|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Sparring with Reality |
|
Sparring with Reality: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
28th Feb '21 |
UFC Fight Night 186 |
6 |
2.1 |
34% |
3.1 / 5 (61%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
20th Feb '21 |
UFC Fight Night 185 |
5.75 |
0.6 |
11% |
2.4 / 4 (60%) |
-1.8 / 1.75 (-100%) |
|
14th Feb '21 |
UFC 258 |
12.5 |
5.7 |
45% |
3.0 / 9 (33%) |
2.7 / 3.5 (76%) |
|
6th Feb '21 |
UFC FN |
8.5 |
7.5 |
88% |
1.4 / 1.5 (91%) |
6.2 / 7 (88%) |
|
24th Jan '21 |
UFC 257 |
8.5 |
-0.4 |
-5% |
1.2 / 1.5 (80%) |
-1.6 / 7 (-24%) |
|
20th Jan '21 |
UFC on ESPN 20 |
7 |
6.7 |
96% |
|
5.4 / 5 (108%) |
1.3 / 2 (66%) |
16th Jan '21 |
UFC FN |
11.5 |
-1.8 |
-16% |
2.7 / 7 (38%) |
-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) |
|
19th Dec '20 |
UFC Vegas 17 |
5.5 |
4.1 |
74% |
1.7 / 2 (83%) |
2.4 / 3.5 (69%) |
|
13th Dec '20 |
UFC 256 |
6.6 |
-1.9 |
-28% |
-0.1 / 2.5 (-2%) |
-1.8 / 4.1 (-44%) |
|
11th Dec '20 |
Bellator 254 |
3.5 |
1.2 |
33% |
1.2 / 3.5 (33%) |
|
|
10th Dec '20 |
Cage Warriors 117 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
|
|
6th Dec '20 |
UFC Vegas 16 |
4 |
-0.5 |
-13% |
1.5 / 2 (74%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
29th Nov '20 |
UFC Vegas 15 |
6 |
-2.0 |
-33% |
-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) |
1.5 / 2.5 (61%) |
|
21st Nov '20 |
UFC 255 |
11 |
2.4 |
22% |
5.4 / 8 (67%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
|
19th Nov '20 |
Bellator 253 |
2 |
1.2 |
59% |
1.2 / 2 (59%) |
|
|
18th Nov '20 |
DWCS 36 |
3.5 |
-0.8 |
-24% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
1.2 / 1.5 (77%) |
|
14th Nov '20 |
UFC Vegas 14 |
7.5 |
4.5 |
59% |
4.0 / 4 (100%) |
0.5 / 3.5 (13%) |
|
8th Nov '20 |
UFC Vegas 13 |
6.5 |
0.2 |
4% |
0.7 / 2.5 (28%) |
-0.5 / 4 (-12%) |
|
31st Oct '20 |
UFC Vegas 12 |
6.5 |
-0.8 |
-13% |
0.7 / 5 (13%) |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
|
30th Oct '20 |
LFA 94 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
110% |
1.7 / 1.5 (110%) |
|
|
24th Oct '20 |
UFC 254 |
7.5 |
4.3 |
57% |
0.6 / 3.5 (17%) |
3.7 / 4 (92%) |
|
17th Oct '20 |
UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie |
9 |
1.1 |
13% |
3.6 / 6.5 (56%) |
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
|
10th Oct '20 |
UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen |
14 |
7.3 |
52% |
4.2 / 5.5 (76%) |
3.2 / 8.5 (37%) |
|
4th Oct '20 |
UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana |
5 |
-0.6 |
-13% |
|
1.4 / 3 (45%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
26th Sep '20 |
UFC 253 |
11.5 |
0.7 |
6% |
-2.0 / 6 (-33%) |
2.7 / 5.5 (49%) |
|
19th Sep '20 |
UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley |
8.23 |
0.4 |
5% |
0.4 / 2.5 (14%) |
0.0 / 5.73 (0%) |
|
16th Sep '20 |
DWCS 33 |
3 |
-0.2 |
-7% |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
1.3 / 1.5 (87%) |
|
13th Sep '20 |
Bellator 246 |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
|
12th Sep '20 |
UFC Fight Night 184 |
6 |
-3.4 |
-57% |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
-0.4 / 3 (-14%) |
|
11th Sep '20 |
Bellator 245 |
3.5 |
-3.5 |
-100% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
|
9th Sep '20 |
DWCS 32 |
2.5 |
1.1 |
44% |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
1.6 / 2 (80%) |
|
5th Sep '20 |
