MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 3262
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 1264

MMA Handicapper Stats: Optimal MMA Picks

Optimal MMA Picks (OptimalMMAPicks)

MMA MHandicapper - Optimal MMA Picks

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	222 (56%)	Right	125 (56%)	Right	60 (53%)	Right	37 (63%)
Wrong	174 (44%)	Wrong	99 (44%)	Wrong	53 (47%)	Wrong	22 (37%)
Avg Odds	1.98	Avg Odds	2.02	Avg Odds	2.02	Avg Odds	1.81
Units Bet	803.1	Units Bet	455.5	Units Bet	189.4	Units Bet	158.3
Avg Bet	2.03	Avg Bet	2.03	Avg Bet	1.68	Avg Bet	2.68
Units Profit	96.63	Units Profit	51.08	Units Profit	22.49	Units Profit	23.06
ROI %	12%	ROI %	11%	ROI %	12%	ROI %	15%

Optimal MMA Picks: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
1st May '21	UFC FN	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Apr '21	UFC 261	0.5	-0.5	-100%		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
17th Apr '21	UFC FN	3	0.6	21%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	1.6 / 2 (81%)
10th Apr '21	UFC FN	3	1.9	63%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	2.4 / 2.5 (96%)
9th Apr '21	Bellator 256	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
2nd Apr '21	Bellator 255	1.5	0.1	6%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	0.6 / 1 (59%)
21st Mar '21	UFC Fight Night 188	1	1.5	150%	1.5 / 1 (150%)
19th Mar '21	Cage Warriors 121	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
13th Mar '21	UFC Fight Night 187	2	1.5	75%	1.5 / 2 (75%)
6th Mar '21	UFC 259	6.5	-3.5	-54%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	1.5 / 1.5 (100%)
28th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 186	1.33	-1.3	-100%		-1.3 / 1.33 (-100%)
20th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 185	4	3.4	86%	3.1 / 2.5 (125%)	0.3 / 1.5 (20%)
14th Feb '21	UFC 258	5.5	2.0	36%	2.5 / 5 (50%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	7.5	-2.1	-27%	1.4 / 1.5 (91%)	1.1 / 1.5 (72%)	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
20th Jan '21	UFC on ESPN 20	3	2.7	89%	2.7 / 3 (89%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	1	2.4	240%	2.4 / 1 (240%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	3.5	1.6	47%	1.4 / 1 (140%)	0.2 / 2.5 (10%)
13th Dec '20	UFC 256	7	-3.5	-51%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-0.5 / 4 (-13%)
11th Dec '20	Cage Warriors 118	0.5	0.5	105%	0.5 / 0.5 (105%)
6th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 16	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
29th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 15	4	3.2	80%	1.9 / 3 (63%)	1.3 / 1 (130%)
21st Nov '20	UFC 255	3.5	1.5	44%	0.5 / 2.5 (22%)	1.0 / 1 (100%)
14th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 14	2	0.8	42%	0.8 / 2 (42%)
12th Nov '20	Bellator 252	2	1.1	54%	1.1 / 2 (54%)
8th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 13	4.5	-4.5	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
5th Nov '20	DWCS 34	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
31st Oct '20	UFC Vegas 12	4.5	-1.8	-40%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-1.3 / 4 (-33%)
24th Oct '20	UFC 254	5.83	1.9	33%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	0.9 / 1.83 (50%)	2.0 / 3 (66%)
17th Oct '20	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	3.5	-0.5	-14%		-0.5 / 3.5 (-14%)
10th Oct '20	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	5.5	4.5	81%	3.4 / 2 (168%)	1.1 / 3.5 (31%)
4th Oct '20	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	3	-1.1	-37%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	0.9 / 1 (90%)
26th Sep '20	UFC 253	3.5	-1.2	-36%	0.8 / 1.5 (50%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
19th Sep '20	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	5.5	-1.9	-34%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	1.1 / 2.5 (44%)
