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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night - Bisping vs. Leites

Glasgow, Scotland
2015-07-18 17:00:00

Favourite wins: 10
Underdog wins: 2
$10 on all favourites nets: $35.10
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-67.80

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 2.5. Profit: -2.50
Total Unit Profit: -2.50

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $21.80 (9 right, 3 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $2.50 (8 right, 4 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $8.44 (8 right, 4 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-3.29 (7 right, 5 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Moderate
Average Value Bet Rating: Good

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Michael Bisping vs Thales Leites Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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52%
   
51%
33 (58)%
 
24 (42)%
60%
 
40%
36%
 
64%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#5 Moderate Pick Rating
LOST
@1.93 Suggested Bet: 2.5 units on Thales Leites: Returned -2.50 Units   @1.98
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $-12.31 #7 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $-9.23

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ross Pearson vs Evan Dunham Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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69%
   
33%
31 (74)%
 
11 (26)%
76%
 
24%
62%
 
38%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #11 Fair Anti-Pick
WON
@1.44 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.06
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #11 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $-3.08 #9 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $12.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joseph Duffy vs Ivan Jorge Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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88%
   
14%
35 (92)%
 
3 (8)%
93%
 
7%
81%
 
19%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #10 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.13 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @6.99
$10 Bet Profit: $1.3 #10 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $0.6 #5 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $-12.31

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joanne Calderwood vs Cortney Casey Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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78%
   
25%
27 (93)%
 
2 (7)%
94%
 
6%
88%
 
12%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #8
LOST
@1.29 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.00
$10 Bet Profit: $2.9 #8 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $2.23 #11 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $0.89

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Pawel Pawlak vs Leon Edwards Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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23%
   
75%
9 (56)%
 
7 (44)%
55%
 
45%
83%
 
17%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Fantastic #1
WON
@4.26 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.33
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $-18.46 #1 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $-18.46

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Leonardo Mafra vs Stevie Ray Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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36%
   
66%
4 (29)%
 
10 (71)%
34%
 
66%
47%
 
53%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Moderate #12 Very Poor Pick Rating
WON
@2.80 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.51
$10 Bet Profit: $5.1 #12 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0.79 #4 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $-13.85

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Patrick Holohan vs Vaughan Lee Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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62%
   
38%
14 (74)%
 
5 (26)%
73%
 
27%
71%
 
29%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #7
LOST
@1.61 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.64
$10 Bet Profit: $6.1 #7 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $5.63 #10 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $2.82

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ilir Latifi vs Hans Stringer Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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69%
   
33%
25 (96)%
 
1 (4)%
98%
 
2%
89%
 
11%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #4
LOST
@1.45 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.07
$10 Bet Profit: $4.5 #4 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $6.23 #6 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $4.85

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Teemu Packalen vs Mickael Lebout Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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55%
   
46%
5 (71)%
 
2 (29)%
74%
 
26%
56%
 
44%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #9
WON
@1.83 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.16
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $-6.15 #12 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $-1.54

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Robert Whiteford vs Paul Redmond Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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58%
   
43%
11 (85)%
 
2 (15)%
86%
 
14%
78%
 
22%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #3
LOST
@1.71 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.35
$10 Bet Profit: $7.1 #3 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $10.92 #3 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $10.92

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jimmie Rivera vs Marcus Brimage Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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53%
   
48%
8 (73)%
 
3 (27)%
81%
 
19%
77%
 
23%
WON
Pick Rating Good #2
LOST
@1.87 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.08
$10 Bet Profit: $8.7 #2 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $14.72 #2 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $14.72

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Daniel Omielanczuk vs Chris de la Rocha Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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60%
   
42%
7 (54)%
 
6 (46)%
57%
 
43%
70%
 
30%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #6
LOST
@1.68 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.37
$10 Bet Profit: $6.8 #6 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $7.32 #8 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $5.23


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Thales Leites vs Michael Bisping (@1.98) 64%   2.5   2.45   -2.50   $0.00   $0.00
Average Odds: @1.98   2.5 2.45 -2.50   $0.00 $0.00 -100.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Pawel Pawlak Leon Edwards $18.46 $60.18
 
-$18.46
#2 Jimmie Rivera Marcus Brimage $16.92 $14.72
 
$14.72
#3 Robert Whiteford Paul Redmond $15.38 $10.92
 
$10.92
#4 Ilir Latifi Hans Stringer $13.85 $6.23
 
$6.23
#5 Thales Leites Michael Bisping $12.31 $12.06
 
-$12.31
#6 Daniel Omielanczuk Chris de la Rocha $10.77 $7.32
 
$7.32
#7 Patrick Holohan Vaughan Lee $9.23 $5.63
 
$5.63
#8 Joanne Calderwood Cortney Casey $7.69 $2.23
 
$2.23
#9 Teemu Packalen Mickael Lebout $6.15 $5.10
 
-$6.15
#10 Joseph Duffy Ivan Jorge $4.62 $0.60
 
$0.60
#11 Ross Pearson Evan Dunham $3.08 $1.36
 
-$3.08
#12 Stevie Ray Leonardo Mafra $1.54 $0.79
 
$0.79
      $120.00 $127.15 (106%)   $8.44 (7%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Pawel Pawlak Leon Edwards $18.46 $60.18
 
-$18.46
#2 Jimmie Rivera Marcus Brimage $16.92 $14.72
 
$14.72
#3 Robert Whiteford Paul Redmond $15.38 $10.92
 
$10.92
#4 Leonardo Mafra Stevie Ray $13.85 $24.93
 
-$13.85
#5 Ivan Jorge Joseph Duffy $12.31 $73.74
 
-$12.31
#6 Ilir Latifi Hans Stringer $10.77 $4.85
 
$4.85
#7 Thales Leites Michael Bisping $9.23 $9.05
 
-$9.23
#8 Daniel Omielanczuk Chris de la Rocha $7.69 $5.23
 
$5.23
#9 Evan Dunham Ross Pearson $6.15 $12.67
 
$12.67
#10 Patrick Holohan Vaughan Lee $4.62 $2.82
 
$2.82
#11 Joanne Calderwood Cortney Casey $3.08 $0.89
 
$0.89
#12 Teemu Packalen Mickael Lebout $1.54 $1.28
 
-$1.54
      $120.00 $221.27 (184%)   $-3.29 (-3%)
 
 
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