MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: John Morgan

John Morgan (JohnMorgansTits)

MMA MHandicapper - John Morgan

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	13 (54%)	Right	13 (54%)	Right	0 (nan%)	Right	0 (nan%)
Wrong	11 (46%)	Wrong	11 (46%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)
Avg Odds	1.98	Avg Odds	1.98	Avg Odds	nan	Avg Odds	nan
Units Bet	50.1	Units Bet	50.1	Units Bet	0.0	Units Bet	0.0
Avg Bet	2.09	Avg Bet	2.09	Avg Bet	nan	Avg Bet	nan
Units Profit	-6.30	Units Profit	-6.30	Units Profit	0.00	Units Profit	0.00
ROI %	-13%	ROI %	-13%	ROI %	nan%	ROI %	nan%

John Morgan: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
6th Mar '21	UFC 259	3.25	1.0	29%	1.0 / 3.25 (29%)
13th Feb '21	UFC 258	2.1	2.0	95%	2.0 / 2.1 (95%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	12	-12.0	-100%	-12.0 / 12 (-100%)
20th Jan '21	UFC on ESPN 20	1	1.2	120%	1.2 / 1 (120%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	11	-4.4	-40%	-4.4 / 11 (-40%)
13th Dec '20	UFC 256	1.1	-1.1	-100%	-1.1 / 1.1 (-100%)
6th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 16	3.1	2.0	65%	2.0 / 3.1 (65%)
29th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 15	2.35	2.6	111%	2.6 / 2.35 (111%)
21st Nov '20	UFC 255	3.15	3.0	95%	3.0 / 3.15 (95%)
24th Oct '20	UFC 254	4	-1.1	-29%	-1.1 / 4 (-29%)
17th Oct '20	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	5.05	2.6	51%	2.6 / 5.05 (51%)
4th Oct '20	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Winning Events: 7 (54%)
Losing Events: 6 (46%)

Average Staked Per Event: 3.85 units
Most Staked On One Event: 12.00 units
Best Event: 3.00 units
Worst Event: -12.00 units
Average Event: -0.48 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 7.60
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -12.00

John Morgan: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	19.35	-8.9	-46%	-8.9 / 19.35 (-46%)			3 / 2 (60%)	-1.77
2020	30.75	2.5	8%	2.5 / 30.75 (8%)			4 / 4 (50%)	0.32

John Morgan: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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John Morgan: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	50.1	-6.3	-13%	-6.3 / 50.1 (-13%)

John Morgan: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	1 (4%)	0	0 %	11.00	-11.00	-11.00	-100%
Slight Favorites	15 (58%)	8	53 %	28.10	1.55	0.10	6%
Slight Underdogs	8 (31%)	5	63 %	9.00	5.15	0.64	57%
Big Underdogs	2 (8%)	0	0 %	2.00	-2.00	-1.00	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	9 (35%)	3	33 %	20.60	-13.20	-1.47	-64%
Co-Main Event	4 (15%)	3	75 %	7.85	3.85	0.96	49%
Position 3-5	11 (42%)	6	55 %	18.65	1.85	0.17	10%
6+ (Undercard)	2 (8%)	1	50 %	3.00	1.20	0.60	40%

John Morgan: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (12%)	2	67 %	7.60	-0.45	-0.15	-6%
Light Heavy	2 (8%)	2	100 %	4.45	3.00	1.50	67%
Middleweight	2 (8%)		0 %	2.25	-2.25	-1.13	-100%
Welterweight	6 (23%)	3	50 %	9.70	0.95	0.16	10%
Lightweight	2 (8%)		0 %	12.00	-12.00	-6.00	-100%
Featherweight	3 (12%)	2	67 %	3.00	2.45	0.82	82%
Bantamweight	4 (15%)	2	50 %	5.50	1.00	0.25	18%

