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MMA Handicapper Profile: 𝐒𝐇𝐀𝐑𝐏 π“π‡πŽπ”π†π‡π“

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𝐒𝐇𝐀𝐑𝐏 π“π‡πŽπ”π†π‡π“ (SharpThought)


MMA MHandicapper - 𝐒𝐇𝐀𝐑𝐏  π“π‡πŽπ”π†π‡π“

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 77 (54%) Right 73 (55%) Right 2 (50%) Right 2 (40%)
Wrong 65 (46%) Wrong 60 (45%) Wrong 2 (50%) Wrong 3 (60%)
Avg Odds 1.80 Avg Odds 1.79 Avg Odds 1.90 Avg Odds 1.86
Units Bet 261.2 Units Bet 248.2 Units Bet 5.0 Units Bet 8.0
Avg Bet 1.84 Avg Bet 1.87 Avg Bet 1.25 Avg Bet 1.60
Units Profit -1.08 Units Profit 0.78 Units Profit -1.75 Units Profit -0.11
ROI % -0% ROI % 0% ROI % -35% ROI % -1%
View Handicapper's Stats

Straight Pick Stats

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 33 (23%) 23 70 % 102.50 -5.88 -0.18 -6%
Slight Favorites 52 (37%) 33 63 % 99.50 7.30 0.14 7%
Slight Underdogs 53 (38%) 22 42 % 43.50 -2.32 -0.04 -5%
Big Underdogs 3 (2%) 1 33 % 2.70 1.68 0.56 62%
 

Progress Chart

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Click here to view breakdown of straight picks

𝐒𝐇𝐀𝐑𝐏 π“π‡πŽπ”π†π‡π“'s MMA Handicapper Bio

β€œMy only Interest Is Intere$t."

SHARP THOUGHT FIGHT PICKS
'Numbers Over Narratives.'

www.SharpThought.net
(Full-feature official website coming soon.)

I am a combat sports gambler first and foremost. I am here to share my winning information and help others make money long-term. All selections released here I also bet myself. I put my money where my mouth is. The goal is to make money betting on combat sports while also giving subscribers the option to tail my bets and make a profit along with me. I derive my own projected odds for each matchup by utilizing data-driven prediction models and matchup breakdowns via tape study. I then compare the projected β€œtrue” odds that I have generated to what the marketplace is offering. When I find inefficiencies in the betting market I make my move. I bet numbers not fighters hence my slogan: "Numbers Over Narratives". The unit size depends on my confidence in the selection as well as the implied odds. Units constitute as a percentage of my entire bankroll (1 unit = 1% of my total bankroll, etc.). I am very selective and only make investments when I am extremely confident. I grind out long term profits this way. At the end of the day the winning percentage does not matter. The only thing you should be concerned with is your bottom line and Return On Investment. Trading combat sports is part of my investment portfolio and I run it as a business with discipline and strict money management so I definitely don't wager on every fight on a card. That’s a good way to lose money and if that’s what you’re looking for then you should go elsewhere.

Sports betting is not about results; it’s about the process. You cannot control the outcome of fights, but you can manage your handicapping/betting process. My goal is to make +EV (positive expected value) investments that lead to profitable outcomes long-term.

Remember, consistency is more important than perfection.
Over the long term, only the β€œGrinders” survive.

 

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by 𝐒𝐇𝐀𝐑𝐏 π“π‡πŽπ”π†π‡π“

Bellator 257, Uncasville, 16th Apr '21 View this capper's previous bets on/against fighters on this card

Straight Pick Opponent Odds Unit Bet    
Phil Davis Vadim Nemkov 2.70 1 MMA Bookmaker



UFC FN, Las Vegas, 17th Apr '21 View this capper's previous bets on/against fighters on this card

Straight Pick Opponent Odds Unit Bet    
Jeremy Stephens Drakkar Klose 1.73 1.5 MMA Bookmaker



UFC 262, Las Vegas, 15th May '21 View this capper's previous bets on/against fighters on this card

Straight Pick Opponent Odds Unit Bet    
Michael Chandler Charles Oliveira 2.25 1 MMA Bookmaker



𝐒𝐇𝐀𝐑𝐏 π“π‡πŽπ”π†π‡π“'s MMA Handicapper's Pick History


Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 10th Apr '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jack Shore Hunter Azure W 1.74 1.5 1.10 $11.03 74% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.74 1.50 1.10 $11.03 74%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.50 1.10 $11.03 74%  

UFC 260, Las Vegas, 28th Mar '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Stipe Miocic Francis Ngannou L 2.00 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Vicente Luque Tyron Woodley W 1.36 3 1.09 $10.91 36% Bet Info
Omar Morales Shane Young W 1.52 2 1.05 $10.47 52% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.59 6.00 1.14 $11.38 19%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.00 1.14 $11.38 19%  

UFC Fight Night 188, Las Vegas, 21st Mar '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Derek Brunson Kevin Holland W 2.73 1 1.73 $17.30 173% Bet Info
Grant Dawson Leonardo Santos W 1.52 2 1.04 $10.36 52% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.95 3.00 2.77 $27.66 92%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.00 2.77 $27.66 92%  

