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MMA Handicapper Stats: Dirty Vagrant

Dirty Vagrant (DirtyVagrant)


MMA MHandicapper - Dirty Vagrant

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 29 (42%) Right 23 (49%) Right 1 (20%) Right 5 (29%)
Wrong 40 (58%) Wrong 24 (51%) Wrong 4 (80%) Wrong 12 (71%)
Avg Odds 2.22 Avg Odds 1.93 Avg Odds 2.87 Avg Odds 3.41
Units Bet 253.2 Units Bet 195.0 Units Bet 14.0 Units Bet 44.2
Avg Bet 3.67 Avg Bet 4.15 Avg Bet 2.80 Avg Bet 2.60
Units Profit 0.07 Units Profit 29.70 Units Profit -9.50 Units Profit -20.13
ROI % 0% ROI % 15% ROI % -68% ROI % -46%
View Handicapper's Profile

Dirty Vagrant: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 12.5 -11.3 -90% -12.0 / 12 (-100%) 0.7 / 0.5 (138%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 31 -18.2 -59% -0.2 / 13 (-1%) -8.0 / 8 (-100%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 41 -9.9 -24% -2.9 / 34 (-9%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 6 -0.9 -15% -0.9 / 6 (-15%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 11 12.3 112% 12.3 / 11 (112%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 22 -14.2 -65% -15.5 / 15.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2.3 / 5.5 (42%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 18.7 5.2 28% 5.4 / 14 (38%) 2.5 / 2 (125%) -2.7 / 2.7 (-100%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 32 10.3 32% 15.3 / 17 (90%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -3.0 / 13 (-23%)
14th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 14 50 47.3 95% 47.3 / 50 (95%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 19 -10.6 -56% -10.1 / 18.5 (-55%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)


Winning Events: 4 (36%)
Losing Events: 7 (64%)

Average Staked Per Event: 23.02 units
Most Staked On One Event: 50.00 units
Best Event: 47.34 units
Worst Event: -18.15 units
Average Event: 0.01 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 62.85
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -40.28

Dirty Vagrant: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 90.5 -40.3 -45% -15.1 / 59 (-26%) -9.0 / 9 (-100%) -16.2 / 22.5 (-72%) / 4 (0%) -10.07
2020 162.7 40.4 25% 44.8 / 136 (33%) -0.5 / 5 (-10%) -3.9 / 21.7 (-18%) 4 / 3 (57%) 5.77

Dirty Vagrant: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Dirty Vagrant: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 253.2 0.1 0% 29.7 / 195 (15%) -9.5 / 14 (-68%) -20.1 / 44.2 (-46%)

Dirty Vagrant: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 10 (21%) 4 40 % 65.00 -20.19 -2.02 -31%
Slight Favorites 13 (28%) 5 38 % 68.00 -9.46 -0.73 -14%
Slight Underdogs 19 (40%) 10 53 % 52.00 37.88 1.99 73%
Big Underdogs 5 (11%) 4 80 % 10.00 21.47 4.29 215%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 2 (4%) 1 50 % 10.00 -0.84 -0.42 -8%
Co-Main Event 4 (9%) 1 25 % 24.00 -12.40 -3.10 -52%
Position 3-5 18 (38%) 9 50 % 74.00 28.82 1.60 39%
6+ (Undercard) 23 (49%) 12 52 % 87.00 14.13 0.61 16%

