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MMA Handicapper Stats: LuciferMMA

LuciferMMA (lucifermma)


MMA MHandicapper - LuciferMMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 89 (56%) Right 67 (59%) Right 16 (48%) Right 6 (55%)
Wrong 69 (44%) Wrong 47 (41%) Wrong 17 (52%) Wrong 5 (45%)
Avg Odds 1.91 Avg Odds 1.91 Avg Odds 1.94 Avg Odds 1.84
Units Bet 500.5 Units Bet 374.0 Units Bet 94.5 Units Bet 32.0
Avg Bet 3.17 Avg Bet 3.28 Avg Bet 2.86 Avg Bet 2.91
Units Profit 32.80 Units Profit 38.31 Units Profit -6.27 Units Profit 0.76
ROI % 7% ROI % 10% ROI % -7% ROI % 2%
View Handicapper's Profile

LuciferMMA : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
14th Mar '20 UFC Fight Night 170 7 3.3 47% 3.3 / 7 (47%)
8th Mar '20 UFC 248 22.5 -8.0 -35% -7.5 / 22 (-34%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
29th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 10 4.8 48% 1.0 / 7 (14%) 3.8 / 3 (125%)
22nd Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 168 11 -4.9 -45% -1.9 / 8 (-24%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
21st Feb '20 Bellator 239 5 -5.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 167 3.5 4.2 121% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 6.2 / 1.5 (417%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 15.5 -5.8 -38% -2.8 / 12.5 (-23%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
26th Jan '20 Bellator 238 5 -0.0 -0% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 2.0 / 3 (66%)
25th Jan '20 UFC Fight Night 166 7.5 3.4 45% 2.3 / 4 (57%) 1.1 / 3.5 (31%)
18th Jan '20 UFC 246 13 1.7 13% 0.8 / 12 (7%) 0.9 / 1 (91%)
21st Dec '19 UFC Fight Night 165 9 6.5 72% 6.5 / 9 (72%)
15th Dec '19 UFC 245 11 4.3 39% 2.8 / 10 (28%) 1.5 / 1 (152%)
7th Dec '19 UFC on ESPN 7 7 -0.1 -2% -0.1 / 7 (-2%)
16th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 164 10 3.3 33% 6.3 / 7 (90%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Nov '19 KSW 51 3 1.8 59% 1.8 / 3 (59%)
9th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 163 15 5.2 35% 3.9 / 12 (33%) 1.3 / 3 (44%)
2nd Nov '19 UFC 244 15 14.1 94% 14.1 / 15 (94%)
21st Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 159 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
7th Sep '19 UFC 242 14 -1.6 -11% -1.6 / 14 (-11%)
17th Mar '18 UFC Fight Night 127 9 11.6 128% 11.6 / 9 (128%)
18th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 126 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
20th Jan '18 UFC 220 12 7.5 63% 8.5 / 11 (78%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Jan '18 Bellator 192 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
14th Jan '18 UFC Fight Night 124 7 -7.0 -100% -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
8th Jul '17 UFC 213 4 5.0 125% 5.0 / 4 (125%)
25th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 112 14 -3.7 -27% -3.7 / 14 (-27%)
24th Jun '17 Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva 18 0.9 5% 6.9 / 12 (58%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
17th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 111 17.5 1.8 10% 4.8 / 14.5 (33%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
10th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 20 6.3 31% 9.3 / 17 (55%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
3rd Jun '17 UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 20 8.7 44% 6.0 / 5 (120%) 5.7 / 12 (48%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
28th May '17 UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 25 -4.4 -18% 5.7 / 9 (63%) -6.1 / 12 (-51%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
27th May '17 KSW 39 Colosseum 3 2.2 75% 2.2 / 3 (75%)
13th May '17 UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 23 -7.3 -32% -3.3 / 16 (-21%) -4.0 / 7 (-57%)
22nd Apr '17 UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov 21 0.1 1% 1.5 / 4 (38%) -7.0 / 7 (-100%) 5.6 / 10 (56%)
15th Apr '17 UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 21 -8.5 -41% -8.0 / 8 (-100%) -0.5 / 13 (-4%)
14th Apr '17 Bellator 177 Dantas vs. Higo 3 1.1 37% 1.1 / 3 (37%)
8th Apr '17 UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 11 -1.3 -12% -6.0 / 6 (-100%) 4.7 / 5 (94%)
18th Mar '17 UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson 14 5.1 36% 2.2 / 11 (20%) 2.9 / 3 (95%)
11th Mar '17 UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum 15 -0.8 -5% -3.0 / 11 (-27%) 2.2 / 4 (55%)
4th Mar '17 UFC 209 23 1.3 6% -3.4 / 13 (-26%) 4.8 / 10 (48%)
19th Feb '17 UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne 14 1.5 11% 1.5 / 14 (11%)
18th Feb '17 Bellator 172 10 0.6 6% 0.6 / 10 (6%)


