mar '22 |
UFC 272 |
55 |
33.3 |
61% |
11.1 / 18 (61%) |
0.3 / 21 (1%) |
22.0 / 16 (138%) |
5th Mar '22 |
Cage Warriors 133 |
10 |
3.8 |
38% |
3.8 / 10 (38%) |
|
|
26th Feb '22 |
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev |
47.5 |
5.9 |
12% |
12.9 / 33.5 (39%) |
-6.5 / 6.5 (-100%) |
-0.6 / 7.5 (-7%) |
25th Feb '22 |
Bellator 275 |
22.88 |
-0.7 |
-3% |
-0.2 / 11 (-2%) |
-5.5 / 5.53 (-100%) |
5.0 / 6.35 (79%) |
19th Feb '22 |
Bellator 274 |
26.37 |
-2.2 |
-8% |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
-4.2 / 9.25 (-45%) |
7.0 / 12.12 (58%) |
19th Feb '22 |
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill |
54.45 |
-8.7 |
-16% |
3.3 / 26.3 (12%) |
-10.0 / 26.15 (-38%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
18th Feb '22 |
PFL Challenger Series 1 |
11 |
5.4 |
49% |
-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) |
8.9 / 7.5 (119%) |
|
12th Feb '22 |
UFC 271 |
54.7 |
21.2 |
39% |
1.9 / 30.5 (6%) |
11.8 / 17.7 (66%) |
7.6 / 6.5 (117%) |
5th Feb '22 |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland |
59.9 |
-6.0 |
-10% |
-4.9 / 24.1 (-20%) |
-2.5 / 26.8 (-9%) |
1.5 / 9 (17%) |
29th Jan '22 |
Bellator 273 |
34.5 |
-8.8 |
-26% |
-3.8 / 24.1 (-16%) |
-5.0 / 10.4 (-48%) |
|
28th Jan '22 |
EFC 44 |
18.9 |
-7.8 |
-41% |
-8.0 / 11.2 (-71%) |
-1.0 / 5.2 (-19%) |
1.2 / 2.5 (49%) |
22nd Jan '22 |
UFC 270 |
53.58 |
31.8 |
59% |
17.9 / 25.5 (70%) |
16.2 / 19.2 (84%) |
-2.3 / 8.88 (-26%) |
21st Jan '22 |
LFA 122 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
|
|
15th Jan '22 |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze |
26.25 |
8.6 |
33% |
9.9 / 17 (58%) |
-0.3 / 8.25 (-3%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
14th Jan '22 |
LFA 121 |
6.25 |
-4.0 |
-64% |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
1.0 / 1.25 (80%) |
|
18th Dec '21 |
UFC FN |
46.22 |
16.2 |
35% |
7.1 / 19.1 (37%) |
4.0 / 23.12 (17%) |
5.1 / 4 (127%) |
17th Dec '21 |
CFFC 104 |
6 |
2.0 |
33% |
2.0 / 6 (33%) |
|
|
11th Dec '21 |
UFC 269 |
52.2 |
23.9 |
46% |
8.1 / 13 (62%) |
13.0 / 35.2 (37%) |
2.8 / 4 (70%) |
11th Dec '21 |
Ares FC 2 |
2 |
1.1 |
54% |
1.1 / 2 (54%) |
|
|
4th Dec '21 |
UFC FN |
28.85 |
-18.5 |
-64% |
-12.3 / 17.85 (-69%) |
-6.2 / 11 (-56%) |
|
3rd Dec '21 |
Bellator 272 |
9.75 |
-6.4 |
-66% |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
-1.4 / 4.75 (-30%) |
|
20th Nov '21 |
UFC FN |
27.75 |
-1.8 |
-7% |
2.9 / 11.4 (25%) |
-4.7 / 16.35 (-29%) |
|
19th Nov '21 |
CFFC 103 |
8.4 |
-0.7 |
-9% |
-1.7 / 6.5 (-27%) |
1.0 / 1.9 (53%) |
|
13th Nov '21 |
UFC FN |
17 |
-13.2 |
-78% |
-10.2 / 14 (-73%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
|
6th Nov '21 |
UFC 268 |
38.25 |
-20.9 |
-55% |
-6.5 / 13.95 (-47%) |
-14.4 / 24.3 (-59%) |
|
3rd Nov '21 |
DWCS 2021: Week 10 |
10.66 |
3.9 |
37% |
0.7 / 4 (18%) |
5.6 / 4.25 (132%) |
-2.4 / 2.41 (-100%) |
30th Oct '21 |
UFC 267 |
100 |
46.2 |
46% |
23.7 / 40 (59%) |
22.5 / 60 (38%) |
|
27th Oct '21 |
PFL 2021 #10: Championships |
40 |
-26.0 |
-65% |
-13.0 / 27 (-48%) |
-13.0 / 13 (-100%) |
|
26th Oct '21 |
DWCS 2021: Week 9 |
48.5 |
-9.1 |
-19% |
-11.6 / 19 (-61%) |
-1.5 / 8.5 (-18%) |
3.9 / 21 (19%) |
23rd Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
40 |
0.8 |
2% |
5.0 / 21 (24%) |
-8.0 / 8 (-100%) |
