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MMA Handicapper Stats: Los Estrada

Los Estrada (LosEstrada)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	322 (45%)	Right	122 (49%)	Right	60 (29%)	Right	140 (55%)
Wrong	393 (55%)	Wrong	127 (51%)	Wrong	150 (71%)	Wrong	116 (45%)
Avg Odds	2.30	Avg Odds	2.14	Avg Odds	3.99	Avg Odds	1.80
Units Bet	2,003.1	Units Bet	647.1	Units Bet	376.3	Units Bet	979.8
Avg Bet	2.80	Avg Bet	2.60	Avg Bet	1.79	Avg Bet	3.83
Units Profit	31.25	Units Profit	15.57	Units Profit	24.58	Units Profit	-8.89
ROI %	2%	ROI %	2%	ROI %	7%	ROI %	-1%

Los Estrada: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
16th Aug '24	ACA 178	18	-6.4	-35%	4.4 / 2 (220%)		-10.8 / 16 (-67%)
15th Jun '24	UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira	30	-3.6	-12%	0.7 / 14 (5%)	-2.3 / 14 (-16%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
18th May '24	UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy	33	-6.3	-19%	-1.7 / 14 (-12%)	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)	2.4 / 12 (20%)
29th Apr '24	Rizin 46	14	2.4	17%	1.5 / 6 (26%)		0.8 / 8 (11%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	35	-29.6	-85%	-5.6 / 11 (-51%)	-14.0 / 14 (-100%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	46.25	-1.2	-3%	4.6 / 8 (58%)	7.2 / 25.25 (29%)	-13.0 / 13 (-100%)
30th Mar '24	Cage Warriors 169	22	-2.0	-9%	-4.9 / 9 (-54%)		2.9 / 13 (22%)
29th Mar '24	LFA 180	6	-2.4	-41%	1.6 / 2 (78%)		-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	36	6.2	17%	-13.0 / 13 (-100%)	8.4 / 15 (56%)	10.8 / 8 (135%)
22nd Mar '24	Bellator Champions Series	17	2.9	17%	2.8 / 7 (39%)	-2.5 / 6 (-41%)	2.6 / 4 (64%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	31	2.1	7%	7.7 / 5 (155%)	2.4 / 18 (13%)	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)
16th Mar '24	Cage Warriors 168	11	-7.3	-66%	-0.3 / 4 (-7%)		-7.0 / 7 (-100%)
16th Mar '24	KSW 92	13.5	5.6	41%			5.6 / 13.5 (41%)
15th Mar '24	Cage Warriors 167	17	-10.9	-64%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)		-9.9 / 16 (-62%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	53	-9.0	-17%	4.2 / 8 (52%)	-11.8 / 21 (-56%)	-1.4 / 24 (-6%)
9th Mar '24	ACA 172	12	-12.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
9th Mar '24	LFA 178	10	-3.8	-38%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)		2.2 / 4 (56%)
8th Mar '24	One Fight Night 20	2	3.3	164%	3.3 / 2 (164%)
8th Mar '24	CFFC 130	8	3.4	42%	1.7 / 5 (33%)		1.7 / 3 (57%)
7th Mar '24	PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season	18	13.7	76%	8.5 / 11 (77%)		5.2 / 7 (75%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	31.75	-5.0	-16%	8.8 / 10 (88%)	-4.8 / 12.75 (-38%)	-9.0 / 9 (-100%)
2nd Mar '24	Oktagon 54	17	3.1	18%	1.4 / 9 (16%)		1.7 / 8 (21%)
1st Mar '24	One 166	7.5	-7.5	-100%	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)		-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
25th Feb '24	ACA 171	26	-0.9	-4%	-2.6 / 5 (-53%)		1.7 / 21 (8%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	33	13.5	41%	9.2 / 11 (84%)	-2.2 / 11 (-20%)	6.5 / 11 (59%)
24th Feb '24	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	20	0.6	3%	-1.1 / 7 (-16%)	3.8 / 3 (125%)	-2.0 / 10 (-20%)
24th Feb '24	KSW Epic	6	4.8	80%	4.8 / 6 (80%)
24th Feb '24	FCR 19	5	-5.0	-100%			-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
24th Feb '24	Rizin Landmark 8	9	-7.1	-79%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)		-4.1 / 6 (-68%)
