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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night - Edgar vs. Swanson

Austin, Texas
2014-11-22 23:00:00

Favourite wins: 8
Underdog wins: 4
$10 on all favourites nets: $2.10
$10 on all underdogs nets: $4.10

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 28.25. Profit: 19.03
Total Unit Profit: 19.03

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-10.90 (7 right, 5 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $23.70 (8 right, 4 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $51.66 (8 right, 4 wrong)
Value betting profit: $43.07 (7 right, 5 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Moderate
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Cub Swanson vs Frankie Edgar Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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33%
   
68%
54 (27)%
 
147 (73)%
25%
 
75%
37%
 
63%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Fair #12 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@3.03 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.47
$10 Bet Profit: $4.7 #12 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0.72 #6 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $-10.77

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Bobby Green vs Edson Barboza Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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49%
   
51%
69 (40)%
 
103 (60)%
40%
 
60%
51%
 
49%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Low #10
WON
@2.04 Suggested Bet: 0.25 units on Bobby Green: Returned -0.25 Units   @1.96
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $-4.62 #11 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $-3.08

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Brad Pickett vs Chico Camus Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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66%
   
33%
132 (86)%
 
22 (14)%
87%
 
13%
72%
 
28%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #8
WON
@1.52 Suggested Bet: 0.75 units on Brad Pickett: Returned -0.75 Units   @3.03
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $-7.69 #9 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $-6.15

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jared Rosholt vs Alexey Oleinik Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
33%
72 (67)%
 
35 (33)%
68%
 
32%
48%
 
52%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#3 Good+ Pick Rating
WON
@1.47 Suggested Bet: 5.5 units on Alexey Oleinik: Returned 11.17 Units   @3.03
$10 Bet Profit: $20.3 #3 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $31.22 #3 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $31.22

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joseph Benavidez vs Dustin Ortiz Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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79%
   
23%
134 (92)%
 
12 (8)%
92%
 
8%
81%
 
19%
WON
Pick Rating Low #11
LOST
@1.27 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @4.35
$10 Bet Profit: $2.7 #11 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $0.83 #12 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $0.42

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Isaac Vallie-Flagg vs Matt Wiman Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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36%
   
65%
22 (24)%
 
69 (76)%
25%
 
75%
28%
 
72%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#6 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@2.78 Suggested Bet: 1 units on Matt Wiman: Returned 0.54 Units   @1.54
$10 Bet Profit: $5.4 #6 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $5.82 #7 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $4.98

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ruslan Magomedov vs Josh Copeland Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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67%
   
34%
81 (85)%
 
14 (15)%
87%
 
13%
79%
 
21%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #4
LOST
@1.49 Suggested Bet: 1.75 units on Ruslan Magomedov: Returned 0.86 Units   @2.94
$10 Bet Profit: $4.9 #4 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $6.79 #4 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $6.79

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Luke Barnatt vs Roger Narvaez Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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75%
   
28%
82 (82)%
 
18 (18)%
84%
 
16%
81%
 
19%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #9
WON
@1.33 Suggested Bet: 0.5 units on Luke Barnatt: Returned -0.50 Units   @3.57
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $-6.15 #10 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $-4.62

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile James Vick vs Nick Hein Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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67%
   
36%
56 (73)%
 
21 (27)%
73%
 
27%
76%
 
24%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #5
LOST
@1.49 Suggested Bet: 1.25 units on James Vick: Returned 0.61 Units   @2.78
$10 Bet Profit: $4.9 #5 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $6.03 #5 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $6.03

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Yves Edwards vs Akbarh Arreola Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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65%
   
36%
68 (69)%
 
31 (31)%
69%
 
31%
33%
 
67%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#1 Extremely Good Pick Rating
WON
@1.54 Suggested Bet: 8.5 units on Akbarh Arreola: Returned 15.13 Units   @2.78
$10 Bet Profit: $17.8 #1 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $32.86 #1 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $32.86

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Kailin Curran vs Paige VanZant Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
59%
39 (45)%
 
47 (55)%
46%
 
54%
76%
 
24%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Extremely Good #2
WON
@2.38 Suggested Bet: 8 units on Kailin Curran: Returned -8.00 Units   @1.69
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $-16.92 #2 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $-16.92