3.8 / 11 (34%) |
19th Oct '21 |
DWCS 2021: Week 8 |
23 |
26.4 |
115% |
3.8 / 11 (34%) |
22.6 / 12 (188%) |
|
16th Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
68.5 |
-9.3 |
-14% |
8.2 / 29 (28%) |
-6.5 / 28.5 (-23%) |
-11.0 / 11 (-100%) |
12th Oct '21 |
DWCS 2021: Week 7 |
44 |
15.6 |
35% |
10.2 / 22 (46%) |
-1.2 / 11 (-11%) |
6.6 / 11 (60%) |
9th Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
56 |
-0.6 |
-1% |
13.7 / 27 (51%) |
-10.3 / 25 (-41%) |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
5th Oct '21 |
DWCS 2021: Week 6 |
50.4 |
9.0 |
18% |
-2.2 / 20.4 (-11%) |
11.2 / 30 (37%) |
|
2nd Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
43 |
21.9 |
51% |
11.2 / 21 (53%) |
1.9 / 11 (17%) |
8.8 / 11 (80%) |
28th Sep '21 |
DWCS 2021: Week 5 |
49 |
4.4 |
9% |
10.7 / 32 (33%) |
-6.3 / 17 (-37%) |
|
25th Sep '21 |
UFC 266 |
49 |
8.6 |
17% |
5.4 / 13 (41%) |
-1.4 / 31 (-5%) |
4.6 / 5 (93%) |
22nd Sep '21 |
DWCS 2021: Week 4 |
40 |
8.8 |
22% |
16.8 / 32 (53%) |
-8.0 / 8 (-100%) |
|
18th Sep '21 |
Bellator 266: Davis vs. Romero |
22 |
9.2 |
42% |
9.2 / 22 (42%) |
|
|
18th Sep '21 |
UFC FN |
45 |
-1.6 |
-3% |
3.6 / 21 (17%) |
-10.2 / 17 (-60%) |
5.0 / 7 (71%) |
17th Sep '21 |
CFFC 100: Kamchybekov vs. Smith |
11 |
3.1 |
29% |
3.1 / 11 (29%) |
|
|
14th Sep '21 |
DWCS 2021: Week 3 |
24.2 |
5.2 |
22% |
0.1 / 17.2 (0%) |
5.1 / 7 (73%) |
|
8th Sep '21 |
DWCS 2021: Week 2 |
26 |
-16.0 |
-62% |
-10.0 / 20 (-50%) |
-6.0 / 6 (-100%) |
|
4th Sep '21 |
UFC FN |
41.5 |
-7.7 |
-19% |
-12.4 / 21 (-59%) |
4.7 / 20.5 (23%) |
|
1st Sep '21 |
DWCS 2021: Week 1 |
22 |
-10.5 |
-48% |
-6.5 / 13 (-50%) |
-4.1 / 9 (-45%) |
|
28th Aug '21 |
UFC FN |
70 |
-35.5 |
-51% |
-24.4 / 32 (-76%) |
-18.0 / 27 (-67%) |
6.9 / 11 (63%) |
27th Aug '21 |
PFL 2021 #9: Playoffs |
36 |
4.8 |
13% |
5.3 / 12 (44%) |
-0.5 / 24 (-2%) |
|
27th Aug '21 |
LFA 114 |
7.5 |
2.9 |
38% |
1.3 / 4.5 (29%) |
1.6 / 3 (53%) |
|
21st Aug '21 |
UFC FN |
77 |
45.8 |
59% |
16.8 / 23 (73%) |
29.0 / 54 (54%) |
|
20th Aug '21 |
Bellator 265 |
48.8 |
35.0 |
72% |
2.0 / 8.8 (23%) |
25.4 / 29 (88%) |
7.6 / 11 (69%) |
19th Aug '21 |
PFL 2021 #8: Playoffs |
59 |
22.8 |
39% |
10.7 / 27 (40%) |
1.7 / 16 (10%) |
10.4 / 16 (65%) |
13th Aug '21 |
Bellator 264 |
54.5 |
13.7 |
25% |
16.7 / 19 (88%) |
-2.9 / 35.5 (-8%) |
|
13th Aug '21 |
PFL 2021 #7: Playoffs |
33 |
0.6 |
2% |
-6.1 / 22 (-28%) |
|
6.7 / 11 (61%) |
7th Aug '21 |
UFC 265 |
60 |
35.2 |
59% |
17.8 / 38 (47%) |
9.2 / 11 (83%) |
8.2 / 11 (75%) |
31st Jul '21 |
Bellator 263 |
33 |
25.4 |
77% |
18.6 / 22 (85%) |
6.7 / 11 (61%) |
|
31st Jul '21 |
UFC FN |
50 |
-39.5 |
-79% |
-22.5 / 33 (-68%) |
-17.0 / 17 (-100%) |
|
30th Jul '21 |
LFA 113 |
26 |
11.7 |
45% |
11.7 / 26 (45%) |
|
|
24th Jul '21 |
UFC FN |
34 |
0.9 |
3% |
-3.4 / 28 (-12%) |
4.4 / 6 (73%) |
|
17th Jul '21 |
UFC FN |
89 |
27.5 |
31% |
7.9 / 33 (24%) |
-9.9 / 25 (-39%) |
29.5 / 31 (95%) |
16th Jul '21 |
LFA 111 |
16 |
1.5 |
9% |
1.5 / 16 (9%) |
|
|
16th Jul '21 |
Bellator 262 |
16 |
-1.3 |
-8% |
-1.3 / 16 (-8%) |
|
|
10th Jul '21 |
UFC 264 |
95 |
10.3 |
11% |
-3.2 / 30 (-11%) |
9.3 / 35 (27%) |
4.1 / 30 (14%) |
2nd Jul '21 |
LFA 110 |
43 |
5.1 |
12% |
8.3 / 21 (39%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
1.8 / 17 (11%) |
26th Jun '21 |
UFC FN |
91 |
14.0 |
