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MMA Handicapper Stats: LOWKEYTIPSTER

LOWKEYTIPSTER (lowkeytipster1)


MMA MHandicapper - LOWKEYTIPSTER

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 50 (53%) Right 35 (69%) Right 1 (25%) Right 14 (35%)
Wrong 45 (47%) Wrong 16 (31%) Wrong 3 (75%) Wrong 26 (65%)
Avg Odds 2.06 Avg Odds 1.63 Avg Odds 2.31 Avg Odds 3.07
Units Bet 494.0 Units Bet 250.0 Units Bet 20.0 Units Bet 224.0
Avg Bet 5.20 Avg Bet 4.90 Avg Bet 5.00 Avg Bet 5.60
Units Profit -26.40 Units Profit 15.26 Units Profit -13.00 Units Profit -28.66
ROI % -5% ROI % 6% ROI % -65% ROI % -13%
View Handicapper's Profile

LOWKEYTIPSTER : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
28th Mar '21 UFC 260 29 3.9 13% -0.2 / 14 (-2%) 4.1 / 15 (28%)
20th Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 188 45 -21.1 -47% -5.7 / 26 (-22%) -15.5 / 19 (-81%)
13th Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 187 40 -6.4 -16% -0.5 / 20 (-3%) -5.9 / 20 (-30%)
6th Mar '21 UFC 259 52 -0.2 -0% 3.8 / 30 (13%) -4.0 / 22 (-18%)
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 55 6.3 12% -1.6 / 25 (-6%) 7.9 / 30 (26%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 57 -2.3 -4% -0.8 / 27 (-3%) -3.0 / 10 (-30%) 1.4 / 20 (7%)
13th Feb '21 UFC 258 66 33.2 50% 6.4 / 38 (17%) 26.8 / 28 (96%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 75 -18.8 -25% -10.3 / 40 (-26%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%) 1.5 / 25 (6%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 45 -15.3 -34% 14.7 / 15 (98%) -30.0 / 30 (-100%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 30 -5.7 -19% 9.3 / 15 (62%) -15.0 / 15 (-100%)


Winning Events: 3 (30%)
Losing Events: 7 (70%)

Average Staked Per Event: 49.40 units
Most Staked On One Event: 75.00 units
Best Event: 33.22 units
Worst Event: -21.14 units
Average Event: -2.64 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 33.22
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -39.74

LOWKEYTIPSTER : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 494 -26.4 -5% 15.3 / 250 (6%) -28.7 / 224 (-13%) 3 / 7 (30%) -2.64

LOWKEYTIPSTER : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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LOWKEYTIPSTER : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 494 -26.4 -5% 15.3 / 250 (6%) -13.0 / 20 (-65%) -28.7 / 224 (-13%)

LOWKEYTIPSTER : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 24 (47%) 19 79 % 123.00 2.34 0.10 2%
Slight Favorites 16 (31%) 11 69 % 91.00 14.03 0.88 15%
Slight Underdogs 10 (20%) 5 50 % 31.00 3.89 0.39 13%
Big Underdogs 1 (2%) 0 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -5.00 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 4 (8%) 2 50 % 27.00 -4.15 -1.04 -15%
Co-Main Event 4 (8%) 3 75 % 18.00 12.65 3.16 70%
Position 3-5 11 (22%) 8 73 % 35.00 1.77 0.16 5%
6+ (Undercard) 32 (63%) 22 69 % 170.00 4.99 0.16 3%

LOWKEYTIPSTER : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 5 (10%) 4 80 % 28.00 9.22 1.84 33%
Light Heavy 2 (4%) 2 100 % 6.00 3.15 1.58 53%
Middleweight 4 (8%) 1 25 % 18.00 -15.12 -3.78 -84%
Welterweight 5 (10%) 4 80 % 20.00 8.75 1.75 44%
Lightweight 7 (14%) 6 86 % 31.00 11.50 1.64 37%
Featherweight 9 (18%) 6 67 % 50.00 -3.62 -0.40 -7%
Bantamweight 6 (12%) 2 33 % 30.00 -14.70 -2.45 -49%
Flyweight 4 (8%) 3 75 % 20.00 8.10 2.02 40%
               
