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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 2194
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 886

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: The Bad Guy

The Bad Guy (TheBadGuy)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - The Bad Guy

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 17 (65%) Right 17 (65%) Right 0 (nan%) Right 0 (nan%)
Wrong 9 (35%) Wrong 9 (35%) Wrong 0 (nan%) Wrong 0 (nan%)
Avg Odds 1.56 Avg Odds 1.56 Avg Odds nan Avg Odds nan
Units Bet 236.0 Units Bet 236.0 Units Bet 0.0 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 9.08 Avg Bet 9.08 Avg Bet nan Avg Bet nan
Units Profit 7.14 Units Profit 7.14 Units Profit 0.00 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % 3% ROI % 3% ROI % nan% ROI % nan%
View Handicapper's Profile

The Bad Guy: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
14th Mar '20 UFC Fight Night 170 14 0.9 6% 0.9 / 14 (6%)
8th Mar '20 UFC 248 22 -8.9 -40% -8.9 / 22 (-40%)
29th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 22 4.5 20% 4.5 / 22 (20%)
22nd Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 168 11 5.5 50% 5.5 / 11 (50%)
22nd Feb '20 Bellator 240 11 5.8 53% 5.8 / 11 (53%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 23 -10.2 -44% -10.2 / 23 (-44%)
26th Jan '20 Bellator 238 11 4.0 36% 4.0 / 11 (36%)
25th Jan '20 UFC Fight Night 166 11 -11.0 -100% -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
18th Jan '20 UFC 246 22 -5.8 -26% -5.8 / 22 (-26%)
1st Jan '20 PFL 2019: Week 10 11 1.8 16% 1.8 / 11 (16%)
29th Dec '19 Bellator 237 16 2.6 16% 2.6 / 16 (16%)
21st Dec '19 UFC Fight Night 165 5 3.2 65% 3.2 / 5 (65%)
15th Dec '19 UFC 245 11 7.6 69% 7.6 / 11 (69%)
7th Dec '19 UFC on ESPN 7 11 6.7 61% 6.7 / 11 (61%)
23rd Nov '19 Bellator London 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 164 11 5.9 54% 5.9 / 11 (54%)
9th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 163 11 7.6 69% 7.6 / 11 (69%)
2nd Nov '19 UFC 244 12 -12.0 -100% -12.0 / 12 (-100%)


Winning Events: 12 (67%)
Losing Events: 6 (33%)

Average Staked Per Event: 13.11 units
Most Staked On One Event: 23.00 units
Best Event: 7.59 units
Worst Event: -12.00 units
Average Event: 0.40 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 21.84
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -16.76

The Bad Guy: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2020 158 -13.5 -9% -13.5 / 158 (-9%) 6 / 4 (60%) -1.35
2019 78 20.6 26% 20.6 / 78 (26%) 6 / 2 (75%) 2.58

The Bad Guy: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The Bad Guy: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 186 -6.0 -3% -6.0 / 186 (-3%)
Bellator 39 11.4 29% 11.4 / 39 (29%)
PFL 11 1.8 16% 1.8 / 11 (16%)

The Bad Guy: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 14 (54%) 12 86 % 148.00 15.13 1.08 10%
Slight Favorites 8 (31%) 5 63 % 82.00 -1.99 -0.25 -2%
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%
Big Underdogs 4 (15%) 0 0 % 6.00 -6.00 -1.50 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 3 (12%) 3 100 % 27.00 8.99 3.00 33%
Co-Main Event 3 (12%) 2 67 % 33.00 -7.54 -2.51 -23%
Position 3-5 13 (50%) 8 62 % 109.00 6.40 0.49 6%
6+ (Undercard) 7 (27%) 4 57 % 67.00 -0.71 -0.10 -1%

The Bad Guy: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (4%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Light Heavy 2 (8%) 1 50 % 14.00 4.59 2.29 33%
Middleweight 1 (4%) 1 100 % 11.00 2.10 2.10 19%
Welterweight 8 (31%) 4 50 % 82.00 -28.78 -3.60 -35%
Lightweight 3 (12%) 2 67 % 23.00 8.10 2.70 35%
Featherweight 4 (15%) 3 75 % 28.00 10.84 2.71 39%
Bantamweight 1 (4%) 1 100 % 11.00 7.59 7.59 69%
               