15% |
-12.6 / 30 (-42%) |
30.5 / 42 (73%) |
-3.9 / 19 (-20%) |
25th Jun '21 |
Bellator 261 |
5 |
5.7 |
115% |
5.7 / 5 (115%) |
|
|
25th Jun '21 |
PFL 2021: Week 6 |
25 |
-3.2 |
-13% |
-3.5 / 10 (-35%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
5.3 / 10 (53%) |
19th Jun '21 |
UFC FN |
42 |
-23.5 |
-56% |
-3.0 / 8 (-38%) |
-16.5 / 30 (-55%) |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
11th Jun '21 |
Bellator 260 |
30 |
0.2 |
1% |
0.2 / 30 (1%) |
|
|
10th Jun '21 |
PFL 2021: Week 4 |
23.65 |
2.1 |
9% |
5.1 / 20.65 (25%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
|
5th Jun '21 |
UFC FN |
38.5 |
-24.2 |
-63% |
-14.0 / 17.5 (-80%) |
-7.2 / 18 (-40%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
22nd May '21 |
UFC FN |
42.5 |
-4.3 |
-10% |
2.3 / 11.5 (20%) |
-1.6 / 26 (-6%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
21st May '21 |
Bellator 259 |
23 |
-10.2 |
-44% |
-1.2 / 14 (-9%) |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
15th May '21 |
UFC 262 |
43.2 |
16.5 |
38% |
9.5 / 23.45 (41%) |
7.0 / 19.75 (36%) |
|
8th May '21 |
UFC FN |
25 |
31.2 |
125% |
31.2 / 25 (125%) |
|
|
7th May '21 |
Bellator 258 |
35 |
-20.3 |
-58% |
-12.5 / 20 (-63%) |
-2.8 / 10 (-28%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
1st May '21 |
UFC FN |
38 |
-14.5 |
-38% |
1.8 / 5 (35%) |
-12.3 / 29 (-42%) |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
24th Apr '21 |
UFC 261 |
35.8 |
-13.0 |
-36% |
-10.0 / 14.8 (-68%) |
-3.0 / 21 (-14%) |
|
17th Apr '21 |
UFC FN |
34 |
-14.5 |
-43% |
-4.9 / 18 (-27%) |
-9.6 / 16 (-60%) |
|
16th Apr '21 |
Bellator 257 |
12 |
4.8 |
40% |
4.2 / 11 (38%) |
0.6 / 1 (65%) |
|
10th Apr '21 |
UFC FN |
23 |
5.5 |
24% |
4.5 / 12 (38%) |
0.9 / 11 (8%) |
|
28th Mar '21 |
UFC 260 |
7 |
-0.4 |
-5% |
1.1 / 4 (29%) |
-1.5 / 3 (-50%) |
|
6th Mar '21 |
UFC 259 |
24 |
2.7 |
11% |
-4.8 / 8 (-60%) |
7.5 / 16 (47%) |
|
28th Feb '21 |
UFC Fight Night 186 |
18 |
-2.6 |
-14% |
2.7 / 10 (27%) |
-5.3 / 8 (-66%) |
|
20th Feb '21 |
UFC Fight Night 185 |
13 |
0.4 |
3% |
2.1 / 2 (106%) |
-1.8 / 11 (-16%) |
|
13th Feb '21 |
UFC 258 |
11 |
6.5 |
59% |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
9.5 / 8 (119%) |
|
6th Feb '21 |
UFC FN |
10 |
-4.0 |
-40% |
0.3 / 3 (10%) |
-4.3 / 7 (-61%) |
|
24th Jan '21 |
UFC 257 |
5 |
-3.2 |
-63% |
-1.2 / 3 (-39%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
20th Jan '21 |
UFC on ESPN 20 |
10 |
8.4 |
84% |
0.3 / 2 (13%) |
8.1 / 8 (102%) |
|
Winning Events: 56 (54%) Losing Events: 48 (46%)
Average Staked Per Event: 36.29 units Most Staked On One Event: 100.00 units Best Event: 50.05 units Worst Event: -39.46 units Average Event: 2.37 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 9, Units: 186.18 Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -69.82 |
Chance Wagers: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2022 |
1171.78 |
55.1 |
5% |
-6.6 / 611.7 (-1%) |
|
-15.9 / 214.05 (-7%) |
12 / 18 (40%) |
1.84 |
2021 |
2602.63 |
191.2 |
7% |
113.3 / 1274.6 (9%) |
|
73.9 / 284.41 (26%) |
44 / 30 (59%) |
2.58 |
|
Chance Wagers: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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|
Chance Wagers: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
2651.15 |
157.6 |
6% |
