MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 2195
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 886

MMA Handicapper Stats: The Fight Analyst

The Fight Analyst (TheFightAnalyst)

MMA MHandicapper - The Fight Analyst

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	72 (54%)	Right	52 (58%)	Right	8 (44%)	Right	12 (46%)
Wrong	62 (46%)	Wrong	38 (42%)	Wrong	10 (56%)	Wrong	14 (54%)
Avg Odds	1.97	Avg Odds	1.87	Avg Odds	1.86	Avg Odds	2.51
Units Bet	303.6	Units Bet	243.8	Units Bet	18.8	Units Bet	41.1
Avg Bet	2.27	Avg Bet	2.71	Avg Bet	1.04	Avg Bet	1.58
Units Profit	41.55	Units Profit	43.48	Units Profit	-1.35	Units Profit	-0.58
ROI %	14%	ROI %	18%	ROI %	-7%	ROI %	-1%

The Fight Analyst: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
15th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night 167	19.15	-5.4	-28%	-5.4 / 13.5 (-40%)	0.0 / 2.65 (0%)	-0.0 / 3 (-0%)
9th Feb '20	UFC 247	15.9	-5.7	-36%	-1.6 / 3.8 (-43%)	1.9 / 6.1 (31%)	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
26th Jan '20	Bellator 238	3.56	2.2	61%	1.2 / 2.5 (47%)		1.0 / 1.06 (94%)
25th Jan '20	UFC Fight Night 166	21	-4.2	-20%	-2.5 / 9.5 (-26%)	1.0 / 1.5 (67%)	-2.7 / 10 (-27%)
19th Jun '19	DWTNCS 17	5	0.6	11%	2.1 / 3.5 (59%)		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
8th Jun '19	UFC 238	22.5	2.0	9%	2.0 / 22.5 (9%)
23rd May '19	PFL 2019: Week 2	6.75	-1.7	-26%	-1.7 / 6.75 (-26%)
11th May '19	UFC 237	12.5	7.4	59%	7.4 / 12.5 (59%)
11th May '19	Bellator 221	8	-2.7	-33%	-2.7 / 8 (-33%)
10th May '19	LFA 66	7	2.7	39%	2.7 / 7 (39%)
4th May '19	UFC Fight Night 150	25.7	17.0	66%	19.0 / 23.7 (80%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
27th Apr '19	UFC on ESPN 3	17	2.7	16%	2.7 / 17 (16%)
20th Apr '19	UFC Fight Night 149	14.5	0.4	3%	0.3 / 11.5 (2%)		0.2 / 3 (6%)
13th Apr '19	UFC 236	22.5	-2.9	-13%	-0.7 / 16.5 (-4%)	-1.5 / 2.5 (-62%)	-0.6 / 3.5 (-18%)
30th Mar '19	UFC on ESPN 2	35	16.7	48%	11.9 / 28 (42%)	-0.3 / 2 (-17%)	5.2 / 5 (103%)
23rd Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 148	15.5	0.4	3%	0.3 / 12.5 (2%)		0.1 / 3 (4%)
23rd Mar '19	KSW 47	7.5	-0.9	-12%	-0.9 / 7.5 (-12%)
22nd Mar '19	Bellator 218	4	1.3	33%	1.3 / 4 (33%)
16th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 147	20.5	9.0	44%	6.5 / 18 (36%)		2.5 / 2.5 (102%)
9th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 146	20	2.5	13%	1.6 / 15.5 (10%)	-0.4 / 2 (-19%)	1.3 / 2.5 (51%)

Winning Events: 13 (65%)
Losing Events: 7 (35%)

Average Staked Per Event: 15.18 units
Most Staked On One Event: 35.00 units
Best Event: 17.01 units
Worst Event: -5.75 units
Average Event: 2.08 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 22.89
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -11.18

The Fight Analyst: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	59.61	-13.2	-22%	-8.4 / 29.3 (-29%)	2.9 / 10.25 (28%)	-7.7 / 20.06 (-38%)	1 / 3 (25%)	-3.31
2019	243.95	54.8	22%	51.9 / 214.45 (24%)	-4.3 / 8.5 (-50%)	7.1 / 21 (34%)	12 / 4 (75%)	3.42

The Fight Analyst: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The Fight Analyst: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	261.75	40.0	15%	41.5 / 204.5 (20%)	-1.4 / 18.75 (-7%)	-0.1 / 38.5 (-0%)
Bellator	15.56	0.8	5%	-0.2 / 14.5 (-1%)		1.0 / 1.06 (94%)
PFL	6.75	-1.7	-26%	-1.7 / 6.75 (-26%)
Other	19.5	2.4	12%	3.9 / 18 (22%)		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)

