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MMA Handicapper Stats: Optimal MMA Picks

Optimal MMA Picks (OptimalMMAPicks)


MMA MHandicapper - Optimal MMA Picks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 215 (57%) Right 123 (57%) Right 57 (54%) Right 35 (61%)
Wrong 163 (43%) Wrong 92 (43%) Wrong 49 (46%) Wrong 22 (39%)
Avg Odds 1.97 Avg Odds 2.00 Avg Odds 2.00 Avg Odds 1.81
Units Bet 783.1 Units Bet 447.0 Units Bet 181.4 Units Bet 154.8
Avg Bet 2.07 Avg Bet 2.08 Avg Bet 1.71 Avg Bet 2.71
Units Profit 97.52 Units Profit 53.58 Units Profit 24.00 Units Profit 19.95
ROI % 12% ROI % 12% ROI % 13% ROI % 13%
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Optimal MMA Picks: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
28th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 186 1.33 -1.3 -100% -1.3 / 1.33 (-100%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 4 3.4 86% 3.1 / 2.5 (125%) 0.3 / 1.5 (20%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 5.5 2.0 36% 2.5 / 5 (50%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 7.5 -2.1 -27% 1.4 / 1.5 (91%) 1.1 / 1.5 (72%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 3 2.7 89% 2.7 / 3 (89%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 1 2.4 240% 2.4 / 1 (240%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 3.5 1.6 47% 1.4 / 1 (140%) 0.2 / 2.5 (10%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 7 -3.5 -51% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -0.5 / 4 (-13%)
11th Dec '20 Cage Warriors 118 0.5 0.5 105% 0.5 / 0.5 (105%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 4 3.2 80% 1.9 / 3 (63%) 1.3 / 1 (130%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 3.5 1.5 44% 0.5 / 2.5 (22%) 1.0 / 1 (100%)
14th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 14 2 0.8 42% 0.8 / 2 (42%)
12th Nov '20 Bellator 252 2 1.1 54% 1.1 / 2 (54%)
8th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 13 4.5 -4.5 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
5th Nov '20 DWCS 34 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 4.5 -1.8 -40% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -1.3 / 4 (-33%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 5.83 1.9 33% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 0.9 / 1.83 (50%) 2.0 / 3 (66%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 3.5 -0.5 -14% -0.5 / 3.5 (-14%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 5.5 4.5 81% 3.4 / 2 (168%) 1.1 / 3.5 (31%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 3 -1.1 -37% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 0.9 / 1 (90%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 3.5 -1.2 -36% 0.8 / 1.5 (50%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 5.5 -1.9 -34% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 1.1 / 2.5 (44%)
12th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 184 5 4.2 85% 1.2 / 1 (120%) 2.2 / 3 (74%) 0.8 / 1 (82%)
9th Sep '20 DWCS 32 0.25 -0.3 -100% -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
5th Sep '20 UFC Fight Night 183 6.75 7.1 106% 2.1 / 1.5 (140%) 5.0 / 5.25 (96%)
2nd Sep '20 DWCS 31 2 2.5 125% 2.5 / 2 (125%)
29th Aug '20 UFC Fight Night 182 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
26th Aug '20 DWCS 30 3.25 -3.3 -100% -3.3 / 3.25 (-100%)
22nd Aug '20 UFC Vegas 7 4 4.0 101% 2.0 / 2 (101%) 2.0 / 2 (100%)
19th Aug '20 DWCS 29 1.75 0.7 40% 0.7 / 1.75 (40%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 7.25 0.8 11% -0.7 / 5.25 (-13%) 1.5 / 2 (73%)
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 2.75 2.8 104% 1.5 / 1.25 (120%) 1.3 / 1.5 (90%)
8th Aug '20 Bellator 243 1.25 0.6 44% 0.6 / 1.25 (44%)
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 6.75 1.0 15% 1.6 / 3 (53%) -0.6 / 3.75 (-16%)
24th Jul '20 ACA 107 1.5 0.2 17% 0.2 / 1.5 (17%)
18th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 2 2.5 -2.5 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