81.4 / 1259.45 (6%) |
65.9 / 1053.62 (6%) |
10.4 / 338.08 (3%) |
Bellator |
408.8 |
33.9 |
8% |
8.4 / 200.9 (4%) |
11.4 / 138.43 (8%) |
14.1 / 69.47 (20%) |
PFL |
227.65 |
6.5 |
3% |
-4.9 / 122.15 (-4%) |
-10.9 / 68.5 (-16%) |
22.4 / 37 (60%) |
Other |
486.81 |
48.2 |
10% |
21.9 / 303.8 (7%) |
15.1 / 129.1 (12%) |
11.2 / 53.91 (21%) |
|
Chance Wagers: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
125 (36%) |
94 |
75 % |
815.25 |
95.46 |
0.76 |
12% |
Slight Favorites |
109 (31%) |
60 |
55 % |
607.35 |
-20.00 |
-0.18 |
-3% |
Slight Underdogs |
82 (24%) |
32 |
39 % |
369.20 |
7.94 |
0.10 |
2% |
Big Underdogs |
32 (9%) |
10 |
31 % |
94.50 |
23.33 |
0.73 |
25% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
51 (15%) |
31 |
61 % |
275.10 |
3.49 |
0.07 |
1% |
Co-Main Event |
43 (12%) |
24 |
56 % |
266.50 |
29.48 |
0.69 |
11% |
Position 3-5 |
113 (32%) |
63 |
56 % |
618.95 |
-9.86 |
-0.09 |
-2% |
6+ (Undercard) |
141 (41%) |
78 |
55 % |
725.75 |
83.62 |
0.59 |
12% |
|
Chance Wagers: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
24 (7%) |
15 |
63 % |
135.80 |
11.11 |
0.46 |
8% |
Light Heavy |
29 (8%) |
18 |
62 % |
125.20 |
24.12 |
0.83 |
19% |
Middleweight |
32 (9%) |
18 |
56 % |
172.80 |
11.27 |
0.35 |
7% |
Welterweight |
47 (14%) |
20 |
43 % |
254.35 |
-48.87 |
-1.04 |
-19% |
Lightweight |
53 (15%) |
34 |
64 % |
334.45 |
38.92 |
0.73 |
12% |
Featherweight |
55 (16%) |
27 |
49 % |
302.70 |
6.92 |
0.13 |
2% |
Bantamweight |
43 (12%) |
24 |
56 % |
220.10 |
-16.34 |
-0.38 |
-7% |
Flyweight |
21 (6%) |
12 |
57 % |
119.00 |
11.04 |
0.53 |
9% |
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|
Women's Fights |
44 (13%) |
28 |
64 % |
221.90 |
68.54 |
1.56 |
31% |
Featherweight |
1 (0%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.00 |
2.50 |
2.50 |
125% |
Bantamweight |
7 (2%) |
4 |
57 % |
28.00 |
4.11 |
0.59 |
15% |
Flyweight |
16 (5%) |
10 |
63 % |
65.50 |
20.79 |
1.30 |
32% |
Strawweight |
20 (6%) |
13 |
65 % |
126.40 |
41.14 |
2.06 |
33% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
136 (82%) |
109 |
80 % |
Slight Favorites |
17 (10%) |
12 |
71 % |
Slight Underdogs |
11 (7%) |
6 |
55 % |
Big Underdogs |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
|
165 |
128 |
78 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
75 (12%) |
52 |
69 % |
50-65% |
106 (16%) |
71 |
67 % |
35-50% |
67 (10%) |
28 |
42 % |
<35% chance |
398 (62%) |
78 |
20 % |
|
646 |
229 |
35 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Chance Wagers's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
20th Jan |
UFC on ESPN 20 |
10 |
8.4 |
84% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,084.10 |
24th Jan |
UFC 257 |
5 |
-3.2 |
-63% |
|
$10.84 |
$1,084.10 |
$1,049.77 |
6th Feb |
UFC FN |
10 |
-4.0 |
-40% |
$25 |
$10.50 |
$1,049.77 |
$983.29 |
13th Feb |
UFC 258 |
11 |
6.5 |
59% |
$25 |
$9.83 |
$983.29 |
$1,022.20 |
20th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 185 |
13 |
0.4 |
3% |
$25 |
$10.22 |
$1,022.20 |
$1,000.91 |
28th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 186 |
18 |
-2.6 |
-14% |
$25 |
$10.01 |
$1,000.91 |
$949.84 |
6th Mar |
UFC 259 |
24 |
2.7 |
11% |
$25 |
$9.50 |
$949.84 |
$950.77 |
28th Mar |
UFC 260 |
7 |
-0.4 |
-5% |
$25 |
$9.51 |
$950.77 |
$922.43 |
10th Apr |
UFC FN |
23 |
