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Total MMA Handicappers: 3119
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 1181

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: The Fight Analyst

The Fight Analyst (TheFightAnalyst)


MMA MHandicapper - The  Fight Analyst

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 118 (53%) Right 83 (60%) Right 15 (39%) Right 20 (42%)
Wrong 106 (47%) Wrong 55 (40%) Wrong 23 (61%) Wrong 28 (58%)
Avg Odds 1.99 Avg Odds 1.81 Avg Odds 2.01 Avg Odds 2.70
Units Bet 476.0 Units Bet 378.8 Units Bet 36.0 Units Bet 61.2
Avg Bet 2.12 Avg Bet 2.74 Avg Bet 0.95 Avg Bet 1.27
Units Profit 63.96 Units Profit 66.25 Units Profit -4.79 Units Profit 2.51
ROI % 13% ROI % 17% ROI % -13% ROI % 4%
View Handicapper's Profile

The Fight Analyst: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 12.3 -4.3 -35% -0.9 / 6.3 (-14%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.4 / 4 (-35%)
26th Aug '20 DWCS 30 5 2.9 59% 2.9 / 5 (59%)
19th Aug '20 DWCS 29 9.5 -0.9 -9% -1.9 / 7 (-27%) 1.0 / 2.5 (41%)
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 13.25 4.6 34% 0.3 / 10.25 (3%) 4.3 / 3 (143%)
8th Aug '20 Bellator 243 8 4.1 51% 3.0 / 7 (43%) 1.1 / 1 (106%)
5th Aug '20 DWCS 27 4.5 0.5 10% 0.5 / 4.5 (10%)
1st Aug '20 UFC Vegas 5 9 1.6 18% 3.6 / 7 (52%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 15.6 8.3 53% 6.6 / 12.5 (53%) 0.2 / 1.6 (11%) 1.5 / 1.5 (101%)
25th Jul '20 Bellator 242 8 -2.2 -27% -1.2 / 7 (-17%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 2 14.5 0.5 3% 1.5 / 13.5 (11%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 1 18 4.9 27% 6.4 / 12.5 (51%) -1.8 / 3.5 (-52%) 0.3 / 2 (14%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 13 4.4 34% 4.4 / 13 (34%)
2nd Jul '20 Invicta 40 5.5 -5.5 -100% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
20th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 174 7 -0.5 -7% -0.5 / 7 (-7%)
14th May '20 UFC Fight Night 170 16 -1.3 -8% -1.6 / 10.1 (-16%) 1.8 / 4.4 (41%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
10th May '20 UFC 249 13.25 5.2 39% 5.0 / 6.9 (72%) 0.4 / 3.75 (11%) -0.2 / 2.6 (-7%)
15th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 167 19.15 -5.4 -28% -5.4 / 13.5 (-40%) 0.0 / 2.65 (0%) -0.0 / 3 (-0%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 15.9 -5.7 -36% -1.6 / 3.8 (-43%) 1.9 / 6.1 (31%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
26th Jan '20 Bellator 238 3.56 2.2 61% 1.2 / 2.5 (47%) 1.0 / 1.06 (94%)
25th Jan '20 UFC Fight Night 166 21 -4.2 -20% -2.5 / 9.5 (-26%) 1.0 / 1.5 (67%) -2.7 / 10 (-27%)
19th Jun '19 DWTNCS 17 5 0.6 11% 2.1 / 3.5 (59%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 22.5 2.0 9% 2.0 / 22.5 (9%)
23rd May '19 PFL 2019: Week 2 6.75 -1.7 -26% -1.7 / 6.75 (-26%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 12.5 7.4 59% 7.4 / 12.5 (59%)
11th May '19 Bellator 221 8 -2.7 -33% -2.7 / 8 (-33%)
10th May '19 LFA 66 7 2.7 39% 2.7 / 7 (39%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 25.7 17.0 66% 19.0 / 23.7 (80%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 17 2.7 16% 2.7 / 17 (16%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 14.5 0.4 3% 0.3 / 11.5 (2%) 0.2 / 3 (6%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 22.5 -2.9 -13% -0.7 / 16.5 (-4%) -1.5 / 2.5 (-62%) -0.6 / 3.5 (-18%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 35 16.7 48% 11.9 / 28 (42%) -0.3 / 2 (-17%) 5.2 / 5 (103%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 15.5 0.4 3% 0.3 / 12.5 (2%) 0.1 / 3 (4%)
23rd Mar '19 KSW 47 7.5 -0.9 -12% -0.9 / 7.5 (-12%)
22nd Mar '19 Bellator 218 4 1.3 33% 1.3 / 4 (33%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 20.5 9.0 44% 6.5 / 18 (36%) 2.5 / 2.5 (102%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 20 2.5 13% 1.6 / 15.5 (10%) -0.4 / 2 (-19%) 1.3 / 2.5 (51%)