23rd Feb '24	LFA 177	11	0.3	3%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)		1.3 / 10 (13%)
23rd Feb '24	Cage Warriors 166	17	1.4	8%	-2.0 / 7 (-29%)	1.5 / 8 (18%)	1.9 / 2 (97%)
23rd Feb '24	Fury FC 86	15	-2.5	-17%	-1.8 / 8 (-23%)		-0.7 / 7 (-10%)
22nd Feb '24	A1 Combat 18	9	6.4	71%	5.5 / 6 (91%)	0.9 / 3 (31%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	28	6.7	24%	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)	8.8 / 18 (49%)	4.9 / 3 (162%)
4th Feb '24	Road to UFC: Las Vegas	9.5	-4.7	-50%	-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	1.8 / 3 (60%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	26	8.4	32%	2.4 / 4 (61%)	11.5 / 11 (105%)	-5.5 / 11 (-50%)
28th Jan '24	One 165	10	7.0	70%	5.2 / 5 (105%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	3.7 / 3 (124%)
26th Jan '24	ACA 169	25	9.6	38%	2.5 / 2 (125%)		7.1 / 23 (31%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	37	-3.6	-10%	-3.4 / 15 (-23%)	9.2 / 6 (153%)	-9.4 / 16 (-59%)
20th Jan '24	KSW 90	18	-11.7	-65%	-0.7 / 7 (-10%)		-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
20th Jan '24	UAE Warriors 46	21	-0.8	-4%			-0.8 / 21 (-4%)
19th Jan '24	Unified MMA 55	9	-3.9	-44%			-3.9 / 9 (-44%)
19th Jan '24	Octagon 54	5	5.6	111%	3.0 / 2 (150%)		2.6 / 3 (85%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	23.25	2.2	9%	3.8 / 4 (95%)	5.4 / 12.25 (44%)	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)
12th Jan '24	LFA 174	12	-2.6	-21%			-2.6 / 12 (-21%)
12th Jan '24	One Fight Night 18	13	7.3	56%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)		9.3 / 11 (85%)
31st Dec '23	Rizin 45	29	-12.4	-43%	-9.3 / 14 (-67%)		-3.1 / 15 (-20%)
29th Dec '23	Oktagon 51	17	-6.0	-35%	-2.8 / 7 (-40%)		-3.2 / 10 (-32%)
24th Dec '23	ACA 168	33	9.2	28%	3.4 / 13 (26%)		5.8 / 20 (29%)
21st Dec '23	Naiza FC 56	3.5	-3.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
16th Dec '23	UFC 296	58	21.5	37%	6.9 / 18 (39%)	11.4 / 21 (54%)	3.2 / 19 (17%)
16th Dec '23	KSW 89	13	-5.1	-39%	-5.1 / 13 (-39%)
15th Dec '23	LFA 173	11	-3.4	-31%			-3.4 / 11 (-31%)
15th Dec '23	CFFC 128	13	-0.2	-2%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	1.3 / 5 (25%)	0.5 / 6 (9%)
15th Dec '23	Cage Warriors 165	13	-8.7	-67%	-0.7 / 5 (-14%)		-8.0 / 8 (-100%)
15th Dec '23	Ares FC 18	20	7.7	38%	2.9 / 11 (26%)		4.8 / 9 (53%)
9th Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	24	-2.2	-9%	-1.5 / 5 (-30%)	1.0 / 10 (10%)	-1.7 / 9 (-19%)
9th Dec '23	Oktagon 50	5	1.8	36%			1.8 / 5 (36%)
8th Dec '23	PFL Europe 4: 2023 Championships	17	0.0	0%		2.4 / 2 (120%)	-2.4 / 15 (-16%)
8th Dec '23	Brave CF 79	2.5	2.0	80%	2.0 / 2.5 (80%)
8th Dec '23	ACA 167	19	-13.1	-69%	-0.1 / 6 (-2%)		-13.0 / 13 (-100%)
7th Dec '23	EFC 110	9	-2.9	-32%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)		2.1 / 4 (53%)
2nd Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	33	-14.0	-42%	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)	-8.1 / 13 (-62%)	2.1 / 12 (18%)
25th Nov '23	Cage Warriors 164	5	0.3	6%		0.3 / 5 (6%)
25th Nov '23	FCR 18	10	5.6	56%	1.9 / 4 (48%)		3.7 / 6 (62%)
24th Nov '23	ACA 166	26	5.5	21%	3.5 / 10 (35%)		2.0 / 16 (13%)
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	34	1.3	4%	-5.2 / 9 (-58%)	6.1 / 8 (77%)	0.3 / 17 (2%)
18th Nov '23	Oktagon 49	13	2.7	21%	3.6 / 7 (51%)		-0.9 / 6 (-15%)
17th Nov '23	LFA 172	16	5.3	33%	6.3 / 4 (157%)	1.5 / 6 (25%)	-2.5 / 6 (-41%)
