MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6366
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2353

MMA Handicapper Stats: Betting Model

Betting Model (Betting_Model)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	127 (44%)	Right	127 (44%)	Right	0 (nan%)	Right	0 (nan%)
Wrong	162 (56%)	Wrong	162 (56%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)
Avg Odds	2.14	Avg Odds	2.14	Avg Odds	nan	Avg Odds	nan
Units Bet	2,429.0	Units Bet	2,429.0	Units Bet	0.0	Units Bet	0.0
Avg Bet	8.40	Avg Bet	8.40	Avg Bet	nan	Avg Bet	nan
Units Profit	-169.35	Units Profit	-169.35	Units Profit	0.00	Units Profit	0.00
ROI %	-7%	ROI %	-7%	ROI %	nan%	ROI %	nan%

Betting Model : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	115	-31.8	-28%	-31.8 / 115 (-28%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	95	14.0	15%	14.0 / 95 (15%)
6th Apr '24	KSW 93	15	0.5	3%	0.5 / 15 (3%)
4th Apr '24	PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season	58	-26.5	-46%	-26.5 / 58 (-46%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	100	34.0	34%	34.0 / 100 (34%)
24th Mar '24	Fury FC 88	20	-3.7	-19%	-3.7 / 20 (-19%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	142	-22.4	-16%	-22.4 / 142 (-16%)
23rd Mar '24	Oktagon 55	80	-4.5	-6%	-4.5 / 80 (-6%)
22nd Mar '24	Rizin Landmark 9	40	-26.2	-65%	-26.2 / 40 (-65%)
22nd Mar '24	Bellator Champions Series	74	-14.4	-19%	-14.4 / 74 (-19%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	120	-7.4	-6%	-7.4 / 120 (-6%)
16th Mar '24	Cage Warriors 168	54	15.1	28%	15.1 / 54 (28%)
16th Mar '24	KSW 92	52	-39.3	-75%	-39.3 / 52 (-75%)
15th Mar '24	Cage Warriors 167	53	-28.4	-54%	-28.4 / 53 (-54%)
10th Mar '24	Fury FC 87	46	7.1	16%	7.1 / 46 (16%)
10th Mar '24	Octagon 56	20	11.4	57%	11.4 / 20 (57%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	160	-14.3	-9%	-14.3 / 160 (-9%)
9th Mar '24	ACA 172	81	-7.3	-9%	-7.3 / 81 (-9%)
9th Mar '24	LFA 178	61	5.7	9%	5.7 / 61 (9%)
8th Mar '24	One Fight Night 20	20	-2.9	-14%	-2.9 / 20 (-14%)
8th Mar '24	CFFC 130	43	21.0	49%	21.0 / 43 (49%)
8th Mar '24	Centurion FC 18	10	7.4	74%	7.4 / 10 (74%)
8th Mar '24	Ares FC 19	32	-19.0	-59%	-19.0 / 32 (-59%)
7th Mar '24	PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season	68	0.7	1%	0.7 / 68 (1%)
3rd Mar '24	UAE Warriors 48	22	-6.1	-28%	-6.1 / 22 (-28%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	75	-24.4	-33%	-24.4 / 75 (-33%)
2nd Mar '24	WOW 12	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
2nd Mar '24	Oktagon 54	96	35.9	37%	35.9 / 96 (37%)
1st Mar '24	One 166	17	13.3	78%	13.3 / 17 (78%)
25th Feb '24	ACA 171	70	21.5	31%	21.5 / 70 (31%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	110	-41.5	-38%	-41.5 / 110 (-38%)
24th Feb '24	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	60	16.5	27%	16.5 / 60 (27%)
24th Feb '24	KSW Epic	60	-7.5	-12%	-7.5 / 60 (-12%)
24th Feb '24	FCR 19	40	-14.4	-36%	-14.4 / 40 (-36%)
24th Feb '24	Rizin Landmark 8	30	-30.0	-100%	-30.0 / 30 (-100%)
23rd Feb '24	LFA 177	30	3.4	11%	3.4 / 30 (11%)
23rd Feb '24	Cage Warriors 166	40	8.4	21%	8.4 / 40 (21%)
23rd Feb '24	Fury FC 86	30	1.5	5%	1.5 / 30 (5%)
22nd Feb '24	A1 Combat 18	60	-25.1	-42%	-25.1 / 60 (-42%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	10	10.7	107%	10.7 / 10 (107%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	10	19.0	190%	19.0 / 10 (190%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	20	23.6	118%	23.6 / 20 (118%)
16th Dec '23	UFC 296	20	-20.0	-100%	-20.0 / 20 (-100%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	20	-20.0	-100%	-20.0 / 20 (-100%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	10	13.5	135%	13.5 / 10 (135%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	10	13.6	136%	13.6 / 10 (136%)