15th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 1 11.5 -1.3 -12% -1.8 / 5.5 (-33%) 0.5 / 6 (8%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 10 5.4 54% 3.9 / 7 (55%) 1.5 / 3 (50%)
27th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 175 4.65 -4.7 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -3.7 / 3.65 (-100%)
20th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 174 7.5 0.3 4% 2.8 / 5 (56%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
13th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 173 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
6th Jun '20 UFC 250 8.5 3.3 38% 1.5 / 4.5 (34%) 1.7 / 4 (43%)
30th May '20 UFC Fight Night 172 6.75 1.8 26% 2.5 / 6 (42%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
16th May '20 UFC Fight Night 171 8.5 3.5 41% 2.4 / 7.5 (32%) 1.1 / 1 (110%)
14th May '20 UFC Fight Night 170 2.5 -2.5 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
10th May '20 UFC 249 3 2.9 98% 1.8 / 1 (176%) 1.2 / 2 (59%)
20th Mar '20 Cage Warriors 113 4 1.2 31% 1.1 / 2 (57%) 0.1 / 2 (5%)
14th Mar '20 UFC Fight Night 169 6.85 -2.5 -37% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 1.5 / 2.85 (52%)
8th Mar '20 UFC 248 4.75 1.1 24% 1.1 / 4.75 (24%)
29th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 5 -2.0 -40% -2.0 / 5 (-40%)
29th Feb '20 Combate 56 1 0.6 57% 0.6 / 1 (57%)
22nd Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 168 3.5 2.5 73% 1.3 / 2.5 (53%) 1.2 / 1 (122%)
15th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 167 6.5 3.5 54% 3.5 / 4.5 (78%) 0.0 / 2 (0%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 3 -0.8 -28% 1.2 / 1 (116%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
25th Jan '20 UFC Fight Night 166 3.5 2.2 64% 2.2 / 3.5 (64%)
18th Jan '20 UFC 246 6.5 0.7 11% 0.7 / 6.5 (11%)
21st Dec '19 UFC Fight Night 165 5 3.0 61% 3.0 / 5 (61%)
15th Dec '19 UFC 245 3.5 0.4 12% 2.4 / 1.5 (162%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
7th Dec '19 UFC on ESPN 7 4 3.5 88% 3.5 / 4 (88%)
23rd Nov '19 Bellator London 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd Nov '19 Cage Warriors 111 1 1.6 165% 1.6 / 1 (165%)
16th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 164 6.5 -1.6 -25% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 1.4 / 3.5 (40%)
9th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 163 1.5 5.0 333% 5.0 / 1.5 (333%)
2nd Nov '19 UFC 244 8 -0.7 -9% -0.7 / 5.5 (-13%) 0.0 / 2.5 (0%)
26th Oct '19 UFC Fight Night 162 8 -1.7 -21% 2.3 / 4 (58%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
18th Oct '19 UFC ESPN 6 9 -0.9 -10% -2.0 / 7 (-29%) 1.1 / 2 (56%)
12th Oct '19 UFC on ESPN+ 19 7.5 5.9 79% 4.6 / 5.5 (84%) 1.3 / 2 (65%)
5th Oct '19 UFC 243 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
28th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 160 13 -3.4 -26% -1.5 / 7.5 (-20%) 2.1 / 1.5 (140%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
21st Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 159 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 158 4.5 -1.2 -27% -1.2 / 4.5 (-27%)
7th Sep '19 UFC 242 5.5 -1.9 -35% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 2.1 / 1.5 (138%)
31st Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 157 2.5 0.6 23% 0.6 / 2.5 (23%)
20th Aug '19 DWCS 25 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 8.5 5.2 62% 6.0 / 4.5 (134%) -0.8 / 4 (-21%)
14th Aug '19 DWCS 24 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 11.75 -3.3 -28% -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%) 3.9 / 4.5 (88%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 13.75 4.9 36% 2.2 / 2.75 (80%) 2.1 / 4.5 (48%) 0.6 / 6.5 (9%)
24th Jul '19 DWCS 21 1 0.9 87% 0.9 / 1 (87%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 5 -0.3 -7% -0.3 / 5 (-7%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 5 0.4 8% 1.9 / 1.5 (125%) -1.5 / 3.5 (-43%)