17th Nov '23	Bellator 301	25	7.4	29%	1.2 / 7 (18%)	3.0 / 2 (150%)	3.1 / 16 (19%)
17th Nov '23	Ares FC 17	13	0.2	2%	0.2 / 8 (3%)		0.0 / 5 (0%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	40.5	14.0	35%	8.1 / 21 (39%)	-7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)	13.3 / 12 (111%)
9th Nov '23	EFC 109	8.5	1.3	15%	-1.0 / 3.5 (-29%)	1.5 / 4 (36%)	0.9 / 1 (86%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	20	-4.6	-23%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	8.4 / 7 (120%)	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)
4th Nov '23	Oktagon 48	5	-5.0	-100%		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
4th Nov '23	Rizin Landmark 7	18	10.7	59%	6.2 / 8 (78%)		4.4 / 10 (44%)
3rd Nov '23	One Fight Night 16	5	4.4	87%	4.4 / 5 (87%)
3rd Nov '23	CFFC 127	7	-2.0	-29%	2.0 / 3 (67%)		-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
3rd Nov '23	LFA 171	20	6.2	31%	1.6 / 11 (15%)		4.6 / 9 (51%)
3rd Nov '23	ACA 165	26	11.2	43%	3.6 / 10 (36%)		7.6 / 16 (48%)
28th Oct '23	Unified MMA 53	4	3.9	99%	1.3 / 1 (130%)		2.6 / 3 (88%)
28th Oct '23	LFA 170	10.5	-10.5	-100%			-10.5 / 10.5 (-100%)
27th Oct '23	Invicta FC 54	7.5	2.8	37%	-1.2 / 3 (-39%)	1.4 / 3 (48%)	2.5 / 1.5 (169%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	35	-10.2	-29%	-1.7 / 5 (-34%)	-4.8 / 18 (-26%)	-3.7 / 12 (-31%)
19th Oct '23	BFL 78	5	1.8	37%	1.8 / 5 (37%)
17th Oct '23	UAE Warriors 45	9	1.0	11%	1.0 / 9 (11%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	28	5.0	18%	-1.4 / 11 (-13%)	10.4 / 6 (173%)	-4.1 / 11 (-37%)
14th Oct '23	Cage Warriors 161	21	3.8	18%	-0.6 / 8 (-7%)		4.3 / 13 (33%)
7th Oct '23	Bellator 300	38.5	9.0	23%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	18.0 / 29.5 (61%)
7th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	21	-9.6	-46%	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	1.4 / 10 (14%)
7th Oct '23	Oktagon 47	2	1.1	57%	1.1 / 2 (57%)
6th Oct '23	LFA 169	6	-0.5	-9%	2.5 / 3 (82%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
6th Oct '23	One Fight Night 15	8	-3.8	-48%	0.2 / 4 (5%)		-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
3rd Oct '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 9	6	-6.0	-100%			-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
1st Oct '23	Rizin Landmark 6	5	4.1	82%	2.1 / 2 (106%)		2.0 / 3 (67%)
30th Sep '23	PFL Europe 3: 2023 Playoffs	11	2.0	18%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)		4.0 / 9 (44%)
29th Sep '23	One Fight Night 14	6	0.5	8%	0.5 / 6 (8%)
29th Sep '23	Cage Warriors 160	17	4.4	26%	2.3 / 8 (29%)		2.1 / 9 (24%)
24th Sep '23	Fury Challenger Series 7	14	3.1	22%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)		5.1 / 12 (43%)
22nd Sep '23	ACA 163	10	-0.3	-3%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)		0.7 / 9 (8%)
19th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 7	5	0.1	2%		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	2.1 / 3 (71%)
17th Sep '23	Fury FC 83	3	2.1	69%			2.1 / 3 (69%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	22	1.2	6%	-1.5 / 7 (-21%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	5.7 / 12 (48%)
16th Sep '23	KSW 86	4	-0.8	-20%	-0.8 / 4 (-20%)
16th Sep '23	Oktagon 46	10	-4.9	-49%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)		-2.9 / 8 (-36%)
15th Sep '23	LFA 167	10	4.6	46%	6.6 / 8 (82%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 6	10	0.3	3%	0.3 / 4 (7%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	2.0 / 4 (50%)
