|
|
|
Straight Pick Stats
|
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
79 (16%) |
59 |
75 % |
242.81 |
19.43 |
0.25 |
8% |
Slight Favorites |
220 (44%) |
134 |
61 % |
450.38 |
17.02 |
0.08 |
4% |
Slight Underdogs |
146 (29%) |
62 |
42 % |
196.96 |
7.36 |
0.05 |
4% |
Big Underdogs |
58 (12%) |
18 |
31 % |
58.10 |
2.11 |
0.04 |
4% |
|
Progress Chart
|
Click here to view breakdown of straight picks |
Sparring With Reality's MMA Handicapper Bio
|
Welcome to my Bet MMA Tips page!
I've been watching MMA since roughly 2013 and have been betting on fights since 2016.
As I got more heavily involved in MMA Twitter/Gambling Twitter in December 2019 and found the site, I started 3rd party tracking on here in January of 2020.
Let's cash some tickets!
If you want access to my 4 weekly content pieces (breakdowns, parlay article, prop article, podcast) along with bets as a package, click the 'www' icon below my profile picture or you can navigate to my site - sparringwithreality.com
Follow me on Twitter @SWR_Betting
Follow me on Instagram @swr_betting
Note: All picks made under the "Bodog" sportsbook will be my plays made through local Vegas sportsbooks that don't have tracking options within the platform currently.
|
Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Sparring With Reality |
This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights. |
Sparring With Reality's MMA Handicapper's Pick History
|
Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Tim Means vs Andre Fialho |
Under 1.5 rounds |
L |
2.35 |
|
|
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.00 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
2.00 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Valentina Shevchenko |
Alexa Grasso |
D |
1.59 |
3 |
0.00 |
$0.00 |
0% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.59 |
3.00 |
0.00 |
$0.00 |
0% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Daniel Zellhuber vs Christos Giagos |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.80 |
|
|
2.5 |
2.00 |
$20.00 |
80% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Lupita Godinez vs Elise Reed |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
2.45 |
|
|
1 |
1.45 |
$14.50 |
145% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Josh Fremd vs Roman Kopylov |
Kopylov to win |
W |
1.33 |
Pr |
Raul Rosas Jr vs Terrence Mitchell |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.35 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.79 |
|
|
2 |
1.59 |
$15.88 |
79% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.50 |
5.04 |
$50.38 |
92% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
8.50 |
5.04 |
$50.38 |
59% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Shane Young vs Gabriel Miranda |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.80 |
|
|
2.5 |
2.00 |
$20.00 |
80% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Mike Mathetha vs Charlie Radtke |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.54 |
|
|
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Manel Kape vs Felipe Dos Santos |
Kape to win |
W |
1.25 |
Pr |
Israel Adesanya vs Sean Strickland |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.22 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.53 |
|
|
3 |
1.58 |
$15.83 |
53% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
7.50 |
1.58 |
$15.83 |
21% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
11.91 |
0.58 |
$5.83 |
5% |
|
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Morgan Charriere vs Manolo Zecchini |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
W |
1.67 |
|
|
2 |
1.33 |
$13.33 |
67% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Volkan Oezdemir vs Bogdan Guskov |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.69 |
|
|
2 |
1.38 |
$13.79 |
69% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Volkan Oezdemir vs Bogdan Guskov |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.29 |
Pr |
Ciryl Gane vs Sergey Spivak |
Under 4.5 rounds |
W |
1.26 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.63 |
|
|
2 |
1.27 |
$12.69 |
63% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
6.00 |
3.98 |
$39.82 |
66% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
6.00 |
3.98 |
$39.82 |
66% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Garrett Armfield |
Toshiomi Kazama |
W |
1.63 |
2 |
1.25 |
$12.50 |
63% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.63 |
2.00 |
1.25 |
$12.50 |
63% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Max Holloway vs Chan Sung Jung |
Holloway wins by TKO/KO |
W |
1.83 |
|
|
2 |
1.67 |
$16.67 |
83% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Junior Tafa vs Parker Porter |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
2.05 |
|
|
2 |
2.10 |
$21.00 |
105% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Na Liang vs J.J. Aldrich |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.53 |
|
|
1 |
0.53 |
$5.26 |
53% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Chidi Njokuani vs Michal Oleksiejczuk |
Over 1.5 rounds |
L |
2.03 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
6.00 |
3.29 |
$32.93 |
55% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
8.00 |
4.54 |
$45.43 |
57% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Gregory Rodrigues vs Denis Tiuliulin |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.57 |
|
|
1.75 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
57% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.75 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
57% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.45 |