5.5 |
24% |
$25 |
$9.22 |
$922.43 |
$947.95 |
16th Apr |
Bellator 257 |
12 |
4.8 |
40% |
$25 |
$9.48 |
$947.95 |
$968.84 |
17th Apr |
UFC FN |
34 |
-14.5 |
-43% |
$25 |
$9.69 |
$968.84 |
$803.67 |
24th Apr |
UFC 261 |
35.8 |
-13.0 |
-36% |
$25 |
$8.04 |
$803.67 |
$674.19 |
1st May |
UFC FN |
38 |
-14.5 |
-38% |
$25 |
$6.74 |
$674.19 |
$551.39 |
7th May |
Bellator 258 |
35 |
-20.3 |
-58% |
$25 |
$5.51 |
$551.39 |
$414.58 |
8th May |
UFC FN |
25 |
31.2 |
125% |
$25 |
$4.15 |
$414.58 |
$519.11 |
15th May |
UFC 262 |
43.2 |
16.5 |
38% |
$25 |
$5.19 |
$519.11 |
$579.89 |
21st May |
Bellator 259 |
23 |
-10.2 |
-44% |
$25 |
$5.80 |
$579.89 |
$495.74 |
22nd May |
UFC FN |
42.5 |
-4.3 |
-10% |
$25 |
$4.96 |
$495.74 |
$449.66 |
5th Jun |
UFC FN |
38.5 |
-24.2 |
-63% |
$25 |
$4.50 |
$449.66 |
$315.84 |
10th Jun |
PFL 2021: Week 4 |
23.65 |
2.1 |
9% |
$25 |
$3.16 |
$315.84 |
$297.56 |
11th Jun |
Bellator 260 |
30 |
0.2 |
1% |
$25 |
$2.98 |
$297.56 |
$273.08 |
19th Jun |
UFC FN |
42 |
-23.5 |
-56% |
$25 |
$2.73 |
$273.08 |
$183.91 |
25th Jun |
PFL 2021: Week 6 |
25 |
-3.2 |
-13% |
$25 |
$1.84 |
$183.91 |
$153.01 |
25th Jun |
Bellator 261 |
5 |
5.7 |
115% |
$25 |
$1.53 |
$153.01 |
$136.81 |
26th Jun |
UFC FN |
91 |
14.0 |
15% |
$25 |
$1.37 |
$136.81 |
$130.95 |
2nd Jul |
LFA 110 |
43 |
5.1 |
12% |
$25 |
$1.31 |
$130.95 |
$112.62 |
10th Jul |
UFC 264 |
95 |
10.3 |
11% |
$25 |
$1.13 |
$112.62 |
$99.19 |
16th Jul |
Bellator 262 |
16 |
-1.3 |
-8% |
$25 |
$0.99 |
$99.19 |
$72.87 |
16th Jul |
LFA 111 |
16 |
1.5 |
9% |
$25 |
$0.73 |
$72.87 |
$48.96 |
17th Jul |
UFC FN |
89 |
27.5 |
31% |
$25 |
$0.49 |
$48.96 |
$37.42 |
24th Jul |
UFC FN |
34 |
0.9 |
3% |
$25 |
$0.37 |
$37.42 |
$12.78 |
30th Jul |
LFA 113 |
26 |
11.7 |
45% |
$25 |
$0.13 |
$12.78 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
31st Jul |
UFC FN |
50 |
-39.5 |
-79% |
$25 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$580.35 |
31st Jul |
Bellator 263 |
33 |
25.4 |
77% |
$25 |
$5.80 |
$580.35 |
$702.52 |
7th Aug |
UFC 265 |
60 |
35.2 |
59% |
$25 |
$7.03 |
$702.52 |
$925.15 |
13th Aug |
PFL 2021 #7: Playoffs |
33 |
0.6 |
2% |
$25 |
$9.25 |
$925.15 |
$905.40 |
13th Aug |
Bellator 264 |
54.5 |
13.7 |
25% |
$25 |
$9.05 |
$905.40 |
$1,004.55 |
19th Aug |
PFL 2021 #8: Playoffs |
59 |
22.8 |
39% |
$25 |
$10.05 |
$1,004.55 |
$1,208.97 |
20th Aug |
Bellator 265 |
48.8 |
35.0 |
72% |
$25 |
$12.09 |
$1,208.97 |
$1,607.30 |
21st Aug |
UFC FN |
77 |
45.8 |
59% |
$25 |
$16.07 |
$1,607.30 |
$2,318.29 |
27th Aug |
LFA 114 |
7.5 |
2.9 |
38% |
$25 |
$23.18 |
$2,318.29 |
$2,360.09 |
27th Aug |
PFL 2021 #9: Playoffs |
36 |
4.8 |
13% |
$25 |
$23.60 |
$2,360.09 |
$2,447.59 |
28th Aug |
UFC FN |
70 |
-35.5 |
-51% |
$25 |
$24.48 |
$2,447.59 |
$1,552.63 |
1st Sep |
DWCS 2021: Week 1 |
22 |
-10.5 |
-48% |
$25 |
$15.53 |
$1,552.63 |
$1,363.84 |
4th Sep |
UFC FN |
41.5 |
-7.7 |
-19% |
$25 |
$13.64 |
$1,363.84 |
$1,233.43 |
8th Sep |
DWCS 2021: Week 2 |
26 |
-16.0 |
-62% |
$25 |
$12.33 |
$1,233.43 |
$1,011.08 |
14th Sep |
DWCS 2021: Week 3 |
24.2 |
5.2 |
22% |
$25 |
$10.11 |
$1,011.08 |
$1,038.76 |
17th Sep |
CFFC 100: Kamchybekov vs. Smith |
11 |
3.1 |
29% |
$25 |
$10.39 |
$1,038.76 |
$1,046.41 |
18th Sep |
UFC FN |
45 |
-1.6 |
-3% |
$25 |
$10.46 |
$1,046.41 |
$1,004.94 |
18th Sep |
Bellator 266: Davis vs. Romero |