2nd Sep '23	CFFC 124	6	1.3	22%		1.3 / 6 (22%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	18	8.0	45%	0.4 / 6 (6%)	1.0 / 4 (25%)	6.7 / 8 (84%)
2nd Sep '23	FEN 50	5	0.9	18%			0.9 / 5 (18%)
2nd Sep '23	ACA 162	18	5.0	28%			5.0 / 18 (28%)
1st Sep '23	CFFC 123	5	-1.9	-37%	1.1 / 2 (57%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
29th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 4	8.5	-1.6	-19%	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)		2.9 / 4 (73%)
27th Aug '23	Fury FC 82	3	2.3	75%			2.3 / 3 (75%)
27th Aug '23	Road to UFC: Singapore Episode 2	3	-3.0	-100%			-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
26th Aug '23	UAE Warriors 44	9	4.9	55%		0.5 / 2 (25%)	4.4 / 7 (64%)
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	24	-18.5	-77%	-9.5 / 9.5 (-100%)	1.5 / 4 (37%)	-10.5 / 10.5 (-100%)
22nd Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 3	4.5	-4.5	-100%	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	31	8.3	27%	0.6 / 7 (9%)	-4.0 / 7 (-57%)	11.7 / 17 (69%)
19th Aug '23	KSW 85	6	4.1	69%			4.1 / 6 (69%)
18th Aug '23	LFA 165	5.5	3.8	69%	1.8 / 2 (91%)		2.0 / 3.5 (57%)
18th Aug '23	PFL 8: 2023 Playoffs	14.5	10.0	69%	2.2 / 2 (110%)	2.2 / 3.5 (64%)	5.5 / 9 (61%)
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	14.6	3.9	27%	7.2 / 6.1 (118%)	2.2 / 3 (73%)	-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
22nd Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	17.25	2.0	12%	0.1 / 5 (1%)	3.0 / 5 (60%)	-1.1 / 7.25 (-15%)

Winning Events: 72 (58%)
Losing Events: 52 (42%)

Average Staked Per Event: 16.21 units
Most Staked On One Event: 58.00 units
Best Event: 21.54 units
Worst Event: -29.60 units
Average Event: 0.25 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 10, Units: 43.56
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -35.74

Los Estrada: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	876.75	-33.3	-4%	16.4 / 263 (6%)		-56.3 / 400.5 (-14%)	22 / 24 (48%)	-0.72
2023	1133.35	64.6	6%	-0.9 / 384.1 (-0%)		47.4 / 579.25 (8%)	50 / 28 (64%)	0.83

Los Estrada: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Los Estrada: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	863.6	-12.8	-1%	-6.7 / 253.6 (-3%)	24.5 / 305.75 (8%)	-30.6 / 304.25 (-10%)
Bellator	80.5	19.2	24%	-2.0 / 20 (-10%)	-2.5 / 11 (-22%)	23.6 / 49.5 (48%)
PFL	80.5	26.3	33%	7.6 / 22 (34%)	8.4 / 8.5 (99%)	10.4 / 50 (21%)
Other	985.5	-1.5	-0%	16.7 / 351.5 (5%)	-5.9 / 58 (-10%)	-12.3 / 576 (-2%)

Los Estrada: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	10 (4%)	9	90 %	49.00	11.74	1.17	24%
Slight Favorites	87 (35%)	57	66 %	235.60	46.95	0.54	20%
Slight Underdogs	116 (46%)	48	41 %	274.00	-12.93	-0.11	-5%
Big Underdogs	39 (15%)	8	21 %	88.50	-30.19	-0.77	-34%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	35 (14%)	14	40 %	97.50	-12.45	-0.36	-13%
Co-Main Event	26 (10%)	17	65 %	67.60	26.87	1.03	40%
Position 3-5	81 (32%)	33	41 %	216.50	-29.75	-0.37	-14%
6+ (Undercard)	110 (44%)	58	53 %	265.50	30.90	0.28	12%

Los Estrada: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	12 (5%)	8	67 %	30.00	13.83	1.15	46%
Light Heavy	16 (6%)	11	69 %	44.10	16.90	1.06	38%
Middleweight	26 (10%)	12	46 %	74.00	-1.14	-0.04	-2%
Welterweight	33 (13%)	10	30 %	88.00	-30.02	-0.91	-34%
Lightweight	48 (19%)	24	50 %	117.50	9.85	0.21	8%
Featherweight	43 (17%)	19	44 %	104.00	-9.78	-0.23	-9%
Bantamweight	25 (10%)	15	60 %	62.00	14.22	0.57	23%
