MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 3119
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 1181

MMA Handicapper Stats: Blaydes

Blaydes (Blaydes)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	133 (56%)	Right	108 (61%)	Right	19 (49%)	Right	6 (27%)
Wrong	106 (44%)	Wrong	70 (39%)	Wrong	20 (51%)	Wrong	16 (73%)
Avg Odds	1.86	Avg Odds	1.80	Avg Odds	1.81	Avg Odds	2.78
Units Bet	317.0	Units Bet	253.0	Units Bet	38.5	Units Bet	25.5
Avg Bet	1.33	Avg Bet	1.42	Avg Bet	0.99	Avg Bet	1.16
Units Profit	17.12	Units Profit	33.81	Units Profit	-4.37	Units Profit	-12.31
ROI %	5%	ROI %	13%	ROI %	-11%	ROI %	-48%

Blaydes: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
28th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 186	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 185	2.5	0.6	24%	0.6 / 1 (56%)	0.0 / 1.5 (3%)
14th Feb '21	UFC 258	2	-0.4	-18%		0.6 / 1 (65%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
6th Feb '21	UFC FN	8	3.9	49%	3.6 / 5 (72%)	0.3 / 3 (9%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	2	-0.4	-20%	0.6 / 1 (61%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Jan '21	UFC on ESPN 20	2	-0.2	-12%		0.8 / 1 (77%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	12	-3.7	-31%	-1.2 / 8 (-15%)	-2.5 / 4 (-63%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	23	6.8	30%	9.8 / 20 (49%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th Dec '20	UFC 256	7	-0.3	-5%	-2.3 / 4 (-58%)	1.8 / 2 (88%)	0.3 / 1 (25%)
6th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 16	3	-0.0	-1%	-0.0 / 3 (-1%)
29th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 15	1	0.6	59%	0.6 / 1 (59%)
21st Nov '20	UFC 255	10	-4.6	-46%	-0.2 / 4 (-4%)	-3.5 / 5 (-69%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
14th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 14	8	-4.9	-62%	-3.9 / 7 (-56%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 13	3	-0.1	-3%	1.9 / 1 (190%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
31st Oct '20	UFC Vegas 12	3	0.4	12%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	2.4 / 1 (237%)
29th Oct '20	Bellator 250	1	0.6	59%	0.6 / 1 (59%)
24th Oct '20	UFC 254	10	5.5	55%	4.5 / 9 (50%)		1.0 / 1 (105%)
17th Oct '20	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	7	-3.0	-43%	-2.6 / 4 (-65%)	0.6 / 2 (29%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Oct '20	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	8	2.2	27%	1.2 / 7 (17%)	1.0 / 1 (100%)
4th Oct '20	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	9	4.1	46%	3.7 / 8 (47%)		0.4 / 1 (37%)
26th Sep '20	UFC 253	5	-5.0	-100%			-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
19th Sep '20	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	5	-1.8	-36%	-0.8 / 4 (-20%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Sep '20	DWCS 33	1	0.5	50%	0.5 / 1 (50%)
12th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 184	9	2.6	29%	2.5 / 6 (42%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	2.1 / 1 (207%)
5th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 183	3	0.1	2%	0.1 / 3 (2%)
2nd Sep '20	DWCS 31	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
29th Aug '20	UFC Fight Night 182	2	-0.4	-22%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	0.6 / 1 (56%)
26th Aug '20	DWCS 30	1	0.7	67%	0.7 / 1 (67%)
22nd Aug '20	UFC Vegas 7	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
15th Aug '20	UFC 252	10	7.9	79%	7.9 / 10 (79%)
8th Aug '20	UFC Vegas 6	5	3.1	63%	3.1 / 5 (63%)
1st Aug '20	UFC Vegas 5	15	0.3	2%	0.3 / 15 (2%)
25th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 3	8	-0.0	-0%	1.0 / 7 (14%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 2	9	2.0	23%	2.0 / 9 (23%)
15th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 1	7	-1.7	-24%	-1.7 / 7 (-24%)
11th Jul '20	UFC 251	14	6.5	46%	6.5 / 14 (46%)
27th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 175	8	-3.7	-47%	-1.7 / 6 (-29%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 174	15.5	3.5	22%	1.6 / 13 (13%)	2.3 / 2 (116%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
13th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 173	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
6th Jun '20	UFC 250	9	-0.4	-4%	0.6 / 8 (7%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
30th May '20	UFC Fight Night 172	6.5	-2.6	-40%	-1.1 / 5 (-22%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
16th May '20	UFC Fight Night 171	10	2.1	21%	2.3 / 8 (29%)	0.8 / 1 (80%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
14th May '20	UFC Fight Night 170	8	4.1	51%	2.3 / 6 (39%)	1.8 / 2 (90%)
10th May '20	UFC 249	8.5	2.4	28%	2.4 / 7 (34%)	0.5 / 1 (53%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
14th Mar '20	UFC Fight Night 169	2	-0.4	-21%	-0.4 / 2 (-21%)
8th Mar '20	UFC 248	6	1.9	31%	1.3 / 5 (27%)	0.5 / 1 (53%)
29th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night	7	-1.0	-15%	-0.0 / 6 (-0%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd Feb '20	UFC Fight Night 168	5	0.4	8%	-0.7 / 4 (-17%)		1.1 / 1 (108%)
21st Feb '20	Bellator 239	1	0.4	38%	0.4 / 1 (38%)
15th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night 167	5	-1.2	-23%	-1.2 / 5 (-23%)

