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MMA Handicapper Stats: Billy_Brown

Billy_Brown (UFC_Fan_Dude)


MMA MHandicapper - Billy_Brown

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 71 (51%) Right 55 (51%) Right 7 (64%) Right 9 (47%)
Wrong 67 (49%) Wrong 53 (49%) Wrong 4 (36%) Wrong 10 (53%)
Avg Odds 2.02 Avg Odds 1.92 Avg Odds 2.67 Avg Odds 2.40
Units Bet 543.5 Units Bet 429.8 Units Bet 34.2 Units Bet 79.5
Avg Bet 3.94 Avg Bet 3.98 Avg Bet 3.11 Avg Bet 4.18
Units Profit 30.87 Units Profit 4.86 Units Profit 10.09 Units Profit 15.92
ROI % 6% ROI % 1% ROI % 30% ROI % 20%
View Handicapper's Profile

Billy_Brown : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
8th May '21 UFC FN 32.4 -3.3 -10% -8.2 / 25.5 (-32%) 4.9 / 6.9 (71%)
7th May '21 Bellator 258 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
1st May '21 UFC FN 42.5 15.8 37% -5.3 / 19 (-28%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 22.6 / 22 (103%)
24th Apr '21 UFC 261 33 -19.4 -59% -5.4 / 19 (-28%) -14.0 / 14 (-100%)
17th Apr '21 UFC FN 13.3 0.8 6% -0.2 / 10.3 (-2%) 1.0 / 3 (32%)
16th Apr '21 Bellator 257 4.5 3.6 80% 3.6 / 4.5 (80%)
10th Apr '21 UFC FN 51.6 18.8 36% 16.5 / 43.6 (38%) 2.3 / 8 (29%)
9th Apr '21 Bellator 256 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
2nd Apr '21 Bellator 255 4.6 -4.6 -100% -4.6 / 4.6 (-100%)
28th Mar '21 UFC 260 38.8 18.6 48% 14.0 / 35.3 (40%) 4.6 / 3.5 (131%)
21st Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 188 27 -12.0 -44% -12.0 / 27 (-44%)
13th Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 187 24.1 -21.5 -89% -20.3 / 22.9 (-89%) -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
6th Mar '21 UFC 259 16.6 2.5 15% 2.6 / 16.5 (16%) -0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 39.5 20.7 52% 9.1 / 34.5 (26%) 11.6 / 5 (232%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 17 -13.4 -79% -6.9 / 10.5 (-66%) -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 20.5 -3.2 -16% -6.8 / 14.5 (-47%) 2.5 / 1.5 (165%) 1.1 / 4.5 (25%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 16 0.9 5% -1.6 / 13 (-12%) 2.4 / 3 (81%)
29th Jan '21 LFA 98 2.8 -2.8 -100% -2.8 / 2.8 (-100%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 8 -0.4 -5% 2.6 / 5 (52%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 6 0.4 7% 0.4 / 6 (7%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 13.5 9.2 68% 9.2 / 13.5 (68%)
16th Jan '21 LFA 97 1.5 1.4 91% 1.4 / 1.5 (91%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 20.8 -7.7 -37% -7.7 / 20.8 (-37%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 17 0.2 1% -0.3 / 10 (-3%) 3.5 / 4 (87%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
11th Dec '20 Bellator 254 4 2.8 69% 2.8 / 4 (69%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 8 -8.0 -100% -8.0 / 8 (-100%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 15 7.9 52% 6.0 / 10 (60%) 1.8 / 5 (36%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 18.5 17.1 92% 17.1 / 18.5 (92%)
18th Nov '20 DWCS 36 5 -1.8 -36% 1.2 / 2 (59%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
14th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 14 8 -1.0 -12% -1.0 / 8 (-12%)
11th Nov '20 DWCS 35 7.5 6.9 91% 4.8 / 6 (79%) 2.1 / 1.5 (140%)
8th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 13 8.5 -2.8 -33% -0.8 / 6.5 (-12%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 3.5 6.8 195% 5.0 / 2 (250%) 1.8 / 1.5 (122%)
29th Oct '20 Bellator 250 2 1.2 59% 1.2 / 2 (59%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 7 2.8 40% 2.8 / 7 (40%)


Winning Events: 19 (54%)
Losing Events: 16 (46%)

Average Staked Per Event: 15.53 units
Most Staked On One Event: 51.60 units
Best Event: 20.68 units
Worst Event: -21.50 units
Average Event: 0.88 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 24.91
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -33.50

Billy_Brown : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 418.7 6.7 2% -18.1 / 325 (-6%) 4.8 / 25.2 (19%) 20.0 / 68.5 (29%) 11 / 11 (50%) 0.30
2020 124.8 24.2 19% 23.0 / 104.8 (22%) 5.3 / 9 (59%) -4.1 / 11 (-37%) 8 / 5 (62%) 1.86