12th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 184	5	4.2	85%	1.2 / 1 (120%)	2.2 / 3 (74%)	0.8 / 1 (82%)
9th Sep '20	DWCS 32	0.25	-0.3	-100%	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
5th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 183	6.75	7.1	106%	2.1 / 1.5 (140%)	5.0 / 5.25 (96%)
2nd Sep '20	DWCS 31	2	2.5	125%	2.5 / 2 (125%)
29th Aug '20	UFC Fight Night 182	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
26th Aug '20	DWCS 30	3.25	-3.3	-100%	-3.3 / 3.25 (-100%)
22nd Aug '20	UFC Vegas 7	4	4.0	101%	2.0 / 2 (101%)	2.0 / 2 (100%)
19th Aug '20	DWCS 29	1.75	0.7	40%	0.7 / 1.75 (40%)
15th Aug '20	UFC 252	7.25	0.8	11%	-0.7 / 5.25 (-13%)	1.5 / 2 (73%)
8th Aug '20	UFC Vegas 6	2.75	2.8	104%	1.5 / 1.25 (120%)	1.3 / 1.5 (90%)
8th Aug '20	Bellator 243	1.25	0.6	44%	0.6 / 1.25 (44%)
25th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 3	6.75	1.0	15%	1.6 / 3 (53%)	-0.6 / 3.75 (-16%)
24th Jul '20	ACA 107	1.5	0.2	17%	0.2 / 1.5 (17%)
18th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 2	2.5	-2.5	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
15th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 1	11.5	-1.3	-12%	-1.8 / 5.5 (-33%)	0.5 / 6 (8%)
11th Jul '20	UFC 251	10	5.4	54%	3.9 / 7 (55%)	1.5 / 3 (50%)
27th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 175	4.65	-4.7	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-3.7 / 3.65 (-100%)
20th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 174	7.5	0.3	4%	2.8 / 5 (56%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
13th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 173	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
6th Jun '20	UFC 250	8.5	3.3	38%	1.5 / 4.5 (34%)	1.7 / 4 (43%)
30th May '20	UFC Fight Night 172	6.75	1.8	26%	2.5 / 6 (42%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
16th May '20	UFC Fight Night 171	8.5	3.5	41%	2.4 / 7.5 (32%)	1.1 / 1 (110%)
14th May '20	UFC Fight Night 170	2.5	-2.5	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
10th May '20	UFC 249	3	2.9	98%	1.8 / 1 (176%)		1.2 / 2 (59%)
20th Mar '20	Cage Warriors 113	4	1.2	31%	1.1 / 2 (57%)	0.1 / 2 (5%)
14th Mar '20	UFC Fight Night 169	6.85	-2.5	-37%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	1.5 / 2.85 (52%)
8th Mar '20	UFC 248	4.75	1.1	24%	1.1 / 4.75 (24%)
29th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night	5	-2.0	-40%	-2.0 / 5 (-40%)
29th Feb '20	Combate 56	1	0.6	57%	0.6 / 1 (57%)
22nd Feb '20	UFC Fight Night 168	3.5	2.5	73%	1.3 / 2.5 (53%)	1.2 / 1 (122%)
15th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night 167	6.5	3.5	54%	3.5 / 4.5 (78%)	0.0 / 2 (0%)
9th Feb '20	UFC 247	3	-0.8	-28%	1.2 / 1 (116%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
25th Jan '20	UFC Fight Night 166	3.5	2.2	64%			2.2 / 3.5 (64%)
18th Jan '20	UFC 246	6.5	0.7	11%	0.7 / 6.5 (11%)
21st Dec '19	UFC Fight Night 165	5	3.0	61%	3.0 / 5 (61%)
15th Dec '19	UFC 245	3.5	0.4	12%	2.4 / 1.5 (162%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
7th Dec '19	UFC on ESPN 7	4	3.5	88%			3.5 / 4 (88%)
23rd Nov '19	Bellator London	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd Nov '19	Cage Warriors 111	1	1.6	165%	1.6 / 1 (165%)
16th Nov '19	UFC Fight Night 164	6.5	-1.6	-25%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	1.4 / 3.5 (40%)
9th Nov '19	UFC Fight Night 163	1.5	5.0	333%		5.0 / 1.5 (333%)
2nd Nov '19	UFC 244	8	-0.7	-9%	-0.7 / 5.5 (-13%)	0.0 / 2.5 (0%)
26th Oct '19	UFC Fight Night 162	8	-1.7	-21%	2.3 / 4 (58%)		-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
18th Oct '19	UFC ESPN 6	9	-0.9	-10%	-2.0 / 7 (-29%)		1.1 / 2 (56%)
12th Oct '19	UFC on ESPN+ 19	7.5	5.9	79%	4.6 / 5.5 (84%)	1.3 / 2 (65%)
5th Oct '19	UFC 243	3	-3.0	-100%		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
28th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 160	13	-3.4	-26%	-1.5 / 7.5 (-20%)	2.1 / 1.5 (140%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
