MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1663
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 687

MMA Handicapper Stats: Optimal MMA Picks

Optimal MMA Picks (OptimalMMAPicks)

MMA MHandicapper - Optimal MMA Picks

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	86 (61%)	Right	47 (58%)	Right	17 (65%)	Right	22 (63%)
Wrong	56 (39%)	Wrong	34 (42%)	Wrong	9 (35%)	Wrong	13 (37%)
Avg Odds	1.84	Avg Odds	1.87	Avg Odds	1.78	Avg Odds	1.83
Units Bet	356.5	Units Bet	193.7	Units Bet	66.5	Units Bet	96.3
Avg Bet	2.51	Avg Bet	2.39	Avg Bet	2.56	Avg Bet	2.75
Units Profit	45.16	Units Profit	17.89	Units Profit	12.82	Units Profit	14.46
ROI %	13%	ROI %	9%	ROI %	19%	ROI %	15%

Optimal MMA Picks: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
18th May '19	UFC Fight Night 152	11.5	10.6	92%	6.1 / 5 (123%)	1.8 / 2 (90%)	2.7 / 4.5 (60%)
18th May '19	KSW 49	1	0.5	50%	0.5 / 1 (50%)
11th May '19	UFC 237	13.5	7.5	56%	3.8 / 8 (47%)	-0.2 / 1.75 (-11%)	3.9 / 3.75 (104%)
4th May '19	UFC Fight Night 150	9	0.1	1%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	3.1 / 6 (51%)
27th Apr '19	UFC on ESPN 3	10.75	-2.9	-27%	-1.7 / 6.25 (-27%)	1.3 / 2 (65%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
20th Apr '19	UFC Fight Night 149	10	2.6	26%		2.6 / 10 (26%)
13th Apr '19	UFC 236	10.25	-5.7	-56%	-5.7 / 10.25 (-56%)
30th Mar '19	UFC on ESPN 2	14.8	7.4	50%	4.3 / 5.8 (73%)	3.1 / 9 (35%)
23rd Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 148	8.25	3.1	37%	3.1 / 8.25 (37%)
16th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 147	10	4.5	45%	6.0 / 8.5 (70%)		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
9th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 146	11.25	3.6	32%	5.4 / 9.5 (56%)		-1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19	UFC 235	9.1	3.5	38%	3.5 / 9.1 (38%)
23rd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 145	9	5.0	55%	3.5 / 4.75 (74%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)	2.2 / 3.5 (64%)
17th Feb '19	UFC on ESPN 1	6.5	3.8	58%	2.3 / 1.5 (150%)	1.5 / 5 (31%)
9th Feb '19	UFC 234	14.5	10.0	69%	3.8 / 6 (63%)	1.1 / 1.5 (73%)	5.2 / 7 (74%)
2nd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 144	9	-2.9	-32%	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)	0.6 / 5.5 (11%)
26th Jan '19	Bellator Los Angeles	2.5	1.2	47%	1.2 / 2.5 (47%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	5.75	-5.8	-100%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	-1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
29th Dec '18	UFC 232	12	-8.3	-69%	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)	1.7 / 2 (86%)	-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
15th Dec '18	Fight Night Milwaukee	7	6.3	91%	6.3 / 7 (91%)
8th Dec '18	UFC 231	7.75	-1.6	-21%		-1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)	0.1 / 6 (2%)
1st Dec '18	UFC Fight Night 142	8	7.2	90%	4.0 / 3.5 (115%)		3.1 / 4.5 (70%)
30th Nov '18	TUF Finale	6.5	-3.0	-47%	-0.5 / 4 (-13%)		-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
24th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 141	9.25	5.3	58%		0.6 / 1.75 (36%)	4.7 / 7.5 (63%)
17th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 140	7.5	-1.7	-23%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	2.8 / 3 (93%)
10th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night Denver	8.5	0.1	1%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	3.1 / 5.5 (55%)
3rd Nov '18	UFC 230	13.75	-4.2	-31%		-0.2 / 9.75 (-2%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
27th Oct '18	UFC Fight Night 138	9.5	5.4	57%	3.0 / 2.5 (119%)		2.4 / 7 (35%)
20th Oct '18	Cage Warriors 98	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
13th Oct '18	Bellator 208	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
6th Oct '18	UFC 229	10.5	-4.0	-38%	-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)	1.5 / 5 (30%)
29th Sep '18	Cage Warriors 97	2	0.9	44%	0.9 / 2 (44%)
22nd Sep '18	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	5.75	3.4	59%			3.4 / 5.75 (59%)
15th Sep '18	UFC FIght Night Moscow	5	2.7	54%			2.7 / 5 (54%)
8th Sep '18	UFC 228	9.5	-3.4	-36%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)		-1.9 / 8 (-24%)
1st Sep '18	Cage Warriors 96	2.4	2.0	83%	2.0 / 2.4 (83%)
25th Aug '18	UFC Fight Night 135	5	-5.0	-100%			-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
17th Aug '18	Bellator 204	3.43	1.2	36%	1.2 / 3.43 (36%)
4th Aug '18	UFC 227	11	8.2	75%	5.4 / 9 (59%)		2.8 / 2 (142%)
31st Jul '18	DWTNCS 15	0.5	1.7	345%	1.7 / 0.5 (345%)
28th Jul '18	UFC on Fox 30	10	-3.5	-35%	-3.5 / 10 (-35%)
22nd Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 134	11	5.0	46%	5.0 / 11 (46%)
17th Jul '18	DWTNCS 13	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 133	12	-3.5	-29%	-3.5 / 12 (-29%)
13th Jul '18	Bellator 202	4	-4.0	-100%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)