11th Jul '19 PFL 2019: Week 4 2.5 1.1 43% 1.1 / 2.5 (43%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 7.25 2.7 37% 0.0 / 3 (0%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) 2.9 / 4 (73%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 4 -1.0 -25% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 2.0 / 1 (200%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 15.25 1.8 12% -0.9 / 11.25 (-8%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 3.2 / 3.5 (90%)
22nd Jun '19 Bellator London 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
21st Jun '19 Combate 40 0.5 1.2 240% 1.2 / 0.5 (240%)
19th Jun '19 DWTNCS 17 1 2.8 275% 2.8 / 1 (275%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 11.5 -5.7 -50% -3.7 / 9.5 (-39%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
6th Jun '19 PFL 2019: Week 3 2 0.9 44% 0.9 / 2 (44%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 10.5 5.9 56% 5.9 / 10.5 (56%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 11.5 10.6 92% 6.1 / 5 (123%) 1.8 / 2 (90%) 2.7 / 4.5 (60%)
18th May '19 KSW 49 1 0.5 50% 0.5 / 1 (50%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 13.5 7.5 56% 3.8 / 8 (47%) -0.2 / 1.75 (-11%) 3.9 / 3.75 (104%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 9 0.1 1% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 3.1 / 6 (51%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 10.75 -2.9 -27% -1.7 / 6.25 (-27%) 1.3 / 2 (65%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 10 2.6 26% 2.6 / 10 (26%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 10.25 -5.7 -56% -5.7 / 10.25 (-56%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 14.8 7.4 50% 4.3 / 5.8 (73%) 3.1 / 9 (35%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 8.25 3.1 37% 3.1 / 8.25 (37%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 10 4.5 45% 6.0 / 8.5 (70%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 11.25 3.6 32% 5.4 / 9.5 (56%) -1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 9.1 3.5 38% 3.5 / 9.1 (38%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 9 5.0 55% 3.5 / 4.75 (74%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%) 2.2 / 3.5 (64%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 6.5 3.8 58% 2.3 / 1.5 (150%) 1.5 / 5 (31%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 14.5 10.0 69% 3.8 / 6 (63%) 1.1 / 1.5 (73%) 5.2 / 7 (74%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 9 -2.9 -32% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) 0.6 / 5.5 (11%)
26th Jan '19 Bellator Los Angeles 2.5 1.2 47% 1.2 / 2.5 (47%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 5.75 -5.8 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 12 -8.3 -69% -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) 1.7 / 2 (86%) -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 UFC Fight Night Milwaukee 7 6.3 91% 6.3 / 7 (91%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 7.75 -1.6 -21% -1.8 / 1.75 (-100%) 0.1 / 6 (2%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 8 7.2 90% 4.0 / 3.5 (115%) 3.1 / 4.5 (70%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 6.5 -3.0 -47% -0.5 / 4 (-13%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 9.25 5.3 58% 0.6 / 1.75 (36%) 4.7 / 7.5 (63%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 7.5 -1.7 -23% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 2.8 / 3 (93%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 8.5 0.1 1% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 3.1 / 5.5 (55%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 13.75 -4.2 -31% -0.2 / 9.75 (-2%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 9.5 5.4 57% 3.0 / 2.5 (119%) 2.4 / 7 (35%)
20th Oct '18 Cage Warriors 98 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 10.5 -4.0 -38% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) 1.5 / 5 (30%)