21st Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 159	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 158	4.5	-1.2	-27%	-1.2 / 4.5 (-27%)
7th Sep '19	UFC 242	5.5	-1.9	-35%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	2.1 / 1.5 (138%)
31st Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 157	2.5	0.6	23%	0.6 / 2.5 (23%)
20th Aug '19	DWCS 25	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
17th Aug '19	UFC 241	8.5	5.2	62%	6.0 / 4.5 (134%)	-0.8 / 4 (-21%)
14th Aug '19	DWCS 24	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
10th Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 156	11.75	-3.3	-28%	-6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)	3.9 / 4.5 (88%)
27th Jul '19	UFC 240	13.75	4.9	36%	2.2 / 2.75 (80%)	2.1 / 4.5 (48%)	0.6 / 6.5 (9%)
24th Jul '19	DWCS 21	1	0.9	87%	0.9 / 1 (87%)
20th Jul '19	UFC on ESPN 4	5	-0.3	-7%	-0.3 / 5 (-7%)
13th Jul '19	UFC Fight Night 155	5	0.4	8%	1.9 / 1.5 (125%)	-1.5 / 3.5 (-43%)
11th Jul '19	PFL 2019: Week 4	2.5	1.1	43%		1.1 / 2.5 (43%)
6th Jul '19	UFC 239	7.25	2.7	37%	0.0 / 3 (0%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)	2.9 / 4 (73%)
29th Jun '19	UFC on ESPN 3	4	-1.0	-25%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	2.0 / 1 (200%)
22nd Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 154	15.25	1.8	12%	-0.9 / 11.25 (-8%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	3.2 / 3.5 (90%)
22nd Jun '19	Bellator London	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
21st Jun '19	Combate 40	0.5	1.2	240%	1.2 / 0.5 (240%)
19th Jun '19	DWTNCS 17	1	2.8	275%	2.8 / 1 (275%)
8th Jun '19	UFC 238	11.5	-5.7	-50%	-3.7 / 9.5 (-39%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
6th Jun '19	PFL 2019: Week 3	2	0.9	44%	0.9 / 2 (44%)
1st Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 153	10.5	5.9	56%	5.9 / 10.5 (56%)
18th May '19	UFC Fight Night 152	11.5	10.6	92%	6.1 / 5 (123%)	1.8 / 2 (90%)	2.7 / 4.5 (60%)
18th May '19	KSW 49	1	0.5	50%	0.5 / 1 (50%)
11th May '19	UFC 237	13.5	7.5	56%	3.8 / 8 (47%)	-0.2 / 1.75 (-11%)	3.9 / 3.75 (104%)
4th May '19	UFC Fight Night 150	9	0.1	1%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	3.1 / 6 (51%)
27th Apr '19	UFC on ESPN 3	10.75	-2.9	-27%	-1.7 / 6.25 (-27%)	1.3 / 2 (65%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
20th Apr '19	UFC Fight Night 149	10	2.6	26%		2.6 / 10 (26%)
13th Apr '19	UFC 236	10.25	-5.7	-56%	-5.7 / 10.25 (-56%)
30th Mar '19	UFC on ESPN 2	14.8	7.4	50%	4.3 / 5.8 (73%)	3.1 / 9 (35%)
23rd Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 148	8.25	3.1	37%	3.1 / 8.25 (37%)
16th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 147	10	4.5	45%	6.0 / 8.5 (70%)		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
9th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 146	11.25	3.6	32%	5.4 / 9.5 (56%)		-1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19	UFC 235	9.1	3.5	38%	3.5 / 9.1 (38%)
23rd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 145	9	5.0	55%	3.5 / 4.75 (74%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)	2.2 / 3.5 (64%)
17th Feb '19	UFC on ESPN 1	6.5	3.8	58%	2.3 / 1.5 (150%)	1.5 / 5 (31%)
9th Feb '19	UFC 234	14.5	10.0	69%	3.8 / 6 (63%)	1.1 / 1.5 (73%)	5.2 / 7 (74%)
2nd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 144	9	-2.9	-32%	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)	0.6 / 5.5 (11%)
26th Jan '19	Bellator Los Angeles	2.5	1.2	47%	1.2 / 2.5 (47%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	5.75	-5.8	-100%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	-1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
29th Dec '18	UFC 232	12	-8.3	-69%	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)	1.7 / 2 (86%)	-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
15th Dec '18	UFC Fight Night Milwaukee	7	6.3	91%	6.3 / 7 (91%)
