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Total MMA Handicappers: 1432 Profitable MMA Handicappers: 577 |
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Profit / Loss by Organization |
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Straight Pick Stats |
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Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
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| Picks | Correct | % Correct | Units Bet | Units Profit | Profit per Pick | ROI | |
| Main Event | 8 (9%) | 6 | 75 % | 19.65 | 2.45 | 0.31 | 12% |
| Co-Main Event | 8 (9%) | 3 | 38 % | 7.45 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 1% |
| Position 3-5 | 25 (29%) | 15 | 60 % | 38.87 | 8.65 | 0.35 | 22% |
| 6+ (Undercard) | 45 (52%) | 24 | 53 % | 90.75 | 3.31 | 0.07 | 4% |
by Weight Class
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | Units Bet | Units Profit | Profit per Pick | ROI | |
| Heavyweight | 6 (7%) | 5 | 83 % | 17.15 | 2.68 | 0.45 | 16% |
| Light Heavy | 9 (10%) | 6 | 67 % | 7.84 | 3.08 | 0.34 | 39% |
| Middleweight | 7 (8%) | 5 | 71 % | 12.76 | 3.08 | 0.44 | 24% |
| Welterweight | 12 (14%) | 7 | 58 % | 19.86 | -1.62 | -0.13 | -8% |
| Lightweight | 18 (21%) | 7 | 39 % | 51.55 | -0.13 | -0.01 | -0% |
| Featherweight | 13 (15%) | 6 | 46 % | 13.08 | 0.77 | 0.06 | 6% |
| Bantamweight | 5 (6%) | 1 | 20 % | 2.75 | -2.40 | -0.48 | -87% |
| Flyweight | 4 (5%) | 4 | 100 % | 3.80 | 3.80 | 0.95 | 100% |
| Women's Fights | 12 (14%) | 7 | 58 % | 27.93 | 5.20 | 0.43 | 19% |
| Featherweight | 1 (1%) | 1 | 100 % | 1.00 | 2.35 | 2.35 | 235% |
| Bantamweight | 1 (1%) | 1 | 100 % | 5.10 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 59% |
| Bantamweight | 4 (5%) | 1 | 25 % | 2.60 | -1.98 | -0.49 | -76% |
| Strawweight | 6 (7%) | 4 | 67 % | 19.23 | 1.83 | 0.30 | 9% |
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)
Straight picks within parlays
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | |
| Big Favorites | 15 (83%) | 12 | 80 % |
| Slight Favorites | 2 (11%) | 1 | 50 % |
| Slight Underdogs | 1 (6%) | 0 | 0 % |
| Big Underdogs | 0 (0%) | 0 | 0 % |
| 18 | 13 | 72 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | |
| >65% chance | 2 (18%) | 1 | 50 % |
| 50-65% | 1 (9%) | 0 | 0 % |
| 35-50% | 3 (27%) | 0 | 0 % |
| <35% chance | 5 (45%) | 2 | 40 % |
| 11 | 3 | 27 % |
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
| Prop Type | Picks | Correct | % Correct | Avg Odds |
Longest Odds |
Shortest Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
| Goes to Decision | 1 (9%) | 0 | 0 % | 2.15 | 2.15 |
2.15 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
| Does not go to Decision | 1 (9%) | 1 | 100 % | 1.33 | 1.33 |
1.33 |
0.3 (33%) |
| X Wins by Sub | 2 (18%) | 0 | 0 % | 4.52 | 7.40 |
3.25 |
-2.0 (-100%) |
| X Wins by Decision | 2 (18%) | 0 | 0 % | 2.45 | 4.65 |
1.67 |
-2.0 (-100%) |
| X Wins Inside Distance | 5 (45%) | 2 | 40 % | 2.43 | 6.75 |
1.29 |
5.3 (106%) |
| 11 | 3 | 27 % | 2.43 | 0.6 (6%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.
Tail handicapper's bets
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date | Event | Bet | Won | ROI | Fee | 1 unit = | Start | End |
| 22nd Sep | UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo | 11.4 | 0.4 | 3% | $10.00 | $1,000.00 | $1,003.68 | |
| 6th Oct | UFC 229 | 11.08 | -3.2 | -29% | $10.04 | $1,003.68 | $971.74 | |
| 20th Oct | PFL 10 | 1.95 | 1.0 | 51% | $9.72 | $971.74 | $981.45 | |
| 27th Oct | UFC Fight Night 138 | 1.83 | -0.1 | -3% | $9.81 | $981.45 | $980.96 | |
| 3rd Nov | UFC 230 | 27.28 | 2.0 | 7% | $9.81 | $980.96 | $1,000.94 | |
| 10th Nov | UFC Fight Night Denver | 44.35 | 10.9 | 25% | $10.01 | $1,000.94 | $1,110.04 | |
| 15th Nov | Bellator 209 | 0.56 | -0.6 | -100% | $11.10 | $1,110.04 | $1,103.82 | |
| 17th Nov | UFC Fight Night 140 | 5.25 | 0.2 | 5% | $11.04 | $1,103.82 | $1,106.58 | |
| 24th Nov | UFC Fight Night 141 | 18.25 | 5.2 | 28% | $11.07 | $1,106.58 | $1,164.12 | |
| 1st Dec | UFC Fight Night 142 | 18.5 | 8.9 | 48% | $11.64 | $1,164.12 | $1,267.55 | |
| 8th Dec | UFC 231 | 8.055 | -4.9 | -61% | $12.68 | $1,267.55 | $1,205.00 | |
| 15th Dec | Fight Night Milwaukee | 8.68 | -0.6 | -7% | $12.05 | $1,205.00 | $1,198.01 | |
| 29th Dec | UFC 232 | 6.26 | 1.0 | 16% | $11.98 | $1,198.01 | $1,209.92 | |
| 19th Jan | UFC on ESPN+ 1 | 9.61 | -4.2 | -44% | $12.10 | $1,209.92 | $1,158.68 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 15.87% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.
Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
| Date | Straight Pick | Opponent | Odds | Bet | Result | |||
| 1. | Jan '19 | Gregor Gillespie | Yancy Medeiros | 1.22 | 2.25 | TKO, R2 (4:59) | 
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| 2. | Jan '19 | Paige VanZant | Rachael Ostovich | 1.67 | 0.375 | Sub, R2 (1:50) |
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| 3. | Jan '19 | Glover Teixeira | Karl Roberson | 1.83 | 0.3 | Sub, R1 (3:21) |
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| 4. | Jan '19 | Henry Cejudo | T.J. Dillashaw | 2.90 | 0.5 | TKO, R1 (0:32) |
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| 5. | Dec '18 | Urijah Hall | Bevon Lewis | 1.91 | 0.11 | TKO, R3 (1:32) |
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| 6. | Dec '18 | Amanda Nunes | Cristiane Justino | 3.35 | 1 | TKO, R1 (0:51) |
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| 7. | Dec '18 | Jon Jones | Alexander Gustafsson | 1.39 | 0.75 | TKO, R3 (2:2) |
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| 8. | Dec '18 | Walt Harris | Andrei Arlovski | 1.61 | 1.65 | Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 9. | Dec '18 | Joaquim Silva | Jared Gordon | 2.70 | 3 | TKO, R3 (2:39) |
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| 10. | Dec '18 | Gunnar Nelson | Alex Oliveira | 1.77 | 0.455 | Sub, R2 (4:17) |
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| 11. | Dec '18 | Gilbert Burns | Olivier Aubin-Mercier | 2.15 | 0.1 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 12. | Dec '18 | Max Holloway | Brian Ortega | 2.10 | 1 | TKO, R4 (5:0) |
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| 13. | Dec '18 | Damir Ismagulov | Alex Gorgees | 1.21 | 1 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 14. | Dec '18 | Sodiq Yusuff | Suman Mokhtarian | 1.22 | 5 | TKO, R1 (2:14) |
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| 15. | Dec '18 | Alexey Kunchenko | Yushin Okami | 1.33 | 3 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 16. | Dec '18 | Jim Crute | Paul Craig | 1.50 | 2 | Sub, R3 (4:51) |
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| 17. | Dec '18 | Wilson Reis | Ben Nguyen | 2.35 | 1 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 18. | Dec '18 | Justin Willis | Mark Hunt | 2.10 | 1 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 19. | Dec '18 | Junior dos Santos | Tai Tuivasa | 1.67 | 1 | TKO, R2 (2:30) |
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| 20. | Nov '18 | Pingyuan Liu | Martin Day | 1.40 | 0.25 | Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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Last 20 Losses
| Date | Straight Pick | Opponent | Odds | Bet | Result | Hedge? | |||
| 1. | Jan '19 | Te Edwards | Dennis Bermudez | 1.83 | 0.3 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 2. | Jan '19 | Alexander Hernandez | Donald Cerrone | 1.59 | 0.85 | TKO, R2 (3:43) | No |
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| 3. | Jan '19 | Ariane Lipski | Joanne Calderwood | 1.53 | 0.475 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 4. | Jan '19 | Greg Hardy | Allen Crowder | 1.22 | 2.25 | No |
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| 5. | Dec '18 | Andre Ewell | Nathaniel Wood | 2.00 | 1 | Sub, R3 (4:12) | No | 
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| 6. | Dec '18 | Douglas Silva de Andrade | Petr Yan | 3.50 | 0.25 | TKO, R2 (5:0) | No |
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| 7. | Dec '18 | Chad Mendes | Alex Volkanovski | 1.67 | 0.75 | TKO, R2 (4:14) | No |
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| 8. | Dec '18 | Carlos Condit | Michael Chiesa | 2.50 | 0.75 | Sub, R2 (0:56) | No |
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| 9. | Dec '18 | Dwight Grant | Zak Ottow | 1.36 | 1.4 | Split Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 10. | Dec '18 | Jim Miller | Charles Oliveira | 3.50 | 1 | Sub, R1 (1:15) | No |
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| 11. | Dec '18 | Sergio Pettis | Rob Font | 2.60 | 0.25 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 12. | Dec '18 | Daniel Hooker | Edson Barboza | 1.91 | 0.55 | TKO, R3 (2:19) | No |
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| 13. | Dec '18 | Katlyn Chookagian | Jessica Eye | 1.67 | 0.75 | Split Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 14. | Dec '18 | Kyle Bochniak | Hakeem Dawodu | 2.60 | 0.25 | Split Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 15. | Dec '18 | Eryk Anders | Elias Theodorou | 2.16 | 0.25 | Split Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 16. | Dec '18 | Jimi Manuwa | Thiago Santos | 2.75 | 0.25 | TKO, R2 (0:41) | No |
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| 17. | Dec '18 | Chad Laprise | Dhiego Lima | 1.38 | 5 | TKO, R1 (1:37) | No |
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| 18. | Dec '18 | Jake Matthews | Tony Martin | 1.95 | 0.5 | Sub, R3 (1:19) | No |
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| 19. | Nov '18 | Lauren Mueller | Yanan Wu | 1.22 | 1 | Sub, R1 (4:0) | No |
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| 20. | Nov '18 | Phil Davis | Vadim Nemkov | 1.32 | 0.31 | Split Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.
Progress Chart
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