22 |
9.2 |
42% |
$25 |
$10.05 |
$1,004.94 |
$1,071.93 |
22nd Sep |
DWCS 2021: Week 4 |
40 |
8.8 |
22% |
$25 |
$10.72 |
$1,071.93 |
$1,141.67 |
25th Sep |
UFC 266 |
49 |
8.6 |
17% |
$25 |
$11.42 |
$1,141.67 |
$1,214.56 |
28th Sep |
DWCS 2021: Week 5 |
49 |
4.4 |
9% |
$25 |
$12.15 |
$1,214.56 |
$1,243.00 |
2nd Oct |
UFC FN |
43 |
21.9 |
51% |
$25 |
$12.43 |
$1,243.00 |
$1,489.89 |
5th Oct |
DWCS 2021: Week 6 |
50.4 |
9.0 |
18% |
$25 |
$14.90 |
$1,489.89 |
$1,599.63 |
9th Oct |
UFC FN |
56 |
-0.6 |
-1% |
$25 |
$16.00 |
$1,599.63 |
$1,565.66 |
12th Oct |
DWCS 2021: Week 7 |
44 |
15.6 |
35% |
$25 |
$15.66 |
$1,565.66 |
$1,784.28 |
16th Oct |
UFC FN |
68.5 |
-9.3 |
-14% |
$25 |
$17.84 |
$1,784.28 |
$1,593.66 |
19th Oct |
DWCS 2021: Week 8 |
23 |
26.4 |
115% |
$25 |
$15.94 |
$1,593.66 |
$1,989.50 |
23rd Oct |
UFC FN |
40 |
0.8 |
2% |
$25 |
$19.90 |
$1,989.50 |
$1,981.14 |
26th Oct |
DWCS 2021: Week 9 |
48.5 |
-9.1 |
-19% |
$25 |
$19.81 |
$1,981.14 |
$1,774.98 |
27th Oct |
PFL 2021 #10: Championships |
40 |
-26.0 |
-65% |
$25 |
$17.75 |
$1,774.98 |
$1,288.48 |
30th Oct |
UFC 267 |
100 |
46.2 |
46% |
$25 |
$12.88 |
$1,288.48 |
$1,858.79 |
3rd Nov |
DWCS 2021: Week 10 |
10.66 |
3.9 |
37% |
$25 |
$18.59 |
$1,858.79 |
$1,906.93 |
6th Nov |
UFC 268 |
38.25 |
-20.9 |
-55% |
$25 |
$19.07 |
$1,906.93 |
$1,482.43 |
13th Nov |
UFC FN |
17 |
-13.2 |
-78% |
$25 |
$14.82 |
$1,482.43 |
$1,262.02 |
19th Nov |
CFFC 103 |
8.4 |
-0.7 |
-9% |
$25 |
$12.62 |
$1,262.02 |
$1,227.74 |
20th Nov |
UFC FN |
27.75 |
-1.8 |
-7% |
$25 |
$12.28 |
$1,227.74 |
$1,180.08 |
3rd Dec |
Bellator 272 |
9.75 |
-6.4 |
-66% |
$25 |
$11.80 |
$1,180.08 |
$1,079.36 |
4th Dec |
UFC FN |
28.85 |
-18.5 |
-64% |
$25 |
$10.79 |
$1,079.36 |
$854.60 |
11th Dec |
Ares FC 2 |
2 |
1.1 |
54% |
$25 |
$8.55 |
$854.60 |
$838.84 |
11th Dec |
UFC 269 |
52.2 |
23.9 |
46% |
$25 |
$8.39 |
$838.84 |
$1,014.58 |
17th Dec |
CFFC 104 |
6 |
2.0 |
33% |
$25 |
$10.15 |
$1,014.58 |
$1,009.87 |
18th Dec |
UFC FN |
46.22 |
16.2 |
35% |
$25 |
$10.10 |
$1,009.87 |
$1,148.22 |
14th Jan |
LFA 121 |
6.25 |
-4.0 |
-64% |
$25 |
$11.48 |
$1,148.22 |
$1,077.29 |
15th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze |
26.25 |
8.6 |
33% |
$25 |
$10.77 |
$1,077.29 |
$1,144.77 |
21st Jan |
LFA 122 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
$25 |
$11.45 |
$1,144.77 |
$1,062.53 |
22nd Jan |
UFC 270 |
53.58 |
31.8 |
59% |
$25 |
$10.63 |
$1,062.53 |
$1,375.88 |
28th Jan |
EFC 44 |
18.9 |
-7.8 |
-41% |
$25 |
$13.76 |
$1,375.88 |
$1,244.04 |
29th Jan |
Bellator 273 |
34.5 |
-8.8 |
-26% |
$25 |
$12.44 |
$1,244.04 |
$1,109.39 |
5th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland |
59.9 |
-6.0 |
-10% |
$25 |
$11.09 |
$1,109.39 |
$1,018.38 |
12th Feb |
UFC 271 |
54.7 |
21.2 |
39% |
$25 |
$10.18 |
$1,018.38 |
$1,209.74 |
18th Feb |
PFL Challenger Series 1 |
11 |
5.4 |
49% |
$25 |
$12.10 |
$1,209.74 |
$1,250.32 |
19th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill |
54.45 |
-8.7 |
-16% |
$25 |
$12.50 |
$1,250.32 |
$1,116.91 |
19th Feb |
Bellator 274 |
26.37 |
-2.2 |
-8% |
$25 |
$11.17 |
$1,116.91 |
$1,067.85 |
25th Feb |
Bellator 275 |
22.88 |
-0.7 |
-3% |
$25 |
$10.68 |
$1,067.85 |
$1,035.50 |
26th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev |
47.5 |
5.9 |
12% |
$25 |