8th Dec '18	UFC 231	7.75	-1.6	-21%		-1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)	0.1 / 6 (2%)
1st Dec '18	UFC Fight Night 142	8	7.2	90%	4.0 / 3.5 (115%)		3.1 / 4.5 (70%)
30th Nov '18	TUF Finale	6.5	-3.0	-47%	-0.5 / 4 (-13%)		-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
24th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 141	9.25	5.3	58%		0.6 / 1.75 (36%)	4.7 / 7.5 (63%)
17th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 140	7.5	-1.7	-23%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	2.8 / 3 (93%)
10th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night Denver	8.5	0.1	1%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	3.1 / 5.5 (55%)
3rd Nov '18	UFC 230	13.75	-4.2	-31%		-0.2 / 9.75 (-2%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
27th Oct '18	UFC Fight Night 138	9.5	5.4	57%	3.0 / 2.5 (119%)		2.4 / 7 (35%)
20th Oct '18	Cage Warriors 98	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
13th Oct '18	Bellator 208	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
6th Oct '18	UFC 229	10.5	-4.0	-38%	-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)	1.5 / 5 (30%)
29th Sep '18	Cage Warriors 97	2	0.9	44%	0.9 / 2 (44%)
22nd Sep '18	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	5.75	3.4	59%			3.4 / 5.75 (59%)
15th Sep '18	UFC FIght Night Moscow	5	2.7	54%			2.7 / 5 (54%)
8th Sep '18	UFC 228	9.5	-3.4	-36%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)		-1.9 / 8 (-24%)
1st Sep '18	Cage Warriors 96	2.4	2.0	83%	2.0 / 2.4 (83%)
25th Aug '18	UFC Fight Night 135	5	-5.0	-100%			-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
17th Aug '18	Bellator 204	3.43	1.2	36%	1.2 / 3.43 (36%)
4th Aug '18	UFC 227	11	8.2	75%	5.4 / 9 (59%)		2.8 / 2 (142%)
31st Jul '18	DWTNCS 15	0.5	1.7	345%	1.7 / 0.5 (345%)
28th Jul '18	UFC on Fox 30	10	-3.5	-35%	-3.5 / 10 (-35%)
22nd Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 134	11	5.0	46%	5.0 / 11 (46%)
17th Jul '18	DWTNCS 13	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 133	12	-3.5	-29%	-3.5 / 12 (-29%)
13th Jul '18	Bellator 202	4	-4.0	-100%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)

Winning Events: 85 (58%)
Losing Events: 62 (42%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.46 units
Most Staked On One Event: 15.25 units
Best Event: 10.63 units
Worst Event: -8.28 units
Average Event: 0.66 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 8, Units: 40.83
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -14.03

Optimal MMA Picks: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	42.33	6.2	15%	9.5 / 21.5 (44%)	-2.0 / 12.83 (-15%)	-1.4 / 8 (-17%)	9 / 7 (56%)	0.39
2020	215.83	28.8	13%	17.2 / 124.25 (14%)	8.3 / 75.58 (11%)	3.3 / 16 (21%)	31 / 20 (61%)	0.56
2019	355.15	62.5	18%	32.8 / 211.9 (15%)	11.8 / 74.75 (16%)	18.0 / 68.5 (26%)	32 / 21 (60%)	1.18
2018	189.83	-0.9	-0%	-8.5 / 97.83 (-9%)	4.4 / 26.25 (17%)	3.2 / 65.75 (5%)	13 / 14 (48%)	-0.03

Optimal MMA Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Optimal MMA Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	745.31	95.7	13%	51.9 / 403.15 (13%)	20.7 / 183.91 (11%)	23.1 / 158.25 (15%)
Bellator	18.18	-3.4	-18%	-3.9 / 17.18 (-23%)	0.6 / 1 (59%)
PFL	4.5	2.0	43%	0.9 / 2 (44%)	1.1 / 2.5 (43%)
Other	35.15	2.4	7%	2.3 / 33.15 (7%)	0.1 / 2 (5%)

Optimal MMA Picks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	43 (19%)	30	70 %	138.68	-5.81	-0.14	-4%
Slight Favorites	57 (25%)	30	53 %	137.55	-10.05	-0.18	-7%
Slight Underdogs	96 (42%)	54	56 %	147.75	51.42	0.54	35%
Big Underdogs	34 (15%)	14	41 %	31.50	15.53	0.46	49%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	34 (15%)	15	44 %	69.58	-5.17	-0.15	-7%
Co-Main Event	21 (9%)	13	62 %	35.25	4.81	0.23	14%
Position 3-5	73 (32%)	40	55 %	145.85	10.58	0.14	7%
6+ (Undercard)	102 (44%)	60	59 %	204.80	40.86	0.40	20%

