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MMA Handicapper Stats: UFC BETTING WIZARD

UFC BETTING WIZARD (danielmawMMA)


MMA MHandicapper - UFC  BETTING WIZARD

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 170 (42%) Right 78 (57%) Right 75 (34%) Right 17 (40%)
Wrong 234 (58%) Wrong 60 (43%) Wrong 148 (66%) Wrong 26 (60%)
Avg Odds 2.68 Avg Odds 1.95 Avg Odds 3.18 Avg Odds 4.27
Units Bet 813.9 Units Bet 394.1 Units Bet 329.8 Units Bet 90.0
Avg Bet 2.01 Avg Bet 2.86 Avg Bet 1.48 Avg Bet 2.09
Units Profit 185.94 Units Profit 65.65 Units Profit 44.66 Units Profit 75.63
ROI % 23% ROI % 17% ROI % 14% ROI % 84%
View Handicapper's Profile

UFC BETTING WIZARD: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
8th May '21 UFC FN 15 -5.0 -33% -5.0 / 15 (-33%)
1st May '21 UFC FN 25 15.8 63% 15.8 / 25 (63%)
24th Apr '21 UFC 261 25 -15.2 -61% -5.2 / 15 (-35%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
17th Apr '21 UFC FN 9.25 -5.7 -61% -1.4 / 5 (-28%) -4.3 / 4.25 (-100%)
10th Apr '21 UFC FN 21.95 1.9 8% 7.3 / 7.85 (92%) -5.4 / 14.1 (-38%)
28th Mar '21 UFC 260 11 -3.8 -34% -3.4 / 7.5 (-45%) -0.4 / 3.5 (-10%)
21st Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 188 13 2.9 22% 2.5 / 5.25 (48%) 0.3 / 7.75 (4%)
13th Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 187 24.25 9.3 38% -7.8 / 7.75 (-100%) 17.0 / 16.5 (103%)
6th Mar '21 UFC 259 26.6 20.6 77% 16.0 / 15 (106%) 4.6 / 11.6 (40%)
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 6.5 -6.5 -100% -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 7.4 -2.9 -39% -2.9 / 7.4 (-39%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 6.25 -6.3 -100% -6.3 / 6.25 (-100%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 34.25 2.8 8% 11.9 / 17.75 (67%) -4.3 / 11.75 (-36%) -4.8 / 4.75 (-100%)
29th Jan '21 LFA 98 5.75 0.1 2% 0.1 / 5.75 (2%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 25.5 -3.1 -12% -0.6 / 10.5 (-5%) -2.5 / 15 (-17%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 27 -21.6 -80% -17.1 / 22.5 (-76%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 14.66 4.7 32% 5.0 / 10 (50%) 1.2 / 3.16 (39%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 17.4 -5.6 -32% -1.4 / 9.75 (-14%) -4.2 / 7.65 (-55%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 28.68 -1.8 -6% 6.3 / 11.75 (54%) -5.4 / 10.7 (-51%) -2.7 / 6.23 (-44%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 18.15 1.4 8% -1.8 / 8.5 (-21%) 4.4 / 8.4 (53%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 10.85 4.1 38% -0.9 / 3.5 (-25%) 3.8 / 4.85 (78%) 1.2 / 2.5 (49%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 25.35 28.0 111% 3.7 / 7.75 (48%) 24.3 / 17.6 (138%)
18th Nov '20 DWCS 36 1.75 0.2 11% 0.2 / 1.75 (11%)
14th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 14 16.25 -0.5 -3% -2.1 / 6.25 (-33%) 0.5 / 8 (6%) 1.1 / 2 (56%)
8th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 13 16.5 -13.7 -83% -8.0 / 8 (-100%) -1.9 / 4.75 (-40%) -3.8 / 3.75 (-100%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 18.5 14.9 80% -1.9 / 6.25 (-31%) 14.3 / 11.25 (127%) 2.5 / 1 (247%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 20.6 9.9 48% 1.3 / 2 (65%) 4.0 / 14.1 (29%) 4.5 / 4.5 (101%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 20.75 -13.8 -67% -3.4 / 7.75 (-43%) -10.0 / 12.5 (-80%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 30.25 12.3 41% 2.4 / 15.25 (16%) 2.7 / 10.75 (25%) 7.2 / 4.25 (169%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 25.25 3.8 15% 0.2 / 7 (3%) 8.4 / 11 (76%) -4.8 / 7.25 (-66%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 70.75 17.9 25% 14.3 / 17.5 (82%) -18.2 / 33.75 (-54%) 21.8 / 19.5 (112%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 84.5 66.1 78% 26.4 / 35 (75%) 6.1 / 27 (23%) 33.6 / 22.5 (149%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 45.5 46.9 103% 6.4 / 25 (26%) 17.5 / 12 (146%) 23.0 / 8.5 (270%)
5th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 183 65 27.7 43% 12.0 / 45 (27%) 15.7 / 20 (79%)