Winning Events: 23 (64%)
Losing Events: 13 (36%)

Average Staked Per Event: 13.22 units
Most Staked On One Event: 35.00 units
Best Event: 17.01 units
Worst Event: -5.75 units
Average Event: 1.78 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 22.89
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -11.18

The Fight Analyst: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 12.3 -4.3 -35% -0.9 / 6.3 (-14%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.4 / 4 (-35%) / 1 (0%) -4.30
2020 219.71 13.5 6% 15.3 / 158.05 (10%) 1.5 / 25.5 (6%) -3.2 / 36.16 (-9%) 11 / 8 (58%) 0.71
2019 243.95 54.8 22% 51.9 / 214.45 (24%) -4.3 / 8.5 (-50%) 7.1 / 21 (34%) 12 / 4 (75%) 3.42

The Fight Analyst: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The Fight Analyst: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 393.65 63.5 16% 66.4 / 303.55 (22%) -4.8 / 36 (-13%) 1.9 / 54.1 (4%)
Bellator 31.56 2.8 9% 1.7 / 28.5 (6%) 1.1 / 3.06 (35%)
PFL 6.75 -1.7 -26% -1.7 / 6.75 (-26%)
Other 44 -0.6 -1% -0.1 / 40 (-0%) -0.5 / 4 (-12%)

The Fight Analyst: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 38 (27%) 33 87 % 155.90 38.62 1.02 25%
Slight Favorites 59 (42%) 36 61 % 156.20 19.33 0.33 12%
Slight Underdogs 32 (23%) 14 44 % 59.70 12.02 0.38 20%
Big Underdogs 11 (8%) 2 18 % 7.00 -3.72 -0.34 -53%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 22 (16%) 12 55 % 64.80 1.15 0.05 2%
Co-Main Event 15 (11%) 10 67 % 40.15 7.02 0.47 17%
Position 3-5 40 (29%) 25 63 % 113.45 25.66 0.64 23%
6+ (Undercard) 63 (45%) 38 60 % 160.40 32.41 0.51 20%

The Fight Analyst: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 13 (9%) 7 54 % 34.80 0.25 0.02 1%
Light Heavy 9 (6%) 5 56 % 20.00 -1.40 -0.16 -7%
Middleweight 12 (9%) 4 33 % 21.95 -3.98 -0.33 -18%
Welterweight 17 (12%) 13 76 % 49.85 18.50 1.09 37%
Lightweight 19 (14%) 13 68 % 52.70 15.00 0.79 28%
Featherweight 27 (19%) 19 70 % 77.60 23.09 0.86 30%
Bantamweight 20 (14%) 13 65 % 60.95 6.63 0.33 11%
Flyweight 10 (7%) 5 50 % 23.95 1.81 0.18 8%
               
