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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 3315
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 1259

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Value Picks

Value Picks (ValuePicks)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Value Picks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 22 (65%) Right 22 (65%) Right 0 (nan%) Right 0 (nan%)
Wrong 12 (35%) Wrong 12 (35%) Wrong 0 (nan%) Wrong 0 (nan%)
Avg Odds 1.70 Avg Odds 1.70 Avg Odds nan Avg Odds nan
Units Bet 144.0 Units Bet 144.0 Units Bet 0.0 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 4.24 Avg Bet 4.24 Avg Bet nan Avg Bet nan
Units Profit 16.94 Units Profit 16.94 Units Profit 0.00 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % 12% ROI % 12% ROI % nan% ROI % nan%
View Handicapper's Profile

Value Picks: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
15th May '21 UFC 262 16 1.2 8% 1.2 / 16 (8%)
8th May '21 UFC FN 14 9.5 68% 9.5 / 14 (68%)
7th May '21 Bellator 258 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
6th May '21 PFL 2021: Week 3 4 2.4 59% 2.4 / 4 (59%)
1st May '21 UFC FN 22 -4.4 -20% -4.4 / 22 (-20%)
24th Apr '21 UFC 261 42 1.8 4% 1.8 / 42 (4%)
17th Apr '21 UFC FN 14 1.0 7% 1.0 / 14 (7%)
10th Apr '21 UFC FN 28 9.4 33% 9.4 / 28 (33%)


Winning Events: 6 (75%)
Losing Events: 2 (25%)

Average Staked Per Event: 18.00 units
Most Staked On One Event: 42.00 units
Best Event: 9.50 units
Worst Event: -4.40 units
Average Event: 2.12 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 12.24
Max Losing Streak: Events: 1, Units: -4.40

Value Picks: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 144 16.9 12% 16.9 / 144 (12%) 6 / 2 (75%) 2.12

Value Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Value Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 136 18.6 14% 18.6 / 136 (14%)
Bellator 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
PFL 4 2.4 59% 2.4 / 4 (59%)

Value Picks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 14 (40%) 10 71 % 54.00 -0.44 -0.03 -1%
Slight Favorites 14 (40%) 10 71 % 58.00 13.70 0.98 24%
Slight Underdogs 5 (14%) 1 20 % 24.00 -13.52 -2.70 -56%
Big Underdogs 2 (6%) 2 100 % 8.00 17.20 8.60 215%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 4 (11%) 2 50 % 16.00 -5.44 -1.36 -34%
Co-Main Event 5 (14%) 2 40 % 20.00 -6.84 -1.37 -34%
Position 3-5 9 (26%) 6 67 % 34.00 -0.56 -0.06 -2%
6+ (Undercard) 17 (49%) 13 76 % 74.00 29.78 1.75 40%

Value Picks: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (3%) 0 % 4.00 -4.00 -4.00 -100%
Light Heavy 2 (6%) 1 50 % 8.00 -1.04 -0.52 -13%
Middleweight 4 (11%) 3 75 % 16.00 1.52 0.38 9%
Welterweight 5 (14%) 3 60 % 24.00 -1.06 -0.21 -4%
Lightweight 7 (20%) 6 86 % 28.00 15.52 2.22 55%
Featherweight 4 (11%) 2 50 % 16.00 3.40 0.85 21%
Bantamweight 4 (11%) 3 75 % 16.00 2.00 0.50 12%
Flyweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 4.00 3.80 3.80 95%
               
