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MMA Handicapper Stats: playtowin

playtowin (bencurl_)


MMA MHandicapper - playtowin

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 53 (45%) Right 26 (53%) Right 26 (41%) Right 1 (20%)
Wrong 64 (55%) Wrong 23 (47%) Wrong 37 (59%) Wrong 4 (80%)
Avg Odds 2.40 Avg Odds 2.09 Avg Odds 2.74 Avg Odds 2.07
Units Bet 201.2 Units Bet 99.5 Units Bet 92.7 Units Bet 9.0
Avg Bet 1.72 Avg Bet 2.03 Avg Bet 1.47 Avg Bet 1.80
Units Profit 26.08 Units Profit 15.62 Units Profit 15.37 Units Profit -4.91
ROI % 13% ROI % 16% ROI % 17% ROI % -55%
View Handicapper's Profile

playtowin : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
13th Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 187 4.5 -2.9 -64% -1.4 / 3 (-45%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
6th Mar '21 UFC 259 13.5 -5.4 -40% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 0.6 / 7.5 (7%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 5.2 2.8 54% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 5.8 / 2.2 (264%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 5.5 -1.1 -21% -0.0 / 2 (-0%) 0.9 / 1.5 (59%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 7 3.6 52% 2.0 / 5 (40%) 1.7 / 2 (83%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 3 -0.6 -22% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 0.4 / 2 (18%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 3.5 2.0 56% 2.5 / 3 (82%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 8 5.0 63% 5.0 / 8 (63%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 2 2.7 137% 2.7 / 2 (137%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 9.5 -1.8 -19% -0.3 / 8 (-3%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 8 5.0 62% 2.8 / 2 (138%) 2.2 / 6 (37%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 4 -2.2 -55% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -0.2 / 2 (-11%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 3 1.1 37% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2.1 / 2 (105%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 9.5 16.0 168% 12.0 / 6 (200%) 4.0 / 3.5 (114%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 6 -6.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 14 -10.2 -73% -8.2 / 12 (-68%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 6 -0.9 -14% 0.1 / 5 (3%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 7 -7.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 4.5 4.5 99% 2.0 / 1 (205%) 2.4 / 3.5 (69%)
5th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 183 3.5 3.7 107% 3.7 / 3.5 (107%)
29th Aug '20 UFC Fight Night 182 5.5 4.0 73% 4.0 / 5.5 (73%)
22nd Aug '20 UFC Vegas 7 3 0.8 27% 0.8 / 3 (27%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 6 -2.5 -42% -1.5 / 5 (-30%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 7 6.3 91% 6.3 / 7 (91%)
1st Aug '20 UFC Vegas 5 1.5 2.5 163% 3.0 / 1 (295%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 12 1.3 11% 1.8 / 3 (60%) -0.5 / 9 (-5%)
15th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 1 2.5 -2.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 15.5 8.5 55% 1.8 / 4 (45%) 6.7 / 11.5 (58%)
27th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 175 6 -1.9 -32% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 2.1 / 2 (105%)
20th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 174 12 4.2 35% -0.5 / 4 (-12%) 4.7 / 8 (58%)


Winning Events: 17 (55%)
Losing Events: 14 (45%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.49 units
Most Staked On One Event: 15.50 units
Best Event: 15.99 units
Worst Event: -10.18 units
Average Event: 0.84 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 17.09
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -27.04

playtowin : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 52.2 6.1 12% 2.9 / 31 (9%) 7.2 / 17.2 (42%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 5 / 4 (56%) 0.68
2020 149 20.0 13% 12.7 / 68.5 (19%) 8.1 / 75.5 (11%) -0.9 / 5 (-18%) 12 / 10 (55%) 0.91

playtowin : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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playtowin : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 201.2 26.1 13% 15.6 / 99.5 (16%) 15.4 / 92.7 (17%) -4.9 / 9 (-55%)

playtowin : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 3 (6%) 3 100 % 11.00 4.87 1.62 44%
Slight Favorites 22 (44%) 13 59 % 40.00 2.96 0.13 7%
Slight Underdogs 16 (32%) 8 50 % 31.50 10.39 0.65 33%
Big Underdogs 9 (18%) 3 33 % 17.00 -2.60 -0.29 -15%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 6 (12%) 4 67 % 17.00 3.13 0.52 18%
Co-Main Event 5 (10%) 3 60 % 13.00 0.45 0.09 3%
Position 3-5 23 (46%) 12 52 % 42.00 5.54 0.24 13%
6+ (Undercard) 16 (32%) 8 50 % 27.50 6.49 0.41 24%

