MMA Handicapper Stats: Pain Fight Picks |
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Pain Fight Picks: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
13th Nov '21 |
UFC FN |
20 |
1.1 |
5% |
2.8 / 15.5 (18%) |
1.3 / 1.5 (85%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
6th Nov '21 |
UFC 268 |
6 |
5.4 |
90% |
3.2 / 4 (79%) |
|
2.2 / 2 (111%) |
30th Oct '21 |
UFC 267 |
9.25 |
-9.3 |
-100% |
-2.3 / 2.25 (-100%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
23rd Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
10 |
-5.9 |
-59% |
0.2 / 2 (11%) |
-1.1 / 3 (-38%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
16th Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
12.75 |
-11.3 |
-89% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
-0.3 / 1.75 (-18%) |
-9.0 / 9 (-100%) |
9th Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
8.5 |
7.3 |
86% |
1.8 / 3 (60%) |
|
5.5 / 5.5 (100%) |
2nd Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
35.25 |
-1.0 |
-3% |
1.2 / 9 (14%) |
-1.3 / 6.5 (-19%) |
-1.0 / 19.75 (-5%) |
25th Sep '21 |
UFC 266 |
42 |
17.7 |
42% |
0.1 / 11 (1%) |
-1.1 / 18 (-6%) |
18.7 / 13 (144%) |
18th Sep '21 |
UFC FN |
25.25 |
12.6 |
50% |
4.7 / 5 (95%) |
-3.6 / 6 (-60%) |
11.5 / 14.25 (80%) |
4th Sep '21 |
UFC FN |
36 |
13.2 |
37% |
5.0 / 16 (31%) |
2.0 / 9 (22%) |
6.2 / 11 (56%) |
28th Aug '21 |
UFC FN |
10 |
-7.7 |
-77% |
-3.7 / 6 (-62%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
27th Aug '21 |
PFL 2021 #9: Playoffs |
4 |
10.0 |
249% |
1.2 / 2 (61%) |
|
8.7 / 2 (437%) |
Winning Events: 7 (58%) Losing Events: 5 (42%)
Average Staked Per Event: 18.25 units Most Staked On One Event: 42.00 units Best Event: 17.72 units Worst Event: -11.32 units Average Event: 2.67 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 43.50 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -26.47 |
Pain Fight Picks: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2021 |
219 |
32.0 |
15% |
12.3 / 77.75 (16%) |
|
28.8 / 90.5 (32%) |
7 / 5 (58%) |
2.67 |
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Pain Fight Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Pain Fight Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
215 |
22.1 |
10% |
11.1 / 75.75 (15%) |
-9.1 / 50.75 (-18%) |
20.1 / 88.5 (23%) |
PFL |
4 |
10.0 |
249% |
1.2 / 2 (61%) |
|
8.7 / 2 (437%) |
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Pain Fight Picks: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
4 (11%) |
3 |
75 % |
29.00 |
1.19 |
0.30 |
4% |
Slight Favorites |
11 (31%) |
7 |
64 % |
24.50 |
4.22 |
0.38 |
17% |
Slight Underdogs |
19 (54%) |
9 |
47 % |
24.00 |
7.17 |
0.38 |
30% |
Big Underdogs |
1 (3%) |
0 |
0 % |
0.25 |
-0.25 |
-0.25 |
-100% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
5 (14%) |
4 |
80 % |
21.00 |
8.05 |
1.61 |
38% |
Co-Main Event |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
0.00 |
0.00 |
nan |
nan% |
Position 3-5 |
9 (26%) |
5 |
56 % |
14.75 |
4.48 |
0.50 |
30% |
6+ (Undercard) |
21 (60%) |
10 |
48 % |
42.00 |
-0.20 |
-0.01 |
-0% |
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Pain Fight Picks: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
2 (6%) |
1 |
50 % |
2.00 |
0.10 |
0.05 |
5% |
Light Heavy |
4 (11%) |
3 |
75 % |
11.00 |
5.76 |
1.44 |
52% |
Middleweight |
6 (17%) |
3 |
50 % |
13.00 |
1.70 |
0.28 |
13% |
Welterweight |
3 (9%) |
|
0 % |
2.75 |
-2.75 |
-0.92 |
-100% |
Lightweight |
4 (11%) |
2 |
50 % |
7.00 |
-3.07 |
-0.77 |
-44% |
Featherweight |
5 (14%) |
4 |
80 % |
16.00 |
4.93 |
0.99 |
31% |
Bantamweight |
3 (9%) |
2 |
67 % |
14.00 |
4.37 |
1.46 |
31% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
8 (23%) |
4 |
50 % |
12.00 |
1.30 |
0.16 |
11% |
Bantamweight |
1 (3%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
4 (11%) |
2 |
50 % |
7.00 |
2.00 |
0.50 |
29% |
Strawweight |
3 (9%) |
2 |
67 % |
4.00 |
0.30 |
0.10 |
8% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
51 (78%) |
38 |
75 % |
Slight Favorites |
9 (14%) |
5 |
56 % |
Slight Underdogs |
5 (8%) |
2 |
40 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
65 |
45 |
69 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
9 (22%) |
8 |
89 % |
50-65% |
9 (22%) |
6 |
67 % |
35-50% |
12 (29%) |
5 |
42 % |
<35% chance |
11 (27%) |
1 |
9 % |
|
41 |
20 |
49 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Pain Fight Picks's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
27th Aug |
PFL 2021 #9: Playoffs |
4 |
10.0 |
249% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,099.52 |
28th Aug |
UFC FN |
10 |
-7.7 |
-77% |
|
$11.00 |
$1,099.52 |
$1,014.85 |
4th Sep |
UFC FN |
36 |
13.2 |
37% |
|
$10.15 |
$1,014.85 |
$1,148.63 |
18th Sep |
UFC FN |
25.25 |
12.6 |
50% |
|
$11.49 |
$1,148.63 |
$1,293.31 |
25th Sep |
UFC 266 |
42 |
17.7 |
42% |
|
$12.93 |
$1,293.31 |
$1,522.48 |
2nd Oct |
UFC FN |
35.25 |
-1.0 |
-3% |
|
$15.22 |
$1,522.48 |
$1,507.16 |
9th Oct |
UFC FN |
8.5 |
7.3 |