Women's Fights 6 (23%) 5 83 % 66.00 3.72 0.62 6%
Featherweight 3 (12%) 3 100 % 33.00 7.39 2.46 22%
Flyweight 2 (8%) 1 50 % 22.00 -9.17 -4.58 -42%
Strawweight 1 (4%) 1 100 % 11.00 5.50 5.50 50%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
0 0 nan %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
50-65% 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
35-50% 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
<35% chance 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
0 0 nan %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
0 0 nan % nan     0.0 (nan%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Bad Guy's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
2nd Nov UFC 244 12 -12.0 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $880.00
9th Nov UFC Fight Night 163 11 7.6 69% $8.80 $880.00 $946.76
16th Nov UFC Fight Night 164 11 5.9 54% $9.47 $946.76 $1,003.05
23rd Nov Bellator London 1 -1.0 -100% $10.03 $1,003.05 $993.02
7th Dec UFC on ESPN 7 11 6.7 61% $9.93 $993.02 $1,059.22
15th Dec UFC 245 11 7.6 69% $10.59 $1,059.22 $1,139.58
21st Dec UFC Fight Night 165 5 3.2 65% $11.40 $1,139.58 $1,176.34
29th Dec Bellator 237 16 2.6 16% $11.76 $1,176.34 $1,206.96
1st Jan PFL 2019: Week 10 11 1.8 16% $12.07 $1,206.96 $1,228.20
18th Jan UFC 246 22 -5.8 -26% $12.28 $1,228.20 $1,157.43
25th Jan UFC Fight Night 166 11 -11.0 -100% $11.57 $1,157.43 $1,030.12
26th Jan Bellator 238 11 4.0 36% $10.30 $1,030.12 $1,071.32
9th Feb UFC 247 23 -10.2 -44% $10.71 $1,071.32 $962.40
22nd Feb Bellator 240 11 5.8 53% $9.62 $962.40 $1,018.12
22nd Feb UFC Fight Night 168 11 5.5 50% $10.18 $1,018.12 $1,074.12
29th Feb UFC Fight Night 22 4.5 20% $10.74 $1,074.12 $1,121.92
8th Mar UFC 248 22 -8.9 -40% $11.22 $1,121.92 $1,022.01
14th Mar UFC Fight Night 170 14 0.9 6% $10.22 $1,022.01 $1,030.80


ROI % from starting bank balance: 3.08% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Bad Guy: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '20 Renato Moicano Damir Hadzovic 1.35 11 Sub, R1 (0:44) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '20 Rodolfo Vieira Saparbek Safarov 1.19 11 Sub, R1 (2:58) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '20 Grant Dawson Darrick Minner 1.26 11 Sub, R2 (1:38) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '20 Felicia Spencer Zara Fairn Dos Santos 1.15 11 TKO, R1 (3:37) MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '20 Yan Xiaonan Karolina Kowalkiewicz 1.50 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '20 Ricky Bandejas Frans Mlambo 1.53 11 TKO, R2 (1:25) MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '20 Valentina Shevchenko Katlyn Chookagian 1.17 11 TKO, R3 (1:3) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '20 Cristiane Justino Julia Budd 1.36 11 TKO, R4 (1:14) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '20 Carlos Diego Ferreira Anthony Pettis 1.48 11 Sub, R2 (1:46) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '19 Michael Page Shinsho Anzai 1.13 11 TKO, R2 (0:23) MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '19 Lorenz Larkin Keita Nakamura 1.23 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jan '20 Kayla Harrison Larissa Pacheco 1.16 11 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '19 Chan Sung Jung Frankie Edgar 1.65 5 TKO, R1 (3:18) MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '19 Marlon Moraes Jose Aldo 1.69 11 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '19 Tim Means Thiago Alves 1.61 11 Sub, R1 (2:38) MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '19 James Krause Sergio Moraes 1.54 11 TKO, R3 (4:19) MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '19 Magomed Ankalaev Dalcha Lungiambula 1.69 11 TKO, R3 (0:29) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '20 Johnny Walker Nikita Krylov 101.01 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '20 Li Jingliang Neil Magny 1.61 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '20 Ilir Latifi Derrick Lewis 3.45 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '20 Alex Morono Kalinn Williams 1.69 11 TKO, R1 (0:27) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '20 Rafael dos Anjos Michael Chiesa 1.53 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '20 Maycee Barber Roxanne Modafferi 1.19 11 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '19 Terry Brazier Soren Bak 3.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '19 Makwan Amirkhani Shane Burgos 3.20 1 TKO, R3 (4:32) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '19 Gregor Gillespie Kevin Lee 1.65 11 TKO, R1 (2:47) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Bad Guy: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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