Winning Events: 25 (60%)
Losing Events: 17 (40%)

Average Staked Per Event: 11.99 units
Most Staked On One Event: 25.00 units
Best Event: 14.11 units
Worst Event: -8.53 units
Average Event: 0.78 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 24.41
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -12.00

LuciferMMA : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2020 100 -6.4 -6% -12.8 / 80.5 (-16%) 6.5 / 14.5 (45%) -0.0 / 5 (-0%) 5 / 5 (50%) -0.64
2019 89 28.5 32% 28.6 / 82 (35%) -0.7 / 5 (-14%) 0.5 / 2 (26%) 6 / 3 (67%) 3.16
2018 38 2.1 5% 3.1 / 37 (8%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2 / 3 (40%) 0.42
2017 276.5 8.6 3% 19.4 / 174.5 (11%) -11.1 / 77 (-14%) 0.3 / 25 (1%) 12 / 6 (67%) 0.48

LuciferMMA : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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LuciferMMA : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 451.5 36.1 8% 36.6 / 332 (11%) 0.7 / 90.5 (1%) -1.2 / 29 (-4%)
Bellator 46 -7.4 -16% -2.3 / 36 (-7%) -7.0 / 7 (-100%) 2.0 / 3 (66%)
Other 6 4.0 67% 4.0 / 6 (67%)

LuciferMMA : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 24 (21%) 19 79 % 102.50 8.13 0.34 8%
Slight Favorites 44 (39%) 25 57 % 151.50 -0.41 -0.01 -0%
Slight Underdogs 28 (25%) 18 64 % 89.00 37.96 1.36 43%
Big Underdogs 18 (16%) 5 28 % 31.00 -7.37 -0.41 -24%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 18 (16%) 10 56 % 70.50 8.46 0.47 12%
Co-Main Event 11 (10%) 4 36 % 40.00 -14.94 -1.36 -37%
Position 3-5 26 (23%) 17 65 % 85.50 10.82 0.42 13%
6+ (Undercard) 59 (52%) 36 61 % 178.00 33.97 0.58 19%

