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MMA Handicapper Stats: UFC BETTING WIZARD |
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UFC BETTING WIZARD: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
20th Feb '21 |
UFC Fight Night 185 |
7.4 |
-2.9 |
-39% |
|
-2.9 / 7.4 (-39%) |
|
14th Feb '21 |
UFC 258 |
6.25 |
-6.3 |
-100% |
-6.3 / 6.25 (-100%) |
|
|
6th Feb '21 |
UFC FN |
34.25 |
2.8 |
8% |
11.9 / 17.75 (67%) |
-4.3 / 11.75 (-36%) |
-4.8 / 4.75 (-100%) |
29th Jan '21 |
LFA 98 |
5.75 |
0.1 |
2% |
0.1 / 5.75 (2%) |
|
|
24th Jan '21 |
UFC 257 |
25.5 |
-3.1 |
-12% |
-0.6 / 10.5 (-5%) |
-2.5 / 15 (-17%) |
|
20th Jan '21 |
UFC on ESPN 20 |
27 |
-21.6 |
-80% |
-17.1 / 22.5 (-76%) |
-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) |
|
16th Jan '21 |
UFC FN |
14.66 |
4.7 |
32% |
5.0 / 10 (50%) |
1.2 / 3.16 (39%) |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
19th Dec '20 |
UFC Vegas 17 |
17.4 |
-5.6 |
-32% |
-1.4 / 9.75 (-14%) |
-4.2 / 7.65 (-55%) |
|
13th Dec '20 |
UFC 256 |
28.68 |
-1.8 |
-6% |
6.3 / 11.75 (54%) |
-5.4 / 10.7 (-51%) |
-2.7 / 6.23 (-44%) |
6th Dec '20 |
UFC Vegas 16 |
18.15 |
1.4 |
8% |
-1.8 / 8.5 (-21%) |
4.4 / 8.4 (53%) |
-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) |
29th Nov '20 |
UFC Vegas 15 |
10.85 |
4.1 |
38% |
-0.9 / 3.5 (-25%) |
3.8 / 4.85 (78%) |
1.2 / 2.5 (49%) |
21st Nov '20 |
UFC 255 |
25.35 |
28.0 |
111% |
3.7 / 7.75 (48%) |
24.3 / 17.6 (138%) |
|
18th Nov '20 |
DWCS 36 |
1.75 |
0.2 |
11% |
0.2 / 1.75 (11%) |
|
|
14th Nov '20 |
UFC Vegas 14 |
16.25 |
-0.5 |
-3% |
-2.1 / 6.25 (-33%) |
0.5 / 8 (6%) |
1.1 / 2 (56%) |
8th Nov '20 |
UFC Vegas 13 |
16.5 |
-13.7 |
-83% |
-8.0 / 8 (-100%) |
-1.9 / 4.75 (-40%) |
-3.8 / 3.75 (-100%) |
31st Oct '20 |
UFC Vegas 12 |
18.5 |
14.9 |
80% |
-1.9 / 6.25 (-31%) |
14.3 / 11.25 (127%) |
2.5 / 1 (247%) |
24th Oct '20 |
UFC 254 |
20.6 |
9.9 |
48% |
1.3 / 2 (65%) |
4.0 / 14.1 (29%) |
4.5 / 4.5 (101%) |
17th Oct '20 |
UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie |
20.75 |
-13.8 |
-67% |
-3.4 / 7.75 (-43%) |
-10.0 / 12.5 (-80%) |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
10th Oct '20 |
UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen |
30.25 |
12.3 |
41% |
2.4 / 15.25 (16%) |
2.7 / 10.75 (25%) |
7.2 / 4.25 (169%) |
4th Oct '20 |
UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana |
25.25 |
3.8 |
15% |
0.2 / 7 (3%) |
8.4 / 11 (76%) |
-4.8 / 7.25 (-66%) |
26th Sep '20 |
UFC 253 |
70.75 |
17.9 |
25% |
14.3 / 17.5 (82%) |
-18.2 / 33.75 (-54%) |
21.8 / 19.5 (112%) |
19th Sep '20 |
UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley |
84.5 |
66.1 |
78% |
26.4 / 35 (75%) |
6.1 / 27 (23%) |
33.6 / 22.5 (149%) |
12th Sep '20 |
UFC Fight Night 184 |
45.5 |
46.9 |
103% |
6.4 / 25 (26%) |
17.5 / 12 (146%) |
23.0 / 8.5 (270%) |
5th Sep '20 |
UFC Fight Night 183 |
65 |
27.7 |
43% |
12.0 / 45 (27%) |
15.7 / 20 (79%) |
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Winning Events: 15 (63%) Losing Events: 9 (38%)
Average Staked Per Event: 26.54 units Most Staked On One Event: 84.50 units Best Event: 66.11 units Worst Event: -21.60 units Average Event: 7.16 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 174.77 Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -24.71 |
UFC BETTING WIZARD: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2021 |
120.81 |
-26.2 |
-22% |
-7.0 / 72.75 (-10%) |
-13.0 / 41.81 (-31%) |
-6.3 / 6.25 (-100%) |
3 / 4 (43%) |
-3.74 |
2020 |
516.03 |
197.9 |
38% |
53.9 / 218 (25%) |
62.1 / 214.3 (29%) |
81.9 / 83.73 (98%) |
12 / 5 (71%) |
11.64 |
