|
MMA Handicapper Stats: TheRealRoreaga |
|
TheRealRoreaga : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 26 (38%) Losing Events: 43 (62%)
Average Staked Per Event: 8.62 units Most Staked On One Event: 42.23 units Best Event: 85.70 units Worst Event: -15.08 units Average Event: 0.95 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 87.83 Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -39.59 |
TheRealRoreaga : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
406.8 |
24.2 |
6% |
-8.2 / 171.69 (-5%) |
-8.3 / 163.39 (-5%) |
40.7 / 71.72 (57%) |
22 / 31 (42%) |
0.46 |
2022 |
66.5 |
70.4 |
106% |
7.4 / 32.5 (23%) |
-1.5 / 24 (-6%) |
64.5 / 10 (645%) |
2 / 4 (33%) |
11.73 |
2020 |
121.23 |
-29.0 |
-24% |
-13.0 / 42.5 (-31%) |
-8.4 / 71.23 (-12%) |
-7.5 / 7.5 (-100%) |
2 / 8 (20%) |
-2.90 |
|
TheRealRoreaga : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
TheRealRoreaga : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
439.97 |
70.0 |
16% |
5.0 / 159.09 (3%) |
-14.1 / 221.88 (-6%) |
79.1 / 59 (134%) |
Bellator |
22.73 |
-0.7 |
-3% |
-2.3 / 12.56 (-19%) |
1.1 / 7.67 (15%) |
0.5 / 2.5 (20%) |
PFL |
16.95 |
11.4 |
67% |
1.5 / 4.5 (33%) |
2.0 / 2.45 (82%) |
7.9 / 10 (79%) |
Other |
114.88 |
-15.1 |
-13% |
-18.0 / 70.54 (-25%) |
-7.3 / 26.62 (-27%) |
10.2 / 17.72 (57%) |
|
TheRealRoreaga : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
3 (2%) |
0 |
0 % |
9.55 |
-9.55 |
-3.18 |
-100% |
Slight Favorites |
60 (35%) |
35 |
58 % |
93.69 |
-1.89 |
-0.03 |
-2% |
Slight Underdogs |
80 (46%) |
34 |
43 % |
104.45 |
7.68 |
0.10 |
7% |
Big Underdogs |
30 (17%) |
6 |
20 % |
39.00 |
-10.07 |
-0.34 |
-26% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
17 (10%) |
8 |
47 % |
26.05 |
1.71 |
0.10 |
7% |
Co-Main Event |
18 (10%) |
7 |
39 % |
23.33 |
-2.48 |
-0.14 |
-11% |
Position 3-5 |
50 (29%) |
18 |
36 % |
76.19 |
-18.21 |
-0.36 |
-24% |
6+ (Undercard) |
88 (51%) |
42 |
48 % |
121.12 |
5.14 |
0.06 |
4% |
|
TheRealRoreaga : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
13 (8%) |
7 |
54 % |
18.69 |
0.02 |
0.00 |
0% |
Light Heavy |
5 (3%) |
3 |
60 % |
8.00 |
0.90 |
0.18 |
11% |
Middleweight |
17 (10%) |
5 |
29 % |
21.29 |
-8.77 |
-0.52 |
-41% |
Welterweight |
21 (12%) |
12 |
57 % |
29.76 |
7.14 |
0.34 |
24% |
Lightweight |
22 (13%) |
10 |
45 % |
30.71 |
1.95 |
0.09 |
6% |
Featherweight |
21 (12%) |
6 |
29 % |
26.98 |
-9.73 |
-0.46 |
-36% |
Bantamweight |
19 (11%) |
8 |
42 % |
26.98 |
-2.48 |
-0.13 |
-9% |
Flyweight |
22 (13%) |
8 |
36 % |
32.20 |
-4.47 |
-0.20 |
-14% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
33 (19%) |
16 |
48 % |
52.08 |
1.60 |
0.05 |
3% |
Featherweight |
4 (2%) |
3 |
75 % |
5.90 |
4.93 |
1.23 |
84% |
Bantamweight |
5 (3%) |
3 |
60 % |
5.40 |
2.40 |
0.48 |
44% |
Flyweight |
15 (9%) |
7 |
47 % |
22.90 |
0.30 |
0.02 |
1% |
Strawweight |
9 (5%) |
3 |
33 % |
17.88 |
-6.04 |
-0.67 |
-34% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
54 (64%) |
41 |
76 % |
Slight Favorites |
18 (21%) |
12 |
67 % |
Slight Underdogs |
9 (11%) |
7 |
78 % |
Big Underdogs |
4 (5%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
85 |
60 |
71 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
11 (4%) |
9 |
82 % |
50-65% |
39 (16%) |
27 |
69 % |
35-50% |
57 (23%) |
19 |
33 % |
<35% chance |
139 (57%) |
22 |
16 % |
|
246 |
77 |
31 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail TheRealRoreaga 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
18th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 2 |
42.23 |
-2.2 |
-5% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$977.64 |
25th Jul |
Bellator 242 |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$9.78 |
$977.64 |
$962.97 |
25th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 3 |
15 |
13.4 |
89% |
|
$9.63 |
$962.97 |
