| |
MMA Handicapper Stats: Los Estrada |
|
|
Los Estrada: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 44 (71%)
Losing Events: 18 (29%)
Average Staked Per Event: 13.65 units
Most Staked On One Event: 40.50 units
Best Event: 13.98 units
Worst Event: -18.50 units
Average Event: 1.29 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 10, Units: 43.56
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -23.00 |
Los Estrada: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2023 |
846.35 |
79.9 |
9% |
11.9 / 281.1 (4%) |
|
66.0 / 433.25 (15%) |
44 / 18 (71%) |
1.29 |
|
Los Estrada: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
|
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Los Estrada: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
338.35 |
-13.1 |
-4% |
-22.9 / 106.6 (-21%) |
1.3 / 89.5 (1%) |
8.6 / 142.25 (6%) |
|
Bellator |
63.5 |
16.3 |
26% |
-4.8 / 13 (-37%) |
0.0 / 5 (0%) |
21.1 / 45.5 (46%) |
|
PFL |
25.5 |
12.0 |
47% |
0.2 / 4 (5%) |
2.2 / 3.5 (64%) |
9.5 / 18 (53%) |
| Other |
419 |
64.7 |
15% |
39.3 / 157.5 (25%) |
-1.5 / 34 (-4%) |
26.8 / 227.5 (12%) |
|
Los Estrada: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
6 (6%) |
6 |
100 % |
31.00 |
11.73 |
1.96 |
38% |
| Slight Favorites |
45 (43%) |
31 |
69 % |
122.10 |
24.37 |
0.54 |
20% |
| Slight Underdogs |
38 (37%) |
16 |
42 % |
87.50 |
-5.69 |
-0.15 |
-7% |
| Big Underdogs |
15 (14%) |
3 |
20 % |
40.50 |
-18.54 |
-1.24 |
-46% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
15 (14%) |
6 |
40 % |
44.50 |
-10.60 |
-0.71 |
-24% |
| Co-Main Event |
13 (13%) |
8 |
62 % |
35.60 |
11.59 |
0.89 |
33% |
| Position 3-5 |
33 (32%) |
14 |
42 % |
88.50 |
-19.07 |
-0.58 |
-22% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
43 (41%) |
28 |
65 % |
112.50 |
29.95 |
0.70 |
27% |
|
Los Estrada: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
5 (5%) |
5 |
100 % |
16.00 |
12.06 |
2.41 |
75% |
| Light Heavy |
7 (7%) |
5 |
71 % |
20.10 |
0.23 |
0.03 |
1% |
| Middleweight |
10 (10%) |
5 |
50 % |
29.00 |
-2.64 |
-0.26 |
-9% |
| Welterweight |
12 (12%) |
5 |
42 % |
32.00 |
-3.94 |
-0.33 |
-12% |
| Lightweight |
18 (17%) |
12 |
67 % |
49.00 |
17.45 |
0.97 |
36% |
| Featherweight |
19 (18%) |
7 |
37 % |
45.50 |
-15.72 |
-0.83 |
-35% |
| Bantamweight |
11 (11%) |
6 |
55 % |
31.00 |
5.41 |
0.49 |
17% |
| Flyweight |
9 (9%) |
5 |
56 % |
19.50 |
3.07 |
0.34 |
16% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Women's Fights |
13 (13%) |
6 |
46 % |
39.00 |
-4.05 |
-0.31 |
-10% |
| Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
3.00 |
-3.00 |
-3.00 |
-100% |
| Bantamweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
| Flyweight |
4 (4%) |
1 |
25 % |
15.00 |
-9.50 |
-2.37 |
-63% |
| Strawweight |
7 (7%) |
5 |
71 % |
19.00 |
10.45 |
1.49 |
55% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
208 (86%) |
177 |
85 % |
| Slight Favorites |
30 (12%) |
20 |
67 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
1 (0%) |
0 |
0 % |
| Big Underdogs |
2 (1%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
241 |
197 |
82 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
29 (28%) |
21 |
72 % |
| 50-65% |
17 (17%) |
9 |
53 % |
| 35-50% |
11 (11%) |
7 |
64 % |
| <35% chance |
45 (44%) |
7 |
16 % |
|
102 |
44 |
43 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Los Estrada's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
17.25 |
2.0 |
12% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,020.06 |
| 29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
14.6 |
3.9 |
27% |
|
$10.20 |
$1,020.06 |
$1,059.84 |
| 18th Aug |
PFL 8: 2023 Playoffs |
14.5 |
10.0 |
69% |
|
$10.60 |
$1,059.84 |
$1,165.54 |
| 18th Aug |
LFA 165 |
5.5 |
3.8 |
69% |
|
$11.66 |
$1,165.54 |
$1,209.97 |
| 19th Aug |
KSW 85 |
6 |
4.1 |
69% |
|
$12.10 |
$1,209.97 |
$1,259.94 |
| 19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
31 |
8.3 |
27% |
|
$12.60 |
$1,259.94 |
$1,364.99 |
| 22nd Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 3 |
4.5 |
-4.5 |
-100% |
|
$13.65 |
$1,364.99 |
$1,303.57 |
| 26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
24 |
-18.5 |
-77% |
|
$13.04 |
$1,303.57 |
$1,062.41 |
| 26th Aug |
UAE Warriors 44 |
9 |
4.9 |
55% |
|
$10.62 |
$1,062.41 |
$1,114.99 |
| 27th Aug |
Road to UFC: Singapore Episode 2 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.15 |
$1,114.99 |
$1,081.54 |
| 27th Aug |
Fury FC 82 |
3 |
2.3 |
75% |
|
$10.82 |
$1,081.54 |
$1,105.98 |
| 29th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 4 |
8.5 |
-1.6 |
-19% |
|
$11.06 |
$1,105.98 |
$1,088.39 |
| 1st Sep |
CFFC 123 |
5 |
-1.9 |
-37% |
|
$10.88 |
$1,088.39 |
$1,068.17 |
| 2nd Sep |
ACA 162 |
18 |
5.0 |
28% |
|
$10.68 |
$1,068.17 |
$1,121.55 |
| 2nd Sep |
FEN 50 |
5 |
0.9 |
18% |
|
$11.22 |
$1,121.55 |
$1,131.75 |
| 2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
18 |
8.0 |
45% |
|
$11.32 |
$1,131.75 |
$1,222.84 |
| 2nd Sep |
CFFC 124 |
6 |
1.3 |
22% |
|
$12.23 |
$1,222.84 |
$1,239.15 |
| 12th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 6 |
10 |
0.3 |
3% |
|
$12.39 |
$1,239.15 |
$1,242.62 |
| 15th Sep |
LFA 167 |
10 |
4.6 |
46% |
|
$12.43 |
$1,242.62 |
$1,299.57 |
| 16th Sep |
Oktagon 46 |
10 |
-4.9 |
-49% |
|
$13.00 |
$1,299.57 |
$1,236.07 |
| 16th Sep |
KSW 86 |
4 |
-0.8 |
-20% |
|
$12.36 |
$1,236.07 |
$1,226.24 |
| 16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
22 |
1.2 |
6% |
|
$12.26 |
$1,226.24 |
$1,241.25 |
| 17th Sep |
Fury FC 83 |
3 |
2.1 |
69% |
|
$12.41 |
$1,241.25 |
$1,266.85 |
| 19th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 7 |
5 |
0.1 |
2% |
|
$12.67 |
$1,266.85 |
$1,268.40 |
| 22nd Sep |
ACA 163 |
10 |
-0.3 |
-3% |
|
$12.68 |
$1,268.40 |
$1,264.40 |
| 24th Sep |
Fury Challenger Series 7 |
14 |
3.1 |
22% |
|
$12.64 |
$1,264.40 |
$1,304.03 |
| 29th Sep |
Cage Warriors 160 |
17 |
4.4 |
26% |
|
$13.04 |
$1,304.03 |
$1,362.05 |
| 29th Sep |
One Fight Night 14 |
6 |
0.5 |
8% |
|
$13.62 |
$1,362.05 |
$1,368.24 |
| 30th Sep |
PFL Europe 3: 2023 Playoffs |
11 |
2.0 |
18% |
|
$13.68 |
$1,368.24 |
$1,395.63 |
| 1st Oct |
Rizin Landmark 6 |
5 |
4.1 |
82% |
|
$13.96 |
$1,395.63 |
$1,453.13 |
| 3rd Oct |
Contender Series 2023: Week 9 |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
|
$14.53 |
$1,453.13 |
$1,365.94 |
| 6th Oct |
One Fight Night 15 |
8 |
-3.8 |
-48% |
|
$13.66 |
$1,365.94 |
$1,314.04 |
| 6th Oct |
LFA 169 |
6 |
-0.5 |
-9% |
|
$13.14 |
$1,314.04 |
$1,307.09 |
| 7th Oct |
Oktagon 47 |
2 |
1.1 |
57% |
|
$13.07 |
$1,307.09 |
$1,322.03 |
| 7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
21 |
-9.6 |
-46% |
|
$13.22 |
$1,322.03 |
$1,195.69 |
| 7th Oct |
Bellator 300 |
38.5 |
9.0 |
23% |
|
$11.96 |
$1,195.69 |
$1,302.84 |
| 14th Oct |
Cage Warriors 161 |
21 |
3.8 |
18% |
|
$13.03 |
$1,302.84 |
$1,351.74 |
| 14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
28 |
5.0 |
18% |
|
$13.52 |
