MMA Handicapper Stats: Bear Market |
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Bear Market: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
| 30th Oct '21 |
UFC 267 |
11 |
3.3 |
30% |
3.3 / 11 (30%) |
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| 9th Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
11 |
18.7 |
170% |
18.7 / 11 (170%) |
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| 2nd Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
11 |
6.9 |
63% |
6.9 / 11 (63%) |
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| 25th Sep '21 |
UFC 266 |
44 |
-24.9 |
-57% |
-24.9 / 44 (-57%) |
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| 28th Aug '21 |
UFC FN |
11 |
10.0 |
91% |
10.0 / 11 (91%) |
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| 21st Aug '21 |
UFC FN |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
-11.0 / 11 (-100%) |
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| 7th Aug '21 |
UFC 265 |
22 |
12.0 |
55% |
12.0 / 22 (55%) |
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| 31st Jul '21 |
Bellator 263 |
88 |
-88.0 |
-100% |
-88.0 / 88 (-100%) |
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| 31st Jul '21 |
UFC FN |
99 |
11.0 |
11% |
11.0 / 99 (11%) |
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| 24th Jul '21 |
UFC FN |
121 |
-60.2 |
-50% |
-60.2 / 121 (-50%) |
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| 17th Jul '21 |
UFC FN |
55 |
22.4 |
41% |
22.4 / 55 (41%) |
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Winning Events: 7 (64%)
Losing Events: 4 (36%)
Average Staked Per Event: 44.00 units
Most Staked On One Event: 121.00 units
Best Event: 22.44 units
Worst Event: -88.00 units
Average Event: -9.07 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 28.86
Max Losing Streak: Events: 1, Units: -88.00 |
Bear Market: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2021 |
484 |
-99.8 |
-21% |
-99.8 / 484 (-21%) |
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7 / 4 (64%) |
-9.07 |
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Bear Market: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Bear Market: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
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UFC |
396 |
-11.8 |
-3% |
-11.8 / 396 (-3%) |
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Bellator |
88 |
-88.0 |
-100% |
-88.0 / 88 (-100%) |
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Bear Market: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
9 (20%) |
5 |
56 % |
99.00 |
-21.37 |
-2.37 |
-22% |
| Slight Favorites |
15 (34%) |
6 |
40 % |
165.00 |
-51.48 |
-3.43 |
-31% |
| Slight Underdogs |
12 (27%) |
6 |
50 % |
132.00 |
24.75 |
2.06 |
19% |
| Big Underdogs |
8 (18%) |
1 |
13 % |
88.00 |
-51.70 |
-6.46 |
-59% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
9 (20%) |
4 |
44 % |
99.00 |
-15.88 |
-1.76 |
-16% |
| Co-Main Event |
5 (11%) |
2 |
40 % |
55.00 |
-16.39 |
-3.28 |
-30% |
| Position 3-5 |
16 (36%) |
7 |
44 % |
176.00 |
-40.48 |
-2.53 |
-23% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
14 (32%) |
5 |
36 % |
154.00 |
-27.05 |
-1.93 |
-18% |
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Bear Market: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
2 (5%) |
1 |
50 % |
22.00 |
-7.45 |
-3.73 |
-34% |
| Light Heavy |
1 (2%) |
1 |
100 % |
11.00 |
6.88 |
6.88 |
63% |
| Middleweight |
7 (16%) |
2 |
29 % |
77.00 |
-42.02 |
-6.00 |
-55% |
| Welterweight |
5 (11%) |
2 |
40 % |
55.00 |
-13.77 |
-2.75 |
-25% |
| Lightweight |
6 (14%) |
2 |
33 % |
66.00 |
-13.70 |
-2.28 |
-21% |
| Featherweight |
9 (20%) |
4 |
44 % |
99.00 |
-7.70 |
-0.86 |
-8% |
| Bantamweight |
5 (11%) |
2 |
40 % |
55.00 |
-18.62 |
-3.72 |
-34% |
| Flyweight |
1 (2%) |
1 |
100 % |
11.00 |
12.10 |
12.10 |
110% |
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| Women's Fights |
8 (18%) |
3 |
38 % |
88.00 |
-15.50 |
-1.94 |
-18% |
| Bantamweight |
2 (5%) |
1 |
50 % |
22.00 |
-2.85 |
-1.43 |
-13% |
| Flyweight |
3 (7%) |
|
0 % |
33.00 |
-33.00 |
-11.00 |
-100% |
| Strawweight |
3 (7%) |
2 |
67 % |
33.00 |
20.35 |
6.78 |
62% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Slight Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Slight Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| 50-65% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| 35-50% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| <35% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
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0 |
0 |
nan % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
| Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
nan |
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0.0 (nan%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Bear Market's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 17th Jul |
UFC FN |
55 |
22.4 |
41% |
$105 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,119.37 |
| 24th Jul |
UFC FN |
121 |
-60.2 |
-50% |
$105 |
$11.19 |
$1,119.37 |
$340.62 |
| 31st Jul |
UFC FN |
99 |
11.0 |
11% |
$105 |
$3.41 |
$340.62 |
$273.09 |
| 31st Jul |
Bellator 263 |
88 |
-88.0 |
-100% |
$105 |
$2.73 |
$273.09 |
$0.00 |
| Reloaded an additional $1000 |
| 7th Aug |
UFC 265 |
22 |
12.0 |
55% |
$105 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,015.10 |
| 21st Aug |
UFC FN |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
$105 |
$10.15 |
$1,015.10 |
$798.44 |
| 28th Aug |
UFC FN |
11 |
10.0 |
91% |
$105 |
$7.98 |
$798.44 |
$773.28 |
| 25th Sep |
UFC 266 |
44 |
-24.9 |
-57% |
$105 |
$7.73 |
$773.28 |
$475.64 |
| 2nd Oct |
UFC FN |
11 |
6.9 |
63% |
$105 |
$4.76 |
$475.64 |
$403.34 |
| 9th Oct |
UFC FN |
11 |
18.7 |
170% |
$105 |
$4.03 |
$403.34 |
$373.77 |
| 30th Oct |
UFC 267 |
11 |
3.3 |
30% |
$105 |
$3.74 |
$373.77 |