0.50 |
$5.00 |
9% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Rafael dos Anjos |
Vicente Luque |
L |
1.87 |
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.87 |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Montserrat Ruiz vs Jaqueline Amorim |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.69 |
|
|
2.9 |
-2.90 |
$-29.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Polyana Viana vs Iasmin Lucindo |
Lucindo wins by decision |
L |
2.65 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.90 |
-3.90 |
$-39.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.90 |
-5.90 |
$-59.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Ignacio Bahamondes vs Ludovit Klein |
Bahamondes wins by sub round 2 |
L |
25.00 |
|
|
0.13 |
-0.13 |
$-1.30 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Ignacio Bahamondes vs Ludovit Klein |
Bahamondes wins by sub round 3 |
L |
46.00 |
|
|
0.07 |
-0.07 |
$-0.70 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jeremiah Wells vs Carlston Harris |
Under 1.5 rounds |
L |
2.15 |
|
|
1.5 |
-1.50 |
$-15.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Billy Quarantillo vs Damon Jackson |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.74 |
|
|
2.5 |
-2.50 |
$-25.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
4.20 |
-4.20 |
$-42.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
10.45 |
-6.70 |
$-67.00 |
-64% |
|
UFC 291, Salt Lake City, Utah,
29th Jul '23 |
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Michael Chiesa vs Kevin Holland |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.56 |
|
|
2.5 |
1.39 |
$13.89 |
56% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Carlos Vergara vs Vinicius Salvador |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
2.35 |
|
|
1.5 |
2.03 |
$20.25 |
135% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Jake Matthews vs Darrius Flowers |
Matthews wins in round 2 |
W |
5.90 |
|
|
0.67 |
3.28 |
$32.83 |
490% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Jake Matthews vs Darrius Flowers |
Matthews wins in round 3 |
L |
12.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Dustin Poirier vs Justin Gaethje |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
W |
1.42 |
Pr |
Derrick Lewis vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.53 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
2.16 |
|
|
1.75 |
2.03 |
$20.34 |
116% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
6.67 |
8.48 |
$84.81 |
127% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
6.67 |
8.48 |
$84.81 |
127% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.00 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
UFC 290, Las Vegas, Nevada,
8th Jul '23 |
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Robbie Lawler vs Niko Price |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.59 |
|
|
2 |
1.18 |
$11.76 |
59% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Alex Volkanovski vs Yair Rodriguez |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
W |
1.87 |
|
|
1.25 |
1.09 |
$10.87 |
87% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.25 |
2.26 |
$22.63 |
70% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.25 |
2.26 |
$22.63 |
70% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Ivana Petrovic vs Luana Carolina |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
L |
2.60 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Ariane Lipski vs Melissa Gatto |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
2.15 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.00 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
7.50 |
-4.33 |
$-43.35 |
-58% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Jose Mariscal |
Trevor Peek |
W |
2.40 |
2 |
2.80 |
$28.00 |
140% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
2.40 |
2.00 |
2.80 |
$28.00 |
140% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Amanda Ribas vs Maycee Barber |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
2.80 |
|
|
1.5 |
2.70 |
$27.00 |
180% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Cody Brundage vs Sedriques Dumas |
Under 1.5 rounds |
L |
1.66 |
|
|
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.50 |
0.70 |
$7.00 |
20% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.50 |
3.50 |
$35.00 |
64% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Marvin Vettori vs Jared Cannonier |
Fight goes to decision |
W |
1.61 |
|
|
3 |
1.82 |
$18.18 |
61% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Nikolas Motta vs Manuel Torres |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.73 |
|
|
2 |
1.46 |
$14.60 |
73% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.00 |
3.28 |
$32.78 |
66% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
8.00 |
5.79 |
$57.95 |
72% |
|
UFC 289, Vancouver,
10th Jun '23 |
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Eryk Anders vs Marc-Andre Barriault |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.64 |
|
|
4 |
2.55 |
$25.48 |
64% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
4.00 |
2.55 |
$25.48 |
64% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
4.00 |
2.55 |
$25.48 |
64% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Andrei Arlovski vs Don'tale Mayes |
Fight goes the distance |
L |
1.59 |
|
|
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Johnny Munoz vs Daniel Santos |
Santos wins in round 2/3 |
L |
4.13 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.00 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
7.25 |
-3.96 |
$-39.60 |
-55% |
|
|
|
|
|
| | |