| |
MMA Handicapper Stats: LucianMMA |
|
|
LucianMMA : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 36 (55%)
Losing Events: 29 (45%)
Average Staked Per Event: 7.69 units
Most Staked On One Event: 28.75 units
Best Event: 22.69 units
Worst Event: -12.00 units
Average Event: 0.20 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 8, Units: 28.13
Max Losing Streak: Events: 8, Units: -38.41 |
LucianMMA : Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2023 |
500.1 |
12.9 |
3% |
14.1 / 366.3 (4%) |
|
-3.0 / 108.95 (-3%) |
36 / 29 (55%) |
0.20 |
|
LucianMMA : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
|
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
LucianMMA : Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
203.7 |
34.4 |
17% |
39.6 / 164.9 (24%) |
-1.8 / 10.55 (-17%) |
-3.3 / 28.25 (-12%) |
|
Bellator |
49 |
-3.6 |
-7% |
-11.0 / 28.9 (-38%) |
0.9 / 2 (45%) |
6.4 / 18.1 (36%) |
|
PFL |
48.5 |
-2.0 |
-4% |
-6.5 / 25.5 (-26%) |
|
4.5 / 23 (20%) |
| Other |
198.9 |
-15.9 |
-8% |
-8.0 / 147 (-5%) |
2.8 / 12.3 (23%) |
-10.7 / 39.6 (-27%) |
|
LucianMMA : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
41 (38%) |
28 |
68 % |
252.50 |
-11.20 |
-0.27 |
-4% |
| Slight Favorites |
36 (33%) |
25 |
69 % |
67.10 |
17.05 |
0.47 |
25% |
| Slight Underdogs |
23 (21%) |
6 |
26 % |
31.70 |
-16.73 |
-0.73 |
-53% |
| Big Underdogs |
8 (7%) |
1 |
13 % |
15.00 |
25.00 |
3.13 |
167% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
28 (26%) |
14 |
50 % |
121.00 |
-6.50 |
-0.23 |
-5% |
| Co-Main Event |
18 (17%) |
11 |
61 % |
66.50 |
3.75 |
0.21 |
6% |
| Position 3-5 |
30 (28%) |
18 |
60 % |
84.85 |
12.28 |
0.41 |
14% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
32 (30%) |
17 |
53 % |
93.95 |
4.59 |
0.14 |
5% |
|
LucianMMA : Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
9 (8%) |
6 |
67 % |
35.00 |
-1.22 |
-0.14 |
-3% |
| Light Heavy |
5 (5%) |
3 |
60 % |
23.00 |
-4.04 |
-0.81 |
-18% |
| Middleweight |
6 (6%) |
2 |
33 % |
26.50 |
-8.90 |
-1.48 |
-34% |
| Welterweight |
17 (16%) |
8 |
47 % |
74.50 |
-17.68 |
-1.04 |
-24% |
| Lightweight |
15 (14%) |
9 |
60 % |
62.50 |
31.00 |
2.07 |
50% |
| Featherweight |
15 (14%) |
7 |
47 % |
36.50 |
-3.47 |
-0.23 |
-10% |
| Bantamweight |
15 (14%) |
12 |
80 % |
44.75 |
13.96 |
0.93 |
31% |
| Flyweight |
7 (6%) |
5 |
71 % |
11.00 |
2.03 |
0.29 |
18% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Women's Fights |
19 (18%) |
8 |
42 % |
52.55 |
2.45 |
0.13 |
5% |
| Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
1.40 |
-1.40 |
-1.40 |
-100% |
| Bantamweight |
3 (3%) |
1 |
33 % |
4.40 |
-1.65 |
-0.55 |
-38% |
| Flyweight |
5 (5%) |
1 |
20 % |
8.55 |
0.02 |
0.00 |
0% |
| Strawweight |
10 (9%) |
6 |
60 % |
38.20 |
5.48 |
0.55 |
14% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
81 (76%) |
62 |
77 % |
| Slight Favorites |
11 (10%) |
6 |
55 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
11 (10%) |
3 |
27 % |
| Big Underdogs |
3 (3%) |
2 |
67 % |
|
106 |
73 |
69 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
1 (9%) |
1 |
100 % |
| 50-65% |
1 (9%) |
1 |
100 % |
| 35-50% |
2 (18%) |
0 |
0 % |
| <35% chance |
7 (64%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
11 |
2 |
18 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail LucianMMA 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
8.5 |
1.2 |
14% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,011.81 |
| 8th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 1 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.12 |
$1,011.81 |
$971.34 |
| 11th Aug |
Bellator 298 |
4 |
1.6 |
40% |
|
$9.71 |
$971.34 |
$987.01 |
| 12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
