MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Billy_Brown

Billy_Brown (UFC_Fan_Dude)

MMA MHandicapper - Billy_Brown

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	71 (51%)	Right	55 (51%)	Right	7 (64%)	Right	9 (47%)
Wrong	67 (49%)	Wrong	53 (49%)	Wrong	4 (36%)	Wrong	10 (53%)
Avg Odds	2.02	Avg Odds	1.92	Avg Odds	2.67	Avg Odds	2.40
Units Bet	543.5	Units Bet	429.8	Units Bet	34.2	Units Bet	79.5
Avg Bet	3.94	Avg Bet	3.98	Avg Bet	3.11	Avg Bet	4.18
Units Profit	30.87	Units Profit	4.86	Units Profit	10.09	Units Profit	15.92
ROI %	6%	ROI %	1%	ROI %	30%	ROI %	20%

Billy_Brown : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
8th May '21	UFC FN	32.4	-3.3	-10%	-8.2 / 25.5 (-32%)	4.9 / 6.9 (71%)
7th May '21	Bellator 258	3	-3.0	-100%		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
1st May '21	UFC FN	42.5	15.8	37%	-5.3 / 19 (-28%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	22.6 / 22 (103%)
24th Apr '21	UFC 261	33	-19.4	-59%	-5.4 / 19 (-28%)		-14.0 / 14 (-100%)
17th Apr '21	UFC FN	13.3	0.8	6%	-0.2 / 10.3 (-2%)	1.0 / 3 (32%)
16th Apr '21	Bellator 257	4.5	3.6	80%			3.6 / 4.5 (80%)
10th Apr '21	UFC FN	51.6	18.8	36%	16.5 / 43.6 (38%)	2.3 / 8 (29%)
9th Apr '21	Bellator 256	2.5	-2.5	-100%			-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
2nd Apr '21	Bellator 255	4.6	-4.6	-100%	-4.6 / 4.6 (-100%)
28th Mar '21	UFC 260	38.8	18.6	48%	14.0 / 35.3 (40%)		4.6 / 3.5 (131%)
21st Mar '21	UFC Fight Night 188	27	-12.0	-44%	-12.0 / 27 (-44%)
13th Mar '21	UFC Fight Night 187	24.1	-21.5	-89%	-20.3 / 22.9 (-89%)	-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
6th Mar '21	UFC 259	16.6	2.5	15%	2.6 / 16.5 (16%)	-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
28th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 186	39.5	20.7	52%	9.1 / 34.5 (26%)		11.6 / 5 (232%)
20th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 185	17	-13.4	-79%	-6.9 / 10.5 (-66%)		-6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
14th Feb '21	UFC 258	20.5	-3.2	-16%	-6.8 / 14.5 (-47%)	2.5 / 1.5 (165%)	1.1 / 4.5 (25%)
6th Feb '21	UFC FN	16	0.9	5%	-1.6 / 13 (-12%)		2.4 / 3 (81%)
29th Jan '21	LFA 98	2.8	-2.8	-100%	-2.8 / 2.8 (-100%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	8	-0.4	-5%	2.6 / 5 (52%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
20th Jan '21	UFC on ESPN 20	6	0.4	7%	0.4 / 6 (7%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	13.5	9.2	68%	9.2 / 13.5 (68%)
16th Jan '21	LFA 97	1.5	1.4	91%	1.4 / 1.5 (91%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	20.8	-7.7	-37%	-7.7 / 20.8 (-37%)
13th Dec '20	UFC 256	17	0.2	1%	-0.3 / 10 (-3%)	3.5 / 4 (87%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
11th Dec '20	Bellator 254	4	2.8	69%	2.8 / 4 (69%)
6th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 16	8	-8.0	-100%	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)
29th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 15	15	7.9	52%	6.0 / 10 (60%)	1.8 / 5 (36%)
21st Nov '20	UFC 255	18.5	17.1	92%	17.1 / 18.5 (92%)
18th Nov '20	DWCS 36	5	-1.8	-36%	1.2 / 2 (59%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
14th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 14	8	-1.0	-12%	-1.0 / 8 (-12%)
11th Nov '20	DWCS 35	7.5	6.9	91%	4.8 / 6 (79%)		2.1 / 1.5 (140%)
8th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 13	8.5	-2.8	-33%	-0.8 / 6.5 (-12%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
31st Oct '20	UFC Vegas 12	3.5	6.8	195%	5.0 / 2 (250%)		1.8 / 1.5 (122%)
29th Oct '20	Bellator 250	2	1.2	59%	1.2 / 2 (59%)
24th Oct '20	UFC 254	7	2.8	40%	2.8 / 7 (40%)