86% |
|
$15.07 |
$1,507.16 |
$1,617.08 |
16th Oct |
UFC FN |
12.75 |
-11.3 |
-89% |
|
$16.17 |
$1,617.08 |
$1,434.10 |
23rd Oct |
UFC FN |
10 |
-5.9 |
-59% |
|
$14.34 |
$1,434.10 |
$1,349.42 |
30th Oct |
UFC 267 |
9.25 |
-9.3 |
-100% |
|
$13.49 |
$1,349.42 |
$1,224.60 |
6th Nov |
UFC 268 |
6 |
5.4 |
90% |
|
$12.25 |
$1,224.60 |
$1,290.62 |
13th Nov |
UFC FN |
20 |
1.1 |
5% |
|
$12.91 |
$1,290.62 |
$1,304.59 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 30.46% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Pain Fight Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Nov '21 |
Max Holloway |
Yair Rodriguez |
1.15 |
11 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
2. |
Nov '21 |
Da Un Jung |
Kennedy Nzechukwu |
1.87 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (3:4) |
|
|
3. |
Nov '21 |
Marlon Vera |
Frankie Edgar |
1.69 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (3:50) |
|
|
4. |
Nov '21 |
Chris Barnett |
Gian Villante |
2.10 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (2:23) |
|
|
5. |
Oct '21 |
Randa Markos |
Livia Renata Souza |
2.22 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
Oct '21 |
Mariya Agapova |
Sabina Mazo |
2.40 |
2 |
Sub, R3 (0:53) |
|
|
7. |
Oct '21 |
Jared Gordon |
Joe Solecki |
2.30 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Sep '21 |
Jessica Andrade |
Cynthia Calvillo |
1.40 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:54) |
|
|
9. |
Sep '21 |
Daniel Hooker |
Nasrat Haqparast |
1.63 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Sep '21 |
Alex Volkanovski |
Brian Ortega |
1.66 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Sep '21 |
Hannah Goldy |
Emily Whitmire |
2.08 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (4:17) |
|
|
12. |
Oct '21 |
Thiago Santos |
Johnny Walker |
1.59 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
Sep '21 |
Carlston Harris |
Impa Kasanganay |
2.55 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (2:38) |
|
|
14. |
Sep '21 |
Jack Shore |
Liudvik Sholinian |
1.33 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Sep '21 |
Julian Erosa |
Charles Jourdain |
2.62 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (2:56) |
|
|
16. |
Sep '21 |
Derek Brunson |
Darren Till |
2.55 |
2 |
Sub, R3 (2:13) |
|
|
17. |
Sep '21 |
Robbie Lawler |
Nick Diaz |
1.95 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (0:44) |
|
|
18. |
Aug '21 |
Antonio Carlos Junior |
Emiliano Sordi |
1.61 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
19. |
Aug '21 |
Pat Sabatini |
Jamall Emmers |
2.30 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (1:53) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Nov '21 |
Miguel Baeza |
Kalinn Williams |
1.71 |
1.5 |
TKO, R3 (1:2) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Oct '21 |
Virna Jandiroba |
Amanda Ribas |
2.20 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Oct '21 |
Joselyne Edwards |
Jessica-Rose Clark |
2.30 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Oct '21 |
Andrew Sanchez |
Bruno Silva |
2.20 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (2:35) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Oct '21 |
Brandon Davis |
Danaa Batgerel |
2.65 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:1) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Oct '21 |
Charles Rosa |
Damon Jackson |
2.55 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Oct '21 |
Shanna Young |
Stephanie Egger |
2.07 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (2:22) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Oct '21 |
Devonte Smith |
Jamie Mullarkey |
1.63 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (2:51) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Sep '21 |
Omar Morales |
Jonathan Pearce |
1.67 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (3:31) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Sep '21 |
Shamil Abdurakhimov |
Chris Daukaus |
2.60 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (1:23) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Oct '21 |
Li Jingliang |
Khamzat Chimaev |
4.00 |
0.25 |
Sub, R1 (3:16) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Sep '21 |
Ryan Spann |
Anthony Smith |
2.55 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (3:47) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Sep '21 |
David Zawada |
Alex Morono |
2.50 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Sep '21 |
Dalcha Lungiambula |
Marc-Andre Barriault |
2.25 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Sep '21 |
Ji Yeon Kim |
Molly McCann |
1.91 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Aug '21 |
Alessio Di Chirico |
Abdul Razak Alhassan |
1.43 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (0:17) |
No |
|
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Pain Fight Picks: Progress Chart |
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