$1,351.74 |
$1,418.89 |
| 17th Oct |
UAE Warriors 45 |
9 |
1.0 |
11% |
|
$14.19 |
$1,418.89 |
$1,432.39 |
| 19th Oct |
BFL 78 |
5 |
1.8 |
37% |
|
$14.32 |
$1,432.39 |
$1,458.72 |
| 21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
35 |
-10.2 |
-29% |
|
$14.59 |
$1,458.72 |
$1,310.61 |
| 27th Oct |
Invicta FC 54 |
7.5 |
2.8 |
37% |
|
$13.11 |
$1,310.61 |
$1,347.19 |
| 28th Oct |
LFA 170 |
10.5 |
-10.5 |
-100% |
|
$13.47 |
$1,347.19 |
$1,205.74 |
| 28th Oct |
Unified MMA 53 |
4 |
3.9 |
99% |
|
$12.06 |
$1,205.74 |
$1,253.35 |
| 3rd Nov |
ACA 165 |
26 |
11.2 |
43% |
|
$12.53 |
$1,253.35 |
$1,393.79 |
| 3rd Nov |
LFA 171 |
20 |
6.2 |
31% |
|
$13.94 |
$1,393.79 |
$1,480.74 |
| 3rd Nov |
One Fight Night 16 |
5 |
4.4 |
87% |
|
$14.81 |
$1,480.74 |
$1,545.37 |
| 3rd Nov |
CFFC 127 |
7 |
-2.0 |
-29% |
|
$15.45 |
$1,545.37 |
$1,514.46 |
| 4th Nov |
Rizin Landmark 7 |
18 |
10.7 |
59% |
|
$15.14 |
$1,514.46 |
$1,675.98 |
| 4th Nov |
Oktagon 48 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$16.76 |
$1,675.98 |
$1,592.18 |
| 4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
20 |
-4.6 |
-23% |
|
$15.92 |
$1,592.18 |
$1,518.54 |
| 9th Nov |
EFC 109 |
8.5 |
1.3 |
15% |
|
$15.19 |
$1,518.54 |
$1,538.49 |
| 11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
40.5 |
14.0 |
35% |
|
$15.38 |
$1,538.49 |
$1,753.56 |
| 17th Nov |
Ares FC 17 |
13 |
0.2 |
2% |
|
$17.54 |
$1,753.56 |
$1,757.72 |
| 17th Nov |
Bellator 301 |
25 |
7.4 |
29% |
|
$17.58 |
$1,757.72 |
$1,887.26 |
| 17th Nov |
LFA 172 |
16 |
5.3 |
33% |
|
$18.87 |
$1,887.26 |
$1,987.42 |
| 18th Nov |
Oktagon 49 |
13 |
2.7 |
21% |
|
$19.87 |
$1,987.42 |
$2,040.51 |
| 18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
34 |
1.3 |
4% |
|
$20.41 |
$2,040.51 |
$2,066.34 |
| 24th Nov |
ACA 166 |
26 |
5.5 |
21% |
|
$20.66 |
$2,066.34 |
$2,179.76 |
| 25th Nov |
FCR 18 |
10 |
5.6 |
56% |
|
$21.80 |
$2,179.76 |
$2,302.78 |
| 25th Nov |
Cage Warriors 164 |
5 |
0.3 |
6% |
|
$23.03 |
$2,302.78 |
$2,309.18 |
| 2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
33 |
-14.0 |
-42% |
|
$23.09 |
$2,309.18 |
$1,986.96 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 98.70% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Los Estrada: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
| 1. |
Nov '23 |
Christian Stigenberg |
Toni Lampinen |
1.48 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (4:55) |
|
|
| 2. |
Nov '23 |
Kholmurod Nurmatov |
Maxim Fedorov |
2.08 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 3. |
Nov '23 |
Igor Zhirkov |
Dzhaddal Alibekov |
2.58 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 4. |
Nov '23 |
Myktybek Orolbai |
Uros Medic |
1.89 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (4:12) |
|
|
| 5. |
Nov '23 |
Jake McHugh |
Ivan Klevets |
2.30 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (2:32) |
|
|
| 6. |
Nov '23 |
Matthew Bonner |
Cihad Akipa |
1.50 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 7. |
Nov '23 |
Lerryan Douglas |
Ivan Tena |
3.15 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (1:38) |
|
|
| 8. |
Nov '23 |
Leslie Hernandez |
Cristina Brador |
1.98 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 9. |
Nov '23 |
Tim Wilde |
Mike Hamel |
2.75 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (2:47) |
|
|
| 10. |
Nov '23 |
Wissem Akhmouch |
Magnus Iversen |
1.37 |
6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 11. |