UFC Fight Night 183 |
7 |
-1.4 |
-20% |
-1.4 / 7 (-20%) |
|
|
29th Aug '20 |
UFC Fight Night 182 |
6.5 |
6.5 |
100% |
1.1 / 2 (54%) |
5.4 / 4.5 (121%) |
|
29th Aug '20 |
LFA 89 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
87% |
1.3 / 1.5 (87%) |
|
|
22nd Aug '20 |
UFC Vegas 7 |
15 |
1.5 |
10% |
-1.1 / 10.5 (-11%) |
2.6 / 4.5 (58%) |
|
19th Aug '20 |
DWCS 29 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
|
15th Aug '20 |
UFC 252 |
5 |
3.1 |
62% |
2.4 / 3 (80%) |
0.7 / 2 (35%) |
|
12th Aug '20 |
DWCS 28 |
2 |
-0.3 |
-16% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
0.7 / 1 (69%) |
|
8th Aug '20 |
UFC Vegas 6 |
9.5 |
4.7 |
50% |
4.5 / 6 (74%) |
0.3 / 3.5 (8%) |
|
8th Aug '20 |
Bellator 243 |
6 |
-1.5 |
-26% |
0.5 / 4 (12%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
1st Aug '20 |
UFC Vegas 5 |
4.5 |
2.8 |
61% |
1.5 / 2.5 (60%) |
1.3 / 2 (63%) |
|
31st Jul '20 |
Invicta 41 |
2 |
1.1 |
56% |
1.1 / 2 (56%) |
|
|
25th Jul '20 |
UFC Fight Island 3 |
8 |
3.0 |
38% |
3.8 / 4 (94%) |
-0.7 / 4 (-18%) |
|
25th Jul '20 |
Bellator 242 |
5.5 |
-1.4 |
-26% |
-1.4 / 5.5 (-26%) |
|
|
18th Jul '20 |
UFC Fight Island 2 |
11 |
0.7 |
6% |
-0.3 / 9 (-4%) |
1.1 / 2 (53%) |
|
15th Jul '20 |
UFC Fight Island 1 |
4 |
1.3 |
32% |
-0.3 / 3 (-10%) |
1.6 / 1 (160%) |
|
11th Jul '20 |
UFC 251 |
15 |
4.3 |
28% |
3.2 / 12.5 (26%) |
1.0 / 2.5 (41%) |
|
11th Jul '20 |
LFA 84 |
2 |
1.0 |
51% |
1.0 / 2 (51%) |
|
|
2nd Jul '20 |
Invicta 40 |
2.5 |
0.3 |
12% |
0.3 / 2.5 (12%) |
|
|
27th Jun '20 |
UFC Fight Night 175 |
6.5 |
-0.3 |
-4% |
1.7 / 3 (57%) |
-2.0 / 3.5 (-57%) |
|
20th Jun '20 |
UFC Fight Night 174 |
9.5 |
-6.1 |
-64% |
-8.0 / 8 (-100%) |
1.9 / 1.5 (125%) |
|
13th Jun '20 |
UFC Fight Night 173 |
6 |
-1.0 |
-17% |
-1.0 / 6 (-17%) |
|
|
6th Jun '20 |
UFC 250 |
3 |
3.0 |
101% |
1.6 / 2 (82%) |
1.4 / 1 (140%) |
|
30th May '20 |
UFC Fight Night 172 |
7 |
3.0 |
43% |
1.6 / 6 (26%) |
1.5 / 1 (145%) |
|
16th May '20 |
UFC Fight Night 171 |
4 |
4.0 |
99% |
4.0 / 4 (99%) |
|
|
14th May '20 |
UFC Fight Night 170 |
5.5 |
2.0 |
36% |
1.4 / 1 (135%) |
0.7 / 4.5 (14%) |
|
10th May '20 |
UFC 249 |
6.75 |
-3.9 |
-58% |
-0.7 / 3.5 (-20%) |
-3.3 / 3.25 (-100%) |
|
20th Mar '20 |
Cage Warriors 113 |
2 |
1.3 |
63% |
2.3 / 1 (225%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
14th Mar '20 |
UFC Fight Night 169 |
1 |
1.3 |
130% |
1.3 / 1 (130%) |
|
|
8th Mar '20 |
UFC 248 |
8.5 |
-3.4 |
-40% |
-4.5 / 7.5 (-60%) |
1.1 / 1 (110%) |
|
29th Feb '20 |
UFC Fight Night |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
|
|
22nd Feb '20 |
UFC Fight Night 168 |
5 |
2.6 |
52% |
2.6 / 5 (52%) |
|
|
15th Feb '20 |
UFC Fight Night 167 |
9 |
2.5 |
28% |
2.5 / 9 (28%) |
|
|
9th Feb '20 |
UFC 247 |
9 |
-6.8 |
-76% |
-2.8 / 5 (-56%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
25th Jan '20 |
UFC Fight Night 166 |
6.2 |
-4.4 |
-71% |
-4.4 / 6.2 (-71%) |
|
|
18th Jan '20 |
UFC 246 |
10 |
4.1 |
41% |
4.1 / 10 (41%) |
|
|
Winning Events: 40 (61%) Losing Events: 26 (39%)
Average Staked Per Event: 6.18 units Most Staked On One Event: 15.00 units Best Event: 7.52 units Worst Event: -6.80 units Average Event: 0.81 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 15.90 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -11.23 |
Sparring with Reality: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2021 |
59.75 |
20.3 |
34% |
13.7 / 28 (49%) |
