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Total MMA Handicappers: 1938
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 777

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Information Asymmetry

Information Asymmetry (Info Asymmetry)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Information  Asymmetry

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 25 (49%) Right 19 (56%) Right 6 (38%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 26 (51%) Wrong 15 (44%) Wrong 10 (63%) Wrong 1 (100%)
Avg Odds 1.56 Avg Odds 1.21 Avg Odds 3.65 Avg Odds 2.51
Units Bet 89.0 Units Bet 59.0 Units Bet 27.0 Units Bet 3.0
Avg Bet 1.75 Avg Bet 1.74 Avg Bet 1.69 Avg Bet 3.00
Units Profit -5.39 Units Profit -5.09 Units Profit 2.70 Units Profit -3.00
ROI % -6% ROI % -9% ROI % 10% ROI % -100%
View Handicapper's Profile

Information Asymmetry : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
18th Oct '19 UFC ESPN 6 30 -1.9 -6% -0.1 / 8 (-1%) 1.2 / 19 (6%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
12th Oct '19 UFC on ESPN+ 19 22 1.1 5% -0.4 / 14 (-3%) 1.5 / 8 (19%)
5th Oct '19 UFC 243 26 -3.6 -14% -3.6 / 26 (-14%)
28th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 160 11 -1.0 -9% -1.0 / 11 (-9%)


Winning Events: 1 (25%)
Losing Events: 3 (75%)

Average Staked Per Event: 22.25 units
Most Staked On One Event: 30.00 units
Best Event: 1.09 units
Worst Event: -3.57 units
Average Event: -1.35 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 1.09
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -4.58

Information Asymmetry : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 89 -5.4 -6% -5.1 / 59 (-9%) 2.7 / 27 (10%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 1 / 3 (25%) -1.35

Information Asymmetry : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Information Asymmetry : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 89 -5.4 -6% -5.1 / 59 (-9%) 2.7 / 27 (10%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)

Information Asymmetry : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 11 (32%) 7 64 % 15.00 1.16 0.11 8%
Slight Favorites 12 (35%) 6 50 % 19.00 -4.56 -0.38 -24%
Slight Underdogs 10 (29%) 5 50 % 24.00 -0.69 -0.07 -3%
Big Underdogs 1 (3%) 0 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 3 (9%) 3 100 % 9.00 6.64 2.21 74%
Co-Main Event 2 (6%) 0 0 % 6.00 -6.00 -3.00 -100%
Position 3-5 9 (26%) 4 44 % 17.00 -4.38 -0.49 -26%
6+ (Undercard) 20 (59%) 11 55 % 27.00 -1.35 -0.07 -5%

Information Asymmetry : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (6%) 0 % 6.00 -6.00 -3.00 -100%
Light Heavy 3 (9%) 3 100 % 4.00 2.81 0.94 70%
Middleweight 5 (15%) 1 20 % 10.00 0.00 0.00 0%
Welterweight 9 (26%) 6 67 % 12.00 1.03 0.11 9%
Lightweight 3 (9%) 0 % 8.00 -8.00 -2.67 -100%
Featherweight 2 (6%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -1.50 -100%
Bantamweight 4 (12%) 4 100 % 6.00 4.72 1.18 79%
Flyweight 1 (3%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 5 (15%) 4 80 % 9.00 4.35 0.87 48%
Featherweight 1 (3%) 0 % 1.00 -0.78 -0.78 -78%
Strawweight 4 (12%) 4 100 % 8.00 5.13 1.28 64%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 2 (67%) 2 100 %
Slight Favorites 1 (33%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
3 2 67 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
35-50% 4 (25%) 2 50 %
<35% chance 12 (75%) 4 33 %
16 6 38 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins by KO 4 (25%) 2 50 % 3.48 7.50Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was correct 1.0 (25%)
X Wins by Sub 4 (25%) 0 0 % 4.68 10.00Pick was incorrect 2.63Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 8 (50%) 4 50 % 3.36 4.50Pick was incorrect 2.50Pick was correct 5.1 (64%)
16 6 38 % 3.65     2.1 (13%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Information Asymmetry 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
28th Sep UFC Fight Night 160 11 -1.0 -9% $1 $10.00 $1,000.00 $988.90
5th Oct UFC 243 26 -3.6 -14% $9.89 $988.90 $953.60
12th Oct UFC on ESPN+ 19 22 1.1 5% $9.54 $953.60 $963.99
18th Oct UFC ESPN 6 30 -1.9 -6% $9.64 $963.99 $945.68


ROI % from starting bank balance: -5.43% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Information Asymmetry : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Oct '19 Randy Costa Boston Salmon 2.38 2 TKO, R1 (2:15) MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '19 Dominick Reyes Chris Weidman 1.57 2 TKO, R1 (1:43) MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '19 J.J. Aldrich Lauren Mueller 1.57 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '19 Alex Morono Max Griffin 2.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '19 Ryan Spann Devin Clark 1.57 1 Sub, R2 (2:1) MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '19 Marlon Vera Andre Ewell 1.50 1 TKO, R3 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '19 Amanda Ribas Mackenzie Dern 2.10 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '19 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Michelle Waterson 1.25 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '19 Ji Yeon Kim Nadia Kassem 1.62 3 TKO, R2 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '19 Khalid Taha Bruno Silva 1.40 1 Sub, R3 (3:0) MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '19 Dhiego Lima Luke Jumeau 1.53 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '19 Jake Matthews Rostem Akman 1.36 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '19 Israel Adesanya Robert Whittaker 2.00 5 TKO, R2 (3:33) MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '19 Ismail Naurdiev Siyar Bahadurzada 1.53 1 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '19 Nicolas Dalby Alex Oliveira 1.57 1 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '19 Paid Pick Jack Shore Nohelin Hernandez 1.53 2 Sub, R3 (2:51) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '19 Paid Pick Gilbert Burns Gunnar Nelson 1.73 1 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '19 Ion Cutelaba Khalil Rountree 2.10 1 TKO, R1 (2:35) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Oct '19 Deron Winn Darren Stewart 1.91 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '19 Jonathan Pearce Joe Lauzon 1.80 2 TKO, R1 (1:33) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '19 Gerald Meerschaert Eryk Anders 2.37 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '19 Tim Elliott Deiveson Figueiredo 2.60 1 Sub, R1 (3:8) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '19 Andrew Sanchez Marvin Vettori 3.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '19 James Vick Niko Price 2.20 1 TKO, R1 (1:44) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '19 Luis Pena Matt Frevola 1.57 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '19 Kron Gracie Cub Swanson 1.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '19 Megan Anderson Zara Fairn Dos Santos 0.22 1 Sub, R1 (3:57) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '19 Maki Pitolo Callan Potter 0.40 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '19 Justin Tafa Yorgan De Castro 2.00 5 TKO, R1 (2:10) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '19 Tai Tuivasa Sergey Spivak 0.30 1 Sub, R2 (3:14) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '19 Al Iaquinta Daniel Hooker 2.10 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '19 Alex Oliveira Nicolas Dalby 1.57 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '19 Alen Amedovski John Phillips 1.80 1 TKO, R1 (0:14) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '19 Paid Pick Brandon Davis Giga Chikadze 1.67 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Information Asymmetry : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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