Optimal MMA Picks: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	10 (4%)	5	50 %	17.50	2.14	0.21	12%
Light Heavy	21 (9%)	10	48 %	37.75	2.06	0.10	5%
Middleweight	13 (6%)	7	54 %	20.00	0.08	0.01	0%
Welterweight	33 (14%)	18	55 %	62.00	5.60	0.17	9%
Lightweight	37 (16%)	22	59 %	79.90	3.33	0.09	4%
Featherweight	40 (17%)	21	53 %	72.05	11.90	0.30	17%
Bantamweight	33 (14%)	20	61 %	76.93	9.05	0.27	12%
Flyweight	10 (4%)	4	40 %	27.00	-4.35	-0.43	-16%

Women's Fights	33 (14%)	21	64 %	62.35	21.27	0.64	34%
Featherweight	2 (1%)	1	50 %	5.00	0.50	0.25	10%
Bantamweight	5 (2%)	4	80 %	8.50	7.00	1.40	82%
Flyweight	8 (3%)	6	75 %	19.00	7.24	0.90	38%
Strawweight	18 (8%)	10	56 %	29.85	6.53	0.36	22%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	65 (93%)	56	86 %
Slight Favorites	5 (7%)	3	60 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	70	59	84 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	61 (37%)	47	77 %
50-65%	50 (30%)	29	58 %
35-50%	29 (18%)	18	62 %
<35% chance	24 (15%)	4	17 %
	164	98	60 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	32 (20%)	24	75 %	1.71	3.00	1.30	8.8 (27%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	14 (9%)	4	29 %	1.75	3.00	1.25	-7.7 (-55%)
Goes to Decision	22 (13%)	14	64 %	1.72	3.60	1.26	1.8 (8%)
Does not go to Decision	54 (33%)	43	80 %	1.47	2.50	1.08	10.4 (19%)
Fight Starts Round X	1 (1%)	0	0 %	1.29	1.29	1.29	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	9 (5%)	2	22 %	2.49	8.50	1.34	-4.0 (-44%)
X Wins by Sub	2 (1%)	0	0 %	3.68	7.00	2.50	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	11 (7%)	3	27 %	2.98	5.00	2.00	-1.6 (-14%)
X Does NOT Win by Decision	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.19	1.19	1.19	0.2 (19%)
X Wins Inside Distance	12 (7%)	4	33 %	2.86	8.00	1.53	-2.1 (-17%)
X Wins in Round X	1 (1%)	0	0 %	1.50	1.50	1.50	-1.0 (-100%)
Others	5 (3%)	3	60 %	1.68	3.40	1.28	-0.1 (-1%)
	164	98	60 %	1.75			1.8 (1%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Optimal MMA Picks's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
13th Jul	Bellator 202	4	-4.0	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$960.00
14th Jul	UFC Fight Night 133	12	-3.5	-29%		$9.60	$960.00	$926.40
17th Jul	DWTNCS 13	2	-2.0	-100%		$9.26	$926.40	$907.87
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night 134	11	5.0	46%		$9.08	$907.87	$953.39
28th Jul	UFC on Fox 30	10	-3.5	-35%		$9.53	$953.39	$920.22
31st Jul	DWTNCS 15	0.5	1.7	345%		$9.20	$920.22	$936.09
4th Aug	UFC 227	11	8.2	75%		$9.36	$936.09	$1,012.84
17th Aug	Bellator 204	3.43	1.2	36%		$10.13	$1,012.84	$1,025.47
25th Aug	UFC Fight Night 135	5	-5.0	-100%		$10.25	$1,025.47	$974.20
1st Sep	Cage Warriors 96	2.4	2.0	83%		$9.74	$974.20	$993.61
8th Sep	UFC 228	9.5	-3.4	-36%		$9.94	$993.61	$959.34
15th Sep	UFC FIght Night Moscow	5	2.7	54%		$9.59	$959.34	$985.26
22nd Sep	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	5.75	3.4	59%		$9.85	$985.26	$1,018.71
29th Sep	Cage Warriors 97	2	0.9	44%		$10.19	$1,018.71	$1,027.68
6th Oct	UFC 229	10.5	-4.0	-38%		$10.28	$1,027.68	$986.57
13th Oct	Bellator 208	1	-1.0	-100%		$9.87	$986.57	$976.71
20th Oct	Cage Warriors 98	5	-5.0	-100%		$9.77	$976.71	$927.87
27th Oct	UFC Fight Night 138	9.5	5.4	57%		$9.28	$927.87	$977.90
3rd Nov	UFC 230	13.75	-4.2	-31%		$9.78	$977.90	$936.53
10th Nov	UFC Fight Night Denver	8.5	0.1	1%		$9.37	$936.53	$937.00
17th Nov	UFC Fight Night 140	7.5	-1.7	-23%		$9.37	$937.00	$921.09
24th Nov	UFC Fight Night 141	9.25	5.3	58%		$9.21	$921.09	$970.12
30th Nov	TUF Finale	6.5	-3.0	-47%		$9.70	$970.12	$940.63
1st Dec	UFC Fight Night 142	8	7.2	90%		$9.41	$940.63	$1,008.05
8th Dec	UFC 231	7.75	-1.6	-21%		$10.08	$1,008.05	$991.65
15th Dec	UFC Fight Night Milwaukee	7	6.3	91%		$9.92	$991.65	$1,054.52
29th Dec	UFC 232	12	-8.3	-69%	$10	$10.55	$1,054.52	$957.21
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	5.75	-5.8	-100%		$9.57	$957.21	$902.17