$281.04 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -171.90% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Bear Market: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
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Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
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| 1. |
Jul '21 |
 Zarrukh Adashev |
Ryan Benoit |
2.10 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 2. |
Jul '21 |
Phil Rowe |
Orion Cosce |
2.45 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (4:21) |
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| 3. |
Jul '21 |
Jinh Yu Frey |
Ashley Yoder |
2.15 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 4. |
Jul '21 |
Chris Gruetzemacher |
Rafa Garcia |
3.30 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 5. |
Jul '21 |
Darren Elkins |
Darrick Minner |
2.45 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (3:48) |
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| 6. |
Jul '21 |
Julio Arce |
Andre Ewell |
1.54 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (3:45) |
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| 7. |
Jul '21 |
Adrian Yanez |
Randy Costa |
1.54 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (2:11) |
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| 8. |
Oct '21 |
Thiago Santos |
Johnny Walker |
1.63 |
11 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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| 9. |
Aug '21 |
Jose Aldo |
Pedro Munhoz |
1.77 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 10. |
Aug '21 |
Ciryl Gane |
Derrick Lewis |
1.32 |
11 |
TKO, R3 (4:11) |
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| 11. |
Jul '21 |
Miesha Tate |
Marion Reneau |
1.74 |
11 |
TKO, R3 (1:53) |
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| 12. |
Jul '21 |
Billy Quarantillo |
Gabriel Benitez |
2.40 |
11 |
TKO, R3 (3:40) |
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| 13. |
Jul '21 |
Rodolfo Vieira |
Dustin Stoltzfus |
1.44 |
11 |
Sub, R3 (1:54) |
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| 14. |
Jul '21 |
Mateusz Gamrot |
Jeremy Stephens |
1.45 |
11 |
Sub, R1 (1:5) |
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| 15. |
Aug '21 |
Giga Chikadze |
Edson Barboza |
1.91 |
11 |
TKO, R3 (1:44) |
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| 16. |
Sep '21 |
Robbie Lawler |
Nick Diaz |
1.74 |
11 |
TKO, R3 (0:44) |
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| 17. |
Oct '21 |
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez |
Mackenzie Dern |
2.70 |
11 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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| 18. |
Oct '21 |
Khamzat Chimaev |
Li Jingliang |
1.30 |
11 |
Sub, R1 (3:16) |
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Last 20 Losses
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Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
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| 1. |
Jul '21 |
Niklas Stolze |
Jared Gooden |
1.50 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (1:8) |
No |
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| 2. |
Jul '21 |
Luis Muro |
Usman Nurmagomedov |
8.50 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (3:30) |
No |
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| 3. |
Jul '21 |
Jordan Winski |
Brian Moore |
1.83 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 4. |
Jul '21 |
Kiefer Crosbie |
Georgi Karakhanyan |
2.90 |
11 |
Sub, R1 (4:25) |
No |
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| 5. |
Jul '21 |
Ilara Joanne |
Vanessa Porto |
2.90 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 6. |
Jul '21 |
Chris Gonzalez |
Goiti Yamauchi |
2.10 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (3:53) |
No |
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| 7. |
Jul '21 |
Brent Primus |
Islam Mamedov |
2.45 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 8. |
Jul '21 |
Emmanuel Sanchez |
Mads Burnell |
1.71 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 9. |
Jul '21 |
Patricio Freire |
A.J. McKee |
1.80 |
11 |
Sub, R1 (1:57) |
No |
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| 10. |
Jul '21 |
Collin Anglin |
Melsik Bagdasaryan |
2.25 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (1:50) |
No |
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| 11. |
Jul '21 |
Gloria de Paula |
Cheyanne Buys |
2.65 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (1:0) |
No |
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| 12. |
Jul '21 |
Hannah Goldy |
Diana Belbita |
1.75 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 13. |
Jul '21 |
Elise Reed |
Sijara Eubanks |
3.75 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (3:49) |
No |
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| 14. |
Jul '21 |
Ian Heinisch |
Nassourdine Imavov |
1.69 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (3:9) |
No |
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| 15. |
Jul '21 |
Jordan Williams |
Mickey Gall |
1.48 |
11 |
Sub, R1 (2:57) |
No |
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| 16. |
Jul '21 |
Miranda Maverick |
Maycee Barber |
1.63 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 17. |
Aug '21 |
Kelvin Gastelum |
Jared Cannonier |
2.95 |
11 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
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| 18. |
Jul '21 |
Bryan Barberena |
Jason Witt |
1.38 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 19. |
Jul '21 |
Urijah Hall |
Sean Strickland |
2.90 |
11 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
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| 20. |
Jul '21 |
Punahele Soriano |
Brendan Allen |
1.95 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Bear Market: Progress Chart |
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