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MMA Handicapper Profile: πππππ πππππππ
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15 followers |
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Straight Pick Stats
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Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
28 (23%) |
19 |
68 % |
90.00 |
-7.25 |
-0.26 |
-8% |
Slight Favorites |
44 (35%) |
27 |
61 % |
87.00 |
3.52 |
0.08 |
4% |
Slight Underdogs |
49 (40%) |
20 |
41 % |
39.50 |
-3.15 |
-0.06 |
-8% |
Big Underdogs |
3 (2%) |
1 |
33 % |
2.70 |
1.68 |
0.56 |
62% |
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Progress Chart
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Click here to view breakdown of straight picks |
πππππ πππππππ's MMA Handicapper Bio
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βMy only Interest Is Intere$t."
SHARP THOUGHT FIGHT PICKS
'Numbers Over Narratives.'
www.SharpThought.net
(Full-feature official website coming soon.)
I am a combat sports gambler first and foremost. I am here to share my winning information and help others make money long-term. All selections released here I also bet myself. I put my money where my mouth is. The goal is to make money betting on combat sports while also giving subscribers the option to tail my bets and make a profit along with me. I derive my own projected odds for each matchup by utilizing data-driven prediction models and matchup breakdowns via tape study. I then compare the projected βtrueβ odds that I have generated to what the marketplace is offering. When I find inefficiencies in the betting market I make my move. I bet numbers not fighters hence my slogan: "Numbers Over Narratives". The unit size depends on my confidence in the selection as well as the implied odds. Units constitute as a percentage of my entire bankroll (1 unit = 1% of my total bankroll, etc.). I am very selective and only make investments when I am extremely confident. I grind out long term profits this way. At the end of the day the winning percentage does not matter. The only thing you should be concerned with is your bottom line and Return On Investment. Trading combat sports is part of my investment portfolio and I run it as a business with discipline and strict money management so I definitely don't wager on every fight on a card. Thatβs a good way to lose money and if thatβs what youβre looking for then you should go elsewhere.
Sports betting is not about results; itβs about the process. You cannot control the outcome of fights, but you can manage your handicapping/betting process. My goal is to make +EV (positive expected value) investments that lead to profitable outcomes long-term.
Remember, consistency is more important than perfection.
Over the long term, only the βGrindersβ survive.
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Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by πππππ πππππππ |
This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights. |
πππππ πππππππ's MMA Handicapper's Pick History
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Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.
UFC FN, Yas Island,
16th Jan '21 |
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
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Ramazan Emeev |
David Zawada |
W |
1.39 |
3 |
1.16 |
$11.63 |
39% |
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Straight Pick Event Totals: |
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1.39 |
3.00 |
1.16 |
$11.63 |
39% |
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Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
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3.00 |
1.16 |
$11.63 |
39% |
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Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
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5.00 |
0.07 |
$0.69 |
1% |
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Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
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4.60 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-43% |
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Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
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3.00 |
0.25 |
$2.50 |
8% |
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Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
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3.00 |
2.53 |
$25.26 |
84% |
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Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Valentina Shevchenko vs Jennifer Maia |
Shevchenko wins inside distance |
L |
1.50 |
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2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
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Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
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2.00 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
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Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
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6.50 |
-3.45 |
$-34.47 |
-53% |
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DWCS 36, Las Vegas,
18th Nov '20 |
Pick |
Opponent |
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Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
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Sherrard Blackledge |
Tucker Lutz |
L |
1.57 |
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
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Straight Pick Event Totals: |
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1.57 |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
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Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
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2.00 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
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Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
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7.50 |
-3.54 |
$-35.38 |
-47% |
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DWCS 35, Las Vegas,
11th Nov '20 |
Pick |
Opponent |
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Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
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Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz |
Mario Sousa |
L |
2.20 |
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
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Straight Pick Event Totals: |
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2.20 |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
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Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
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1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
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Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
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12.00 |
1.91 |
$19.10 |
16% |
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Bellator 251, Uncasville,
5th Nov '20 |
Pick |
Opponent |
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Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
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Bryce Logan |
Georgi Karakhanyan |
L |
1.69 |
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
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Straight Pick Event Totals: |
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1.69 |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
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Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
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2.00 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
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Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
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1.50 |
0.11 |
$1.06 |
7% |
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Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
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5.00 |
1.69 |
$16.94 |
34% |
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Bellator 250, Uncasville,
29th Oct '20 |
Pick |
Opponent |
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Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
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Douglas Lima |
Gegard Mousasi |
L |
2.45 |
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
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Straight Pick Event Totals: |
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2.45 |
0.50 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
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Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
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0.50 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
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Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
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6.50 |
6.46 |
$64.56 |
99% |
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Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
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7.00 |
-3.52 |
$-35.19 |
-50% |
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Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
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8.50 |
-3.68 |
$-36.82 |
-43% |
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Pick |
Opponent |
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Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
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Casey Kenney |
Heili Alateng |
W |
1.49 |
3 |
1.46 |
$14.63 |
49% |
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Straight Pick Event Totals: |
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1.49 |
3.00 |
1.46 |
$14.63 |
49% |
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Fight |
Pick |
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Odds |
PrPi |
Casey Kenney vs Heili Alateng |
Kenney wins by decision |
W |
2.00 |
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1 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
100% |
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Fight |
Pick |
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Odds |
Pi |
Dequan Townsend vs Dusko Todorovic |
Todorovic to win |
W |
1.32 |
Pi |
Jordan Williams vs Nassourdine Imavov |
Williams to win |
L |
1.71 |
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Parlay Odds: |
2.27 |
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1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
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Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
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2.00 |
0.00 |
$0.00 |
0% |
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Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
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5.00 |
1.46 |
$14.63 |
29% |
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Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
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9.00 |
-1.76 |
$-17.57 |
-20% |
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Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Colby Covington vs Tyron Woodley |
Covington to win |
W |
1.29 |
Pi |
Darrick Minner vs T.J. Laramie |
Laramie to win |
L |
1.40 |
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Parlay Odds: |
1.81 |
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1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
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Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
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1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
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Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
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10.00 |
-2.26 |
$-22.60 |
-23% |
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>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history
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