MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Rhys

Rhys (rhyspiece)

MMA MHandicapper - Rhys

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	58 (53%)	Right	28 (60%)	Right	24 (56%)	Right	6 (32%)
Wrong	51 (47%)	Wrong	19 (40%)	Wrong	19 (44%)	Wrong	13 (68%)
Avg Odds	1.71	Avg Odds	1.63	Avg Odds	1.75	Avg Odds	1.82
Units Bet	324.8	Units Bet	131.3	Units Bet	119.0	Units Bet	74.5
Avg Bet	2.98	Avg Bet	2.79	Avg Bet	2.77	Avg Bet	3.92
Units Profit	-55.97	Units Profit	-4.72	Units Profit	-14.38	Units Profit	-36.88
ROI %	-17%	ROI %	-4%	ROI %	-12%	ROI %	-50%

Rhys : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
10th Jul '21	UFC 264	6	1.1	18%	1.1 / 6 (18%)
19th Jun '21	UFC FN	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
12th Jun '21	UFC 263	33.25	-13.8	-42%	-1.8 / 21.25 (-9%)	-12.0 / 12 (-100%)
10th Jun '21	PFL 2021: Week 4	10	3.8	38%	3.8 / 10 (38%)
5th Jun '21	UFC FN	2.75	0.2	8%	0.2 / 2.75 (8%)
22nd May '21	UFC FN	60.25	10.9	18%	-0.5 / 22.25 (-2%)	8.0 / 29 (27%)	3.4 / 9 (38%)
21st May '21	Bellator 259	21	-21.0	-100%			-21.0 / 21 (-100%)
15th May '21	UFC 262	36	-14.4	-40%	-4.6 / 16 (-29%)	-0.7 / 11 (-7%)	-9.0 / 9 (-100%)
8th May '21	UFC FN	34.5	-8.2	-24%	2.8 / 21 (14%)	-11.0 / 13.5 (-82%)
7th May '21	Bellator 258	26	-13.3	-51%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)	-2.3 / 15 (-15%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
6th May '21	PFL 2021: Week 3	22.5	-18.2	-81%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-1.7 / 6 (-28%)	-13.5 / 13.5 (-100%)
1st May '21	UFC FN	23	3.1	14%	2.3 / 5 (46%)	-0.8 / 16 (-5%)	1.6 / 2 (81%)
29th Apr '21	PFL 2021: Week 2	11	3.8	34%		1.4 / 6 (23%)	2.4 / 5 (48%)
24th Apr '21	UFC 261	29.5	19.0	65%	6.0 / 13 (46%)	4.8 / 10.5 (46%)	8.2 / 6 (137%)
23rd Apr '21	PFL 2021: Week 1	4	-4.0	-100%			-4.0 / 4 (-100%)

Winning Events: 7 (47%)
Losing Events: 8 (53%)

Average Staked Per Event: 21.65 units
Most Staked On One Event: 60.25 units
Best Event: 19.03 units
Worst Event: -21.00 units
Average Event: -3.73 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 25.91
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -74.97

Rhys : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	324.75	-56.0	-17%	-4.7 / 131.25 (-4%)		-36.9 / 74.5 (-50%)	7 / 8 (47%)	-3.73

Rhys : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Rhys : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	230.25	-7.1	-3%	0.5 / 112.25 (0%)	-11.8 / 92 (-13%)	4.2 / 26 (16%)
Bellator	47	-34.3	-73%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)	-2.3 / 15 (-15%)	-26.0 / 26 (-100%)
PFL	47.5	-14.6	-31%	0.8 / 13 (6%)	-0.3 / 12 (-3%)	-15.1 / 22.5 (-67%)