Winning Events: 22 (46%)
Losing Events: 26 (54%)

Average Staked Per Event: 50.60 units
Most Staked On One Event: 160.00 units
Best Event: 35.86 units
Worst Event: -41.49 units
Average Event: -3.53 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 70.68
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -78.53

Betting Model : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	2359	-146.5	-6%	-146.5 / 2359 (-6%)			20 / 23 (47%)	-3.41
2023	70	-22.9	-33%	-22.9 / 70 (-33%)			2 / 3 (40%)	-4.58

Betting Model : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Betting Model : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	1037	-73.5	-7%	-73.5 / 1037 (-7%)
Bellator	74	-14.4	-19%	-14.4 / 74 (-19%)
PFL	186	-9.4	-5%	-9.4 / 186 (-5%)
Other	1132	-72.1	-6%	-72.1 / 1132 (-6%)

Betting Model : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	49 (17%)	35	71 %	490.00	-7.42	-0.15	-2%
Slight Favorites	71 (24%)	40	56 %	713.00	-18.78	-0.26	-3%
Slight Underdogs	93 (32%)	38	41 %	851.00	-23.90	-0.26	-3%
Big Underdogs	79 (27%)	14	18 %	375.00	-119.25	-1.51	-32%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	43 (15%)	25	58 %	382.00	73.51	1.71	19%
Co-Main Event	32 (11%)	14	44 %	269.00	-34.53	-1.08	-13%
Position 3-5	83 (28%)	36	43 %	665.00	-47.24	-0.57	-7%
6+ (Undercard)	134 (46%)	52	39 %	1,113.00	-161.09	-1.20	-14%

Betting Model : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	20 (7%)	12	60 %	190.00	18.22	0.91	10%
Light Heavy	28 (10%)	14	50 %	220.00	16.27	0.58	7%
Middleweight	27 (9%)	10	37 %	208.00	-39.63	-1.47	-19%
Welterweight	38 (13%)	17	45 %	304.00	-2.77	-0.07	-1%
Lightweight	54 (18%)	24	44 %	450.00	-35.42	-0.66	-8%
Featherweight	39 (13%)	19	49 %	361.00	-11.32	-0.29	-3%
Bantamweight	32 (11%)	13	41 %	258.00	-14.50	-0.45	-6%
Flyweight	25 (9%)	8	32 %	188.00	-50.78	-2.03	-27%

