MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: Bet Value

Bet Value (BettingOnValue)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	45 (40%)	Right	45 (41%)	Right	0 (nan%)	Right	0 (0%)
Wrong	67 (60%)	Wrong	66 (59%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)	Wrong	1 (100%)
Avg Odds	2.40	Avg Odds	2.40	Avg Odds	nan	Avg Odds	2.07
Units Bet	54.7	Units Bet	53.9	Units Bet	0.0	Units Bet	0.8
Avg Bet	0.49	Avg Bet	0.49	Avg Bet	nan	Avg Bet	0.75
Units Profit	5.95	Units Profit	6.70	Units Profit	0.00	Units Profit	-0.75
ROI %	11%	ROI %	12%	ROI %	nan%	ROI %	-100%

Bet Value: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
29th Aug '20	UFC Fight Night 182	0.2	-0.2	-100%	-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
15th Aug '20	UFC 252	0.5	0.5	103%	0.5 / 0.5 (103%)
1st Aug '20	UFC Vegas 5	0.35	0.1	16%	0.1 / 0.35 (16%)
25th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 3	1	1.8	177%	1.8 / 1 (177%)
18th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 2	1.25	-1.3	-100%	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
20th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 174	0.75	0.7	88%	0.7 / 0.75 (88%)
13th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 173	1	0.4	45%	0.4 / 1 (45%)
6th Jun '20	UFC 250	1.5	1.3	90%	1.3 / 1.5 (90%)
30th May '20	UFC Fight Night 172	1.75	-1.8	-100%	-1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
16th May '20	UFC Fight Night 171	1	0.5	53%	0.5 / 1 (53%)
14th May '20	UFC Fight Night 170	2	0.4	22%	0.4 / 2 (22%)
10th May '20	UFC 249	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
14th Mar '20	UFC Fight Night 169	1.33	0.4	33%	0.4 / 1.33 (33%)
8th Mar '20	UFC 248	0.85	-0.9	-100%	-0.9 / 0.85 (-100%)
29th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night	0.6	0.5	79%	0.5 / 0.6 (79%)
15th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night 167	1.5	1.1	73%	1.1 / 1.5 (73%)
9th Feb '20	UFC 247	1.33	-0.2	-13%	-0.2 / 1.33 (-13%)
25th Jan '20	UFC Fight Night 166	0.6	-0.6	-100%	-0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)
18th Jan '20	UFC 246	0.75	0.8	110%	0.8 / 0.75 (110%)
21st Dec '19	UFC Fight Night 165	1.1	-0.5	-48%	-0.5 / 1.1 (-48%)
15th Dec '19	UFC 245	0.85	-0.9	-100%	-0.9 / 0.85 (-100%)
7th Dec '19	UFC on ESPN 7	1.1	-1.1	-100%	-1.1 / 1.1 (-100%)
14th Nov '19	Bellator 234	0.3	-0.3	-100%	-0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)
9th Nov '19	UFC Fight Night 163	0.25	-0.3	-100%	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
2nd Nov '19	UFC 244	2.75	1.2	42%	1.2 / 2.75 (42%)
18th Oct '19	UFC ESPN 6	1.7	-0.8	-49%	-0.8 / 1.7 (-49%)
12th Oct '19	UFC on ESPN+ 19	0.7	0.6	91%	0.6 / 0.7 (91%)
5th Oct '19	UFC 243	0.5	0.6	110%	0.6 / 0.5 (110%)
28th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 160	1.5	0.1	4%	0.1 / 1.5 (4%)
14th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 158	1.5	0.6	38%	0.6 / 1.5 (38%)
8th Sep '19	Bellator 226	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
7th Sep '19	UFC 242	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
20th Aug '19	DWCS 25	0.5	0.4	71%	0.4 / 0.5 (71%)
17th Aug '19	UFC 241	3	2.7	91%	2.7 / 3 (91%)
14th Aug '19	DWCS 24	0.75	-0.8	-100%			-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
10th Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 156	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Aug '19	PFL 2019: Week 6	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
7th Aug '19	DWCS 23	0.33	0.4	120%	0.4 / 0.33 (120%)
3rd Aug '19	UFC on ESPN 5	2	0.2	10%	0.2 / 2 (10%)
31st Jul '19	DWCS 22	0.75	0.7	95%	0.7 / 0.75 (95%)
27th Jul '19	UFC 240	1	0.1	7%	0.1 / 1 (7%)
20th Jul '19	UFC on ESPN 4	2.25	1.2	53%	1.2 / 2.25 (53%)
17th Jul '19	DWCS 20	0.75	-0.8	-100%	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
6th Jul '19	UFC 239	1.75	1.3	71%	1.3 / 1.75 (71%)
8th Jun '19	UFC 238	1	0.9	85%	0.9 / 1 (85%)
1st Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 153	2	2.9	143%	2.9 / 2 (143%)
18th May '19	KSW 49	0.6	-0.6	-100%	-0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19	UFC 235	3	-1.0	-32%	-1.0 / 3 (-32%)
23rd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 145	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Winning Events: 27 (55%)
Losing Events: 22 (45%)

