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MMA Handicapper Profile: 𝐒𝐇𝐀𝐑𝐏 π“π‡πŽπ”π†π‡π“

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𝐒𝐇𝐀𝐑𝐏 π“π‡πŽπ”π†π‡π“ (SharpThought)


MMA MHandicapper - 𝐒𝐇𝐀𝐑𝐏  π“π‡πŽπ”π†π‡π“

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 52 (54%) Right 48 (55%) Right 2 (67%) Right 2 (40%)
Wrong 44 (46%) Wrong 40 (45%) Wrong 1 (33%) Wrong 3 (60%)
Avg Odds 1.82 Avg Odds 1.81 Avg Odds 2.09 Avg Odds 1.86
Units Bet 178.7 Units Bet 167.7 Units Bet 3.0 Units Bet 8.0
Avg Bet 1.86 Avg Bet 1.91 Avg Bet 1.00 Avg Bet 1.60
Units Profit -0.78 Units Profit -0.93 Units Profit 0.25 Units Profit -0.11
ROI % -0% ROI % -1% ROI % 8% ROI % -1%
View Handicapper's Stats

Straight Pick Stats

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 23 (24%) 15 65 % 73.50 -9.87 -0.43 -13%
Slight Favorites 33 (35%) 20 61 % 64.50 2.18 0.07 3%
Slight Underdogs 36 (38%) 18 50 % 27.00 5.09 0.14 19%
Big Underdogs 3 (3%) 1 33 % 2.70 1.68 0.56 62%
 

Progress Chart

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Click here to view breakdown of straight picks

𝐒𝐇𝐀𝐑𝐏 π“π‡πŽπ”π†π‡π“'s MMA Handicapper Bio

β€œMy only Interest Is Intere$t."

SHARP THOUGHT FIGHT PICKS
'Numbers Over Narratives.'

www.SharpThought.net
(Full-feature official website coming soon.)

I am a combat sports gambler first and foremost. I am here to share my winning information and help others make money long-term. All selections released here I also bet myself. I put my money where my mouth is. The goal is to make money betting on combat sports while also giving subscribers the option to tail my bets and make a profit along with me. I derive my own projected odds for each matchup by utilizing data-driven prediction models and matchup breakdowns via tape study. I then compare the projected β€œtrue” odds that I have generated to what the marketplace is offering. When I find inefficiencies in the betting market I make my move. I bet numbers not fighters hence my slogan: "Numbers Over Narratives". The unit size depends on my confidence in the selection as well as the implied odds. Units constitute as a percentage of my entire bankroll (1 unit = 1% of my total bankroll, etc.). I am very selective and only make investments when I am extremely confident. I grind out long term profits this way. At the end of the day the winning percentage does not matter. The only thing you should be concerned with is your bottom line and Return On Investment. Trading combat sports is part of my investment portfolio and I run it as a business with discipline and strict money management so I definitely don't wager on every fight on a card. That’s a good way to lose money and if that’s what you’re looking for then you should go elsewhere.

Sports betting is not about results; it’s about the process. You cannot control the outcome of fights, but you can manage your handicapping/betting process. My goal is to make +EV (positive expected value) investments that lead to profitable outcomes long-term.

Remember, consistency is more important than perfection.
Over the long term, only the β€œGrinders” survive.

 

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by 𝐒𝐇𝐀𝐑𝐏 π“π‡πŽπ”π†π‡π“

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 31st Oct '20 View this capper's previous bets on/against fighters on this card

Straight Pick Opponent Odds Unit Bet    
Andre Fili Bryce Mitchell 2.35 0.5 MMA Bookmaker
Andre Fili Bryce Mitchell 2.10 0.5 MMA Bookmaker
Miles Johns Kevin Natividad 1.63 2 MMA Bookmaker
Jason Witt Cole Williams 1.71 2 MMA Bookmaker



UFC FN, Las Vegas, 7th Nov '20 View this capper's previous bets on/against fighters on this card

Straight Pick Opponent Odds Unit Bet    
Brendan Allen Ian Heinisch 1.74 2 MMA Bookmaker
Alexander Romanov Marcos Rogerio de Lima 1.37 4 MMA Bookmaker
Trevin Giles Bevon Lewis 2.00 1 MMA Bookmaker



UFC 256, Las Vegas, 12th Dec '20 View this capper's previous bets on/against fighters on this card

Straight Pick Opponent Odds Unit Bet    
Petr Yan Aljamain Sterling 1.77 2.5 MMA Bookmaker