Winning Events: 27 (60%)
Losing Events: 18 (40%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.92 units
Most Staked On One Event: 14.80 units
Best Event: 10.63 units
Worst Event: -8.28 units
Average Event: 1.00 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 8, Units: 40.83
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -14.03

Optimal MMA Picks: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	166.65	46.0	28%	26.4 / 95.9 (27%)	8.4 / 40.25 (21%)	11.3 / 30.5 (37%)	14 / 4 (78%)	2.56
2018	189.83	-0.9	-0%	-8.5 / 97.83 (-9%)	4.4 / 26.25 (17%)	3.2 / 65.75 (5%)	13 / 14 (48%)	-0.03

Optimal MMA Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

To view these stats, you need to be a VIP

Optimal MMA Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	332.65	49.6	15%	22.4 / 169.9 (13%)	12.8 / 66.5 (19%)	14.5 / 96.25 (15%)
Bellator	10.93	-2.6	-24%	-2.6 / 10.93 (-24%)
Other	12.9	-1.9	-15%	-1.9 / 12.9 (-15%)

Optimal MMA Picks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	22 (27%)	16	73 %	71.93	0.07	0.00	0%
Slight Favorites	25 (31%)	11	44 %	64.30	-10.61	-0.42	-17%
Slight Underdogs	24 (30%)	14	58 %	47.75	18.23	0.76	38%
Big Underdogs	10 (12%)	6	60 %	9.75	10.20	1.02	105%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	13 (16%)	8	62 %	35.33	6.43	0.49	18%
Co-Main Event	9 (11%)	6	67 %	17.50	-0.37	-0.04	-2%
Position 3-5	18 (22%)	9	50 %	47.35	-0.56	-0.03	-1%
6+ (Undercard)	41 (51%)	24	59 %	93.55	12.38	0.30	13%

Optimal MMA Picks: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	6 (7%)	4	67 %	13.00	3.56	0.59	27%
Light Heavy	8 (10%)	4	50 %	15.00	3.09	0.39	21%
Middleweight	3 (4%)	2	67 %	5.00	1.10	0.37	22%
Welterweight	11 (14%)	7	64 %	21.25	9.97	0.91	47%
Lightweight	13 (16%)	9	69 %	36.65	4.39	0.34	12%
Featherweight	12 (15%)	5	42 %	25.55	-2.84	-0.24	-11%
Bantamweight	16 (20%)	10	63 %	45.43	5.49	0.34	12%
Flyweight	3 (4%)		0 %	10.00	-10.00	-3.33	-100%

