Bet MMA - MMA Betting Picks

Username
Password
 

UFC Online Game

MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 3315
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 1259

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: The Fight Analyst

The Fight Analyst (TheFightAnalyst)


MMA MHandicapper - The  Fight Analyst

Click Here to Follow this MMA Handicapper

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 138 (55%) Right 91 (61%) Right 23 (46%) Right 24 (46%)
Wrong 114 (45%) Wrong 59 (39%) Wrong 27 (54%) Wrong 28 (54%)
Avg Odds 1.97 Avg Odds 1.80 Avg Odds 1.97 Avg Odds 2.68
Units Bet 539.4 Units Bet 415.1 Units Bet 52.2 Units Bet 72.2
Avg Bet 2.14 Avg Bet 2.77 Avg Bet 1.04 Avg Bet 1.39
Units Profit 100.86 Units Profit 72.77 Units Profit -1.37 Units Profit 29.45
ROI % 19% ROI % 18% ROI % -3% ROI % 41%
View Handicapper's Profile

The Fight Analyst: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
17th Apr '21 UFC FN 5.7 4.1 72% 1.0 / 1.7 (59%) 1.0 / 1.5 (67%) 2.1 / 2.5 (85%)
16th Apr '21 Bellator 257 4.1 2.3 56% 2.3 / 4.1 (56%)
15th Apr '21 One on TNT 2 16 24.3 152% 3.5 / 11 (32%) 20.7 / 5 (415%)
28th Mar '21 UFC 260 13.85 4.0 29% 3.3 / 5.5 (60%) -0.5 / 7.35 (-6%) 1.1 / 1 (112%)
21st Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 188 12.5 8.0 64% 2.3 / 8 (29%) 2.7 / 2 (135%) 2.9 / 2.5 (118%)
13th Mar '21 UFC Fight Night 187 11.3 -5.8 -52% -6.0 / 6 (-100%) 0.2 / 5.3 (3%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 12.3 -4.3 -35% -0.9 / 6.3 (-14%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.4 / 4 (-35%)
26th Aug '20 DWCS 30 5 2.9 59% 2.9 / 5 (59%)
19th Aug '20 DWCS 29 9.5 -0.9 -9% -1.9 / 7 (-27%) 1.0 / 2.5 (41%)
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 13.25 4.6 34% 0.3 / 10.25 (3%) 4.3 / 3 (143%)
8th Aug '20 Bellator 243 8 4.1 51% 3.0 / 7 (43%) 1.1 / 1 (106%)
5th Aug '20 DWCS 27 4.5 0.5 10% 0.5 / 4.5 (10%)
1st Aug '20 UFC Vegas 5 9 1.6 18% 3.6 / 7 (52%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 15.6 8.3 53% 6.6 / 12.5 (53%) 0.2 / 1.6 (11%) 1.5 / 1.5 (101%)
25th Jul '20 Bellator 242 8 -2.2 -27% -1.2 / 7 (-17%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 2 14.5 0.5 3% 1.5 / 13.5 (11%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 1 18 4.9 27% 6.4 / 12.5 (51%) -1.8 / 3.5 (-52%) 0.3 / 2 (14%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 13 4.4 34% 4.4 / 13 (34%)
2nd Jul '20 Invicta 40 5.5 -5.5 -100% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
20th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 174 7 -0.5 -7% -0.5 / 7 (-7%)
14th May '20 UFC Fight Night 170 16 -1.3 -8% -1.6 / 10.1 (-16%) 1.8 / 4.4 (41%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
10th May '20 UFC 249 13.25 5.2 39% 5.0 / 6.9 (72%) 0.4 / 3.75 (11%) -0.2 / 2.6 (-7%)
15th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 167 19.15 -5.4 -28% -5.4 / 13.5 (-40%) 0.0 / 2.65 (0%) -0.0 / 3 (-0%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 15.9 -5.7 -36% -1.6 / 3.8 (-43%) 1.9 / 6.1 (31%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
26th Jan '20 Bellator 238 3.56 2.2 61% 1.2 / 2.5 (47%) 1.0 / 1.06 (94%)
25th Jan '20 UFC Fight Night 166 21 -4.2 -20% -2.5 / 9.5 (-26%) 1.0 / 1.5 (67%) -2.7 / 10 (-27%)
19th Jun '19 DWTNCS 17 5 0.6 11% 2.1 / 3.5 (59%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 22.5 2.0 9% 2.0 / 22.5 (9%)
23rd May '19 PFL 2019: Week 2 6.75 -1.7 -26% -1.7 / 6.75 (-26%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 12.5 7.4 59% 7.4 / 12.5 (59%)
11th May '19 Bellator 221 8 -2.7 -33% -2.7 / 8 (-33%)
10th May '19 LFA 66 7 2.7 39% 2.7 / 7 (39%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 25.7 17.0 66% 19.0 / 23.7 (80%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 17 2.7 16% 2.7 / 17 (16%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 14.5 0.4 3% 0.3 / 11.5 (2%) 0.2 / 3 (6%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 22.5 -2.9 -13% -0.7 / 16.5 (-4%) -1.5 / 2.5 (-62%) -0.6 / 3.5 (-18%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 35 16.7 48% 11.9 / 28 (42%) -0.3 / 2 (-17%) 5.2 / 5 (103%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 15.5 0.4 3% 0.3 / 12.5 (2%) 0.1 / 3 (4%)
23rd Mar '19 KSW 47 7.5 -0.9 -12% -0.9 / 7.5 (-12%)
22nd Mar '19 Bellator 218 4 1.3 33% 1.3 / 4 (33%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 20.5 9.0 44% 6.5 / 18 (36%) 2.5 / 2.5 (102%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 20 2.5 13% 1.6 / 15.5 (10%) -0.4 / 2 (-19%) 1.3 / 2.5 (51%)


