MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: Dirty Vagrant

Dirty Vagrant (DirtyVagrant)

MMA MHandicapper - Dirty Vagrant

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	29 (41%)	Right	23 (49%)	Right	1 (20%)	Right	5 (28%)
Wrong	41 (59%)	Wrong	24 (51%)	Wrong	4 (80%)	Wrong	13 (72%)
Avg Odds	2.26	Avg Odds	1.93	Avg Odds	2.87	Avg Odds	3.61
Units Bet	254.2	Units Bet	195.0	Units Bet	14.0	Units Bet	45.2
Avg Bet	3.63	Avg Bet	4.15	Avg Bet	2.80	Avg Bet	2.51
Units Profit	-0.93	Units Profit	29.70	Units Profit	-9.50	Units Profit	-21.13
ROI %	-0%	ROI %	15%	ROI %	-68%	ROI %	-47%

Dirty Vagrant: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
6th Mar '21	UFC 259	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 185	12.5	-11.3	-90%	-12.0 / 12 (-100%)		0.7 / 0.5 (138%)
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	31	-18.2	-59%	-0.2 / 13 (-1%)	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
20th Jan '21	UFC on ESPN 20	41	-9.9	-24%	-2.9 / 34 (-9%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	6	-0.9	-15%			-0.9 / 6 (-15%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	11	12.3	112%	12.3 / 11 (112%)
13th Dec '20	UFC 256	22	-14.2	-65%	-15.5 / 15.5 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	2.3 / 5.5 (42%)
29th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 15	18.7	5.2	28%	5.4 / 14 (38%)	2.5 / 2 (125%)	-2.7 / 2.7 (-100%)
21st Nov '20	UFC 255	32	10.3	32%	15.3 / 17 (90%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-3.0 / 13 (-23%)
14th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 14	50	47.3	95%	47.3 / 50 (95%)
31st Oct '20	UFC Vegas 12	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
9th Feb '20	UFC 247	19	-10.6	-56%	-10.1 / 18.5 (-55%)		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)

Winning Events: 4 (33%)
Losing Events: 8 (67%)

Average Staked Per Event: 21.18 units
Most Staked On One Event: 50.00 units
Best Event: 47.34 units
Worst Event: -18.15 units
Average Event: -0.08 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 62.85
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -41.28

Dirty Vagrant: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	91.5	-41.3	-45%	-15.1 / 59 (-26%)	-9.0 / 9 (-100%)	-17.2 / 23.5 (-73%)	/ 5 (0%)	-8.26
2020	162.7	40.4	25%	44.8 / 136 (33%)	-0.5 / 5 (-10%)	-3.9 / 21.7 (-18%)	4 / 3 (57%)	5.77

Dirty Vagrant: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Dirty Vagrant: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	254.2	-0.9	-0%	29.7 / 195 (15%)	-9.5 / 14 (-68%)	-21.1 / 45.2 (-47%)

Dirty Vagrant: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	10 (21%)	4	40 %	65.00	-20.19	-2.02	-31%
Slight Favorites	13 (28%)	5	38 %	68.00	-9.46	-0.73	-14%
Slight Underdogs	19 (40%)	10	53 %	52.00	37.88	1.99	73%
Big Underdogs	5 (11%)	4	80 %	10.00	21.47	4.29	215%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	2 (4%)	1	50 %	10.00	-0.84	-0.42	-8%
Co-Main Event	4 (9%)	1	25 %	24.00	-12.40	-3.10	-52%
Position 3-5	18 (38%)	9	50 %	74.00	28.82	1.60	39%
6+ (Undercard)	23 (49%)	12	52 %	87.00	14.13	0.61	16%

Dirty Vagrant: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	6 (13%)	2	33 %	18.00	5.70	0.95	32%
Middleweight	7 (15%)	5	71 %	35.00	20.32	2.90	58%
Welterweight	7 (15%)	3	43 %	28.00	-7.49	-1.07	-27%
Lightweight	6 (13%)	2	33 %	36.00	-13.78	-2.30	-38%
Featherweight	7 (15%)	2	29 %	28.00	-12.57	-1.80	-45%
Bantamweight	3 (6%)	3	100 %	16.00	9.88	3.29	62%
Flyweight	1 (2%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%