Winning Events: 19 (54%)
Losing Events: 16 (46%)

Average Staked Per Event: 15.53 units
Most Staked On One Event: 51.60 units
Best Event: 20.68 units
Worst Event: -21.50 units
Average Event: 0.88 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 24.91
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -33.50

Billy_Brown : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	418.7	6.7	2%	-18.1 / 325 (-6%)	4.8 / 25.2 (19%)	20.0 / 68.5 (29%)	11 / 11 (50%)	0.30
2020	124.8	24.2	19%	23.0 / 104.8 (22%)	5.3 / 9 (59%)	-4.1 / 11 (-37%)	8 / 5 (62%)	1.86

Billy_Brown : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Billy_Brown : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	506.1	29.8	6%	1.0 / 406.9 (0%)	13.1 / 31.2 (42%)	15.7 / 68 (23%)
Bellator	20.6	-2.5	-12%	-0.7 / 10.6 (-6%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	1.1 / 7 (16%)
Other	16.8	3.6	21%	4.5 / 12.3 (37%)		-0.9 / 4.5 (-20%)

Billy_Brown : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	14 (13%)	10	71 %	83.80	-0.05	-0.00	-0%
Slight Favorites	47 (43%)	23	49 %	208.50	-31.48	-0.67	-15%
Slight Underdogs	36 (33%)	18	50 %	105.20	22.04	0.61	21%
Big Underdogs	13 (12%)	5	38 %	32.30	14.35	1.10	44%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	13 (12%)	7	54 %	56.80	2.78	0.21	5%
Co-Main Event	15 (14%)	8	53 %	65.60	-2.85	-0.19	-4%
Position 3-5	38 (35%)	18	47 %	144.20	-0.69	-0.02	-0%
6+ (Undercard)	44 (40%)	23	52 %	163.20	5.62	0.13	3%

Billy_Brown : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (3%)	1	33 %	14.00	-3.86	-1.29	-28%
Light Heavy	7 (6%)	4	57 %	42.50	7.60	1.09	18%
Middleweight	22 (20%)	7	32 %	86.00	-42.86	-1.95	-50%
Welterweight	10 (9%)	8	80 %	38.90	26.10	2.61	67%
Lightweight	11 (10%)	8	73 %	34.70	26.32	2.39	76%
Featherweight	14 (13%)	5	36 %	57.20	-6.90	-0.49	-12%
Bantamweight	11 (10%)	5	45 %	40.80	-6.52	-0.59	-16%
Flyweight	8 (7%)	4	50 %	28.50	-4.51	-0.56	-16%