playtowin : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 4 (8%) 1 25 % 6.00 -2.52 -0.63 -42%
Light Heavy 4 (8%) 1 25 % 4.50 -1.45 -0.36 -32%
Middleweight 10 (20%) 8 80 % 18.00 15.41 1.54 86%
Welterweight 8 (16%) 6 75 % 18.00 11.03 1.38 61%
Lightweight 5 (10%) 2 40 % 10.00 -4.44 -0.89 -44%
Featherweight 7 (14%) 5 71 % 15.00 2.26 0.32 15%
Bantamweight 6 (12%) 1 17 % 16.00 -10.86 -1.81 -68%
Flyweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 3.00 3.24 3.24 108%
               
Women's Fights 5 (10%) 2 40 % 9.00 2.94 0.59 33%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Flyweight 3 (6%) 2 67 % 7.00 4.94 1.65 71%
Strawweight 1 (2%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 8 (100%) 4 50 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
8 4 50 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (2%) 1 100 %
50-65% 16 (25%) 8 50 %
35-50% 17 (26%) 10 59 %
<35% chance 31 (48%) 8 26 %
65 27 42 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (8%) 3 60 % 1.98 2.65Pick was incorrect 1.61Pick was correct 0.8 (16%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 7 (11%) 4 57 % 2.09 3.00Pick was incorrect 1.59Pick was correct 0.8 (12%)
Goes to Decision 3 (5%) 1 33 % 1.94 2.40Pick was incorrect 1.71Pick was incorrect -1.2 (-39%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (2%) 1 100 % 1.56 1.56Pick was correct 1.56Pick was correct 0.6 (56%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 1 (2%) 0 0 % 1.91 1.91Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 11 (17%) 4 36 % 3.34 7.50Pick was correct 1.91Pick was incorrect 5.4 (49%)
X Wins by Sub 7 (11%) 2 29 % 3.45 6.00Pick was incorrect 1.71Pick was correct -1.5 (-22%)
X Wins by Decision 9 (14%) 5 56 % 3.20 7.50Pick was incorrect 1.95Pick was incorrect 6.3 (71%)
X Wins Inside Distance 14 (22%) 5 36 % 2.57 5.55Pick was correct 1.49Pick was correct 1.3 (9%)
Others 7 (11%) 2 29 % 3.57 29.00Pick was incorrect 1.87Pick was correct -3.1 (-44%)
65 27 42 % 2.69     8.5 (13%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail playtowin 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
20th Jun UFC Fight Night 174 12 4.2 35% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,041.88
27th Jun UFC Fight Night 175 6 -1.9 -32% $10.42 $1,041.88 $1,021.99
11th Jul UFC 251 15.5 8.5 55% $10.22 $1,021.99 $1,108.71
15th Jul UFC Fight Island 1 2.5 -2.5 -100% $11.09 $1,108.71 $1,080.99
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 12 1.3 11% $10.81 $1,080.99 $1,095.51
1st Aug UFC Vegas 5 1.5 2.5 163% $10.96 $1,095.51 $1,122.35
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 7 6.3 91% $11.22 $1,122.35 $1,193.47
15th Aug UFC 252 6 -2.5 -42% $11.93 $1,193.47 $1,163.41
22nd Aug UFC Vegas 7 3 0.8 27% $11.63 $1,163.41 $1,172.93
29th Aug UFC Fight Night 182 5.5 4.0 73% $11.73 $1,172.93 $1,220.03
5th Sep UFC Fight Night 183 3.5 3.7 107% $12.20 $1,220.03 $1,265.78
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 4.5 4.5 99% $12.66 $1,265.78 $1,322.28
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 3 -3.0 -100% $13.22 $1,322.28 $1,282.61
26th Sep UFC 253 7 -7.0 -100% $12.83 $1,282.61 $1,192.83
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 6 -0.9 -14% $11.93 $1,192.83 $1,182.60
24th Oct UFC 254 14 -10.2 -73% $11.83 $1,182.60 $1,062.19
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 6 -6.0 -100% $10.62 $1,062.19 $998.46
21st Nov UFC 255 9.5 16.0 168% $9.98 $998.46 $1,158.11
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 3 1.1 37% $11.58 $1,158.11 $1,170.85
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 4 -2.2 -55% $11.71 $1,170.85 $1,144.94
13th Dec UFC 256 8 5.0 62% $11.45 $1,144.94 $1,201.94
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 9.5 -1.8 -19% $12.02 $1,201.94 $1,180.73
16th Jan UFC FN 2 2.7 137% $11.81 $1,180.73 $1,213.08
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 8 5.0 63% $12.13 $1,213.08 $1,274.34
24th Jan UFC 257 3.5 2.0 56% $12.74 $1,274.34 $1,299.22
6th Feb UFC FN 3 -0.6 -22% $12.99 $1,299.22 $1,290.78
14th Feb UFC 258 7 3.6 52% $12.91 $1,290.78 $1,337.89
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 5.5 -1.1 -21% $13.38 $1,337.89 $1,322.81
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 5.2 2.8 54% $13.23 $1,322.81 $1,359.85
6th Mar UFC 259 13.5 -5.4 -40% $13.60 $1,359.85 $1,285.73
13th Mar UFC Fight Night 187 4.5 -2.9 -64% $12.86 $1,285.73 $1,248.98


