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Total MMA Handicappers: 4705
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 1816
 
 
 
   
 

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(chrisdontmiss)

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 104 (41%) Right 36 (46%) Right 49 (38%) Right 19 (45%)
Wrong 147 (59%) Wrong 43 (54%) Wrong 81 (62%) Wrong 23 (55%)
Avg Odds 2.47 Avg Odds 2.01 Avg Odds 2.95 Avg Odds 2.30
Units Bet 248.2 Units Bet 98.4 Units Bet 106.1 Units Bet 43.7
Avg Bet 0.99 Avg Bet 1.24 Avg Bet 0.82 Avg Bet 1.04
Units Profit 14.81 Units Profit -5.19 Units Profit 16.37 Units Profit 3.63
ROI % 6% ROI % -5% ROI % 15% ROI % 8%
View Handicapper's Profile

: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
16th Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 4 3.1 -3.1 -100% -1.6 / 1.6 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
13th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 13.3 3.6 27% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 6.6 / 10.3 (64%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
9th Aug '22 DWCS 2022: Week 3 2.5 1.6 64% 1.6 / 2.5 (64%)
6th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 5.5 -3.2 -58% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -2.2 / 4.5 (-48%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 9.2 6.7 73% 1.3 / 3.5 (38%) 5.3 / 3.7 (144%) 0.1 / 2 (5%)
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 9.75 -1.4 -15% -1.3 / 5.6 (-23%) 1.1 / 2.95 (36%) -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 6.5 0.9 13% 2.4 / 2 (119%) -1.5 / 4.5 (-33%)
9th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 7.75 -3.4 -44% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -0.4 / 4.75 (-8%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 11 0.1 1% -0.4 / 4 (-10%) -0.4 / 6 (-7%) 0.9 / 1 (91%)
25th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 9 5.7 63% 2.1 / 3 (70%) 3.6 / 6 (59%)
18th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 10 2.6 26% -2.4 / 6.5 (-36%) 4.0 / 2.5 (160%) 0.9 / 1 (91%)
17th Jun '22 PFL 2022 #4 1.5 1.0 67% 1.0 / 1.5 (67%)
11th Jun '22 UFC 275 6.5 -1.3 -20% 0.7 / 1.5 (47%) -2.0 / 5 (-40%)
16th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 4.5 -4.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
26th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 13.65 -10.1 -74% -2.6 / 5 (-52%) -4.5 / 5.65 (-80%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
19th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 12.03 3.7 31% -0.5 / 5 (-11%) 1.2 / 1.7 (69%) 3.0 / 5.33 (57%)
12th Mar '22 Bellator 276 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
12th Mar '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev 8.05 1.1 14% 1.3 / 3.5 (37%) 0.4 / 3.95 (10%) -0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)
5th Mar '22 UFC 272 18.5 3.8 20% 2.6 / 5.5 (47%) -2.1 / 7 (-30%) 3.3 / 6 (55%)
26th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev 11.95 2.3 20% -1.8 / 3.65 (-48%) 3.4 / 5.8 (58%) 0.7 / 2.5 (29%)
19th Feb '22 Bellator 274 1.5 -0.1 -10% -0.1 / 1.5 (-10%)
19th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill 10.25 -0.9 -9% 0.5 / 2 (25%) -2.1 / 6.75 (-30%) 0.7 / 1.5 (45%)
12th Feb '22 UFC 271 10.5 4.6 44% 3.2 / 7 (46%) 1.9 / 3 (65%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
5th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland 5.08 2.1 41% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.2 / 2.33 (-10%) 3.3 / 1.75 (190%)
22nd Jan '22 UFC 270 4 0.3 8% 1.6 / 1 (160%) -1.3 / 3 (-42%)
30th Oct '21 UFC 267 12.6 -4.6 -37% -0.0 / 8 (-0%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -1.6 / 1.6 (-100%)
4th Sep '21 UFC FN 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
28th Aug '21 UFC FN 6.25 -2.5 -41% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 0.4 / 1.25 (30%) 1.1 / 1 (108%)
27th Aug '21 PFL 2021 #9: Playoffs 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
21st Aug '21 UFC FN 12.75 -0.6 -5% 1.7 / 10.5 (16%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
14th Aug '21 CFFC 99 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th Aug '21 Bellator 264 5.75 3.3 57% 2.0 / 2 (100%) 1.3 / 3.75 (33%)
13th Aug '21 PFL 2021 #7: Playoffs 2 1.1 53% 1.1 / 2 (53%)
7th Aug '21 UFC 265 11.5 10.2 89% 0.0 / 1 (0%) 9.5 / 9.5 (100%) 0.7 / 1 (72%)