Women's Fights	24 (22%)	14	58 %	87.20	9.50	0.40	11%
Bantamweight	3 (3%)	2	67 %	10.50	-0.28	-0.09	-3%
Flyweight	12 (11%)	7	58 %	43.20	1.77	0.15	4%
Strawweight	9 (8%)	5	56 %	33.50	8.01	0.89	24%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	27 (63%)	20	74 %
Slight Favorites	10 (23%)	7	70 %
Slight Underdogs	5 (12%)	1	20 %
Big Underdogs	1 (2%)	1	100 %
	43	29	67 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (17%)	0	0 %
50-65%	1 (17%)	1	100 %
35-50%	1 (17%)	1	100 %
<35% chance	3 (50%)	0	0 %
	6	2	33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Does not go to Decision	3 (50%)	1	33 %	2.27	4.00	1.44	-0.4 (-12%)
X Wins by KO	2 (33%)	0	0 %	7.54	12.00	5.50	-2.0 (-100%)
Others	1 (17%)	1	100 %	1.83	1.83	1.83	0.8 (83%)
	6	2	33 %	2.82			-1.5 (-25%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Billy_Brown 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
24th Oct	UFC 254	7	2.8	40%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,027.94
29th Oct	Bellator 250	2	1.2	59%		$10.28	$1,027.94	$1,040.03
31st Oct	UFC Vegas 12	3.5	6.8	195%		$10.40	$1,040.03	$1,111.04
8th Nov	UFC Vegas 13	8.5	-2.8	-33%		$11.11	$1,111.04	$1,080.24
11th Nov	DWCS 35	7.5	6.9	91%		$10.80	$1,080.24	$1,154.31
14th Nov	UFC Vegas 14	8	-1.0	-12%		$11.54	$1,154.31	$1,142.77
18th Nov	DWCS 36	5	-1.8	-36%		$11.43	$1,142.77	$1,121.93
21st Nov	UFC 255	18.5	17.1	92%		$11.22	$1,121.93	$1,313.27
29th Nov	UFC Vegas 15	15	7.9	52%		$13.13	$1,313.27	$1,416.45
6th Dec	UFC Vegas 16	8	-8.0	-100%		$14.16	$1,416.45	$1,303.14
11th Dec	Bellator 254	4	2.8	69%		$13.03	$1,303.14	$1,339.08
13th Dec	UFC 256	17	0.2	1%		$13.39	$1,339.08	$1,341.64
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	20.8	-7.7	-37%		$13.42	$1,341.64	$1,238.06
16th Jan	LFA 97	1.5	1.4	91%		$12.38	$1,238.06	$1,254.95
16th Jan	UFC FN	13.5	9.2	68%		$12.55	$1,254.95	$1,370.93
20th Jan	UFC on ESPN 20	6	0.4	7%		$13.71	$1,370.93	$1,376.53
24th Jan	UFC 257	8	-0.4	-5%		$13.77	$1,376.53	$1,370.92
29th Jan	LFA 98	2.8	-2.8	-100%		$13.71	$1,370.92	$1,332.53
6th Feb	UFC FN	16	0.9	5%		$13.33	$1,332.53	$1,343.93
14th Feb	UFC 258	20.5	-3.2	-16%		$13.44	$1,343.93	$1,301.13
20th Feb	UFC Fight Night 185	17	-13.4	-79%		$13.01	$1,301.13	$1,126.78
28th Feb	UFC Fight Night 186	39.5	20.7	52%		$11.27	$1,126.78	$1,359.79
6th Mar	UFC 259	16.6	2.5	15%		$13.60	$1,359.79	$1,394.43
13th Mar	UFC Fight Night 187	24.1	-21.5	-89%		$13.94	$1,394.43	$1,094.63
21st Mar	UFC Fight Night 188	27	-12.0	-44%		$10.95	$1,094.63	$963.27
28th Mar	UFC 260	38.8	18.6	48%		$9.63	$963.27	$1,142.67
2nd Apr	Bellator 255	4.6	-4.6	-100%		$11.43	$1,142.67	$1,090.11
9th Apr	Bellator 256	2.5	-2.5	-100%		$10.90	$1,090.11	$1,062.85
10th Apr	UFC FN	51.6	18.8	36%		$10.63	$1,062.85	$1,262.38
16th Apr	Bellator 257	4.5	3.6	80%		$12.62	$1,262.38	$1,308.07
17th Apr	UFC FN	13.3	0.8	6%		$13.08	$1,308.07	$1,318.60
24th Apr	UFC 261	33	-19.4	-59%		$13.19	$1,318.60	$1,062.64
1st May	UFC FN	42.5	15.8	37%		$10.63	$1,062.64	$1,231.00
7th May	Bellator 258	3	-3.0	-100%		$12.31	$1,231.00	$1,194.07
8th May	UFC FN	32.4	-3.3	-10%		$11.94	$1,194.07	$1,154.88