26th Jan	Bellator Los Angeles	2.5	1.2	47%		$9.02	$902.17	$912.77
2nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 144	9	-2.9	-32%		$9.13	$912.77	$886.48
9th Feb	UFC 234	14.5	10.0	69%		$8.86	$886.48	$975.36
17th Feb	UFC on ESPN 1	6.5	3.8	58%		$9.75	$975.36	$1,012.42
23rd Feb	UFC Fight Night 145	9	5.0	55%		$10.12	$1,012.42	$1,062.93
2nd Mar	UFC 235	9.1	3.5	38%		$10.63	$1,062.93	$1,099.81
9th Mar	UFC Fight Night 146	11.25	3.6	32%		$11.00	$1,099.81	$1,139.40
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night 147	10	4.5	45%		$11.39	$1,139.40	$1,190.45
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night 148	8.25	3.1	37%		$11.90	$1,190.45	$1,227.23
30th Mar	UFC on ESPN 2	14.8	7.4	50%		$12.27	$1,227.23	$1,317.80
13th Apr	UFC 236	10.25	-5.7	-56%		$13.18	$1,317.80	$1,242.36
20th Apr	UFC Fight Night 149	10	2.6	26%		$12.42	$1,242.36	$1,274.66
27th Apr	UFC on ESPN 3	10.75	-2.9	-27%		$12.75	$1,274.66	$1,237.69
4th May	UFC Fight Night 150	9	0.1	1%		$12.38	$1,237.69	$1,238.47
11th May	UFC 237	13.5	7.5	56%		$12.38	$1,238.47	$1,331.33
18th May	KSW 49	1	0.5	50%		$13.31	$1,331.33	$1,337.99
18th May	UFC Fight Night 152	11.5	10.6	92%		$13.38	$1,337.99	$1,480.15
1st Jun	UFC Fight Night 153	10.5	5.9	56%		$14.80	$1,480.15	$1,567.11
6th Jun	PFL 2019: Week 3	2	0.9	44%		$15.67	$1,567.11	$1,580.90
8th Jun	UFC 238	11.5	-5.7	-50%		$15.81	$1,580.90	$1,490.00
19th Jun	DWTNCS 17	1	2.8	275%		$14.90	$1,490.00	$1,530.97
21st Jun	Combate 40	0.5	1.2	240%		$15.31	$1,530.97	$1,549.35
22nd Jun	Bellator London	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$15.49	$1,549.35	$1,541.60
22nd Jun	UFC Fight Night 154	15.25	1.8	12%		$15.42	$1,541.60	$1,569.18
29th Jun	UFC on ESPN 3	4	-1.0	-25%		$15.69	$1,569.18	$1,553.49
6th Jul	UFC 239	7.25	2.7	37%		$15.53	$1,553.49	$1,594.90
11th Jul	PFL 2019: Week 4	2.5	1.1	43%		$15.95	$1,594.90	$1,612.05
13th Jul	UFC Fight Night 155	5	0.4	8%		$16.12	$1,612.05	$1,618.10
20th Jul	UFC on ESPN 4	5	-0.3	-7%		$16.18	$1,618.10	$1,612.59
24th Jul	DWCS 21	1	0.9	87%		$16.13	$1,612.59	$1,626.62
27th Jul	UFC 240	13.75	4.9	36%		$16.27	$1,626.62	$1,706.96
10th Aug	UFC Fight Night 156	11.75	-3.3	-28%		$17.07	$1,706.96	$1,650.56
14th Aug	DWCS 24	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$16.51	$1,650.56	$1,625.80
17th Aug	UFC 241	8.5	5.2	62%		$16.26	$1,625.80	$1,710.83
20th Aug	DWCS 25	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$17.11	$1,710.83	$1,685.17
31st Aug	UFC Fight Night 157	2.5	0.6	23%		$16.85	$1,685.17	$1,694.86
7th Sep	UFC 242	5.5	-1.9	-35%		$16.95	$1,694.86	$1,662.15
14th Sep	UFC Fight Night 158	4.5	-1.2	-27%		$16.62	$1,662.15	$1,642.20
21st Sep	UFC Fight Night 159	2	-2.0	-100%		$16.42	$1,642.20	$1,609.36
28th Sep	UFC Fight Night 160	13	-3.4	-26%		$16.09	$1,609.36	$1,554.96
5th Oct	UFC 243	3	-3.0	-100%		$15.55	$1,554.96	$1,508.31
12th Oct	UFC on ESPN+ 19	7.5	5.9	79%		$15.08	$1,508.31	$1,597.45
18th Oct	UFC ESPN 6	9	-0.9	-10%		$15.97	$1,597.45	$1,583.48
26th Oct	UFC Fight Night 162	8	-1.7	-21%		$15.83	$1,583.48	$1,556.87
2nd Nov	UFC 244	8	-0.7	-9%		$15.57	$1,556.87	$1,545.35
9th Nov	UFC Fight Night 163	1.5	5.0	333%		$15.45	$1,545.35	$1,622.54
16th Nov	UFC Fight Night 164	6.5	-1.6	-25%		$16.23	$1,622.54	$1,596.58
22nd Nov	Cage Warriors 111	1	1.6	165%		$15.97	$1,596.58	$1,622.92
23rd Nov	Bellator London	1	-1.0	-100%		$16.23	$1,622.92	$1,606.69
7th Dec	UFC on ESPN 7	4	3.5	88%		$16.07	$1,606.69	$1,663.04
15th Dec	UFC 245	3.5	0.4	12%		$16.63	$1,663.04	$1,670.19
21st Dec	UFC Fight Night 165	5	3.0	61%		$16.70	$1,670.19	$1,721.14
18th Jan	UFC 246	6.5	0.7	11%		$17.21	$1,721.14	$1,733.18
25th Jan	UFC Fight Night 166	3.5	2.2	64%		$17.33	$1,733.18	$1,771.89
9th Feb	UFC 247	3	-0.8	-28%		$17.72	$1,771.89	$1,757.00
15th Feb	UFC Fight Night 167	6.5	3.5	54%		$17.57	$1,757.00	$1,818.32
22nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 168	3.5	2.5	73%		$18.18	$1,818.32	$1,864.60