Winning Events: 18 (53%)
Losing Events: 16 (47%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.37 units
Most Staked On One Event: 18.50 units
Best Event: 10.19 units
Worst Event: -10.14 units
Average Event: 0.44 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 14.50
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -15.94

: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2022 196.11 11.6 6% -1.8 / 69.85 (-3%) 3.1 / 37.38 (8%) 15 / 10 (60%) 0.46
2021 54.35 3.2 6% -3.4 / 28.5 (-12%) 0.5 / 6.35 (8%) 3 / 6 (33%) 0.36

: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP

: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 232.11 13.2 6% -5.6 / 92.25 (-6%) 15.8 / 102.63 (15%) 3.0 / 37.23 (8%)
Bellator 7.75 2.6 34% 2.0 / 2 (100%) 0.6 / 5.75 (10%)
PFL 4 1.6 39% 1.0 / 1.5 (67%) 0.6 / 2.5 (22%)
Other 6.6 -2.5 -38% -2.6 / 2.6 (-100%) 0.1 / 4 (2%)

: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 7 (9%) 3 43 % 17.00 -2.96 -0.42 -17%
Slight Favorites 36 (44%) 18 50 % 47.85 -3.01 -0.08 -6%
Slight Underdogs 26 (32%) 13 50 % 26.20 3.43 0.13 13%
Big Underdogs 12 (15%) 2 17 % 7.30 -2.65 -0.22 -36%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 10 (12%) 3 30 % 12.40 -5.49 -0.55 -44%
Co-Main Event 11 (14%) 5 45 % 14.90 0.14 0.01 1%
Position 3-5 20 (25%) 9 45 % 25.05 1.76 0.09 7%
6+ (Undercard) 40 (49%) 19 48 % 46.00 -1.59 -0.04 -3%

: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (4%) 2 67 % 8.10 1.98 0.66 24%
Light Heavy 5 (6%) 4 80 % 7.00 2.92 0.58 42%
Middleweight 16 (20%) 8 50 % 20.40 -1.95 -0.12 -10%
Welterweight 7 (9%) 3 43 % 7.75 -0.77 -0.11 -10%
Lightweight 17 (21%) 8 47 % 20.35 3.62 0.21 18%
Featherweight 10 (12%) 3 30 % 13.75 -6.56 -0.66 -48%
Bantamweight 10 (12%) 3 30 % 9.50 -3.07 -0.31 -32%
Flyweight 6 (7%) 4 67 % 6.50 2.08 0.35 32%
               