Flyweight	24 (10%)	11	46 %	53.50	-0.62	-0.03	-1%

Women's Fights	25 (10%)	12	48 %	74.00	2.34	0.09	3%
Featherweight	2 (1%)	1	50 %	5.00	-0.50	-0.25	-10%
Bantamweight	4 (2%)	2	50 %	14.00	1.87	0.47	13%
Flyweight	5 (2%)	2	40 %	19.00	-2.90	-0.58	-15%
Strawweight	14 (6%)	7	50 %	36.00	3.87	0.28	11%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	451 (89%)	361	80 %
Slight Favorites	54 (11%)	33	61 %
Slight Underdogs	2 (0%)	1	50 %
Big Underdogs	2 (0%)	0	0 %
	509	395	78 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	63 (22%)	45	71 %
50-65%	32 (11%)	19	59 %
35-50%	31 (11%)	17	55 %
<35% chance	162 (56%)	30	19 %
	288	111	39 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	24 (8%)	21	88 %	1.28	1.87	1.09	2.8 (12%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	27 (9%)	13	48 %	1.64	3.20	1.13	-2.5 (-9%)
Does not go to Decision	7 (2%)	4	57 %	1.63	3.50	1.12	-2.0 (-28%)
Fight Starts Round X	2 (1%)	2	100 %	1.07	1.08	1.06	0.1 (7%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	2 (1%)	0	0 %	1.30	1.43	1.18	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	30 (10%)	10	33 %	3.77	9.00	1.67	6.5 (22%)
X Wins by Sub	40 (14%)	8	20 %	5.09	16.00	1.77	-2.7 (-7%)
X Wins by Decision	9 (3%)	4	44 %	3.13	5.60	1.91	3.5 (39%)
X Wins Inside Distance	49 (17%)	12	24 %	3.19	12.00	1.20	-14.1 (-29%)
X Wins in Round X	44 (15%)	11	25 %	8.99	35.00	2.60	39.3 (89%)
Others	54 (19%)	26	48 %	1.98	75.99	1.08	1.2 (2%)
	288	111	39 %	2.64			30.4 (11%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Los Estrada's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	17.25	2.0	12%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,020.06
29th Jul	UFC 291	14.6	3.9	27%		$10.20	$1,020.06	$1,059.84
18th Aug	PFL 8: 2023 Playoffs	14.5	10.0	69%		$10.60	$1,059.84	$1,165.54
18th Aug	LFA 165	5.5	3.8	69%		$11.66	$1,165.54	$1,209.97
19th Aug	KSW 85	6	4.1	69%		$12.10	$1,209.97	$1,259.94
19th Aug	UFC 292	31	8.3	27%		$12.60	$1,259.94	$1,364.99
22nd Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 3	4.5	-4.5	-100%		$13.65	$1,364.99	$1,303.57
26th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	24	-18.5	-77%		$13.04	$1,303.57	$1,062.41
26th Aug	UAE Warriors 44	9	4.9	55%		$10.62	$1,062.41	$1,114.99
27th Aug	Road to UFC: Singapore Episode 2	3	-3.0	-100%		$11.15	$1,114.99	$1,081.54
27th Aug	Fury FC 82	3	2.3	75%		$10.82	$1,081.54	$1,105.98
29th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 4	8.5	-1.6	-19%		$11.06	$1,105.98	$1,088.39
1st Sep	CFFC 123	5	-1.9	-37%		$10.88	$1,088.39	$1,068.17
2nd Sep	ACA 162	18	5.0	28%		$10.68	$1,068.17	$1,121.55
2nd Sep	FEN 50	5	0.9	18%		$11.22	$1,121.55	$1,131.75
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	18	8.0	45%		$11.32	$1,131.75	$1,222.84
2nd Sep	CFFC 124	6	1.3	22%		$12.23	$1,222.84	$1,239.15
12th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 6	10	0.3	3%		$12.39	$1,239.15	$1,242.62
15th Sep	LFA 167	10	4.6	46%		$12.43	$1,242.62	$1,299.57
16th Sep	Oktagon 46	10	-4.9	-49%		$13.00	$1,299.57	$1,236.07
16th Sep	KSW 86	4	-0.8	-20%		$12.36	$1,236.07	$1,226.24
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	22	1.2	6%		$12.26	$1,226.24	$1,241.25
17th Sep	Fury FC 83	3	2.1	69%		$12.41	$1,241.25	$1,266.85
19th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 7	5	0.1	2%		$12.67	$1,266.85	$1,268.40
22nd Sep	ACA 163	10	-0.3	-3%		$12.68	$1,268.40	$1,264.40
24th Sep	Fury Challenger Series 7	14	3.1	22%		$12.64	$1,264.40	$1,304.03