𝐒𝐇𝐀𝐑𝐏 π“π‡πŽπ”π†π‡π“'s MMA Handicapper's Pick History


Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

Bellator 250, Uncasville, 29th Oct '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Douglas Lima Gegard Mousasi L 2.45 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.45 0.50 -0.50 $-5.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   0.50 -0.50 $-5.00 -100%  

UFC 254, Yas Island, 24th Oct '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Robert Whittaker Jared Cannonier W 2.20 1 1.20 $12.00 120% Bet Info
Robert Whittaker Jared Cannonier W 2.15 2 2.30 $23.00 115% Bet Info
Alexander Volkov Walt Harris W 1.66 2.5 1.66 $16.56 66% Bet Info
Shavkat Rakhmonov Alex Oliveira W 2.30 1 1.30 $13.00 130% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.04 6.50 6.46 $64.56 99%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.50 6.46 $64.56 99%  

UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie, Yas Island, 17th Oct '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Chan Sung Jung Brian Ortega L 1.50 4 -4.00 $-40.00 -100% Bet Info
Jessica Andrade Katlyn Chookagian W 1.74 2 1.48 $14.81 74% Bet Info
Thomas Almeida Jonathan Martinez L 2.02 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.73 7.00 -3.52 $-35.19 -50%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   7.00 -3.52 $-35.19 -50%  

UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen, Yas Island, 10th Oct '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Cory Sandhagen Marlon Moraes W 1.61 3 1.82 $18.18 61% Bet Info
Makwan Amirkhani Edson Barboza L 3.05 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Youssef Zalal Ilia Topuria L 1.57 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Ali Al Qaisi Tony Kelley L 2.80 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Omar Morales Giga Chikadze L 1.74 1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.99 8.50 -3.68 $-36.82 -43%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   8.50 -3.68 $-36.82 -43%  

UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana, Yas Island, 4th Oct '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Casey Kenney Heili Alateng W 1.49 3 1.46 $14.63 49% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.49 3.00 1.46 $14.63 49%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Casey Kenney vs Heili Alateng Kenney wins by decision W 2.00
  1 1.00 $10.00 100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Dequan Townsend vs Dusko Todorovic Todorovic to win W 1.32
Pi Jordan Williams vs Nassourdine Imavov Williams to win L 1.71
    Parlay Odds:   2.27
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 0.00 $0.00 0%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 1.46 $14.63 29%  

UFC 253, Yas Island, 26th Sep '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Israel Adesanya Paulo Costa W 1.71 3 2.14 $21.43 71% Bet Info
Kai Kara-France Brandon Royval L 1.53 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Zubaira Tukhugov Hakeem Dawodu L 1.91 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Ludovit Klein Shane Young W 2.10 1 1.10 $11.00 110% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.79 9.00 -1.76 $-17.57 -20%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   9.00 -1.76 $-17.57 -20%  

UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley, Las Vegas, 19th Sep '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
David Dvorak Jordan Espinosa W 1.88 2 1.77 $17.70 88% Bet Info
Journey Newson Randy Costa L 1.71 4 -4.00 $-40.00 -100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Andre Ewell Irwin Rivera W 1.59 2.5 1.47 $14.71 59% Bet Info
Jerome Rivera Tyson Nam L 2.45 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.86 9.00 -1.26 $-12.60 -14%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Colby Covington vs Tyron Woodley Covington to win W 1.29
Pi Darrick Minner vs T.J. Laramie Laramie to win L 1.40
    Parlay Odds:   1.81
  1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.00 -2.26 $-22.60 -23%  

DWCS 33, Las Vegas, 16th Sep '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Gregory Rodrigues Jordan Williams L 1.80 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Taneisha Tennant Danyelle Wolf L 2.30 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.02 1.50 -1.50 $-15.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.50 -1.50 $-15.00 -100%  

Bellator 246, Uncasville, 13th Sep '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Juan Archulata Patrick Mix W 2.35 0.5 0.68 $6.75 135% Bet Info
Neiman Gracie Jon Fitch W 1.80 1 0.80 $8.00 80% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.04 1.50 1.47 $14.75 98%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.50 1.47 $14.75 98%  