ROI % from starting bank balance: 15.49% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Billy_Brown : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	May '21	Alex Morono	Donald Cerrone	2.55	2	TKO, R1 (4:40)
2.	May '21	Neil Magny	Geoff Neal	2.50	4.9	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	May '21	Luana Pinheiro	Randa Markos	1.53	9
4.	Apr '21	Valentina Shevchenko	Jessica Andrade	1.24	11	TKO, R2 (3:19)
5.	Apr '21	Alexander Romanov	Juan Espino	1.69	6	Split Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Apr '21	Jack Shore	Hunter Azure	1.66	7	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Apr '21	Arnold Allen	Sodiq Yusuff	2.00	5.7	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Apr '21	Arnold Allen	Sodiq Yusuff	2.00	5.7	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Apr '21	Daniel Rodriguez	Mike Perry	1.54	8	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Apr '21	Julian Marquez	Sam Alvey	1.57	8.5	Sub, R2 (2:7)
11.	Mar '21	Jamie Mullarkey	Khama Worthy	2.10	5	TKO, R1 (0:46)
12.	Mar '21	Vicente Luque	Tyron Woodley	1.45	8	Sub, R1 (3:56)
13.	Mar '21	Miranda Maverick	Gillian Robertson	1.61	5.8	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Mar '21	Michal Oleksiejczuk	Modestas Bukauskas	1.63	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Mar '21	Montserrat Ruiz	Cheyanne Buys	3.75	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Mar '21	Jinh Yu Frey	Gloria de Paula	2.60	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Mar '21	Aleksandar Rakic	Thiago Santos	1.59	4.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Mar '21	Jan Blachowicz	Israel Adesanya	3.00	4	U Decision (5 rounds)
19.	Feb '21	Magomed Ankalaev	Nikita Krylov	1.31	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Feb '21	Ronnie Lawrence	Vince Cachero	1.61	7	TKO, R3 (2:38)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '21	Tafon Nchukwi	Jun Yong Park	1.71	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	May '21	Ludovit Klein	Mike Trizano	1.40	6.8	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	May '21	Kyle Daukaus	Phil Hawes	1.71	8.8	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	May '21	Kai Kamaka	T.J. Brown	1.65	4.7	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	May '21	Krzysztof Jotko	Sean Strickland	3.20	5.3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Apr '21	Weili Zhang	Rose Namajunas	1.50	8	TKO, R1 (1:18)	No
7.	Apr '21	Kelvin Gastelum	Robert Whittaker	3.10	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
8.	Apr '21	Justine Kish	Tracy Cortez	3.55	2.3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Apr '21	Jordan Griffin	Luis Saldana	2.15	4.4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Apr '21	Sasha Palatnikov	Impa Kasanganay	3.35	4.3	Sub, R2 (0:26)	No
11.	Apr '21	Alejandra Lara	Kana Watanabe	1.54	4.6	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Mar '21	Abu Azaitar	Marc-Andre Barriault	1.91	5.5	TKO, R3 (4:56)	No
13.	Mar '21	J.P. Buys	Bruno Silva	1.67	5	TKO, R2 (2:56)	No
14.	Mar '21	Roman Dolidze	Trevin Giles	1.74	7	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Mar '21	Kevin Holland	Derek Brunson	1.57	11	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
16.	Mar '21	Ray Rodriguez	Rani Yahya	3.40	1.4	Sub, R2 (3:9)	No
17.	Mar '21	Rafa Garcia	Nasrat Haqparast	3.80	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Mar '21	Misha Cirkunov	Ryan Spann	1.72	5.5	TKO, R1 (1:11)	No
19.	Mar '21	Gavin Tucker	Dan Ige	2.05	3	TKO, R1 (0:22)	No
20.	Mar '21	Manel Kape	Matheus Nicolau	1.71	7	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Billy_Brown : Progress Chart

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