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MMA Handicapper Stats: Shawn Bitter

Shawn Bitter (mmawizzard)


MMA MHandicapper - Shawn Bitter

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 46 (46%) Right 20 (44%) Right 21 (54%) Right 5 (31%)
Wrong 54 (54%) Wrong 25 (56%) Wrong 18 (46%) Wrong 11 (69%)
Avg Odds 2.33 Avg Odds 2.05 Avg Odds 2.60 Avg Odds 2.69
Units Bet 157.0 Units Bet 80.0 Units Bet 51.0 Units Bet 26.0
Avg Bet 1.57 Avg Bet 1.78 Avg Bet 1.31 Avg Bet 1.63
Units Profit 3.83 Units Profit -5.35 Units Profit 19.18 Units Profit -10.00
ROI % 2% ROI % -7% ROI % 38% ROI % -38%
View Handicapper's Profile

Shawn Bitter: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 8.5 1.2 14% -2.7 / 6 (-44%) 3.9 / 2.5 (155%)
20th Feb '21 LFA 100 3.5 -3.5 -100% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 7.5 1.1 15% -0.3 / 5.5 (-6%) 1.4 / 2 (72%)
12th Feb '21 LFA 99 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 12.5 -3.5 -28% -2.4 / 7.5 (-31%) 0.3 / 3.5 (9%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
29th Jan '21 LFA 98 2 2.7 135% 2.7 / 2 (135%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 6.5 -6.5 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 10 9.6 96% 1.1 / 2 (54%) 8.5 / 8 (106%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 3 -3.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 7.5 -0.9 -12% 1.3 / 1 (133%) -1.7 / 6 (-28%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 8 3.1 39% 2.9 / 2 (143%) 0.8 / 3 (27%) -0.5 / 3 (-18%)
12th Dec '20 Cage Warriors 119 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
11th Dec '20 Cage Warriors 118 2 3.6 180% 3.6 / 2 (180%)
11th Dec '20 Bellator 254 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 7 4.6 66% 2.5 / 4 (63%) 2.1 / 3 (70%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 3.5 6.8 194% 4.1 / 3 (135%) 2.7 / 0.5 (550%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 4.5 -0.8 -18% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 1.7 / 2 (84%)
18th Nov '20 DWCS 36 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
11th Nov '20 DWCS 35 3.5 -3.5 -100% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
8th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 13 10.5 -4.4 -42% 1.8 / 2 (91%) -2.2 / 4.5 (-49%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
5th Nov '20 DWCS 34 4 -0.3 -7% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 1.7 / 2 (87%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 8 4.2 53% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 6.1 / 5 (123%) 0.6 / 0.5 (113%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 4.5 3.4 75% -0.4 / 2 (-22%) 3.8 / 2.5 (152%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 6 -1.8 -30% -0.8 / 5 (-16%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 7.5 -1.3 -18% 0.8 / 4.5 (18%) -0.2 / 1 (-16%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 4 4.0 101% 1.5 / 1 (150%) 2.5 / 3 (85%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 6 -1.8 -30% 2.2 / 2 (110%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
26th Sep '20 Bellator Milan 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 7 0.7 11% 0.7 / 7 (11%)


Winning Events: 12 (41%)
Losing Events: 17 (59%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.41 units
Most Staked On One Event: 12.50 units
Best Event: 9.56 units
Worst Event: -6.50 units
Average Event: 0.13 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 11.44
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -10.97

Shawn Bitter: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 55.5 -3.9 -7% -8.1 / 29.5 (-27%) 10.6 / 19.5 (55%) -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%) 4 / 5 (44%) -0.44
2020 101.5 7.8 8% 2.7 / 50.5 (5%) 8.6 / 31.5 (27%) -3.5 / 19.5 (-18%) 8 / 12 (40%) 0.39

Shawn Bitter: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Shawn Bitter: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 132 14.8 11% 5.3 / 59 (9%) 19.4 / 47 (41%) -10.0 / 26 (-38%)
Bellator 3.5 -3.5 -100% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
Other 21.5 -7.5 -35% -7.2 / 17.5 (-41%) -0.3 / 4 (-7%)