5 |
3.3 |
66% |
|
$9.87 |
$987.01 |
$1,019.35 |
| 12th Aug |
Brave CF 73 |
1 |
0.7 |
71% |
|
$10.19 |
$1,019.35 |
$1,026.63 |
| 15th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 2 |
9 |
-4.3 |
-48% |
|
$10.27 |
$1,026.63 |
$982.63 |
| 18th Aug |
PFL 8: 2023 Playoffs |
4 |
2.1 |
51% |
|
$9.83 |
$982.63 |
$1,002.78 |
| 19th Aug |
KSW 85 |
11 |
3.7 |
33% |
|
$10.03 |
$1,002.78 |
$1,039.55 |
| 19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
14 |
2.7 |
19% |
|
$10.40 |
$1,039.55 |
$1,067.53 |
| 22nd Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 3 |
11.5 |
-4.0 |
-35% |
|
$10.68 |
$1,067.53 |
$1,024.83 |
| 23rd Aug |
PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs |
6 |
2.9 |
48% |
|
$10.25 |
$1,024.83 |
$1,054.17 |
| 26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
13.8 |
1.3 |
10% |
|
$10.54 |
$1,054.17 |
$1,068.31 |
| 26th Aug |
UAE Warriors 44 |
11 |
1.8 |
17% |
|
$10.68 |
$1,068.31 |
$1,087.90 |
| 27th Aug |
Road to UFC: Singapore Episode 1 |
3 |
-1.2 |
-40% |
|
$10.88 |
$1,087.90 |
$1,074.84 |
| 27th Aug |
Road to UFC: Singapore Episode 2 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.75 |
$1,074.84 |
$1,031.85 |
| 27th Aug |
Fury FC 82 |
3 |
1.1 |
37% |
|
$10.32 |
$1,031.85 |
$1,043.40 |
| 29th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 4 |
6.3 |
3.2 |
51% |
|
$10.43 |
$1,043.40 |
$1,076.68 |
| 2nd Sep |
ACA 162 |
0.75 |
0.7 |
99% |
|
$10.77 |
$1,076.68 |
$1,084.63 |
| 2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
15 |
6.6 |
44% |
|
$10.85 |
$1,084.63 |
$1,156.69 |
| 2nd Sep |
CFFC 124 |
1.25 |
1.0 |
81% |
|
$11.57 |
$1,156.69 |
$1,168.37 |
| 5th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 5 |
3.5 |
1.6 |
45% |
|
$11.68 |
$1,168.37 |
$1,186.96 |
| 7th Sep |
Brave CF 74 |
1 |
0.9 |
87% |
|
$11.87 |
$1,186.96 |
$1,197.28 |
| 9th Sep |
Cage Warriors 159 |
2 |
1.0 |
50% |
|
$11.97 |
$1,197.28 |
$1,209.25 |
| 9th Sep |
FCR 17 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.09 |
$1,209.25 |
$1,185.07 |
| 9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
24.25 |
-6.8 |
-28% |
|
$11.85 |
$1,185.07 |
$1,104.64 |
| 12th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 6 |
15 |
3.9 |
26% |
|
$11.05 |
$1,104.64 |
$1,147.80 |
| 15th Sep |
CFFC 125 |
3 |
1.8 |
60% |
|
$11.48 |
$1,147.80 |
$1,168.59 |
| 16th Sep |
Oktagon 46 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.69 |
$1,168.59 |
$1,145.21 |
| 16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
20.5 |
2.7 |
13% |
|
$11.45 |
$1,145.21 |
$1,176.13 |
| 19th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 7 |
12 |
1.2 |
10% |
|
$11.76 |
$1,176.13 |
$1,190.25 |
| 22nd Sep |
ACA 163 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.90 |
$1,190.25 |
$1,178.35 |
| 22nd Sep |
LFA 168 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
212% |
|
$11.78 |
$1,178.35 |
$1,190.86 |
| 23rd Sep |
Bellator 299 |
11.4 |
1.9 |
17% |
|
$11.91 |
$1,190.86 |
$1,213.60 |
| 23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
15 |
-1.4 |
-9% |
|
$12.14 |
$1,213.60 |
$1,196.44 |
| 24th Sep |
Rizin 44 |
3 |
-1.3 |
-44% |
|
$11.96 |
$1,196.44 |
$1,180.49 |
| 26th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 8 |
12 |
-12.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.80 |
$1,180.49 |
$1,038.83 |
| 29th Sep |
Cage Warriors 160 |
27.5 |
1.9 |
7% |
|
$10.39 |
$1,038.83 |
$1,058.66 |
| 29th Sep |
One Fight Night 14 |
2 |
-0.2 |
-12% |
|
$10.59 |
$1,058.66 |
$1,056.22 |
| 30th Sep |
PFL Europe 3: 2023 Playoffs |
28.5 |
3.1 |
11% |
|
$10.56 |
$1,056.22 |
$1,089.04 |
| 1st Oct |
Rizin Landmark 6 |
1.5 |
2.3 |
150% |
|
$10.89 |
$1,089.04 |
$1,113.58 |
