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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1430
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 586

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Optimal MMA Picks

Optimal MMA Picks (OptimalMMAPicks)


MMA MHandicapper - Optimal MMA Picks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 39 (53%) Right 19 (48%) Right 7 (64%) Right 13 (57%)
Wrong 35 (47%) Wrong 21 (53%) Wrong 4 (36%) Wrong 10 (43%)
Avg Odds 1.87 Avg Odds 1.89 Avg Odds 1.86 Avg Odds 1.85
Units Bet 189.8 Units Bet 97.8 Units Bet 26.3 Units Bet 65.8
Avg Bet 2.57 Avg Bet 2.45 Avg Bet 2.39 Avg Bet 2.86
Units Profit -0.88 Units Profit -8.47 Units Profit 4.42 Units Profit 3.17
ROI % -0% ROI % -9% ROI % 17% ROI % 5%
View Handicapper's Profile

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 12 -8.3 -69% -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) 1.7 / 2 (86%) -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 7 6.3 91% 6.3 / 7 (91%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 7.75 -1.6 -21% -1.8 / 1.75 (-100%) 0.1 / 6 (2%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 8 7.2 90% 4.0 / 3.5 (115%) 3.1 / 4.5 (70%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 6.5 -3.0 -47% -0.5 / 4 (-13%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 9.25 5.3 58% 0.6 / 1.75 (36%) 4.7 / 7.5 (63%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 7.5 -1.7 -23% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 2.8 / 3 (93%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 8.5 0.1 1% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 3.1 / 5.5 (55%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 13.75 -4.2 -31% -0.2 / 9.75 (-2%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 9.5 5.4 57% 3.0 / 2.5 (119%) 2.4 / 7 (35%)
20th Oct '18 Cage Warriors 98 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 10.5 -4.0 -38% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) 1.5 / 5 (30%)
29th Sep '18 Cage Warriors 97 2 0.9 44% 0.9 / 2 (44%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 5.75 3.4 59% 3.4 / 5.75 (59%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 5 2.7 54% 2.7 / 5 (54%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 9.5 -3.4 -36% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -1.9 / 8 (-24%)
1st Sep '18 Cage Warriors 96 2.4 2.0 83% 2.0 / 2.4 (83%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
17th Aug '18 Bellator 204 3.43 1.2 36% 1.2 / 3.43 (36%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 11 8.2 75% 5.4 / 9 (59%) 2.8 / 2 (142%)
31st Jul '18 DWTNCS 15 0.5 1.7 345% 1.7 / 0.5 (345%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 10 -3.5 -35% -3.5 / 10 (-35%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 11 5.0 46% 5.0 / 11 (46%)
17th Jul '18 DWTNCS 13 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 12 -3.5 -29% -3.5 / 12 (-29%)
13th Jul '18 Bellator 202 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)


Winning Events: 13 (48%)
Losing Events: 14 (52%)

Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2018 189.83 -0.9 -0% -8.5 / 97.83 (-9%) 4.4 / 26.25 (17%) 3.2 / 65.75 (5%) 13 / 14 (48%) -0.03

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 169.5 5.3 3% -2.3 / 77.5 (-3%) 4.4 / 26.25 (17%) 3.2 / 65.75 (5%)
Bellator 8.43 -3.8 -45% -3.8 / 8.43 (-45%)
Other 11.9 -2.4 -20% -2.4 / 11.9 (-20%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 11 (28%) 6 55 % 36.43 -8.56 -0.78 -24%
Slight Favorites 9 (23%) 4 44 % 24.40 -4.50 -0.50 -18%
Slight Underdogs 17 (43%) 8 47 % 34.50 4.87 0.29 14%
Big Underdogs 3 (8%) 1 33 % 2.50 -0.28 -0.09 -11%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 7 (18%) 3 43 % 16.33 -0.74 -0.11 -5%
Co-Main Event 5 (13%) 4 80 % 10.50 2.13 0.43 20%
Position 3-5 7 (18%) 4 57 % 20.50 1.16 0.17 6%
6+ (Undercard) 21 (53%) 8 38 % 50.50 -11.01 -0.52 -22%