Winning Events: 20 (59%)
Losing Events: 14 (41%)

Average Staked Per Event: 23.95 units
Most Staked On One Event: 84.50 units
Best Event: 66.11 units
Worst Event: -21.60 units
Average Event: 5.47 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 174.77
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -24.71

UFC BETTING WIZARD: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 298.36 -12.0 -4% 11.8 / 176.1 (7%) -17.5 / 116.01 (-15%) -6.3 / 6.25 (-100%) 8 / 9 (47%) -0.70
2020 516.03 197.9 38% 53.9 / 218 (25%) 62.1 / 214.3 (29%) 81.9 / 83.73 (98%) 12 / 5 (71%) 11.64

UFC BETTING WIZARD: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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UFC BETTING WIZARD: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 806.89 185.6 23% 65.4 / 386.6 (17%) 44.7 / 330.31 (14%) 75.6 / 89.98 (84%)
Other 7.5 0.3 4% 0.3 / 7.5 (4%)

UFC BETTING WIZARD: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 18 (13%) 14 78 % 63.75 16.38 0.91 26%
Slight Favorites 57 (40%) 35 61 % 187.35 10.57 0.19 6%
Slight Underdogs 56 (39%) 25 45 % 124.50 20.42 0.36 16%
Big Underdogs 12 (8%) 7 58 % 18.50 18.28 1.52 99%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 22 (15%) 10 45 % 60.75 -9.36 -0.43 -15%
Co-Main Event 16 (11%) 7 44 % 52.25 -11.72 -0.73 -22%
Position 3-5 51 (36%) 33 65 % 150.60 53.59 1.05 36%
6+ (Undercard) 54 (38%) 31 57 % 130.50 33.15 0.61 25%

UFC BETTING WIZARD: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 15 (10%) 7 47 % 36.75 -8.21 -0.55 -22%
Light Heavy 15 (10%) 10 67 % 54.75 1.20 0.08 2%
Middleweight 24 (17%) 13 54 % 63.75 18.54 0.77 29%
Welterweight 21 (15%) 10 48 % 57.10 -0.58 -0.03 -1%
Lightweight 15 (10%) 11 73 % 40.25 15.42 1.03 38%
Featherweight 14 (10%) 8 57 % 31.75 6.35 0.45 20%
Bantamweight 13 (9%) 10 77 % 51.25 29.79 2.29 58%
Flyweight 7 (5%) 4 57 % 15.75 5.30 0.76 34%
               
