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MMA Handicapper Stats: Mike MAD!

Mike MAD! (madmike444)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Mike MAD!

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 16 (33%) Right 3 (25%) Right 7 (29%) Right 6 (46%)
Wrong 33 (67%) Wrong 9 (75%) Wrong 17 (71%) Wrong 7 (54%)
Avg Odds 2.53 Avg Odds 2.10 Avg Odds 3.40 Avg Odds 1.98
Units Bet 49.5 Units Bet 18.4 Units Bet 19.0 Units Bet 12.1
Avg Bet 1.01 Avg Bet 1.54 Avg Bet 0.79 Avg Bet 0.93
Units Profit -9.13 Units Profit -6.28 Units Profit -1.13 Units Profit -1.72
ROI % -18% ROI % -34% ROI % -6% ROI % -14%
View Handicapper's Profile

Mike MAD!: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
2nd Apr '21 Bellator 255 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
13th Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 187 12.04 3.7 31% 3.4 / 5.14 (65%) -0.4 / 3.5 (-11%) 0.7 / 3.4 (22%)
6th Mar '21 UFC 259 9.05 3.7 40% -1.4 / 1.4 (-100%) 4.5 / 3 (150%) 0.5 / 4.65 (12%)
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 4.9 -4.9 -100% -0.9 / 0.9 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 8 -4.1 -51% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -2.1 / 6 (-35%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 5.75 -0.7 -13% -1.3 / 5 (-27%) 0.6 / 0.75 (80%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 0.5 0.5 100% 0.5 / 0.5 (100%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 4.75 -2.8 -58% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.3 / 3.25 (-38%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)


Winning Events: 3 (33%)
Losing Events: 6 (67%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.50 units
Most Staked On One Event: 12.04 units
Best Event: 3.71 units
Worst Event: -4.90 units
Average Event: -1.01 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 7.37
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -9.75

Mike MAD!: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 0.0 nan% / (nan%) nan
2021 49.49 -9.1 -18% -6.3 / 18.44 (-34%) -1.7 / 12.05 (-14%) 3 / 6 (33%) -1.01

Mike MAD!: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Mike MAD!: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 46.99 -6.6 -14% -4.3 / 16.44 (-26%) -0.6 / 18.5 (-3%) -1.7 / 12.05 (-14%)
Bellator 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)

Mike MAD!: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 2 (15%) 0 0 % 3.14 -3.14 -1.57 -100%
Slight Favorites 2 (15%) 1 50 % 2.00 -0.70 -0.35 -35%
Slight Underdogs 8 (62%) 3 38 % 11.30 -0.44 -0.06 -4%
Big Underdogs 1 (8%) 0 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 3 (23%) 0 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -1.67 -100%
Co-Main Event 2 (15%) 0 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -1.50 -100%
Position 3-5 5 (38%) 3 60 % 6.90 2.91 0.58 42%
6+ (Undercard) 3 (23%) 1 33 % 3.54 -1.19 -0.40 -34%

Mike MAD!: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (8%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Welterweight 1 (8%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Lightweight 2 (15%) 0 % 2.15 -2.15 -1.08 -100%
Featherweight 2 (15%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -1.50 -100%
Flyweight 4 (31%) 3 75 % 6.15 3.66 0.91 59%
               
Women's Fights 3 (23%) 1 33 % 3.14 -0.79 -0.26 -25%
Flyweight 2 (15%) 1 50 % 2.00 0.35 0.18 18%
Strawweight 1 (8%) 0 % 1.14 -1.14 -1.14 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 8 (89%) 5 63 %
Slight Favorites 1 (11%) 1 100 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
9 6 67 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 12 (29%) 6 50 %
50-65% 10 (24%) 9 90 %
35-50% 6 (15%) 2 33 %
<35% chance 13 (32%) 1 8 %
41 18 44 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (7%) 1 33 % 1.56 1.73Pick was incorrect 1.40Pick was incorrect -1.4 (-48%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (2%) 1 100 % 1.60 1.60Pick was correct 1.60Pick was correct 0.6 (60%)
Goes to Decision 3 (7%) 3 100 % 1.62 2.00Pick was correct 1.38Pick was correct 2.0 (66%)
Does not go to Decision 5 (12%) 2 40 % 1.52 2.60Pick was correct 1.25Pick was correct -1.2 (-23%)
Fight Starts Round X 5 (12%) 3 60 % 1.25 1.29Pick was incorrect 1.21Pick was incorrect -0.2 (-5%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 5 (12%) 5 100 % 1.56 1.56Pick was correct 1.56Pick was incorrect 2.8 (56%)
X Wins by KO 1 (2%) 0 0 % 13.00 13.00Pick was incorrect 13.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 3 (7%) 0 0 % 6.83 11.00Pick was incorrect 5.50Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 3 (7%) 0 0 % 4.06 4.50Pick was incorrect 3.75Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (5%) 0 0 % 20.56 26.00Pick was incorrect 17.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Others 10 (24%) 3 30 % 3.08 27.00Pick was correct 1.37Pick was correct 20.1 (201%)
41 18 44 % 2.10     13.6 (33%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Mike MAD!'s bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
16th Jan UFC FN 4.75 -2.8 -58% $10.00 $1,000.00 $972.50
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 2 -2.0 -100% $9.73 $972.50 $953.05
24th Jan UFC 257 0.5 0.5 100% $9.53 $953.05 $957.81
6th Feb UFC FN 5.75 -0.7 -13% $9.58 $957.81 $950.64
14th Feb UFC 258 8 -4.1 -51% $9.51 $950.64 $911.66
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 4.9 -4.9 -100% $9.12 $911.66 $866.99
6th Mar UFC 259 9.05 3.7 40% $8.67 $866.99 $898.65
13th Mar UFC Fight Night 187 12.04 3.7 31% $8.99 $898.65 $932.03
2nd Apr Bellator 255 2.5 -2.5 -100% $9.32 $932.03 $908.73


ROI % from starting bank balance: -9.13% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Mike MAD!: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '21 Matheus Nicolau Manel Kape 2.10 2.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '21 Matheus Nicolau Manel Kape 2.16 1.75 Split Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Alexandre Pantoja Manel Kape 1.74 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Lara Fritzen Procopio Molly McCann 2.35 1 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '21 Emmanuel Sanchez Patricio Freire 3.50 2 Sub, R1 (3:35) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '21 Gloria de Paula Jinh Yu Frey 1.53 1.14 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '21 Rogerio Bontorin Kai Kara-France 2.20 1.4 TKO, R1 (4:55) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Kevin Croom Alex Caceres 2.85 0.9 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '21 Maycee Barber Alexa Grasso 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '21 Carlos Diego Ferreira Beneil Dariush 1.80 1.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '21 Alistair Overeem Alexander Volkov 2.50 2 TKO, R2 (2:6) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '21 Calvin Kattar Max Holloway 2.40 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '21 Mounir Lazzez Warlley Alves 1.50 2 TKO, R1 (2:35) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Mike MAD!: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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