Winning Events: 28 (67%)
Losing Events: 14 (33%)

Average Staked Per Event: 12.84 units
Most Staked On One Event: 35.00 units
Best Event: 24.29 units
Worst Event: -5.82 units
Average Event: 2.40 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 42.71
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -11.18

The Fight Analyst: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 75.75 32.6 43% 5.6 / 42.6 (13%) 1.4 / 18.15 (8%) 25.5 / 15 (170%) 5 / 2 (71%) 4.66
2020 219.71 13.5 6% 15.3 / 158.05 (10%) 1.5 / 25.5 (6%) -3.2 / 36.16 (-9%) 11 / 8 (58%) 0.71
2019 243.95 54.8 22% 51.9 / 214.45 (24%) -4.3 / 8.5 (-50%) 7.1 / 21 (34%) 12 / 4 (75%) 3.42

The Fight Analyst: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

To view these stats, you need to be a VIP

The Fight Analyst: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 437 73.8 17% 67.0 / 324.75 (21%) -1.4 / 52.15 (-3%) 8.1 / 60.1 (14%)
Bellator 35.66 5.1 14% 4.0 / 32.6 (12%) 1.1 / 3.06 (35%)
PFL 6.75 -1.7 -26% -1.7 / 6.75 (-26%)
Other 60 23.7 40% 3.4 / 51 (7%) 20.3 / 9 (225%)

The Fight Analyst: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 43 (28%) 38 88 % 179.90 48.65 1.13 27%
Slight Favorites 64 (42%) 39 61 % 165.50 18.82 0.29 11%
Slight Underdogs 34 (22%) 14 41 % 62.70 9.02 0.27 14%
Big Underdogs 11 (7%) 2 18 % 7.00 -3.72 -0.34 -53%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 25 (16%) 15 60 % 80.30 7.50 0.30 9%
Co-Main Event 17 (11%) 11 65 % 42.75 7.02 0.41 16%
Position 3-5 42 (28%) 26 62 % 118.95 25.33 0.60 21%
6+ (Undercard) 68 (45%) 41 60 % 173.10 32.92 0.48 19%

The Fight Analyst: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 14 (9%) 8 57 % 36.80 1.73 0.12 5%
Light Heavy 11 (7%) 7 64 % 24.10 0.91 0.08 4%
Middleweight 12 (8%) 4 33 % 21.95 -3.98 -0.33 -18%
Welterweight 19 (13%) 13 68 % 52.85 15.50 0.82 29%
Lightweight 21 (14%) 15 71 % 65.40 19.55 0.93 30%
Featherweight 28 (18%) 20 71 % 81.10 24.93 0.89 31%
Bantamweight 21 (14%) 14 67 % 64.45 8.30 0.40 13%
Flyweight 11 (7%) 5 45 % 25.95 -0.19 -0.02 -1%
               
