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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352
 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Value Picks

Value Picks (ValuePicks)
Mixed Martial Arts Management - Value Picks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 51 (55%) Right 51 (55%) Right 0 (nan%) Right 0 (nan%)
Wrong 41 (45%) Wrong 41 (45%) Wrong 0 (nan%) Wrong 0 (nan%)
Avg Odds 1.85 Avg Odds 1.85 Avg Odds nan Avg Odds nan
Units Bet 389.0 Units Bet 389.0 Units Bet 0.0 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 4.23 Avg Bet 4.23 Avg Bet nan Avg Bet nan
Units Profit 9.86 Units Profit 9.86 Units Profit 0.00 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % 3% ROI % 3% ROI % nan% ROI % nan%
View Handicapper's Profile

Value Picks: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
28th Aug '21 UFC FN 20 -13.6 -68% -13.6 / 20 (-68%)
27th Aug '21 PFL 2021 #9: Playoffs 12 -2.4 -20% -2.4 / 12 (-20%)
21st Aug '21 UFC FN 15 -6.2 -41% -6.2 / 15 (-41%)
7th Aug '21 UFC 265 16 6.4 40% 6.4 / 16 (40%)
31st Jul '21 Bellator 263 8 -0.8 -10% -0.8 / 8 (-10%)
31st Jul '21 UFC FN 16 0.2 1% 0.2 / 16 (1%)
24th Jul '21 UFC FN 22 0.2 1% 0.2 / 22 (1%)
17th Jul '21 UFC FN 16 16.0 100% 16.0 / 16 (100%)
10th Jul '21 UFC 264 36 -16.2 -45% -16.2 / 36 (-45%)
26th Jun '21 UFC FN 16 1.4 9% 1.4 / 16 (9%)
19th Jun '21 UFC FN 6 -6.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
12th Jun '21 UFC 263 26 3.9 15% 3.9 / 26 (15%)
5th Jun '21 UFC FN 18 13.7 76% 13.7 / 18 (76%)
22nd May '21 UFC FN 14 -6.3 -45% -6.3 / 14 (-45%)
22nd May '21 Invicta 44 4 2.7 67% 2.7 / 4 (67%)
15th May '21 UFC 262 16 1.2 8% 1.2 / 16 (8%)
8th May '21 UFC FN 14 9.5 68% 9.5 / 14 (68%)
7th May '21 Bellator 258 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
6th May '21 PFL 2021: Week 3 4 2.4 59% 2.4 / 4 (59%)
1st May '21 UFC FN 22 -4.4 -20% -4.4 / 22 (-20%)
24th Apr '21 UFC 261 42 1.8 4% 1.8 / 42 (4%)
17th Apr '21 UFC FN 14 1.0 7% 1.0 / 14 (7%)
10th Apr '21 UFC FN 28 9.4 33% 9.4 / 28 (33%)


Winning Events: 14 (61%)
Losing Events: 9 (39%)

Average Staked Per Event: 16.91 units
Most Staked On One Event: 42.00 units
Best Event: 15.96 units
Worst Event: -16.20 units
Average Event: 0.43 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 17.56
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -22.16

Value Picks: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2021 389 9.9 3% 9.9 / 389 (3%) 14 / 9 (61%) 0.43

Value Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Value Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 357 12.0 3% 12.0 / 357 (3%)
Bellator 12 -4.8 -40% -4.8 / 12 (-40%)
PFL 16 -0.0 -0% -0.0 / 16 (-0%)
Other 4 2.7 67% 2.7 / 4 (67%)

Value Picks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 29 (31%) 21 72 % 116.00 0.60 0.02 1%
Slight Favorites 28 (30%) 18 64 % 119.00 12.10 0.43 10%
Slight Underdogs 27 (29%) 9 33 % 114.00 -25.52 -0.95 -22%
Big Underdogs 10 (11%) 5 50 % 40.00 22.68 2.27 57%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 13 (14%) 4 31 % 52.00 -30.72 -2.36 -59%
Co-Main Event 13 (14%) 7 54 % 52.00 -0.64 -0.05 -1%
Position 3-5 20 (21%) 12 60 % 80.00 3.56 0.18 4%
6+ (Undercard) 48 (51%) 30 63 % 205.00 37.66 0.78 18%

