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MMA Handicapper Stats: UFC BETTING WIZARD

UFC BETTING WIZARD (danielmawMMA)


MMA MHandicapper - UFC  BETTING WIZARD

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 139 (43%) Right 58 (55%) Right 64 (36%) Right 17 (40%)
Wrong 188 (57%) Wrong 48 (45%) Wrong 114 (64%) Wrong 26 (60%)
Avg Odds 2.74 Avg Odds 1.97 Avg Odds 3.21 Avg Odds 4.27
Units Bet 636.8 Units Bet 290.8 Units Bet 256.1 Units Bet 90.0
Avg Bet 1.95 Avg Bet 2.74 Avg Bet 1.44 Avg Bet 2.09
Units Profit 171.74 Units Profit 46.93 Units Profit 49.19 Units Profit 75.63
ROI % 27% ROI % 16% ROI % 19% ROI % 84%
View Handicapper's Profile

UFC BETTING WIZARD: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 7.4 -2.9 -39% -2.9 / 7.4 (-39%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 6.25 -6.3 -100% -6.3 / 6.25 (-100%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 34.25 2.8 8% 11.9 / 17.75 (67%) -4.3 / 11.75 (-36%) -4.8 / 4.75 (-100%)
29th Jan '21 LFA 98 5.75 0.1 2% 0.1 / 5.75 (2%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 25.5 -3.1 -12% -0.6 / 10.5 (-5%) -2.5 / 15 (-17%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 27 -21.6 -80% -17.1 / 22.5 (-76%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 14.66 4.7 32% 5.0 / 10 (50%) 1.2 / 3.16 (39%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 17.4 -5.6 -32% -1.4 / 9.75 (-14%) -4.2 / 7.65 (-55%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 28.68 -1.8 -6% 6.3 / 11.75 (54%) -5.4 / 10.7 (-51%) -2.7 / 6.23 (-44%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 18.15 1.4 8% -1.8 / 8.5 (-21%) 4.4 / 8.4 (53%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 10.85 4.1 38% -0.9 / 3.5 (-25%) 3.8 / 4.85 (78%) 1.2 / 2.5 (49%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 25.35 28.0 111% 3.7 / 7.75 (48%) 24.3 / 17.6 (138%)
18th Nov '20 DWCS 36 1.75 0.2 11% 0.2 / 1.75 (11%)
14th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 14 16.25 -0.5 -3% -2.1 / 6.25 (-33%) 0.5 / 8 (6%) 1.1 / 2 (56%)
8th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 13 16.5 -13.7 -83% -8.0 / 8 (-100%) -1.9 / 4.75 (-40%) -3.8 / 3.75 (-100%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 18.5 14.9 80% -1.9 / 6.25 (-31%) 14.3 / 11.25 (127%) 2.5 / 1 (247%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 20.6 9.9 48% 1.3 / 2 (65%) 4.0 / 14.1 (29%) 4.5 / 4.5 (101%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 20.75 -13.8 -67% -3.4 / 7.75 (-43%) -10.0 / 12.5 (-80%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 30.25 12.3 41% 2.4 / 15.25 (16%) 2.7 / 10.75 (25%) 7.2 / 4.25 (169%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 25.25 3.8 15% 0.2 / 7 (3%) 8.4 / 11 (76%) -4.8 / 7.25 (-66%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 70.75 17.9 25% 14.3 / 17.5 (82%) -18.2 / 33.75 (-54%) 21.8 / 19.5 (112%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 84.5 66.1 78% 26.4 / 35 (75%) 6.1 / 27 (23%) 33.6 / 22.5 (149%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 45.5 46.9 103% 6.4 / 25 (26%) 17.5 / 12 (146%) 23.0 / 8.5 (270%)
5th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 183 65 27.7 43% 12.0 / 45 (27%) 15.7 / 20 (79%)


Winning Events: 15 (63%)
Losing Events: 9 (38%)

Average Staked Per Event: 26.54 units
Most Staked On One Event: 84.50 units
Best Event: 66.11 units
Worst Event: -21.60 units
Average Event: 7.16 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 174.77
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -24.71

UFC BETTING WIZARD: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 120.81 -26.2 -22% -7.0 / 72.75 (-10%) -13.0 / 41.81 (-31%) -6.3 / 6.25 (-100%) 3 / 4 (43%) -3.74
2020 516.03 197.9 38% 53.9 / 218 (25%) 62.1 / 214.3 (29%) 81.9 / 83.73 (98%) 12 / 5 (71%) 11.64

UFC BETTING WIZARD: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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UFC BETTING WIZARD: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 629.34 171.4 27% 46.6 / 283.25 (16%) 49.2 / 256.11 (19%) 75.6 / 89.98 (84%)
Other 7.5 0.3 4% 0.3 / 7.5 (4%)