$10.36 |
$1,035.50 |
$1,071.41 |
5th Mar |
Cage Warriors 133 |
10 |
3.8 |
38% |
$25 |
$10.71 |
$1,071.41 |
$1,086.84 |
5th Mar |
UFC 272 |
55 |
33.3 |
61% |
$25 |
$10.87 |
$1,086.84 |
$1,424.16 |
12th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev |
58.8 |
50.0 |
85% |
$25 |
$14.24 |
$1,424.16 |
$2,111.94 |
12th Mar |
Bellator 276 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
$25 |
$21.12 |
$2,111.94 |
$1,875.75 |
19th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall |
56.5 |
-10.3 |
-18% |
$25 |
$18.76 |
$1,875.75 |
$1,657.44 |
26th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus |
55.7 |
-21.3 |
-38% |
$25 |
$16.57 |
$1,657.44 |
$1,280.23 |
9th Apr |
UFC 273 |
52.5 |
-18.1 |
-34% |
$25 |
$12.80 |
$1,280.23 |
$1,024.15 |
15th Apr |
Bellator 277 |
10 |
0.0 |
0% |
$25 |
$10.24 |
$1,024.15 |
$999.15 |
16th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II |
58.5 |
-2.0 |
-3% |
$25 |
$9.99 |
$999.15 |
$954.64 |
23rd Apr |
Bellator 278 |
18 |
10.7 |
59% |
$25 |
$9.55 |
$954.64 |
$1,031.65 |
23rd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade |
61 |
-26.9 |
-44% |
$25 |
$10.32 |
$1,031.65 |
$728.95 |
23rd Apr |
Bellator 279 |
20 |
-1.8 |
-9% |
$25 |
$7.29 |
$728.95 |
$690.94 |
30th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera |
46 |
-7.8 |
-17% |
$25 |
$6.91 |
$690.94 |
$612.07 |
7th May |
UFC 274 |
29.5 |
19.9 |
67% |
$25 |
$6.12 |
$612.07 |
$708.80 |
14th May |
UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić |
77.5 |
13.6 |
18% |
$25 |
$7.09 |
$708.80 |
$780.25 |
21st May |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira |
65.5 |
0.3 |
0% |
$25 |
$7.80 |
$780.25 |
$757.32 |
4th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik |
66 |
-8.4 |
-13% |
$25 |
$7.57 |
$757.32 |
$668.56 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -133.14% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Chance Wagers: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Jun '22 |
Tony Gravely |
Johnny Munoz |
1.80 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (1:8) |
|
|
2. |
Jun '22 |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
Niklas Stolze |
1.68 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (1:32) |
|
|
3. |
Jun '22 |
Alonzo Menifield |
Askar Mozharov |
1.43 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (4:40) |
|
|
4. |
May '22 |
Sam Hughes |
Elise Reed |
2.35 |
10 |
TKO, R3 (3:52) |
|
|
5. |
May '22 |
Chase Hooper |
Felipe Colares |
2.55 |
10 |
TKO, R3 (3:0) |
|
|
6. |
May '22 |
Jan Blachowicz |
Aleksandar Rakic |
2.80 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (1:11) |
|
|
7. |
May '22 |
Katlyn Chookagian |
Amanda Ribas |
1.63 |
10 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
May '22 |
Lupita Godinez |
Ariane Carnelossi |
1.53 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
May '22 |
Carla Esparza |
Rose Namajunas |
2.85 |
10 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Apr '22 |
Natan Levy |
Mike Breeden |
1.50 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Apr '22 |
Krzysztof Jotko |
Gerald Meerschaert |
1.57 |
3.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
Apr '22 |
Gabriel Green |
Yohan Lainesse |
1.77 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (4:2) |
|
|
13. |
