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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1834
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 765

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: MMA Model

MMA Model (MMAModel)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - MMA Model

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 19 (43%) Right 16 (46%) Right 1 (33%) Right 2 (33%)
Wrong 25 (57%) Wrong 19 (54%) Wrong 2 (67%) Wrong 4 (67%)
Avg Odds 2.02 Avg Odds 1.87 Avg Odds 4.74 Avg Odds 2.56
Units Bet 129.1 Units Bet 110.6 Units Bet 3.0 Units Bet 15.5
Avg Bet 2.93 Avg Bet 3.16 Avg Bet 1.00 Avg Bet 2.58
Units Profit -9.84 Units Profit -13.67 Units Profit 2.00 Units Profit 1.84
ROI % -8% ROI % -12% ROI % 67% ROI % 12%
View Handicapper's Profile

MMA Model: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 26.6 -4.1 -15% -7.1 / 18.6 (-38%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 4.0 / 7 (57%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 14.7 1.4 10% -0.9 / 10.7 (-8%) 2.3 / 4 (59%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 19.2 -0.7 -4% -0.7 / 19.2 (-4%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 19 -3.2 -17% -3.2 / 19 (-17%)
24th Jul '19 DWCS 21 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 28.9 -4.5 -16% -7.5 / 26.9 (-28%) 3.0 / 2 (150%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 9.65 7.5 78% 7.5 / 9.65 (78%)
10th Jul '19 DWTNCS 19 2.5 2.2 88% 2.2 / 2.5 (88%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)


Winning Events: 3 (33%)
Losing Events: 6 (67%)

Average Staked Per Event: 13.84 units
Most Staked On One Event: 28.90 units
Best Event: 7.55 units
Worst Event: -4.50 units
Average Event: -0.59 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 9.75
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -10.41

MMA Model: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 124.55 -5.3 -4% -13.7 / 110.55 (-12%) 2.0 / 3 (67%) 6.3 / 11 (58%) 3 / 6 (33%) -0.59

MMA Model: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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MMA Model: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 120.05 -5.5 -5% -13.9 / 106.05 (-13%) 2.0 / 3 (67%) 6.3 / 11 (58%)
Other 4.5 0.2 4% 0.2 / 4.5 (4%)

MMA Model: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 5 (14%) 4 80 % 20.50 3.91 0.78 19%
Slight Favorites 18 (51%) 7 39 % 61.55 -16.43 -0.91 -27%
Slight Underdogs 9 (26%) 5 56 % 23.50 3.85 0.43 16%
Big Underdogs 3 (9%) 0 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -1.67 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 6 (17%) 4 67 % 18.40 3.75 0.62 20%
Co-Main Event 5 (14%) 3 60 % 13.10 0.41 0.08 3%
Position 3-5 8 (23%) 4 50 % 29.00 -0.04 -0.01 -0%
6+ (Undercard) 16 (46%) 5 31 % 50.05 -17.79 -1.11 -36%

MMA Model: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (9%) 1 33 % 11.00 -4.50 -1.50 -41%
Light Heavy 3 (9%) 2 67 % 6.75 -0.67 -0.22 -10%
Middleweight 3 (9%) 2 67 % 10.50 3.03 1.01 29%
Welterweight 6 (17%) 5 83 % 18.40 8.72 1.45 47%
Lightweight 5 (14%) 1 20 % 20.10 -8.10 -1.62 -40%
Featherweight 5 (14%) 1 20 % 14.50 -4.50 -0.90 -31%
Bantamweight 3 (9%) 1 33 % 7.85 -1.85 -0.62 -24%
Flyweight 3 (9%) 1 33 % 11.45 -5.00 -1.67 -44%
               