$1,091.77 |
1st Aug |
UFC Vegas 5 |
9 |
-3.9 |
-43% |
|
$10.92 |
$1,091.77 |
$1,049.19 |
5th Aug |
DWCS 27 |
3.5 |
-3.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.49 |
$1,049.19 |
$1,012.47 |
8th Aug |
UFC Vegas 6 |
6 |
-2.7 |
-45% |
|
$10.12 |
$1,012.47 |
$985.13 |
15th Aug |
UFC 252 |
21.5 |
-15.1 |
-70% |
|
$9.85 |
$985.13 |
$836.54 |
22nd Aug |
UFC Vegas 7 |
10 |
-5.9 |
-59% |
|
$8.37 |
$836.54 |
$787.12 |
29th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 182 |
8.5 |
-8.5 |
-100% |
|
$7.87 |
$787.12 |
$720.21 |
5th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 183 |
4 |
1.0 |
25% |
|
$7.20 |
$720.21 |
$727.42 |
30th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera |
10 |
1.1 |
11% |
|
$7.27 |
$727.42 |
$735.60 |
7th May |
UFC 274 |
12.5 |
85.7 |
686% |
|
$7.36 |
$735.60 |
$1,366.04 |
21st May |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira |
12.5 |
-0.6 |
-5% |
|
$13.66 |
$1,366.04 |
$1,357.50 |
16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
14 |
-4.3 |
-31% |
|
$13.58 |
$1,357.50 |
$1,298.45 |
23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
7.5 |
-7.5 |
-100% |
|
$12.98 |
$1,298.45 |
$1,201.07 |
13th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz |
10 |
-4.0 |
-40% |
|
$12.01 |
$1,201.07 |
$1,153.02 |
13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
11.5 |
9.0 |
78% |
|
$11.53 |
$1,153.02 |
$1,256.79 |
20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
10.5 |
10.7 |
102% |
|
$12.57 |
$1,256.79 |
$1,391.58 |
2nd Jun |
Cage Warriors 155 |
2 |
-0.0 |
-2% |
|
$13.92 |
$1,391.58 |
$1,390.88 |
3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
10.5 |
8.9 |
85% |
|
$13.91 |
$1,390.88 |
$1,514.66 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
9.5 |
6.9 |
73% |
|
$15.15 |
$1,514.66 |
$1,619.18 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
13.5 |
9.0 |
67% |
|
$16.19 |
$1,619.18 |
$1,764.90 |
23rd Jun |
PFL 6: Regular Season |
2 |
0.1 |
5% |
|
$17.65 |
$1,764.90 |
$1,766.66 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
8 |
5.9 |
73% |
|
$17.67 |
$1,766.66 |
$1,870.19 |
1st Jul |
Cage Warriors 156 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$18.70 |
$1,870.19 |
$1,832.78 |
1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
7 |
-5.2 |
-74% |
|
$18.33 |
$1,832.78 |
$1,737.48 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
12 |
-5.2 |
-43% |
|
$17.37 |
$1,737.48 |
$1,647.13 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
19.5 |
-7.2 |
-37% |
|
$16.47 |
$1,647.13 |
$1,529.32 |
21st Jul |
Cage Warriors 157 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$15.29 |
$1,529.32 |
$1,491.09 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
18 |
8.4 |
47% |
|
$14.91 |
$1,491.09 |
$1,616.07 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
10.5 |
-10.5 |
-100% |
|
$16.16 |
$1,616.07 |
$1,446.38 |
4th Aug |
PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs |
10 |
7.9 |
79% |
|
$14.46 |
$1,446.38 |
$1,560.79 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
10 |
-3.2 |
-32% |
|
$15.61 |
$1,560.79 |
$1,510.12 |
11th Aug |
Bellator 298 |
5.97 |
-1.0 |
-17% |
|
$15.10 |
$1,510.12 |
$1,495.02 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
8.5 |
-0.3 |
-4% |
|
$14.95 |
$1,495.02 |
$1,490.53 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
5.84 |
-0.9 |
-16% |
|
$14.91 |
$1,490.53 |
$1,476.52 |
29th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 4 |
2.56 |
0.6 |
22% |
|
$14.77 |
$1,476.52 |
$1,484.67 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
3.5 |
1.7 |
50% |
|
$14.85 |
$1,484.67 |
$1,510.51 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
13 |
1.2 |
9% |
|
$15.11 |
$1,510.51 |
$1,528.99 |
12th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 6 |
4.69 |
21.4 |
456% |
|
$15.29 |
