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MMA Handicapper Profile: Optimal MMA Picks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 104 (60%) Right 60 (58%) Right 20 (61%) Right 24 (65%)
Wrong 70 (40%) Wrong 44 (42%) Wrong 13 (39%) Wrong 13 (35%)
Avg Odds 1.90 Avg Odds 1.95 Avg Odds 1.85 Avg Odds 1.82
Units Bet 416.5 Units Bet 236.5 Units Bet 76.3 Units Bet 103.8
Avg Bet 2.39 Avg Bet 2.27 Avg Bet 2.31 Avg Bet 2.80
Units Profit 54.52 Units Profit 22.34 Units Profit 11.64 Units Profit 20.54
ROI % 13% ROI % 9% ROI % 15% ROI % 20%
View Handicapper's Stats

Straight Pick Stats

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 27 (26%) 18 67 % 87.93 -7.05 -0.26 -8%
Slight Favorites 27 (26%) 11 41 % 69.80 -16.11 -0.60 -23%
Slight Underdogs 32 (31%) 20 63 % 61.25 25.93 0.81 42%
Big Underdogs 18 (17%) 11 61 % 17.50 19.58 1.09 112%
 

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Optimal MMA Picks's MMA Handicapper Bio

What's up guys. I'm a UK-based capper with a passion for all things MMA.

My background is in sports betting. Over the last 5 years i've worked for several online books with experience in promotions, trading and player analysis.

In my spare time, i practice BJJ at my local Gracie Barra school, and hence i love grappling heavy bouts in MMA.

I spend hours each week breaking down and studying fights. One of my core values in betting is "i'll believe it when i see it". Meaning I never like to place bets on assumptions.
E.g. "their Takedown defense was poor last time out so they must have been working on it non-stop this camp".

All picks are free. Follow me on twitter here:

https://twitter.com/OptimalMMA 

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Optimal MMA Picks

UFC on ESPN 4, San Antonio, 20th Jul '19

Straight Pick Opponent Odds Unit Bet    
James Vick Daniel Hooker 2.35 3 MMA Bookmaker



UFC 240, USA, 27th Jul '19

Straight Pick Opponent Odds Unit Bet    
Zabit Magomedsharipov Brian Ortega 1.80 3 MMA Bookmaker



Optimal MMA Picks's MMA Handicapper's Pick History


Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

UFC Fight Night 155, Sacramento, 13th Jul '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Germaine de Randamie Aspen Ladd W 2.25 1.5 1.88 $18.75 125% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.25 1.50 1.88 $18.75 125%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Josh Emmett vs Mirsad Bektic Fight doesn't go to decision W 2.00
  1 1.00 $10.00 100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Urijah Faber vs Ricky Simon Fight goes to decision L 1.48
  2.5 -2.50 $-25.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.50 -1.50 $-15.00 -43%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 0.38 $3.75 8%  

PFL 2019: Week 4, Atlantic City, 11th Jul '19

  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Glaico Franca vs Sadibou Sy Franca to win W 1.43
  2.5 1.08 $10.75 43% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.50 1.08 $10.75 43%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.50 1.08 $10.75 43%  

UFC 239, Las Vegas, 6th Jul '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jorge Masvidal Ben Askren W 3.00 1 2.00 $20.00 200% Bet Info
Diego Sanchez Michael Chiesa L 3.75 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   3.33 3.00 0.00 $0.00 0%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Amanda Nunes vs Holly Holm Nunes to win W 1.30
Pi Arnold Allen vs Gilbert Melendez Allen to win W 1.33
    Parlay Odds:   1.73
  4 2.92 $29.16 73% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Jon Jones vs Thiago Santos Santos wins by TKO/KO L 8.50
  0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   4.25 2.67 $26.66 63%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   7.25 2.67 $26.66 37%  

UFC on ESPN 3, Minneapolis, 29th Jun '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Tony Martin Demian Maia L 2.66 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.66 3.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Drew Dober vs Marco Polo Reyes Dober wins by TKO/KO W 3.00
  1 2.00 $20.00 200% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.00 2.00 $20.00 200%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   4.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -25%  