Shawn Bitter: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 3 (7%) 2 67 % 6.50 -0.63 -0.21 -10%
Slight Favorites 17 (38%) 8 47 % 33.50 -5.32 -0.31 -16%
Slight Underdogs 20 (44%) 10 50 % 34.50 6.09 0.30 18%
Big Underdogs 5 (11%) 0 0 % 5.50 -5.50 -1.10 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 5 (11%) 0 0 % 9.00 -9.00 -1.80 -100%
Co-Main Event 7 (16%) 3 43 % 11.50 -0.93 -0.13 -8%
Position 3-5 10 (22%) 3 30 % 21.00 -4.83 -0.48 -23%
6+ (Undercard) 23 (51%) 14 61 % 38.50 9.40 0.41 24%

Shawn Bitter: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (2%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Light Heavy 2 (4%) 1 50 % 3.00 0.06 0.03 2%
Middleweight 6 (13%) 1 17 % 9.00 -5.18 -0.86 -58%
Welterweight 1 (2%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Lightweight 5 (11%) 3 60 % 10.00 4.05 0.81 40%
Featherweight 13 (29%) 7 54 % 23.50 3.53 0.27 15%
Bantamweight 4 (9%) 3 75 % 8.00 2.21 0.55 28%
Flyweight 5 (11%) 1 20 % 11.50 -7.73 -1.55 -67%
               
Women's Fights 8 (18%) 4 50 % 13.00 -0.28 -0.04 -2%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 1.00 1.33 1.33 133%
Flyweight 5 (11%) 2 40 % 8.00 -1.59 -0.32 -20%
Strawweight 2 (4%) 1 50 % 4.00 -0.03 -0.01 -1%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 25 (86%) 15 60 %
Slight Favorites 4 (14%) 2 50 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
29 17 59 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (2%) 0 0 %
50-65% 14 (29%) 9 64 %
35-50% 21 (43%) 12 57 %
<35% chance 13 (27%) 2 15 %
49 23 47 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (10%) 3 60 % 1.87 2.85Pick was incorrect 1.38Pick was incorrect 0.6 (13%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 16 (33%) 7 44 % 2.15 4.00Pick was correct 1.65Pick was incorrect 1.2 (7%)
Does not go to Decision 5 (10%) 3 60 % 2.16 2.50Pick was correct 1.91Pick was correct 1.7 (34%)
X Wins by KO 8 (16%) 6 75 % 2.32 4.25Pick was incorrect 1.69Pick was correct 4.8 (60%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (2%) 0 0 % 5.50 5.50Pick was incorrect 5.50Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (4%) 0 0 % 4.87 8.00Pick was incorrect 3.50Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 6 (12%) 4 67 % 2.88 4.25Pick was correct 2.25Pick was correct 5.7 (95%)
Others 6 (12%) 0 0 % 4.79 10.00Pick was incorrect 2.10Pick was incorrect -6.0 (-100%)
49 23 47 % 2.48     5.0 (10%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Shawn Bitter's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 7 0.7 11% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,007.40
26th Sep Bellator Milan 1.5 -1.5 -100% $10.07 $1,007.40 $992.29
26th Sep UFC 253 6 -1.8 -30% $9.92 $992.29 $974.43
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 4 4.0 101% $9.74 $974.43 $1,013.78
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 7.5 -1.3 -18% $10.14 $1,013.78 $1,000.21
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 6 -1.8 -30% $10.00 $1,000.21 $982.21
24th Oct UFC 254 4.5 3.4 75% $9.82 $982.21 $1,015.17
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 8 4.2 53% $10.15 $1,015.17 $1,057.98
5th Nov DWCS 34 4 -0.3 -7% $10.58 $1,057.98 $1,055.22
8th Nov UFC Vegas 13 10.5 -4.4 -42% $10.55 $1,055.22 $1,008.98
11th Nov DWCS 35 3.5 -3.5 -100% $10.09 $1,008.98 $973.66
18th Nov DWCS 36 2 -2.0 -100% $9.74 $973.66 $954.19
21st Nov UFC 255 4.5 -0.8 -18% $9.54 $954.19 $946.30
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 3.5 6.8 194% $9.46 $946.30 $1,010.65
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 7 4.6 66% $10.11 $1,010.65 $1,057.50
11th Dec Bellator 254 2 -2.0 -100% $10.58 $1,057.50 $1,036.35
11th Dec Cage Warriors 118 2 3.6 180% $10.36 $1,036.35 $1,073.66
12th Dec Cage Warriors 119 2.5 -2.5 -100% $10.74 $1,073.66 $1,046.82
13th Dec UFC 256 8 3.1 39% $10.47 $1,046.82 $1,079.78
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 7.5 -0.9 -12% $10.80 $1,079.78 $1,070.44
16th Jan UFC FN 3 -3.0 -100% $10.70 $1,070.44 $1,038.32
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 10 9.6 96% $10.38 $1,038.32 $1,137.58
24th Jan UFC 257 6.5 -6.5 -100% $11.38 $1,137.58 $1,063.64
29th Jan LFA 98 2 2.7 135% $10.64 $1,063.64 $1,092.36
6th Feb UFC FN 12.5 -3.5 -28% $10.92 $1,092.36 $1,053.85
12th Feb LFA 99 2 -2.0 -100% $10.54 $1,053.85 $1,032.77
14th Feb UFC 258 7.5 1.1 15% $10.33 $1,032.77 $1,044.37
20th Feb LFA 100 3.5 -3.5 -100% $10.44 $1,044.37 $1,007.82
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 8.5 1.2 14% $10.08 $1,007.82 $1,020.00