ROI % from starting bank balance: 24.90% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

playtowin : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '21 Dan Ige Gavin Tucker 1.64 1 TKO, R1 (0:22) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Julian Erosa Nate Landwehr 1.99 1 TKO, R1 (0:56) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Kamaru Usman Gilbert Burns 1.40 5 TKO, R3 (0:34) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '21 Makhmud Muradov Andrew Sanchez 1.80 1 TKO, R3 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '21 Matt Schnell Tyson Nam 2.08 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '21 Omari Akhmedov Tom Breese 2.27 3 Sub, R2 (1:41) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '21 Punahele Soriano Dusko Todorovic 2.37 2 TKO, R1 (4:48) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '21 Makhmud Muradov Andrew Sanchez 1.83 2 TKO, R3 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '20 Michel Pereira Kalinn Williams 1.85 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '20 Stephen Thompson Geoff Neal 2.02 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '20 Cub Swanson Daniel Pineda 2.38 2 TKO, R2 (1:52) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '20 Tim Means Mike Perry 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '20 Nicolas Dalby Daniel Rodriguez 3.70 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '20 Katlyn Chookagian Cynthia Calvillo 2.80 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '20 Robert Whittaker Jared Cannonier 1.91 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '20 Cory Sandhagen Marlon Moraes 1.71 3 TKO, R2 (1:3) MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '20 Ed Herman Mike Rodriguez 3.05 1 Sub, R3 (2:41) MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '20 Joe Solecki Austin Hubbard 1.91 2 Sub, R1 (3:51) MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '20 Jairzinho Rozenstruik Junior dos Santos 1.74 2 TKO, R2 (3:47) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '20 Tim Means Laureano Staropoli 2.35 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '21 Misha Cirkunov Ryan Spann 1.73 2 TKO, R1 (1:11) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '21 Petr Yan Aljamain Sterling 1.79 4 No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Jimmie Rivera Pedro Munhoz 1.69 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Maxim Grishin Dustin Jacoby 2.90 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '21 Aleksei Oleinik Chris Daukaus 2.80 1 TKO, R1 (1:55) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '21 Carlos Diego Ferreira Beneil Dariush 1.85 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '21 Douglas Silva de Andrade Lerone Murphy 3.35 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '20 Marlon Moraes Rob Font 1.67 1 TKO, R1 (3:47) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '20 Gillian Robertson Taila Santos 1.87 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '20 Greg Hardy Marcin Tybura 1.91 1 TKO, R2 (4:31) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '20 Matt Wiman Jordan Leavitt 4.40 1 TKO, R1 (0:22) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '20 Jack Hermansson Marvin Vettori 2.20 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '20 Rachael Ostovich Gina Mazany 2.70 1 TKO, R3 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '20 Andre Fili Bryce Mitchell 2.07 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '20 Alex Oliveira Shavkat Rakhmonov 2.09 2 Sub, R1 (4:40) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '20 Nathaniel Wood Casey Kenney 2.40 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '20 Justin Gaethje Khabib Nurmagomedov 3.75 5 Sub, R2 (1:34) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '20 Ben Rothwell Marcin Tybura 1.72 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '20 Mizuki Inoue Amanda Lemos 1.77 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '20 John Dodson Merab Dvalishvili 3.00 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

playtowin : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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