Average Staked Per Event: 1.12 units
Most Staked On One Event: 3.00 units
Best Event: 2.85 units
Worst Event: -1.75 units
Average Event: 0.12 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 4.95
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -3.02

Bet Value: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	19.26	2.8	14%	2.8 / 19.26 (14%)			12 / 7 (63%)	0.15
2019	35.43	3.2	9%	3.9 / 34.68 (11%)		-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)	15 / 15 (50%)	0.11

Bet Value: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Bet Value: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	49.71	7.9	16%	7.9 / 49.71 (16%)
Bellator	0.8	-0.8	-100%	-0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)
PFL	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
Other	3.68	-0.6	-17%	0.1 / 2.93 (4%)		-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)

Bet Value: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	2 (2%)	2	100 %	2.00	0.98	0.49	49%
Slight Favorites	29 (26%)	12	41 %	15.38	-3.71	-0.13	-24%
Slight Underdogs	50 (45%)	27	54 %	28.91	9.78	0.20	34%
Big Underdogs	30 (27%)	4	13 %	7.65	-0.34	-0.01	-5%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	18 (16%)	7	39 %	7.00	0.69	0.04	10%
Co-Main Event	15 (14%)	8	53 %	6.03	1.95	0.13	32%
Position 3-5	30 (27%)	15	50 %	16.50	6.18	0.21	37%
6+ (Undercard)	48 (43%)	15	31 %	24.41	-2.11	-0.04	-9%

Bet Value: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	21 (19%)	9	43 %	9.50	1.72	0.08	18%
Light Heavy	17 (15%)	8	47 %	8.60	-0.77	-0.05	-9%
Middleweight	14 (13%)	5	36 %	6.08	-0.62	-0.04	-10%
Welterweight	19 (17%)	7	37 %	9.10	2.04	0.11	22%
Lightweight	8 (7%)	2	25 %	3.85	0.15	0.02	4%
Featherweight	12 (11%)	7	58 %	7.38	3.64	0.30	49%
Bantamweight	13 (12%)	3	23 %	6.35	-0.58	-0.04	-9%
Flyweight	2 (2%)	2	100 %	1.25	1.52	0.76	122%