The Fight Analyst: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	19 (21%)	17	89 %	91.00	25.19	1.33	28%
Slight Favorites	41 (46%)	23	56 %	105.80	6.34	0.15	6%
Slight Underdogs	21 (23%)	10	48 %	41.20	14.42	0.69	35%
Big Underdogs	9 (10%)	2	22 %	5.75	-2.47	-0.27	-43%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	13 (14%)	6	46 %	38.50	-4.57	-0.35	-12%
Co-Main Event	10 (11%)	7	70 %	26.25	5.01	0.50	19%
Position 3-5	23 (26%)	15	65 %	60.55	25.61	1.11	42%
6+ (Undercard)	44 (49%)	24	55 %	118.45	17.43	0.40	15%

The Fight Analyst: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	8 (9%)	4	50 %	23.50	-1.45	-0.18	-6%
Light Heavy	5 (6%)	3	60 %	13.00	-1.80	-0.36	-14%
Middleweight	8 (9%)	2	25 %	15.20	-7.83	-0.98	-52%
Welterweight	12 (13%)	10	83 %	30.05	17.80	1.48	59%
Lightweight	12 (13%)	7	58 %	34.50	5.81	0.48	17%
Featherweight	18 (20%)	13	72 %	52.10	21.62	1.20	41%
Bantamweight	12 (13%)	6	50 %	35.45	-2.48	-0.21	-7%
Flyweight	6 (7%)	3	50 %	15.45	4.91	0.82	32%

Women's Fights	9 (10%)	4	44 %	24.50	6.90	0.77	28%
Featherweight	1 (1%)		0 %	0.50	-0.50	-0.50	-100%
Bantamweight	2 (2%)	1	50 %	4.50	1.85	0.93	41%
Flyweight	3 (3%)	1	33 %	3.00	-1.29	-0.43	-43%
Strawweight	3 (3%)	2	67 %	16.50	6.83	2.28	41%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	33 (58%)	29	88 %
Slight Favorites	17 (30%)	12	71 %
Slight Underdogs	7 (12%)	2	29 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	57	43	75 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	8 (31%)	5	63 %
50-65%	12 (46%)	7	58 %
35-50%	5 (19%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	1 (4%)	1	100 %
	26	13	50 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	19 (73%)	12	63 %	1.50	2.00	1.21	-0.6 (-3%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (12%)	0	0 %	2.03	2.10	2.00	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	1 (4%)	0	0 %	2.70	2.70	2.70	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	3 (12%)	1	33 %	2.15	3.30	1.83	0.3 (10%)
	26	13	50 %	1.63			-4.3 (-16%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Fight Analyst's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
9th Mar	UFC Fight Night 146	20	2.5	13%	$25	$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,000.26
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night 147	20.5	9.0	44%	$25	$10.00	$1,000.26	$1,065.54
22nd Mar	Bellator 218	4	1.3	33%	$25	$10.66	$1,065.54	$1,054.74
23rd Mar	KSW 47	7.5	-0.9	-12%	$25	$10.55	$1,054.74	$1,020.43
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night 148	15.5	0.4	3%	$25	$10.20	$1,020.43	$999.70
30th Mar	UFC on ESPN 2	35	16.7	48%	$25	$10.00	$999.70	$1,141.62
13th Apr	UFC 236	22.5	-2.9	-13%	$25	$11.42	$1,141.62	$1,083.90
20th Apr	UFC Fight Night 149	14.5	0.4	3%	$25	$10.84	$1,083.90	$1,063.72
27th Apr	UFC on ESPN 3	17	2.7	16%	$25	$10.64	$1,063.72	$1,067.48
4th May	UFC Fight Night 150	25.7	17.0	66%	$25	$10.67	$1,067.48	$1,224.08
10th May	LFA 66	7	2.7	39%	$25	$12.24	$1,224.08	$1,232.44
11th May	Bellator 221	8	-2.7	-33%	$25	$12.32	$1,232.44	$1,174.68
11th May	UFC 237	12.5	7.4	59%	$25	$11.75	$1,174.68	$1,236.86
23rd May	PFL 2019: Week 2	6.75	-1.7	-26%	$25	$12.37	$1,236.86	$1,190.49
8th Jun	UFC 238	22.5	2.0	9%	$25	$11.90	$1,190.49	$1,189.77
19th Jun	DWTNCS 17	5	0.6	11%	$25	$11.90	$1,189.77	$1,171.42
25th Jan	UFC Fight Night 166	21	-4.2	-20%	$25	$11.71	$1,171.42	$1,097.12
26th Jan	Bellator 238	3.56	2.2	61%	$25	$10.97	$1,097.12	$1,095.87
9th Feb	UFC 247	15.9	-5.7	-36%	$25	$10.96	$1,095.87	$1,007.86
15th Feb	UFC Fight Night 167	19.15	-5.4	-28%	$25	$10.08	$1,007.86	$928.12