Women's Fights	9 (11%)	6	67 %	21.85	3.12	0.35	14%
Featherweight	1 (1%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-3.00	-100%
Bantamweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	2.00	2.00	2.00	100%
Strawweight	7 (9%)	5	71 %	16.85	4.12	0.59	24%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	36 (88%)	34	94 %
Slight Favorites	5 (12%)	3	60 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	0 %
	41	37	90 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	35 (61%)	27	77 %
50-65%	12 (21%)	8	67 %
35-50%	6 (11%)	3	50 %
<35% chance	4 (7%)	1	25 %
	57	39	68 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	4 (7%)	3	75 %	1.66	1.73	1.57	1.1 (27%)
Goes to Decision	8 (14%)	5	63 %	1.64	3.60	1.32	-0.8 (-10%)
Does not go to Decision	38 (67%)	30	79 %	1.44	2.38	1.08	5.5 (15%)
Fight Starts Round X	1 (2%)	0	0 %	1.29	1.29	1.29	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	3 (5%)	1	33 %	3.45	5.00	2.88	0.1 (3%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (2%)	0	0 %	2.80	2.80	2.80	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X	1 (2%)	0	0 %	1.50	1.50	1.50	-1.0 (-100%)
Others	1 (2%)	0	0 %	1.36	1.36	1.36	-1.0 (-100%)
	57	39	68 %	1.54			2.0 (3%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Optimal MMA Picks's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
13th Jul	Bellator 202	4	-4.0	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$960.00
14th Jul	UFC Fight Night 133	12	-3.5	-29%		$9.60	$960.00	$926.40
17th Jul	DWTNCS 13	2	-2.0	-100%		$9.26	$926.40	$907.87
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night 134	11	5.0	46%		$9.08	$907.87	$953.39
28th Jul	UFC on Fox 30	10	-3.5	-35%		$9.53	$953.39	$920.22
31st Jul	DWTNCS 15	0.5	1.7	345%		$9.20	$920.22	$936.09
4th Aug	UFC 227	11	8.2	75%		$9.36	$936.09	$1,012.84
17th Aug	Bellator 204	3.43	1.2	36%		$10.13	$1,012.84	$1,025.47
25th Aug	UFC Fight Night 135	5	-5.0	-100%		$10.25	$1,025.47	$974.20
1st Sep	Cage Warriors 96	2.4	2.0	83%		$9.74	$974.20	$993.61
8th Sep	UFC 228	9.5	-3.4	-36%		$9.94	$993.61	$959.34
15th Sep	UFC FIght Night Moscow	5	2.7	54%		$9.59	$959.34	$985.26
22nd Sep	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	5.75	3.4	59%		$9.85	$985.26	$1,018.71
29th Sep	Cage Warriors 97	2	0.9	44%		$10.19	$1,018.71	$1,027.68
6th Oct	UFC 229	10.5	-4.0	-38%		$10.28	$1,027.68	$986.57
13th Oct	Bellator 208	1	-1.0	-100%		$9.87	$986.57	$976.71
20th Oct	Cage Warriors 98	5	-5.0	-100%		$9.77	$976.71	$927.87
27th Oct	UFC Fight Night 138	9.5	5.4	57%		$9.28	$927.87	$977.90
3rd Nov	UFC 230	13.75	-4.2	-31%		$9.78	$977.90	$936.53
10th Nov	UFC Fight Night Denver	8.5	0.1	1%		$9.37	$936.53	$937.00
17th Nov	UFC Fight Night 140	7.5	-1.7	-23%		$9.37	$937.00	$921.09
24th Nov	UFC Fight Night 141	9.25	5.3	58%		$9.21	$921.09	$970.12
30th Nov	TUF Finale	6.5	-3.0	-47%		$9.70	$970.12	$940.63
1st Dec	UFC Fight Night 142	8	7.2	90%		$9.41	$940.63	$1,008.05
8th Dec	UFC 231	7.75	-1.6	-21%		$10.08	$1,008.05	$991.65
15th Dec	Fight Night Milwaukee	7	6.3	91%		$9.92	$991.65	$1,054.52
29th Dec	UFC 232	12	-8.3	-69%	$10	$10.55	$1,054.52	$957.21
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	5.75	-5.8	-100%		$9.57	$957.21	$902.17
26th Jan	Bellator Los Angeles	2.5	1.2	47%		$9.02	$902.17	$912.77
2nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 144	9	-2.9	-32%		$9.13	$912.77	$886.48
9th Feb	UFC 234	14.5	10.0	69%		$8.86	$886.48	$975.36
17th Feb	UFC on ESPN 1	6.5	3.8	58%		$9.75	$975.36	$1,012.42
23rd Feb	UFC Fight Night 145	9	5.0	55%		$10.12	$1,012.42	$1,062.93
2nd Mar	UFC 235	9.1	3.5	38%		$10.63	$1,062.93	$1,099.81
9th Mar	UFC Fight Night 146	11.25	3.6	32%		$11.00	$1,099.81	$1,139.40
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night 147	10	4.5	45%		$11.39	$1,139.40	$1,190.45
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night 148	8.25	3.1	37%		$11.90	$1,190.45	$1,227.23
30th Mar	UFC on ESPN 2	14.8	7.4	50%		$12.27	$1,227.23	$1,317.80
13th Apr	UFC 236	10.25	-5.7	-56%		$13.18	$1,317.80	$1,242.36
20th Apr	UFC Fight Night 149	10	2.6	26%		$12.42	$1,242.36	$1,274.66
27th Apr	UFC on ESPN 3	10.75	-2.9	-27%		$12.75	$1,274.66	$1,237.69
4th May	UFC Fight Night 150	9	0.1	1%		$12.38	$1,237.69	$1,238.47
11th May	UFC 237	13.5	7.5	56%		$12.38	$1,238.47	$1,331.33
18th May	KSW 49	1	0.5	50%		$13.31	$1,331.33	$1,337.99
18th May	UFC Fight Night 152	11.5	10.6	92%		$13.38	$1,337.99	$1,480.15