Women's Fights 7 (20%) 4 57 % 28.00 -3.20 -0.46 -11%
Flyweight 4 (11%) 3 75 % 14.00 4.80 1.20 34%
Strawweight 3 (9%) 1 33 % 14.00 -8.00 -2.67 -57%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
0 0 nan %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
50-65% 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
35-50% 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
<35% chance 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
0 0 nan %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
0 0 nan % nan     0.0 (nan%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Value Picks's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
10th Apr UFC FN 28 9.4 33% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,093.60
17th Apr UFC FN 14 1.0 7% $10 $10.94 $1,093.60 $1,094.97
24th Apr UFC 261 42 1.8 4% $10 $10.95 $1,094.97 $1,105.12
1st May UFC FN 22 -4.4 -20% $10 $11.05 $1,105.12 $1,046.49
6th May PFL 2021: Week 3 4 2.4 59% $10 $10.46 $1,046.49 $1,061.19
7th May Bellator 258 4 -4.0 -100% $10 $10.61 $1,061.19 $1,008.74
8th May UFC FN 14 9.5 68% $10 $10.09 $1,008.74 $1,094.57
15th May UFC 262 16 1.2 8% $10 $10.95 $1,094.57 $1,098.15


ROI % from starting bank balance: 9.81% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Value Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '21 Paid Pick Andrea Lee Antonina Shevchenko 2.62 4 Sub, R2 (4:52) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '21 Paid Pick Beneil Dariush Tony Ferguson 1.69 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '21 Paid Pick Carlston Harris Christian Aguilera 1.75 6 Sub, R1 (2:52) MMA Bookmaker
4. May '21 Paid Pick Mike Trizano Ludovit Klein 3.25 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. May '21 Paid Pick Genah Fabian Laura Sanchez 1.59 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. May '21 Paid Pick Merab Dvalishvili Cody Stamann 1.40 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. May '21 Paid Pick Sean Strickland Krzysztof Jotko 1.40 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. May '21 Paid Pick Giga Chikadze Cub Swanson 1.60 4 TKO, R1 (1:3) MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '21 Paid Pick Ariane Carnelossi Na Liang 1.50 4 TKO, R2 (1:28) MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '21 Paid Pick Jeff Molina Qileng Aori 1.95 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '21 Paid Pick Rodrigo Vargas Zhu Rong 3.05 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '21 Paid Pick Danaa Batgerel Kevin Natividad 1.50 4 TKO, R1 (0:50) MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '21 Paid Pick Brendan Allen Karl Roberson 1.65 4 Sub, R1 (4:55) MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '21 Paid Pick Kamaru Usman Jorge Masvidal 1.31 4 TKO, R2 (1:2) MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '21 Paid Pick Luis Pena Alex Munoz 1.68 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '21 Paid Pick Tracy Cortez Justine Kish 1.36 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '21 Paid Pick Tracy Cortez Justine Kish 1.40 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Apr '21 Da Un Jung William Knight 1.74 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Apr '21 Jack Shore Hunter Azure 1.60 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Apr '21 Mateusz Gamrot Scott Holtzman 1.44 4 TKO, R2 (1:22) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '21 Paid Pick Shane Burgos Edson Barboza 1.72 4 TKO, R3 (1:16) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '21 Paid Pick Michael Chandler Charles Oliveira 2.15 4 TKO, R2 (0:19) No MMA Bookmaker
3. May '21 Paid Pick Donald Cerrone Alex Morono 1.53 4 TKO, R1 (4:40) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '21 Paid Pick Juan Archulata Sergio Pettis 1.55 4 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. May '21 Paid Pick Poliana Botelho Luana Carolina 1.43 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. May '21 Paid Pick Randa Markos Luana Pinheiro 2.40 6 No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '21 Paid Pick Jim Crute Anthony Smith 1.50 4 TKO, R1 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '21 Paid Pick Weili Zhang Rose Namajunas 1.53 4 TKO, R1 (1:18) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '21 Paid Pick Stefan Sekulic Dwight Grant 2.76 6 Split Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '21 Paid Pick Chris Weidman Urijah Hall 1.77 4 TKO, R1 (0:17) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '21 Paid Pick Juan Espino Alexander Romanov 2.27 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '21 Sodiq Yusuff Arnold Allen 1.77 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Value Picks: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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