ROI % from starting bank balance: -7.19% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Fight Analyst: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Feb '20	Ray Borg	Rogerio Bontorin	1.69	1.45	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Feb '20	Merab Dvalishvili	Casey Kenney	1.61	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Feb '20	Andre Ewell	Jonathan Martinez	1.87	1.15	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jan '20	Curtis Blaydes	Junior dos Santos	1.40	5	TKO, R2 (1:6)
5.	Jan '20	Darrion Caldwell	Adam Borics	1.83	2	Sub, R1 (2:20)
6.	Jun '19	Brendan Loughnane	Bill Algeo	1.59	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jun '19	Calvin Kattar	Ricardo Lamas	1.77	1	TKO, R1 (4:6)
8.	Jun '19	Petr Yan	Jimmie Rivera	1.48	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jun '19	Tony Ferguson	Donald Cerrone	1.77	5	TKO, R2 (5:0)
10.	Jun '19	Aljamain Sterling	Pedro Munhoz	1.87	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	May '19	Chris Wade	Nate Andrews	1.43	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	May '19	Douglas Lima	Michael Page	1.53	3.5	TKO, R2 (0:35)
13.	May '19	Laureano Staropoli	Thiago Alves	2.45	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	May '19	Ryan Spann	Rogerio Nogueira	1.71	1.5	TKO, R1 (2:7)
15.	May '19	Alex Volkanovski	Jose Aldo	2.45	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	May '19	Jessica Andrade	Rose Namajunas	2.00	5	TKO, R2 (2:58)
17.	May '19	William Macario	Josh Burkman	1.41	3.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
18.	May '19	Tyler Diamond	Jon Neal	1.37	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	May '19	Matt Sayles	Kyle Nelson	1.74	5	Sub, R3 (3:16)
20.	May '19	Nordine Taleb	Kyle Prepolec	1.95	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Feb '20	Mark Delarosa	Raulian Paiva	3.25	0.5	TKO, R2 (4:42)	No
2.	Feb '20	Michel Pereira	Diego Sanchez	1.65	1.55		No
3.	Feb '20	Nathaniel Wood	John Dodson	1.67	1.5	TKO, R3 (0:16)	No
4.	Feb '20	Corey Anderson	Jan Blachowicz	1.53	5	TKO, R1 (3:8)	No
5.	Feb '20	Miles Johns	Mario Bautista	1.77	1.3	TKO, R2 (1:41)	No
6.	Feb '20	Mirsad Bektic	Dan Ige	1.74	1.35	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Jan '20	Tony Gravely	Brett Johns	1.83	3.5	Sub, R3 (2:53)	No
8.	Jan '20	Jordan Espinosa	Alex Perez	3.20	1	Sub, R1 (2:33)	No
9.	Jan '20	Julia Budd	Cristiane Justino	4.80	0.5	TKO, R4 (1:14)	No
10.	Jun '19	Bevon Lewis	Darren Stewart	1.67	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Jun '19	Marlon Moraes	Henry Cejudo	1.87	3.5	TKO, R3 (4:51)	No
12.	Jun '19	Joanne Calderwood	Katlyn Chookagian	1.95	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	May '19	Damon Jackson	Movlid Khaybulaev	2.65	1.5	TKO, R1 (0:10)	No
14.	May '19	Steven Siler	Gadzhi Rabadanov	1.80	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	May '19	Peter Petties	Andre Harrison	7.50	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	May '19	Pat Curran	A.J. McKee	3.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	May '19	Michael Chandler	Patricio Freire	1.50	3.5	TKO, R1 (1:1)	No
18.	May '19	Sergio Moraes	Warlley Alves	2.30	1	TKO, R3 (4:13)	No
19.	May '19	Bethe Correia	Irene Aldana	3.90	0.5	Sub, R3 (3:24)	No
20.	May '19	Anderson Silva	Jared Cannonier	2.35	1.5	TKO, R1 (4:47)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Fight Analyst: Progress Chart

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