| 3rd Oct |
Contender Series 2023: Week 9 |
15 |
-2.6 |
-18% |
|
$11.14 |
$1,113.58 |
$1,084.35 |
| 4th Oct |
ACA 164 |
2 |
-0.3 |
-13% |
|
$10.84 |
$1,084.35 |
$1,081.57 |
| 6th Oct |
One Fight Night 15 |
1.1 |
-1.1 |
-100% |
|
$10.82 |
$1,081.57 |
$1,069.68 |
| 6th Oct |
LFA 169 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.70 |
$1,069.68 |
$1,058.98 |
| 7th Oct |
Oktagon 47 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
52% |
|
$10.59 |
$1,058.98 |
$1,064.98 |
| 7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
19 |
22.7 |
119% |
|
$10.65 |
$1,064.98 |
$1,306.62 |
| 7th Oct |
Bellator 300 |
21.6 |
4.9 |
23% |
|
$13.07 |
$1,306.62 |
$1,370.37 |
| 10th Oct |
Contender Series 2023: Week 10 |
0.1 |
-0.1 |
-100% |
|
$13.70 |
$1,370.37 |
$1,369.00 |
| 13th Oct |
CFFC 126 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
272% |
|
$13.69 |
$1,369.00 |
$1,372.72 |
| 14th Oct |
KSW 87 |
1.1 |
-1.1 |
-100% |
|
$13.73 |
$1,372.72 |
$1,357.62 |
| 14th Oct |
Cage Warriors 161 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
56% |
|
$13.58 |
$1,357.62 |
$1,365.96 |
| 14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
3 |
3.2 |
106% |
|
$13.66 |
$1,365.96 |
$1,409.53 |
| 17th Oct |
UAE Warriors 45 |
12 |
3.5 |
29% |
|
$14.10 |
$1,409.53 |
$1,458.18 |
| 21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
28.75 |
13.3 |
46% |
|
$14.58 |
$1,458.18 |
$1,652.14 |
| 27th Oct |
Invicta FC 54 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$16.52 |
$1,652.14 |
$1,643.88 |
| 28th Oct |
LFA 170 |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
|
$16.44 |
$1,643.88 |
$1,545.25 |
| 28th Oct |
Cage Warriors 162 |
2 |
2.1 |
103% |
|
$15.45 |
$1,545.25 |
$1,577.16 |
| 3rd Nov |
LFA 171 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$15.77 |
$1,577.16 |
$1,569.27 |
| 4th Nov |
Rizin Landmark 7 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$15.69 |
$1,569.27 |
$1,561.42 |
| 4th Nov |
Oktagon 48 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.61 |
$1,561.42 |
$1,545.81 |
| 4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.46 |
$1,545.81 |
$1,391.23 |
| 11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
10.7 |
-3.3 |
-31% |
|
$13.91 |
$1,391.23 |
$1,345.72 |
| 17th Nov |
Bellator 301 |
12 |
-12.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.46 |
$1,345.72 |
$1,184.23 |
| 24th Nov |
PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.84 |
$1,184.23 |
$1,065.81 |
| 2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
16.2 |
-1.1 |
-7% |
|
$10.66 |
$1,065.81 |
$1,053.65 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 5.37% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
LucianMMA : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
| 1. |
Dec '23 |
Jalin Turner |
Bobby Green |
1.48 |
8 |
TKO, R1 (2:49) |
|
|
| 2. |
Nov '23 |
Jessica Andrade |
Mackenzie Dern |
2.60 |
0.7 |
TKO, R2 (3:15) |
|
|
| 3. |
Nov '23 |
Tom Aspinall |
Sergey Pavlovich |
1.87 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (1:9) |
|
|
| 4. |
Oct '23 |
Sam Creasey |
Tanio Pagliariccio |
2.25 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (4:35) |
|
|
| 5. |
Oct '23 |
Ger Harris |
Ryan Hewitt |
1.71 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 6. |
Oct '23 |
Islam Makhachev |
Alex Volkanovski |
1.47 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (3:6) |
|
|
| 7. |
Oct '23 |
Karlos Vemola |
Pavol Langer |
1.67 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:7) |
|
|
| 8. |
Oct '23 |
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov |
Jose Daniel Medina |
1.12 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 9. |
Oct '23 |