Women's Fights 9 (18%) 7 78 % 47.00 7.98 0.89 17%
Bantamweight 2 (4%) 2 100 % 8.00 5.85 2.92 73%
Flyweight 5 (10%) 3 60 % 31.00 -2.42 -0.48 -8%
Strawweight 2 (4%) 2 100 % 8.00 4.55 2.28 57%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 55 (60%) 37 67 %
Slight Favorites 30 (33%) 18 60 %
Slight Underdogs 7 (8%) 1 14 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
92 56 61 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 2 (14%) 1 50 %
50-65% 3 (21%) 2 67 %
35-50% 6 (43%) 2 33 %
<35% chance 3 (21%) 0 0 %
14 5 36 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (7%) 0 0 % 1.83 1.83Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision 3 (21%) 1 33 % 2.13 2.62Pick was incorrect 1.90Pick was correct -1.1 (-37%)
X Wins by KO 2 (14%) 1 50 % 1.93 2.62Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was correct -0.5 (-23%)
X Wins by Decision 6 (43%) 3 50 % 2.48 3.40Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was correct 0.4 (6%)
Others 2 (14%) 0 0 % 1.95 3.00Pick was incorrect 1.44Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
14 5 36 % 2.17     -4.2 (-30%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail LOWKEYTIPSTER 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
16th Jan UFC FN 30 -5.7 -19% $10.00 $1,000.00 $943.50
24th Jan UFC 257 45 -15.3 -34% $9.43 $943.50 $799.62
6th Feb UFC FN 75 -18.8 -25% $8.00 $799.62 $648.97
13th Feb UFC 258 66 33.2 50% $6.49 $648.97 $864.53
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 57 -2.3 -4% $8.65 $864.53 $844.29
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 55 6.3 12% $8.44 $844.29 $897.70
6th Mar UFC 259 52 -0.2 -0% $8.98 $897.70 $896.15
13th Mar UFC Fight Night 187 40 -6.4 -16% $8.96 $896.15 $838.46
20th Mar UFC Fight Night 188 45 -21.1 -47% $8.38 $838.46 $661.19
28th Mar UFC 260 29 3.9 13% $6.61 $661.19 $686.94


ROI % from starting bank balance: -31.31% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

LOWKEYTIPSTER : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '21 Omar Morales Shane Young 1.53 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '21 Abubakar Nurmagomedov Jared Gooden 1.40 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '21 Alonzo Menifield Fabio Cherant 1.30 1 Sub, R1 (1:11) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '21 Jamie Mullarkey Khama Worthy 2.10 1 TKO, R1 (0:46) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '21 Miranda Maverick Gillian Robertson 1.58 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '21 Vicente Luque Tyron Woodley 1.40 1 Sub, R1 (3:56) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '21 Adrian Yanez Gustavo Lopez 1.45 5 TKO, R3 (0:27) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '21 Grant Dawson Leonardo Santos 1.50 5 TKO, R3 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '21 Macy Chiasson Marion Reneau 1.45 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '21 Tai Tuivasa Harry Hunsucker 1.22 1 TKO, R1 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '21 Nasrat Haqparast Rafa Garcia 1.25 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '21 Charles Jourdain Marcelo Rojo 1.40 5 TKO, R3 (4:31) MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '21 Angela Hill Ashley Yoder 1.25 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '21 Kai Kara-France Rogerio Bontorin 1.72 5 TKO, R1 (4:55) MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '21 Uros Medic Aalon Cruz 1.58 5 TKO, R1 (1:40) MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '21 Sean Brady Jake Matthews 1.47 5 Sub, R3 (3:28) MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '21 Tim Elliott Jordan Espinosa 2.00 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '21 Dustin Jacoby Maxim Grishin 1.57 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '21 Ronnie Lawrence Vince Cachero 1.61 5 TKO, R3 (2:38) MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '21 Alex Caceres Kevin Croom 1.50 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '21 Abu Azaitar Marc-Andre Barriault 2.00 3 TKO, R3 (4:56) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '21 Stipe Miocic Francis Ngannou 2.10 2 TKO, R2 (0:52) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '21 Kenan Song Max Griffin 2.70 2 TKO, R1 (2:20) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '21 Kevin Holland Derek Brunson 1.53 10 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '21 Manel Kape Matheus Nicolau 1.72 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '21 Mario Bautista Trevin Jones 1.40 5 TKO, R2 (0:47) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '21 Yadong Song Kyler Phillips 1.61 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '21 Sabina Mazo Alexis Davis 1.47 5 U Decision (3 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '21 Alexander Hernandez Thiago Moises 1.44 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '21 Drako Rodriguez Aiemann Zahabi 1.57 5 TKO, R1 (3:5) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '21 Nate Landwehr Julian Erosa 1.90 5 TKO, R1 (0:56) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '21 Andre Ewell Chris Gutierrez 2.00 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '21 Maki Pitolo Julian Marquez 2.40 3 Sub, R3 (4:17) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '21 Brian Kelleher Ricky Simon 3.00 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '21 Youssef Zalal Seung Woo Choi 1.40 10 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '21 Molly McCann Lara Fritzen Procopio 1.72 10 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

LOWKEYTIPSTER : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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