Apr '22 |
Sergey Khandozhko |
Dwight Grant |
1.85 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (4:15) |
|
|
14. |
Apr '22 |
Marc-Andre Barriault |
Jordan Wright |
1.53 |
7.5 |
Sub, R1 (2:36) |
|
|
15. |
Apr '22 |
Caio Borralho |
Gadzhi Omargadzhiev |
2.10 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
16. |
Apr '22 |
Mackenzie Dern |
Tecia Torres |
1.83 |
10 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Mar '22 |
Luis Saldana |
Bruno Souza |
2.00 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Mar '22 |
Makwan Amirkhani |
Mike Grundy |
2.70 |
10 |
Sub, R1 (0:57) |
|
|
19. |
Mar '22 |
Drew Dober |
Terrance McKinney |
1.63 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (3:17) |
|
|
20. |
Mar '22 |
Cody Brundage |
Dalcha Lungiambula |
2.14 |
7 |
Sub, R1 (3:41) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Jun '22 |
Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
Jeff Molina |
2.55 |
10 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Jun '22 |
Mike Trizano |
Lucas Almeida |
1.47 |
10 |
TKO, R3 (0:55) |
No |
|
|
3. |
May '22 |
Alen Amedovski |
Joseph Holmes |
2.70 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (1:4) |
No |
|
|
4. |
May '22 |
Polyana Viana |
Tabatha Ricci |
2.15 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
May '22 |
Dusko Todorovic |
Chidi Njokuani |
3.20 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (4:48) |
No |
|
|
6. |
May '22 |
Alan Patrick |
Michael Johnson |
2.30 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (3:22) |
No |
|
|
7. |
May '22 |
Louis Smolka |
Davey Grant |
3.45 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (0:49) |
No |
|
|
8. |
May '22 |
Ion Cutelaba |
Ryan Spann |
1.48 |
10 |
Sub, R1 (2:22) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Apr '22 |
Jake Collier |
Andrei Arlovski |
2.10 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Apr '22 |
Rob Font |
Marlon Vera |
1.83 |
10 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Apr '22 |
Evan Elder |
Preston Parsons |
2.10 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Apr '22 |
Clay Guida |
Claudio Puelles |
1.91 |
10 |
Sub, R1 (3:1) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Apr '22 |
Clay Guida |
Claudio Puelles |
1.91 |
10 |
Sub, R1 (3:1) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Apr '22 |
Jesse Ronson |
Rafa Garcia |
1.83 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (4:50) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Apr '22 |
Trey Ogden |
Jordan Leavitt |
1.71 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Apr '22 |
Miguel Baeza |
Andre Fialho |
1.63 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (4:39) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Apr '22 |
Vinc Pichel |
Mark O. Madsen |
1.87 |
3.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Apr '22 |
Jared Vanderaa |
Aleksei Oleinik |
1.86 |
7 |
Sub, R1 (3:39) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Apr '22 |
Mickey Gall |
Mike Malott |
2.50 |
3.5 |
TKO, R1 (3:41) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Apr '22 |
Chan Sung Jung |
Alex Volkanovski |
6.40 |
4 |
TKO, R4 (0:45) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Chance Wagers: Progress Chart |
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