Bobby Green |
Grant Dawson |
4.00 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (0:33) |
|
|
| 10. |
Oct '23 |
Sharabutdin Magomedov |
Bruno Silva |
1.51 |
9 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 11. |
Sep '23 |
Frans Mlambo |
Moktar Benkaci |
1.84 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 12. |
Oct '23 |
Mukhamed Berkhamov |
Herman Terrado |
1.29 |
8 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 13. |
Oct '23 |
Dmytrii Hrytsenko |
Justin Montalvo |
2.05 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 14. |
Sep '23 |
Maurice Abevi |
Blake Cooper |
1.77 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:36) |
|
|
| 15. |
Sep '23 |
Adam Cullen |
Amaury Junior |
1.25 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (3:23) |
|
|
| 16. |
Sep '23 |
James Hendin |
Tobias Harila |
1.91 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (0:28) |
|
|
| 17. |
Oct '23 |
Melissa Dixon |
Irina Alekseeva |
2.75 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 18. |
Oct '23 |
Jonathan Martinez |
Adrian Yanez |
1.91 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (2:26) |
|
|
| 19. |
Sep '23 |
Abdoul Abdouraguimov |
Brad Wheeler |
1.12 |
11 |
Sub, R1 (2:43) |
|
|
| 20. |
Sep '23 |
Jakub Kaszuba |
Dylan Tuke |
1.59 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
| 1. |
Dec '23 |
Jamey Lyn-Horth |
Veronica Macedo |
1.56 |
1.8 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 2. |
Dec '23 |
Julia Avila |
Miesha Tate |
1.71 |
1.4 |
Sub, R3 (1:15) |
No |
|
|
| 3. |
Dec '23 |
Rob Font |
Deiveson Figueiredo |
1.71 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 4. |
Nov '23 |
Denis Goltsov |
Renan Ferreira |
1.50 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (0:26) |
No |
|
|
| 5. |
Nov '23 |
Danny Sabatello |
Raufeon Stots |
2.20 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 6. |
Nov '23 |
Yaroslav Amosov |
Jason Jackson |
1.33 |
11 |
TKO, R3 (2:8) |
No |
|
|
| 7. |
Nov '23 |
Pat Sabatini |
Diego Lopes |
1.91 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:30) |
No |
|
|
| 8. |
Nov '23 |
Gabriel Costa |
Jefferson Nascimento |
1.91 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (0:23) |
No |
|
|
| 9. |
Nov '23 |
Aaron Aby |
Elias Garcia |
2.40 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
No |
|
|
| 10. |
Oct '23 |
Haris Talundzic |
Daniel Frunza |
1.50 |
6 |
TKO, R3 (4:59) |
No |
|
|
| 11. |
Oct '23 |
Murtaza Talha Ali |
Rodolfo Bellato |
1.43 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (4:46) |
No |
|
|
| 12. |
Oct '23 |
Ilara Joanne |
Jena Bishop |
2.90 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (2:45) |
No |
|
|
| 13. |
Oct '23 |
Davion Franklin |
Slim Trabelsi |
2.39 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:9) |
No |
|
|
| 14. |
Oct '23 |
Mukhamed Kokov |
Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov |
2.70 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (1:55) |
No |
|
|
| 15. |
Sep '23 |
Jordan Zebo |
Cedric Doumbe |
2.80 |
0.5 |
TKO, R0 (0:9) |
No |
|
|
| 16. |
Sep '23 |
Stephen Loman |
John Lineker |
1.80 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 17. |
Sep '23 |
Alexander Loof |
Luke Riley |
3.40 |
0.5 |
TKO, R3 (0:58) |
No |
|
|
| 18. |
Nov '23 |
Tabatha Ricci |
Lupita Godinez |
2.45 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 19. |
Nov '23 |
Jiri Prochazka |
Alex Pereira |
2.20 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (4:8) |
No |
|
|
| 20. |
Sep '23 |
Matthew Camilleri |
Adam Shelley |
1.50 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
LucianMMA : Progress Chart |
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