5.3 / 29.75 (18%) |
1.3 / 2 (66%) |
5 / 2 (71%) |
2.90 |
2020 |
348.28 |
33.1 |
10% |
22.3 / 232.2 (10%) |
14.8 / 112.08 (13%) |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
35 / 24 (59%) |
0.56 |
|
Sparring with Reality: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Sparring with Reality: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
360.03 |
56.2 |
16% |
37.5 / 224.2 (17%) |
21.4 / 129.83 (16%) |
-2.7 / 6 (-45%) |
Bellator |
22 |
-5.6 |
-26% |
-0.6 / 17 (-4%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
|
Other |
26 |
2.9 |
11% |
-0.9 / 19 (-4%) |
3.7 / 7 (54%) |
|
|
Sparring with Reality: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
21 (15%) |
15 |
71 % |
71.20 |
3.99 |
0.19 |
6% |
Slight Favorites |
63 (45%) |
44 |
70 % |
123.00 |
26.73 |
0.42 |
22% |
Slight Underdogs |
41 (29%) |
17 |
41 % |
50.00 |
1.17 |
0.03 |
2% |
Big Underdogs |
16 (11%) |
6 |
38 % |
16.00 |
4.10 |
0.26 |
26% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
21 (15%) |
13 |
62 % |
41.00 |
11.36 |
0.54 |
28% |
Co-Main Event |
17 (12%) |
10 |
59 % |
30.20 |
5.98 |
0.35 |
20% |
Position 3-5 |
45 (32%) |
21 |
47 % |
77.50 |
-4.48 |
-0.10 |
-6% |
6+ (Undercard) |
58 (41%) |
38 |
66 % |
111.50 |
23.14 |
0.40 |
21% |
|
Sparring with Reality: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
8 (6%) |
5 |
63 % |
10.50 |
3.39 |
0.42 |
32% |
Light Heavy |
6 (4%) |
2 |
33 % |
9.00 |
-4.05 |
-0.67 |
-45% |
Middleweight |
17 (12%) |
13 |
76 % |
36.00 |
18.95 |
1.11 |
53% |
Welterweight |
19 (13%) |
13 |
68 % |
46.20 |
8.99 |
0.47 |
19% |
Lightweight |
18 (13%) |
12 |
67 % |
33.50 |
7.65 |
0.42 |
23% |
Featherweight |
16 (11%) |
8 |
50 % |
28.50 |
1.40 |
0.09 |
5% |
Bantamweight |
15 (11%) |
7 |
47 % |
26.00 |
-1.40 |
-0.09 |
-5% |
Flyweight |
12 (9%) |
8 |
67 % |
20.50 |
5.46 |
0.45 |
27% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
30 (21%) |
14 |
47 % |
50.00 |
-4.39 |
-0.15 |
-9% |
Featherweight |
2 (1%) |
1 |
50 % |
3.00 |
-0.20 |
-0.10 |
-7% |
Flyweight |
12 (9%) |
6 |
50 % |
22.50 |
-1.74 |
-0.15 |
-8% |
Strawweight |
16 (11%) |
7 |
44 % |
24.50 |
-2.45 |
-0.15 |
-10% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
6 (100%) |
4 |
67 % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
6 |
4 |
67 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
7 (8%) |
6 |
86 % |
50-65% |
51 (57%) |
32 |
63 % |
35-50% |
26 (29%) |
14 |
54 % |
<35% chance |
5 (6%) |
1 |
20 % |
|
89 |
53 |
60 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Sparring with Reality's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
18th Jan |
UFC 246 |
10 |
4.1 |
41% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,040.96 |
25th Jan |
UFC Fight Night 166 |
6.2 |
-4.4 |
-71% |
|
$10.41 |
$1,040.96 |
$994.84 |
9th Feb |
UFC 247 |
9 |
-6.8 |
-76% |
|
$9.95 |
$994.84 |
$927.19 |
15th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 167 |
9 |
2.5 |
28% |
|
$9.27 |
$927.19 |
$950.67 |
22nd Feb |
UFC Fight Night 168 |
5 |
2.6 |
52% |
|
$9.51 |
$950.67 |
$975.27 |
29th Feb |
UFC Fight Night |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.75 |
$975.27 |
$946.01 |
8th Mar |
UFC 248 |
8.5 |
-3.4 |
-40% |
|
$9.46 |
$946.01 |
$914.09 |
14th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 169 |
1 |
1.3 |
130% |
|
$9.14 |
$914.09 |
$925.97 |
20th Mar |
Cage Warriors 113 |
2 |
1.3 |
63% |
|
$9.26 |
$925.97 |
$937.54 |