Rhys : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	21 (41%)	13	62 %	75.00	-7.45	-0.35	-10%
Slight Favorites	25 (49%)	16	64 %	48.75	-3.56	-0.14	-7%
Slight Underdogs	4 (8%)	3	75 %	6.50	7.29	1.82	112%
Big Underdogs	1 (2%)	0	0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	9 (18%)	7	78 %	22.25	-0.71	-0.08	-3%
Co-Main Event	2 (4%)	1	50 %	2.75	-0.91	-0.46	-33%
Position 3-5	12 (24%)	7	58 %	38.00	-0.96	-0.08	-3%
6+ (Undercard)	28 (55%)	17	61 %	68.25	-2.14	-0.08	-3%

Rhys : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	4 (8%)	2	50 %	6.75	-3.77	-0.94	-56%
Light Heavy	3 (6%)		0 %	9.00	-9.00	-3.00	-100%
Middleweight	9 (18%)	6	67 %	18.00	0.50	0.06	3%
Welterweight	7 (14%)	5	71 %	26.00	5.72	0.82	22%
Lightweight	4 (8%)	3	75 %	9.00	2.69	0.67	30%
Featherweight	6 (12%)	2	33 %	20.75	-4.16	-0.69	-20%
Bantamweight	6 (12%)	5	83 %	17.50	-0.61	-0.10	-3%
Flyweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	2.00	1.05	1.05	53%

Women's Fights	11 (22%)	8	73 %	22.25	2.85	0.26	13%
Featherweight	1 (2%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-3.00	-100%
Flyweight	5 (10%)	3	60 %	10.50	0.76	0.15	7%
Strawweight	5 (10%)	5	100 %	8.75	5.09	1.02	58%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	38 (93%)	21	55 %
Slight Favorites	3 (7%)	2	67 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	41	23	56 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	16 (34%)	8	50 %
50-65%	14 (30%)	11	79 %
35-50%	10 (21%)	3	30 %
<35% chance	7 (15%)	3	43 %
	47	25	53 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (6%)	1	33 %	1.49	1.56	1.44	-1.6 (-52%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.44	1.44	1.44	0.4 (44%)
Goes to Decision	4 (9%)	2	50 %	1.43	2.10	1.27	-0.6 (-16%)
Does not go to Decision	6 (13%)	5	83 %	1.49	2.00	1.29	1.7 (28%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	4 (9%)	4	100 %	1.44	1.61	1.31	1.8 (46%)
X Wins by KO	8 (17%)	2	25 %	2.50	3.75	2.00	-1.1 (-14%)
X Wins by Sub	3 (6%)	1	33 %	2.75	4.25	1.91	0.0 (0%)
X Wins by Decision	6 (13%)	2	33 %	2.01	3.05	1.73	-2.5 (-42%)
X Wins Inside Distance	6 (13%)	6	100 %	1.80	2.15	1.74	4.9 (81%)
Others	6 (13%)	1	17 %	1.48	3.10	1.24	-4.6 (-77%)
	47	25	53 %	1.74			-1.7 (-4%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Rhys 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
23rd Apr	PFL 2021: Week 1	4	-4.0	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$960.00
24th Apr	UFC 261	29.5	19.0	65%		$9.60	$960.00	$1,142.68
29th Apr	PFL 2021: Week 2	11	3.8	34%		$11.43	$1,142.68	$1,185.55
1st May	UFC FN	23	3.1	14%		$11.86	$1,185.55	$1,222.70
6th May	PFL 2021: Week 3	22.5	-18.2	-81%		$12.23	$1,222.70	$1,000.58
7th May	Bellator 258	26	-13.3	-51%		$10.01	$1,000.58	$867.75
8th May	UFC FN	34.5	-8.2	-24%		$8.68	$867.75	$796.95
15th May	UFC 262	36	-14.4	-40%		$7.97	$796.95	$682.43
21st May	Bellator 259	21	-21.0	-100%		$6.82	$682.43	$539.12
22nd May	UFC FN	60.25	10.9	18%		$5.39	$539.12	$597.76
5th Jun	UFC FN	2.75	0.2	8%		$5.98	$597.76	$599.11
10th Jun	PFL 2021: Week 4	10	3.8	38%		$5.99	$599.11	$621.71
12th Jun	UFC 263	33.25	-13.8	-42%		$6.22	$621.71	$535.64
19th Jun	UFC FN	5	-5.0	-100%		$5.36	$535.64	$508.86
10th Jul	UFC 264	6	1.1	18%		$5.09	$508.86	$514.22