Women's Fights 19 (13%) 8 42 % 42.75 -2.16 -0.11 -5%
Bantamweight 4 (3%) 3 75 % 8.25 2.73 0.68 33%
Flyweight 8 (6%) 3 38 % 13.25 -0.14 -0.02 -1%
Strawweight 7 (5%) 2 29 % 21.25 -4.75 -0.68 -22%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 39 (70%) 32 82 %
Slight Favorites 11 (20%) 8 73 %
Slight Underdogs 4 (7%) 3 75 %
Big Underdogs 2 (4%) 1 50 %
56 44 79 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 49 (15%) 32 65 %
50-65% 65 (21%) 28 43 %
35-50% 70 (22%) 35 50 %
<35% chance 133 (42%) 34 26 %
317 129 41 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (1%) 1 25 % 1.78 1.85Pick was incorrect 1.69Pick was correct -2.3 (-58%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (1%) 0 0 % 1.75 1.86Pick was incorrect 1.65Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision 18 (6%) 14 78 % 1.63 2.95Pick was correct 1.33Pick was correct 7.5 (42%)
Does not go to Decision 49 (15%) 25 51 % 1.59 2.62Pick was incorrect 1.15Pick was correct -9.7 (-20%)
Fight Starts Round X 14 (4%) 10 71 % 1.61 2.55Pick was correct 1.33Pick was incorrect 3.0 (21%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 1 (0%) 0 0 % 1.73 1.73Pick was incorrect 1.73Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 17 (5%) 7 41 % 3.21 8.00Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect 9.7 (57%)
X Wins by Sub 36 (11%) 12 33 % 5.16 21.00Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect 38.6 (107%)
X Wins by Decision 39 (12%) 17 44 % 3.03 10.00Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was incorrect 27.6 (71%)
X Wins Inside Distance 6 (2%) 3 50 % 1.70 2.10Pick was correct 1.50Pick was correct -0.9 (-15%)
X Wins in Round X 4 (1%) 0 0 % 15.85 28.00Pick was incorrect 10.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-50%)
Others 126 (40%) 40 32 % 3.20 50.99Pick was incorrect 1.32Pick was correct 6.4 (5%)
317 129 41 % 2.57     73.8 (23%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail UFC BETTING WIZARD's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
5th Sep UFC Fight Night 183 65 27.7 43% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,277.50
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 45.5 46.9 103% $5 $12.77 $1,277.50 $1,872.13
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 84.5 66.1 78% $5 $18.72 $1,872.13 $3,104.73
26th Sep UFC 253 70.75 17.9 25% $5 $31.05 $3,104.73 $3,656.15
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 25.25 3.8 15% $5 $36.56 $3,656.15 $3,788.98
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 30.25 12.3 41% $5 $37.89 $3,788.98 $4,249.57
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 20.75 -13.8 -67% $5 $42.50 $4,249.57 $3,658.13
24th Oct UFC 254 20.6 9.9 48% $5 $36.58 $3,658.13 $4,014.95
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 18.5 14.9 80% $5 $40.15 $4,014.95 $4,606.92
8th Nov UFC Vegas 13 16.5 -13.7 -83% $5 $46.07 $4,606.92 $3,973.08
14th Nov UFC Vegas 14 16.25 -0.5 -3% $5 $39.73 $3,973.08 $3,947.96
18th Nov DWCS 36 1.75 0.2 11% $5 $39.48 $3,947.96 $3,950.86
21st Nov UFC 255 25.35 28.0 111% $5 $39.51 $3,950.86 $5,052.90
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 10.85 4.1 38% $5 $50.53 $5,052.90 $5,255.70
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 18.15 1.4 8% $5 $52.56 $5,255.70 $5,324.68
13th Dec UFC 256 28.68 -1.8 -6% $5 $53.25 $5,324.68 $5,221.41
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 17.4 -5.6 -32% $5 $52.21 $5,221.41 $4,925.97
16th Jan UFC FN 14.66 4.7 32% $5 $49.26 $4,925.97 $5,154.70
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 27 -21.6 -80% $5 $51.55 $5,154.70 $4,036.28
24th Jan UFC 257 25.5 -3.1 -12% $5 $40.36 $4,036.28 $3,905.75
29th Jan LFA 98 5.75 0.1 2% $5 $39.06 $3,905.75 $3,904.65
6th Feb UFC FN 34.25 2.8 8% $5 $39.05 $3,904.65 $4,010.93
14th Feb UFC 258 6.25 -6.3 -100% $5 $40.11 $4,010.93 $3,755.25
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 7.4 -2.9 -39% $5 $37.55 $3,755.25 $3,641.35
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 6.5 -6.5 -100% $5 $36.41 $3,641.35 $3,399.66
6th Mar UFC 259 26.6 20.6 77% $5 $34.00 $3,399.66 $4,094.74
13th Mar UFC Fight Night 187 24.25 9.3 38% $5 $40.95 $4,094.74 $4,468.51
21st Mar UFC Fight Night 188 13 2.9 22% $5 $44.69 $4,468.51 $4,591.08
28th Mar UFC 260 11 -3.8 -34% $5 $45.91 $4,591.08 $4,413.91
10th Apr UFC FN 21.95 1.9 8% $5 $44.14 $4,413.91 $4,490.66
17th Apr UFC FN 9.25 -5.7 -61% $5 $44.91 $4,490.66 $4,231.94
24th Apr UFC 261 25 -15.2 -61% $5 $42.32 $4,231.94 $3,581.57
1st May UFC FN 25 15.8 63% $5 $35.82 $3,581.57 $4,142.45
8th May UFC FN 15 -5.0 -33% $5 $41.42 $4,142.45 $3,930.33


