MMA Handicapper Stats: Information Asymmetry |
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Information Asymmetry : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
2nd Nov '19 |
UFC 244 |
32.95 |
2.9 |
9% |
6.5 / 6 (109%) |
-3.6 / 26.95 (-13%) |
|
26th Oct '19 |
UFC Fight Night 162 |
34.1 |
-16.9 |
-50% |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
-12.9 / 30.1 (-43%) |
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18th Oct '19 |
UFC ESPN 6 |
30 |
-1.9 |
-6% |
-0.1 / 8 (-1%) |
1.2 / 19 (6%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
12th Oct '19 |
UFC on ESPN+ 19 |
22 |
1.1 |
5% |
-0.4 / 14 (-3%) |
1.5 / 8 (19%) |
|
5th Oct '19 |
UFC 243 |
26 |
-3.6 |
-14% |
-3.6 / 26 (-14%) |
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28th Sep '19 |
UFC Fight Night 160 |
11 |
-1.0 |
-9% |
-1.0 / 11 (-9%) |
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Winning Events: 2 (33%) Losing Events: 4 (67%)
Average Staked Per Event: 26.01 units Most Staked On One Event: 34.10 units Best Event: 2.90 units Worst Event: -16.91 units Average Event: -3.23 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 2.90 Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -18.81 |
Information Asymmetry : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2019 |
156.05 |
-19.4 |
-12% |
-2.5 / 69 (-4%) |
-13.8 / 84.05 (-16%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
2 / 4 (33%) |
-3.23 |
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Information Asymmetry : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Information Asymmetry : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
156.05 |
-19.4 |
-12% |
-2.5 / 69 (-4%) |
-13.8 / 84.05 (-16%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
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Information Asymmetry : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
11 (30%) |
7 |
64 % |
15.00 |
1.16 |
0.11 |
8% |
Slight Favorites |
13 (35%) |
7 |
54 % |
22.00 |
-2.16 |
-0.17 |
-10% |
Slight Underdogs |
11 (30%) |
6 |
55 % |
27.00 |
3.45 |
0.31 |
13% |
Big Underdogs |
2 (5%) |
0 |
0 % |
5.00 |
-5.00 |
-2.50 |
-100% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
3 (8%) |
3 |
100 % |
9.00 |
6.64 |
2.21 |
74% |
Co-Main Event |
2 (5%) |
0 |
0 % |
6.00 |
-6.00 |
-3.00 |
-100% |
Position 3-5 |
10 (27%) |
5 |
50 % |
20.00 |
-0.24 |
-0.02 |
-1% |
6+ (Undercard) |
22 (59%) |
12 |
55 % |
34.00 |
-2.95 |
-0.13 |
-9% |
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Information Asymmetry : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
3 (8%) |
|
0 % |
10.00 |
-10.00 |
-3.33 |
-100% |
Light Heavy |
3 (8%) |
3 |
100 % |
4.00 |
2.81 |
0.94 |
70% |
Middleweight |
6 (16%) |
2 |
33 % |
13.00 |
2.40 |
0.40 |
18% |
Welterweight |
10 (27%) |
7 |
70 % |
15.00 |
5.17 |
0.52 |
34% |
Lightweight |
3 (8%) |
|
0 % |
8.00 |
-8.00 |
-2.67 |
-100% |
Featherweight |
2 (5%) |
|
0 % |
3.00 |
-3.00 |
-1.50 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
4 (11%) |
4 |
100 % |
6.00 |
4.72 |
1.18 |
79% |
Flyweight |
1 (3%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
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Women's Fights |
5 (14%) |
4 |
80 % |
9.00 |
4.35 |
0.87 |
48% |
Featherweight |
1 (3%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-0.78 |
-0.78 |
-78% |
Strawweight |
4 (11%) |
4 |
100 % |
8.00 |
5.13 |
1.28 |
64% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
2 (67%) |
2 |
100 % |
Slight Favorites |
1 (33%) |
0 |
0 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
3 |
2 |
67 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
5 (14%) |
2 |
40 % |
35-50% |
7 (19%) |
3 |
43 % |
<35% chance |
24 (67%) |
6 |
25 % |
|
36 |
11 |
31 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Information Asymmetry 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
28th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 160 |
11 |
-1.0 |
-9% |
$2 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$987.90 |
5th Oct |
UFC 243 |
26 |
-3.6 |
-14% |
|
$9.88 |
$987.90 |
$952.63 |
12th Oct |
UFC on ESPN+ 19 |
22 |
1.1 |
5% |
|
$9.53 |
$952.63 |
$963.02 |
18th Oct |
UFC ESPN 6 |
30 |
-1.9 |
-6% |
|
$9.63 |
$963.02 |
$944.72 |
26th Oct |
UFC Fight Night 162 |
34.1 |
-16.9 |
-50% |
|
$9.45 |
$944.72 |
$784.97 |
2nd Nov |
UFC 244 |
32.95 |
2.9 |
9% |
|
$7.85 |
$784.97 |
$807.75 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -19.22% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Information Asymmetry : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
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Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
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1. |
Nov '19 |
Kevin Lee |
Gregor Gillespie |
2.38 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (2:47) |
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2. |
Nov '19 |
Edmen Shahbazyan |
Brad Tavares |
1.80 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (2:27) |
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3. |
Oct '19 |
Randy Costa |
Boston Salmon |
2.38 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (2:15) |
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4. |
Oct '19 |
Dominick Reyes |
Chris Weidman |
1.57 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (1:43) |
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5. |
Oct '19 |
J.J. Aldrich |
Lauren Mueller |
1.57 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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6. |
Oct '19 |
Alex Morono |
Max Griffin |
2.25 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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7. |
Oct '19 |
Ryan Spann |
Devin Clark |
1.57 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (2:1) |
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8. |
Oct '19 |
Marlon Vera |
Andre Ewell |
1.50 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (3:17) |
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9. |
Oct '19 |
Amanda Ribas |
Mackenzie Dern |
2.10 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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10. |
Oct '19 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
Michelle Waterson |
1.25 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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11. |
Oct '19 |
Ji Yeon Kim |
Nadia Kassem |
1.62 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (4:59) |
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12. |
Oct '19 |
Khalid Taha |
Bruno Silva |
1.40 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (3:0) |
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13. |
Oct '19 |
Dhiego Lima |
Luke Jumeau |
1.53 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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14. |
Oct '19 |
Jake Matthews |
Rostem Akman |
1.36 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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15. |
Oct '19 |
Israel Adesanya |
Robert Whittaker |
2.00 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (3:33) |
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16. |
Sep '19 |
Ismail Naurdiev |
Siyar Bahadurzada |
1.53 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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17. |
Sep '19 |
Nicolas Dalby |
Alex Oliveira |
1.57 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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18. |
Sep '19 |
Jack Shore |
Nohelin Hernandez |
1.53 |
2 |
Sub, R3 (2:51) |
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19. |
Sep '19 |
Gilbert Burns |
Gunnar Nelson |
1.73 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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20. |
Sep '19 |
Ion Cutelaba |
Khalil Rountree |
2.10 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:35) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Information Asymmetry : Progress Chart |
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