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Event Predictions

UFC 188 - Velasquez vs. Werdum

Mexico City
2015-06-13 19:00:00

Favourite wins: 4
Underdog wins: 7
$10 on all favourites nets: $-61.00
$10 on all underdogs nets: $103.50

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 2.5. Profit: -1.49
Total Unit Profit: -1.49

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $29.90 (7 right, 3 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $8.80 (6 right, 5 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $33.32 (6 right, 5 wrong)
Value betting profit: $42.52 (6 right, 5 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Good+
Average Value Bet Rating: Very Good

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Cain Velasquez vs Fabricio Werdum Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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83%
   
19%
95 (82)%
 
21 (18)%
84%
 
16%
81%
 
19%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #8 Low Anti-Pick
WON
@1.20 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.26
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $6.67 Bet Profit: $-6.67 #11 Ranked $1.67 Value Bet Profit: $7.11

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Gilbert Melendez vs Eddie Alvarez Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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62%
   
39%
74 (76)%
 
24 (24)%
78%
 
22%
74%
 
26%
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #6
WON
@1.61 Suggested Bet: 1.75 units on Gilbert Melendez: Returned -1.75 Units   @2.56
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $6.67 Value Bet Profit: $-6.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Kelvin Gastelum vs Nate Marquardt Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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82%
   
19%
76 (84)%
 
14 (16)%
84%
 
16%
73%
 
27%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #11 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.22 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.26
$10 Bet Profit: $2.2 #11 Ranked $1.67 Bet Profit: $0.37 #6 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $-10

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Charles Rosa vs Yair Rodriguez Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
34%
21 (64)%
 
12 (36)%
63%
 
37%
61%
 
39%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #10 Fair Anti-Pick
WON
@1.47 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.94
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $3.33 Bet Profit: $-3.33 #9 Ranked $5 Value Bet Profit: $9.7

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tecia Torres vs Angela Hill Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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74%
   
28%
59 (83)%
 
12 (17)%
85%
 
15%
80%
 
20%
WON
Pick Rating Low #7
LOST
@1.35 Suggested Bet: 0.75 units on Tecia Torres: Returned 0.26 Units   @3.57
$10 Bet Profit: $3.5 #7 Ranked $8.33 Bet Profit: $2.92 #10 Ranked $3.33 Value Bet Profit: $1.17

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Henry Cejudo vs Chico Camus Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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91%
   
10%
78 (95)%
 
4 (5)%
95%
 
5%
85%
 
15%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #9 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.10 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @10.00
$10 Bet Profit: $1 #9 Ranked $5 Bet Profit: $0.5 #5 Ranked $11.67 Value Bet Profit: $-11.67

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Efrain Escudero vs Drew Dober Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
59%
26 (65)%
 
14 (35)%
64%
 
36%
98%
 
2%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Fantastic #3
LOST
@2.38 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.69
$10 Bet Profit: $13.8 #3 Ranked $15 Bet Profit: $20.7 #3 Ranked $15 Value Bet Profit: $20.7

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alejandro Perez vs Patrick Williams Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
40%
14 (50)%
 
14 (50)%
48%
 
52%
37%
 
63%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#4 Good+ Pick Rating
WON
@1.64 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.50
$10 Bet Profit: $15 #4 Ranked $13.33 Bet Profit: $20 #4 Ranked $13.33 Value Bet Profit: $20

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Francisco Trevino vs Johnny Case Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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19%
   
81%
15 (47)%
 
17 (53)%
52%
 
48%
65%
 
35%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Fantastic #1
WON
@5.26 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.23
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.33 Bet Profit: $-18.33 #1 Ranked $18.33 Value Bet Profit: $-18.33

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Cathal Pendred vs Augusto Montano Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
60%
25 (57)%
 
19 (43)%
58%
 
42%
26%
 
74%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#5 Moderate Pick Rating
LOST
@2.38 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.67
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $11.67 Bet Profit: $-11.67 #7 Ranked $8.33 Value Bet Profit: $-8.33

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Gabriel Benitez vs Clay Collard Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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30%
   
70%
16 (59)%
 
11 (41)%
62%
 
38%
78%
 
22%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Fantastic #2
LOST
@3.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.43
$10 Bet Profit: $23.3 #2 Ranked $16.67 Bet Profit: $38.84 #2 Ranked $16.67 Value Bet Profit: $38.84


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Gilbert Melendez vs Eddie Alvarez (@1.61) 74%   1.75   1.07   -1.75   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Tecia Torres vs Angela Hill (@1.35) 80%   0.75   0.26   0.26   $0.00   $0.00 35%
Average Odds: @1.47   2.5 1.33 -1.49   $0.00 $0.00 -59.50%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $110.00 over 11 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Francisco Trevino Johnny Case $18.33 $78.09
 
-$18.33
#2 Gabriel Benitez Clay Collard $16.67 $38.84
 
$38.84
#3 Efrain Escudero Drew Dober $15.00 $20.70
 
$20.70
#4 Patrick Williams Alejandro Perez $13.33 $20.00
 
$20.00
#5 Augusto Montano Cathal Pendred $11.67 $7.82
 
-$11.67
#6 Gilbert Melendez Eddie Alvarez $10.00 $6.10
 
-$10.00
#7 Tecia Torres Angela Hill $8.33 $2.92
 
$2.92
#8 Cain Velasquez Fabricio Werdum $6.67 $1.33
 
-$6.67
#9 Henry Cejudo Chico Camus $5.00 $0.50
 
$0.50
#10 Charles Rosa Yair Rodriguez $3.33 $1.57
 
-$3.33
#11 Kelvin Gastelum Nate Marquardt $1.67 $0.37
 
$0.37
      $110.00 $178.22 (162%)   $33.32 (30%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Francisco Trevino Johnny Case $18.33 $78.09
 
-$18.33
#2 Gabriel Benitez Clay Collard $16.67 $38.84
 
$38.84
#3 Efrain Escudero Drew Dober $15.00 $20.70
 
$20.70
#4 Patrick Williams Alejandro Perez $13.33 $20.00
 
$20.00
#5 Chico Camus Henry Cejudo $11.67 $105.03
 
-$11.67
#6 Nate Marquardt Kelvin Gastelum $10.00 $42.60
 
-$10.00
#7 Augusto Montano Cathal Pendred $8.33 $5.58
 
-$8.33
#8 Gilbert Melendez Eddie Alvarez $6.67 $4.07
 
-$6.67
#9 Yair Rodriguez Charles Rosa $5.00 $9.70
 
$9.70
#10 Tecia Torres Angela Hill $3.33 $1.17
 
$1.17
#11 Fabricio Werdum Cain Velasquez $1.67 $7.11
 
$7.11
      $110.00 $332.88 (303%)   $42.52 (39%)
 
 
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