by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (8%) 2 67 % 3.50 2.19 0.73 62%
Light Heavy 4 (10%) 2 50 % 6.50 1.61 0.40 25%
Middleweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 3.00 1.60 1.60 53%
Welterweight 5 (13%) 3 60 % 12.50 7.55 1.51 60%
Lightweight 8 (20%) 4 50 % 23.90 -6.05 -0.76 -25%
Featherweight 4 (10%) 1 25 % 7.50 -4.35 -1.09 -58%
Bantamweight 9 (23%) 5 56 % 26.43 -0.52 -0.06 -2%
Flyweight 2 (5%) 0 % 6.00 -6.00 -3.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 4 (10%) 1 25 % 8.50 -4.50 -1.13 -53%
Featherweight 1 (3%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -3.00 -100%
Bantamweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 2.00 2.00 2.00 100%
Strawweight 2 (5%) 0 % 3.50 -3.50 -1.75 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 22 (85%) 20 91 %
Slight Favorites 4 (15%) 2 50 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
26 22 85 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 21 (64%) 17 81 %
50-65% 7 (21%) 4 57 %
35-50% 3 (9%) 2 67 %
<35% chance 2 (6%) 0 0 %
33 23 70 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (9%) 2 67 % 1.64 1.73Pick was correct 1.57Pick was incorrect 0.4 (12%)
Goes to Decision 6 (18%) 4 67 % 1.54 3.60Pick was incorrect 1.32Pick was correct -0.4 (-7%)
Does not go to Decision 20 (61%) 17 85 % 1.42 2.38Pick was correct 1.08Pick was correct 4.7 (23%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (3%) 0 0 % 1.29 1.29Pick was incorrect 1.29Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 1 (3%) 0 0 % 5.00 5.00Pick was incorrect 5.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (3%) 0 0 % 2.80 2.80Pick was incorrect 2.80Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 1 (3%) 0 0 % 1.36 1.36Pick was incorrect 1.36Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
33 23 70 % 1.51     0.6 (2%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
13th Jul Bellator 202 4 -4.0 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $960.00
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 12 -3.5 -29% $9.60 $960.00 $926.40
17th Jul DWTNCS 13 2 -2.0 -100% $9.26 $926.40 $907.87
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 11 5.0 46% $9.08 $907.87 $953.39
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 10 -3.5 -35% $9.53 $953.39 $920.22
31st Jul DWTNCS 15 0.5 1.7 345% $9.20 $920.22 $936.09
4th Aug UFC 227 11 8.2 75% $9.36 $936.09 $1,012.84
17th Aug Bellator 204 3.43 1.2 36% $10.13 $1,012.84 $1,025.47
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 5 -5.0 -100% $10.25 $1,025.47 $974.20
1st Sep Cage Warriors 96 2.4 2.0 83% $9.74 $974.20 $993.61
8th Sep UFC 228 9.5 -3.4 -36% $9.94 $993.61 $959.34
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 5 2.7 54% $9.59 $959.34 $985.26
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 5.75 3.4 59% $9.85 $985.26 $1,018.71
29th Sep Cage Warriors 97 2 0.9 44% $10.19 $1,018.71 $1,027.68
6th Oct UFC 229 10.5 -4.0 -38% $10.28 $1,027.68 $986.57
13th Oct Bellator 208 1 -1.0 -100% $9.87 $986.57 $976.71
20th Oct Cage Warriors 98 5 -5.0 -100% $9.77 $976.71 $927.87
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 9.5 5.4 57% $9.28 $927.87 $977.90
3rd Nov UFC 230 13.75 -4.2 -31% $9.78 $977.90 $936.53
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 8.5 0.1 1% $9.37 $936.53 $937.00
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 7.5 -1.7 -23% $9.37 $937.00 $921.09
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 9.25 5.3 58% $9.21 $921.09 $970.12
30th Nov TUF Finale 6.5 -3.0 -47% $9.70 $970.12 $940.63
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 8 7.2 90% $9.41 $940.63 $1,008.05
8th Dec UFC 231 7.75 -1.6 -21% $10.08 $1,008.05 $991.65
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 7 6.3 91% $9.92 $991.65 $1,054.52
29th Dec UFC 232 12 -8.3 -69% $10 $10.55 $1,054.52 $957.21