UFC Fight Night 154, Greenville, 22nd Jun '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Renato Moicano Chan Sung Jung L 1.53 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Bryan Barberena Randy Brown L 1.53 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Andrea Lee Montana De La Rosa W 1.50 4 2.00 $20.00 50% Bet Info
Molly McCann Ariane Lipski W 3.50 1.25 3.13 $31.25 250% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.77 11.25 -0.87 $-8.75 -8%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Allen Crowder vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik Rozenstruik to win W 1.40
Pi Luis Pena vs Matt Wiman Pena to win W 1.36
    Parlay Odds:   1.90
  3.5 3.16 $31.64 90% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Dan Ige vs Kevin Aguilar Under 2.5 rounds L 3.00
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   4.00 2.66 $26.64 67%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   15.25 1.79 $17.89 12%  

Bellator London, London, 22nd Jun '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jeremiah Labiano James Gallagher L 4.75 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   4.75 0.50 -0.50 $-5.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   0.50 -0.50 $-5.00 -100%  

Combate 40, Hidalgo, 21st Jun '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Desiree Yanez Paulina Vargas W 3.40 0.5 1.20 $12.00 240% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   3.40 0.50 1.20 $12.00 240%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   0.50 1.20 $12.00 240%  

DWTNCS 17, Las Vegas, 19th Jun '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jamie Pickett Punahele Soriano L 3.75 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Yorgan De Castro Alton Meeks W 7.50 0.5 3.25 $32.50 650% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   5.00 1.00 2.75 $27.50 275%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.00 2.75 $27.50 275%  

UFC 238, Chicago, 8th Jun '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Marlon Moraes Henry Cejudo L 1.83 2.5 -2.50 $-25.00 -100% Bet Info
Donald Cerrone Tony Ferguson L 2.62 1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% Bet Info
Alexa Grasso Karolina Kowalkiewicz W 2.30 1.75 2.28 $22.75 130% Bet Info
Alexa Grasso Karolina Kowalkiewicz W 2.30 0.75 0.98 $9.75 130% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Bevon Lewis Darren Stewart L 1.61 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.07 9.50 -3.75 $-37.50 -39%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Valentina Shevchenko vs Jessica Eye Over 1.5 rounds L 1.53
  2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   11.50 -5.75 $-57.50 -50%  

PFL 2019: Week 3, Uniondale, 6th Jun '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Rashid Yusupov Mikhail Mokhnatkin W 1.44 2 0.88 $8.80 44% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.44 2.00 0.88 $8.80 44%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 0.88 $8.80 44%  

UFC Fight Night 153, Stockholm, 1st Jun '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Alexander Gustafsson Anthony Smith L 1.40 4 -4.00 $-40.00 -100% Bet Info
Makwan Amirkhani Chris Fishgold W 2.00 1.5 1.50 $15.00 100% Bet Info
Christos Giagos Damir Hadzovic W 2.87 1.5 2.81 $28.05 187% Bet Info
Bea Malecki Duda Santana W 2.75 2 3.50 $35.00 175% Bet Info
Devin Clark Darko Stosic W 2.38 1.5 2.07 $20.70 138% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.13 10.50 5.87 $58.75 56%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.50 5.87 $58.75 56%  

UFC Fight Night 152, Rochester, 18th May '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Rafael dos Anjos Kevin Lee W 2.10 2.5 2.75 $27.50 110% Bet Info
Grant Dawson Mike Trizano W 2.35 2.5 3.38 $33.75 135% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.22 5.00 6.13 $61.25 123%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Davi Ramos vs Austin Hubbard Ramos to win W 1.28
Pi Desmond Green vs Charles Jourdain Green to win W 1.25
    Parlay Odds:   1.60
  4.5 2.70 $27.00 60% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Megan Anderson vs Felicia Spencer Fight doesn't go to decision W 1.90
  2 1.80 $18.00 90% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   6.50 4.50 $45.00 69%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   11.50 10.63 $106.25 92%  

KSW 49, Gdansk, 18th May '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Scott Askham Michal Materla W 1.50 1 0.50 $5.00 50% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.50 1.00 0.50 $5.00 50%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.00 0.50 $5.00 50%  