Winning Events: 25 (50%)
Losing Events: 25 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.34 units
Most Staked On One Event: 23.00 units
Best Event: 7.95 units
Worst Event: -5.00 units
Average Event: 0.34 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 11.34
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -9.67

Blaydes: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	29.5	-1.2	-4%	2.6 / 16 (16%)	-1.8 / 11.5 (-15%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	2 / 5 (29%)	-0.17
2020	287.5	18.3	6%	31.2 / 237 (13%)	-2.6 / 27 (-10%)	-10.3 / 23.5 (-44%)	23 / 20 (53%)	0.43

Blaydes: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Blaydes: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	312	16.0	5%	31.7 / 249 (13%)	-4.4 / 38.5 (-11%)	-11.3 / 24.5 (-46%)
Bellator	2	1.0	48%	1.0 / 2 (48%)
Other	3	0.2	6%	1.2 / 2 (58%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Blaydes: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	51 (28%)	39	76 %	91.00	15.15	0.30	17%
Slight Favorites	76 (42%)	43	57 %	91.00	-2.90	-0.04	-3%
Slight Underdogs	42 (23%)	20	48 %	53.00	13.00	0.31	25%
Big Underdogs	14 (8%)	8	57 %	18.00	8.55	0.61	48%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	19 (10%)	12	63 %	21.00	4.73	0.25	23%
Co-Main Event	18 (10%)	12	67 %	23.00	0.64	0.04	3%
Position 3-5	61 (33%)	35	57 %	99.00	14.16	0.23	14%
6+ (Undercard)	85 (46%)	51	60 %	110.00	14.28	0.17	13%

Blaydes: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	11 (6%)	8	73 %	12.00	4.02	0.37	34%
Light Heavy	10 (5%)	8	80 %	10.00	5.55	0.55	55%
Middleweight	18 (10%)	10	56 %	18.00	1.17	0.07	7%
Welterweight	22 (12%)	14	64 %	31.00	3.76	0.17	12%
Lightweight	25 (14%)	16	64 %	37.00	6.85	0.27	19%
Featherweight	29 (16%)	18	62 %	38.00	1.13	0.04	3%
Bantamweight	24 (13%)	12	50 %	52.00	18.69	0.78	36%
Flyweight	9 (5%)	4	44 %	15.00	-6.90	-0.77	-46%