LuciferMMA : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 11 (10%) 7 64 % 44.00 12.93 1.18 29%
Light Heavy 9 (8%) 4 44 % 28.00 -3.54 -0.39 -13%
Middleweight 16 (14%) 11 69 % 45.00 17.13 1.07 38%
Welterweight 21 (18%) 11 52 % 73.00 -9.02 -0.43 -12%
Lightweight 17 (15%) 10 59 % 57.00 0.79 0.05 1%
Featherweight 14 (12%) 8 57 % 45.50 7.13 0.51 16%
Bantamweight 15 (13%) 9 60 % 49.00 5.98 0.40 12%
Flyweight 2 (2%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -1.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 9 (8%) 7 78 % 30.50 8.91 0.99 29%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 2 100 % 11.50 3.17 1.59 28%
Flyweight 3 (3%) 2 67 % 6.00 2.97 0.99 49%
Strawweight 4 (4%) 3 75 % 13.00 2.77 0.69 21%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 16 (100%) 13 81 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
16 13 81 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 23 (52%) 15 65 %
50-65% 11 (25%) 6 55 %
35-50% 1 (2%) 1 100 %
<35% chance 9 (20%) 2 22 %
44 24 55 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 16 (36%) 10 63 % 1.53 1.95Pick was correct 1.22Pick was correct 0.1 (1%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (11%) 3 60 % 1.73 3.75Pick was correct 1.28Pick was incorrect 2.2 (44%)
Goes to Decision 1 (2%) 0 0 % 1.42 1.42Pick was incorrect 1.42Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision 12 (27%) 10 83 % 1.42 2.25Pick was correct 1.19Pick was correct 2.5 (21%)
X Wins by KO 3 (7%) 1 33 % 7.13 8.00Pick was correct 6.00Pick was incorrect 5.0 (167%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (5%) 0 0 % 2.95 2.95Pick was incorrect 2.95Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 1 (2%) 0 0 % 4.50 4.50Pick was incorrect 4.50Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 3 (7%) 0 0 % 1.99 5.80Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (2%) 0 0 % 8.00 8.00Pick was incorrect 8.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
44 24 55 % 1.73     1.8 (4%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail LuciferMMA 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
18th Feb Bellator 172 10 0.6 6% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,006.30
19th Feb UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne 14 1.5 11% $10.06 $1,006.30 $1,021.50
4th Mar UFC 209 23 1.3 6% $10.21 $1,021.50 $1,034.88
11th Mar UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum 15 -0.8 -5% $10.35 $1,034.88 $1,026.60
18th Mar UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson 14 5.1 36% $10.27 $1,026.60 $1,078.44
8th Apr UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 11 -1.3 -12% $10.78 $1,078.44 $1,064.20
14th Apr Bellator 177 Dantas vs. Higo 3 1.1 37% $10.64 $1,064.20 $1,076.02
15th Apr UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 21 -8.5 -41% $10.76 $1,076.02 $984.23
22nd Apr UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov 21 0.1 1% $9.84 $984.23 $985.27
13th May UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 23 -7.3 -32% $9.85 $985.27 $913.54
27th May KSW 39 Colosseum 3 2.2 75% $9.14 $913.54 $934.09
28th May UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 25 -4.4 -18% $9.34 $934.09 $892.90
3rd Jun UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 20 8.7 44% $8.93 $892.90 $970.76
10th Jun UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 20 6.3 31% $9.71 $970.76 $1,031.82
17th Jun UFC Fight Night 111 17.5 1.8 10% $10.32 $1,031.82 $1,049.98
24th Jun Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva 18 0.9 5% $10.50 $1,049.98 $1,059.64
25th Jun UFC Fight Night 112 14 -3.7 -27% $10.60 $1,059.64 $1,020.12
8th Jul UFC 213 4 5.0 125% $10.20 $1,020.12 $1,071.12
14th Jan UFC Fight Night 124 7 -7.0 -100% $10.71 $1,071.12 $996.14
20th Jan UFC 220 12 7.5 63% $9.96 $996.14 $1,071.15
20th Jan Bellator 192 5 -5.0 -100% $10.71 $1,071.15 $1,017.59
18th Feb UFC Fight Night 126 5 -5.0 -100% $10.18 $1,017.59 $966.72
17th Mar UFC Fight Night 127 9 11.6 128% $9.67 $966.72 $1,078.47
7th Sep UFC 242 14 -1.6 -11% $10.78 $1,078.47 $1,061.43
21st Sep UFC Fight Night 159 5 -5.0 -100% $10.61 $1,061.43 $1,008.36
2nd Nov UFC 244 15 14.1 94% $10.08 $1,008.36 $1,150.63
9th Nov UFC Fight Night 163 15 5.2 35% $11.51 $1,150.63 $1,210.70
9th Nov KSW 51 3 1.8 59% $12.11 $1,210.70 $1,232.13
16th Nov UFC Fight Night 164 10 3.3 33% $12.32 $1,232.13 $1,272.91
7th Dec UFC on ESPN 7 7 -0.1 -2% $12.73 $1,272.91 $1,271.38
15th Dec UFC 245 11 4.3 39% $12.71 $1,271.38 $1,325.67
21st Dec UFC Fight Night 165 9 6.5 72% $13.26 $1,325.67 $1,411.84
18th Jan UFC 246 13 1.7 13% $14.12 $1,411.84 $1,435.98
25th Jan UFC Fight Night 166 7.5 3.4 45% $14.36 $1,435.98 $1,484.38
26th Jan Bellator 238 5 -0.0 -0% $14.84 $1,484.38 $1,484.05
9th Feb UFC 247 15.5 -5.8 -38% $14.84 $1,484.05 $1,397.38
15th Feb UFC Fight Night 167 3.5 4.2 121% $13.97 $1,397.38 $1,456.77
21st Feb Bellator 239 5 -5.0 -100% $14.57 $1,456.77 $1,383.93
22nd Feb UFC Fight Night 168 11 -4.9 -45% $13.84 $1,383.93 $1,315.84
29th Feb UFC Fight Night 10 4.8 48% $13.16 $1,315.84 $1,378.34
8th Mar UFC 248 22.5 -8.0 -35% $13.78 $1,378.34 $1,268.76
14th Mar UFC Fight Night 170 7 3.3 47% $12.69 $1,268.76 $1,310.63