Women's Fights	4 (15%)	2	50 %	5.60	1.00	0.25	18%
Bantamweight	1 (4%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Flyweight	3 (12%)	2	67 %	4.60	2.00	0.67	43%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
50-65%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
35-50%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
<35% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
	0	0	nan %	nan			0.0 (nan%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail John Morgan's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
4th Oct	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$990.00
17th Oct	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	5.05	2.6	51%		$9.90	$990.00	$1,015.74
24th Oct	UFC 254	4	-1.1	-29%		$10.16	$1,015.74	$1,004.06
21st Nov	UFC 255	3.15	3.0	95%		$10.04	$1,004.06	$1,034.18
29th Nov	UFC Vegas 15	2.35	2.6	111%		$10.34	$1,034.18	$1,061.07
6th Dec	UFC Vegas 16	3.1	2.0	65%		$10.61	$1,061.07	$1,082.29
13th Dec	UFC 256	1.1	-1.1	-100%		$10.82	$1,082.29	$1,070.38
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	11	-4.4	-40%		$10.70	$1,070.38	$1,023.29
16th Jan	UFC FN	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.23	$1,023.29	$1,013.06
20th Jan	UFC on ESPN 20	1	1.2	120%		$10.13	$1,013.06	$1,025.21
24th Jan	UFC 257	12	-12.0	-100%		$10.25	$1,025.21	$902.19
13th Feb	UFC 258	2.1	2.0	95%		$9.02	$902.19	$920.23
6th Mar	UFC 259	3.25	1.0	29%		$9.20	$920.23	$928.97

ROI % from starting bank balance: -7.10% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

John Morgan: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '21	Dominick Cruz	Casey Kenney	2.10	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Feb '21	Alexa Grasso	Maycee Barber	1.95	2.1	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Jan '21	Michael Chiesa	Neil Magny	2.20	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
4.	Dec '20	Marcin Tybura	Greg Hardy	1.87	2.3	TKO, R2 (4:31)
5.	Dec '20	Rob Font	Marlon Moraes	2.30	1	TKO, R1 (3:47)
6.	Dec '20	Jamahal Hill	Ovince St Preux	1.65	3.1	TKO, R2 (3:37)
7.	Nov '20	Anthony Smith	Devin Clark	1.74	1.35	Sub, R1 (2:34)
8.	Nov '20	Bill Algeo	Spike Carlyle	2.60	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Nov '20	Tim Means	Mike Perry	1.95	3.15	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Oct '20	Alexander Volkov	Walt Harris	1.54	1.85	TKO, R2 (1:15)
11.	Oct '20	James Krause	Claudio Silva	1.77	1.3	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Oct '20	Jessica Andrade	Katlyn Chookagian	1.67	1.5	TKO, R1 (4:55)
13.	Oct '20	Brian Ortega	Chan Sung Jung	2.85	1	U Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '21	Petr Yan	Aljamain Sterling	1.80	1.25		No
2.	Jan '21	Jessica Eye	Joanne Wood	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Jan '21	Conor McGregor	Dustin Poirier	1.33	11	TKO, R2 (2:32)	No
4.	Jan '21	Calvin Kattar	Max Holloway	2.45	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
5.	Dec '20	Greg Hardy	Marcin Tybura	1.87	3.45	TKO, R2 (4:31)	No
6.	Dec '20	Geoff Neal	Stephen Thompson	1.95	2.1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
7.	Dec '20	Alex Morono	Anthony Pettis	2.90	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Dec '20	Geoff Neal	Stephen Thompson	1.87	1.15	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
9.	Dec '20	Ronaldo Souza	Kevin Holland	1.91	1.1	TKO, R1 (1:45)	No
10.	Oct '20	Jared Cannonier	Robert Whittaker	1.87	1.15	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Oct '20	Justin Gaethje	Khabib Nurmagomedov	3.75	1	Sub, R2 (1:34)	No
12.	Oct '20	Thomas Almeida	Jonathan Martinez	1.80	1.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Oct '20	Irene Aldana	Holly Holm	2.15	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

John Morgan: Progress Chart

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