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Total MMA Handicappers: 2195
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MMA Handicapper Stats: The Fight Analyst

The Fight Analyst (TheFightAnalyst)


MMA MHandicapper - The  Fight Analyst

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 72 (54%) Right 52 (58%) Right 8 (44%) Right 12 (46%)
Wrong 62 (46%) Wrong 38 (42%) Wrong 10 (56%) Wrong 14 (54%)
Avg Odds 1.97 Avg Odds 1.87 Avg Odds 1.86 Avg Odds 2.51
Units Bet 303.6 Units Bet 243.8 Units Bet 18.8 Units Bet 41.1
Avg Bet 2.27 Avg Bet 2.71 Avg Bet 1.04 Avg Bet 1.58
Units Profit 41.55 Units Profit 43.48 Units Profit -1.35 Units Profit -0.58
ROI % 14% ROI % 18% ROI % -7% ROI % -1%
View Handicapper's Profile

The Fight Analyst: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
15th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 167 19.15 -5.4 -28% -5.4 / 13.5 (-40%) 0.0 / 2.65 (0%) -0.0 / 3 (-0%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 15.9 -5.7 -36% -1.6 / 3.8 (-43%) 1.9 / 6.1 (31%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
26th Jan '20 Bellator 238 3.56 2.2 61% 1.2 / 2.5 (47%) 1.0 / 1.06 (94%)
25th Jan '20 UFC Fight Night 166 21 -4.2 -20% -2.5 / 9.5 (-26%) 1.0 / 1.5 (67%) -2.7 / 10 (-27%)
19th Jun '19 DWTNCS 17 5 0.6 11% 2.1 / 3.5 (59%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 22.5 2.0 9% 2.0 / 22.5 (9%)
23rd May '19 PFL 2019: Week 2 6.75 -1.7 -26% -1.7 / 6.75 (-26%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 12.5 7.4 59% 7.4 / 12.5 (59%)
11th May '19 Bellator 221 8 -2.7 -33% -2.7 / 8 (-33%)
10th May '19 LFA 66 7 2.7 39% 2.7 / 7 (39%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 25.7 17.0 66% 19.0 / 23.7 (80%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 17 2.7 16% 2.7 / 17 (16%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 14.5 0.4 3% 0.3 / 11.5 (2%) 0.2 / 3 (6%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 22.5 -2.9 -13% -0.7 / 16.5 (-4%) -1.5 / 2.5 (-62%) -0.6 / 3.5 (-18%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 35 16.7 48% 11.9 / 28 (42%) -0.3 / 2 (-17%) 5.2 / 5 (103%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 15.5 0.4 3% 0.3 / 12.5 (2%) 0.1 / 3 (4%)
23rd Mar '19 KSW 47 7.5 -0.9 -12% -0.9 / 7.5 (-12%)
22nd Mar '19 Bellator 218 4 1.3 33% 1.3 / 4 (33%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 20.5 9.0 44% 6.5 / 18 (36%) 2.5 / 2.5 (102%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 20 2.5 13% 1.6 / 15.5 (10%) -0.4 / 2 (-19%) 1.3 / 2.5 (51%)


Winning Events: 13 (65%)
Losing Events: 7 (35%)

Average Staked Per Event: 15.18 units
Most Staked On One Event: 35.00 units
Best Event: 17.01 units
Worst Event: -5.75 units
Average Event: 2.08 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 22.89
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -11.18

The Fight Analyst: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2020 59.61 -13.2 -22% -8.4 / 29.3 (-29%) 2.9 / 10.25 (28%) -7.7 / 20.06 (-38%) 1 / 3 (25%) -3.31
2019 243.95 54.8 22% 51.9 / 214.45 (24%) -4.3 / 8.5 (-50%) 7.1 / 21 (34%) 12 / 4 (75%) 3.42

The Fight Analyst: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The Fight Analyst: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 261.75 40.0 15% 41.5 / 204.5 (20%) -1.4 / 18.75 (-7%) -0.1 / 38.5 (-0%)
Bellator 15.56 0.8 5% -0.2 / 14.5 (-1%) 1.0 / 1.06 (94%)
PFL 6.75 -1.7 -26% -1.7 / 6.75 (-26%)
Other 19.5 2.4 12% 3.9 / 18 (22%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)