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UFC BETTING WIZARD: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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UFC BETTING WIZARD: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
629.34 |
171.4 |
27% |
46.6 / 283.25 (16%) |
49.2 / 256.11 (19%) |
75.6 / 89.98 (84%) |
Other |
7.5 |
0.3 |
4% |
0.3 / 7.5 (4%) |
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UFC BETTING WIZARD: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
16 (15%) |
12 |
75 % |
55.75 |
12.38 |
0.77 |
22% |
Slight Favorites |
39 (35%) |
24 |
62 % |
120.50 |
8.09 |
0.21 |
7% |
Slight Underdogs |
43 (39%) |
17 |
40 % |
96.00 |
8.18 |
0.19 |
9% |
Big Underdogs |
12 (11%) |
7 |
58 % |
18.50 |
18.28 |
1.52 |
99% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
17 (15%) |
6 |
35 % |
44.75 |
-14.73 |
-0.87 |
-33% |
Co-Main Event |
12 (11%) |
5 |
42 % |
36.75 |
-10.83 |
-0.90 |
-29% |
Position 3-5 |
38 (35%) |
24 |
63 % |
105.25 |
44.69 |
1.18 |
42% |
6+ (Undercard) |
43 (39%) |
25 |
58 % |
104.00 |
27.80 |
0.65 |
27% |
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UFC BETTING WIZARD: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
12 (11%) |
7 |
58 % |
28.50 |
0.04 |
0.00 |
0% |
Light Heavy |
11 (10%) |
8 |
73 % |
34.25 |
7.92 |
0.72 |
23% |
Middleweight |
15 (14%) |
7 |
47 % |
36.50 |
8.90 |
0.59 |
24% |
Welterweight |
17 (15%) |
8 |
47 % |
46.00 |
0.75 |
0.04 |
2% |
Lightweight |
14 (13%) |
10 |
71 % |
38.00 |
14.07 |
1.00 |
37% |
Featherweight |
11 (10%) |
6 |
55 % |
22.25 |
1.25 |
0.11 |
6% |
Bantamweight |
9 (8%) |
6 |
67 % |
38.75 |
16.16 |
1.80 |
42% |
Flyweight |
4 (4%) |
2 |
50 % |
9.25 |
3.10 |
0.78 |
34% |
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|
|
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Women's Fights |
17 (15%) |
6 |
35 % |
37.25 |
-5.26 |
-0.31 |
-14% |
Bantamweight |
4 (4%) |
3 |
75 % |
8.25 |
2.73 |
0.68 |
33% |
Flyweight |
7 (6%) |
2 |
29 % |
10.75 |
-1.74 |
-0.25 |
-16% |
Strawweight |
6 (5%) |
1 |
17 % |
18.25 |
-6.25 |
-1.04 |
-34% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
39 (70%) |
32 |
82 % |
Slight Favorites |
11 (20%) |
8 |
73 % |
Slight Underdogs |
4 (7%) |
3 |
75 % |
Big Underdogs |
2 (4%) |
1 |
50 % |
|
56 |
44 |
79 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
48 (18%) |
32 |
67 % |
50-65% |
56 (21%) |
26 |
46 % |
35-50% |
57 (21%) |
32 |
56 % |
<35% chance |
109 (40%) |
28 |
26 % |
|
270 |
118 |
44 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail UFC BETTING WIZARD's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
5th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 183 |
65 |
27.7 |
43% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,277.50 |
12th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 184 |
45.5 |
46.9 |
103% |
$10 |
$12.77 |
$1,277.50 |
$1,867.13 |
19th Sep |
UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley |
84.5 |
66.1 |
78% |
$10 |
$18.67 |
$1,867.13 |
$3,091.42 |
26th Sep |
UFC 253 |
70.75 |
17.9 |
25% |
$10 |
$30.91 |
$3,091.42 |
$3,635.46 |
4th Oct |
UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana |
25.25 |
3.8 |
15% |
$10 |
$36.35 |
$3,635.46 |
$3,762.51 |
10th Oct |
UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen |
30.25 |
12.3 |
41% |
$10 |
$37.63 |
$3,762.51 |
$4,214.85 |
17th Oct |
UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie |
20.75 |
-13.8 |
-67% |
$10 |
$42.15 |
$4,214.85 |
$3,623.20 |
24th Oct |
UFC 254 |
20.6 |
9.9 |
48% |
$10 |
$36.23 |
$3,623.20 |
$3,971.56 |
31st Oct |
UFC Vegas 12 |
18.5 |
14.9 |
80% |
$10 |
$39.72 |
$3,971.56 |
$4,552.09 |
8th Nov |
UFC Vegas 13 |
16.5 |
-13.7 |
-83% |
$10 |
$45.52 |
$4,552.09 |
$3,920.73 |
14th Nov |
UFC Vegas 14 |
16.25 |
-0.5 |
-3% |