Women's Fights	35 (19%)	20	57 %	40.00	-0.48	-0.01	-1%
Featherweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.43	0.43	43%
Bantamweight	5 (3%)	4	80 %	5.00	2.05	0.41	41%
Flyweight	14 (8%)	7	50 %	16.00	-1.81	-0.13	-11%
Strawweight	15 (8%)	8	53 %	18.00	-1.15	-0.08	-6%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	47 (89%)	31	66 %
Slight Favorites	4 (8%)	1	25 %
Slight Underdogs	2 (4%)	1	50 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	53	33	62 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	11 (19%)	6	55 %
50-65%	27 (47%)	14	52 %
35-50%	14 (25%)	5	36 %
<35% chance	5 (9%)	2	40 %
	57	27	47 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (5%)	2	67 %	1.65	2.10	1.48	0.6 (20%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (9%)	2	40 %	1.67	1.91	1.54	-1.7 (-34%)
Goes to Decision	5 (9%)	2	40 %	1.54	2.25	1.31	-1.4 (-29%)
Does not go to Decision	5 (9%)	2	40 %	1.61	2.15	1.33	-1.8 (-37%)
Fight Starts Round X	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.83	1.83	1.83	0.8 (83%)
X Wins by KO	3 (5%)	0	0 %	3.07	6.50	1.56	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.53	1.53	1.53	0.5 (53%)
X Wins by Decision	12 (21%)	8	67 %	1.88	2.30	1.56	2.8 (24%)
X Wins Inside Distance	19 (33%)	8	42 %	1.89	4.33	1.44	-1.0 (-5%)
X Wins in Round X	3 (5%)	1	33 %	2.03	2.10	2.00	-1.0 (-33%)
	57	27	47 %	1.82			-5.2 (-9%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Blaydes's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
15th Feb	UFC Fight Night 167	5	-1.2	-23%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$988.26
21st Feb	Bellator 239	1	0.4	38%		$9.88	$988.26	$991.99
22nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 168	5	0.4	8%		$9.92	$991.99	$996.00
29th Feb	UFC Fight Night	7	-1.0	-15%		$9.96	$996.00	$985.89
8th Mar	UFC 248	6	1.9	31%		$9.86	$985.89	$1,004.33
14th Mar	UFC Fight Night 169	2	-0.4	-21%		$10.04	$1,004.33	$1,000.20
10th May	UFC 249	8.5	2.4	28%		$10.00	$1,000.20	$1,024.07
14th May	UFC Fight Night 170	8	4.1	51%		$10.24	$1,024.07	$1,066.18
16th May	UFC Fight Night 171	10	2.1	21%		$10.66	$1,066.18	$1,088.52
30th May	UFC Fight Night 172	6.5	-2.6	-40%		$10.89	$1,088.52	$1,060.37
6th Jun	UFC 250	9	-0.4	-4%		$10.60	$1,060.37	$1,056.10
13th Jun	UFC Fight Night 173	5	-5.0	-100%		$10.56	$1,056.10	$1,003.30
20th Jun	UFC Fight Night 174	15.5	3.5	22%		$10.03	$1,003.30	$1,038.21
27th Jun	UFC Fight Night 175	8	-3.7	-47%		$10.38	$1,038.21	$999.42
11th Jul	UFC 251	14	6.5	46%		$9.99	$999.42	$1,064.07
15th Jul	UFC Fight Island 1	7	-1.7	-24%		$10.64	$1,064.07	$1,046.13
18th Jul	UFC Fight Island 2	9	2.0	23%		$10.46	$1,046.13	$1,067.52
25th Jul	UFC Fight Island 3	8	-0.0	-0%		$10.68	$1,067.52	$1,067.13
1st Aug	UFC Vegas 5	15	0.3	2%		$10.67	$1,067.13	$1,069.94
8th Aug	UFC Vegas 6	5	3.1	63%		$10.70	$1,069.94	$1,103.37
15th Aug	UFC 252	10	7.9	79%		$11.03	$1,103.37	$1,191.09
22nd Aug	UFC Vegas 7	3	-3.0	-100%		$11.91	$1,191.09	$1,155.36
26th Aug	DWCS 30	1	0.7	67%		$11.55	$1,155.36	$1,163.06
29th Aug	UFC Fight Night 182	2	-0.4	-22%		$11.63	$1,163.06	$1,157.89
2nd Sep	DWCS 31	1	-1.0	-100%		$11.58	$1,157.89	$1,146.31
5th Sep	UFC Fight Night 183	3	0.1	2%		$11.46	$1,146.31	$1,147.13
12th Sep	UFC Fight Night 184	9	2.6	29%		$11.47	$1,147.13	$1,176.73
16th Sep	DWCS 33	1	0.5	50%		$11.77	$1,176.73	$1,182.61
19th Sep	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	5	-1.8	-36%		$11.83	$1,182.61	$1,161.51
26th Sep	UFC 253	5	-5.0	-100%		$11.62	$1,161.51	$1,103.44
4th Oct	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	9	4.1	46%		$11.03	$1,103.44	$1,148.85
10th Oct	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	8	2.2	27%		$11.49	$1,148.85	$1,173.74
17th Oct	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	7	-3.0	-43%		$11.74	$1,173.74	$1,138.19
24th Oct	UFC 254	10	5.5	55%		$11.38	$1,138.19	$1,201.31
29th Oct	Bellator 250	1	0.6	59%		$12.01	$1,201.31	$1,208.38
31st Oct	UFC Vegas 12	3	0.4	12%		$12.08	$1,208.38	$1,212.83
8th Nov	UFC Vegas 13	3	-0.1	-3%		$12.13	$1,212.83	$1,211.62
14th Nov	UFC Vegas 14	8	-4.9	-62%		$12.12	$1,211.62	$1,151.68
21st Nov	UFC 255	10	-4.6	-46%		$11.52	$1,151.68	$1,098.46
29th Nov	UFC Vegas 15	1	0.6	59%		$10.98	$1,098.46	$1,104.92
6th Dec	UFC Vegas 16	3	-0.0	-1%		$11.05	$1,104.92	$1,104.65
13th Dec	UFC 256	7	-0.3	-5%		$11.05	$1,104.65	$1,101.17
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	23	6.8	30%		$11.01	$1,101.17	$1,176.50
16th Jan	UFC FN	12	-3.7	-31%		$11.76	$1,176.50	$1,133.24
20th Jan	UFC on ESPN 20	2	-0.2	-12%		$11.33	$1,133.24	$1,130.62
24th Jan	UFC 257	2	-0.4	-20%		$11.31	$1,130.62	$1,126.17
6th Feb	UFC FN	8	3.9	49%		$11.26	$1,126.17	$1,169.94
14th Feb	UFC 258	2	-0.4	-18%		$11.70	$1,169.94	$1,165.79
20th Feb	UFC Fight Night 185	2.5	0.6	24%		$11.66	$1,165.79	$1,172.74
28th Feb	UFC Fight Night 186	1	-1.0	-100%		$11.73	$1,172.74	$1,161.02

