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Event Predictions

UFC 202 - Diaz vs. McGregor 2

Las Vegas, Nevada
2016-08-20 22:30:00

Favourite wins: 9
Underdog wins: 3
$10 on all favourites nets: $20.10
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-42.00

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 8. Profit: 4.69
Total Unit Profit: 4.69

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-16.90 (7 right, 5 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $1.80 (8 right, 4 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $12.82 (8 right, 4 wrong)
Value betting profit: $45.66 (8 right, 4 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Low
Average Value Bet Rating: Fair

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Conor McGregor vs Nate Diaz Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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55%
   
48%
27 (39)%
 
42 (61)%
41%
 
59%
48%
 
52%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#4 Low Pick Rating
LOST
@1.83 Suggested Bet: 0.75 units on Nate Diaz: Returned -0.75 Units   @2.10
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #4 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $-13.85 #6 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $-10.77

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Anthony Johnson vs Glover Teixeira Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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63%
   
34%
58 (89)%
 
7 (11)%
93%
 
7%
83%
 
17%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #2
LOST
@1.58 Suggested Bet: 3 units on Anthony Johnson: Returned 1.74 Units   @2.90
$10 Bet Profit: $5.8 #2 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $9.81 #3 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $8.92

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Donald Cerrone vs Rick Story Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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53%
   
45%
49 (86)%
 
8 (14)%
90%
 
10%
77%
 
23%
WON
Pick Rating Good #1
LOST
@1.87 Suggested Bet: 4.25 units on Donald Cerrone: Returned 3.70 Units   @2.20
$10 Bet Profit: $8.7 #1 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $16.06 #1 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $16.06

Value Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mike Perry vs Hyun Gyu Lim Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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30%
   
70%
4 (31)%
 
9 (69)%
29%
 
71%
42%
 
58%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
WON
Anti-Pick Good #12 Very Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@3.30 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.42
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #12 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $-1.54 #2 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $38.92

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tim Means vs Sabah Homasi Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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79%
   
23%
15 (75)%
 
5 (25)%
71%
 
29%
82%
 
18%
WON
Pick Rating Low #8
LOST
@1.26 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.40
$10 Bet Profit: $2.6 #8 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $2 #11 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $0.8

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Cody Garbrandt vs Takeya Mizugaki Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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81%
   
19%
45 (90)%
 
5 (10)%
91%
 
9%
81%
 
19%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Low #10 Low Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.24 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.20
$10 Bet Profit: $2.4 #10 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $1.11 #12 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $-1.54

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Raquel Pennington vs Elizabeth Phillips Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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71%
   
30%
19 (90)%
 
2 (10)%
92%
 
8%
76%
 
24%
WON
Pick Rating Low #5
LOST
@1.40 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.30
$10 Bet Profit: $4 #5 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $4.92 #7 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $3.69

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Artem Lobov vs Chris Avila Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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53%
   
48%
7 (47)%
 
8 (53)%
45%
 
55%
56%
 
44%
WON
Pick Rating Low #7
LOST
@1.87 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.07
$10 Bet Profit: $8.7 #7 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $8.03 #9 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $5.35

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Randa Markos vs Cortney Casey Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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56%
   
43%
9 (60)%
 
6 (40)%
56%
 
44%
67%
 
33%
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #3
WON
@1.77 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.30
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $-15.38 #4 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $-13.85

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Neil Magny vs Lorenz Larkin Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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52%
   
45%
29 (76)%
 
9 (24)%
80%
 
20%
53%
 
47%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Low #9 Low Anti-Pick
WON
@1.91 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @2.20
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $-6.15 #10 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $5.54

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Colby Covington vs Max Griffin Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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75%
   
25%
9 (64)%
 
5 (36)%
59%
 
41%
71%
 
29%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #11 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.95
$10 Bet Profit: $3.3 #11 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $1.02 #5 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $-12.31

Fighter Record on Sherdog Alberto Emiliano Pereira vs Marvin Vettori Fighter Record on Sherdog
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40%
   
61%
4 (44)%
 
5 (56)%
44%
 
56%
35%
 
65%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#6 Low Pick Rating
WON
@2.50 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.63
$10 Bet Profit: $6.3 #6 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $6.79 #8 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $4.84


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Donald Cerrone vs Rick Story (@1.87) 77%   4.25   3.70   3.70   $0.00   $0.00 87%
Bet on Anthony Johnson vs Glover Teixeira (@1.58) 83%   3   1.74   1.74   $0.00   $0.00 58%
Bet on Nate Diaz vs Conor McGregor (@2.10) 52%   0.75   0.83   -0.75   $0.00   $0.00
Average Odds: @1.82   8 6.26 4.69   $0.00 $0.00 58.59%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Donald Cerrone Rick Story $18.46 $16.06
 
$16.06
#2 Anthony Johnson Glover Teixeira $16.92 $9.81
 
$9.81
#3 Randa Markos Cortney Casey $15.38 $11.84
 
-$15.38
#4 Nate Diaz Conor McGregor $13.85 $15.24
 
-$13.85
#5 Raquel Pennington Elizabeth Phillips $12.31 $4.92
 
$4.92
#6 Marvin Vettori Alberto Emiliano Pereira $10.77 $6.79
 
$6.79
#7 Artem Lobov Chris Avila $9.23 $8.03
 
$8.03
#8 Tim Means Sabah Homasi $7.69 $2.00
 
$2.00
#9 Neil Magny Lorenz Larkin $6.15 $5.60
 
-$6.15
#10 Cody Garbrandt Takeya Mizugaki $4.62 $1.11
 
$1.11
#11 Colby Covington Max Griffin $3.08 $1.02
 
$1.02
#12 Hyun Gyu Lim Mike Perry $1.54 $0.65
 
-$1.54
      $120.00 $83.06 (69%)   $12.82 (11%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Donald Cerrone Rick Story $18.46 $16.06
 
$16.06
#2 Mike Perry Hyun Gyu Lim $16.92 $38.92
 
$38.92
#3 Anthony Johnson Glover Teixeira $15.38 $8.92
 
$8.92
#4 Randa Markos Cortney Casey $13.85 $10.66
 
-$13.85
#5 Max Griffin Colby Covington $12.31 $36.31
 
-$12.31
#6 Nate Diaz Conor McGregor $10.77 $11.85
 
-$10.77
#7 Raquel Pennington Elizabeth Phillips $9.23 $3.69
 
$3.69
#8 Marvin Vettori Alberto Emiliano Pereira $7.69 $4.84
 
$4.84
#9 Artem Lobov Chris Avila $6.15 $5.35
 
$5.35
#10 Lorenz Larkin Neil Magny $4.62 $5.54
 
$5.54
#11 Tim Means Sabah Homasi $3.08 $0.80
 
$0.80
#12 Takeya Mizugaki Cody Garbrandt $1.54 $6.47
 
-$1.54
      $120.00 $149.42 (125%)   $45.66 (38%)
 
 
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