Women's Fights 13 (9%) 6 46 % 37.00 6.34 0.49 17%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%
Bantamweight 2 (1%) 1 50 % 4.50 1.85 0.93 41%
Flyweight 5 (4%) 3 60 % 10.00 3.65 0.73 36%
Strawweight 5 (4%) 2 40 % 22.00 1.33 0.27 6%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 55 (65%) 47 85 %
Slight Favorites 21 (25%) 16 76 %
Slight Underdogs 9 (11%) 3 33 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
85 66 78 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 20 (27%) 15 75 %
50-65% 26 (35%) 15 58 %
35-50% 19 (26%) 4 21 %
<35% chance 9 (12%) 3 33 %
74 37 50 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 39 (53%) 26 67 % 1.49 2.00Pick was incorrect 1.19Pick was correct 0.3 (1%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (7%) 1 20 % 1.91 2.10Pick was incorrect 1.74Pick was incorrect -3.2 (-65%)
X Wins by KO 6 (8%) 2 33 % 2.55 4.64Pick was incorrect 1.87Pick was correct -1.0 (-17%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (1%) 0 0 % 7.00 7.00Pick was incorrect 7.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 23 (31%) 8 35 % 2.33 4.35Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was incorrect -4.2 (-18%)
74 37 50 % 1.80     -9.2 (-12%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Fight Analyst's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 20 2.5 13% $25 $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,000.26
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 20.5 9.0 44% $25 $10.00 $1,000.26 $1,065.54
22nd Mar Bellator 218 4 1.3 33% $25 $10.66 $1,065.54 $1,054.74
23rd Mar KSW 47 7.5 -0.9 -12% $25 $10.55 $1,054.74 $1,020.43
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 15.5 0.4 3% $25 $10.20 $1,020.43 $999.70
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 35 16.7 48% $25 $10.00 $999.70 $1,141.62
13th Apr UFC 236 22.5 -2.9 -13% $25 $11.42 $1,141.62 $1,083.90
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 14.5 0.4 3% $25 $10.84 $1,083.90 $1,063.72
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 17 2.7 16% $25 $10.64 $1,063.72 $1,067.48
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 25.7 17.0 66% $25 $10.67 $1,067.48 $1,224.08
10th May LFA 66 7 2.7 39% $25 $12.24 $1,224.08 $1,232.44
11th May Bellator 221 8 -2.7 -33% $25 $12.32 $1,232.44 $1,174.68
11th May UFC 237 12.5 7.4 59% $25 $11.75 $1,174.68 $1,236.86
23rd May PFL 2019: Week 2 6.75 -1.7 -26% $25 $12.37 $1,236.86 $1,190.49
8th Jun UFC 238 22.5 2.0 9% $25 $11.90 $1,190.49 $1,189.77
19th Jun DWTNCS 17 5 0.6 11% $25 $11.90 $1,189.77 $1,171.42
25th Jan UFC Fight Night 166 21 -4.2 -20% $25 $11.71 $1,171.42 $1,097.12
26th Jan Bellator 238 3.56 2.2 61% $25 $10.97 $1,097.12 $1,095.87
9th Feb UFC 247 15.9 -5.7 -36% $25 $10.96 $1,095.87 $1,007.86
15th Feb UFC Fight Night 167 19.15 -5.4 -28% $25 $10.08 $1,007.86 $928.12
10th May UFC 249 13.25 5.2 39% $25 $9.28 $928.12 $951.47
14th May UFC Fight Night 170 16 -1.3 -8% $25 $9.51 $951.47 $914.42
20th Jun UFC Fight Night 174 7 -0.5 -7% $25 $9.14 $914.42 $885.24
2nd Jul Invicta 40 5.5 -5.5 -100% $25 $8.85 $885.24 $811.56
11th Jul UFC 251 13 4.4 34% $25 $8.12 $811.56 $822.50
15th Jul UFC Fight Island 1 18 4.9 27% $25 $8.22 $822.50 $837.89
18th Jul UFC Fight Island 2 14.5 0.5 3% $25 $8.38 $837.89 $817.08
25th Jul Bellator 242 8 -2.2 -27% $25 $8.17 $817.08 $774.37
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 15.6 8.3 53% $25 $7.74 $774.37 $813.47
1st Aug UFC Vegas 5 9 1.6 18% $25 $8.13 $813.47 $801.61
5th Aug DWCS 27 4.5 0.5 10% $25 $8.02 $801.61 $780.28
8th Aug Bellator 243 8 4.1 51% $25 $7.80 $780.28 $787.29
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 13.25 4.6 34% $25 $7.87 $787.29 $798.19
19th Aug DWCS 29 9.5 -0.9 -9% $25 $7.98 $798.19 $766.05
26th Aug DWCS 30 5 2.9 59% $25 $7.66 $766.05 $763.59
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 12.3 -4.3 -35% $25 $7.64 $763.59 $705.73