Women's Fights	5 (5%)	2	40 %	1.83	-0.40	-0.08	-22%
Featherweight	1 (1%)		0 %	0.25	-0.25	-0.25	-100%
Bantamweight	1 (1%)		0 %	0.33	-0.33	-0.33	-100%
Flyweight	2 (2%)	2	100 %	0.75	0.68	0.34	91%
Strawweight	1 (1%)		0 %	0.50	-0.50	-0.50	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	1 (50%)	1	100 %
Slight Favorites	1 (50%)	0	0 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	2	1	50 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
50-65%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
35-50%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
<35% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
	0	0	nan %	nan			0.0 (nan%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Bet Value's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
23rd Feb	UFC Fight Night 145	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$990.00
2nd Mar	UFC 235	3	-1.0	-32%		$9.90	$990.00	$980.35
18th May	KSW 49	0.6	-0.6	-100%		$9.80	$980.35	$974.47
1st Jun	UFC Fight Night 153	2	2.9	143%		$9.74	$974.47	$1,002.24
8th Jun	UFC 238	1	0.9	85%		$10.02	$1,002.24	$1,010.76
6th Jul	UFC 239	1.75	1.3	71%		$10.11	$1,010.76	$1,023.39
17th Jul	DWCS 20	0.75	-0.8	-100%		$10.23	$1,023.39	$1,015.72
20th Jul	UFC on ESPN 4	2.25	1.2	53%	$5	$10.16	$1,015.72	$1,022.78
27th Jul	UFC 240	1	0.1	7%	$5	$10.23	$1,022.78	$1,018.55
31st Jul	DWCS 22	0.75	0.7	95%	$5	$10.19	$1,018.55	$1,020.78
3rd Aug	UFC on ESPN 5	2	0.2	10%	$5	$10.21	$1,020.78	$1,017.82
7th Aug	DWCS 23	0.33	0.4	120%	$5	$10.18	$1,017.82	$1,016.85
8th Aug	PFL 2019: Week 6	0.5	-0.5	-100%	$5	$10.17	$1,016.85	$1,006.76
10th Aug	UFC Fight Night 156	1	-1.0	-100%	$5	$10.07	$1,006.76	$991.70
14th Aug	DWCS 24	0.75	-0.8	-100%	$5	$9.92	$991.70	$979.26
17th Aug	UFC 241	3	2.7	91%	$5	$9.79	$979.26	$1,000.99
20th Aug	DWCS 25	0.5	0.4	71%	$5	$10.01	$1,000.99	$999.55
7th Sep	UFC 242	0.5	-0.5	-100%	$5	$10.00	$999.55	$989.55
8th Sep	Bellator 226	0.5	-0.5	-100%	$5	$9.90	$989.55	$979.60
14th Sep	UFC Fight Night 158	1.5	0.6	38%	$5	$9.80	$979.60	$980.23
28th Sep	UFC Fight Night 160	1.5	0.1	4%	$5	$9.80	$980.23	$975.85
5th Oct	UFC 243	0.5	0.6	110%	$5	$9.76	$975.85	$976.21
12th Oct	UFC on ESPN+ 19	0.7	0.6	91%	$5	$9.76	$976.21	$977.46
18th Oct	UFC ESPN 6	1.7	-0.8	-49%	$5	$9.77	$977.46	$964.35
2nd Nov	UFC 244	2.75	1.2	42%	$5	$9.64	$964.35	$970.58
9th Nov	UFC Fight Night 163	0.25	-0.3	-100%	$5	$9.71	$970.58	$963.16
14th Nov	Bellator 234	0.3	-0.3	-100%	$5	$9.63	$963.16	$955.27
7th Dec	UFC on ESPN 7	1.1	-1.1	-100%	$5	$9.55	$955.27	$939.76
15th Dec	UFC 245	0.85	-0.9	-100%	$5	$9.40	$939.76	$926.77
21st Dec	UFC Fight Night 165	1.1	-0.5	-48%	$5	$9.27	$926.77	$916.91
18th Jan	UFC 246	0.75	0.8	110%	$5	$9.17	$916.91	$919.47
25th Jan	UFC Fight Night 166	0.6	-0.6	-100%	$5	$9.19	$919.47	$908.95
9th Feb	UFC 247	1.33	-0.2	-13%	$5	$9.09	$908.95	$902.40
15th Feb	UFC Fight Night 167	1.5	1.1	73%	$5	$9.02	$902.40	$907.30
29th Feb	UFC Fight Night	0.6	0.5	79%	$5	$9.07	$907.30	$906.61
8th Mar	UFC 248	0.85	-0.9	-100%	$5	$9.07	$906.61	$893.91
14th Mar	UFC Fight Night 169	1.33	0.4	33%	$5	$8.94	$893.91	$892.77
10th May	UFC 249	1	-1.0	-100%	$5	$8.93	$892.77	$878.84
14th May	UFC Fight Night 170	2	0.4	22%	$5	$8.79	$878.84	$877.71
16th May	UFC Fight Night 171	1	0.5	53%	$5	$8.78	$877.71	$877.36
30th May	UFC Fight Night 172	1.75	-1.8	-100%	$5	$8.77	$877.36	$857.01
6th Jun	UFC 250	1.5	1.3	90%	$5	$8.57	$857.01	$863.58
13th Jun	UFC Fight Night 173	1	0.4	45%	$5	$8.64	$863.58	$862.47
20th Jun	UFC Fight Night 174	0.75	0.7	88%	$5	$8.62	$862.47	$863.18
18th Jul	UFC Fight Island 2	1.25	-1.3	-100%	$5	$8.63	$863.18	$847.39
25th Jul	UFC Fight Island 3	1	1.8	177%	$5	$8.47	$847.39	$857.43
1st Aug	UFC Vegas 5	0.35	0.1	16%	$5	$8.57	$857.43	$852.90
15th Aug	UFC 252	0.5	0.5	103%	$5	$8.53	$852.90	$852.29
29th Aug	UFC Fight Night 182	0.2	-0.2	-100%	$5	$8.52	$852.29	$845.59