Billy_Brown : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Billy_Brown : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 506.1 29.8 6% 1.0 / 406.9 (0%) 13.1 / 31.2 (42%) 15.7 / 68 (23%)
Bellator 20.6 -2.5 -12% -0.7 / 10.6 (-6%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 1.1 / 7 (16%)
Other 16.8 3.6 21% 4.5 / 12.3 (37%) -0.9 / 4.5 (-20%)

Billy_Brown : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 14 (13%) 10 71 % 83.80 -0.05 -0.00 -0%
Slight Favorites 47 (43%) 23 49 % 208.50 -31.48 -0.67 -15%
Slight Underdogs 36 (33%) 18 50 % 105.20 22.04 0.61 21%
Big Underdogs 13 (12%) 5 38 % 32.30 14.35 1.10 44%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 13 (12%) 7 54 % 56.80 2.78 0.21 5%
Co-Main Event 15 (14%) 8 53 % 65.60 -2.85 -0.19 -4%
Position 3-5 38 (35%) 18 47 % 144.20 -0.69 -0.02 -0%
6+ (Undercard) 44 (40%) 23 52 % 163.20 5.62 0.13 3%

Billy_Brown : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (3%) 1 33 % 14.00 -3.86 -1.29 -28%
Light Heavy 7 (6%) 4 57 % 42.50 7.60 1.09 18%
Middleweight 22 (20%) 7 32 % 86.00 -42.86 -1.95 -50%
Welterweight 10 (9%) 8 80 % 38.90 26.10 2.61 67%
Lightweight 11 (10%) 8 73 % 34.70 26.32 2.39 76%
Featherweight 14 (13%) 5 36 % 57.20 -6.90 -0.49 -12%
Bantamweight 11 (10%) 5 45 % 40.80 -6.52 -0.59 -16%
Flyweight 8 (7%) 4 50 % 28.50 -4.51 -0.56 -16%
               
Women's Fights 24 (22%) 14 58 % 87.20 9.50 0.40 11%
Bantamweight 3 (3%) 2 67 % 10.50 -0.28 -0.09 -3%
Flyweight 12 (11%) 7 58 % 43.20 1.77 0.15 4%
Strawweight 9 (8%) 5 56 % 33.50 8.01 0.89 24%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 27 (63%) 20 74 %
Slight Favorites 10 (23%) 7 70 %
Slight Underdogs 5 (12%) 1 20 %
Big Underdogs 1 (2%) 1 100 %
43 29 67 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (17%) 0 0 %
50-65% 1 (17%) 1 100 %
35-50% 1 (17%) 1 100 %
<35% chance 3 (50%) 0 0 %
6 2 33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Does not go to Decision 3 (50%) 1 33 % 2.27 4.00Pick was incorrect 1.44Pick was incorrect -0.4 (-12%)
X Wins by KO 2 (33%) 0 0 % 7.54 12.00Pick was incorrect 5.50Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Others 1 (17%) 1 100 % 1.83 1.83Pick was correct 1.83Pick was correct 0.8 (83%)
6 2 33 % 2.82     -1.5 (-25%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Billy_Brown 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
24th Oct UFC 254 7 2.8 40% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,027.94
29th Oct Bellator 250 2 1.2 59% $10.28 $1,027.94 $1,040.03
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 3.5 6.8 195% $10.40 $1,040.03 $1,111.04
8th Nov UFC Vegas 13 8.5 -2.8 -33% $11.11 $1,111.04 $1,080.24
11th Nov DWCS 35 7.5 6.9 91% $10.80 $1,080.24 $1,154.31
14th Nov UFC Vegas 14 8 -1.0 -12% $11.54 $1,154.31 $1,142.77
18th Nov DWCS 36 5 -1.8 -36% $11.43 $1,142.77 $1,121.93
21st Nov UFC 255 18.5 17.1 92% $11.22 $1,121.93 $1,313.27
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 15 7.9 52% $13.13 $1,313.27 $1,416.45
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 8 -8.0 -100% $14.16 $1,416.45 $1,303.14
11th Dec Bellator 254 4 2.8 69% $13.03 $1,303.14 $1,339.08
13th Dec UFC 256 17 0.2 1% $13.39 $1,339.08 $1,341.64
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 20.8 -7.7 -37% $13.42 $1,341.64 $1,238.06
16th Jan LFA 97 1.5 1.4 91% $12.38 $1,238.06 $1,254.95
16th Jan UFC FN 13.5 9.2 68% $12.55 $1,254.95 $1,370.93
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 6 0.4 7% $13.71 $1,370.93 $1,376.53
24th Jan UFC 257 8 -0.4 -5% $13.77 $1,376.53 $1,370.92
29th Jan LFA 98 2.8 -2.8 -100% $13.71 $1,370.92 $1,332.53
6th Feb UFC FN 16 0.9 5% $13.33 $1,332.53 $1,343.93
14th Feb UFC 258 20.5 -3.2 -16% $13.44 $1,343.93 $1,301.13
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 17 -13.4 -79% $13.01 $1,301.13 $1,126.78
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 39.5 20.7 52% $11.27 $1,126.78 $1,359.79
6th Mar UFC 259 16.6 2.5 15% $13.60 $1,359.79 $1,394.43
13th Mar UFC Fight Night 187 24.1 -21.5 -89% $13.94 $1,394.43 $1,094.63
21st Mar UFC Fight Night 188 27 -12.0 -44% $10.95 $1,094.63 $963.27
28th Mar UFC 260 38.8 18.6 48% $9.63 $963.27 $1,142.67
2nd Apr Bellator 255 4.6 -4.6 -100% $11.43 $1,142.67 $1,090.11
9th Apr Bellator 256 2.5 -2.5 -100% $10.90 $1,090.11 $1,062.85
10th Apr UFC FN 51.6 18.8 36% $10.63 $1,062.85 $1,262.38
16th Apr Bellator 257 4.5 3.6 80% $12.62 $1,262.38 $1,308.07
17th Apr UFC FN 13.3 0.8 6% $13.08 $1,308.07 $1,318.60
24th Apr UFC 261 33 -19.4 -59% $13.19 $1,318.60 $1,062.64
1st May UFC FN 42.5 15.8 37% $10.63 $1,062.64 $1,231.00
7th May Bellator 258 3 -3.0 -100% $12.31 $1,231.00 $1,194.07
8th May UFC FN 32.4 -3.3 -10% $11.94 $1,194.07 $1,154.88