Women's Fights 15 (10%) 7 47 % 42.50 6.00 0.40 14%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%
Bantamweight 3 (2%) 2 67 % 8.00 3.52 1.17 44%
Flyweight 5 (3%) 3 60 % 10.00 3.65 0.73 36%
Strawweight 6 (4%) 2 33 % 24.00 -0.67 -0.11 -3%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 64 (67%) 56 88 %
Slight Favorites 21 (22%) 16 76 %
Slight Underdogs 9 (9%) 3 33 %
Big Underdogs 1 (1%) 1 100 %
95 76 80 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 20 (23%) 15 75 %
50-65% 34 (40%) 19 56 %
35-50% 23 (27%) 8 35 %
<35% chance 9 (10%) 3 33 %
86 45 52 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 41 (48%) 27 66 % 1.49 2.00Pick was incorrect 1.19Pick was correct -0.0 (-0%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 11 (13%) 4 36 % 1.84 2.45Pick was correct 1.60Pick was incorrect -3.4 (-30%)
X Wins by KO 6 (7%) 2 33 % 2.55 4.64Pick was incorrect 1.87Pick was correct -1.0 (-17%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (2%) 1 50 % 3.00 7.00Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was correct -0.1 (-5%)
X Wins by Decision 25 (29%) 10 40 % 2.33 4.35Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was incorrect -1.6 (-7%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (1%) 1 100 % 2.25 2.25Pick was correct 2.25Pick was correct 1.3 (125%)
86 45 52 % 1.80     -4.9 (-6%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Fight Analyst's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 20 2.5 13% $25 $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,000.26
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 20.5 9.0 44% $25 $10.00 $1,000.26 $1,065.54
22nd Mar Bellator 218 4 1.3 33% $25 $10.66 $1,065.54 $1,054.74
23rd Mar KSW 47 7.5 -0.9 -12% $25 $10.55 $1,054.74 $1,020.43
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 15.5 0.4 3% $25 $10.20 $1,020.43 $999.70
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 35 16.7 48% $25 $10.00 $999.70 $1,141.62
13th Apr UFC 236 22.5 -2.9 -13% $25 $11.42 $1,141.62 $1,083.90
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 14.5 0.4 3% $25 $10.84 $1,083.90 $1,063.72
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 17 2.7 16% $25 $10.64 $1,063.72 $1,067.48
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 25.7 17.0 66% $25 $10.67 $1,067.48 $1,224.08
10th May LFA 66 7 2.7 39% $25 $12.24 $1,224.08 $1,232.44
11th May Bellator 221 8 -2.7 -33% $25 $12.32 $1,232.44 $1,174.68
11th May UFC 237 12.5 7.4 59% $25 $11.75 $1,174.68 $1,236.86
23rd May PFL 2019: Week 2 6.75 -1.7 -26% $25 $12.37 $1,236.86 $1,190.49
8th Jun UFC 238 22.5 2.0 9% $25 $11.90 $1,190.49 $1,189.77
19th Jun DWTNCS 17 5 0.6 11% $25 $11.90 $1,189.77 $1,171.42
25th Jan UFC Fight Night 166 21 -4.2 -20% $25 $11.71 $1,171.42 $1,097.12
26th Jan Bellator 238 3.56 2.2 61% $25 $10.97 $1,097.12 $1,095.87
9th Feb UFC 247 15.9 -5.7 -36% $25 $10.96 $1,095.87 $1,007.86
15th Feb UFC Fight Night 167 19.15 -5.4 -28% $25 $10.08 $1,007.86 $928.12
10th May UFC 249 13.25 5.2 39% $25 $9.28 $928.12 $951.47
14th May UFC Fight Night 170 16 -1.3 -8% $25 $9.51 $951.47 $914.42
20th Jun UFC Fight Night 174 7 -0.5 -7% $25 $9.14 $914.42 $885.24
2nd Jul Invicta 40 5.5 -5.5 -100% $25 $8.85 $885.24 $811.56
11th Jul UFC 251 13 4.4 34% $25 $8.12 $811.56 $822.50
15th Jul UFC Fight Island 1 18 4.9 27% $25 $8.22 $822.50 $837.89
18th Jul UFC Fight Island 2 14.5 0.5 3% $25 $8.38 $837.89 $817.08
25th Jul Bellator 242 8 -2.2 -27% $25 $8.17 $817.08 $774.37
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 15.6 8.3 53% $25 $7.74 $774.37 $813.47
1st Aug UFC Vegas 5 9 1.6 18% $25 $8.13 $813.47 $801.61
5th Aug DWCS 27 4.5 0.5 10% $25 $8.02 $801.61 $780.28
8th Aug Bellator 243 8 4.1 51% $25 $7.80 $780.28 $787.29
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 13.25 4.6 34% $25 $7.87 $787.29 $798.19
19th Aug DWCS 29 9.5 -0.9 -9% $25 $7.98 $798.19 $766.05
26th Aug DWCS 30 5 2.9 59% $25 $7.66 $766.05 $763.59
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 12.3 -4.3 -35% $25 $7.64 $763.59 $705.73
13th Mar UFC Fight Night 187 11.3 -5.8 -52% $25 $7.06 $705.73 $639.65
21st Mar UFC Fight Night 188 12.5 8.0 64% $25 $6.40 $639.65 $665.70
28th Mar UFC 260 13.85 4.0 29% $25 $6.66 $665.70 $667.28
15th Apr One on TNT 2 16 24.3 152% $25 $6.67 $667.28 $804.38
16th Apr Bellator 257 4.1 2.3 56% $25 $8.04 $804.38 $798.01
17th Apr UFC FN 5.7 4.1 72% $25 $7.98 $798.01 $805.98