The Fight Analyst: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 19 (21%) 17 89 % 91.00 25.19 1.33 28%
Slight Favorites 41 (46%) 23 56 % 105.80 6.34 0.15 6%
Slight Underdogs 21 (23%) 10 48 % 41.20 14.42 0.69 35%
Big Underdogs 9 (10%) 2 22 % 5.75 -2.47 -0.27 -43%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 13 (14%) 6 46 % 38.50 -4.57 -0.35 -12%
Co-Main Event 10 (11%) 7 70 % 26.25 5.01 0.50 19%
Position 3-5 23 (26%) 15 65 % 60.55 25.61 1.11 42%
6+ (Undercard) 44 (49%) 24 55 % 118.45 17.43 0.40 15%

The Fight Analyst: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 8 (9%) 4 50 % 23.50 -1.45 -0.18 -6%
Light Heavy 5 (6%) 3 60 % 13.00 -1.80 -0.36 -14%
Middleweight 8 (9%) 2 25 % 15.20 -7.83 -0.98 -52%
Welterweight 12 (13%) 10 83 % 30.05 17.80 1.48 59%
Lightweight 12 (13%) 7 58 % 34.50 5.81 0.48 17%
Featherweight 18 (20%) 13 72 % 52.10 21.62 1.20 41%
Bantamweight 12 (13%) 6 50 % 35.45 -2.48 -0.21 -7%
Flyweight 6 (7%) 3 50 % 15.45 4.91 0.82 32%
               
Women's Fights 9 (10%) 4 44 % 24.50 6.90 0.77 28%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 1 50 % 4.50 1.85 0.93 41%
Flyweight 3 (3%) 1 33 % 3.00 -1.29 -0.43 -43%
Strawweight 3 (3%) 2 67 % 16.50 6.83 2.28 41%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 33 (58%) 29 88 %
Slight Favorites 17 (30%) 12 71 %
Slight Underdogs 7 (12%) 2 29 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
57 43 75 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 8 (31%) 5 63 %
50-65% 12 (46%) 7 58 %
35-50% 5 (19%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 1 (4%) 1 100 %
26 13 50 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 19 (73%) 12 63 % 1.50 2.00Pick was incorrect 1.21Pick was correct -0.6 (-3%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (12%) 0 0 % 2.03 2.10Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 1 (4%) 0 0 % 2.70 2.70Pick was incorrect 2.70Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 3 (12%) 1 33 % 2.15 3.30Pick was correct 1.83Pick was incorrect 0.3 (10%)
26 13 50 % 1.63     -4.3 (-16%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Fight Analyst's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 20 2.5 13% $25 $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,000.26
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 20.5 9.0 44% $25 $10.00 $1,000.26 $1,065.54
22nd Mar Bellator 218 4 1.3 33% $25 $10.66 $1,065.54 $1,054.74
23rd Mar KSW 47 7.5 -0.9 -12% $25 $10.55 $1,054.74 $1,020.43
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 15.5 0.4 3% $25 $10.20 $1,020.43 $999.70
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 35 16.7 48% $25 $10.00 $999.70 $1,141.62
13th Apr UFC 236 22.5 -2.9 -13% $25 $11.42 $1,141.62 $1,083.90
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 14.5 0.4 3% $25 $10.84 $1,083.90 $1,063.72
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 17 2.7 16% $25 $10.64 $1,063.72 $1,067.48
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 25.7 17.0 66% $25 $10.67 $1,067.48 $1,224.08
10th May LFA 66 7 2.7 39% $25 $12.24 $1,224.08 $1,232.44
11th May Bellator 221 8 -2.7 -33% $25 $12.32 $1,232.44 $1,174.68
11th May UFC 237 12.5 7.4 59% $25 $11.75 $1,174.68 $1,236.86
23rd May PFL 2019: Week 2 6.75 -1.7 -26% $25 $12.37 $1,236.86 $1,190.49
8th Jun UFC 238 22.5 2.0 9% $25 $11.90 $1,190.49 $1,189.77
19th Jun DWTNCS 17 5 0.6 11% $25 $11.90 $1,189.77 $1,171.42
25th Jan UFC Fight Night 166 21 -4.2 -20% $25 $11.71 $1,171.42 $1,097.12
26th Jan Bellator 238 3.56 2.2 61% $25 $10.97 $1,097.12 $1,095.87
9th Feb UFC 247 15.9 -5.7 -36% $25 $10.96 $1,095.87 $1,007.86
15th Feb UFC Fight Night 167 19.15 -5.4 -28% $25 $10.08 $1,007.86 $928.12