Dirty Vagrant: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (13%) 2 33 % 18.00 5.70 0.95 32%
Middleweight 7 (15%) 5 71 % 35.00 20.32 2.90 58%
Welterweight 7 (15%) 3 43 % 28.00 -7.49 -1.07 -27%
Lightweight 6 (13%) 2 33 % 36.00 -13.78 -2.30 -38%
Featherweight 7 (15%) 2 29 % 28.00 -12.57 -1.80 -45%
Bantamweight 3 (6%) 3 100 % 16.00 9.88 3.29 62%
Flyweight 1 (2%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 10 (21%) 6 60 % 33.00 28.64 2.86 87%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 2.00 2.70 2.70 135%
Flyweight 5 (11%) 2 40 % 10.50 4.17 0.83 40%
Strawweight 4 (9%) 3 75 % 20.50 21.77 5.44 106%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 42 (67%) 30 71 %
Slight Favorites 18 (29%) 12 67 %
Slight Underdogs 3 (5%) 1 33 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
63 43 68 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 3 (33%) 2 67 %
50-65% 2 (22%) 0 0 %
35-50% 2 (22%) 1 50 %
<35% chance 2 (22%) 0 0 %
9 3 33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Goes to Decision 1 (11%) 0 0 % 1.77 1.77Pick was incorrect 1.77Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision 3 (33%) 2 67 % 1.24 1.25Pick was correct 1.23Pick was incorrect -0.5 (-17%)
X Wins by KO 2 (22%) 1 50 % 2.27 2.30Pick was incorrect 2.25Pick was correct 0.3 (13%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (22%) 0 0 % 6.67 11.50Pick was incorrect 4.70Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 1 (11%) 0 0 % 1.80 1.80Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
9 3 33 % 1.91     -4.3 (-47%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Dirty Vagrant's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
9th Feb UFC 247 19 -10.6 -56% $10.00 $1,000.00 $893.75
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 10 -10.0 -100% $8.94 $893.75 $804.37
14th Nov UFC Vegas 14 50 47.3 95% $8.04 $804.37 $1,185.17
21st Nov UFC 255 32 10.3 32% $11.85 $1,185.17 $1,307.69
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 18.7 5.2 28% $13.08 $1,307.69 $1,375.26
13th Dec UFC 256 22 -14.2 -65% $13.75 $1,375.26 $1,180.11
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 11 12.3 112% $11.80 $1,180.11 $1,325.61
16th Jan UFC FN 6 -0.9 -15% $13.26 $1,325.61 $1,313.44
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 41 -9.9 -24% $13.13 $1,313.44 $1,183.37
24th Jan UFC 257 31 -18.2 -59% $11.83 $1,183.37 $968.57
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 12.5 -11.3 -90% $9.69 $968.57 $859.00


ROI % from starting bank balance: -14.10% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Dirty Vagrant: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jan '21 Makhmud Muradov Andrew Sanchez 1.61 8 TKO, R3 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jan '21 Mike Davis Mason Jones 1.63 8 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jan '21 Omari Akhmedov Tom Breese 2.35 2 Sub, R2 (1:41) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '21 Lerone Murphy Douglas Silva de Andrade 1.33 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '20 Deron Winn Antonio Arroyo 2.62 1 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '20 Marcin Tybura Greg Hardy 2.05 6 TKO, R2 (4:31) MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '20 Pannie Kianzad Sijara Eubanks 2.35 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '20 Michel Pereira Kalinn Williams 1.85 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '20 Su Mudaerji Malcolm Gordon 1.33 6 TKO, R1 (0:44) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '20 Parker Porter Josh Parisian 2.85 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '20 Sasha Palatnikov Louis Cosce 5.20 1 TKO, R3 (2:47) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '20 Joaquin Buckley Jordan Wright 1.43 10 TKO, R2 (0:18) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '20 Katlyn Chookagian Cynthia Calvillo 3.20 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '20 Kanako Murata Randa Markos 1.54 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '20 Ashley Yoder Miranda Granger 2.43 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '20 Cory McKenna Kay Hansen 2.75 8 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '20 Sean Strickland Brendan Allen 2.08 10 TKO, R2 (1:32) MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '20 Kalinn Williams Abdul Razak Alhassan 2.90 4 TKO, R1 (0:30) MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '20 Tony Gravely Geraldo De Freitas Jr. 1.69 8 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '20 Rafael dos Anjos Paul Felder 1.53 6 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '21 Danny Chavez Jared Gordon 1.71 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Nassourdine Imavov Phil Hawes 2.10 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Andrei Arlovski Tom Aspinall 3.20 0.5 Sub, R2 (1:9) Yes MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Aleksei Oleinik Chris Daukaus 2.80 0.5 TKO, R1 (1:55) Yes MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '21 Charles Rosa Darrick Minner 1.54 6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '21 Antonio Carlos Junior Brad Tavares 1.91 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '21 Jessica Eye Joanne Calderwood 2.07 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '21 Daniel Hooker Michael Chandler 1.70 2 TKO, R1 (2:30) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '21 Mounir Lazzez Warlley Alves 1.43 10 TKO, R1 (2:35) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jan '21 Neil Magny Michael Chiesa 1.73 4 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '20 Virna Jandiroba Mackenzie Dern 2.57 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '20 Billy Quarantillo Gavin Tucker 1.61 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '20 Tony Ferguson Charles Oliveira 1.62 8 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '20 Renato Moicano Rafael Fiziev 2.17 4 TKO, R1 (4:5) Yes MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '20 Ashlee Evans-Smith Norma Dumont 1.71 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '20 Ariane Lipski Antonina Shevchenko 2.40 1 TKO, R2 (4:33) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '20 Brandon Royval Brandon Moreno 2.65 1 TKO, R1 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '20 Rhys McKee Alex Morono 2.60 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '20 Kevin Natividad Miles Johns 2.50 2 TKO, R3 (2:51) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '20 Bobby Green Thiago Moises 1.36 8 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Dirty Vagrant: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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