UFC BETTING WIZARD: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 16 (15%) 12 75 % 55.75 12.38 0.77 22%
Slight Favorites 39 (35%) 24 62 % 120.50 8.09 0.21 7%
Slight Underdogs 43 (39%) 17 40 % 96.00 8.18 0.19 9%
Big Underdogs 12 (11%) 7 58 % 18.50 18.28 1.52 99%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 17 (15%) 6 35 % 44.75 -14.73 -0.87 -33%
Co-Main Event 12 (11%) 5 42 % 36.75 -10.83 -0.90 -29%
Position 3-5 38 (35%) 24 63 % 105.25 44.69 1.18 42%
6+ (Undercard) 43 (39%) 25 58 % 104.00 27.80 0.65 27%

UFC BETTING WIZARD: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 12 (11%) 7 58 % 28.50 0.04 0.00 0%
Light Heavy 11 (10%) 8 73 % 34.25 7.92 0.72 23%
Middleweight 15 (14%) 7 47 % 36.50 8.90 0.59 24%
Welterweight 17 (15%) 8 47 % 46.00 0.75 0.04 2%
Lightweight 14 (13%) 10 71 % 38.00 14.07 1.00 37%
Featherweight 11 (10%) 6 55 % 22.25 1.25 0.11 6%
Bantamweight 9 (8%) 6 67 % 38.75 16.16 1.80 42%
Flyweight 4 (4%) 2 50 % 9.25 3.10 0.78 34%
               
Women's Fights 17 (15%) 6 35 % 37.25 -5.26 -0.31 -14%
Bantamweight 4 (4%) 3 75 % 8.25 2.73 0.68 33%
Flyweight 7 (6%) 2 29 % 10.75 -1.74 -0.25 -16%
Strawweight 6 (5%) 1 17 % 18.25 -6.25 -1.04 -34%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 39 (70%) 32 82 %
Slight Favorites 11 (20%) 8 73 %
Slight Underdogs 4 (7%) 3 75 %
Big Underdogs 2 (4%) 1 50 %
56 44 79 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 48 (18%) 32 67 %
50-65% 56 (21%) 26 46 %
35-50% 57 (21%) 32 56 %
<35% chance 109 (40%) 28 26 %
270 118 44 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (1%) 0 0 % 1.82 1.85Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (1%) 0 0 % 1.75 1.86Pick was incorrect 1.65Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision 18 (7%) 14 78 % 1.63 2.95Pick was correct 1.33Pick was correct 7.5 (42%)
Does not go to Decision 44 (16%) 24 55 % 1.54 2.55Pick was incorrect 1.15Pick was correct -7.0 (-16%)
Fight Starts Round X 13 (5%) 10 77 % 1.62 2.55Pick was correct 1.33Pick was incorrect 4.0 (30%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 1 (0%) 0 0 % 1.73 1.73Pick was incorrect 1.73Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 17 (6%) 7 41 % 3.21 8.00Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect 9.7 (57%)
X Wins by Sub 30 (11%) 11 37 % 5.26 21.00Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect 39.1 (130%)
X Wins by Decision 31 (11%) 14 45 % 3.05 10.00Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was incorrect 25.8 (83%)
X Wins Inside Distance 4 (1%) 2 50 % 1.57 1.73Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was correct -1.0 (-25%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (0%) 0 0 % 10.00 10.00Pick was incorrect 10.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 105 (39%) 36 34 % 3.18 50.99Pick was incorrect 1.32Pick was correct 1.8 (2%)
270 118 44 % 2.49     71.9 (27%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail UFC BETTING WIZARD's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
5th Sep UFC Fight Night 183 65 27.7 43% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,277.50
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 45.5 46.9 103% $10 $12.77 $1,277.50 $1,867.13
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 84.5 66.1 78% $10 $18.67 $1,867.13 $3,091.42
26th Sep UFC 253 70.75 17.9 25% $10 $30.91 $3,091.42 $3,635.46
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 25.25 3.8 15% $10 $36.35 $3,635.46 $3,762.51
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 30.25 12.3 41% $10 $37.63 $3,762.51 $4,214.85
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 20.75 -13.8 -67% $10 $42.15 $4,214.85 $3,623.20
24th Oct UFC 254 20.6 9.9 48% $10 $36.23 $3,623.20 $3,971.56
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 18.5 14.9 80% $10 $39.72 $3,971.56 $4,552.09
8th Nov UFC Vegas 13 16.5 -13.7 -83% $10 $45.52 $4,552.09 $3,920.73
14th Nov UFC Vegas 14 16.25 -0.5 -3% $10 $39.21 $3,920.73 $3,890.87
18th Nov DWCS 36 1.75 0.2 11% $10 $38.91 $3,890.87 $3,888.66
21st Nov UFC 255 25.35 28.0 111% $10 $38.89 $3,888.66 $4,968.27
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 10.85 4.1 38% $10 $49.68 $4,968.27 $5,162.59
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 18.15 1.4 8% $10 $51.63 $5,162.59 $5,225.26
13th Dec UFC 256 28.68 -1.8 -6% $10 $52.25 $5,225.26 $5,118.82
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 17.4 -5.6 -32% $10 $51.19 $5,118.82 $4,824.09
16th Jan UFC FN 14.66 4.7 32% $10 $48.24 $4,824.09 $5,042.99
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 27 -21.6 -80% $10 $50.43 $5,042.99 $3,943.70
24th Jan UFC 257 25.5 -3.1 -12% $10 $39.44 $3,943.70 $3,811.05
29th Jan LFA 98 5.75 0.1 2% $10 $38.11 $3,811.05 $3,804.85
6th Feb UFC FN 34.25 2.8 8% $10 $38.05 $3,804.85 $3,903.29
14th Feb UFC 258 6.25 -6.3 -100% $10 $39.03 $3,903.29 $3,649.34
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 7.4 -2.9 -39% $10 $36.49 $3,649.34 $3,533.51