ROI % from starting bank balance: -29.43% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Fight Analyst: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jan '21 Paid Pick Manon Fiorot Victoria Leonardo 1.54 3.5 TKO, R2 (4:8) MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '20 Paid Pick Collin Huckbody Kyron Bowen 1.59 5 Sub, R1 (1:28) MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '20 Paid Pick Josh Parisian Chad Johnson 1.45 3.5 TKO, R1 (3:43) MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '20 Paid Pick Nasrat Haqparast Alex Munoz 1.43 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '20 Paid Pick Beneil Dariush Scott Holtzman 1.57 3.5 TKO, R1 (4:38) MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '20 Paid Pick Myles Jury Georgi Karakhanyan 1.43 3.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '20 Paid Pick Michael Chandler Benson Henderson 1.43 3.5 TKO, R1 (2:9) MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '20 Paid Pick Jerome Rivera Luis Rodriguez 1.42 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '20 Paid Pick Jonathan Martinez Frankie Saenz 1.44 3.5 TKO, R3 (0:57) MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '20 Paid Pick Vicente Luque Randy Brown 1.59 3.5 TKO, R2 (4:56) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '20 Paid Pick Tom Aspinall Jake Collier 1.44 1.5 TKO, R1 (0:45) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '20 Paid Pick Tom Aspinall Jake Collier 1.50 3.5 TKO, R1 (0:45) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '20 Paid Pick Tanner Boser Raphael Pessoa 1.43 3.5 TKO, R2 (2:36) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '20 Paid Pick Movsar Evloev Mike Grundy 1.54 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '20 Paid Pick Robert Whittaker Darren Till 1.80 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '20 Paid Pick Sergio Pettis Ricky Bandejas 1.67 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '20 Paid Pick Arman Tsarukyan Davi Ramos 1.50 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '20 Paid Pick Brett Johns Montel Jackson 2.75 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '20 Paid Pick Jack Hermansson Kelvin Gastelum 2.00 3.5 Sub, R1 (1:18) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '20 Paid Pick Lerone Murphy Ricardo Ramos 2.45 1 TKO, R1 (4:18) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jan '21 Paid Pick Neil Magny Michael Chiesa 1.71 2.8 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '20 Paid Pick Matt Dixon Orion Cosce 1.34 3.5 TKO, R3 (4:42) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '20 Paid Pick Joaquin Buckley Kevin Holland 4.60 0.25 TKO, R3 (0:32) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '20 Paid Pick Justin Jaynes Gavin Tucker 2.00 1 Sub, R3 (1:43) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '20 Paid Pick Maki Pitolo Darren Stewart 2.30 1 Sub, R1 (3:41) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '20 Paid Pick Aleksei Oleinik Derrick Lewis 2.85 1 TKO, R2 (0:21) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '20 Paid Pick Jose Flores Jordan Leavitt 2.80 1 Sub, R1 (4:15) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '20 Paid Pick Tywan Claxton J.J. Wilson 1.40 3.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '20 Paid Pick Alexandre Pantoja Askar Askarov 1.50 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '20 Paid Pick Joseph Benavidez Deiveson Figueiredo 2.78 2 Sub, R1 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '20 Paid Pick Andreas Michailidis Modestas Bukauskas 2.90 1 TKO, R1 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '20 Paid Pick Volkan Oezdemir Jiri Prochazka 1.69 1 TKO, R2 (0:49) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '20 Paid Pick Shelby Koren Genia Goodin 2.00 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '20 Paid Pick Lindsey VanZandt Alesha Zappitella 2.30 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '20 Paid Pick Shane Burgos Josh Emmett 1.77 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. May '20 Paid Pick Hunter Azure Brian Kelleher 1.59 3.5 TKO, R2 (3:40) No MMA Bookmaker
17. May '20 Paid Pick Ovince St Preux Ben Rothwell 1.71 1.4 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '20 Paid Pick Mark Delarosa Raulian Paiva 3.25 0.5 TKO, R2 (4:42) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '20 Paid Pick Michel Pereira Diego Sanchez 1.65 1.55 No MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '20 Paid Pick Nathaniel Wood John Dodson 1.67 1.5 TKO, R3 (0:16) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Fight Analyst: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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