Women's Fights 7 (9%) 1 14 % 5.00 -3.45 -0.49 -69%
Bantamweight 1 (1%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Flyweight 3 (4%) 1 33 % 2.00 -0.45 -0.15 -23%
Strawweight 3 (4%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -0.67 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 55 (87%) 47 85 %
Slight Favorites 6 (10%) 1 17 %
Slight Underdogs 1 (2%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 1 (2%) 0 0 %
63 48 76 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 29 (17%) 18 62 %
50-65% 33 (19%) 20 61 %
35-50% 35 (20%) 14 40 %
<35% chance 77 (44%) 20 26 %
174 72 41 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 9 (5%) 7 78 % 1.49 1.80Pick was correct 1.22Pick was incorrect 1.8 (20%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 17 (10%) 11 65 % 1.70 2.62Pick was correct 1.44Pick was incorrect 3.0 (18%)
Goes to Decision 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.29 1.29Pick was correct 1.29Pick was correct 0.3 (29%)
Does not go to Decision 4 (2%) 3 75 % 1.39 1.40Pick was incorrect 1.36Pick was correct 0.2 (4%)
X Wins by KO 26 (15%) 8 31 % 2.55 9.00Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was correct -5.5 (-21%)
X Wins by Sub 22 (13%) 6 27 % 6.12 21.00Pick was correct 1.91Pick was incorrect 39.4 (179%)
X Wins by Decision 15 (9%) 6 40 % 3.74 9.50Pick was incorrect 2.10Pick was correct 7.6 (51%)
X Wins Inside Distance 27 (16%) 13 48 % 2.33 6.00Pick was correct 1.57Pick was correct 5.5 (20%)
X Wins in Round X 27 (16%) 3 11 % 5.62 17.00Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was correct -13.0 (-48%)
Others 26 (15%) 14 54 % 1.62 4.33Pick was correct 1.15Pick was correct -0.6 (-2%)
174 72 41 % 2.49     38.7 (22%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail 's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
7th Aug UFC 265 11.5 10.2 89% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,101.88
13th Aug PFL 2021 #7: Playoffs 2 1.1 53% $11.02 $1,101.88 $1,113.56
13th Aug Bellator 264 5.75 3.3 57% $11.14 $1,113.56 $1,149.75
14th Aug CFFC 99 1 -1.0 -100% $11.50 $1,149.75 $1,138.25
21st Aug UFC FN 12.75 -0.6 -5% $11.38 $1,138.25 $1,131.48
27th Aug PFL 2021 #9: Playoffs 0.5 -0.5 -100% $11.31 $1,131.48 $1,125.82
28th Aug UFC FN 6.25 -2.5 -41% $11.26 $1,125.82 $1,097.18
4th Sep UFC FN 2 -2.0 -100% $10.97 $1,097.18 $1,075.24
30th Oct UFC 267 12.6 -4.6 -37% $10.75 $1,075.24 $1,025.56
22nd Jan UFC 270 4 0.3 8% $10.26 $1,025.56 $1,028.95
5th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland 5.08 2.1 41% $10.29 $1,028.95 $1,050.57
12th Feb UFC 271 10.5 4.6 44% $10.51 $1,050.57 $1,099.42
19th Feb UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill 10.25 -0.9 -9% $10.99 $1,099.42 $1,089.81
19th Feb Bellator 274 1.5 -0.1 -10% $10.90 $1,089.81 $1,088.17
26th Feb UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev 11.95 2.3 20% $10.88 $1,088.17 $1,113.59
5th Mar UFC 272 18.5 3.8 20% $11.14 $1,113.59 $1,155.44
12th Mar UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev 8.05 1.1 14% $11.55 $1,155.44 $1,168.21
12th Mar Bellator 276 0.5 -0.5 -100% $11.68 $1,168.21 $1,162.37
19th Mar UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall 12.03 3.7 31% $11.62 $1,162.37 $1,205.23
26th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus 13.65 -10.1 -74% $12.05 $1,205.23 $1,083.05
16th Apr UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II 4.5 -4.5 -100% $10.83 $1,083.05 $1,034.31
11th Jun UFC 275 6.5 -1.3 -20% $10.34 $1,034.31 $1,020.86
17th Jun PFL 2022 #4 1.5 1.0 67% $10.21 $1,020.86 $1,031.12
18th Jun UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 10 2.6 26% $10.31 $1,031.12 $1,057.50
25th Jun UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 9 5.7 63% $10.57 $1,057.50 $1,117.40
2nd Jul UFC 276 11 0.1 1% $11.17 $1,117.40 $1,118.44
9th Jul UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 7.75 -3.4 -44% $11.18 $1,118.44 $1,080.52
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 6.5 0.9 13% $10.81 $1,080.52 $1,089.92
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 9.75 -1.4 -15% $10.90 $1,089.92 $1,074.39
30th Jul UFC 277 9.2 6.7 73% $10.74 $1,074.39 $1,146.91
6th Aug UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 5.5 -3.2 -58% $11.47 $1,146.91 $1,110.52
9th Aug DWCS 2022: Week 3 2.5 1.6 64% $11.11 $1,110.52 $1,128.25
13th Aug UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 13.3 3.6 27% $11.28 $1,128.25 $1,169.08
16th Aug DWCS 2022: Week 4 3.1 -3.1 -100% $11.69 $1,169.08 $1,132.84