Women's Fights	10 (21%)	6	60 %	33.00	28.64	2.86	87%
Bantamweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	2.00	2.70	2.70	135%
Flyweight	5 (11%)	2	40 %	10.50	4.17	0.83	40%
Strawweight	4 (9%)	3	75 %	20.50	21.77	5.44	106%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	43 (63%)	30	70 %
Slight Favorites	20 (29%)	12	60 %
Slight Underdogs	5 (7%)	3	60 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	68	45	66 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	3 (33%)	2	67 %
50-65%	2 (22%)	0	0 %
35-50%	2 (22%)	1	50 %
<35% chance	2 (22%)	0	0 %
	9	3	33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Goes to Decision	1 (11%)	0	0 %	1.77	1.77	1.77	-1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision	3 (33%)	2	67 %	1.24	1.25	1.23	-0.5 (-17%)
X Wins by KO	2 (22%)	1	50 %	2.27	2.30	2.25	0.3 (13%)
X Wins by Sub	2 (22%)	0	0 %	6.67	11.50	4.70	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (11%)	0	0 %	1.80	1.80	1.80	-1.0 (-100%)
	9	3	33 %	1.91			-4.3 (-47%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Dirty Vagrant's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
9th Feb	UFC 247	19	-10.6	-56%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$893.75
31st Oct	UFC Vegas 12	10	-10.0	-100%		$8.94	$893.75	$804.37
14th Nov	UFC Vegas 14	50	47.3	95%		$8.04	$804.37	$1,185.17
21st Nov	UFC 255	32	10.3	32%		$11.85	$1,185.17	$1,307.69
29th Nov	UFC Vegas 15	18.7	5.2	28%		$13.08	$1,307.69	$1,375.26
13th Dec	UFC 256	22	-14.2	-65%		$13.75	$1,375.26	$1,180.11
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	11	12.3	112%		$11.80	$1,180.11	$1,325.61
16th Jan	UFC FN	6	-0.9	-15%		$13.26	$1,325.61	$1,313.44
20th Jan	UFC on ESPN 20	41	-9.9	-24%		$13.13	$1,313.44	$1,183.37
24th Jan	UFC 257	31	-18.2	-59%		$11.83	$1,183.37	$968.57
20th Feb	UFC Fight Night 185	12.5	-11.3	-90%		$9.69	$968.57	$859.00
6th Mar	UFC 259	1	-1.0	-100%		$8.59	$859.00	$850.41

ROI % from starting bank balance: -14.96% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Dirty Vagrant: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jan '21	Makhmud Muradov	Andrew Sanchez	1.61	8	TKO, R3 (2:59)
2.	Jan '21	Mike Davis	Mason Jones	1.63	8	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Jan '21	Omari Akhmedov	Tom Breese	2.35	2	Sub, R2 (1:41)
4.	Jan '21	Lerone Murphy	Douglas Silva de Andrade	1.33	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Dec '20	Deron Winn	Antonio Arroyo	2.62	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Dec '20	Marcin Tybura	Greg Hardy	2.05	6	TKO, R2 (4:31)
7.	Dec '20	Pannie Kianzad	Sijara Eubanks	2.35	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Dec '20	Michel Pereira	Kalinn Williams	1.85	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Nov '20	Su Mudaerji	Malcolm Gordon	1.33	6	TKO, R1 (0:44)
10.	Nov '20	Parker Porter	Josh Parisian	2.85	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Nov '20	Sasha Palatnikov	Louis Cosce	5.20	1	TKO, R3 (2:47)
12.	Nov '20	Joaquin Buckley	Jordan Wright	1.43	10	TKO, R2 (0:18)
13.	Nov '20	Katlyn Chookagian	Cynthia Calvillo	3.20	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Nov '20	Kanako Murata	Randa Markos	1.54	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Nov '20	Ashley Yoder	Miranda Granger	2.43	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Nov '20	Cory McKenna	Kay Hansen	2.75	8	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Nov '20	Sean Strickland	Brendan Allen	2.08	10	TKO, R2 (1:32)
18.	Nov '20	Kalinn Williams	Abdul Razak Alhassan	2.90	4	TKO, R1 (0:30)
19.	Nov '20	Tony Gravely	Geraldo De Freitas Jr.	1.69	8	Split Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Nov '20	Rafael dos Anjos	Paul Felder	1.53	6	Split Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Feb '21	Danny Chavez	Jared Gordon	1.71	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Feb '21	Nassourdine Imavov	Phil Hawes	2.10	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Feb '21	Andrei Arlovski	Tom Aspinall	3.20	0.5	Sub, R2 (1:9)	Yes
4.	Feb '21	Aleksei Oleinik	Chris Daukaus	2.80	0.5	TKO, R1 (1:55)	Yes
5.	Feb '21	Charles Rosa	Darrick Minner	1.54	6	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Jan '21	Antonio Carlos Junior	Brad Tavares	1.91	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Jan '21	Jessica Eye	Joanne Wood	2.07	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Jan '21	Daniel Hooker	Michael Chandler	1.70	2	TKO, R1 (2:30)	No
9.	Jan '21	Mounir Lazzez	Warlley Alves	1.43	10	TKO, R1 (2:35)	No
10.	Jan '21	Neil Magny	Michael Chiesa	1.73	4	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
11.	Dec '20	Virna Jandiroba	Mackenzie Dern	2.57	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Dec '20	Billy Quarantillo	Gavin Tucker	1.61	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Dec '20	Tony Ferguson	Charles Oliveira	1.62	8	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Dec '20	Renato Moicano	Rafael Fiziev	2.17	4	TKO, R1 (4:5)	Yes
15.	Nov '20	Ashlee Evans-Smith	Norma Dumont	1.71	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Nov '20	Ariane Lipski	Antonina Shevchenko	2.40	1	TKO, R2 (4:33)	No
17.	Nov '20	Brandon Royval	Brandon Moreno	2.65	1	TKO, R1 (4:59)	No
18.	Nov '20	Rhys McKee	Alex Morono	2.60	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Oct '20	Kevin Natividad	Miles Johns	2.50	2	TKO, R3 (2:51)	No
20.	Oct '20	Bobby Green	Thiago Moises	1.36	8	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Dirty Vagrant: Progress Chart

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