29th Sep '18 Cage Warriors 97 2 0.9 44% 0.9 / 2 (44%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 5.75 3.4 59% 3.4 / 5.75 (59%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 5 2.7 54% 2.7 / 5 (54%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 9.5 -3.4 -36% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -1.9 / 8 (-24%)
1st Sep '18 Cage Warriors 96 2.4 2.0 83% 2.0 / 2.4 (83%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
17th Aug '18 Bellator 204 3.43 1.2 36% 1.2 / 3.43 (36%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 11 8.2 75% 5.4 / 9 (59%) 2.8 / 2 (142%)
31st Jul '18 DWTNCS 15 0.5 1.7 345% 1.7 / 0.5 (345%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 10 -3.5 -35% -3.5 / 10 (-35%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 11 5.0 46% 5.0 / 11 (46%)
17th Jul '18 DWTNCS 13 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 12 -3.5 -29% -3.5 / 12 (-29%)
13th Jul '18 Bellator 202 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)


Winning Events: 80 (58%)
Losing Events: 57 (42%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.72 units
Most Staked On One Event: 15.25 units
Best Event: 10.63 units
Worst Event: -8.28 units
Average Event: 0.71 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 8, Units: 40.83
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -14.03

Optimal MMA Picks: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 22.33 7.1 32% 12.0 / 13 (93%) -0.5 / 4.83 (-9%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) 4 / 2 (67%) 1.18
2020 215.83 28.8 13% 17.2 / 124.25 (14%) 8.3 / 75.58 (11%) 3.3 / 16 (21%) 31 / 20 (61%) 0.56
2019 355.15 62.5 18% 32.8 / 211.9 (15%) 11.8 / 74.75 (16%) 18.0 / 68.5 (26%) 32 / 21 (60%) 1.18
2018 189.83 -0.9 -0% -8.5 / 97.83 (-9%) 4.4 / 26.25 (17%) 3.2 / 65.75 (5%) 13 / 14 (48%) -0.03

Optimal MMA Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Optimal MMA Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 728.31 95.2 13% 52.4 / 396.65 (13%) 22.8 / 176.91 (13%) 19.9 / 154.75 (13%)
Bellator 15.68 -2.4 -16% -2.4 / 15.68 (-16%)
PFL 4.5 2.0 43% 0.9 / 2 (44%) 1.1 / 2.5 (43%)
Other 34.65 2.9 8% 2.8 / 32.65 (8%) 0.1 / 2 (5%)

Optimal MMA Picks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 43 (19%) 30 70 % 138.68 -5.81 -0.14 -4%
Slight Favorites 56 (25%) 30 54 % 135.55 -8.05 -0.14 -6%
Slight Underdogs 91 (41%) 53 58 % 143.25 53.42 0.59 37%
Big Underdogs 31 (14%) 13 42 % 29.50 14.03 0.45 48%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 32 (14%) 14 44 % 68.08 -6.17 -0.19 -9%
Co-Main Event 21 (10%) 13 62 % 35.25 4.81 0.23 14%
Position 3-5 70 (32%) 39 56 % 143.35 9.58 0.14 7%
6+ (Undercard) 98 (44%) 60 61 % 200.30 45.36 0.46 23%

Optimal MMA Picks: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 10 (5%) 5 50 % 17.50 2.14 0.21 12%
Light Heavy 21 (10%) 10 48 % 37.75 2.06 0.10 5%
Middleweight 12 (5%) 6 50 % 19.00 -1.42 -0.12 -7%
Welterweight 31 (14%) 18 58 % 60.50 7.10 0.23 12%
Lightweight 37 (17%) 22 59 % 79.90 3.33 0.09 4%
Featherweight 37 (17%) 21 57 % 70.05 13.90 0.38 20%
Bantamweight 31 (14%) 19 61 % 73.93 8.55 0.28 12%
Flyweight 10 (5%) 4 40 % 27.00 -4.35 -0.43 -16%
               
Women's Fights 32 (14%) 21 66 % 61.35 22.27 0.70 36%
Featherweight 2 (1%) 1 50 % 5.00 0.50 0.25 10%
Bantamweight 5 (2%) 4 80 % 8.50 7.00 1.40 82%
Flyweight 8 (4%) 6 75 % 19.00 7.24 0.90 38%
Strawweight 17 (8%) 10 59 % 28.85 7.53 0.44 26%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 63 (93%) 54 86 %
Slight Favorites 5 (7%) 3 60 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
68 57 84 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 59 (38%) 45 76 %
50-65% 47 (30%) 27 57 %
35-50% 27 (17%) 17 63 %
<35% chance 22 (14%) 4 18 %
155 93 60 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 28 (18%) 21 75 % 1.72 3.00Pick was incorrect 1.30Pick was correct 8.1 (29%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 14 (9%) 4 29 % 1.75 3.00Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was correct -7.7 (-55%)