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Doo Ho Choi vs Juan Manuel Puig Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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77%
   
26%
39 (48)%
 
42 (52)%
51%
 
49%
84%
 
16%
WON
Pick Rating Low #7
LOST
@1.30 Suggested Bet: 0.75 units on Doo Ho Choi: Returned 0.23 Units   @3.85
$10 Bet Profit: $3 #7 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $2.77 #8 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $2.31


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Akbarh Arreola vs Yves Edwards (@2.78) 67%   8.5   15.13   15.13   $0.00   $0.00 178%
Bet on Kailin Curran vs Paige VanZant (@2.38) 76%   8   11.04   -8.00   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Alexey Oleinik vs Jared Rosholt (@3.03) 52%   5.5   11.17   11.17   $0.00   $0.00 203%
Bet on Ruslan Magomedov vs Josh Copeland (@1.49) 79%   1.75   0.86   0.86   $0.00   $0.00 49%
Bet on James Vick vs Nick Hein (@1.49) 76%   1.25   0.61   0.61   $0.00   $0.00 49%
Bet on Matt Wiman vs Isaac Vallie-Flagg (@1.54) 72%   1   0.54   0.54   $0.00   $0.00 54%
Bet on Brad Pickett vs Chico Camus (@1.52) 72%   0.75   0.39   -0.75   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Doo Ho Choi vs Juan Manuel Puig (@1.30) 84%   0.75   0.22   0.23   $0.00   $0.00 30%
Bet on Luke Barnatt vs Roger Narvaez (@1.33) 81%   0.5   0.16   -0.50   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Bobby Green vs Edson Barboza (@2.04) 51%   0.25   0.26   -0.25   $0.00   $0.00
Average Odds: @1.73   28.25 40.39 19.03   $0.00 $0.00 67.36%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Akbarh Arreola Yves Edwards $18.46 $32.86
 
$32.86
#2 Kailin Curran Paige VanZant $16.92 $23.35
 
-$16.92
#3 Alexey Oleinik Jared Rosholt $15.38 $31.22
 
$31.22
#4 Ruslan Magomedov Josh Copeland $13.85 $6.79
 
$6.79
#5 James Vick Nick Hein $12.31 $6.03
 
$6.03
#6 Matt Wiman Isaac Vallie-Flagg $10.77 $5.82
 
$5.82
#7 Doo Ho Choi Juan Manuel Puig $9.23 $2.77
 
$2.77
#8 Brad Pickett Chico Camus $7.69 $4.00
 
-$7.69
#9 Luke Barnatt Roger Narvaez $6.15 $2.03
 
-$6.15
#10 Bobby Green Edson Barboza $4.62 $4.80
 
-$4.62
#11 Joseph Benavidez Dustin Ortiz $3.08 $0.83
 
$0.83
#12 Frankie Edgar Cub Swanson $1.54 $0.72
 
$0.72
      $120.00 $121.22 (101%)   $51.66 (43%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Akbarh Arreola Yves Edwards $18.46 $32.86
 
$32.86
#2 Kailin Curran Paige VanZant $16.92 $23.35
 
-$16.92
#3 Alexey Oleinik Jared Rosholt $15.38 $31.22
 
$31.22
#4 Ruslan Magomedov Josh Copeland $13.85 $6.79
 
$6.79
#5 James Vick Nick Hein $12.31 $6.03
 
$6.03
#6 Cub Swanson Frankie Edgar $10.77 $21.86
 
-$10.77
#7 Matt Wiman Isaac Vallie-Flagg $9.23 $4.98
 
$4.98
#8 Doo Ho Choi Juan Manuel Puig $7.69 $2.31
 
$2.31
#9 Brad Pickett Chico Camus $6.15 $3.20
 
-$6.15
#10 Luke Barnatt Roger Narvaez $4.62 $1.52
 
-$4.62
#11 Bobby Green Edson Barboza $3.08 $3.20
 
-$3.08
#12 Joseph Benavidez Dustin Ortiz $1.54 $0.42
 
$0.42
      $120.00 $137.74 (115%)   $43.07 (36%)
 
 
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