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MMA Handicapper Profile: 𝐒𝐇𝐀𝐑𝐏 π“π‡πŽπ”π†π‡π“

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𝐒𝐇𝐀𝐑𝐏 π“π‡πŽπ”π†π‡π“ (SharpThought)


MMA MHandicapper - 𝐒𝐇𝐀𝐑𝐏  π“π‡πŽπ”π†π‡π“

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 65 (52%) Right 61 (53%) Right 2 (50%) Right 2 (40%)
Wrong 60 (48%) Wrong 55 (47%) Wrong 2 (50%) Wrong 3 (60%)
Avg Odds 1.81 Avg Odds 1.81 Avg Odds 1.90 Avg Odds 1.86
Units Bet 232.2 Units Bet 219.2 Units Bet 5.0 Units Bet 8.0
Avg Bet 1.86 Avg Bet 1.89 Avg Bet 1.25 Avg Bet 1.60
Units Profit -7.05 Units Profit -5.19 Units Profit -1.75 Units Profit -0.11
ROI % -3% ROI % -2% ROI % -35% ROI % -1%
View Handicapper's Stats

Straight Pick Stats

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 28 (23%) 19 68 % 90.00 -7.25 -0.26 -8%
Slight Favorites 44 (35%) 27 61 % 87.00 3.52 0.08 4%
Slight Underdogs 49 (40%) 20 41 % 39.50 -3.15 -0.06 -8%
Big Underdogs 3 (2%) 1 33 % 2.70 1.68 0.56 62%
 

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Click here to view breakdown of straight picks

𝐒𝐇𝐀𝐑𝐏 π“π‡πŽπ”π†π‡π“'s MMA Handicapper Bio

β€œMy only Interest Is Intere$t."

SHARP THOUGHT FIGHT PICKS
'Numbers Over Narratives.'

www.SharpThought.net
(Full-feature official website coming soon.)

I am a combat sports gambler first and foremost. I am here to share my winning information and help others make money long-term. All selections released here I also bet myself. I put my money where my mouth is. The goal is to make money betting on combat sports while also giving subscribers the option to tail my bets and make a profit along with me. I derive my own projected odds for each matchup by utilizing data-driven prediction models and matchup breakdowns via tape study. I then compare the projected β€œtrue” odds that I have generated to what the marketplace is offering. When I find inefficiencies in the betting market I make my move. I bet numbers not fighters hence my slogan: "Numbers Over Narratives". The unit size depends on my confidence in the selection as well as the implied odds. Units constitute as a percentage of my entire bankroll (1 unit = 1% of my total bankroll, etc.). I am very selective and only make investments when I am extremely confident. I grind out long term profits this way. At the end of the day the winning percentage does not matter. The only thing you should be concerned with is your bottom line and Return On Investment. Trading combat sports is part of my investment portfolio and I run it as a business with discipline and strict money management so I definitely don't wager on every fight on a card. That’s a good way to lose money and if that’s what you’re looking for then you should go elsewhere.

Sports betting is not about results; it’s about the process. You cannot control the outcome of fights, but you can manage your handicapping/betting process. My goal is to make +EV (positive expected value) investments that lead to profitable outcomes long-term.

Remember, consistency is more important than perfection.
Over the long term, only the β€œGrinders” survive.

 

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by 𝐒𝐇𝐀𝐑𝐏 π“π‡πŽπ”π†π‡π“

This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights.

𝐒𝐇𝐀𝐑𝐏 π“π‡πŽπ”π†π‡π“'s MMA Handicapper's Pick History


Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

UFC FN, Yas Island, 16th Jan '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Ramazan Emeev David Zawada W 1.39 3 1.16 $11.63 39% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.39 3.00 1.16 $11.63 39%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.00 1.16 $11.63 39%  

UFC Vegas 17, Las Vegas, 19th Dec '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jose Aldo Marlon Vera W 1.69 3 2.07 $20.69 69% Bet Info
Marlon Moraes Rob Font L 1.65 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.67 5.00 0.07 $0.69 1%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 0.07 $0.69 1%  

UFC 256, Las Vegas, 13th Dec '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Deiveson Figueiredo Brandon Moreno D 1.39 2.6 0.00 $0.00 0% Bet Info
Tony Ferguson Charles Oliveira L 1.65 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.51 4.60 -2.00 $-20.00 -43%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   4.60 -2.00 $-20.00 -43%  

UFC Vegas 16, Las Vegas, 6th Dec '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jack Hermansson Marvin Vettori L 2.17 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Jamahal Hill Ovince St Preux W 1.63 2 1.25 $12.50 63% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.86 3.00 0.25 $2.50 8%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.00 0.25 $2.50 8%  

UFC Vegas 15, Las Vegas, 29th Nov '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Miguel Baeza Takashi Sato W 1.63 2 1.27 $12.66 63% Bet Info
Nathan Maness Luke Sanders W 2.26 1 1.26 $12.60 126% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.90 3.00 2.53 $25.26 84%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.00 2.53 $25.26 84%  

UFC 255, Las Vegas, 21st Nov '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Mauricio Rua Paul Craig L 2.60 1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% Bet Info
Brandon Moreno Brandon Royval W 1.53 2 1.05 $10.53 53% Bet Info
Jared Gooden Alan Jouban L 2.23 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.02 4.50 -1.45 $-14.47 -32%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Valentina Shevchenko vs Jennifer Maia Shevchenko wins inside distance L 1.50
  2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.50 -3.45 $-34.47 -53%  