Goes to Decision 20 (13%) 12 60 % 1.72 3.60Pick was incorrect 1.26Pick was correct 0.1 (0%)
Does not go to Decision 54 (35%) 43 80 % 1.47 2.50Pick was correct 1.08Pick was correct 10.4 (19%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (1%) 0 0 % 1.29 1.29Pick was incorrect 1.29Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 9 (6%) 2 22 % 2.49 8.50Pick was incorrect 1.34Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-44%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (1%) 0 0 % 3.68 7.00Pick was incorrect 2.50Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 8 (5%) 3 38 % 2.86 5.00Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was correct 1.4 (18%)
X Does NOT Win by Decision 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.19 1.19Pick was correct 1.19Pick was correct 0.2 (19%)
X Wins Inside Distance 12 (8%) 4 33 % 2.86 8.00Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was incorrect -2.1 (-17%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (1%) 0 0 % 1.50 1.50Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 5 (3%) 3 60 % 1.68 3.40Pick was incorrect 1.28Pick was correct -0.1 (-1%)
155 93 60 % 1.74     2.4 (2%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Optimal MMA Picks's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
13th Jul Bellator 202 4 -4.0 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $960.00
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 12 -3.5 -29% $9.60 $960.00 $926.40
17th Jul DWTNCS 13 2 -2.0 -100% $9.26 $926.40 $907.87
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 11 5.0 46% $9.08 $907.87 $953.39
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 10 -3.5 -35% $9.53 $953.39 $920.22
31st Jul DWTNCS 15 0.5 1.7 345% $9.20 $920.22 $936.09
4th Aug UFC 227 11 8.2 75% $9.36 $936.09 $1,012.84
17th Aug Bellator 204 3.43 1.2 36% $10.13 $1,012.84 $1,025.47
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 5 -5.0 -100% $10.25 $1,025.47 $974.20
1st Sep Cage Warriors 96 2.4 2.0 83% $9.74 $974.20 $993.61
8th Sep UFC 228 9.5 -3.4 -36% $9.94 $993.61 $959.34
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 5 2.7 54% $9.59 $959.34 $985.26
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 5.75 3.4 59% $9.85 $985.26 $1,018.71
29th Sep Cage Warriors 97 2 0.9 44% $10.19 $1,018.71 $1,027.68
6th Oct UFC 229 10.5 -4.0 -38% $10.28 $1,027.68 $986.57
13th Oct Bellator 208 1 -1.0 -100% $9.87 $986.57 $976.71
20th Oct Cage Warriors 98 5 -5.0 -100% $9.77 $976.71 $927.87
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 9.5 5.4 57% $9.28 $927.87 $977.90
3rd Nov UFC 230 13.75 -4.2 -31% $9.78 $977.90 $936.53
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 8.5 0.1 1% $9.37 $936.53 $937.00
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 7.5 -1.7 -23% $9.37 $937.00 $921.09
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 9.25 5.3 58% $9.21 $921.09 $970.12
30th Nov TUF Finale 6.5 -3.0 -47% $9.70 $970.12 $940.63
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 8 7.2 90% $9.41 $940.63 $1,008.05
8th Dec UFC 231 7.75 -1.6 -21% $10.08 $1,008.05 $991.65
15th Dec UFC Fight Night Milwaukee 7 6.3 91% $9.92 $991.65 $1,054.52
29th Dec UFC 232 12 -8.3 -69% $10 $10.55 $1,054.52 $957.21
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 5.75 -5.8 -100% $9.57 $957.21 $902.17
26th Jan Bellator Los Angeles 2.5 1.2 47% $9.02 $902.17 $912.77
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 9 -2.9 -32% $9.13 $912.77 $886.48
9th Feb UFC 234 14.5 10.0 69% $8.86 $886.48 $975.36
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 6.5 3.8 58% $9.75 $975.36 $1,012.42
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 9 5.0 55% $10.12 $1,012.42 $1,062.93
2nd Mar UFC 235 9.1 3.5 38% $10.63 $1,062.93 $1,099.81
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 11.25 3.6 32% $11.00 $1,099.81 $1,139.40