ROI % from starting bank balance: -15.44% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Bet Value: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Aug '20	Stipe Miocic	Daniel Cormier	2.03	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
2.	Aug '20	Derek Brunson	Edmen Shahbazyan	4.05	0.1	TKO, R3 (0:26)
3.	Jul '20	Fabricio Werdum	Alexander Gustafsson	3.75	0.5	Sub, R1 (2:30)
4.	Jul '20	Robert Whittaker	Darren Till	1.80	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
5.	Jun '20	Belal Muhammad	Lyman Good	1.83	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jun '20	Lauren Murphy	Roxanne Modafferi	1.91	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jun '20	Andre Fili	Charles Jourdain	1.45	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Jun '20	Alex Caceres	Chase Hooper	2.85	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	May '20	Yadong Song	Marlon Vera	1.53	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	May '20	Ben Rothwell	Ovince St Preux	2.20	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
11.	May '20	Glover Teixeira	Anthony Smith	2.68	0.5	TKO, R5 (1:4)
12.	Mar '20	Nikita Krylov	Johnny Walker	2.25	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Mar '20	Charles Oliveira	Kevin Lee	2.40	0.5	Sub, R3 (0:28)
14.	Feb '20	Marcin Tybura	Sergey Spivak	2.00	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Feb '20	Deiveson Figueiredo	Joseph Benavidez	2.30	0.25	TKO, R2 (1:54)
16.	Feb '20	Lando Vannata	Yancy Medeiros	1.83	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Feb '20	Diego Sanchez	Michel Pereira	2.45	0.5
18.	Feb '20	Andre Ewell	Jonathan Martinez	1.93	0.25	Split Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Feb '20	Trevin Giles	James Krause	2.05	0.33	Split Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Jan '20	Aleksei Oleinik	Maurice Greene	2.10	0.75	Sub, R2 (4:38)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Aug '20	Robbie Lawler	Neil Magny	3.20	0.1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Aug '20	Anthony Smith	Aleksandar Rakic	3.25	0.1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Aug '20	Randy Brown	Vicente Luque	2.80	0.25	TKO, R2 (4:56)	No
4.	Jul '20	Kelvin Gastelum	Jack Hermansson	1.95	0.5	Sub, R1 (1:18)	No
5.	Jul '20	Nad Narimani	Grant Dawson	3.10	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Jul '20	Carlos Felipe	Sergey Spivak	2.54	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Jun '20	Evan Dunham	Herbert Burns	3.00	0.5	Sub, R1 (1:20)	No
8.	May '20	Tyron Woodley	Gilbert Burns	1.65	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
9.	May '20	Blagoy Ivanov	Augusto Sakai	2.00	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	May '20	Vincent Morales	Chris Gutierrez	2.05	0.5	TKO, R2 (4:27)	No
11.	May '20	Louis Smolka	Casey Kenney	3.45	0.25	Sub, R1 (3:3)	No
12.	May '20	Michael Johnson	Thiago Moises	2.00	0.5	Sub, R2 (0:25)	No
13.	May '20	Ray Borg	Ricky Simon	2.40	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	May '20	Donald Cerrone	Anthony Pettis	2.35	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	May '20	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	Francis Ngannou	3.30	0.25	TKO, R1 (0:20)	No
16.	May '20	Yorgan De Castro	Greg Hardy	2.90	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Mar '20	Veronica Macedo	Bea Malecki	1.66	0.33	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Mar '20	Bruno Silva	David Dvorak	2.05	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Mar '20	Saparbek Safarov	Rodolfo Vieira	5.80	0.1	Sub, R1 (2:58)	No
20.	Mar '20	Deron Winn	Gerald Meerschaert	1.76	0.25	Sub, R3 (2:13)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Bet Value: Progress Chart

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