$10 |
$39.21 |
$3,920.73 |
$3,890.87 |
18th Nov |
DWCS 36 |
1.75 |
0.2 |
11% |
$10 |
$38.91 |
$3,890.87 |
$3,888.66 |
21st Nov |
UFC 255 |
25.35 |
28.0 |
111% |
$10 |
$38.89 |
$3,888.66 |
$4,968.27 |
29th Nov |
UFC Vegas 15 |
10.85 |
4.1 |
38% |
$10 |
$49.68 |
$4,968.27 |
$5,162.59 |
6th Dec |
UFC Vegas 16 |
18.15 |
1.4 |
8% |
$10 |
$51.63 |
$5,162.59 |
$5,225.26 |
13th Dec |
UFC 256 |
28.68 |
-1.8 |
-6% |
$10 |
$52.25 |
$5,225.26 |
$5,118.82 |
19th Dec |
UFC Vegas 17 |
17.4 |
-5.6 |
-32% |
$10 |
$51.19 |
$5,118.82 |
$4,824.09 |
16th Jan |
UFC FN |
14.66 |
4.7 |
32% |
$10 |
$48.24 |
$4,824.09 |
$5,042.99 |
20th Jan |
UFC on ESPN 20 |
27 |
-21.6 |
-80% |
$10 |
$50.43 |
$5,042.99 |
$3,943.70 |
24th Jan |
UFC 257 |
25.5 |
-3.1 |
-12% |
$10 |
$39.44 |
$3,943.70 |
$3,811.05 |
29th Jan |
LFA 98 |
5.75 |
0.1 |
2% |
$10 |
$38.11 |
$3,811.05 |
$3,804.85 |
6th Feb |
UFC FN |
34.25 |
2.8 |
8% |
$10 |
$38.05 |
$3,804.85 |
$3,903.29 |
14th Feb |
UFC 258 |
6.25 |
-6.3 |
-100% |
$10 |
$39.03 |
$3,903.29 |
$3,649.34 |
20th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 185 |
7.4 |
-2.9 |
-39% |
$10 |
$36.49 |
$3,649.34 |
$3,533.51 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 253.35% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
UFC BETTING WIZARD: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
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1. |
Feb '21 |
Lara Fritzen Procopio |
Molly McCann |
2.45 |
2.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
2. |
Feb '21 |
Seung Woo Choi |
Youssef Zalal |
3.06 |
1.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Feb '21 |
Beneil Dariush |
Carlos Diego Ferreira |
2.09 |
2.25 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
4. |
Jan '21 |
Josh Fremd |
Bruno Oliveira |
1.80 |
3.25 |
TKO, R1 (2:37) |
|
|
5. |
Feb '21 |
Alexandre Pantoja |
Manel Kape |
1.82 |
2.75 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
Jan '21 |
Makhmud Muradov |
Andrew Sanchez |
1.72 |
2.5 |
TKO, R3 (2:59) |
|
|
7. |
Jan '21 |
Dustin Poirier |
Conor McGregor |
3.75 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (2:32) |
|
|
8. |
Jan '21 |
Dalcha Lungiambula |
Markus Perez |
1.80 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Jan '21 |
Li Jingliang |
Santiago Ponzinibbio |
3.52 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:25) |
|
|
10. |
Feb '21 |
Beneil Dariush |
Carlos Diego Ferreira |
1.99 |
2.25 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Feb '21 |
Alexander Volkov |
Alistair Overeem |
1.74 |
3.5 |
TKO, R2 (2:6) |
|
|
12. |
Jan '21 |
Carlos Felipe |
Justin Tafa |
1.55 |
2.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
Jan '21 |
Max Holloway |
Calvin Kattar |
1.56 |
3.75 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
Dec '20 |
Marcin Tybura |
Greg Hardy |
2.00 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (4:31) |
|
|
15. |
Dec '20 |
Stephen Thompson |
Geoff Neal |
1.95 |
2.25 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
16. |
Dec '20 |
Cub Swanson |
Daniel Pineda |
2.36 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (1:52) |
|
|
17. |
Dec '20 |
Kevin Holland |
Ronaldo Souza |
1.74 |
1.75 |
TKO, R1 (1:45) |
|
|
18. |
Dec '20 |
Ciryl Gane |
Junior dos Santos |
1.26 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (2:34) |
|
|
19. |
Dec '20 |
Charles Oliveira |
Tony Ferguson |
2.55 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Dec '20 |
Rafael Fiziev |
Renato Moicano |
1.76 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:5) |
|
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
UFC BETTING WIZARD: Progress Chart |
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