ROI % from starting bank balance: 2.00% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Shawn Bitter: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '21 Casey O'Neill Shana Dobson 1.67 2 TKO, R2 (3:41) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Chris Gutierrez Andre Ewell 1.72 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Beneil Dariush Carlos Diego Ferreira 2.06 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '21 Lucas Clay J.J. Okanovich 2.35 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '21 Manon Fiorot Victoria Leonardo 1.54 2 TKO, R2 (4:8) MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '20 Pannie Kianzad Sijara Eubanks 2.33 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '20 Gavin Tucker Billy Quarantillo 2.44 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '20 Cub Swanson Daniel Pineda 2.42 1 TKO, R2 (1:52) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '20 Ben Ellis Kingsley Crawford 2.80 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '20 Jamahal Hill Ovince St Preux 1.53 2 TKO, R2 (3:37) MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '20 Louis Smolka Jose Quinonez 1.74 2 TKO, R2 (2:15) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '20 Bill Algeo Spike Carlyle 2.35 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '20 Trevin Giles Bevon Lewis 1.91 2 TKO, R3 (1:26) MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '20 Casey Kenney Nathaniel Wood 1.56 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '20 Fares Ziam Jamie Mullarkey 2.10 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '20 Ilia Topuria Youssef Zalal 2.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '20 Edson Barboza Makwan Amirkhani 1.41 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '20 Ludovit Klein Shane Young 2.10 2 TKO, R1 (1:16) MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '20 Mackenzie Dern Randa Markos 1.59 2.5 Sub, R1 (3:44) MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '20 David Dvorak Jordan Espinosa 1.88 2 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '21 Eddie Wineland John Castaneda 2.01 2 TKO, R1 (4:44) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Nate Landwehr Julian Erosa 1.80 2 TKO, R1 (0:56) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Nate Smith Victor Altamirano 1.65 2.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Karlee Pangilinan Charles Johnson 3.80 1 Sub, R2 (1:41) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '21 Maycee Barber Alexa Grasso 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '21 Mallory Martin Polyana Viana 1.73 1.5 Sub, R1 (3:18) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '21 Nate Richardson Fernando Padilla 1.91 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '21 Manel Kape Alexandre Pantoja 2.23 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '21 Alistair Overeem Alexander Volkov 2.53 1 TKO, R2 (2:6) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jan '21 Antonio Carlos Junior Brad Tavares 1.87 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '20 Paul Hughes Jordan Vucenic 1.67 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '20 Ilima-Lei Macfarlane Juliana Velasquez 1.87 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '20 Ariane Lipski Antonina Shevchenko 2.30 2 TKO, R2 (4:33) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '20 Joseph Lowry Nikolas Motta 2.40 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '20 Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz Mario Sousa 1.95 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '20 Vince Murdock Luis Saldana 2.30 2 TKO, R3 (0:44) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '20 Kevin Natividad Miles Johns 2.60 1 TKO, R3 (2:51) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '20 Andre Fili Bryce Mitchell 2.45 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '20 Jacob Malkoun Phil Hawes 3.15 1 TKO, R1 (0:18) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '20 Claudio Silva James Krause 2.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Shawn Bitter: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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