29th Feb	Combate 56	1	0.6	57%		$18.65	$1,864.60	$1,875.23
29th Feb	UFC Fight Night	5	-2.0	-40%		$18.75	$1,875.23	$1,837.72
8th Mar	UFC 248	4.75	1.1	24%		$18.38	$1,837.72	$1,858.40
14th Mar	UFC Fight Night 169	6.85	-2.5	-37%		$18.58	$1,858.40	$1,811.47
20th Mar	Cage Warriors 113	4	1.2	31%		$18.11	$1,811.47	$1,833.93
10th May	UFC 249	3	2.9	98%		$18.34	$1,833.93	$1,887.76
14th May	UFC Fight Night 170	2.5	-2.5	-100%		$18.88	$1,887.76	$1,840.57
16th May	UFC Fight Night 171	8.5	3.5	41%		$18.41	$1,840.57	$1,905.45
30th May	UFC Fight Night 172	6.75	1.8	26%	$10	$19.05	$1,905.45	$1,928.89
6th Jun	UFC 250	8.5	3.3	38%	$10	$19.29	$1,928.89	$1,981.58
13th Jun	UFC Fight Night 173	1.5	-1.5	-100%	$10	$19.82	$1,981.58	$1,941.86
20th Jun	UFC Fight Night 174	7.5	0.3	4%	$10	$19.42	$1,941.86	$1,937.29
27th Jun	UFC Fight Night 175	4.65	-4.7	-100%	$10	$19.37	$1,937.29	$1,837.21
11th Jul	UFC 251	10	5.4	54%	$10	$18.37	$1,837.21	$1,925.50
15th Jul	UFC Fight Island 1	11.5	-1.3	-12%	$10	$19.26	$1,925.50	$1,889.99
18th Jul	UFC Fight Island 2	2.5	-2.5	-100%	$10	$18.90	$1,889.99	$1,832.74
24th Jul	ACA 107	1.5	0.2	17%		$18.33	$1,832.74	$1,837.32
25th Jul	UFC Fight Island 3	6.75	1.0	15%	$10	$18.37	$1,837.32	$1,845.33
8th Aug	Bellator 243	1.25	0.6	44%	$10	$18.45	$1,845.33	$1,845.48
8th Aug	UFC Vegas 6	2.75	2.8	104%	$10	$18.45	$1,845.48	$1,888.07
15th Aug	UFC 252	7.25	0.8	11%	$10	$18.88	$1,888.07	$1,893.18
19th Aug	DWCS 29	1.75	0.7	40%		$18.93	$1,893.18	$1,906.43
22nd Aug	UFC Vegas 7	4	4.0	101%	$10	$19.06	$1,906.43	$1,973.07
26th Aug	DWCS 30	3.25	-3.3	-100%	$10	$19.73	$1,973.07	$1,898.95
29th Aug	UFC Fight Night 182	1.5	-1.5	-100%	$10	$18.99	$1,898.95	$1,860.46
2nd Sep	DWCS 31	2	2.5	125%	$10	$18.60	$1,860.46	$1,896.98
5th Sep	UFC Fight Night 183	6.75	7.1	106%	$10	$18.97	$1,896.98	$2,022.13
9th Sep	DWCS 32	0.25	-0.3	-100%	$10	$20.22	$2,022.13	$2,007.08
12th Sep	UFC Fight Night 184	5	4.2	85%	$10	$20.07	$2,007.08	$2,082.18
19th Sep	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	5.5	-1.9	-34%	$10	$20.82	$2,082.18	$2,032.87
26th Sep	UFC 253	3.5	-1.2	-36%	$10	$20.33	$2,032.87	$1,997.46
4th Oct	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	3	-1.1	-37%	$10	$19.97	$1,997.46	$1,965.48
10th Oct	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	5.5	4.5	81%	$10	$19.65	$1,965.48	$2,043.14
17th Oct	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	3.5	-0.5	-14%	$10	$20.43	$2,043.14	$2,022.93
24th Oct	UFC 254	5.83	1.9	33%	$10	$20.23	$2,022.93	$2,051.41
31st Oct	UFC Vegas 12	4.5	-1.8	-40%	$10	$20.51	$2,051.41	$2,004.49
5th Nov	DWCS 34	1	-1.0	-100%	$10	$20.04	$2,004.49	$1,974.44
8th Nov	UFC Vegas 13	4.5	-4.5	-100%	$10	$19.74	$1,974.44	$1,875.59
12th Nov	Bellator 252	2	1.1	54%	$10	$18.76	$1,875.59	$1,885.85
14th Nov	UFC Vegas 14	2	0.8	42%	$10	$18.86	$1,885.85	$1,891.88
21st Nov	UFC 255	3.5	1.5	44%	$10	$18.92	$1,891.88	$1,911.20
29th Nov	UFC Vegas 15	4	3.2	80%	$10	$19.11	$1,911.20	$1,962.36
6th Dec	UFC Vegas 16	1	-1.0	-100%	$10	$19.62	$1,962.36	$1,932.74
11th Dec	Cage Warriors 118	0.5	0.5	105%	$10	$19.33	$1,932.74	$1,932.89
13th Dec	UFC 256	7	-3.5	-51%	$10	$19.33	$1,932.89	$1,854.46
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	3.5	1.6	47%	$10	$18.54	$1,854.46	$1,874.97
16th Jan	UFC FN	1	2.4	240%	$10	$18.75	$1,874.97	$1,909.97
20th Jan	UFC on ESPN 20	3	2.7	89%	$10	$19.10	$1,909.97	$1,950.77
24th Jan	UFC 257	7.5	-2.1	-27%	$10	$19.51	$1,950.77	$1,900.68
14th Feb	UFC 258	5.5	2.0	36%	$10	$19.01	$1,900.68	$1,928.32
20th Feb	UFC Fight Night 185	4	3.4	86%	$10	$19.28	$1,928.32	$1,984.46
28th Feb	UFC Fight Night 186	1.33	-1.3	-100%	$10	$19.84	$1,984.46	$1,948.06
6th Mar	UFC 259	6.5	-3.5	-54%	$10	$19.48	$1,948.06	$1,869.86
13th Mar	UFC Fight Night 187	2	1.5	75%	$10	$18.70	$1,869.86	$1,887.91
19th Mar	Cage Warriors 121	0.5	-0.5	-100%	$10	$18.88	$1,887.91	$1,868.47
21st Mar	UFC Fight Night 188	1	1.5	150%	$10	$18.68	$1,868.47	$1,886.49