UFC Fight Night 187, Las Vegas, 13th Mar '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Dan Ige Gavin Tucker W 1.67 1.5 1.01 $10.07 67% Bet Info
Jonathan Martinez Davey Grant L 1.33 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.48 4.50 -1.99 $-19.93 -44%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   4.50 -1.99 $-19.93 -44%  

UFC 259, Las Vegas, 6th Mar '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Aljamain Sterling Petr Yan W 2.10 1 1.10 $11.00 110% Bet Info
Kai Kara-France Rogerio Bontorin W 1.74 1.5 1.11 $11.11 74% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.90 2.50 2.21 $22.11 88%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.50 2.21 $22.11 88%  

UFC Fight Night 186, Las Vegas, 28th Feb '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jimmie Rivera Pedro Munhoz L 1.69 1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.69 1.50 -1.50 $-15.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.50 -1.50 $-15.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night 185, Las Vegas, 20th Feb '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Nassourdine Imavov Phil Hawes L 2.02 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.02 1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  

UFC 258, Las Vegas, 14th Feb '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Kelvin Gastelum Ian Heinisch W 1.48 2.5 1.20 $11.96 48% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.48 2.50 1.20 $11.96 48%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.50 1.20 $11.96 48%  

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 6th Feb '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Alexandre Pantoja Manel Kape W 1.80 1.5 1.20 $12.00 80% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.80 1.50 1.20 $12.00 80%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.50 1.20 $12.00 80%  

UFC 257, Yas Island, 24th Jan '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Daniel Hooker Michael Chandler L 1.69 1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% Bet Info
Makhmud Muradov Andrew Sanchez W 1.74 1.5 1.11 $11.11 74% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.72 3.00 -0.39 $-3.89 -13%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.00 -0.39 $-3.89 -13%  

UFC on ESPN 20, Yas Island, 20th Jan '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Mike Davis Mason Jones W 1.62 2 1.24 $12.42 62% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.62 2.00 1.24 $12.42 62%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 1.24 $12.42 62%  

UFC FN, Yas Island, 16th Jan '21

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Ramazan Emeev David Zawada W 1.39 3 1.16 $11.63 39% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.39 3.00 1.16 $11.63 39%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.00 1.16 $11.63 39%  

UFC Vegas 17, Las Vegas, 19th Dec '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jose Aldo Marlon Vera W 1.69 3 2.07 $20.69 69% Bet Info
Marlon Moraes Rob Font L 1.65 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.67 5.00 0.07 $0.69 1%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 0.07 $0.69 1%  

UFC 256, Las Vegas, 13th Dec '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Deiveson Figueiredo Brandon Moreno D 1.39 2.6 0.00 $0.00 0% Bet Info
Tony Ferguson Charles Oliveira L 1.65 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.51 4.60 -2.00 $-20.00 -43%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   4.60 -2.00 $-20.00 -43%  

UFC Vegas 16, Las Vegas, 6th Dec '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jack Hermansson Marvin Vettori L 2.17 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Jamahal Hill Ovince St Preux W 1.63 2 1.25 $12.50 63% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.86 3.00 0.25 $2.50 8%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.00 0.25 $2.50 8%  

UFC Vegas 15, Las Vegas, 29th Nov '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Miguel Baeza Takashi Sato W 1.63 2 1.27 $12.66 63% Bet Info
Nathan Maness Luke Sanders W 2.26 1 1.26 $12.60 126% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.90 3.00 2.53 $25.26 84%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   3.00 2.53 $25.26 84%  

UFC 255, Las Vegas, 21st Nov '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Mauricio Rua Paul Craig L 2.60 1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% Bet Info
Brandon Moreno Brandon Royval W 1.53 2 1.05 $10.53 53% Bet Info
Jared Gooden Alan Jouban L 2.23 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.02 4.50 -1.45 $-14.47 -32%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Valentina Shevchenko vs Jennifer Maia Shevchenko wins inside distance L 1.50
  2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   6.50 -3.45 $-34.47 -53%  

DWCS 36, Las Vegas, 18th Nov '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Sherrard Blackledge Tucker Lutz L 1.57 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.57 2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  

UFC Vegas 14, Las Vegas, 14th Nov '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Paul Felder Rafael dos Anjos L 2.71 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Abdul Razak Alhassan Kalinn Williams L 1.48 2.5 -2.50 $-25.00 -100% Bet Info
Miranda Granger Ashley Yoder L 2.00 1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% Bet Info
Brendan Allen Sean Strickland L 2.00 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Alex Morono Rhys McKee W 1.58 2.5 1.46 $14.62 58% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.87 7.50 -3.54 $-35.38 -47%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   7.50 -3.54 $-35.38 -47%  

DWCS 35, Las Vegas, 11th Nov '20

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz Mario Sousa L 2.20 1 -1.00 $-10.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.20 1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -100%  



>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history

 
 
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