29th Sep	Cage Warriors 160	17	4.4	26%		$13.04	$1,304.03	$1,362.05
29th Sep	One Fight Night 14	6	0.5	8%		$13.62	$1,362.05	$1,368.24
30th Sep	PFL Europe 3: 2023 Playoffs	11	2.0	18%		$13.68	$1,368.24	$1,395.63
1st Oct	Rizin Landmark 6	5	4.1	82%		$13.96	$1,395.63	$1,453.13
3rd Oct	Contender Series 2023: Week 9	6	-6.0	-100%		$14.53	$1,453.13	$1,365.94
6th Oct	One Fight Night 15	8	-3.8	-48%		$13.66	$1,365.94	$1,314.04
6th Oct	LFA 169	6	-0.5	-9%		$13.14	$1,314.04	$1,307.09
7th Oct	Oktagon 47	2	1.1	57%		$13.07	$1,307.09	$1,322.03
7th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	21	-9.6	-46%		$13.22	$1,322.03	$1,195.69
7th Oct	Bellator 300	38.5	9.0	23%		$11.96	$1,195.69	$1,302.84
14th Oct	Cage Warriors 161	21	3.8	18%		$13.03	$1,302.84	$1,351.74
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	28	5.0	18%		$13.52	$1,351.74	$1,418.89
17th Oct	UAE Warriors 45	9	1.0	11%		$14.19	$1,418.89	$1,432.39
19th Oct	BFL 78	5	1.8	37%		$14.32	$1,432.39	$1,458.72
21st Oct	UFC 294	35	-10.2	-29%		$14.59	$1,458.72	$1,310.61
27th Oct	Invicta FC 54	7.5	2.8	37%		$13.11	$1,310.61	$1,347.19
28th Oct	LFA 170	10.5	-10.5	-100%		$13.47	$1,347.19	$1,205.74
28th Oct	Unified MMA 53	4	3.9	99%		$12.06	$1,205.74	$1,253.35
3rd Nov	ACA 165	26	11.2	43%		$12.53	$1,253.35	$1,393.79
3rd Nov	LFA 171	20	6.2	31%		$13.94	$1,393.79	$1,480.74
3rd Nov	One Fight Night 16	5	4.4	87%		$14.81	$1,480.74	$1,545.37
3rd Nov	CFFC 127	7	-2.0	-29%		$15.45	$1,545.37	$1,514.46
4th Nov	Rizin Landmark 7	18	10.7	59%		$15.14	$1,514.46	$1,675.98
4th Nov	Oktagon 48	5	-5.0	-100%		$16.76	$1,675.98	$1,592.18
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	20	-4.6	-23%		$15.92	$1,592.18	$1,518.54
9th Nov	EFC 109	8.5	1.3	15%		$15.19	$1,518.54	$1,538.49
11th Nov	UFC 295	40.5	14.0	35%		$15.38	$1,538.49	$1,753.56
17th Nov	Ares FC 17	13	0.2	2%		$17.54	$1,753.56	$1,757.72
17th Nov	Bellator 301	25	7.4	29%		$17.58	$1,757.72	$1,887.26
17th Nov	LFA 172	16	5.3	33%		$18.87	$1,887.26	$1,987.42
18th Nov	Oktagon 49	13	2.7	21%		$19.87	$1,987.42	$2,040.51
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	34	1.3	4%		$20.41	$2,040.51	$2,066.34
24th Nov	ACA 166	26	5.5	21%		$20.66	$2,066.34	$2,179.76
25th Nov	FCR 18	10	5.6	56%		$21.80	$2,179.76	$2,302.78
25th Nov	Cage Warriors 164	5	0.3	6%		$23.03	$2,302.78	$2,309.18
2nd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	33	-14.0	-42%		$23.09	$2,309.18	$1,986.96
7th Dec	EFC 110	9	-2.9	-32%		$19.87	$1,986.96	$1,930.06
8th Dec	ACA 167	19	-13.1	-69%		$19.30	$1,930.06	$1,676.46
8th Dec	Brave CF 79	2.5	2.0	80%		$16.76	$1,676.46	$1,709.99
8th Dec	PFL Europe 4: 2023 Championships	17	0.0	0%		$17.10	$1,709.99	$1,710.26
9th Dec	Oktagon 50	5	1.8	36%		$17.10	$1,710.26	$1,741.14
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	24	-2.2	-9%		$17.41	$1,741.14	$1,702.97
15th Dec	Ares FC 18	20	7.7	38%		$17.03	$1,702.97	$1,833.62
15th Dec	Cage Warriors 165	13	-8.7	-67%		$18.34	$1,833.62	$1,674.10
15th Dec	CFFC 128	13	-0.2	-2%		$16.74	$1,674.10	$1,670.29
15th Dec	LFA 173	11	-3.4	-31%		$16.70	$1,670.29	$1,612.68
16th Dec	KSW 89	13	-5.1	-39%		$16.13	$1,612.68	$1,531.05
16th Dec	UFC 296	58	21.5	37%		$15.31	$1,531.05	$1,860.86
21st Dec	Naiza FC 56	3.5	-3.5	-100%		$18.61	$1,860.86	$1,795.73
24th Dec	ACA 168	33	9.2	28%		$17.96	$1,795.73	$1,960.88
29th Dec	Oktagon 51	17	-6.0	-35%		$19.61	$1,960.88	$1,842.62
31st Dec	Rizin 45	29	-12.4	-43%		$18.43	$1,842.62	$1,614.37
12th Jan	LFA 174	12	-2.6	-21%		$16.14	$1,614.37	$1,573.12