Value Picks: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (3%) 0 % 12.00 -12.00 -4.00 -100%
Light Heavy 5 (5%) 1 20 % 21.00 -14.04 -2.81 -67%
Middleweight 11 (12%) 8 73 % 45.00 12.04 1.09 27%
Welterweight 10 (11%) 6 60 % 46.00 0.62 0.06 1%
Lightweight 12 (13%) 9 75 % 48.00 17.40 1.45 36%
Featherweight 12 (13%) 6 50 % 48.00 5.68 0.47 12%
Bantamweight 16 (17%) 8 50 % 67.00 -10.12 -0.63 -15%
Flyweight 5 (5%) 4 80 % 20.00 19.36 3.87 97%
               
Women's Fights 20 (21%) 11 55 % 82.00 -9.08 -0.45 -11%
Bantamweight 5 (5%) 3 60 % 18.00 -3.44 -0.69 -19%
Flyweight 9 (10%) 5 56 % 38.00 -1.20 -0.13 -3%
Strawweight 6 (6%) 3 50 % 26.00 -4.44 -0.74 -17%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
0 0 nan %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
50-65% 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
35-50% 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
<35% chance 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
0 0 nan %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
0 0 nan % nan     0.0 (nan%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Value Picks's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
10th Apr UFC FN 28 9.4 33% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,093.60
17th Apr UFC FN 14 1.0 7% $10 $10.94 $1,093.60 $1,094.97
24th Apr UFC 261 42 1.8 4% $10 $10.95 $1,094.97 $1,105.12
1st May UFC FN 22 -4.4 -20% $10 $11.05 $1,105.12 $1,046.49
6th May PFL 2021: Week 3 4 2.4 59% $10 $10.46 $1,046.49 $1,061.19
7th May Bellator 258 4 -4.0 -100% $10 $10.61 $1,061.19 $1,008.74
8th May UFC FN 14 9.5 68% $10 $10.09 $1,008.74 $1,094.57
15th May UFC 262 16 1.2 8% $10 $10.95 $1,094.57 $1,098.15
22nd May Invicta 44 4 2.7 67% $10 $10.98 $1,098.15 $1,117.58
22nd May UFC FN 14 -6.3 -45% $10 $11.18 $1,117.58 $1,036.95
5th Jun UFC FN 18 13.7 76% $10 $10.37 $1,036.95 $1,168.80
12th Jun UFC 263 26 3.9 15% $10 $11.69 $1,168.80 $1,204.15
19th Jun UFC FN 6 -6.0 -100% $10 $12.04 $1,204.15 $1,121.90
26th Jun UFC FN 16 1.4 9% $10 $11.22 $1,121.90 $1,127.61
10th Jul UFC 264 36 -16.2 -45% $10 $11.28 $1,127.61 $934.93
17th Jul UFC FN 16 16.0 100% $10 $9.35 $934.93 $1,074.15
24th Jul UFC FN 22 0.2 1% $10 $10.74 $1,074.15 $1,066.30
31st Jul UFC FN 16 0.2 1% $10 $10.66 $1,066.30 $1,058.86
31st Jul Bellator 263 8 -0.8 -10% $10 $10.59 $1,058.86 $1,040.38
7th Aug UFC 265 16 6.4 40% $10 $10.40 $1,040.38 $1,096.55
21st Aug UFC FN 15 -6.2 -41% $10 $10.97 $1,096.55 $1,018.57
27th Aug PFL 2021 #9: Playoffs 12 -2.4 -20% $10 $10.19 $1,018.57 $984.12
28th Aug UFC FN 20 -13.6 -68% $10 $9.84 $984.12 $840.67