UFC Fight Night 184, Las Vegas, 12th Sep '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Ottman Azaitar Khama Worthy W 1.70 3 2.10 $20.98 70% Bet Info
Billy Quarantillo Kyle Nelson W 1.50 3 1.50 $15.00 50% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.59 6.00 3.60 $35.98 60%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Bryan Barberena vs Anthony Ivy Barberena wins inside distance L 1.87
  1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.50 -1.50 $-15.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   7.50 2.10 $20.98 28%  

Bellator 245, Uncasville, 11th Sep '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Rafael Carvalho Alex Polizzi L 1.65 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.65 1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  

DWCS 32, Las Vegas, 9th Sep '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Sherrard Blackledge Cameron Church W 2.25 0.5 0.63 $6.25 125% Bet Info
Drako Rodriguez Leomana Martinez W 2.40 0.5 0.70 $7.00 140% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.32 1.00 1.33 $13.25 133%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.00 1.33 $13.25 133%  

UFC Fight Night 183, Las Vegas, 5th Sep '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Augusto Sakai Alistair Overeem L 2.75 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Alonzo Menifield Ovince St Preux L 1.80 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Zelim Imadaev Michel Pereira L 2.29 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Andre Muniz Bartosz Fabinski W 2.31 1 1.31 $13.10 131% Bet Info
Hunter Azure Cole Smith W 1.54 2 1.08 $10.81 54% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.05 7.00 -1.61 $-16.09 -23%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   7.00 -1.61 $-16.09 -23%  

LFA 90, Sioux Falls, 5th Sep '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Ricky Steele Zviad Lazishvili L 1.74 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.74 1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  

DWCS 31, Las Vegas, 2nd Sep '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jimmy Flick Nate Smith W 2.55 1 1.55 $15.50 155% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.55 1.00 1.55 $15.50 155%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Chase Gibson vs Tucker Lutz Lutz to win W 1.33
Pi Jose Johnson vs Ronnie Lawrence Johnson to win L 1.36
    Parlay Odds:   1.80
  1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.50 -1.50 $-15.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.50 0.05 $0.50 2%  

UFC Fight Night 182, Las Vegas, 29th Aug '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Robbie Lawler Neil Magny L 3.00 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Ricardo Lamas Bill Algeo W 1.36 3 1.07 $10.71 36% Bet Info
Maki Pitolo Impa Kasanganay L 2.35 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Maki Pitolo Impa Kasanganay L 2.10 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.03 4.50 -0.43 $-4.29 -10%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Sean Brady vs Christian Aguilera Brady to win W 1.26
Pi Anthony Smith vs Aleksandar Rakic Rakic to win W 1.37
    Parlay Odds:   1.72
  2.5 1.80 $18.04 72% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Sean Brady vs Christian Aguilera Brady wins inside distance W 2.50
  0.5 0.75 $7.50 150% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.00 2.55 $25.54 85%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   7.50 2.13 $21.26 28%  

DWCS 30, Las Vegas, 26th Aug '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jhonoven Pati Jamie Pickett L 2.20 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Anthony Romero Mike Breeden W 1.67 1.5 1.01 $10.07 67% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.90 2.50 0.01 $0.07 0%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.50 0.01 $0.07 0%  

UFC Vegas 7, Las Vegas, 22nd Aug '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Pedro Munhoz Frankie Edgar L 1.43 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Joe Solecki Austin Hubbard W 2.00 1 1.00 $10.00 100% Bet Info
Joe Solecki Austin Hubbard W 2.00 1 1.00 $10.00 100% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Joe Solecki Austin Hubbard W 1.83 1.5 1.25 $12.50 83% Bet Info
Joe Solecki Austin Hubbard W 1.84 1.5 1.26 $12.61 84% Bet Info
Daniel Rodriguez Dwight Grant W 1.54 2 1.08 $10.81 54% Bet Info
Carlton Minus Matt Semelsberger L 1.73 1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.74 11.50 1.09 $10.92 9%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   11.50 1.09 $10.92 9%  

Bellator 244, Uncasville, 21st Aug '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Vadim Nemkov Ryan Bader W 2.20 1 1.20 $12.00 120% Bet Info
Vladimir Tokov Chris Gonzalez L 2.07 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.13 2.00 0.20 $2.00 10%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 0.20 $2.00 10%  

DWCS 29, Las Vegas, 19th Aug '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Victor Reyna Louis Cosce L 2.00 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Matt Dixon Orion Cosce L 1.36 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Kevin Syler Kenny Cross L 1.67 1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.63 5.50 -5.50 $-55.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.50 -5.50 $-55.00 -100%  



>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history

 
 
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