12th Jan	One Fight Night 18	13	7.3	56%		$15.73	$1,573.12	$1,688.43
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	23.25	2.2	9%		$16.88	$1,688.43	$1,725.11
19th Jan	Octagon 54	5	5.6	111%		$17.25	$1,725.11	$1,820.92
19th Jan	Unified MMA 55	9	-3.9	-44%		$18.21	$1,820.92	$1,749.30
20th Jan	UAE Warriors 46	21	-0.8	-4%		$17.49	$1,749.30	$1,735.17
20th Jan	KSW 90	18	-11.7	-65%		$17.35	$1,735.17	$1,532.16
20th Jan	UFC 297	37	-3.6	-10%		$15.32	$1,532.16	$1,476.50
26th Jan	ACA 169	25	9.6	38%		$14.77	$1,476.50	$1,618.50
28th Jan	One 165	10	7.0	70%		$16.19	$1,618.50	$1,731.31
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	26	8.4	32%		$17.31	$1,731.31	$1,876.55
4th Feb	Road to UFC: Las Vegas	9.5	-4.7	-50%		$18.77	$1,876.55	$1,788.22
17th Feb	UFC 298	28	6.7	24%		$17.88	$1,788.22	$1,907.27
22nd Feb	A1 Combat 18	9	6.4	71%		$19.07	$1,907.27	$2,029.55
23rd Feb	LFA 177	11	0.3	3%		$20.30	$2,029.55	$2,035.88
23rd Feb	Cage Warriors 166	17	1.4	8%		$20.36	$2,035.88	$2,064.26
23rd Feb	Fury FC 86	15	-2.5	-17%		$20.64	$2,064.26	$2,012.36
24th Feb	Rizin Landmark 8	9	-7.1	-79%		$20.12	$2,012.36	$1,870.03
24th Feb	FCR 19	5	-5.0	-100%		$18.70	$1,870.03	$1,776.53
24th Feb	KSW Epic	6	4.8	80%		$17.77	$1,776.53	$1,861.46
24th Feb	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	20	0.6	3%		$18.61	$1,861.46	$1,872.58
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	33	13.5	41%		$18.73	$1,872.58	$2,126.20
25th Feb	ACA 171	26	-0.9	-4%		$21.26	$2,126.20	$2,106.58
1st Mar	One 166	7.5	-7.5	-100%		$21.07	$2,106.58	$1,948.59
2nd Mar	Oktagon 54	17	3.1	18%		$19.49	$1,948.59	$2,009.25
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	31.75	-5.0	-16%		$20.09	$2,009.25	$1,909.08
7th Mar	PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season	18	13.7	76%		$19.09	$1,909.08	$2,171.35
8th Mar	CFFC 130	8	3.4	42%		$21.71	$2,171.35	$2,244.76
8th Mar	One Fight Night 20	2	3.3	164%		$22.45	$2,244.76	$2,318.39
9th Mar	LFA 178	10	-3.8	-38%		$23.18	$2,318.39	$2,230.81
9th Mar	ACA 172	12	-12.0	-100%		$22.31	$2,230.81	$1,963.11
9th Mar	UFC 299	53	-9.0	-17%		$19.63	$1,963.11	$1,786.10
15th Mar	Cage Warriors 167	17	-10.9	-64%		$17.86	$1,786.10	$1,590.60
16th Mar	KSW 92	13.5	5.6	41%		$15.91	$1,590.60	$1,679.51
16th Mar	Cage Warriors 168	11	-7.3	-66%		$16.80	$1,679.51	$1,557.56
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	31	2.1	7%		$15.58	$1,557.56	$1,591.04
22nd Mar	Bellator Champions Series	17	2.9	17%		$15.91	$1,591.04	$1,636.47
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	36	6.2	17%		$16.36	$1,636.47	$1,738.32
29th Mar	LFA 180	6	-2.4	-41%		$17.38	$1,738.32	$1,695.74
30th Mar	Cage Warriors 169	22	-2.0	-9%		$16.96	$1,695.74	$1,661.06
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	46.25	-1.2	-3%		$16.61	$1,661.06	$1,641.57
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	35	-29.6	-85%		$16.42	$1,641.57	$1,155.66
29th Apr	Rizin 46	14	2.4	17%		$11.56	$1,155.66	$1,183.20
18th May	UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy	33	-6.3	-19%		$11.83	$1,183.20	$1,109.16
15th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira	30	-3.6	-12%		$11.09	$1,109.16	$1,069.79
16th Aug	ACA 178	18	-6.4	-35%		$10.70	$1,069.79	$1,001.61

ROI % from starting bank balance: 0.16% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Los Estrada: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Aug '24	Abdul-Rahman Dzhanaev	Ibragim Magomedov	3.20	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Jun '24	Lucas Almeida	Timothy Cuamba	2.70	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Jun '24	Westin Wilson	Jeka Asparido Saragih	3.90	1	Sub, R1 (1:49)
