MMA Handicapper Stats: LOWKEYTIPSTER |
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LOWKEYTIPSTER : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
28th Mar '21 |
UFC 260 |
29 |
3.9 |
13% |
-0.2 / 14 (-2%) |
|
4.1 / 15 (28%) |
20th Mar '21 |
UFC Fight Night 188 |
45 |
-21.1 |
-47% |
-5.7 / 26 (-22%) |
|
-15.5 / 19 (-81%) |
13th Mar '21 |
UFC Fight Night 187 |
40 |
-6.4 |
-16% |
-0.5 / 20 (-3%) |
|
-5.9 / 20 (-30%) |
6th Mar '21 |
UFC 259 |
52 |
-0.2 |
-0% |
3.8 / 30 (13%) |
|
-4.0 / 22 (-18%) |
28th Feb '21 |
UFC Fight Night 186 |
55 |
6.3 |
12% |
-1.6 / 25 (-6%) |
|
7.9 / 30 (26%) |
20th Feb '21 |
UFC Fight Night 185 |
57 |
-2.3 |
-4% |
-0.8 / 27 (-3%) |
-3.0 / 10 (-30%) |
1.4 / 20 (7%) |
13th Feb '21 |
UFC 258 |
66 |
33.2 |
50% |
6.4 / 38 (17%) |
|
26.8 / 28 (96%) |
6th Feb '21 |
UFC FN |
75 |
-18.8 |
-25% |
-10.3 / 40 (-26%) |
-10.0 / 10 (-100%) |
1.5 / 25 (6%) |
24th Jan '21 |
UFC 257 |
45 |
-15.3 |
-34% |
14.7 / 15 (98%) |
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-30.0 / 30 (-100%) |
16th Jan '21 |
UFC FN |
30 |
-5.7 |
-19% |
9.3 / 15 (62%) |
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-15.0 / 15 (-100%) |
Winning Events: 3 (30%) Losing Events: 7 (70%)
Average Staked Per Event: 49.40 units Most Staked On One Event: 75.00 units Best Event: 33.22 units Worst Event: -21.14 units Average Event: -2.64 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 33.22 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -39.74 |
LOWKEYTIPSTER : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2021 |
494 |
-26.4 |
-5% |
15.3 / 250 (6%) |
|
-28.7 / 224 (-13%) |
3 / 7 (30%) |
-2.64 |
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LOWKEYTIPSTER : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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LOWKEYTIPSTER : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
494 |
-26.4 |
-5% |
15.3 / 250 (6%) |
-13.0 / 20 (-65%) |
-28.7 / 224 (-13%) |
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LOWKEYTIPSTER : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
24 (47%) |
19 |
79 % |
123.00 |
2.34 |
0.10 |
2% |
Slight Favorites |
16 (31%) |
11 |
69 % |
91.00 |
14.03 |
0.88 |
15% |
Slight Underdogs |
10 (20%) |
5 |
50 % |
31.00 |
3.89 |
0.39 |
13% |
Big Underdogs |
1 (2%) |
0 |
0 % |
5.00 |
-5.00 |
-5.00 |
-100% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
4 (8%) |
2 |
50 % |
27.00 |
-4.15 |
-1.04 |
-15% |
Co-Main Event |
4 (8%) |
3 |
75 % |
18.00 |
12.65 |
3.16 |
70% |
Position 3-5 |
11 (22%) |
8 |
73 % |
35.00 |
1.77 |
0.16 |
5% |
6+ (Undercard) |
32 (63%) |
22 |
69 % |
170.00 |
4.99 |
0.16 |
3% |
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LOWKEYTIPSTER : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
5 (10%) |
4 |
80 % |
28.00 |
9.22 |
1.84 |
33% |
Light Heavy |
2 (4%) |
2 |
100 % |
6.00 |
3.15 |
1.58 |
53% |
Middleweight |
4 (8%) |
1 |
25 % |
18.00 |
-15.12 |
-3.78 |
-84% |
Welterweight |
5 (10%) |
4 |
80 % |
20.00 |
8.75 |
1.75 |
44% |
Lightweight |
7 (14%) |
6 |
86 % |
31.00 |
11.50 |
1.64 |
37% |
Featherweight |
9 (18%) |
6 |
67 % |
50.00 |
-3.62 |
-0.40 |
-7% |
Bantamweight |
6 (12%) |
2 |
33 % |
30.00 |
-14.70 |
-2.45 |
-49% |
Flyweight |
4 (8%) |
3 |
75 % |
20.00 |
8.10 |
2.02 |
40% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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Women's Fights |
9 (18%) |
7 |
78 % |
47.00 |
7.98 |
0.89 |
17% |
Bantamweight |
2 (4%) |
2 |
100 % |
8.00 |
5.85 |
2.92 |
73% |
Flyweight |
5 (10%) |
3 |
60 % |
31.00 |
-2.42 |
-0.48 |
-8% |
Strawweight |
2 (4%) |
2 |
100 % |
8.00 |
4.55 |
2.28 |
57% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
55 (60%) |
37 |
67 % |
Slight Favorites |
30 (33%) |
18 |
60 % |
Slight Underdogs |
7 (8%) |
1 |
14 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
92 |
56 |
61 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
2 (14%) |
1 |
50 % |
50-65% |
3 (21%) |
2 |
67 % |
35-50% |
6 (43%) |
2 |
33 % |
<35% chance |
3 (21%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
14 |
5 |
36 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) |
1 (7%) |
0 |
0 % |
1.83 |
1.83 |
1.83 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
Goes to Decision |
3 (21%) |
1 |
33 % |
2.13 |
2.62 |
1.90 |
-1.1 (-37%) |
X Wins by KO |
2 (14%) |
1 |
50 % |
1.93 |
2.62 |
1.53 |
-0.5 (-23%) |
X Wins by Decision |
6 (43%) |
3 |
50 % |
2.48 |
3.40 |
1.80 |
0.4 (6%) |
Others |
2 (14%) |
0 |
0 % |
1.95 |
3.00 |
1.44 |
-2.0 (-100%) |
|
14 |
5 |
36 % |
2.17 |
|
|
