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Event Predictions

UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 22 Finale

Las Vegas
2015-12-12 01:00:00

Favourite wins: 7
Underdog wins: 3
$10 on all favourites nets: $14.90
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-33.80

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 14.5. Profit: -6.89
Total Unit Profit: -6.89

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-15.70 (5 right, 5 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $-34.40 (4 right, 6 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-46.07 (4 right, 6 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-54.17 (3 right, 7 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Good
Average Value Bet Rating: Good

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Frankie Edgar vs Chad Mendes Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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53%
   
47%
40 (68)%
 
19 (32)%
67%
 
33%
45%
 
55%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#5 Fair Pick Rating
LOST
@1.87 Suggested Bet: 1.75 units on Chad Mendes: Returned -1.75 Units   @2.15
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $10.91 Bet Profit: $-10.91 #5 Ranked $10.91 Value Bet Profit: $-10.91

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Artem Lobov vs Ryan Hall Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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62%
   
40%
4 (67)%
 
2 (33)%
62%
 
38%
62%
 
38%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #9
WON
@1.62 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.51
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $3.64 Bet Profit: $-3.64 #10 Ranked $1.82 Value Bet Profit: $-1.82

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Edson Barboza vs Tony Ferguson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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36%
   
64%
20 (42)%
 
28 (58)%
42%
 
58%
25%
 
75%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#6 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@2.75 Suggested Bet: 1.5 units on Tony Ferguson: Returned 0.84 Units   @1.56
$10 Bet Profit: $5.6 #6 Ranked $9.09 Bet Profit: $5.09 #7 Ranked $7.27 Value Bet Profit: $4.07

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joe Lauzon vs Evan Dunham Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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35%
   
67%
34 (72)%
 
13 (28)%
72%
 
28%
65%
 
35%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Extremely Good #3
WON
@2.88 Suggested Bet: 8.75 units on Joe Lauzon: Returned -8.75 Units   @1.50
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $14.55 Bet Profit: $-14.55 #3 Ranked $14.55 Value Bet Profit: $-14.55

Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jason Knight vs Tatsuya Kawajiri Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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30%
   
71%
2 (12)%
 
15 (88)%
11%
 
89%
18%
 
82%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#7 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@3.34 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.40
$10 Bet Profit: $4 #7 Ranked $7.27 Bet Profit: $2.91 #8 Ranked $5.45 Value Bet Profit: $2.18

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Julian Erosa vs Marcin Wrzosek Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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48%
   
47%
0 (0)%
 
3 (100)%
0%
 
100%
11%
 
89%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#2 Extremely Good Pick Rating
LOST
@2.10 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.13
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $16.36 Bet Profit: $-16.36 #2 Ranked $16.36 Value Bet Profit: $-16.36

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Gabriel Gonzaga vs Konstantin Erokhin Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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47%
   
53%
22 (69)%
 
10 (31)%
72%
 
28%
60%
 
40%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #4
LOST
@2.11 Suggested Bet: 2.5 units on Gabriel Gonzaga: Returned 2.78 Units   @1.87
$10 Bet Profit: $11.1 #4 Ranked $12.73 Bet Profit: $14.13 #4 Ranked $12.73 Value Bet Profit: $14.13

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mike Pierce vs Ryan LaFlare Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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33%
   
67%
11 (39)%
 
17 (61)%
41%
 
59%
39%
 
61%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Fair #10 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@3.00 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.49
$10 Bet Profit: $4.9 #10 Ranked $1.82 Bet Profit: $0.89 #6 Ranked $9.09 Value Bet Profit: $-9.09

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joby Sanchez vs Geane Herrera Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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52%
   
50%
5 (56)%
 
4 (44)%
61%
 
39%
53%
 
47%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #8
WON
@1.93 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.00
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $5.45 Bet Profit: $-5.45 #9 Ranked $3.64 Value Bet Profit: $-3.64

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Chris Gruetzemacher vs Abner Lloveras Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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64%
   
38%
0 (0)%
 
1 (100)%
0%
 
100%
0%
 
100%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#1 Fantastic Pick Rating
LOST
@1.57 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.61
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.18 Bet Profit: $-18.18 #1 Ranked $18.18 Value Bet Profit: $-18.18


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Joe Lauzon vs Evan Dunham (@2.88) 65%   8.75   16.45   -8.75   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Gabriel Gonzaga vs Konstantin Erokhin (@2.11) 60%   2.5   2.77   2.78   $0.00   $0.00 111%
Bet on Chad Mendes vs Frankie Edgar (@2.15) 55%   1.75   2.01   -1.75   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Tony Ferguson vs Edson Barboza (@1.56) 75%   1.5   0.84   0.84   $0.00   $0.00 56%
Average Odds: @2.08   14.5 22.08 -6.89   $0.00 $0.00 -47.48%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $100.00 over 10 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Abner Lloveras Chris Gruetzemacher $18.18 $29.27
 
-$18.18
#2 Marcin Wrzosek Julian Erosa $16.36 $18.49
 
-$16.36
#3 Joe Lauzon Evan Dunham $14.55 $27.35
 
-$14.55
#4 Gabriel Gonzaga Konstantin Erokhin $12.73 $14.13
 
$14.13
#5 Chad Mendes Frankie Edgar $10.91 $12.55
 
-$10.91
#6 Tony Ferguson Edson Barboza $9.09 $5.09
 
$5.09
#7 Tatsuya Kawajiri Jason Knight $7.27 $2.91
 
$2.91
#8 Joby Sanchez Geane Herrera $5.45 $5.07
 
-$5.45
#9 Artem Lobov Ryan Hall $3.64 $2.26
 
-$3.64
#10 Ryan LaFlare Mike Pierce $1.82 $0.89
 
$0.89
      $100.00 $118.00 (118%)   $-46.07 (-46%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Abner Lloveras Chris Gruetzemacher $18.18 $29.27
 
-$18.18
#2 Marcin Wrzosek Julian Erosa $16.36 $18.49
 
-$16.36
#3 Joe Lauzon Evan Dunham $14.55 $27.35
 
-$14.55
#4 Gabriel Gonzaga Konstantin Erokhin $12.73 $14.13
 
$14.13
#5 Chad Mendes Frankie Edgar $10.91 $12.55
 
-$10.91
#6 Mike Pierce Ryan LaFlare $9.09 $18.18
 
-$9.09
#7 Tony Ferguson Edson Barboza $7.27 $4.07
 
$4.07
#8 Tatsuya Kawajiri Jason Knight $5.45 $2.18
 
$2.18
#9 Joby Sanchez Geane Herrera $3.64 $3.39
 
-$3.64
#10 Artem Lobov Ryan Hall $1.82 $1.13
 
-$1.82
      $100.00 $130.73 (131%)   $-54.17 (-54%)
 
 
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