ROI % from starting bank balance: 48.02% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Optimal MMA Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	May '19	Scott Askham	Michal Materla	1.50	1	TKO, R3 (1:23)
2.	May '19	Rafael dos Anjos	Kevin Lee	2.10	2.5	Sub, R4 (3:47)
3.	May '19	Grant Dawson	Mike Trizano	2.35	2.5	Sub, R2 (2:27)
4.	May '19	Jessica Andrade	Rose Namajunas	1.75	3	TKO, R2 (2:58)
5.	May '19	Raoni Barcelos	Carlos Huachin	1.31	5	TKO, R2 (4:49)
6.	Apr '19	Roosevelt Roberts	Thomas Gifford	1.30	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Apr '19	Belal Muhammad	Curtis Millender	1.81	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Mar '19	Casey Kenney	Ray Borg	3.50	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Mar '19	Justin Gaethje	Edson Barboza	2.40	2	TKO, R1 (2:30)
10.	Mar '19	Maycee Barber	J.J. Aldrich	1.44	1	TKO, R2 (3:1)
11.	Mar '19	Maycee Barber	J.J. Aldrich	1.44	3.5	TKO, R2 (3:1)
12.	Mar '19	Chris Gutierrez	Ryan MacDonald	1.62	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Mar '19	Saparbek Safarov	Nick Negumereanu	2.88	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Mar '19	Mike Grundy	Nad Narimani	3.00	1.5	TKO, R2 (4:42)
15.	Mar '19	Dominick Reyes	Volkan Oezdemir	1.41	4	Split Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Mar '19	Beneil Dariush	Drew Dober	1.55	3	Sub, R2 (4:41)
17.	Mar '19	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	Curtis Millender	2.00	1.5	Sub, R1 (2:35)
18.	Mar '19	Junior dos Santos	Derrick Lewis	1.44	5	TKO, R2 (1:58)
19.	Mar '19	Diego Sanchez	Mickey Gall	3.50	0.5	TKO, R2 (4:13)
20.	Mar '19	Cody Stamann	Alejandro Perez	1.55	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '19	Juan Adams	Arjan Bhullar	1.90	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Apr '19	John Lineker	Cory Sandhagen	1.73	2.75	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Apr '19	Zelim Imadaev	Max Griffin	1.91	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Apr '19	Alan Jouban	Dwight Grant	1.91	1.75	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Apr '19	Eryk Anders	Khalil Rountree	1.62	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Apr '19	Eryk Anders	Khalil Rountree	1.62	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Mar '19	Enrique Barzola	Kevin Aguilar	1.90	2.3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Mar '19	Steven Peterson	Luis Pena	3.30	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Mar '19	Jordan Rinaldi	Arnold Allen	2.45	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Apr '19	Kelvin Gastelum	Israel Adesanya	3.10	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
11.	Mar '19	Cody Garbrandt	Pedro Munhoz	1.56	2.75	TKO, R1 (4:52)	No
12.	Feb '19	Renato Moicano	Jose Aldo	1.66	3.5	TKO, R2 (0:44)	No
13.	Jan '19	T.J. Dillashaw	Henry Cejudo	1.50	4	TKO, R1 (0:32)	No
14.	Dec '18	Brian Kelleher	Montel Jackson	2.45	1.5	Sub, R1 (1:40)	No
15.	Dec '18	Cat Zingano	Megan Anderson	1.71	3	TKO, R1 (1:1)	No
16.	Nov '18	Alex Perez	Joseph Benavidez	1.80	2	TKO, R1 (4:19)	No
17.	Nov '18	Hector Aldana	Laureano Staropoli	2.20	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Nov '18	Poliana Botelho	Cynthia Calvillo	1.91	2.5	Sub, R1 (4:48)	No
19.	Nov '18	Luis Pena	Mike Trizano	1.53	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Oct '18	Alexander Jacobsen	Perry Goodwin	1.40	5	TKO, R2 (0:37)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Optimal MMA Picks: Progress Chart

Chart

Betting Favorites vs Underdogs
In Depth UFC Fight Stats
List of MMA Bookmakers
Best MMA Tipsters
Next UFC Event