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 10 4.5 45% $11.39 $1,139.40 $1,190.45
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 8.25 3.1 37% $11.90 $1,190.45 $1,227.23
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 14.8 7.4 50% $12.27 $1,227.23 $1,317.80
13th Apr UFC 236 10.25 -5.7 -56% $13.18 $1,317.80 $1,242.36
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 10 2.6 26% $12.42 $1,242.36 $1,274.66
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 10.75 -2.9 -27% $12.75 $1,274.66 $1,237.69
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 9 0.1 1% $12.38 $1,237.69 $1,238.47
11th May UFC 237 13.5 7.5 56% $12.38 $1,238.47 $1,331.33
18th May KSW 49 1 0.5 50% $13.31 $1,331.33 $1,337.99
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 11.5 10.6 92% $13.38 $1,337.99 $1,480.15
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 10.5 5.9 56% $14.80 $1,480.15 $1,567.11
6th Jun PFL 2019: Week 3 2 0.9 44% $15.67 $1,567.11 $1,580.90
8th Jun UFC 238 11.5 -5.7 -50% $15.81 $1,580.90 $1,490.00
19th Jun DWTNCS 17 1 2.8 275% $14.90 $1,490.00 $1,530.97
21st Jun Combate 40 0.5 1.2 240% $15.31 $1,530.97 $1,549.35
22nd Jun Bellator London 0.5 -0.5 -100% $15.49 $1,549.35 $1,541.60
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 15.25 1.8 12% $15.42 $1,541.60 $1,569.18
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 4 -1.0 -25% $15.69 $1,569.18 $1,553.49
6th Jul UFC 239 7.25 2.7 37% $15.53 $1,553.49 $1,594.90
11th Jul PFL 2019: Week 4 2.5 1.1 43% $15.95 $1,594.90 $1,612.05
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 5 0.4 8% $16.12 $1,612.05 $1,618.10
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 5 -0.3 -7% $16.18 $1,618.10 $1,612.59
24th Jul DWCS 21 1 0.9 87% $16.13 $1,612.59 $1,626.62
27th Jul UFC 240 13.75 4.9 36% $16.27 $1,626.62 $1,706.96
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 11.75 -3.3 -28% $17.07 $1,706.96 $1,650.56
14th Aug DWCS 24 1.5 -1.5 -100% $16.51 $1,650.56 $1,625.80
17th Aug UFC 241 8.5 5.2 62% $16.26 $1,625.80 $1,710.83
20th Aug DWCS 25 1.5 -1.5 -100% $17.11 $1,710.83 $1,685.17
31st Aug UFC Fight Night 157 2.5 0.6 23% $16.85 $1,685.17 $1,694.86
7th Sep UFC 242 5.5 -1.9 -35% $16.95 $1,694.86 $1,662.15
14th Sep UFC Fight Night 158 4.5 -1.2 -27% $16.62 $1,662.15 $1,642.20
21st Sep UFC Fight Night 159 2 -2.0 -100% $16.42 $1,642.20 $1,609.36
28th Sep UFC Fight Night 160 13 -3.4 -26% $16.09 $1,609.36 $1,554.96
5th Oct UFC 243 3 -3.0 -100% $15.55 $1,554.96 $1,508.31
12th Oct UFC on ESPN+ 19 7.5 5.9 79% $15.08 $1,508.31 $1,597.45
18th Oct UFC ESPN 6 9 -0.9 -10% $15.97 $1,597.45 $1,583.48
26th Oct UFC Fight Night 162 8 -1.7 -21% $15.83 $1,583.48 $1,556.87
2nd Nov UFC 244 8 -0.7 -9% $15.57 $1,556.87 $1,545.35
9th Nov UFC Fight Night 163 1.5 5.0 333% $15.45 $1,545.35 $1,622.54
16th Nov UFC Fight Night 164 6.5 -1.6 -25% $16.23 $1,622.54 $1,596.58
22nd Nov Cage Warriors 111 1 1.6 165% $15.97 $1,596.58 $1,622.92
23rd Nov Bellator London 1 -1.0 -100% $16.23 $1,622.92 $1,606.69
7th Dec UFC on ESPN 7 4 3.5 88% $16.07 $1,606.69 $1,663.04
15th Dec UFC 245 3.5 0.4 12% $16.63 $1,663.04 $1,670.19
21st Dec UFC Fight Night 165 5 3.0 61% $16.70 $1,670.19 $1,721.14
18th Jan UFC 246 6.5 0.7 11% $17.21 $1,721.14 $1,733.18
25th Jan UFC Fight Night 166 3.5 2.2 64% $17.33 $1,733.18 $1,771.89
9th Feb UFC 247 3 -0.8 -28% $17.72 $1,771.89 $1,757.00
15th Feb UFC Fight Night 167 6.5 3.5 54% $17.57 $1,757.00 $1,818.32
22nd Feb UFC Fight Night 168 3.5 2.5 73% $18.18 $1,818.32 $1,864.60
29th Feb Combate 56 1 0.6 57% $18.65 $1,864.60 $1,875.23
29th Feb UFC Fight Night 5 -2.0 -40% $18.75 $1,875.23 $1,837.72
8th Mar UFC 248 4.75 1.1 24% $18.38 $1,837.72 $1,858.40
14th Mar UFC Fight Night 169 6.85 -2.5 -37% $18.58 $1,858.40 $1,811.47
20th Mar Cage Warriors 113 4 1.2 31% $18.11 $1,811.47 $1,833.93
10th May UFC 249 3 2.9 98% $18.34 $1,833.93 $1,887.76
14th May UFC Fight Night 170 2.5 -2.5 -100% $18.88 $1,887.76 $1,840.57
16th May UFC Fight Night 171 8.5 3.5 41% $18.41 $1,840.57 $1,905.45