10th May |
UFC 249 |
6.75 |
-3.9 |
-58% |
|
$9.38 |
$937.54 |
$900.55 |
14th May |
UFC Fight Night 170 |
5.5 |
2.0 |
36% |
|
$9.01 |
$900.55 |
$918.58 |
16th May |
UFC Fight Night 171 |
4 |
4.0 |
99% |
|
$9.19 |
$918.58 |
$955.08 |
30th May |
UFC Fight Night 172 |
7 |
3.0 |
43% |
|
$9.55 |
$955.08 |
$984.04 |
6th Jun |
UFC 250 |
3 |
3.0 |
101% |
|
$9.84 |
$984.04 |
$1,013.94 |
13th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 173 |
6 |
-1.0 |
-17% |
|
$10.14 |
$1,013.94 |
$1,003.90 |
20th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 174 |
9.5 |
-6.1 |
-64% |
|
$10.04 |
$1,003.90 |
$942.42 |
27th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 175 |
6.5 |
-0.3 |
-4% |
|
$9.42 |
$942.42 |
$939.84 |
2nd Jul |
Invicta 40 |
2.5 |
0.3 |
12% |
|
$9.40 |
$939.84 |
$942.70 |
11th Jul |
LFA 84 |
2 |
1.0 |
51% |
|
$9.43 |
$942.70 |
$952.37 |
11th Jul |
UFC 251 |
15 |
4.3 |
28% |
|
$9.52 |
$952.37 |
$992.86 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 1 |
4 |
1.3 |
32% |
|
$9.93 |
$992.86 |
$1,005.77 |
18th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 2 |
11 |
0.7 |
6% |
|
$10.06 |
$1,005.77 |
$1,012.86 |
25th Jul |
Bellator 242 |
5.5 |
-1.4 |
-26% |
|
$10.13 |
$1,012.86 |
$998.48 |
25th Jul |
UFC Fight Island 3 |
8 |
3.0 |
38% |
|
$9.98 |
$998.48 |
$1,028.84 |
31st Jul |
Invicta 41 |
2 |
1.1 |
56% |
|
$10.29 |
$1,028.84 |
$1,040.28 |
1st Aug |
UFC Vegas 5 |
4.5 |
2.8 |
61% |
|
$10.40 |
$1,040.28 |
$1,068.88 |
8th Aug |
Bellator 243 |
6 |
-1.5 |
-26% |
|
$10.69 |
$1,068.88 |
$1,052.46 |
8th Aug |
UFC Vegas 6 |
9.5 |
4.7 |
50% |
|
$10.52 |
$1,052.46 |
$1,102.41 |
12th Aug |
DWCS 28 |
2 |
-0.3 |
-16% |
|
$11.02 |
$1,102.41 |
$1,098.98 |
15th Aug |
UFC 252 |
5 |
3.1 |
62% |
|
$10.99 |
$1,098.98 |
$1,133.14 |
19th Aug |
DWCS 29 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.33 |
$1,133.14 |
$1,121.81 |
22nd Aug |
UFC Vegas 7 |
15 |
1.5 |
10% |
|
$11.22 |
$1,121.81 |
$1,138.22 |
29th Aug |
LFA 89 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
87% |
|
$11.38 |
$1,138.22 |
$1,153.06 |
29th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 182 |
6.5 |
6.5 |
100% |
|
$11.53 |
$1,153.06 |
$1,228.13 |
5th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 183 |
7 |
-1.4 |
-20% |
|
$12.28 |
$1,228.13 |
$1,211.32 |
9th Sep |
DWCS 32 |
2.5 |
1.1 |
44% |
|
$12.11 |
$1,211.32 |
$1,224.61 |
11th Sep |
Bellator 245 |
3.5 |
-3.5 |
-100% |
|
$12.25 |
$1,224.61 |
$1,181.75 |
12th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 184 |
6 |
-3.4 |
-57% |
|
$11.82 |
$1,181.75 |
$1,141.23 |
13th Sep |
Bellator 246 |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$11.41 |
$1,141.23 |
$1,124.11 |
16th Sep |
DWCS 33 |
3 |
-0.2 |
-7% |
|
$11.24 |
$1,124.11 |
$1,121.91 |
19th Sep |
UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley |
8.23 |
0.4 |
5% |
|
$11.22 |
$1,121.91 |
$1,126.08 |
26th Sep |
UFC 253 |
11.5 |
0.7 |
6% |
|
$11.26 |
$1,126.08 |
$1,134.17 |
4th Oct |
UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana |
5 |
-0.6 |
-13% |
|
$11.34 |
$1,134.17 |
$1,126.95 |
10th Oct |
UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen |
14 |
7.3 |
52% |
|
$11.27 |
$1,126.95 |
$1,209.44 |
17th Oct |
UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie |
9 |
1.1 |
13% |
|
$12.09 |
$1,209.44 |
$1,223.32 |
24th Oct |
UFC 254 |
7.5 |
4.3 |
57% |
|
$12.23 |
$1,223.32 |
$1,275.35 |
30th Oct |
