|
|
Straight Pick Stats
|
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
75 (16%) |
57 |
76 % |
234.20 |
21.43 |
0.29 |
9% |
Slight Favorites |
201 (44%) |
127 |
63 % |
406.63 |
34.52 |
0.17 |
8% |
Slight Underdogs |
131 (28%) |
57 |
44 % |
175.21 |
12.38 |
0.09 |
7% |
Big Underdogs |
53 (12%) |
17 |
32 % |
53.10 |
4.16 |
0.08 |
8% |
|
Progress Chart
|
Click here to view breakdown of straight picks |
Sparring With Reality's MMA Handicapper Bio
|
Welcome to my Bet MMA Tips page!
I've been watching MMA since roughly 2013 and have been betting on fights since 2016.
As I got more heavily involved in MMA Twitter/Gambling Twitter in December 2019 and found the site, I started 3rd party tracking on here in January of 2020.
Let's cash some tickets!
If you want access to my 4 weekly content pieces (breakdowns, parlay article, prop article, podcast) along with bets as a package, click the 'www' icon below my profile picture or you can navigate to my site - sparringwithreality.com
Follow me on Twitter @SWR_Betting
Follow me on Instagram @swr_betting
Note: All picks made under the "Bodog" sportsbook will be my plays made through local Vegas sportsbooks that don't have tracking options within the platform currently.
|
Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Sparring With Reality |
This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights. |
Sparring With Reality's MMA Handicapper's Pick History
|
Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Bryan Barberena vs Gunnar Nelson |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.71 |
|
|
2.5 |
1.79 |
$17.86 |
71% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jake Hadley vs Malcolm Gordon |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
2.30 |
|
|
1.5 |
1.95 |
$19.50 |
130% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Veronica Macedo vs Juliana Miller |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.95 |
|
|
2.1 |
-2.10 |
$-21.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Marvin Vettori vs Roman Dolidze |
Vettori to win |
W |
1.35 |
Pr |
Jennifer Maia vs Casey O'Neill |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.36 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.83 |
|
|
2.4 |
2.00 |
$20.00 |
83% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
8.50 |
3.64 |
$36.36 |
43% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
15.70 |
-0.39 |
$-3.88 |
-2% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Nikita Krylov vs Ryan Spann |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.71 |
|
|
2.25 |
1.61 |
$16.07 |
71% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Mario Bautista vs Guido Cannetti |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.63 |
|
|
2 |
1.25 |
$12.50 |
63% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Vitor Petrino vs Anton Turkalj |
Under 1.5 rounds |
L |
2.60 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Alexander Volkov vs Alexander Romanov |
Volkov wins by (T)KO round 2 |
L |
13.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Alexander Volkov vs Alexander Romanov |
Volkov wins by (T)KO round 3 |
L |
18.00 |
|
|
0.18 |
-0.18 |
$-1.80 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.68 |
1.43 |
$14.27 |
25% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
13.18 |
1.28 |
$12.79 |
10% |
|
Bellator 292, San Jose, California,
10th Mar '23 |
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Michael Page |
Goiti Yamauchi |
W |
1.87 |
1.15 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
87% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.87 |
1.15 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
87% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Enrique Barzola vs Erik Perez |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.40 |
|
|
2 |
0.80 |
$8.00 |
40% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.00 |
0.80 |
$8.00 |
40% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.15 |
1.80 |
$18.00 |
57% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Geoff Neal vs Shavkat Rakhmonov |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.91 |
|
|
1.1 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
91% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Tabatha Ricci vs Jessica Penne |
Over 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.31 |
Pr |
Bo Nickal vs Jamie Pickett |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.33 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.75 |
|
|
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.10 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-32% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
11.10 |
-2.55 |
$-25.51 |
-23% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Norbert Novenyi vs Andy Manzolo |
Novenyi to win |
W |
1.25 |
Pr |
Mike Malott vs Yohan Lainesse |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
W |
1.29 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.61 |
|
|
3 |
1.82 |
$18.21 |
61% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jordan Leavitt vs Victor Martinez |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.67 |
|
|
1.5 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
67% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
4.50 |
2.82 |
$28.21 |
63% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
8.10 |
3.42 |
$34.21 |
42% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Jeremy Kennedy |
Pedro Carvalho |
W |
1.43 |
2.35 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
43% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.43 |
2.35 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
43% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Ciaran Clarke vs Leonardos Sinis |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.80 |
|
|
2 |
1.60 |
$16.00 |
80% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Darragh Kelly vs Dorval Jordan |
Under 1.5 rounds |
L |
1.54 |
|
|
1.85 |
-1.85 |
$-18.50 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.85 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-6% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
6.20 |
0.75 |
$7.50 |
12% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
William Knight vs Marcin Prachnio |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.68 |
|
|
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Themba Gorimbo vs A.J. Fletcher |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.77 |
|
|
2 |
1.54 |
$15.38 |
77% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
4.00 |
-0.46 |
$-4.62 |
-12% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
7.50 |
-1.86 |
$-18.62 |
-25% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Damir Ferhatbegovic |
Elvin Espinoza |
L |
2.15 |
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
2.15 |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Islam Makhachev vs Alex Volkanovski |
Makhachev wins inside distance |
L |
1.86 |
|
|
2.32 |
-2.32 |
$-23.20 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Elves Brenner vs Zubaira Tukhugov |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
2.18 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Kleydson Rodrigues vs Shannon Ross |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
W |
1.74 |
|
|
2 |
1.48 |
$14.81 |
74% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jack Della Maddalena vs Randy Brown |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.71 |
|
|
2 |
1.43 |
$14.29 |
71% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Yair Rodriguez vs Josh Emmett |
Under 4.5 rounds |
W |
2.50 |
|
|
1 |
1.50 |
$15.00 |
150% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Blake Bilder vs Shane Young |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
2.10 |
|
|
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
10.32 |
-0.91 |
$-9.10 |
-9% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
13.82 |
0.09 |
$0.90 |
1% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Jun Yong Park |
Denis Tiuliulin |
W |
1.50 |
2.5 |
1.25 |
$12.50 |
50% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.50 |
2.50 |
1.25 |
$12.50 |
50% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Derrick Lewis vs Sergey Spivak |
Spivak wins in round 2/3 |
L |
4.02 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Yusaku Kinoshita vs Adam Fugitt |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.80 |
|
|
2.5 |
2.00 |
$20.00 |
80% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Doo Ho Choi vs Kyle Nelson |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.74 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Marcin Tybura vs Blagoy Ivanov |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.48 |
|
|
3 |
1.43 |
$14.29 |
48% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Derrick Lewis vs Sergey Spivak |
Spivak wins in round 1 |
W |
3.00 |
|
|
1 |
2.00 |
$20.00 |
200% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
10.50 |
1.43 |
$14.29 |
14% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
13.00 |
2.68 |
$26.79 |
21% |
|
Bellator 290, Inglewood, California,
4th Feb '23 |
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Johnny Eblen |
Anatoly Tokov |
W |
1.52 |
2 |
1.04 |
$10.42 |
52% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.52 |
2.00 |
1.04 |
$10.42 |
52% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Akhmed Magomedov vs Henry Corrales |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.63 |
|
|
1.6 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
63% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.60 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
63% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.60 |
2.04 |
$20.42 |
57% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Evelyn Martins |
Jeslen Mishelle |
W |
1.69 |
1.5 |
1.04 |
$10.42 |
69% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.69 |
1.50 |
1.04 |
$10.42 |
69% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
1.50 |
1.04 |
$10.42 |
69% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Paul Craig vs Johnny Walker |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.65 |
|
|
2 |
1.29 |
$12.90 |
65% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jessica Andrade vs Lauren Murphy |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
2.10 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Josiane Nunes vs Zara Fairn Dos Santos |
Nunes wins inside distance |
L |
1.65 |
|
|
1.53 |
-1.53 |
$-15.30 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Jessica Andrade vs Lauren Murphy |
Andrade to win |
W |
1.21 |
Pr |
Jailton Junior vs Shamil Abdurakhimov |
Under 1.5 rounds |
L |
1.33 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.61 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
7.53 |
-4.24 |
$-42.40 |
-56% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
10.83 |
-3.87 |
$-38.73 |
-36% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Javid Basharat |
Mateus Mendonca |
W |
1.29 |
3.5 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
29% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.29 |
3.50 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
29% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Dan Ige vs Damon Jackson |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
2.55 |
|
|
1 |
1.55 |
$15.50 |
155% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Charles Johnson vs Jimmy Flick |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.53 |
|
|
1 |
0.53 |
$5.26 |
53% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Ketlen Vieira vs Raquel Pennington |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.28 |
Pr |
Umar Nurmagomedov vs Raoni Barcelos |
Over 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.40 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.79 |
|
|
2.52 |
-2.52 |
$-25.20 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
4.52 |
-0.44 |
$-4.44 |
-10% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
8.02 |
0.56 |
$5.56 |
7% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Cody Brundage vs Michal Oleksiejczuk |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.87 |
|
|
1.5 |
1.30 |
$13.04 |
87% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Damir Ismagulov vs Arman Tsarukyan |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.42 |
|
|
5 |
2.08 |
$20.83 |
42% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Drew Dober vs Bobby Green |
Over 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.57 |
|
|
2.5 |
-2.50 |
$-25.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
9.00 |
0.89 |
$8.88 |
10% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
12.00 |
-2.11 |
$-21.12 |
-18% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Alexander Hernandez vs Billy Quarantillo |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
2.27 |
|
|
2 |
2.54 |
$25.40 |
127% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Paddy Pimblett vs Jared Gordon |
Gordon wins by decision |
L |
5.50 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.50 |
2.04 |
$20.40 |
82% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
7.50 |
0.94 |
$9.45 |
13% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Cody Law vs Chris Lencioni |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.63 |
|
|
1 |
0.63 |
$6.25 |
63% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.00 |
0.63 |
$6.25 |
63% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.00 |
0.77 |
$7.75 |
26% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pi |
Gleison Tibau vs Magomed Magomedkerimov |
Magomedkerimov to win |
W |
1.25 |
Pi |
Rafael dos Anjos vs Bryan Barberena |
dos Anjos to win |
W |
1.23 |
|
|
Parlay Odds: |
1.54 |
|
|
2 |
1.08 |
$10.81 |
54% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Natan Levy vs Genaro Valdez |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.54 |
|
|
2.5 |
-2.50 |
$-25.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Michael Johnson vs Marc Diakiese |
Over 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.48 |
|
|
1.2 |
0.57 |
$5.71 |
48% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.70 |
-0.85 |
$-8.47 |
-15% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
10.20 |
0.63 |
$6.28 |
6% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Kayla Harrison vs Larissa Pacheco |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.56 |
|
|
2 |
1.11 |
$11.11 |
56% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.00 |
1.11 |
$11.11 |
56% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
6.25 |
3.36 |
$33.61 |
54% |
|
|
|
|