-4.2 (-30%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail LOWKEYTIPSTER 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
16th Jan |
UFC FN |
30 |
-5.7 |
-19% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$943.50 |
24th Jan |
UFC 257 |
45 |
-15.3 |
-34% |
|
$9.43 |
$943.50 |
$799.62 |
6th Feb |
UFC FN |
75 |
-18.8 |
-25% |
|
$8.00 |
$799.62 |
$648.97 |
13th Feb |
UFC 258 |
66 |
33.2 |
50% |
|
$6.49 |
$648.97 |
$864.53 |
20th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 185 |
57 |
-2.3 |
-4% |
|
$8.65 |
$864.53 |
$844.29 |
28th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 186 |
55 |
6.3 |
12% |
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$8.44 |
$844.29 |
$897.70 |
6th Mar |
UFC 259 |
52 |
-0.2 |
-0% |
|
$8.98 |
$897.70 |
$896.15 |
13th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 187 |
40 |
-6.4 |
-16% |
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$8.96 |
$896.15 |
$838.46 |
20th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 188 |
45 |
-21.1 |
-47% |
|
$8.38 |
$838.46 |
$661.19 |
28th Mar |
UFC 260 |
29 |
3.9 |
13% |
|
$6.61 |
$661.19 |
$686.94 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -31.31% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
LOWKEYTIPSTER : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
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1. |
Mar '21 |
Omar Morales |
Shane Young |
1.53 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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2. |
Mar '21 |
Abubakar Nurmagomedov |
Jared Gooden |
1.40 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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3. |
Mar '21 |
Alonzo Menifield |
Fabio Cherant |
1.30 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (1:11) |
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4. |
Mar '21 |
Jamie Mullarkey |
Khama Worthy |
2.10 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:46) |
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5. |
Mar '21 |
Miranda Maverick |
Gillian Robertson |
1.58 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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6. |
Mar '21 |
Vicente Luque |
Tyron Woodley |
1.40 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (3:56) |
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7. |
Mar '21 |
Adrian Yanez |
Gustavo Lopez |
1.45 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (0:27) |
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8. |
Mar '21 |
Grant Dawson |
Leonardo Santos |
1.50 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (4:59) |
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9. |
Mar '21 |
Macy Chiasson |
Marion Reneau |
1.45 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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10. |
Mar '21 |
Tai Tuivasa |
Harry Hunsucker |
1.22 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:49) |
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11. |
Mar '21 |
Nasrat Haqparast |
Rafa Garcia |
1.25 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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12. |
Mar '21 |
Charles Jourdain |
Marcelo Rojo |
1.40 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (4:31) |
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13. |
Mar '21 |
Angela Hill |
Ashley Yoder |
1.25 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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14. |
Mar '21 |
Kai Kara-France |
Rogerio Bontorin |
1.72 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (4:55) |
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15. |
Mar '21 |
Uros Medic |
Aalon Cruz |
1.58 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (1:40) |
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16. |
Mar '21 |
Sean Brady |
Jake Matthews |
1.47 |
5 |
Sub, R3 (3:28) |
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17. |
Mar '21 |
Tim Elliott |
Jordan Espinosa |
2.00 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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18. |
Feb '21 |
Dustin Jacoby |
Maxim Grishin |
1.57 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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19. |
Feb '21 |
Ronnie Lawrence |
Vince Cachero |
1.61 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (2:38) |
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20. |
Feb '21 |
Alex Caceres |
Kevin Croom |
1.50 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
LOWKEYTIPSTER : Progress Chart |
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