30th May UFC Fight Night 172 6.75 1.8 26% $10 $19.05 $1,905.45 $1,928.89
6th Jun UFC 250 8.5 3.3 38% $10 $19.29 $1,928.89 $1,981.58
13th Jun UFC Fight Night 173 1.5 -1.5 -100% $10 $19.82 $1,981.58 $1,941.86
20th Jun UFC Fight Night 174 7.5 0.3 4% $10 $19.42 $1,941.86 $1,937.29
27th Jun UFC Fight Night 175 4.65 -4.7 -100% $10 $19.37 $1,937.29 $1,837.21
11th Jul UFC 251 10 5.4 54% $10 $18.37 $1,837.21 $1,925.50
15th Jul UFC Fight Island 1 11.5 -1.3 -12% $10 $19.26 $1,925.50 $1,889.99
18th Jul UFC Fight Island 2 2.5 -2.5 -100% $10 $18.90 $1,889.99 $1,832.74
24th Jul ACA 107 1.5 0.2 17% $18.33 $1,832.74 $1,837.32
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 6.75 1.0 15% $10 $18.37 $1,837.32 $1,845.33
8th Aug Bellator 243 1.25 0.6 44% $10 $18.45 $1,845.33 $1,845.48
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 2.75 2.8 104% $10 $18.45 $1,845.48 $1,888.07
15th Aug UFC 252 7.25 0.8 11% $10 $18.88 $1,888.07 $1,893.18
19th Aug DWCS 29 1.75 0.7 40% $18.93 $1,893.18 $1,906.43
22nd Aug UFC Vegas 7 4 4.0 101% $10 $19.06 $1,906.43 $1,973.07
26th Aug DWCS 30 3.25 -3.3 -100% $10 $19.73 $1,973.07 $1,898.95
29th Aug UFC Fight Night 182 1.5 -1.5 -100% $10 $18.99 $1,898.95 $1,860.46
2nd Sep DWCS 31 2 2.5 125% $10 $18.60 $1,860.46 $1,896.98
5th Sep UFC Fight Night 183 6.75 7.1 106% $10 $18.97 $1,896.98 $2,022.13
9th Sep DWCS 32 0.25 -0.3 -100% $10 $20.22 $2,022.13 $2,007.08
12th Sep UFC Fight Night 184 5 4.2 85% $10 $20.07 $2,007.08 $2,082.18
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 5.5 -1.9 -34% $10 $20.82 $2,082.18 $2,032.87
26th Sep UFC 253 3.5 -1.2 -36% $10 $20.33 $2,032.87 $1,997.46
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 3 -1.1 -37% $10 $19.97 $1,997.46 $1,965.48
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 5.5 4.5 81% $10 $19.65 $1,965.48 $2,043.14
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 3.5 -0.5 -14% $10 $20.43 $2,043.14 $2,022.93
24th Oct UFC 254 5.83 1.9 33% $10 $20.23 $2,022.93 $2,051.41
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 4.5 -1.8 -40% $10 $20.51 $2,051.41 $2,004.49
5th Nov DWCS 34 1 -1.0 -100% $10 $20.04 $2,004.49 $1,974.44
8th Nov UFC Vegas 13 4.5 -4.5 -100% $10 $19.74 $1,974.44 $1,875.59
12th Nov Bellator 252 2 1.1 54% $10 $18.76 $1,875.59 $1,885.85
14th Nov UFC Vegas 14 2 0.8 42% $10 $18.86 $1,885.85 $1,891.88
21st Nov UFC 255 3.5 1.5 44% $10 $18.92 $1,891.88 $1,911.20
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 4 3.2 80% $10 $19.11 $1,911.20 $1,962.36
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 1 -1.0 -100% $10 $19.62 $1,962.36 $1,932.74
11th Dec Cage Warriors 118 0.5 0.5 105% $10 $19.33 $1,932.74 $1,932.89
13th Dec UFC 256 7 -3.5 -51% $10 $19.33 $1,932.89 $1,854.46
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 3.5 1.6 47% $10 $18.54 $1,854.46 $1,874.97
16th Jan UFC FN 1 2.4 240% $10 $18.75 $1,874.97 $1,909.97
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 3 2.7 89% $10 $19.10 $1,909.97 $1,950.77
24th Jan UFC 257 7.5 -2.1 -27% $10 $19.51 $1,950.77 $1,900.68
14th Feb UFC 258 5.5 2.0 36% $10 $19.01 $1,900.68 $1,928.32
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 4 3.4 86% $10 $19.28 $1,928.32 $1,984.46
28th Feb UFC Fight Night 186 1.33 -1.3 -100% $10 $19.84 $1,984.46 $1,948.06


ROI % from starting bank balance: 94.81% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Optimal MMA Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '21 Paid Pick Darrick Minner Charles Rosa 2.63 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Paid Pick Chris Gutierrez Andre Ewell 1.72 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Paid Pick John Castaneda Eddie Wineland 2.00 1.5 TKO, R1 (4:44) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Paid Pick Kamaru Usman Gilbert Burns 1.40 3.5 TKO, R3 (0:34) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '21 Paid Pick Joanne Calderwood Jessica Eye 1.91 