DWCS 36, Las Vegas, 18th Nov '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Sherrard Blackledge Tucker Lutz L 1.57 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.57 2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  

UFC Vegas 14, Las Vegas, 14th Nov '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Paul Felder Rafael dos Anjos L 2.71 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Abdul Razak Alhassan Kalinn Williams L 1.48 2.5 -2.50 $-25.00 -100% Bet Info
Miranda Granger Ashley Yoder L 2.00 1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% Bet Info
Brendan Allen Sean Strickland L 2.00 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Alex Morono Rhys McKee W 1.58 2.5 1.46 $14.62 58% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.87 7.50 -3.54 $-35.38 -47%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   7.50 -3.54 $-35.38 -47%  

DWCS 35, Las Vegas, 11th Nov '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz Mario Sousa L 2.20 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.20 1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  

UFC Vegas 13, Las Vegas, 8th Nov '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Raoni Barcelos Khalid Taha W 1.29 5 1.43 $14.29 29% Bet Info
Claudia Gadelha Yan Xiaonan L 2.50 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Trevin Giles Bevon Lewis W 2.00 1 1.00 $10.00 100% Bet Info
Alexander Romanov Marcos Rogerio de Lima W 1.37 4 1.48 $14.81 37% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.66 12.00 1.91 $19.10 16%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   12.00 1.91 $19.10 16%  

Bellator 251, Uncasville, 5th Nov '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Bryce Logan Georgi Karakhanyan L 1.69 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.69 2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  

DWCS 34, Las Vegas, 5th Nov '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Bruno Oliveira Carlos Ulberg L 2.75 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Luis Saldana Vince Murdock W 1.61 1 0.61 $6.06 61% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.03 1.50 0.11 $1.06 7%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.50 0.11 $1.06 7%  

UFC Vegas 12, Las Vegas, 31st Oct '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Andre Fili Bryce Mitchell L 2.35 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Andre Fili Bryce Mitchell L 2.10 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Jason Witt Cole Williams W 1.71 2 1.43 $14.29 71% Bet Info
Miles Johns Kevin Natividad W 1.63 2 1.27 $12.66 63% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.91 5.00 1.69 $16.94 34%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 1.69 $16.94 34%  

Bellator 250, Uncasville, 29th Oct '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Douglas Lima Gegard Mousasi L 2.45 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.45 0.50 -0.50 $-5.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   0.50 -0.50 $-5.00 -100%  

UFC 254, Yas Island, 24th Oct '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Robert Whittaker Jared Cannonier W 2.20 1 1.20 $12.00 120% Bet Info
Robert Whittaker Jared Cannonier W 2.15 2 2.30 $23.00 115% Bet Info
Alexander Volkov Walt Harris W 1.66 2.5 1.66 $16.56 66% Bet Info
Shavkat Rakhmonov Alex Oliveira W 2.30 1 1.30 $13.00 130% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.04 6.50 6.46 $64.56 99%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.50 6.46 $64.56 99%  

UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie, Yas Island, 17th Oct '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Chan Sung Jung Brian Ortega L 1.50 4 -4.00 $-40.00 -100% Bet Info
Jessica Andrade Katlyn Chookagian W 1.74 2 1.48 $14.81 74% Bet Info
Thomas Almeida Jonathan Martinez L 2.02 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.73 7.00 -3.52 $-35.19 -50%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   7.00 -3.52 $-35.19 -50%  

UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen, Yas Island, 10th Oct '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Cory Sandhagen Marlon Moraes W 1.61 3 1.82 $18.18 61% Bet Info
Makwan Amirkhani Edson Barboza L 3.05 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Youssef Zalal Ilia Topuria L 1.57 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Ali Al Qaisi Tony Kelley L 2.80 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Omar Morales Giga Chikadze L 1.74 1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.99 8.50 -3.68 $-36.82 -43%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   8.50 -3.68 $-36.82 -43%  

UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana, Yas Island, 4th Oct '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Casey Kenney Heili Alateng W 1.49 3 1.46 $14.63 49% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.49 3.00 1.46 $14.63 49%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Casey Kenney vs Heili Alateng Kenney wins by decision W 2.00
  1 1.00 $10.00 100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Dequan Townsend vs Dusko Todorovic Todorovic to win W 1.32
Pi Jordan Williams vs Nassourdine Imavov Williams to win L 1.71
    Parlay Odds:   2.27
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 0.00 $0.00 0%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 1.46 $14.63 29%  

UFC 253, Yas Island, 26th Sep '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Israel Adesanya Paulo Costa W 1.71 3 2.14 $21.43 71% Bet Info
Kai Kara-France Brandon Royval L 1.53 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Zubaira Tukhugov Hakeem Dawodu L 1.91 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Ludovit Klein Shane Young W 2.10 1 1.10 $11.00 110% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.79 9.00 -1.76 $-17.57 -20%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   9.00 -1.76 $-17.57 -20%  

UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley, Las Vegas, 19th Sep '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
David Dvorak Jordan Espinosa W 1.88 2 1.77 $17.70 88% Bet Info
Journey Newson Randy Costa L 1.71 4 -4.00 $-40.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Andre Ewell Irwin Rivera W 1.59 2.5 1.47 $14.71 59% Bet Info
Jerome Rivera Tyson Nam L 2.45 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.86 9.00 -1.26 $-12.60 -14%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Colby Covington vs Tyron Woodley Covington to win W 1.29
Pi Darrick Minner vs T.J. Laramie Laramie to win L 1.40
    Parlay Odds:   1.81
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 -2.26 $-22.60 -23%  



>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history

 
 
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