UFC 237, Brazil, 11th May '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jessica Andrade Rose Namajunas W 1.75 3 2.25 $22.50 75% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Raoni Barcelos Carlos Huachin W 1.31 5 1.55 $15.50 31% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.50 8.00 3.80 $38.00 47%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi B.J. Penn vs Clay Guida Guida wins by decision W 3.10
  0.5 1.05 $10.50 210% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Anderson Silva vs Jared Cannonier Silva wins by decision L 2.88
  1.25 -1.25 $-12.50 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Irene Aldana vs Bethe Correia Aldana to win W 1.33
Pr Carlos Huachin vs Raoni Barcelos Fight doesn't go to decision W 1.38
    Parlay Odds:   1.84
  2.5 2.09 $20.88 84% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Irene Aldana vs Bethe Correia Aldana to win W 1.36
Pi Rose Namajunas vs Jessica Andrade Andrade to win W 1.80
    Parlay Odds:   2.45
  1.25 1.81 $18.10 145% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.50 3.70 $36.98 67%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   13.50 7.50 $74.98 56%  

UFC Fight Night 150, Ottawa, 4th May '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Juan Adams Arjan Bhullar L 1.90 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.90 2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Sarah Moras vs Macy Chiasson Chiasson to win W 1.18
Pi Nordine Taleb vs Kyle Prepolec Taleb to win W 1.28
    Parlay Odds:   1.51
  6 3.06 $30.62 51% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Cub Swanson vs Shane Burgos Fight doesn't go to decision L 2.10
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   7.00 2.06 $20.62 29%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   9.00 0.06 $0.62 1%  

UFC on ESPN 3, Fort Lauderdale, 27th Apr '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
John Lineker Cory Sandhagen L 1.73 2.75 -2.75 $-27.50 -100% Bet Info
Roosevelt Roberts Thomas Gifford W 1.30 3.5 1.05 $10.50 30% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.48 6.25 -1.70 $-17.00 -27%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Court McGee vs Dhiego Lima Fight goes to decision W 1.65
  2 1.30 $13.00 65% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Roosevelt Roberts vs Thomas Gifford Roberts to win W 1.25
Pr Jack Hermansson vs Ronaldo Souza Fight doesn't go to decision L 1.20
    Parlay Odds:   1.50
  2.5 -2.50 $-25.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   4.50 -1.20 $-12.00 -27%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.75 -2.90 $-29.00 -27%  

UFC Fight Night 149, St Petersburg, 20th Apr '19

  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Aleksei Oleinik vs Alistair Overeem Fight doesn't go to decision W 1.23
  5 1.15 $11.50 23% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Gadzhimurad Antigulov vs Michal Oleksiejczuk Fight doesn't go to decision W 1.29
  5 1.45 $14.50 29% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   10.00 2.60 $26.00 26%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 2.60 $26.00 26%  

UFC 236, Atlanta, 13th Apr '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Kelvin Gastelum Israel Adesanya L 3.10 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Eryk Anders Khalil Rountree L 1.62 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Eryk Anders Khalil Rountree L 1.62 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Alan Jouban Dwight Grant L 1.91 1.75 -1.75 $-17.50 -100% Bet Info
Zelim Imadaev Max Griffin L 1.91 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Belal Muhammad Curtis Millender W 1.81 2.5 2.02 $20.25 81% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.90 10.25 -5.73 $-57.25 -56%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.25 -5.73 $-57.25 -56%  

UFC on ESPN 2, Philadelphia, 30th Mar '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Justin Gaethje Edson Barboza W 2.40 2 2.80 $28.00 140% Bet Info
Enrique Barzola Kevin Aguilar L 1.90 2.3 -2.30 $-23.00 -100% Bet Info
Casey Kenney Ray Borg W 3.50 1.5 3.75 $37.50 250% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.44 5.80 4.25 $42.50 73%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Edson Barboza vs Justin Gaethje Fight doesn't go to decision W 1.25
  8 2.00 $20.00 25% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Josh Emmett vs Michael Johnson Fight doesn't go to decision W 2.13
  1 1.13 $11.30 113% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   9.00 3.13 $31.30 35%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   14.80 7.38 $73.80 50%  

UFC Fight Night 148, Nashville, 23rd Mar '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Steven Peterson Luis Pena L 3.30 0.75 -0.75 $-7.50 -100% Bet Info
Maycee Barber J.J. Aldrich W 1.44 3.5 1.54 $15.40 44% Bet Info
Maycee Barber J.J. Aldrich W 1.44 1 0.44 $4.40 44% Bet Info
Chris Gutierrez Ryan MacDonald W 1.62 3 1.86 $18.60 62% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.73 8.25 3.09 $30.90 37%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   8.25 3.09 $30.90 37%  

 
 
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