2nd Apr	Bellator 255	1.5	0.1	6%	$10	$18.86	$1,886.49	$1,878.16
9th Apr	Bellator 256	1	-1.0	-100%	$10	$18.78	$1,878.16	$1,849.38
10th Apr	UFC FN	3	1.9	63%	$10	$18.49	$1,849.38	$1,874.61
17th Apr	UFC FN	3	0.6	21%	$10	$18.75	$1,874.61	$1,876.19
24th Apr	UFC 261	0.5	-0.5	-100%	$10	$18.76	$1,876.19	$1,856.81
1st May	UFC FN	1	-1.0	-100%	$10	$18.57	$1,856.81	$1,828.24

ROI % from starting bank balance: 82.82% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Optimal MMA Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '21	Derek Brunson	Kevin Holland	2.50	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
2.	Mar '21	Davey Grant	Jonathan Martinez	3.50	1	TKO, R2 (3:3)
3.	Feb '21	Darrick Minner	Charles Rosa	2.63	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Feb '21	Chris Gutierrez	Andre Ewell	1.72	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Feb '21	John Castaneda	Eddie Wineland	2.00	1.5	TKO, R1 (4:44)
6.	Feb '21	Kamaru Usman	Gilbert Burns	1.40	3.5	TKO, R3 (0:34)
7.	Jan '21	Joanne Calderwood	Jessica Eye	1.91	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Jan '21	Dalcha Lungiambula	Markus Perez	1.73	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jan '21	Michael Chiesa	Neil Magny	2.20	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
10.	Jan '21	Li Jingliang	Santiago Ponzinibbio	3.40	1	TKO, R1 (4:25)
11.	Dec '20	Deron Winn	Antonio Arroyo	2.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Dec '20	Decky McAleenan	Adam Ventre	2.05	0.5	Sub, R2 (1:13)
13.	Nov '20	Katlyn Chookagian	Cynthia Calvillo	3.05	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Nov '20	Bill Algeo	Spike Carlyle	2.45	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Nov '20	Yaroslav Amosov	Logan Storley	1.54	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Nov '20	Cory McKenna	Kay Hansen	2.85	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Oct '20	Ilia Topuria	Youssef Zalal	2.62	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Oct '20	Giga Chikadze	Omar Morales	2.75	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Sep '20	Hakeem Dawodu	Zubaira Tukhugov	2.25	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Sep '20	Ottman Azaitar	Khama Worthy	2.20	1	TKO, R1 (1:33)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '21	Randa Markos	Luana Pinheiro	2.50	1		No
2.	Apr '21	Jordan Griffin	Luis Saldana	2.25	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Apr '21	Jeremy Kennedy	Adam Borics	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Apr '21	Emmanuel Sanchez	Patricio Freire	3.15	0.5	Sub, R1 (3:35)	No
5.	Mar '21	Rostem Akman	Ian Garry	3.00	0.5	TKO, R2 (2:28)	No
6.	Mar '21	Jason Witt	Matt Semelsberger	2.10	1	TKO, R1 (0:16)	No
7.	Mar '21	Yadong Song	Kyler Phillips	1.75	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Dec '20	John Allan	Roman Dolidze	2.80	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Dec '20	Billy Quarantillo	Gavin Tucker	1.95	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Dec '20	Renato Moicano	Rafael Fiziev	2.10	1	TKO, R1 (4:5)	No
11.	Nov '20	Rachael Ostovich	Gina Mazany	2.35	1	TKO, R3 (4:10)	No
12.	Nov '20	Marcos Rogerio de Lima	Alexander Romanov	4.50	1	Sub, R1 (4:48)	No
13.	Nov '20	Alex Perez	Deiveson Figueiredo	3.50	1.5	Sub, R1 (1:57)	No
14.	Nov '20	Geraldo De Freitas Jr.	Tony Gravely	2.62	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Nov '20	Bruno Oliveira	Carlos Ulberg	2.80	1	TKO, R1 (2:2)	No
16.	Oct '20	Kevin Natividad	Miles Johns	2.62	0.5	TKO, R3 (2:51)	No
17.	Nov '20	Ramiz Brahimaj	Max Griffin	2.62	1	TKO, R3 (2:3)	No
18.	Oct '20	Justin Gaethje	Khabib Nurmagomedov	3.75	1	Sub, R2 (1:34)	No
19.	Sep '20	Jeff Hughes	Juan Espino	3.40	0.5	Sub, R1 (3:48)	No
20.	Oct '20	Court McGee	Carlos Condit	2.10	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

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