Women's Fights 4 (11%) 2 50 % 10.00 -0.80 -0.20 -8%
Bantamweight 2 (6%) 1 50 % 8.00 -0.80 -0.40 -10%
Bantamweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 1.00 1.00 1.00 100%
Strawweight 1 (3%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 6 (60%) 6 100 %
Slight Favorites 2 (20%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (20%) 1 50 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
10 7 70 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 4 (100%) 1 25 %
4 1 25 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins by KO 2 (50%) 0 0 % 6.00 6.00Pick was incorrect 6.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (25%) 0 0 % 3.75 3.75Pick was incorrect 3.75Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (25%) 1 100 % 5.00 5.00Pick was correct 5.00Pick was correct 4.0 (400%)
4 1 25 % 5.00     1.0 (25%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail MMA Model's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
6th Jul UFC 239 2 -2.0 -100% $2 $10.00 $1,000.00 $978.00
10th Jul DWTNCS 19 2.5 2.2 88% $9.78 $978.00 $999.47
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 9.65 7.5 78% $9.99 $999.47 $1,074.93
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 28.9 -4.5 -16% $2 $10.75 $1,074.93 $1,024.56
24th Jul DWCS 21 2 -2.0 -100% $2 $10.25 $1,024.56 $1,002.07
27th Jul UFC 240 19 -3.2 -17% $2 $10.02 $1,002.07 $968.40
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 19.2 -0.7 -4% $9.68 $968.40 $961.14
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 14.7 1.4 10% $2 $9.61 $961.14 $972.99
17th Aug UFC 241 26.6 -4.1 -15% $2 $9.73 $972.99 $930.98


ROI % from starting bank balance: -6.90% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

MMA Model: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Aug '19 Cory Sandhagen Raphael Assuncao 1.50 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '19 Paulo Costa Yoel Romero 2.20 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '19 Veronica Macedo Polyana Viana 2.00 1 Sub, R1 (1:9) MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '19 Vicente Luque Mike Perry 1.45 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '19 Volkan Oezdemir Ilir Latifi 1.71 2 TKO, R2 (4:31) MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '19 Scott Holtzman Dong Hyun Ma 1.33 9 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '19 Matt Schnell Jordan Espinosa 1.87 3.45 Sub, R1 (1:23) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '19 Paid Pick Erik Koch Kyle Stewart 1.95 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '19 Krzysztof Jotko Marc-Andre Barriault 1.61 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '19 Walt Harris Aleksei Oleinik 1.63 4 TKO, R1 (0:12) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '19 Leon Edwards Rafael dos Anjos 1.87 3.45 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '19 Leon Edwards Rafael dos Anjos 1.87 3.45 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '19 Germaine de Randamie Aspen Ladd 2.40 3 TKO, R1 (0:16) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '19 Antonio Trocoli Kenneth Bergh 2.65 1 Sub, R1 (3:57) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '19 Joe Solecki Jesse Wallace 1.36 1.5 Sub, R1 (3:49) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '19 Andre Fili Sheymon da Silva Moraes 2.00 5 TKO, R1 (3:7) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Aug '19 Anthony Pettis Nate Diaz 1.71 2.1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '19 Geraldo De Freitas Jr. Chris Gutierrez 1.69 2.2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '19 Paid Pick Ian Heinisch Derek Brunson 1.54 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '19 Paid Pick Daniel Cormier Stipe Miocic 1.69 4 TKO, R4 (4:9) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '19 Humberto Bandenay Luiz Garagorri 1.95 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '19 Bobby Moffett Enrique Barzola 2.00 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '19 Darko Stosic Kennedy Nzechukwu 1.80 3.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '19 Robbie Lawler Colby Covington 2.95 3 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '19 Paid Pick Seung Woo Choi Gavin Tucker 1.91 6 Sub, R3 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '19 Alexandre Pantoja Deiveson Figueiredo 1.80 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '19 Paid Pick Christian Lohsen J.J. Okanovich 2.05 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '19 Irene Aldana Raquel Pennington 1.69 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '19 Ben Rothwell Andrei Arlovski 1.53 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '19 Paid Pick Roxanne Modafferi Jennifer Maia 2.05 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '19 Paid Pick Francisco Trinaldo Alexander Hernandez 2.50 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '19 Randa Markos Claudia Gadelha 2.90 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '19 Paid Pick Gilbert Melendez Arnold Allen 4.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '19 Pingyuan Liu Jonathan Martinez 1.61 1.65 TKO, R3 (3:54) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '19 Anthony Pettis Nate Diaz 1.95 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

MMA Model: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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