Women's Fights	29 (10%)	10	34 %	250.00	-49.42	-1.70	-20%
Featherweight	1 (0%)		0 %	10.00	-10.00	-10.00	-100%
Bantamweight	10 (3%)	3	30 %	81.00	-29.95	-2.99	-37%
Flyweight	8 (3%)	3	38 %	67.00	1.77	0.22	3%
Strawweight	10 (3%)	4	40 %	92.00	-11.24	-1.12	-12%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
50-65%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
35-50%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
<35% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
	0	0	nan %	nan			0.0 (nan%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Betting Model 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	10	13.6	136%	$500	$10.00	$1,000.00	$636.00
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	10	13.5	135%	$500	$6.36	$636.00	$221.86
21st Oct	UFC 294	10	-10.0	-100%	$500	$2.22	$221.86	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
11th Nov	UFC 295	20	-20.0	-100%	$500	$10.00	$1,000.00	$300.00
16th Dec	UFC 296	20	-20.0	-100%	$500	$3.00	$300.00	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
20th Jan	UFC 297	20	23.6	118%	$500	$10.00	$1,000.00	$736.00
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	10	-10.0	-100%	$500	$7.36	$736.00	$162.40
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	10	19.0	190%	$500	$1.62	$162.40	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
17th Feb	UFC 298	10	10.7	107%	$500	$10.00	$1,000.00	$607.00
22nd Feb	A1 Combat 18	60	-25.1	-42%	$500	$6.07	$607.00	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
23rd Feb	LFA 177	30	3.4	11%	$500	$10.00	$1,000.00	$533.93
23rd Feb	Cage Warriors 166	40	8.4	21%	$500	$5.34	$533.93	$78.91
23rd Feb	Fury FC 86	30	1.5	5%	$500	$0.79	$78.91	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
24th Feb	Rizin Landmark 8	30	-30.0	-100%	$500	$10.00	$1,000.00	$200.00
24th Feb	FCR 19	40	-14.4	-36%	$500	$2.00	$200.00	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
24th Feb	KSW Epic	60	-7.5	-12%	$500	$10.00	$1,000.00	$425.19
24th Feb	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	60	16.5	27%	$500	$4.25	$425.19	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	110	-41.5	-38%	$500	$10.00	$1,000.00	$85.09
25th Feb	ACA 171	70	21.5	31%	$500	$0.85	$85.09	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
1st Mar	One 166	17	13.3	78%	$500	$10.00	$1,000.00	$632.78
2nd Mar	Oktagon 54	96	35.9	37%	$500	$6.33	$632.78	$359.70
2nd Mar	WOW 12	10	-10.0	-100%	$500	$3.60	$359.70	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	75	-24.4	-33%	$500	$10.00	$1,000.00	$255.71
3rd Mar	UAE Warriors 48	22	-6.1	-28%	$500	$2.56	$255.71	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
7th Mar	PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season	68	0.7	1%	$500	$10.00	$1,000.00	$507.00
8th Mar	Ares FC 19	32	-19.0	-59%	$500	$5.07	$507.00	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
8th Mar	Centurion FC 18	10	7.4	74%	$500	$10.00	$1,000.00	$574.07
8th Mar	CFFC 130	43	21.0	49%	$500	$5.74	$574.07	$194.63
8th Mar	One Fight Night 20	20	-2.9	-14%	$500	$1.95	$194.63	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
9th Mar	LFA 178	61	5.7	9%	$500	$10.00	$1,000.00	$557.35
9th Mar	ACA 172	81	-7.3	-9%	$500	$5.57	$557.35	$16.67
9th Mar	UFC 299	160	-14.3	-9%	$500	$0.17	$16.67	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
10th Mar	Octagon 56	20	11.4	57%	$500	$10.00	$1,000.00	$614.38
10th Mar	Fury FC 87	46	7.1	16%	$500	$6.14	$614.38	$158.25
15th Mar	Cage Warriors 167	53	-28.4	-54%	$500	$1.58	$158.25	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
16th Mar	KSW 92	52	-39.3	-75%	$500	$10.00	$1,000.00	$107.50
16th Mar	Cage Warriors 168	54	15.1	28%	$500	$1.07	$107.50	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	120	-7.4	-6%	$500	$10.00	$1,000.00	$426.18
22nd Mar	Bellator Champions Series	74	-14.4	-19%	$500	$4.26	$426.18	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
22nd Mar	Rizin Landmark 9	40	-26.2	-65%	$500	$10.00	$1,000.00	$238.46
23rd Mar	Oktagon 55	80	-4.5	-6%	$500	$2.38	$238.46	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	142	-22.4	-16%	$500	$10.00	$1,000.00	$276.39
24th Mar	Fury FC 88	20	-3.7	-19%	$500	$2.76	$276.39	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	100	34.0	34%	$500	$10.00	$1,000.00	$839.62
4th Apr	PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season	58	-26.5	-46%	$500	$8.40	$839.62	$116.83
6th Apr	KSW 93	15	0.5	3%	$500	$1.17	$116.83	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	95	14.0	15%	$500	$10.00	$1,000.00	$639.55
13th Apr	UFC 300	115	-31.8	-28%	$500	$6.40	$639.55	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000