$1,528.99 |
$1,855.99 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
14.5 |
5.8 |
40% |
|
$18.56 |
$1,855.99 |
$1,964.35 |
19th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 7 |
7 |
-4.0 |
-57% |
|
$19.64 |
$1,964.35 |
$1,885.77 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
11 |
-6.2 |
-57% |
|
$18.86 |
$1,885.77 |
$1,768.28 |
26th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 8 |
4.8 |
0.6 |
12% |
|
$17.68 |
$1,768.28 |
$1,778.88 |
29th Sep |
Cage Warriors 160 |
9.12 |
-4.9 |
-53% |
|
$17.79 |
$1,778.88 |
$1,692.25 |
29th Sep |
One Fight Night 14 |
2.43 |
-0.0 |
-0% |
|
$16.92 |
$1,692.25 |
$1,692.25 |
30th Sep |
PFL Europe 3: 2023 Playoffs |
4.95 |
3.4 |
68% |
|
$16.92 |
$1,692.25 |
$1,749.60 |
1st Oct |
Rizin Landmark 6 |
5.07 |
-0.2 |
-4% |
|
$17.50 |
$1,749.60 |
$1,746.10 |
3rd Oct |
Contender Series 2023: Week 9 |
10.73 |
-0.6 |
-6% |
|
$17.46 |
$1,746.10 |
$1,734.85 |
4th Oct |
ACA 164 |
6.35 |
-1.7 |
-27% |
|
$17.35 |
$1,734.85 |
$1,705.36 |
6th Oct |
One Fight Night 15 |
2.8 |
-0.2 |
-8% |
|
$17.05 |
$1,705.36 |
$1,701.61 |
6th Oct |
LFA 169 |
5.87 |
-1.2 |
-20% |
|
$17.02 |
$1,701.61 |
$1,681.36 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
9.82 |
4.7 |
48% |
|
$16.81 |
$1,681.36 |
$1,760.01 |
7th Oct |
Bellator 300 |
15.26 |
1.8 |
12% |
|
$17.60 |
$1,760.01 |
$1,791.24 |
10th Oct |
Contender Series 2023: Week 10 |
8.25 |
-4.9 |
-59% |
|
$17.91 |
$1,791.24 |
$1,704.36 |
13th Oct |
CFFC 126 |
1 |
1.6 |
160% |
|
$17.04 |
$1,704.36 |
$1,731.63 |
14th Oct |
Cage Warriors 161 |
10.28 |
-5.7 |
-55% |
|
$17.32 |
$1,731.63 |
$1,633.07 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
12.2 |
3.0 |
24% |
|
$16.33 |
$1,633.07 |
$1,681.62 |
19th Oct |
BFL 78 |
2.05 |
-2.1 |
-100% |
|
$16.82 |
$1,681.62 |
$1,647.15 |
21st Oct |
Octagon 51 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$16.47 |
$1,647.15 |
$1,614.21 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
19.55 |
-5.2 |
-27% |
|
$16.14 |
$1,614.21 |
$1,530.50 |
27th Oct |
Invicta FC 54 |
3 |
-1.0 |
-33% |
|
$15.31 |
$1,530.50 |
$1,515.20 |
28th Oct |
LFA 170 |
2.1 |
-0.0 |
-0% |
|
$15.15 |
$1,515.20 |
$1,515.20 |
28th Oct |
Cage Warriors 162 |
6.08 |
3.2 |
53% |
|
$15.15 |
$1,515.20 |
$1,563.65 |
3rd Nov |
LFA 171 |
4.05 |
-1.3 |
-32% |
|
$15.64 |
$1,563.65 |
$1,543.32 |
3rd Nov |
CFFC 127 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.43 |
$1,543.32 |
$1,527.88 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
17.11 |
-8.7 |
-51% |
|
$15.28 |
$1,527.88 |
$1,395.57 |
11th Nov |
Cage Warriors 163 |
3.65 |
-3.7 |
-100% |
|
$13.96 |
$1,395.57 |
$1,344.63 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
1.72 |
1.0 |
58% |
|
$13.45 |
$1,344.63 |
$1,358.08 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 35.81% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
TheRealRoreaga : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Nov '23 |
Lucas Camacho |
Guilherme Uriel |
2.75 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:28) |
|
|
2. |
Oct '23 |
Baris Adiguzel |
Alex Bertinazzi |
2.10 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:16) |
|
|
3. |
Oct '23 |
Sam Creasey |
Tanio Pagliariccio |
1.74 |
1.35 |
Sub, R2 (4:35) |
|
|
4. |
Oct '23 |
Shannon Clark |
Nejra Repp |
1.91 |
1.1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
5. |
Oct '23 |
Riley Martinez |
Julia Dorny |
2.00 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (1:48) |
|
|
6. |
Oct '23 |
Trevor Peek |
Mohammad Yahya |
2.50 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
Nov '23 |
Lupita Godinez |
Tabatha Ricci |
1.58 |
1.72 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Oct '23 |
Melissa Dixon |
Irina Alekseeva |
1.71 |
1.4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Oct '23 |
Edson Barboza |