ROI % from starting bank balance: 293.03% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

UFC BETTING WIZARD: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '21 Paid Pick Neil Magny Geoff Neal 2.75 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '21 Paid Pick Marina Alcalde Rodriguez Michelle Waterson 1.50 3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '21 Paid Pick Andreas Michailidis KB Bhular 1.56 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. May '21 Paid Pick Merab Dvalishvili Cody Stamann 1.71 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. May '21 Paid Pick Sean Strickland Krzysztof Jotko 1.50 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. May '21 Paid Pick Giga Chikadze Cub Swanson 1.57 5 TKO, R1 (1:3) MMA Bookmaker
7. May '21 Paid Pick Jiri Prochazka Dominick Reyes 1.82 5 TKO, R2 (4:29) MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '21 Paid Pick Urijah Hall Chris Weidman 1.95 5 TKO, R1 (0:17) MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '21 Paid Pick Austin Hubbard Dakota Bush 1.60 2.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '21 Paid Pick Julian Marquez Sam Alvey 1.63 2.5 Sub, R2 (2:7) MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '21 Paid Pick Daniel Rodriguez Mike Perry 1.82 2.35 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '21 Paid Pick Arnold Allen Sodiq Yusuff 2.25 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '21 Paid Pick Miranda Maverick Gillian Robertson 1.64 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '21 Paid Pick Derek Brunson Kevin Holland 2.60 1.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '21 Paid Pick Derek Brunson Kevin Holland 2.58 1.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '21 Paid Pick Tim Elliott Jordan Espinosa 2.10 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '21 Paid Pick Dominick Cruz Casey Kenney 2.25 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '21 Paid Pick Askar Askarov Joseph Benavidez 1.85 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '21 Paid Pick Kyler Phillips Yadong Song 2.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '21 Paid Pick Lara Fritzen Procopio Molly McCann 2.45 2.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '21 Paid Pick Kyle Daukaus Phil Hawes 1.95 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '21 Paid Pick Maurice Greene Marcos Rogerio de Lima 2.84 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. May '21 Paid Pick Donald Cerrone Alex Morono 1.55 5 TKO, R1 (4:40) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '21 Paid Pick Jim Crute Anthony Smith 1.55 10 TKO, R1 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '21 Paid Pick Bartosz Fabinski Gerald Meerschaert 1.87 1.5 Sub, R1 (2:0) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '21 Paid Pick Juan Espino Alexander Romanov 2.25 1.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '21 Paid Pick Stipe Miocic Francis Ngannou 2.15 5 TKO, R2 (0:52) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '21 Paid Pick Roman Dolidze Trevin Giles 1.91 2.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '21 Paid Pick Jason Witt Matt Semelsberger 2.25 1.75 TKO, R1 (0:16) Yes MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '21 Paid Pick Manel Kape Matheus Nicolau 1.80 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '21 Paid Pick Gavin Tucker Dan Ige 2.30 1.5 TKO, R1 (0:22) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '21 Paid Pick Misha Cirkunov Ryan Spann 1.83 2.5 TKO, R1 (1:11) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '21 Paid Pick Gilbert Burns Kamaru Usman 3.56 2.25 TKO, R3 (0:34) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '21 Paid Pick Maycee Barber Alexa Grasso 2.35 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '21 Paid Pick Maki Pitolo Julian Marquez 2.56 1.5 Sub, R3 (4:17) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '21 Paid Pick Michael Johnson Clay Guida 1.50 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jan '21 Paid Pick J.J. Okanovich Lucas Clay 1.68 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jan '21 Paid Pick Zhalgas Zhumagulov Amir Albazi 1.97 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jan '21 Paid Pick Jessica Eye Joanne Calderwood 2.07 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jan '21 Paid Pick Daniel Hooker Michael Chandler 1.74 3 TKO, R1 (2:30) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

UFC BETTING WIZARD: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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