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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night - VanZant vs Namajunas

Las Vegas
2015-12-10 23:00:00

Favourite wins: 8
Underdog wins: 3
$10 on all favourites nets: $3.00
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-32.40

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 1.5. Profit: -1.50
Total Unit Profit: -1.50

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-34.60 (5 right, 5 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $-31.90 (6 right, 5 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-49.09 (6 right, 5 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-63.81 (3 right, 8 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Fair
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Paige VanZant vs Rose Namajunas Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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57%
   
41%
30 (50)%
 
30 (50)%
51%
 
49%
67%
 
33%
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #7
WON
@1.74 Suggested Bet: 1.5 units on Paige VanZant: Returned -1.50 Units   @2.41
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #7 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $-9.23 #9 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $-6.15

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jim Miller vs Michael Chiesa Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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45%
   
56%
34 (67)%
 
17 (33)%
71%
 
29%
71%
 
29%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Good+ #1
WON
@2.20 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.78
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $-18.46 #3 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $-15.38

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Sage Northcutt vs Cody Pfister Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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88%
   
13%
60 (92)%
 
5 (8)%
93%
 
7%
78%
 
22%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #11 Very Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.13 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @7.75
$10 Bet Profit: $1.3 #11 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $0.4 #2 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $-16.92

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Elias Theodorou vs Thiago Santos Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
32%
24 (73)%
 
9 (27)%
77%
 
23%
80%
 
20%
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #5
WON
@1.48 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.10
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $-12.31 #7 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $-9.23

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tim Means vs John Howard Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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79%
   
23%
18 (47)%
 
20 (53)%
55%
 
45%
75%
 
25%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #10 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.27 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.41
$10 Bet Profit: $2.7 #10 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $1.25 #10 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $-4.62

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Sergio Moraes vs Omari Akhmedov Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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44%
   
56%
8 (47)%
 
9 (53)%
47%
 
53%
34%
 
66%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#6 Fair Pick Rating
LOST
@2.25 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.77
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $-10.77 #8 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $-7.69

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Kevin Casey vs Antonio Carlos Jr. Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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27%
   
85%
10 (40)%
 
15 (60)%
42%
 
58%
47%
 
53%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
CANCELLED / NC
Anti-Pick Very Good #12 Very Poor Pick Rating
CANCELLED / NC
@3.75 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.18
$10 Bet Profit: $0 #12 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0 #1 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $0

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Aljamain Sterling vs Johnny Eduardo Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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85%
   
17%
31 (86)%
 
5 (14)%
88%
 
12%
81%
 
19%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #9 Low Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.18 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @5.81
$10 Bet Profit: $1.8 #9 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $1.11 #12 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $-1.54

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Andreas Stahl vs Santiago Ponzinibbio Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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35%
   
66%
7 (37)%
 
12 (63)%
39%
 
61%
17%
 
83%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#3 Moderate Pick Rating
WON
@2.85 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.51
$10 Bet Profit: $5.1 #3 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $7.84 #5 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $6.28

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Danny Roberts vs Nathan Coy Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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58%
   
42%
6 (46)%
 
7 (54)%
45%
 
55%
44%
 
56%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#2 Moderate Pick Rating
LOST
@1.71 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.38
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $-16.92 #4 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $-13.85

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Zubaira Tukhugov vs Phillipe Nover Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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71%
   
25%
16 (70)%
 
7 (30)%
74%
 
26%
86%
 
14%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #4
LOST
@1.40 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.00
$10 Bet Profit: $4 #4 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $5.54 #6 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $4.31

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Kailin Curran vs Emily Kagan Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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76%
   
25%
16 (76)%
 
5 (24)%
78%
 
22%
83%
 
17%
WON
Pick Rating Low #8
LOST
@1.32 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.00
$10 Bet Profit: $3.2 #8 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $2.46 #11 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $0.99


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Paige VanZant vs Rose Namajunas (@1.74) 67%   1.5   1.11   -1.50   $0.00   $0.00
Average Odds: @1.74   1.5 1.11 -1.50   $0.00 $0.00 -100.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Jim Miller Michael Chiesa $18.46 $22.15
 
-$18.46
#2 Nathan Coy Danny Roberts $16.92 $23.35
 
-$16.92
#3 Santiago Ponzinibbio Andreas Stahl $15.38 $7.84
 
$7.84
#4 Zubaira Tukhugov Phillipe Nover $13.85 $5.54
 
$5.54
#5 Elias Theodorou Thiago Santos $12.31 $5.91
 
-$12.31
#6 Omari Akhmedov Sergio Moraes $10.77 $8.29
 
-$10.77
#7 Paige VanZant Rose Namajunas $9.23 $6.83
 
-$9.23
#8 Kailin Curran Emily Kagan $7.69 $2.46
 
$2.46
#9 Aljamain Sterling Johnny Eduardo $6.15 $1.11
 
$1.11
#10 Tim Means John Howard $4.62 $1.25
 
$1.25
#11 Sage Northcutt Cody Pfister $3.08 $0.40
 
$0.40
#12 Antonio Carlos Jr. Kevin Casey $1.54 $0.28
 
NA
      $120.00 $85.41 (71%)   $-49.09 (-41%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Kevin Casey Antonio Carlos Jr. $18.46 $50.76
 
NA
#2 Cody Pfister Sage Northcutt $16.92 $114.21
 
-$16.92
#3 Jim Miller Michael Chiesa $15.38 $18.46
 
-$15.38
#4 Nathan Coy Danny Roberts $13.85 $19.11
 
-$13.85
#5 Santiago Ponzinibbio Andreas Stahl $12.31 $6.28
 
$6.28
#6 Zubaira Tukhugov Phillipe Nover $10.77 $4.31
 
$4.31
#7 Elias Theodorou Thiago Santos $9.23 $4.43
 
-$9.23
#8 Omari Akhmedov Sergio Moraes $7.69 $5.92
 
-$7.69
#9 Paige VanZant Rose Namajunas $6.15 $4.55
 
-$6.15
#10 John Howard Tim Means $4.62 $15.75
 
-$4.62
#11 Kailin Curran Emily Kagan $3.08 $0.99
 
$0.99
#12 Johnny Eduardo Aljamain Sterling $1.54 $7.41
 
-$1.54
      $120.00 $252.18 (210%)   $-63.81 (-53%)
 
 
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