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MMA Handicapper Stats: Chris Grieve

Chris Grieve (Cgman89)

MMA MHandicapper - Chris Grieve

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	15 (48%)	Right	12 (63%)	Right	0 (0%)	Right	3 (43%)
Wrong	16 (52%)	Wrong	7 (37%)	Wrong	5 (100%)	Wrong	4 (57%)
Avg Odds	2.49	Avg Odds	2.30	Avg Odds	3.86	Avg Odds	2.41
Units Bet	84.0	Units Bet	55.5	Units Bet	7.5	Units Bet	21.0
Avg Bet	2.71	Avg Bet	2.92	Avg Bet	1.50	Avg Bet	3.00
Units Profit	15.28	Units Profit	23.49	Units Profit	-7.50	Units Profit	-0.72
ROI %	18%	ROI %	42%	ROI %	-100%	ROI %	-3%

Chris Grieve: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
9th Feb '20	UFC 247	4	4.3	108%	4.3 / 4 (108%)
21st Dec '19	UFC Fight Night 165	2.5	-2.5	-100%		-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
15th Dec '19	UFC 245	4.5	-4.5	-100%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
16th Nov '19	UFC Fight Night 164	3	3.4	115%	3.4 / 3 (115%)
2nd Nov '19	UFC 244	6	6.6	110%	6.6 / 6 (110%)
12th Oct '19	UFC on ESPN+ 19	8.5	0.6	7%	0.6 / 8.5 (7%)
28th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 160	3.5	-3.5	-100%			-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
21st Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 159	2.5	-2.5	-100%		-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
14th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 158	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
17th Aug '19	UFC 241	3	-3.0	-100%			-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
10th Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 156	3	4.2	140%	4.2 / 3 (140%)
3rd Aug '19	UFC on ESPN 5	3	3.8	126%			3.8 / 3 (126%)
13th Jul '19	UFC Fight Night 155	6.5	8.5	130%	3.5 / 4 (87%)		5.0 / 2.5 (200%)
29th Jun '19	UFC on ESPN 3	3	6.5	215%	6.5 / 3 (215%)
27th Apr '19	UFC on ESPN 3	3.5	3.3	95%	3.3 / 3.5 (95%)
30th Mar '19	UFC on ESPN 2	2.5	3.1	125%	3.1 / 2.5 (125%)
23rd Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 148	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19	UFC 235	5	1.0	20%	2.5 / 3.5 (71%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
23rd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 145	3	3.0	100%			3.0 / 3 (100%)
17th Feb '19	UFC on ESPN 1	4.5	-4.5	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)		-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
2nd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 144	5.5	-5.5	-100%	-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)

Winning Events: 12 (57%)
Losing Events: 9 (43%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.00 units
Most Staked On One Event: 8.50 units
Best Event: 8.48 units
Worst Event: -5.50 units
Average Event: 0.73 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 29.36
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -14.00

Chris Grieve: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	4	4.3	108%	4.3 / 4 (108%)			1 / 0 (100%)	4.30
2019	80	11.0	14%	19.2 / 51.5 (37%)	-7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)	-0.7 / 21 (-3%)	11 / 9 (55%)	0.55

Chris Grieve: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Chris Grieve: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	84	15.3	18%	23.5 / 55.5 (42%)	-7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)	-0.7 / 21 (-3%)

Chris Grieve: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Slight Favorites	5 (26%)	4	80 %	20.00	7.77	1.55	39%
Slight Underdogs	11 (58%)	7	64 %	29.00	12.77	1.16	44%
Big Underdogs	3 (16%)	1	33 %	6.50	2.95	0.98	45%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	2 (11%)	1	50 %	5.50	0.13	0.06	2%
Co-Main Event	1 (5%)	1	100 %	3.50	5.60	5.60	160%
Position 3-5	6 (32%)	4	67 %	17.00	10.01	1.67	59%
6+ (Undercard)	10 (53%)	6	60 %	29.50	7.75	0.78	26%

Chris Grieve: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Light Heavy	3 (16%)	1	33 %	10.50	-5.40	-1.80	-51%
Middleweight	1 (5%)		0 %	1.50	-1.50	-1.50	-100%
Welterweight	3 (16%)	2	67 %	9.50	4.43	1.48	47%
Lightweight	2 (11%)	2	100 %	5.50	9.58	4.79	174%
Featherweight	4 (21%)	3	75 %	11.50	9.18	2.29	80%
Bantamweight	3 (16%)	1	33 %	7.00	-2.80	-0.93	-40%