ROI % from starting bank balance: 16.10% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Blaydes: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Feb '21	Chris Daukaus	Aleksei Oleinik	1.56	1	TKO, R1 (1:55)
2.	Feb '21	Alexandre Pantoja	Manel Kape	1.83	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Feb '21	Ode Osbourne	Jerome Rivera	1.54	1	TKO, R1 (0:26)
4.	Feb '21	Seung Woo Choi	Youssef Zalal	2.95	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Feb '21	Lara Fritzen Procopio	Molly McCann	2.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jan '21	Makhmud Muradov	Andrew Sanchez	1.61	1	TKO, R3 (2:59)
7.	Jan '21	Carlos Felipe	Justin Tafa	1.50	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Jan '21	Carlos Condit	Matt Brown	1.59	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jan '21	Austin Lingo	Jacob Kilburn	1.43	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Jan '21	Punahele Soriano	Dusko Todorovic	2.30	1	TKO, R1 (4:48)
11.	Dec '20	Marcin Tybura	Greg Hardy	1.95	1	TKO, R2 (4:31)
12.	Dec '20	Michel Pereira	Kalinn Williams	1.77	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Dec '20	Jose Aldo	Marlon Vera	1.67	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Dec '20	Stephen Thompson	Geoff Neal	1.95	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
15.	Dec '20	Rob Font	Marlon Moraes	2.25	10	TKO, R1 (3:47)
16.	Dec '20	Rafael Fiziev	Renato Moicano	1.67	1	TKO, R1 (4:5)
17.	Dec '20	Roman Dolidze	John Allan	1.48	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Dec '20	Gabriel Benitez	Justin Jaynes	1.50	1	TKO, R1 (4:6)
19.	Nov '20	Miguel Baeza	Takashi Sato	1.59	1	Sub, R2 (4:28)
20.	Nov '20	Tim Means	Mike Perry	2.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Feb '21	Jimmie Rivera	Pedro Munhoz	1.69	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Feb '21	Frankie Edgar	Cory Sandhagen	4.25	1	TKO, R1 (0:28)	No
3.	Jan '21	David Zawada	Ramazan Emeev	1.43	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Jan '21	Joaquin Buckley	Alessio Di Chirico	1.35	1	TKO, R1 (2:12)	No
5.	Jan '21	Calvin Kattar	Max Holloway	2.45	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
6.	Jan '21	Yanan Wu	Joselyne Edwards	1.57	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Dec '20	Alex Morono	Anthony Pettis	2.95	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Dec '20	Antonio Arroyo	Deron Winn	1.63	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Dec '20	Billy Quarantillo	Gavin Tucker	1.67	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Dec '20	Virna Jandiroba	Mackenzie Dern	2.60	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Dec '20	Daniel Pineda	Cub Swanson	1.63	1	TKO, R2 (1:52)	No
12.	Dec '20	Jack Hermansson	Marvin Vettori	2.15	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
13.	Nov '20	Jared Gooden	Alan Jouban	2.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Nov '20	Ariane Lipski	Antonina Shevchenko	2.30	1	TKO, R2 (4:33)	No
15.	Nov '20	Kay Hansen	Cory McKenna	1.48	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Nov '20	Geraldo De Freitas Jr.	Tony Gravely	2.20	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Nov '20	Miranda Granger	Ashley Yoder	1.67	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Nov '20	Kay Hansen	Cory McKenna	1.43	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Oct '20	Andre Fili	Bryce Mitchell	2.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Oct '20	Claudio Silva	James Krause	2.60	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Blaydes: Progress Chart

Chart

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