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '21 Paid Pick Dalcha Lungiambula Markus Perez 1.73 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '21 Paid Pick Michael Chiesa Neil Magny 2.20 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '21 Paid Pick Li Jingliang Santiago Ponzinibbio 3.40 1 TKO, R1 (4:25) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '20 Paid Pick Deron Winn Antonio Arroyo 2.40 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '20 Paid Pick Decky McAleenan Adam Ventre 2.05 0.5 Sub, R2 (1:13) MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '20 Paid Pick Katlyn Chookagian Cynthia Calvillo 3.05 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '20 Paid Pick Bill Algeo Spike Carlyle 2.45 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '20 Paid Pick Yaroslav Amosov Logan Storley 1.54 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '20 Paid Pick Cory McKenna Kay Hansen 2.85 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '20 Paid Pick Ilia Topuria Youssef Zalal 2.62 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '20 Paid Pick Giga Chikadze Omar Morales 2.75 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '20 Paid Pick Hakeem Dawodu Zubaira Tukhugov 2.25 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '20 Paid Pick Ottman Azaitar Khama Worthy 2.20 1 TKO, R1 (1:33) MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '20 Paid Pick Andre Muniz Bartosz Fabinski 2.40 1.5 Sub, R1 (2:42) MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '20 Paid Pick Jimmy Flick Nate Smith 2.25 2 Sub, R3 (3:15) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '20 Paid Pick John Allan Roman Dolidze 2.80 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '20 Paid Pick Billy Quarantillo Gavin Tucker 1.95 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '20 Paid Pick Renato Moicano Rafael Fiziev 2.10 1 TKO, R1 (4:5) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '20 Paid Pick Rachael Ostovich Gina Mazany 2.35 1 TKO, R3 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '20 Paid Pick Marcos Rogerio de Lima Alexander Romanov 4.50 1 Sub, R1 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '20 Paid Pick Alex Perez Deiveson Figueiredo 3.50 1.5 Sub, R1 (1:57) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '20 Paid Pick Geraldo De Freitas Jr. Tony Gravely 2.62 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '20 Paid Pick Bruno Oliveira Carlos Ulberg 2.80 1 TKO, R1 (2:2) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '20 Paid Pick Kevin Natividad Miles Johns 2.62 0.5 TKO, R3 (2:51) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '20 Paid Pick Ramiz Brahimaj Max Griffin 2.62 1 TKO, R3 (2:3) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '20 Paid Pick Justin Gaethje Khabib Nurmagomedov 3.75 1 Sub, R2 (1:34) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '20 Paid Pick Jeff Hughes Juan Espino 3.40 0.5 Sub, R1 (3:48) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '20 Paid Pick Court McGee Carlos Condit 2.10 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '20 Paid Pick Jordan Espinosa David Dvorak 2.00 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '20 Paid Pick Al Matavao Tafon Nchukwi 6.00 0.25 TKO, R2 (2:1) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '20 Paid Pick Jhonoven Pati Jamie Pickett 2.20 1.25 TKO, R2 (0:33) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '20 Paid Pick Mike Breeden Anthony Romero 2.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '20 Paid Pick Jacob Silva Jeff Molina 2.75 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '20 Paid Pick Maki Pitolo Impa Kasanganay 2.25 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '20 Hilarie Rose Cheyanne Buys 3.00 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Optimal MMA Picks: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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