ROI % from starting bank balance: 15.49% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Billy_Brown : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '21 Alex Morono Donald Cerrone 2.55 2 TKO, R1 (4:40) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '21 Neil Magny Geoff Neal 2.50 4.9 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '21 Luana Pinheiro Randa Markos 1.53 9 MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '21 Valentina Shevchenko Jessica Andrade 1.24 11 TKO, R2 (3:19) MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '21 Alexander Romanov Juan Espino 1.69 6 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '21 Jack Shore Hunter Azure 1.66 7 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '21 Arnold Allen Sodiq Yusuff 2.00 5.7 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '21 Arnold Allen Sodiq Yusuff 2.00 5.7 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '21 Daniel Rodriguez Mike Perry 1.54 8 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '21 Julian Marquez Sam Alvey 1.57 8.5 Sub, R2 (2:7) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '21 Jamie Mullarkey Khama Worthy 2.10 5 TKO, R1 (0:46) MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '21 Vicente Luque Tyron Woodley 1.45 8 Sub, R1 (3:56) MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '21 Miranda Maverick Gillian Robertson 1.61 5.8 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '21 Michal Oleksiejczuk Modestas Bukauskas 1.63 11 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '21 Montserrat Ruiz Cheyanne Buys 3.75 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '21 Jinh Yu Frey Gloria de Paula 2.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '21 Aleksandar Rakic Thiago Santos 1.59 4.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '21 Jan Blachowicz Israel Adesanya 3.00 4 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '21 Magomed Ankalaev Nikita Krylov 1.31 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '21 Ronnie Lawrence Vince Cachero 1.61 7 TKO, R3 (2:38) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '21 Tafon Nchukwi Jun Yong Park 1.71 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '21 Ludovit Klein Mike Trizano 1.40 6.8 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. May '21 Kyle Daukaus Phil Hawes 1.71 8.8 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '21 Kai Kamaka T.J. Brown 1.65 4.7 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. May '21 Krzysztof Jotko Sean Strickland 3.20 5.3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '21 Weili Zhang Rose Namajunas 1.50 8 TKO, R1 (1:18) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '21 Kelvin Gastelum Robert Whittaker 3.10 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '21 Justine Kish Tracy Cortez 3.55 2.3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '21 Jordan Griffin Luis Saldana 2.15 4.4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '21 Sasha Palatnikov Impa Kasanganay 3.35 4.3 Sub, R2 (0:26) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '21 Alejandra Lara Kana Watanabe 1.54 4.6 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '21 Abu Azaitar Marc-Andre Barriault 1.91 5.5 TKO, R3 (4:56) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '21 J.P. Buys Bruno Silva 1.67 5 TKO, R2 (2:56) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '21 Roman Dolidze Trevin Giles 1.74 7 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '21 Kevin Holland Derek Brunson 1.57 11 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '21 Ray Rodriguez Rani Yahya 3.40 1.4 Sub, R2 (3:9) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '21 Rafa Garcia Nasrat Haqparast 3.80 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '21 Misha Cirkunov Ryan Spann 1.72 5.5 TKO, R1 (1:11) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '21 Gavin Tucker Dan Ige 2.05 3 TKO, R1 (0:22) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '21 Manel Kape Matheus Nicolau 1.71 7 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Billy_Brown : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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