Nov '23 |
Jessica Andrade |
Mackenzie Dern |
3.09 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (3:15) |
|
|
| 12. |
Nov '23 |
John Castaneda |
Kyung Ho Kang |
1.79 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 13. |
Nov '23 |
Tom Aspinall |
Sergey Pavlovich |
1.95 |
4 |
TKO, R1 (1:9) |
|
|
| 14. |
Nov '23 |
Vuyo Jula |
Johannes Rudolph |
1.67 |
1.5 |
Sub, R1 (4:23) |
|
|
| 15. |
Nov '23 |
Kyung Pyo Kim |
Tural Ragimov |
1.83 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (0:21) |
|
|
| 16. |
Nov '23 |
Hasan Mezhiev |
Konstantin Merkulov |
1.61 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (2:32) |
|
|
| 17. |
Nov '23 |
Ilkhom Nazimov |
Jaures Dea Gomez |
1.95 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 18. |
Nov '23 |
Gage Gill |
Deandre Anderson |
1.67 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (3:23) |
|
|
| 19. |
Nov '23 |
Hugo Cunha |
Eduardo Neves |
1.65 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (4:25) |
|
|
| 20. |
Nov '23 |
Jefferson Nascimento |
Gabriel Costa |
1.93 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (0:23) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
| 1. |
Dec '23 |
Rob Font |
Deiveson Figueiredo |
1.82 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 2. |
Dec '23 |
Kelvin Gastelum |
Sean Brady |
2.05 |
4 |
Sub, R3 (1:43) |
No |
|
|
| 3. |
Nov '23 |
Mikhail Egorov |
Roman Ogulchanskiy |
2.50 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 4. |
Nov '23 |
Keyvan Rezaei Dalini |
Evgeniy Galochkin |
1.80 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (1:43) |
No |
|
|
| 5. |
Nov '23 |
Nick Aguirre |
Payton Talbott |
6.50 |
2 |
Sub, R3 (0:58) |
No |
|
|
| 6. |
Nov '23 |
Jonathan Pearce |
Joanderson Brito |
1.80 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (3:54) |
No |
|
|
| 7. |
Nov '23 |
Andrej Kalasnik |
Niklas Stolze |
2.30 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:40) |
No |
|
|
| 8. |
Nov '23 |
Sidney Outlaw |
A.J. McKee |
3.50 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 9. |
Nov '23 |
Moustapha Aida |
Aboubakar Younousov |
2.85 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (0:52) |
No |
|
|
| 10. |
Nov '23 |
Dennis Buzukja |
Jamall Emmers |
3.15 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (0:49) |
No |
|
|
| 11. |
Nov '23 |
Jiri Prochazka |
Alex Pereira |
2.05 |
6 |
TKO, R2 (4:8) |
No |
|
|
| 12. |
Nov '23 |
Demba Seck |
Vince Bembe |
2.25 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 13. |
Nov '23 |
Abusupiyan Magomedov |
Caio Borralho |
3.50 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 14. |
Nov '23 |
Alisson Murilo |
Marcos Degli |
2.30 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 15. |
Nov '23 |
Juscelino Pantoja |
Jose Ochoa |
2.90 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (4:30) |
No |
|
|
| 16. |
Nov '23 |
Sergey Shirkunov |
Oyatullo Muminov |
1.85 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 17. |
Oct '23 |
Karolina Wojcik |
Danni McCormack |
2.54 |
2 |
Sub, R4 (1:22) |
No |
|
|
| 18. |
Oct '23 |
Alex Volkanovski |
Islam Makhachev |
3.20 |
4 |
TKO, R1 (3:6) |
No |
|
|
| 19. |
Oct '23 |
Magomed Al-Abdullah |
Razhabali Shaydullaev |
3.40 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (3:40) |
No |
|
|
| 20. |
Oct '23 |
Sodiq Yusuff |
Edson Barboza |
1.63 |
4 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Los Estrada: Progress Chart |
|
|
|
|