ROI % from starting bank balance: 253.35% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

UFC BETTING WIZARD: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '21 Paid Pick Lara Fritzen Procopio Molly McCann 2.45 2.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Paid Pick Seung Woo Choi Youssef Zalal 3.06 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Paid Pick Beneil Dariush Carlos Diego Ferreira 2.09 2.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '21 Paid Pick Josh Fremd Bruno Oliveira 1.80 3.25 TKO, R1 (2:37) MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '21 Paid Pick Alexandre Pantoja Manel Kape 1.82 2.75 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '21 Paid Pick Makhmud Muradov Andrew Sanchez 1.72 2.5 TKO, R3 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '21 Paid Pick Dustin Poirier Conor McGregor 3.75 1.5 TKO, R2 (2:32) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '21 Paid Pick Dalcha Lungiambula Markus Perez 1.80 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '21 Paid Pick Li Jingliang Santiago Ponzinibbio 3.52 1.5 TKO, R1 (4:25) MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '21 Paid Pick Beneil Dariush Carlos Diego Ferreira 1.99 2.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '21 Paid Pick Alexander Volkov Alistair Overeem 1.74 3.5 TKO, R2 (2:6) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jan '21 Paid Pick Carlos Felipe Justin Tafa 1.55 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jan '21 Paid Pick Max Holloway Calvin Kattar 1.56 3.75 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '20 Paid Pick Marcin Tybura Greg Hardy 2.00 2 TKO, R2 (4:31) MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '20 Paid Pick Stephen Thompson Geoff Neal 1.95 2.25 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '20 Paid Pick Cub Swanson Daniel Pineda 2.36 1.5 TKO, R2 (1:52) MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '20 Paid Pick Kevin Holland Ronaldo Souza 1.74 1.75 TKO, R1 (1:45) MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '20 Paid Pick Ciryl Gane Junior dos Santos 1.26 4 TKO, R2 (2:34) MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '20 Paid Pick Charles Oliveira Tony Ferguson 2.55 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Dec '20 Paid Pick Rafael Fiziev Renato Moicano 1.76 1.5 TKO, R1 (4:5) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '21 Paid Pick Gilbert Burns Kamaru Usman 3.56 2.25 TKO, R3 (0:34) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Paid Pick Maycee Barber Alexa Grasso 2.35 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Paid Pick Maki Pitolo Julian Marquez 2.56 1.5 Sub, R3 (4:17) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Paid Pick Michael Johnson Clay Guida 1.50 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '21 Paid Pick J.J. Okanovich Lucas Clay 1.68 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '21 Paid Pick Zhalgas Zhumagulov Amir Albazi 1.97 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '21 Paid Pick Jessica Eye Joanne Calderwood 2.07 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '21 Paid Pick Daniel Hooker Michael Chandler 1.74 3 TKO, R1 (2:30) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '21 Paid Pick Mason Jones Mike Davis 2.65 2.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jan '21 Paid Pick Jerome Rivera Francisco Figueiredo 2.35 2.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jan '21 Paid Pick Tyson Nam Matt Schnell 1.80 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jan '21 Paid Pick Vinicius Moreira Ike Villanueva 2.35 2.5 TKO, R2 (0:39) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jan '21 Paid Pick Mounir Lazzez Warlley Alves 1.87 4.5 TKO, R1 (2:35) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '21 Paid Pick Gilbert Burns Kamaru Usman 3.00 1.25 TKO, R3 (0:34) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jan '21 Paid Pick Neil Magny Michael Chiesa 1.84 3.25 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jan '21 Paid Pick Dusko Todorovic Punahele Soriano 1.89 2.25 TKO, R1 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jan '21 Paid Pick Tom Breese Omari Akhmedov 1.82 2.25 Sub, R2 (1:41) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '20 Paid Pick Kalinn Williams Michel Pereira 2.05 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '20 Paid Pick Alex Morono Anthony Pettis 2.70 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Dec '20 Paid Pick Virna Jandiroba Mackenzie Dern 2.68 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

UFC BETTING WIZARD: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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