LFA 94 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
110% |
|
$12.75 |
$1,275.35 |
$1,296.39 |
31st Oct |
UFC Vegas 12 |
6.5 |
-0.8 |
-13% |
|
$12.96 |
$1,296.39 |
$1,285.59 |
8th Nov |
UFC Vegas 13 |
6.5 |
0.2 |
4% |
|
$12.86 |
$1,285.59 |
$1,288.65 |
14th Nov |
UFC Vegas 14 |
7.5 |
4.5 |
59% |
|
$12.89 |
$1,288.65 |
$1,346.11 |
18th Nov |
DWCS 36 |
3.5 |
-0.8 |
-24% |
|
$13.46 |
$1,346.11 |
$1,334.72 |
19th Nov |
Bellator 253 |
2 |
1.2 |
59% |
|
$13.35 |
$1,334.72 |
$1,350.42 |
21st Nov |
UFC 255 |
11 |
2.4 |
22% |
|
$13.50 |
$1,350.42 |
$1,382.83 |
29th Nov |
UFC Vegas 15 |
6 |
-2.0 |
-33% |
|
$13.83 |
$1,382.83 |
$1,355.38 |
6th Dec |
UFC Vegas 16 |
4 |
-0.5 |
-13% |
|
$13.55 |
$1,355.38 |
$1,348.35 |
10th Dec |
Cage Warriors 117 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$13.48 |
$1,348.35 |
$1,314.64 |
11th Dec |
Bellator 254 |
3.5 |
1.2 |
33% |
|
$13.15 |
$1,314.64 |
$1,329.98 |
13th Dec |
UFC 256 |
6.6 |
-1.9 |
-28% |
|
$13.30 |
$1,329.98 |
$1,305.24 |
19th Dec |
UFC Vegas 17 |
5.5 |
4.1 |
74% |
|
$13.05 |
$1,305.24 |
$1,358.53 |
16th Jan |
UFC FN |
11.5 |
-1.8 |
-16% |
|
$13.59 |
$1,358.53 |
$1,333.59 |
20th Jan |
UFC on ESPN 20 |
7 |
6.7 |
96% |
|
$13.34 |
$1,333.59 |
$1,423.15 |
24th Jan |
UFC 257 |
8.5 |
-0.4 |
-5% |
$10 |
$14.23 |
$1,423.15 |
$1,406.80 |
6th Feb |
UFC FN |
8.5 |
7.5 |
88% |
$10 |
$14.07 |
$1,406.80 |
$1,502.62 |
14th Feb |
UFC 258 |
12.5 |
5.7 |
45% |
$10 |
$15.03 |
$1,502.62 |
$1,577.81 |
20th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 185 |
5.75 |
0.6 |
11% |
$10 |
$15.78 |
$1,577.81 |
$1,577.96 |
28th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 186 |
6 |
2.1 |
34% |
$10 |
$15.78 |
$1,577.96 |
$1,600.49 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 60.05% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Sparring with Reality: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Feb '21 |
Alex Caceres |
Kevin Croom |
1.59 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
2. |
Feb '21 |
Ronnie Lawrence |
Vince Cachero |
1.65 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (2:38) |
|
|
3. |
Feb '21 |
Dustin Jacoby |
Maxim Grishin |
1.59 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
4. |
Feb '21 |
Chris Daukaus |
Aleksei Oleinik |
1.56 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (1:55) |
|
|
5. |
Feb '21 |
Casey O'Neill |
Shana Dobson |
1.64 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (3:41) |
|
|
6. |
Feb '21 |
Belal Muhammad |
Dhiego Lima |
1.31 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
Feb '21 |
Kamaru Usman |
Gilbert Burns |
1.36 |
4 |
TKO, R3 (0:34) |
|
|
8. |
Feb '21 |
Alexandre Pantoja |
Manel Kape |
1.91 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Jan '21 |
Makhmud Muradov |
Andrew Sanchez |
1.80 |
1.5 |
TKO, R3 (2:59) |
|
|
10. |
Jan '21 |
Carlos Felipe |
Justin Tafa |
1.54 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Jan '21 |
Max Holloway |
Calvin Kattar |
1.67 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
Jan '21 |
Li Jingliang |
Santiago Ponzinibbio |
3.25 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:25) |
|
|
13. |
Dec '20 |
Michel Pereira |
Kalinn Williams |
1.83 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
Dec '20 |
Cub Swanson |
Daniel Pineda |
2.44 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (1:52) |
|
|
15. |
Dec '20 |
Cody Law |