Women's Fights	3 (16%)	3	100 %	10.00	10.01	3.34	100%
Strawweight	3 (16%)	3	100 %	10.00	10.01	3.34	100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	7 (54%)	5	71 %
Slight Favorites	5 (38%)	2	40 %
Slight Underdogs	1 (8%)	1	100 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	13	8	62 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (17%)	0	0 %
50-65%	0 (0%)	0	nan %
35-50%	1 (17%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	4 (67%)	0	0 %
	6	0	0 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (17%)	0	0 %	1.47	1.47	1.47	-1.0 (-100%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (17%)	0	0 %	2.85	2.85	2.85	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	1 (17%)	0	0 %	3.20	3.20	3.20	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	3 (50%)	0	0 %	4.75	6.10	3.50	-3.0 (-100%)
	6	0	0 %	3.04			-6.0 (-100%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Chris Grieve's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
2nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 144	5.5	-5.5	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$945.00
17th Feb	UFC on ESPN 1	4.5	-4.5	-100%		$9.45	$945.00	$902.48
23rd Feb	UFC Fight Night 145	3	3.0	100%		$9.02	$902.48	$929.58
2nd Mar	UFC 235	5	1.0	20%		$9.30	$929.58	$938.73
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night 148	2	-2.0	-100%		$9.39	$938.73	$919.96
30th Mar	UFC on ESPN 2	2.5	3.1	125%		$9.20	$919.96	$948.71
27th Apr	UFC on ESPN 3	3.5	3.3	95%		$9.49	$948.71	$980.25
29th Jun	UFC on ESPN 3	3	6.5	215%		$9.80	$980.25	$1,043.48
13th Jul	UFC Fight Night 155	6.5	8.5	130%		$10.43	$1,043.48	$1,131.96
3rd Aug	UFC on ESPN 5	3	3.8	126%		$11.32	$1,131.96	$1,174.77
10th Aug	UFC Fight Night 156	3	4.2	140%		$11.75	$1,174.77	$1,224.11
17th Aug	UFC 241	3	-3.0	-100%		$12.24	$1,224.11	$1,187.38
14th Sep	UFC Fight Night 158	5	-5.0	-100%		$11.87	$1,187.38	$1,128.02
21st Sep	UFC Fight Night 159	2.5	-2.5	-100%		$11.28	$1,128.02	$1,099.82
28th Sep	UFC Fight Night 160	3.5	-3.5	-100%		$11.00	$1,099.82	$1,061.32
12th Oct	UFC on ESPN+ 19	8.5	0.6	7%		$10.61	$1,061.32	$1,067.69
2nd Nov	UFC 244	6	6.6	110%		$10.68	$1,067.69	$1,137.94
16th Nov	UFC Fight Night 164	3	3.4	115%		$11.38	$1,137.94	$1,177.20
15th Dec	UFC 245	4.5	-4.5	-100%		$11.77	$1,177.20	$1,124.23
21st Dec	UFC Fight Night 165	2.5	-2.5	-100%		$11.24	$1,124.23	$1,096.12
9th Feb	UFC 247	4	4.3	108%		$10.96	$1,096.12	$1,143.25

ROI % from starting bank balance: 14.33% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Chris Grieve: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Feb '20	Journey Newson	Domingo Pilarte	2.10	2	TKO, R1 (0:38)
2.	Feb '20	Dan Ige	Mirsad Bektic	2.05	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Nov '19	Randy Brown	Warlley Alves	2.15	3	Sub, R2 (1:22)
4.	Nov '19	Stephen Thompson	Vicente Luque	1.87	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Nov '19	Corey Anderson	Johnny Walker	2.55	2	TKO, R1 (2:7)
6.	Oct '19	Cub Swanson	Kron Gracie	2.60	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Aug '19	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	Tecia Torres	2.40	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Jul '19	Ryan Hall	Darren Elkins	1.87	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jun '19	Vinc Pichel	Roosevelt Roberts	3.15	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Apr '19	Carla Esparza	Virna Jandiroba	1.95	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Mar '19	Justin Gaethje	Edson Barboza	2.25	2.5	TKO, R1 (2:30)
12.	Mar '19	Weili Zhang	Tecia Torres	1.71	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Oct '19	Andrew Sanchez	Marvin Vettori	4.10	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Oct '19	Devin Clark	Ryan Spann	2.35	3.5	Sub, R2 (2:1)	No
3.	Sep '19	Jim Crute	Misha Cirkunov	1.95	5	Sub, R1 (3:38)	No
4.	Mar '19	Steven Peterson	Luis Pena	3.15	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Feb '19	Benito Lopez	Manny Bermudez	2.50	2	Sub, R1 (3:9)	No
6.	Feb '19	Raphael Assuncao	Marlon Moraes	2.50	3	Sub, R1 (3:17)	No
7.	Feb '19	Lyman Good	Demian Maia	2.40	2.5	Sub, R1 (2:38)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Chris Grieve: Progress Chart

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