4.	May '24	Angela Hill	Luana Pinheiro	1.71	3	Sub, R2 (4:12)
5.	May '24	Kalinn Williams	Carlston Harris	1.80	4	TKO, R1 (1:30)
6.	Apr '24	Shinobu Ota	Juntarou Ushiku	2.00	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Apr '24	Noah Bey	Yusaku Inoue	1.77	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Apr '24	Victor Hugo Silva	Pedro Falcao	1.80	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Mar '24	Chris Weidman	Bruno Silva	2.90	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Mar '24	Dennis Buzukja	Connor Matthews	1.95	2	TKO, R3 (0:22)
11.	Mar '24	Amir Malekpour	Tom Creasey	2.05	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Mar '24	Joshua Perreira	Jesse Martinelli	1.78	2	TKO, R2 (1:43)
13.	Mar '24	Luke Trainer	Grant Neal	1.95	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Mar '24	Chelsea Chandler	Josiane Nunes	2.25	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Mar '24	Danny Silva	Joshua Culibao	2.75	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Mar '24	Liam Gittins	Roberto Hernandez	1.87	2	Sub, R5 (1:48)
17.	Mar '24	Michael Page	Kevin Holland	2.14	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Mar '24	Petr Yan	Yadong Song	1.80	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Mar '24	Serena DeJesus	Elizabeth Schroder	1.67	4	TKO, R3 (4:11)
20.	Mar '24	Noelle Grandjean	Victoria Souza	2.64	2	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jun '24	Alex Perez	Tatsuro Taira	2.95	2	TKO, R2 (2:59)	No
2.	Jun '24	Jose Johnson	Assu Almabaev	5.00	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Jun '24	Julia Polastri	Josefine Knutsson	2.75	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Jun '24	Jimmy Flick	Nathan Maness	6.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Jun '24	Yilan Sha	Melquizael Costa	2.75	1	Sub, R3 (1:50)	No
6.	Jun '24	Julia Polastri	Josefine Knutsson	2.75	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	May '24	Ramiz Brahimaj	Themba Gorimbo	2.28	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	May '24	Victor Martinez	Tom Nolan	4.80	3	TKO, R1 (3:50)	No
9.	Apr '24	Yoshiki Nakahara	Viktor Kolesnik	3.40	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Apr '24	Morgan Charriere	Jose Mariscal	1.78	4	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Apr '24	Germaine de Randamie	Norma Dumont	2.05	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Mar '24	Sedriques Dumas	Nursulton Ruziboev	2.85	3	TKO, R1 (3:18)	No
13.	Mar '24	Tariq Pell	Shaun Fraser	1.60	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Mar '24	Joshua Onwordi	Mariusz Mikolajewski	3.50	2	TKO, R2 (2:10)	No
15.	Mar '24	Jamie Richardson	Olli Santalahti	1.74	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Mar '24	Amanda Ribas	Rose Namajunas	2.85	5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
17.	Mar '24	Kurt Holobaugh	Trey Ogden	2.25	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Mar '24	Cody Gibson	Miles Johns	2.20	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Mar '24	Mohammed Usman	Michael Parkin	2.16	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Mar '24	Aaron Jeffery	Fabian Edwards	2.28	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Los Estrada: Progress Chart

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