Kenny Champion |
1.33 |
3.5 |
TKO, R3 (4:44) |
|
|
16. |
Dec '20 |
Marvin Vettori |
Jack Hermansson |
1.74 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Nov '20 |
Katlyn Chookagian |
Cynthia Calvillo |
3.30 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Nov '20 |
Joaquin Buckley |
Jordan Wright |
1.38 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (0:18) |
|
|
19. |
Nov '20 |
Brandon Moreno |
Brandon Royval |
1.59 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (4:59) |
|
|
20. |
Nov '20 |
Jason Jackson |
Benson Henderson |
1.59 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Jan '21 |
Dusko Todorovic |
Punahele Soriano |
1.77 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (4:48) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Dec '20 |
Renato Moicano |
Rafael Fiziev |
2.36 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:5) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Dec '20 |
Adam Amarasinghe |
Sam Creasey |
1.80 |
1.5 |
TKO, R3 (2:51) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Dec '20 |
Luke Shanks |
Jake Hadley |
2.75 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Nov '20 |
Ashlee Evans-Smith |
Norma Dumont |
2.05 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Nov '20 |
Takashi Sato |
Miguel Baeza |
2.60 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (4:28) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Nov '20 |
Chelsea Hackett |
Victoria Leonardo |
1.43 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (4:41) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Nov '20 |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
Alexander Romanov |
3.35 |
1.5 |
Sub, R1 (4:48) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Oct '20 |
Andre Fili |
Bryce Mitchell |
2.35 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Oct '20 |
Alex Oliveira |
Shavkat Rakhmonov |
2.00 |
1.5 |
Sub, R1 (4:40) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Sep '20 |
Khadis Ibragimov |
Danilo Marques |
1.67 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Sep '20 |
Aleksa Camur |
William Knight |
1.63 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Sep '20 |
Randa Markos |
Mackenzie Dern |
2.45 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (3:44) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Sep '20 |
Taneisha Tennant |
Danyelle Wolf |
2.38 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Sep '20 |
Justine Kish |
Sabina Mazo |
3.40 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (3:57) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Sep '20 |
Angela Hill |
Michelle Waterson |
1.81 |
2 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Sep '20 |
Rafael Carvalho |
Alex Polizzi |
1.57 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Sep '20 |
Al Matavao |
Tafon Nchukwi |
5.75 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (2:1) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Sep '20 |
Zelim Imadaev |
Michel Pereira |
2.50 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (4:39) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Sep '20 |
Augusto Sakai |
Alistair Overeem |
2.85 |
1 |
TKO, R5 (0:26) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Sparring with Reality: Progress Chart |
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|
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