ROI % from starting bank balance: 13.28% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '22 Orion Cosce Mike Mathetha 1.61 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '22 Alexandre Pantoja Alex Perez 1.61 1.5 Sub, R1 (1:31) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '22 Volkan Oezdemir Paul Craig 1.61 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '22 Jack Hermansson Chris Curtis 1.91 1 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '22 Li Jingliang Muslim Salikhov 2.37 1 TKO, R2 (4:38) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '22 Dustin Jacoby Da Un Jung 2.00 1 TKO, R1 (3:13) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '22 Jalin Turner Brad Riddell 1.80 2 Sub, R1 (0:45) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '22 Mateusz Gamrot Arman Tsarukyan 3.10 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '22 Cody Durden J.P. Buys 2.00 1 TKO, R1 (1:8) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '22 Olivier Aubin-Mercier Raush Manfio 1.67 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '22 Natalia Cristina da Silva Jasmine Jasudavicius 3.10 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '22 Joaquin Buckley Albert Duraev 2.60 1 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '22 Jake Matthews Andre Fialho 2.20 1 TKO, R2 (2:24) MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '22 Luis Saldana Bruno Souza 1.91 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '22 Jack Shore Timur Valiev 2.37 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '22 Tom Aspinall Alexander Volkov 2.10 1 Sub, R1 (3:45) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '22 Azamat Murzakanov Tafon Nchukwi 1.67 1.5 TKO, R3 (0:44) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '22 Damon Jackson Kamuela Kirk 2.30 1 Sub, R2 (4:42) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '22 Jalin Turner Jamie Mullarkey 1.80 1 TKO, R2 (0:46) MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '22 Rafael dos Anjos Renato Moicano 1.57 4 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Aug '22 Ahmad Hasanzada Nazim Sadykhov 2.65 0.8 TKO, R3 (1:59) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '22 Thomas Paull Esteban Ribovics 3.80 0.8 TKO, R1 (1:30) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '22 Iasmin Lucindo Yazmin Jauregui 2.75 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '22 Brogan Walker Juliana Miller 2.10 1 TKO, R3 (3:57) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '22 Rafael Alves Drew Dober 2.90 0.5 TKO, R3 (1:30) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '22 Chris Curtis Jack Hermansson 1.96 1 U Decision (3 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '22 Alexander Gustafsson Nikita Krylov 2.60 1 TKO, R1 (1:7) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '22 Tom Aspinall Curtis Blaydes 1.91 1.1 TKO, R1 (0:15) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '22 Rafael dos Anjos Rafael Fiziev 2.75 0.5 TKO, R5 (0:18) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '22 Ronnie Lawrence Saidyokub Kakhramonov 1.73 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '22 Tresean Gore Cody Brundage 1.80 1 TKO, R1 (3:50) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '22 Donald Cerrone Jim Miller 2.75 1 Sub, R2 (1:32) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '22 Robbie Lawler Bryan Barberena 1.80 1 TKO, R2 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '22 Rodolfo Vieira Chris Curtis 2.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '22 Kyle Daukaus Roman Dolidze 1.44 3 TKO, R1 (1:13) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '22 Tony Kelley Adrian Yanez 4.00 0.5 TKO, R1 (3:49) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '22 Calvin Kattar Josh Emmett 1.44 1.5 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '22 Taila Santos Valentina Shevchenko 5.00 0.5 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Apr '22 Kevin Croom Heili Alateng 2.37 1 TKO, R1 (0:47) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Apr '22 Vicente Luque Belal Muhammad 1.50 1.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

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