ROI % from starting bank balance: -4.28% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '18 Mike Rodriguez Adam Milstead 2.50 1.5 TKO, R1 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Rob Font Sergio Pettis 1.58 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Edson Barboza Daniel Hooker 2.03 2 TKO, R3 (2:19) MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '18 Juan Espino Justin Frazier 1.73 2 Sub, R1 (3:36) MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Tony Martin Jake Matthews 2.15 3.5 Sub, R3 (1:19) MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '18 Sean Strickland Nordine Taleb 2.19 2.5 TKO, R2 (3:10) MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '18 Mason Jones Kacper Formela 1.44 2 TKO, R1 (4:3) MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '18 Soren Bak Paddy Pimblett 1.83 2.4 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '18 Darrion Caldwell Noad Lahat 1.36 3.43 TKO, R2 (2:45) MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '18 Pedro Munhoz Brett Johns 1.50 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '18 Ricardo Ramos Kyung Ho Kang 1.49 4.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '18 Don'tale Mayes Mitchell Sipe 4.45 0.5 TKO, R2 (4:49) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '18 Sheymon da Silva Moraes Matt Sayles 2.10 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '18 Dustin Poirier Eddie Alvarez 1.63 4 TKO, R2 (4:5) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '18 Abu Azaitar Vitor Miranda 1.53 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '18 Aleksandar Rakic Justin Ledet 2.18 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '18 Bartosz Fabinski Emil Meek 2.35 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '18 Cat Zingano Marion Reneau 2.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '18 Alejandro Perez Eddie Wineland 1.50 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '18 Paid Pick Brian Kelleher Montel Jackson 2.45 1.5 Sub, R1 (1:40) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Cat Zingano Megan Anderson 1.71 3 TKO, R1 (1:1) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '18 Alex Perez Joseph Benavidez 1.80 2 TKO, R1 (4:19) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '18 Hector Aldana Laureano Staropoli 2.20 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '18 Poliana Botelho Cynthia Calvillo 1.91 2.5 Sub, R1 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '18 Luis Pena Mike Trizano 1.53 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '18 Alexander Jacobsen Perry Goodwin 1.40 5 TKO, R2 (0:37) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '18 Chael Sonnen Fedor Emelianenko 3.66 1 TKO, R1 (4:45) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '18 Alan Patrick Scott Holtzman 1.40 3 TKO, R3 (3:42) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '18 Conor McGregor Khabib Nurmagomedov 2.43 2.5 Sub, R4 (3:2) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '18 Cody Stamann Aljamain Sterling 2.51 1.5 Sub, R2 (3:42) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '18 Gadzhimurad Antigulov Ion Cutelaba 2.04 2 TKO, R1 (4:25) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '18 Matheus Nicolau Dustin Ortiz 1.53 4 TKO, R1 (3:49) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '18 Mauricio Rua Anthony Smith 3.00 1 TKO, R1 (1:29) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '18 Damian Stasiak Pingyuan Liu 2.06 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '18 Angelo Trevino Austin Vanderford 2.25 2 Sub, R2 (2:42) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '18 Myles Jury Chad Mendes 2.25 2 TKO, R1 (2:52) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '18 Eduardo Dantas Michael McDonald 1.55 4 TKO, R1 (0:58) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '18 Kurt Holobaugh Raoni Barcelos 1.53 2.5 TKO, R3 (1:39) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '18 Jodie Esquibel Jessica Aguilar 1.70 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Progress Chart

Chart

 

   
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