ROI % from starting bank balance: -2,000.00% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Betting Model : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '24	Jordan Wright	Zachary Borrego	1.63	10	U Decision (5 rounds)
2.	Mar '24	Youssef Zalal	Billy Quarantillo	1.87	11	Sub, R2 (1:50)
3.	Apr '24	Jean Matsumoto	Dan Argueta	1.48	10	Sub, R2 (4:59)
4.	Apr '24	Ignacio Bahamondes	Christos Giagos	1.36	10	TKO, R1 (3:34)
5.	Apr '24	César Almeida	Dylan Budka	1.59	10	TKO, R2 (2:13)
6.	Apr '24	Lukasz Brzeski	Valter Walker	4.00	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Apr '24	Wilson Varela	Marian Ziolkowski	3.10	5	TKO, R2 (2:31)
8.	Mar '24	Roberto de Souza	Keita Nakamura	1.38	10	TKO, R1 (1:43)
9.	Apr '24	Jose Mariscal	Morgan Charriere	1.69	10	Split Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Apr '24	Alex Morono	Court McGee	1.33	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Apr '24	Norma Dumont	Germaine de Randamie	1.44	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Apr '24	Liz Carmouche	Juliana Velasquez	1.38	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Apr '24	Valentin Moldavsky	Ante Delija	1.77	10	TKO, R1 (2:17)
14.	Mar '24	Jacinta Austin	Karolina Wojcik	1.95	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Mar '24	Lucia Szabova	Roza Gumienna	1.35	10	Sub, R3 (4:38)
16.	Mar '24	Arijan Topallaj	Karol Rysavy	2.80	5	TKO, R1 (0:36)
17.	Mar '24	Alexander Poppeck	Jeremy Kimball	1.40	10	TKO, R1 (3:30)
18.	Mar '24	Christian Jungwirth	Robert Pukac	1.44	10	U Decision (5 rounds)
19.	Mar '24	Abraham Bably	Isaiah Pinson	1.59	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Mar '24	Leandro Higo	James Gallagher	1.93	10	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '24	Ivan Valenzuela	Adam Vigil	1.87	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Apr '24	Melissa Dixon	Nora Cornolle	1.39	10	TKO, R2 (3:6)	No
3.	Mar '24	Jakub Bahnik	Wahid Najand	1.69	10	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Apr '24	Prince Aounallah	Michal Martinek	2.15	10	TKO, R2 (2:2)	No
5.	Mar '24	Ryogo Takahashi	Yuta Kubo	2.05	10	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Mar '24	Arman Ashimov	Yusaku Nakamura	1.45	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Mar '24	Cody Jerabek	Satoshi Kamiyama	1.80	10	TKO, R1 (2:58)	No
8.	Apr '24	Alexander Hernandez	Damon Jackson	1.61	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Apr '24	Lucas Brennan	Dimitre Ivy	1.28	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Apr '24	Chelsea Hackett	Jena Bishop	3.00	5	Sub, R1 (4:15)	No
11.	Apr '24	Shanna Young	Kana Watanabe	4.25	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Apr '24	Steve Mowry	Oleg Popov	2.15	10	TKO, R2 (3:47)	No
13.	Apr '24	Lisa Mauldin	Dakota Ditcheva	8.25	1	TKO, R1 (3:54)	No
14.	Apr '24	Linton Vassell	Denis Goltsov	2.30	10	TKO, R3 (3:11)	No
15.	Mar '24	Nikolaos Serbezis	Michael Deiga Scheck	1.50	10	TKO, R3 (0:53)	No
16.	Mar '24	Dominic Schober	Jamie Cordero	2.83	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Mar '24	Niklas Stolze	Mate Kertesz	1.59	10	Sub, R2 (2:42)	No
18.	Mar '24	Karl Moore	Corey Anderson	3.50	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
19.	Mar '24	Karl Moore	Corey Anderson	3.50	5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
20.	Mar '24	Vikas Singh	Nathan Kelly	6.50	2	TKO, R1 (0:14)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Betting Model : Progress Chart

Chart

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