Sodiq Yusuff |
2.42 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Oct '23 |
Jonathan Martinez |
Adrian Yanez |
1.87 |
1.15 |
TKO, R2 (2:26) |
|
|
11. |
Oct '23 |
Viviane Araujo |
Jennifer Maia |
2.30 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
Oct '23 |
Ger Harris |
Ryan Hewitt |
1.80 |
1.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
Oct '23 |
Alonzo Turner |
CJ LaFragola |
2.60 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (1:48) |
|
|
14. |
Oct '23 |
Erique Owens |
Jimmy Meza |
1.86 |
1.16 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Oct '23 |
Zhang Lipeng |
Timofey Nastyukhin |
1.63 |
1.58 |
TKO, R1 (3:18) |
|
|
16. |
Oct '23 |
Victor Hugo Silva |
Eduardo Matias Torres |
1.68 |
1.48 |
Sub, R2 (2:16) |
|
|
17. |
Oct '23 |
Davi Ramos |
Rasul Magomedov |
1.65 |
1.55 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Oct '23 |
Vinicius Cruz |
Zelimkhan Amirov |
2.10 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
19. |
Oct '23 |
Sergio Cossio |
Jesse Roberts |
2.57 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (4:5) |
|
|
20. |
Oct '23 |
Slim Trabelsi |
Davion Franklin |
1.59 |
1.69 |
TKO, R1 (3:9) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Nov '23 |
Rory Evans |
Shirzad Qadrian |
1.63 |
1.6 |
Sub, R3 (2:4) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Nov '23 |
Denilson Neves |
Mateusz Figlak |
3.40 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Nov '23 |
Gerardo Fanny |
Shawn Da Silva |
1.95 |
1.05 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Nov '23 |
Kaue Fernandes |
Marc Diakiese |
2.65 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Nov '23 |
Alisson Murilo |
Marcos Degli |
2.37 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Nov '23 |
Gabriel Costa |
Jefferson Nascimento |
2.05 |
1.05 |
TKO, R2 (0:23) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Nov '23 |
Sarah Barwick |
Lany Silva |
4.00 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Nov '23 |
Khadzhimurat Bestaev |
Keanan Patershuk |
2.95 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:34) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Oct '23 |
Michelangelo Lupoli |
Nicolas Leblond |
1.83 |
1.2 |
TKO, R2 (3:58) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Oct '23 |
A.J. Robb |
Isaac Thomson |
4.00 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Oct '23 |
Fernanda Araujo |
Maria Djukic |
2.30 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Oct '23 |
Dee Begley |
Kristina Williams |
2.65 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Oct '23 |
Anastasia Dyuzhikova |
Aleksandra Savicheva |
3.75 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (3:0) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Oct '23 |
Ashton Charlton |
Dario Sinagoga |
1.49 |
2.05 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Oct '23 |
Muin Gafurov |
Said Nurmagomedov |
2.85 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (1:13) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Oct '23 |
Tim Elliott |
Muhammad Mokaev |
4.75 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (3:3) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Oct '23 |
Ravena Oliveira |
Tainara Lisboa |
3.75 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Oct '23 |
Leon Hill |
Ieuan Davies |
1.97 |
1.03 |
Sub, R1 (3:25) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Oct '23 |
Samir Kadi |
Paddy McCorry |
2.70 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (3:41) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Oct '23 |
Marko Sarasjarvi |
Solomon Simon |
2.19 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (4:49) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
TheRealRoreaga : Progress Chart |
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