ROI % from starting bank balance: 31.06% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

LuciferMMA : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '20 Francisco Trinaldo John Makdessi 1.66 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '20 Danaa Batgerel Guido Cannetti 1.79 5 TKO, R1 (3:1) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '20 Renato Moicano Damir Hadzovic 1.33 4 Sub, R1 (0:44) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '20 Israel Adesanya Yoel Romero 1.40 4 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '20 Marcin Tybura Sergey Spivak 2.00 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '20 Jalin Turner Joshua Culibao 1.52 4 TKO, R2 (3:1) MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '20 Andre Ewell Jonathan Martinez 1.82 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '20 Journey Newson Domingo Pilarte 2.10 2 TKO, R1 (0:38) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '20 Angela Hill Hannah Cifers 1.57 4 TKO, R2 (4:26) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jan '20 Drew Dober Nasrat Haqparast 3.60 2 TKO, R1 (1:10) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jan '20 Carlos Diego Ferreira Anthony Pettis 1.40 4 Sub, R2 (1:46) MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '19 Da Un Jung Mike Rodriguez 2.05 3 TKO, R1 (1:4) MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '19 Raoni Barcelos Said Nurmagomedov 1.87 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '19 Omari Akhmedov Ian Heinisch 2.25 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '19 Punahele Soriano Oskar Piechota 2.00 3 TKO, R1 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '19 Rob Font Ricky Simon 1.72 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '19 Francisco Trinaldo Bobby Green 1.73 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '19 Wellington Turman Markus Perez 1.94 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '19 Randy Brown Warlley Alves 2.12 2 Sub, R2 (1:22) MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '19 Pannie Kianzad Jessica-Rose Clark 1.92 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '20 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Weili Zhang 2.50 4 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '20 Deron Winn Gerald Meerschaert 1.69 3 Sub, R3 (2:13) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '20 Saparbek Safarov Rodolfo Vieira 6.50 2 Sub, R1 (2:58) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '20 Guido Cannetti Danaa Batgerel 2.20 4 TKO, R1 (3:1) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '20 Ismail Naurdiev Sean Brady 1.80 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '20 Javy Ayala Valentin Moldavsky 5.85 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '20 Michal Oleksiejczuk Jim Crute 1.72 4 Sub, R1 (3:29) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '20 Yancy Medeiros Lando Vannata 1.91 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '20 Miles Johns Mario Bautista 1.79 3 TKO, R2 (1:41) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '20 Katlyn Chookagian Valentina Shevchenko 8.00 1 TKO, R3 (1:3) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '20 Mirsad Bektic Dan Ige 1.76 3.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jan '20 Alfred Khashakyan Sergio Pettis 3.25 2 Sub, R1 (3:0) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jan '20 Justin Ledet Aleksa Camur 2.05 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jan '20 Ode Osbourne Brian Kelleher 1.79 3 Sub, R1 (2:49) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '19 Matt Schnell Alexandre Pantoja 2.80 1 TKO, R1 (4:17) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '19 Max Holloway Alex Volkanovski 1.56 4 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '19 Matt Sayles Bryce Mitchell 1.93 3 Sub, R1 (4:20) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '19 Dalcha Lungiambula Magomed Ankalaev 4.00 1 TKO, R3 (0:29) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '19 Calvin Kattar Zabit Magomedsharipov 3.72 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '19 Vinicius Moreira Paul Craig 1.95 3 Sub, R1 (3:19) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

LuciferMMA : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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