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MMA Handicapper Stats: Mike MAD!

Mike MAD! (madmike444)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	25 (40%)	Right	7 (39%)	Right	7 (29%)	Right	11 (52%)
Wrong	38 (60%)	Wrong	11 (61%)	Wrong	17 (71%)	Wrong	10 (48%)
Avg Odds	2.38	Avg Odds	2.18	Avg Odds	3.40	Avg Odds	1.88
Units Bet	68.1	Units Bet	27.0	Units Bet	19.0	Units Bet	22.1
Avg Bet	1.08	Avg Bet	1.50	Avg Bet	0.79	Avg Bet	1.05
Units Profit	-7.33	Units Profit	-5.52	Units Profit	-1.13	Units Profit	-0.69
ROI %	-11%	ROI %	-20%	ROI %	-6%	ROI %	-3%

Mike MAD!: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	1	1.0	103%			1.0 / 1 (103%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	5.42	0.8	14%	2.1 / 1.6 (129%)		-1.3 / 3.82 (-34%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	7.5	-2.0	-27%	-3.6 / 5 (-72%)		1.6 / 2.5 (63%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	1.4	1.0	72%			1.0 / 1.4 (72%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	3.3	1.0	30%	2.3 / 2 (114%)		-1.3 / 1.3 (-100%)
2nd Apr '21	Bellator 255	2.5	-2.5	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
13th Mar '21	UFC Fight Night 187	12.04	3.7	31%	3.4 / 5.14 (65%)	-0.4 / 3.5 (-11%)	0.7 / 3.4 (22%)
6th Mar '21	UFC 259	9.05	3.7	40%	-1.4 / 1.4 (-100%)	4.5 / 3 (150%)	0.5 / 4.65 (12%)
28th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 186	4.9	-4.9	-100%	-0.9 / 0.9 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Feb '21	UFC 258	8	-4.1	-51%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-2.1 / 6 (-35%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
6th Feb '21	UFC FN	5.75	-0.7	-13%	-1.3 / 5 (-27%)	0.6 / 0.75 (80%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	0.5	0.5	100%			0.5 / 0.5 (100%)
20th Jan '21	UFC on ESPN 20	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	4.75	-2.8	-58%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.3 / 3.25 (-38%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)

Winning Events: 7 (50%)
Losing Events: 7 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.87 units
Most Staked On One Event: 12.04 units
Best Event: 3.71 units
Worst Event: -4.90 units
Average Event: -0.52 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 7.37
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -9.75

Mike MAD!: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	18.62	1.8	10%	0.8 / 8.6 (9%)		1.0 / 10.02 (10%)	4 / 1 (80%)	0.36
2021	49.49	-9.1	-18%	-6.3 / 18.44 (-34%)		-1.7 / 12.05 (-14%)	3 / 6 (33%)	-1.01

Mike MAD!: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Mike MAD!: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	65.61	-4.8	-7%	-3.5 / 25.04 (-14%)	-0.6 / 18.5 (-3%)	-0.7 / 22.07 (-3%)
Bellator	2.5	-2.5	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)

Mike MAD!: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	2 (11%)	0	0 %	3.14	-3.14	-1.57	-100%
Slight Favorites	3 (16%)	1	33 %	6.00	-4.70	-1.57	-78%
Slight Underdogs	12 (63%)	7	58 %	15.40	4.82	0.40	31%
Big Underdogs	2 (11%)	0	0 %	2.50	-2.50	-1.25	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	5 (26%)	1	20 %	6.50	-4.40	-0.88	-68%
Co-Main Event	3 (16%)	1	33 %	3.50	-2.08	-0.69	-59%
Position 3-5	6 (32%)	4	67 %	8.90	5.19	0.86	58%
6+ (Undercard)	5 (26%)	2	40 %	8.14	-4.23	-0.85	-52%

Mike MAD!: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (16%)	1	33 %	7.00	-4.90	-1.63	-70%
Welterweight	1 (5%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Lightweight	4 (21%)	2	50 %	4.65	1.05	0.26	23%
Featherweight	3 (16%)	1	33 %	3.60	-2.04	-0.68	-57%
Bantamweight	1 (5%)		0 %	0.50	-0.50	-0.50	-100%
Flyweight	4 (21%)	3	75 %	6.15	3.66	0.91	59%