ROI % from starting bank balance: -15.93% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Value Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Aug '21 Paid Pick Bryan Battle Gilbert Urbina 1.61 4 Sub, R2 (2:15) MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '21 Paid Pick Bobby Moffett Jason Knight 2.40 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '21 Paid Pick Ramiz Brahimaj Sasha Palatnikov 1.76 5 Sub, R1 (2:33) MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '21 Paid Pick Johnny Munoz Jamey Simmons 1.34 4 Sub, R2 (2:35) MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '21 Paid Pick Jessica Penne Karolina Kowalkiewicz 2.22 4 Sub, R1 (4:32) MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '21 Paid Pick Yadong Song Casey Kenney 2.03 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '21 Paid Pick Phil Rowe Orion Cosce 2.55 4 TKO, R2 (4:21) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '21 Paid Pick Sean Strickland Urijah Hall 1.51 4 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '21 Paid Pick Mads Burnell Emmanuel Sanchez 1.80 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '21 Paid Pick Sijara Eubanks Elise Reed 1.28 2 TKO, R1 (3:49) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '21 Paid Pick Diana Belbita Hannah Goldy 2.10 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '21 Paid Pick Sijara Eubanks Elise Reed 1.28 4 TKO, R1 (3:49) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '21 Paid Pick Adrian Yanez Randy Costa 1.53 4 TKO, R2 (2:11) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '21 Paid Pick Malcolm Gordon Francisco Figueiredo 3.60 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '21 Paid Pick Mateusz Gamrot Jeremy Stephens 1.50 4 Sub, R1 (1:5) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '21 Paid Pick Miesha Tate Marion Reneau 1.72 4 TKO, R3 (1:53) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '21 Paid Pick Islam Makhachev Thiago Moises 1.17 4 Sub, R4 (2:38) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '21 Paid Pick Jennifer Maia Jessica Eye 1.54 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '21 Paid Pick Ilia Topuria Ryan Hall 1.50 4 TKO, R1 (4:47) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '21 Paid Pick Dricus Du Plessis Trevin Giles 1.91 4 TKO, R2 (1:41) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Aug '21 Paid Pick Guido Cannetti Mana Martinez 3.31 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '21 Paid Pick Makhmud Muradov Gerald Meerschaert 1.18 4 Sub, R2 (1:49) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '21 Paid Pick Brady Hiestand Ricky Turcios 2.38 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '21 Paid Pick Edson Barboza Giga Chikadze 1.89 4 TKO, R3 (1:44) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '21 Paid Pick Cory Hendricks Chris Camozzi 2.15 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '21 Paid Pick Brendan Loughnane Movlid Khaybulaev 2.70 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '21 Paid Pick Fabio Cherant William Knight 2.62 5 TKO, R1 (3:58) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '21 Paid Pick Domingo Pilarte Brian Kelleher 2.47 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '21 Paid Pick Anderson dos Santos Miles Johns 2.80 4 TKO, R3 (1:16) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '21 Paid Pick Rafa Garcia Chris Gruetzemacher 1.36 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '21 Paid Pick Gloria de Paula Cheyanne Buys 2.40 4 TKO, R1 (1:0) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '21 Paid Pick Patricio Freire A.J. McKee 1.90 4 Sub, R1 (1:57) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '21 Paid Pick Kyler Phillips Raulian Paiva 1.44 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '21 Paid Pick Cory Sandhagen T.J. Dillashaw 1.53 4 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '21 Paid Pick Jerome Rivera Zhalgas Zhumagulov 3.70 4 Sub, R1 (2:2) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '21 Paid Pick Carlos Condit Max Griffin 2.63 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '21 Paid Pick Yana Santos Irene Aldana 2.00 4 TKO, R1 (4:35) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '21 Paid Pick Greg Hardy Tai Tuivasa 2.16 4 TKO, R1 (1:7) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '21 Paid Pick Stephen Thompson Gilbert Burns 1.72 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '21 Paid Pick Conor McGregor Dustin Poirier 2.20 4 TKO, R1 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Value Picks: Progress Chart
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