ROI % from starting bank balance: -7.19% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Fight Analyst: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '20 Paid Pick Ray Borg Rogerio Bontorin 1.69 1.45 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '20 Paid Pick Merab Dvalishvili Casey Kenney 1.61 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '20 Paid Pick Andre Ewell Jonathan Martinez 1.87 1.15 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '20 Paid Pick Curtis Blaydes Junior dos Santos 1.40 5 TKO, R2 (1:6) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '20 Paid Pick Darrion Caldwell Adam Borics 1.83 2 Sub, R1 (2:20) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '19 Paid Pick Brendan Loughnane Bill Algeo 1.59 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '19 Paid Pick Calvin Kattar Ricardo Lamas 1.77 1 TKO, R1 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '19 Paid Pick Petr Yan Jimmie Rivera 1.48 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '19 Paid Pick Tony Ferguson Donald Cerrone 1.77 5 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '19 Paid Pick Aljamain Sterling Pedro Munhoz 1.87 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. May '19 Paid Pick Chris Wade Nate Andrews 1.43 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. May '19 Paid Pick Douglas Lima Michael Page 1.53 3.5 TKO, R2 (0:35) MMA Bookmaker
13. May '19 Paid Pick Laureano Staropoli Thiago Alves 2.45 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. May '19 Paid Pick Ryan Spann Rogerio Nogueira 1.71 1.5 TKO, R1 (2:7) MMA Bookmaker
15. May '19 Paid Pick Alex Volkanovski Jose Aldo 2.45 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. May '19 Paid Pick Jessica Andrade Rose Namajunas 2.00 5 TKO, R2 (2:58) MMA Bookmaker
17. May '19 Paid Pick William Macario Josh Burkman 1.41 3.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. May '19 Paid Pick Tyler Diamond Jon Neal 1.37 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. May '19 Paid Pick Matt Sayles Kyle Nelson 1.74 5 Sub, R3 (3:16) MMA Bookmaker
20. May '19 Paid Pick Nordine Taleb Kyle Prepolec 1.95 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '20 Paid Pick Mark Delarosa Raulian Paiva 3.25 0.5 TKO, R2 (4:42) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '20 Paid Pick Michel Pereira Diego Sanchez 1.65 1.55 No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '20 Paid Pick Nathaniel Wood John Dodson 1.67 1.5 TKO, R3 (0:16) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '20 Paid Pick Corey Anderson Jan Blachowicz 1.53 5 TKO, R1 (3:8) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '20 Paid Pick Miles Johns Mario Bautista 1.77 1.3 TKO, R2 (1:41) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '20 Paid Pick Mirsad Bektic Dan Ige 1.74 1.35 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '20 Paid Pick Tony Gravely Brett Johns 1.83 3.5 Sub, R3 (2:53) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '20 Paid Pick Jordan Espinosa Alex Perez 3.20 1 Sub, R1 (2:33) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '20 Paid Pick Julia Budd Cristiane Justino 4.80 0.5 TKO, R4 (1:14) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '19 Paid Pick Bevon Lewis Darren Stewart 1.67 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '19 Paid Pick Marlon Moraes Henry Cejudo 1.87 3.5 TKO, R3 (4:51) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '19 Paid Pick Joanne Calderwood Katlyn Chookagian 1.95 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. May '19 Paid Pick Damon Jackson Movlid Khaybulaev 2.65 1.5 TKO, R1 (0:10) No MMA Bookmaker
14. May '19 Paid Pick Steven Siler Gadzhi Rabadanov 1.80 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. May '19 Paid Pick Peter Petties Andre Harrison 7.50 0.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. May '19 Paid Pick Pat Curran A.J. McKee 3.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. May '19 Paid Pick Michael Chandler Patricio Freire 1.50 3.5 TKO, R1 (1:1) No MMA Bookmaker
18. May '19 Paid Pick Sergio Moraes Warlley Alves 2.30 1 TKO, R3 (4:13) No MMA Bookmaker
19. May '19 Paid Pick Bethe Correia Irene Aldana 3.90 0.5 Sub, R3 (3:24) No MMA Bookmaker
20. May '19 Paid Pick Anderson Silva Jared Cannonier 2.35 1.5 TKO, R1 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Fight Analyst: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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