Women's Fights	3 (16%)	1	33 %	3.14	-0.79	-0.26	-25%
Flyweight	2 (11%)	1	50 %	2.00	0.35	0.18	18%
Strawweight	1 (5%)		0 %	1.14	-1.14	-1.14	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	21 (88%)	16	76 %
Slight Favorites	3 (13%)	2	67 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	24	18	75 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	13 (31%)	7	54 %
50-65%	10 (24%)	9	90 %
35-50%	6 (14%)	2	33 %
<35% chance	13 (31%)	1	8 %
	42	19	45 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (7%)	1	33 %	1.56	1.73	1.40	-1.4 (-48%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.60	1.60	1.60	0.6 (60%)
Goes to Decision	3 (7%)	3	100 %	1.62	2.00	1.38	2.0 (66%)
Does not go to Decision	5 (12%)	2	40 %	1.52	2.60	1.25	-1.2 (-23%)
Fight Starts Round X	6 (14%)	4	67 %	1.26	1.29	1.21	0.0 (1%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	5 (12%)	5	100 %	1.56	1.56	1.56	2.8 (56%)
X Wins by KO	1 (2%)	0	0 %	13.00	13.00	13.00	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	3 (7%)	0	0 %	6.83	11.00	5.50	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	3 (7%)	0	0 %	4.06	4.50	3.75	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X	2 (5%)	0	0 %	20.56	26.00	17.00	-2.0 (-100%)
Others	10 (24%)	3	30 %	3.08	27.00	1.37	20.1 (201%)
	42	19	45 %	2.07			13.9 (33%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Mike MAD!'s bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
16th Jan	UFC FN	4.75	-2.8	-58%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$972.50
20th Jan	UFC on ESPN 20	2	-2.0	-100%		$9.73	$972.50	$953.05
24th Jan	UFC 257	0.5	0.5	100%		$9.53	$953.05	$957.81
6th Feb	UFC FN	5.75	-0.7	-13%		$9.58	$957.81	$950.64
13th Feb	UFC 258	8	-4.1	-51%		$9.51	$950.64	$911.66
28th Feb	UFC Fight Night 186	4.9	-4.9	-100%		$9.12	$911.66	$866.99
6th Mar	UFC 259	9.05	3.7	40%		$8.67	$866.99	$898.65
13th Mar	UFC Fight Night 187	12.04	3.7	31%		$8.99	$898.65	$932.03
2nd Apr	Bellator 255	2.5	-2.5	-100%		$9.32	$932.03	$908.73
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	3.3	1.0	30%		$9.09	$908.73	$917.64
20th Jan	UFC 297	1.4	1.0	72%		$9.18	$917.64	$926.87
9th Mar	UFC 299	7.5	-2.0	-27%		$9.27	$926.87	$908.40
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	5.42	0.8	14%		$9.08	$908.40	$915.44
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	1	1.0	103%		$9.15	$915.44	$924.90

ROI % from starting bank balance: -7.51% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Mike MAD!: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '24	Marcin Tybura	Tai Tuivasa	2.10	1	Sub, R1 (4:8)
2.	Mar '24	Danny Silva	Joshua Culibao	2.60	0.6	Split Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Mar '24	Dustin Poirier	Benoit Saint-Denis	2.85	0.5	TKO, R2 (2:32)
4.	Jan '24	Jim Miller	Gabriel Benitez	2.14	2	Sub, R3 (3:25)
5.	Mar '21	Matheus Nicolau	Manel Kape	2.10	2.25	Split Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Mar '21	Matheus Nicolau	Manel Kape	2.16	1.75	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Feb '21	Alexandre Pantoja	Manel Kape	1.74	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Feb '21	Lara Fritzen Procopio	Molly McCann	2.35	1	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '24	Jailton Junior	Curtis Blaydes	1.93	4	TKO, R2 (0:36)	No
2.	Mar '24	Marlon Vera	Sean O'Malley	3.10	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
3.	Apr '21	Emmanuel Sanchez	Patricio Freire	3.50	2	Sub, R1 (3:35)	No
4.	Mar '21	Gloria de Paula	Jinh Yu Frey	1.53	1.14	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Mar '21	Rogerio Bontorin	Kai Kara-France	2.20	1.4	TKO, R1 (4:55)	No
6.	Feb '21	Kevin Croom	Alex Caceres	2.85	0.9	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Feb '21	Maycee Barber	Alexa Grasso	2.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Feb '21	Carlos Diego Ferreira	Beneil Dariush	1.80	1.25	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Feb '21	Alistair Overeem	Alexander Volkov	2.50	2	TKO, R2 (2:6)	No
10.	Jan '21	Calvin Kattar	Max Holloway	2.40	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
11.	Jan '21	Mounir Lazzez	Warlley Alves	1.50	2	TKO, R1 (2:35)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Mike MAD!: Progress Chart

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