ROI % from starting bank balance: -48.58% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Rhys : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jun '21	Brendan Loughnane	Tyler Diamond	1.38	10	Split Decision (3 rounds)
2.	May '21	Bruno Silva	Victor Rodriguez	1.30	3	TKO, R1 (1:0)
3.	May '21	Joshua Culibao	Yilan Sha	1.41	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jun '21	Montana De La Rosa	Ariane Lipski	1.63	1	TKO, R2 (4:27)
5.	Jun '21	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	Augusto Sakai	1.80	0.75	TKO, R1 (4:59)
6.	Jun '21	Eryk Anders	Darren Stewart	1.65	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	May '21	Carla Esparza	Yan Xiaonan	2.45	0.75	TKO, R2 (2:58)
8.	May '21	Rob Font	Cody Garbrandt	1.91	1.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
9.	Jul '21	Jennifer Maia	Jessica Eye	1.53	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Jul '21	Dustin Poirier	Conor McGregor	2.00	2	TKO, R1 (5:0)
11.	Jun '21	Leon Edwards	Nate Diaz	1.22	10	U Decision (5 rounds)
12.	Jun '21	Israel Adesanya	Marvin Vettori	1.38	4	U Decision (5 rounds)
13.	May '21	Damir Ismagulov	Rafael Alves	1.19	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	May '21	Bruno Silva	Victor Rodriguez	1.39	2	TKO, R1 (1:0)
15.	May '21	Katlyn Chookagian	Viviane Araujo	1.69	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	May '21	Jack Hermansson	Edmen Shahbazyan	1.61	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	May '21	Charles Oliveira	Michael Chandler	1.74	1	TKO, R2 (0:19)
18.	May '21	Carlston Harris	Christian Aguilera	1.61	5	Sub, R1 (2:52)
19.	May '21	Carlston Harris	Christian Aguilera	1.61	4	Sub, R1 (2:52)
20.	May '21	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	Michelle Waterson	1.45	2	U Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jun '21	Aleksa Camur	Nick Negumereanu	1.40	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Jun '21	Youssef Zalal	Sean Woodson	3.10	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Jun '21	Chase Hooper	Steven Peterson	2.40	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Jun '21	Jamahal Hill	Paul Craig	1.33	3	TKO, R1 (1:59)	No
5.	Jun '21	Joanne Wood	Lauren Murphy	1.80	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	May '21	Felicia Spencer	Norma Dumont	1.50	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	May '21	Mike Grundy	Lando Vannata	1.83	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Jul '21	Stephen Thompson	Gilbert Burns	1.67	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	May '21	Claudio Silva	Court McGee	1.71	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	May '21	Justin Tafa	Jared Vanderaa	1.53	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	May '21	Gina Mazany	Priscila Cachoeira	1.50	3	TKO, R2 (4:51)	No
12.	May '21	Jamie Pickett	Jordan Wright	1.91	3	TKO, R1 (1:4)	No
13.	May '21	Ronaldo Souza	Andre Muniz	1.80	2	Sub, R1 (3:59)	No
14.	May '21	Shane Burgos	Edson Barboza	1.80	2	TKO, R3 (1:16)	No
15.	May '21	Ludovit Klein	Mike Trizano	1.40	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	May '21	Fabricio Werdum	Renan Ferreira	1.38	3	TKO, R1 (2:32)	No
17.	May '21	Kyle Daukaus	Phil Hawes	1.74	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	May '21	Juan Archulata	Sergio Pettis	1.69	6	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
19.	Apr '21	Jim Crute	Anthony Smith	1.53	1	TKO, R1 (5:0)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Rhys : Progress Chart

Chart

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