ROI % from starting bank balance: -19.40% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Fight Analyst: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '21 Paid Pick Christian Lee Timofey Nastyukhin 1.32 11 TKO, R1 (1:13) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '21 Paid Pick Austin Hubbard Dakota Bush 1.59 1.7 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '21 Paid Pick Corey Anderson Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov 1.63 1.6 TKO, R3 (2:15) MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '21 Paid Pick Vadim Nemkov Phil Davis 1.53 2.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '21 Paid Pick Omar Morales Shane Young 1.53 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '21 Paid Pick Francis Ngannou Stipe Miocic 1.74 2 TKO, R2 (0:52) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '21 Paid Pick Adrian Yanez Gustavo Lopez 1.48 3.5 TKO, R3 (0:27) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '21 Paid Pick Macy Chiasson Marion Reneau 1.48 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '21 Paid Pick Manon Fiorot Victoria Leonardo 1.54 3.5 TKO, R2 (4:8) MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '20 Paid Pick Collin Huckbody Kyron Bowen 1.59 5 Sub, R1 (1:28) MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '20 Paid Pick Josh Parisian Chad Johnson 1.45 3.5 TKO, R1 (3:43) MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '20 Paid Pick Nasrat Haqparast Alex Munoz 1.43 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '20 Paid Pick Beneil Dariush Scott Holtzman 1.57 3.5 TKO, R1 (4:38) MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '20 Paid Pick Myles Jury Georgi Karakhanyan 1.43 3.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '20 Paid Pick Michael Chandler Benson Henderson 1.43 3.5 TKO, R1 (2:9) MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '20 Paid Pick Jerome Rivera Luis Rodriguez 1.42 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '20 Paid Pick Jonathan Martinez Frankie Saenz 1.44 3.5 TKO, R3 (0:57) MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '20 Paid Pick Vicente Luque Randy Brown 1.59 3.5 TKO, R2 (4:56) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '20 Paid Pick Tom Aspinall Jake Collier 1.44 1.5 TKO, R1 (0:45) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '20 Paid Pick Tom Aspinall Jake Collier 1.50 3.5 TKO, R1 (0:45) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '21 Paid Pick Kenan Song Max Griffin 2.75 1 TKO, R1 (2:20) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '21 Paid Pick Jason Witt Matt Semelsberger 2.05 2 TKO, R1 (0:16) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '21 Paid Pick Gloria de Paula Jinh Yu Frey 1.56 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '21 Paid Pick Manel Kape Matheus Nicolau 1.89 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '21 Paid Pick Neil Magny Michael Chiesa 1.71 2.8 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '20 Paid Pick Matt Dixon Orion Cosce 1.34 3.5 TKO, R3 (4:42) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '20 Paid Pick Joaquin Buckley Kevin Holland 4.60 0.25 TKO, R3 (0:32) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '20 Paid Pick Justin Jaynes Gavin Tucker 2.00 1 Sub, R3 (1:43) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '20 Paid Pick Maki Pitolo Darren Stewart 2.30 1 Sub, R1 (3:41) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '20 Paid Pick Aleksei Oleinik Derrick Lewis 2.85 1 TKO, R2 (0:21) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '20 Paid Pick Jose Flores Jordan Leavitt 2.80 1 Sub, R1 (4:15) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '20 Paid Pick Tywan Claxton J.J. Wilson 1.40 3.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '20 Paid Pick Alexandre Pantoja Askar Askarov 1.50 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '20 Paid Pick Joseph Benavidez Deiveson Figueiredo 2.78 2 Sub, R1 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '20 Paid Pick Andreas Michailidis Modestas Bukauskas 2.90 1 TKO, R1 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '20 Paid Pick Volkan Oezdemir Jiri Prochazka 1.69 1 TKO, R2 (0:49) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '20 Paid Pick Shelby Koren Genia Goodin 2.00 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '20 Paid Pick Lindsey VanZandt Alesha Zappitella 2.30 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jun '20 Paid Pick Shane Burgos Josh Emmett 1.77 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. May '20 Paid Pick Hunter Azure Brian Kelleher 1.59 3.5 TKO, R2 (3:40) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Fight Analyst: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
© Bet MMA
Powered by MMA Tycoon
Site Map
Homepage
Free UFC Betting Tips
MMA Betting Blog
Betting Favorites vs Underdogs
In Depth UFC Fight Stats
List of MMA Bookmakers
Best MMA Tipsters
Next UFC Event
MMA Betting Tips